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Thrombocytosis as a prognostic factor in

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Original Article 1

Corresponding author:

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*Ken-Ei Sada, MD, PhD

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Department of Nephrology, Rheumatology, Endocrinology and Metabolism, Okayama 4 University Graduate School of Medicine, Dentistry and Pharmaceutical Sciences, 2-5-1 5 Shikata-cho, Kitaku, Okayama City, 700-8558, Japan

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E-mail: [email protected] 8

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Thrombocytosis as a prognostic factor in

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polymyalgia rheumatica: Characteristics

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determined from cluster analysis

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Keigo Hayashi, Keiji Ohashi, Haruki Watanabe, Ken-Ei Sada*,

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Kenta Shidahara, Yosuke Asano, Sumie Hiramatsu Asano,

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Yuriko Yamamura, Yoshia Miyawaki, Michiko Morishita,

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Yoshinori Matsumoto, Tomoko Kawabata, Jun Wada

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Department of Nephrology, Rheumatology, Endocrinology, and Metabolism, Okayama 18 University Graduate School of Medicine, Dentistry and Pharmaceutical Sciences, Kita- 19 ku, Okayama, Japan

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Abstract

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Aims: This study aimed to identify the clinical subgroups of polymyalgia rheumatica 25 (PMR) using cluster analysis and compare the outcomes among the identified subgroups.

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Methods: We enrolled patients with PMR who were diagnosed at Okayama University 27 Hospital between 2006 and 2017, met the 2012 European League Against

28 Rheumatism/American College of Rheumatology provisional classification criteria for 29 PMR, and were treated with glucocorticoids. Hierarchical cluster analysis using 30 variables selected by principal component analysis was performed to identify the 31 clusters. Subsequently, the outcomes among the identified clusters were compared in 32 the study. The primary outcome was treatment response at 1 month after

33 commencement of treatments. The secondary outcome was refractory clinical course, 34 which was defined as the requirement of additional treatments and/or relapse during a 2- 35 year observational period.

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Results: A total of 61 consecutive patients with PMR were enrolled in the study. Their 37 mean age was 71 years, and 67% were female. Hierarchical cluster analysis revealed 38 three distinct subgroups: cluster 1 (n = 14) was characterized by patients with

39 thrombocytosis (all patients showed a platelet count of >45 × 10⁴/µL), cluster 2 (n = 38), 40 by patients without peripheral arthritis, and cluster 3 (n = 9), by patients with peripheral 41 arthritis. The patients in cluster 1 achieved treatment response less frequently than those 42 in cluster 2 (14% vs. 47%, p = 0.030). Refractory cases were more frequent in cluster 1 43 than in cluster 2; however, no significant difference was noted (71% vs. 42%, p = 0.06).

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Conclusions: Thrombocytosis could predict the clinical course in patients with PMR.

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Keywords: polymyalgia rheumatica, cluster analysis, prognostic

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factors, thrombocytosis, peripheral arthritis.

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