࢚ࣟ͘ѣ໐ଅ࠙ओిૡ݂ͅϨ͆͘
Logistic approach to the relationship between two goldfish on having feed
ܱ!ᆠ!!ᄩ
Haruo OKABAYASHI
̙͂ϵ̓ѡъѳѝ ̜ఘࠗ҇ࠟѶຍѤ̝ގၑपͅopen system͆ќзҀѝй҄ҁҀ̞ގၑपѝѤ̝ђѣॽളളсခѣޓ ѣѷѣѝѹѿѝѿ҇ь̝ђѣѹѿѝѿѣඩрѾ൦ьћйфҪҬҹӓ҇ѷјћйҀѝйлшѝќзҀ̞ ѹѿѝѿ̝юџ҄і̝࠙ओౖѣඩќఘࠗѤ൦ь̝ဦᄵюҀ̞ђьћ̝ђѣ࠙ओౖѤѠڵซѣѷѣќ Ѥџй̞થ࠙ओ҇ѝјћѴћѷ̝౿іѸ҈ѣਗѠѤླྀধъҁҀഝќзјєѷѣс̝མ࠽҇फћ̝ ᄳૌ࠽̝ૌຕ࠽̝౭࠽ѝ൦ьџсѾ̝рѾᅶь̝ఘ࠽̝ᇢ࠽ѠйєјћѤѣო҇ѴҀ шѝѠѷџҀѣќзҀ̞ђѣ࠙ओౖဦᄵѠ࠙ьћ̝ᅬѤൌтџ࠙҇࠴ѐћтє̞ьрьџсѾ̝ થ࠙ओѠьћѷ̝ѝથ̝ђьћ̝થ҇ѝѿѳфࠅࢪѝйјєѽлѠ̝࠙ओѠۭࢾюҀᅆہсത࠵ Ѡ҄єҀѣќ̝ђѣ࠙ओౖဦᄵѤџрџрซૡ݂ќтяѠਘ໙ѠઽјћйҀ̞ ̜ႏय़ࢅќѤ̝ဦᄵ҇෪ࢅюҀнၒѝьћࣞධჭъҁћйҀҳҗҽӒҞӞҪҬҹӓͅDynamical System̢ܱᆠണ̝3119 અவ͆ѣೢ҇ѪѳнџсѾ̝ఘࠗѣ࠙ओౖဦᄵѠҕӊӠ̷ҴюҀѠзєѿ̝ ђѣӄҗӠҶһҬҲҺҖѝьћ̝ౡߋࣲࠗ҇зҀน๘ҦӦһӠ̷ӞќтҀర೬Ѡ҈ќйҀ࢚ࣟѣ໐ଅ ࠙ओѣဦᄵ҇ࠗѠђјћ෪јћѴєй̞ ϥ̝ࠖऐѠڛႱ̜࠙ओౖѤᅆќзҀ̞OECD(Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development̢फࢥᆜގࡀ * ѷ࠙ओౖѠљйћดॹ҇ьћйҀ̞ࢲڲѣݑѝۭࢾѠ࠙юҀ၈ѭѣ࠙с৹ѳѿ̝Ҡ̷ҦӦӇ ҹӦҪ̷ͅKey Competency̢ଘᅆᆜ͆ѣຠซѝခ౸ѠཕлҦӦҮӊһ҇ީਈсࢣᄜюҀྣᅆౖрѾ̝
OECDѤӊӠңӜӓ͑ҦӦӇҹӦҪ̷ѣซࡠѝಱൗ͒ͅDeSeCo̢ Definition and Selection of Competencies
: Theoretical and Conceptual Foundations͆҇ 2::8 ႩѠҬҲ̷һͅ3114 Ѡ਼ହ၈ਇ ;PISA ਯѣޘ ᇳѴѣ࠱ႏѝџјћйҀ͆ъѐє̞ђѣ͑ҦӦӇҹӦҪ̷ͅᆜ͆͒ѝѤ̝൴џҀඑૢѹ࡚ѕцќ Ѥџф̝࡚ѹ഻๘҇ࠟѵᄼ̴џᅬษ̡ଃݶษџӝҰ̷Ҭ҇ߋᅀьћ̝ຠซѣဍႿѣඩќџᅆࢀ ͅݢ൏͆ѠവܥюҀшѝсќтҀᆜќзѿ̝Ҡ̷ҦӦӇҹӦҪ̷ѝѤ̝໙ౡߋѣзѾѻҀოќྣᅆ џҦӦӇҹӦҪ̷҇юѮћᇀюҀѣќѤџф̝ҦӦӇҹӦҪ̷ѣඩќ̝ຠѠ̝،ఘౡѣলѹଃݶѣ ืѠѝјћᄜ۾̝؍ъѳыѳџဍႿѣඩќѷᅆџᅆࢀͅݢ൏͆ѠവܥюҀєѶѠྣᅆ̝؎ຠซѣಕ ჸݍќѤџфюѮћѣॽఘѠѝјћᅆ̝ѝйјєౖ҇ૐљѝьћಱൗъҁєѷѣќ̝ॽఘѣᆜގ Ѡୌခџૄ҇৫лшѝсଃݶफѣૐഘ݉џืѝ్މษџౡߋర୯ѣষѠѝјћᄒڵѣಘ ᅹќзҀ̞шѣҠ̷ҦӦӇҹӦҪ̷ѤϪљѣҞҹҧӝ̷҇ѷјћйҀ̢،ଃݶ̡ဍ݂ษ̝࡚ୠษҷ̷Ӟ ҇ೱঘᅀษѠߋᅀюҀᆜͅॽఘѝଃݶѝѣೱঘ࠙ओ̝͆؍തᄼџଃݶңӞ̷ӊѠпцҀఘࠗ࠙ओज ᆜͅঃѝണଅѝѣೱঘ࠙ओ̝͆؎ᅴษѠ৫ຍюҀᆜͅॽఘѣᅴౖѝଘളౖ̞͆шѣ 4 љѣҠ̷ ҦӦӇҹӦҪ̷ѣᇳѴѣඩѠзҀѣѤ̝ॽఘсఇфн̝৫ຍюҀшѝѣྣᅆౖќзѿ̝ఇфн ҀшѝѠѤ̝ჭಷѣࢴѠവьћຠซѣซૡѹၒၔ҇མबഘษѠћѤѳҀшѝсќтҀᆜѕцќѤ џф̝ဦ݂ѠവܥюҀᆜ̝फ६рѾѫᆜོ̝བษџᅶќн̝৫ຍюҀᆜсࠟѳҁҀ̞ђѣ༓थѠѤ̝ ͑ဦౖ݂̝̝͒͑͒͑ೱঘږഝ͒Ѡຠ࿌цѾҁҀ్މѭѣവܥѣྣᅆౖсзҀ̞
આ ᅫ ൌ ࢲ ڲ ఘ ࠗ ݏ ࡉ ᅆ ് 23 ߭ န33!)3121*!๘ ѳє̝ҫҚӀӝҶҢҬҠӞͅGeneric skills̢ཟᅀษᆜ͆ѠьћѷҦӒӘҾҤ̷ҪӚӦᆜ҇ࠟѶћ࠙ओౖ̡ ࠙҄ѿѣᅆౖ҇ਫьћйҀѣќзҀ̞ ̜ѝш҂с̝OECD ѷફลьћйҀѽлѠ̝ఘࠗ࠙ओѤќзҀ̞ϸъ҈ѣॹຍрѾ̝Ϲъ҈Ѥϸъ ҈Ѡ়ڞ҇ѷіಅࣞьѽлѝюҀѣѠവьћ̝Ϻъ҈Ѥϸъ҈Ѡ॔ٶ߷҇ѷіݸྋьѽлѝюҀ̞ ൊѣйэѶͅࡎшјћᅎьфѤџйѣѕс͆Ѡьћѷ̝йэѶћйєથсйљѣࠗѠрйэѶѾҁ ҀᅶѠџјћйєѿюҀшѝсзҀ̞ఘѠѽјћڬлఘࠗ࠙ओ̝ਆ̴ѝဦ݂юҀఘࠗ࠙ओ̞зѳѿѠ ѷџєѶ̝шҁѳќᅬѤ̝ᅆџҹ̷ӑќзѿџсѾ̝ఘࠗ࠙ओѣӔҞҾҭӓѠѿਕѶя̝ ᅆษџࠒ฿рѾ̝шѣҲҗӊѣఘѤшѣҲҗӊѣఘѝೱౖсѽф̝шѣҲҗӊѣఘѝѤೱౖсٶ йѝйјє၈ਇ҇юҀѠюуџрјєͅшҁќѤ̝ূќᅻ৫ьћйҀेۼचೱౖབඊѝຎэќѤџйр̢ ҲҗӊᇫѠьћѷہથᇫѠьћѷຎᄼќзҀ̞͆ ̜єьрѠఘࠗ࠙ओѤќзҀ̞ђѣѽлџџૉொ҇ݷბюҀєѶѠ̝̝ࣞप̝ᆜ पѝйјєॹᅄ̸̸රଅѤ̝ђҁѾѣޘ҇ьћҳҗҽӒҞӞҪҬҹӓᅬᇫͅDynamical Systems Theory͆ѝॿ҈ќйҀ̸̸сй҂й҂џݏѣࢣ෭ᇮ൏ѝџјћтћйҀ̞ Ϧ఼̝ѠڛႱ ̜зҀॶொѣౡюҀޱᅵ q ̝҇ђѣॶொѣౡࡎ҇ಋბюҀєѶѠࠒъҁєဦిऍ X>)x1-̡̡̡-! xr* ѝйл഻ѣѷѝќॶொсౡюҀѝйлॊљтޱᅵ҇ p(X) ќྴь̝шҁ҇ ̜̜̜̜̜̜̜̜̜p(X)=Pr{ ౡ̾ x1, x2,̡̡̡, xr!}=F(x1,̡̡̡, xr) ѝйл࠙ి F ҇ᅀй̝൳ঞ̡આ̡ܱ৹ძͅ2::7͆Ѥ̝ӈӜӒӦҟӓय़ࢅѣݷ౸ଛၔрѾ
exp
(Z) 1 F(Z) = = 1+exp
(Z) 1+exp
(͘Z) ѝйлӕҺӞૡ҇ݷಋьћйҀ̞шшќ̝Z = β0+β1X1+β2X2+̡̡̡+βrXrќзѿ̝r ॽѣဦిѣۭࢾ҇ಧ ज৾ဦిѝьћྴॶьћйҀ̞ ̜шҁѤ̝ӠҫҬҹҖҶҢૡќзҀ̞ӠҫҬҹҖҶҢૡѤ̝ӌӞӂӞҬһͅVerhulst-2:49͆Ѡѽѿఘশ ഄ݈҇ಋბюҀӕҺӞѝьћڏъҁє̞८ᅗ̝ӠҫҬҹҖҶҢૡѤ̝،ॽളి N>ϧќѤ̝ഄ݈ᅵс! ϧѠџҀ̝؍ॽളిсഄ݈юҀѠљҁ̝ഄ݈ᅵѤॳஜюҀ̝؎ࠅࢪѣମᄵ݉ॽളిѠॻ๘сзҀрѾ̝ ђѣి҇ K ѝюҁѥ̝N = K ѣѝт̝ഄ݈ᅵѤϧѠџҀ̝ѝйјєॊ҇ྐнћйҀ̞ dN = r(K−N)N dt шшќ̝K Ѥࠅࢪମᄵᆜ̝љѳѿ̝ђѣࠅࢪѠпцҀॽളిѣซۀќзҀ̞r Ѥͅೱവ͆ษഄ݈ᅵќ̝ ђѣౡсॶюҀౖ݉ѣзҀ਼̝ൌѣഄ݈ᅵќзҀ̞ѣഄ݈ᅵ r(K−N) Ѥ N с K ѠࣞњфѠљ ҁћॳஜь̝N = K џѾѥഄ݈ᅵѤ 1 ќзҀ̞N > K ѕѝ̝ഄ݈ᅵѤӑҗҽҬѝџѿ̝ॽളిс K Ѡџ !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!r ҀѳќॳஜюҀ̞ѳє̝шшќ K = ѝпцѥ̝ !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!k dN = N(r−kN) dt ѝџѿ̝шѣ̝৾k Ѥ̝Ϩॽളѣഄ݈Ѡѽјћഄ݈ᅵсॳஜюҀᅵ҇ྴю̞ ̜࠽ඐс 0 < N < K ѣ̝৾ӠҫҬҹҖҶҢૡќྴъҁҀྒခၒนૡѣݷѤ ̜̜̜̜̜K N=̜̜̜̜̜̜̜̜ 1+exprK(t0͘ t) ќзѿͅt0Ѥ࠽ඐќृѳҀໟڞౖ̝͆ಷୡѣ F(Z) ѝຎэڞႴ৾йѠџҀ̞ ̜ࡌѣണѠѷ̝࠙ओౖѣय़ࢅѝьћшҁѳќѣᄜџѷѣѠ̝ံ௴̸ྈ௴࠙ओѣय़ࢅͅLotka, 2:36<! Volterra, 2:37͆сзѿ̝ӠһҞѝӧҜӞҹӜѣၒนૡͅӠһҞ̡ӧҜӞҹӜၒนૡ̝Lotka-Volterra equation͆Ѥ̝ံ௴ଅѝྈ௴ଅѣഄॳ࠙ओ҇ྌಧजྒခၒนૡќྴॶ̝ӕҺӞ݂ьєѷѣќзҀ̞ѳє̝ӑ̷ӟ̷ͅMurray,! 2:99͆сྶဖ҇ྴॶьєૡ̝ඒڱѹҗӦҲ̷ӀҶһќѣ࠙҄ѿ҇юӌҠၔഌ ͅᆰ̠ࠞใ̟3114̣ӃӜӃҪ̟3113͆џў్ѣඩќࡎшјћйҀॶொ҇ྴॶюҀѾьйిૡс၈ਇ ъҁћйҀѣѕс̝࠙ओౖѣဦᄵ҇нҀ̝ӧҔӦҡ̷һͅvan Geert,!2::9͆с͑ේݦน҇ҪӒӘӟ̷ һюҀєѶѠછ҄ҁҀ࠱ႏѠџҀૡ͒ѝьћிݵьє Lt+n=Lt+Ltpr(1−Lt/K)+Ltp(∑dSt) ̜̜̜шшќ̝Lt+n!!!̢ࠗ t+n!!ѣຠซဦిӟӌӞ̜̜̜n Ѥග܋ѣේъ ̜̜̜̜̜̜̜ Lt!!!!!̢ࠗ t̜ѣຠซဦిӟӌӞ ̜̜̜̜̜̜̜ફి p ̢юќѠްຝъҁєӟӌӞ L̜Ѡѽјћۭࢾ҇ଦцҀේ߇৾ѣඩఓ ! ͅѷь̝p = 0 џѾේѤӝҰ̷Ҭсᅧᅀъҁћйџй̜̜͘ѣӟӌӞѝ ! ࣎৬ӟӌӞѣਮѠѽјћࡋซъҁҀ̞ේݦนѤॾิษџࣇಧ҇ѝҀ̞ p = 0 џѾේѤюќѠ൦ъҁєӟӌӞѠѽјћࡋซъҁҀ̞Њ્च҇ѝҀ̞ ! p > 1 џѾේѤ unutilized resources ѠږഝюҀ̞͆ ̜̜̜̜̜̜̜K ̜̜!̢ᆜӟӌӞ ̜̜̜̜̜̜̜∑dSt ̢L!ѠۭࢾюҀюѮћѣ࿌݈ษબѝࢢ৾юҀۭࢾѣᇭ ѤධჭьћпрџцҁѥџѾџйќз҂л̞ ̜࠙ओౖ҇ᇮ൏ѠюҀ̝ѧѝљѣॽളͅᆰ̠ϸъ҈͆ѝအѣॽളͅᆰ̠Ϲъ҈͆ѣзҀ̝ࠗოќ ѣ࠙҄ѿѝѝѷѠ̝ॽളϸѤࠗѝѝѷѠဦᄵюҀь̝ॽളϹѷဦᄵюҀ̞ьєсјћ̝ॽളϸѝॽള Ϲѝѣ࠙ओѤ̝ђҁѓҁѣဦᄵѣඩрѾࡎшјћфҀѣќзҀ̞ѳє̝ຎэшѝѣआѿါьͅiteration͆ ѣඩќ̝ђѣᆋଅѤआѿါьѣඩрѾంєџ࠙ओౖсୟॶьћфҀѣќзҀ̞ॾิษџӠҫҬҹҖҶҢ ࠙ి f(x) = r x (1͘x) Ѥ̝ო༭йॶொ҇ьћфҁҀ̞ซి r ҇ 4/3 ѝь̝x ѣ࠽ඐ҇ 1/6 ѝюҁѥ̝आѿါь҇ഘцћ̝ ୟඐѤ 1/624156 ѝ 1/8::566 ѣ໐љѣిѠମഐюҀшѝс҄рҀ̞ђҁѠവьћ̝r ͜ 4/56 ѝьћ x ҇ 1/2 рѾઢѶҀѝ̝ҳҗҽӒҞӞҪҬҹӓѣ്ϪҢӜҬѠзєҀҞҝҬѣҕһӜҢҲсୟॶюҀͅ ьфѤ̝ܱᆠ̡ݔ̡৾ඩಗ̡ಒჿ̟3119 અவ̞͆໙ౡߋѤआѿါьќзҀ̞ђѣआѿါьѤ̝ڞႴс џйѣќѤџф̝ॊсౙнѥ̝ంєџૉ഻҇ঃ௰݂ьћфҀౖ݉сзҀ̞ ϧ̝ຊࠏੱѠڛႱ ̜ఘࠗсౡтћйҀ్މѠѤ̝ఘࠗѣౡߋѠۭࢾ҇ᄮнҀᅆہсిതфзҀ̞ђѣిതфѣᅆہ҇ђѣ ѳѳय़ࢅѠૐіਕѵѝମଵсљрџфџҀ̞ђшќ̝ఘࠗѣђѥѠࢎѿ̝ఘࠗѝຎэѽлѠౡߋьџ сѾѷۭࢾᅆہсཿษॻซъҁлҀѷѣѝьћຍсࠒੴവொѝьћнѾҁћйҀ̞зфѳќѷ ᅬѠѝјћ̝ຍѤఘࠗѣ৫ຍѹપ҇൴୲݂ьћྴॶьћфҁҀѷѣќзѿ̝ຍࠒੴрѾఘ ࠗѣᅬѠҕӊӠ̷ҴюҀᅆџ༙ളџѣќзҀ୍̞ᅗѣय़ࢅќѷ̝Pavlov)2:38* Ѥढ़҇ྈ६ളѝь̝ Skinner)2:49* ѤӀҭӒѹӂһͅqjhfpo̝͆Thorndike)2:22* ѤӀҦ̝Köhler)2:32* Ѥᆭఘܕ҇य़ࢅവொ ѝьћછјћйҀ̞ ̜ႏय़ࢅќѤ̝࢚ࣟ҇ࠒੴവொѝюҀс̝࢚ࣟѤర೬ѝйлӈӟ̷ӓѣඩќൌтџ࢚ࣟѝъџ࢚ࣟс ၀Ѿьћпѿ̝ђѣ࠙ओѣඩќᆋଅͅᆋ࢚ࣟ͆Ѥ۩҇ўѣѽлѠްຝьћйфѣр҇ьћйфѣќ зҀ̞ ͂϶̓ႌड़ࢂ̟ࣜѠໍଂࠖऐ҄෪щј ϥ̝ცฦ ̜۩ѣްຝѝйлૉொ҇ѷѝѠ̝࢚ࣟѣ໐ଅ࠙ओ҇ిૡќӕҺӞ݂юҀ̞
આ ᅫ ൌ ࢲ ڲ ఘ ࠗ ݏ ࡉ ᅆ ് 23 ߭ န33!)3121*!๘
ϩ̠࠙҄ѿѠ࠙юҀᅆہ
̜۩ѣްຝ৫ڢͅল͆Ѥఓളѣൌтъͅsize̝͆ୢ࿉ౖͅagile̝͆ຍࡀњцͅmotivation: drive, need, & incentive͆ђьћ̝߸ҁ҇ѪфѶћҬһӜҹҫ̷с࠙҄јћфҀѝнѾҁҀс̝ђѣ࠙҄ѿ҇৾ь єѷѣс x(t) ќзҀ̞dx/dt = f(x) Ѥ̝৫ڢѣဦ݂ᅵ dx/dt сࠗษѠஜьಷѣ৫ڢ x Ѡѽјћृซъҁ Ҁшѝ҇ڞႴюҀ̞юџ҄і̝৫ڢଅс৫ڢюҀшѝќ̝ర೬ѝйлࠅࢪѣඩќѣೱଛѝѣଃݶ഻с ृѳѿͅййрнҁѥ̝۩с௴ѮѾҁҀрўлрсृѳҀ̝͆ђѣଃݶ഻Ѡܥэћ৫ڢଅѤ̝ڵщ ѝѠ৫ڢ҇ဦ݂ъѐҀѣќзҀ̞ႏय़ࢅќѤ̝ୢ࿉ౖ҇ᆜѝйлजќࠒੴ݉џຍтсୟћфҀѝ н̝ϨྺѠўѣфѾй۲чҀѣр҇ซюҀ̞ຍࡀњц̝߸ҁѠљйћѤ̝ۊҁєᅆہѝь̝ႏय़ࢅ ќѤ̝۩ѣްຝ҇ѶхҀ໐ଅѣ࠙҄ѿќѤ̝࢚ࣟѣൌтъཿ̝ᆜཿ҇ࠒੴ݉џ໐ᅆہѝьћଙѿ ڀл̞ ϧ̝ࠏੱലேќѻѥѝࠏੱࢱ ̜ࠒੴവொѠџјєѣѤ̝ൌтй࢚ࣟѝъй࢚ࣟѣϩྛѣ࢚ࣟќзҀ̞ўіѾѣ࢚ࣟѷ࿓ધѝણ႘ ๓ધ࠙ओ҇ॆ҈ќйҀൌᇭएઆધрѾᅗєѷѣќзҀс̝ъй࢚ࣟсѹјћтєѝтͅѤϪcm͆ ѠѤ̝ൌтй࢚ࣟѤшѣర೬ќюќѠϩ၀Ѿьћпѿ̝ളѷ 8/6cm Ѡџјћйє̞шѣϩྛѣࣟ ࢚с҈ќйҀѣѤ̝ 2:cm̝ܨ 42/3cm̝৹ъ 35cm ѣర೬ќзѿ̝ర೬ѣო҇ϩݸһӦһӦѝ йћрѾ̝۩Ϩᆀ҇ҁҀ̝ѝйлшѝ҇߸݂ьє̞ ̜ϩॉрѾϭॉѳќ̝333 ݸѣࠒੴѣॆݑ̝ѣ৷ќୡѮҀҺ̷ҲсຝѾҁє̞࠱ႏษѠϨ໙ϩݸ̝ͅ ᄫ̝͆۩ѤҁѾҁ̝ђѣಷঞϨࠗѠളේͅේъ͆ѝᆜͅϨྺࠗѠ۲х਼ൌᅲ͆сซъҁє̞ Ϩ̝ҷ̴ү ̜ϩॉрѾϭॉѠрцћࠗ҇෪јћ۩ްຝࢴ҇ࠒੴьєॆݑ҇ྴϨѠю̞ൌтъཿѤൌтй࢚ࣟ съй࢚ࣟѽѿ݄༗р҇ьͅൌтъѤളේ҇ь̝൴ڕѤ cm ќзҀ̝͆ᆜཿѤൌтй࢚ࣟс ъй࢚ࣟѽѿ݄༗р҇ьͅᆜѤϨྺѠ਼ൌ݄ cm ۲хшѝсќтҀѣр҇ьћйҀ̝͆۩ް ຝѤൌтй࢚ࣟс۩҇௴ѮєѣџѾͶ̝ൌтй࢚ࣟс௴ѮѾҁџрјєџѾͅъй࢚ࣟс௴Ѯєѣџ Ѿ͚͆с࿌йћйҀ̞ ̜шѣѤ̝ϩॉрѾϪॉѠрцћѕ҈ѕ҈උрфџјћтєѝપјєѾ̝ϫॉ̝Ϭॉќߩфџјєѿ ьћࡃܾѣဦຍсाьрјє̞ࡃমѠᇍຍьћ̝࢚ࣟѣຍтѷᆖфџјєѿ̝ٶфџјєѿьєѣѕ с̝ϭॉѠѿ̝ൌтй࢚ࣟѤ৹ᆽѣєѶ̝зѳѿຍшлѝьџфџјє̞ྴϨѣ਼ঞѤ̝͚сഘйћ йҀѣѤђѣєѶќзѿ̝ђѣඍޏќࠒੴ҇ହᆈьє̞ ນˍȁশۼ͈ͬ̽̀ڕං͈ଔ֊ ໙ ൌтй࢚ࣟ の体長 ъй࢚ࣟ の体長 ളේཿ ൌтй࢚ࣟ の瞬発力 ъй࢚ࣟ の瞬発力 ᆜཿ ۩ްຝ 3/1:!asa 8/61 4/11 3/61 2:/11 8/11 3/82 Ͷ 3/1:!yu! 8/61 4/11 3/61 2:/11 8/11 3/82 Ͷ ) ඩ๒ஷᅹ * 5/32 yu! 8/:1 4/81 3/25 29/11 29/11 2/11 ͚ 5/33!asa 8/:1 4/81 3/25 29/11 29/11 2/11 Ͷ 5/33!yu! 8/:1 4/91 3/19 29/11 29/11 2/11 ͚ 5/34!asa 8/:1 4/91 3/19 28/11 29/11 /:5 Ͷ 5/34!yu! 8/:1 4/91 3/19 28/11 29/11 /:5 Ͷ
5/35 asa 8/:1 4/91 3/19 28/11 29/11 /:5 ͚ 5/35 yu 9/11 4/91 3/22 29/11 29/11 2/11 Ͷ ͅඩ๒ஷᅹ͆ 6/3: asa 9/11 5/11 3/11 28/11 28/11 2/11 Ͷ 6/3:!yu 9/11 5/11 3/11 28/11 28/11 2/11 ͚ 6/41!asa 9/11 5/11 3/11 28/11 28/11 2/11 Ͷ 6/41!yu 9/11 5/11 3/11 28/11 26/11 2/24 Ͷ 6/42!asa 9/11 5/11 3/11 28/11 26/11 2/24 Ͷ 6/42!yu! 9/11 5/11 3/11 28/11 26/11 2/24 Ͷ 7/2!btb! 9/11 5/11 3/11 28/11 26/11 2/24 Ͷ 7/2!yu!!! 9/11 5/11 3/11 26/11 28/11 /99 ͚ 7/3!asa!! 9/11 5/11 3/11 25/11 28/11 /93 ͚ 7/3!yu !! 9/11 5/11 3/11 24/11 31/11 /76 ͚ 7/3!asa ! 9/11 5/11 3/11 21/11 31/11 /61 ͚ 7/3!yu!!! 9/11 5/11 3/11 9/11 31/11 /51 ͚ 7/4!asa!! 9/11 5/11 3/11 7/11 31/11 /41 ͚ ̜ϨѤ̝ࠗѣफݦѠѝѷџјћ̝ൌтџ࢚ࣟс۩҇ްຝќтєрўлрͅъџ࢚ࣟс۩҇ްຝќ тџрјєрўлр͆҇ьєѷѣќзҀ̞ ̜шҁѾѣҺ̷Ҳ҇ѷѝѠ̝ӠҫҬҹҖҶҢݸࡁခ౸҇৫јєͅྴϩ̞͆۩сްຝќтєрўлрѝй лૉொѠљйћќзҀѣќ̝໐৷ӠҫҬҹҖҶҢќзҀ̞ҝҶҭཿѤ̝ྴϩѣ Exp(B) ќъҁћйҀ̞ ˍȁশ͈ࠐً̠͈͂̈́͜ͅڕංેޙาଘ Ȫਸȇષ̦ఱ̧̞߄ݿ̦ͬڕංȂئ̦̯̞߄ݿ̦ͬڕංȫ
આ ᅫ ൌ ࢲ ڲ ఘ ࠗ ݏ ࡉ ᅆ ് 23 ߭ န33!)3121*!๘ ྴϩѽѿຐтୟъҁҀ۩ްຝলᅵͅG͆Ѥ̝ ̛̛̛̛̛̛̛̛̛̛̛̛̛̛̛̛ϧ G!>!̛̛̛̛̛̛̛̛̛̛̛̛̛̛̛̛̛̛̛̛̛̛̛̛̛̛̛ ̛̛! 2͖fyq|͗)͗/::2 ͙ോсщཾ ,4/593 ͙ཇᆛཾ͗/251*~ ѝџҀ̞шшќ̝͘ϩവిჱ๘ >2:1/744̝Cox-Snell R2 ͜ /1:4̝Nagelkerka R2 ͜ /263 ќзјє̞ ̜ྴϩѽѿ̝ᆜཿѠϬ& ర୯ќᄜڞਮсзҀшѝѠѽѿͅൌтъཿѠᄜڞਮсџй̝͆ᆜཿ҇ ဦ݂ъѐҀѝ̝GѤўѣѽлѠဦຍюҀѣр҇।ћѴєͅྴϪѝϩ̞͆ ນˎȁ༷ಎ͈་ତ B ྯ୯দਮ Wald ᄢ๘ ᄜڞޱᅵ Exp(B) ࢚ࣟѣൌтъཿ ./::2 4/186 /215 2 /858 /482 ᆜཿ 4/593 2/65: 6/165 2 /136 43/634 ซి ./251 6/354 /112 2 /:8: /97: ນˏȁอႁͥ͢ͅˢ͈་൲ ȁȁȁȪఱ̧̯ͬ!3!ͅࡥȫ ᆜཿ̜!!!̜!̜G ̜1/2!!!!!!!!!!1/2561 ̜1/3!!!!!!!!!!1/2:48 ̜1/4!!!!!!!!!!1/364: ̜1/5!!!!!!!!!!1/4364 ̜1/6!!!!!!!!!!1/5169 ̜1/7!!!!!!!!!!1/5:29 ̜1/8!!!!!!!!!!1/6893 ̜1/9!!!!!!!!!!1/7711 ̜1/:!!!!!!!!!!1/8444 ̜2/1!!!!!!!!!!1/8:68 ̜2/2!!!!!!!!!!1/9577 ̜2/3!!!!!!!!!!1/9976 ̜̜̜ͅඩ๒ஷᅹ͆ ̜4/:!!!!!!!!!!1/:::: ̜5/1!!!!!!!!!!1/:::: ˎȁอႁͬ/21!̥ͣ/21!͙࣫́௩̱̹͞ ȁȁȁ̧͈͂ˢ͈་ا ȁȁȁ)؍ȇอႁȂȁਸȇˢ!ڕං଼ၚ*
̜ྴϪѝϩрѾ̝ᆜཿсဦ݂юҀѝ۩ްຝলᅵͅG͆Ѥ̝ѤэѶѤࡽाѠഄ݈юҀѷѣѣ̝ ᆜཿсϩ༗ѠџҀѝ̝ђѣഄ݈ᅵѤӈӜҶһѠࣞњт̝ђҁړঞ̝ྒଖџ௸Ѩ҇ьџсѾѷ৹९ ഻ͅӊӜһҙ͆ѠџҀѝйлѽлѠဦᄵюҀшѝс҄рҀ̞ ͂Ϸ̓ৡੱ ϥ̝ႌड़ࢂृݎޕᅶњяѠڛႱ ̜ϩଅ࠙ओќѤ̝ଃݶ഻Ѥѧѝѿѕцѣ৫ڢќѤृѳѾя̝ခѣ৫ڢѝೱଛѣ৫ڢѣҮҶһѠѽј ћѤэѶћृѳҀ̞љѳѿ̝ͅ৫ڢ̟৫ڢ͆͜ଃݶ഻ќзѿ̝ᆋ৫ڢଅѤ̝ଃݶ഻Ѡܥэћڵщ ѝѠ৫ڢ҇ဦ݂ъѐҀшѝѠџҀ̞ႏय़ࢅќѤ̝࢚ࣟѣ໐ଅ࠙ओ҇۩ѣްຝૉொрѾੴь̝ࡌ!G ૡ҇ຝҀшѝсќтє̞ ̜GૡџѾѨѠGඐѣဦᄵҺ̷ҲрѾ̝໐ଅ࠙ओѠпйћ̝ђѣ࠽ඐ̡࠽഻сൌтџڞႴ҇ѷљ шѝс҄рҀ̞ൌтй࢚ࣟѤъй࢚ࣟѠཿѮћ̝ఓളѣൌтъ̝ᆜсᄔҁћйєс̝ࠅࢪѭѣ߸ ҁѷзјє̞࠽഻ќᄔڕѠᅶјєൌтй࢚ࣟѤ̝ѤяѴќ۩҇ްຝќтџйшѝѤзјћѷͅъ џᄸҁ̝͆пьџѮћ̝۩ްຝѠলьћтє̞ђѣঞ̝ࡃমѣဦຍќ̝ᆋଅѣຍтсٶфџјћѷͅ ᆜѣຼ݂̝͆۩ѣްຝѠলьєѣѤ̝ޱᅵษѠѤൌтй࢚ࣟќзјє̞ђшѠ̝໐ଅђҁѓҁѣѷ љຠͅႏय़ࢅќѤୢ࿉ౖ̡ᆜ͆сۭࢾ҇ࡹѱь̝ъџᄸҁсआѿါъҁџсѾͅъџ࿋࣎ ৬഻̝͆ѹсћ̝ൌтџᄸҁѠџѿͅൌтџ࿋࣎৬഻̝͆ђшќࡎшҀంьй഻сڋซьћйф࣎ͅ ৬഻̝͆ѝйлшѝс҄рҀ̞юџ҄і̝ࠒੴѣ๒ඩрѾ̝ࠗѣफݦѤ̝ъй࢚ࣟѠѝјћѤఓ ളсൌтфџҀ̝ᆜсюҀўфџҀ̝ѝйјєഊకษᄃ߇҇ѷјєѣѠവьћ̝ൌтй࢚ࣟѠѝј ћѤ৹ᆽ݂ѝйлవѣᄃ߇҇ѷјћйєѣќзҀ̞ҬӐҶһѝьћ̝ъй࢚ࣟс۩҇ްຝюҀшѝ Ѡলьєͅъџᄸҁ͆ঞ̝ϭॉϨ໙҇ࢪѠ̝ൌтџᄸҁсࡎшјєѣќзҀ̞ Ϧ̝ཅൣဣᄲ̟ସњศܢ ̜۩ްຝѠ࠙юҀᄔڕౖѤ̝࠽഻҇࠱ѠьџсѾѷ̝ъџᄸҁ҇आѿါь̝ђѣъџᄸҁѣජ ౺͆ͅѠѽјћൌтџᄸҁсࡎшѿ഻̝݂юҀͅంєџန৬഻͆ѣѕѝнѾҁҀ̞шѣంє џန৬഻Ѥ̝໐ଅ࠙ओѠпцҀంєџඍޏͅstage͆џѣќзҀ̞ౡтѤ̝໙ౡߋѣඩќ̝ ѝหܥ҇आѿါьћйҀ̞Piaget)2:65* Ѥ̝ђҁ҇ຎ݂ͅassimilation͆ѝಊͅaccommodation͆ѠѽҀ ѝྴॶюҀ̞ంьйࠅࢪѠҀѝͅᆰ̠८҇ᅲҁఱюҀѽлѠџѿ̝ଯژѠѷඑѿ৾йсйџй̝͆ Ѥࣘෆь̝ᆎᅬѣઘၒ҇Ѩ̝ంьфඑѿ৾јєᄖѕіѝўѣѽлѠᇮьєѾѽйѣр̝зҁшҁ რ੬юҀ̞ђѣӊӠҮҬѤݦนќзѿ̝หܥݦนќзҀ̞ѝѿзняѹјћѴћ૫༏юҁѥအѣၒ ၔќѹјћѴћ̝єѳєѳлѳфйцѥ̝ђѣѹѿၒ҇ђѣঞ̝ଙѿҁћѴєѿͅુ৫੭দ̝ѳ єѤ̝ҝӍӦӜӦһ̝͆ЋЍҼӜӑѣఊ҇ьћѴєѿͅრ၄̝͆ခѣਘзҀࢴ҇।෭ьџ сѾ̝ўѣѽлѠюҁѥлѳфйфѣрнћѴєѿͅຓੴ̝͆ђҁѓҁѣॽളќӊӠҮҬѤڬј ћѷ̝҇ьџсѾంьйࠅࢪѠหܥьћйфѣќзҀ̞ђьћ̝ђѣࠅࢪѠڵ๘หܥͅшѣ৾Ѥ̝ ߸ҁѝॿѥҁҀшѝѷзҀ͆юҀѝ̝ଛཌྷт҇ь̝ӑӦӀӝ݂ьєͅᆰ̠ᆎᅬѤࠋ൴џӢӦӄҲ̷Ӧџ ѷѣѠџѿ۰ᅋсဥѿ̝ᄖѕіѤйљѷϩ̼Ϫఘѣஜఘిќьрᇮ҇ѐя̝ᇮ൏ѤѠॻѾҁћйҀ͆ ౡߋѠџјћьѳл̞ ̜ڵཥѠ̝ఘࠗѣౡߋѤൌ̡ങࣅ̝௱̝ॆਜ̝ྐྵࡃ̴̝ѣಊჭсзѿ̝ђѣಊჭѠѤѿ܂ нџцҁѥџѾџйӂ̷ҼӞсഹіଦцћйҀ̞ђѣӂ̷ҼӞ҇ѿ܂нҀୠ҇ఓѠљцҀшѝс ќз҂ль̝ॶѠђҁ҇ѿ܂нҀшѝсหܥќз҂л̞ ͱ ̜໐ଅ࠙ओ҇࠱ႏѝюҀണଅѝѣ࠙ओѤ̝൦ဦᄵ҇нҀќ̝ຎ݂ѝಊ҇৫лࠅࢪѣќзҀ̞ ѳє̝ႏय़ࢅќъҁћйҀॶொͅϩџў͆Ѥ̝ྌಧजќзҀ̞ਘݸѤ̝۩ѣްຝѠলьєрўлр̝
આ ᅫ ൌ ࢲ ڲ ఘ ࠗ ݏ ࡉ ᅆ ് 23 ߭ န33!)3121*!๘ ѝйјє൴୲џૉொѠљйћଙѿڀјєс̝ђѣ൴୲џѤяѣૉொќѷ̝шѣᄜѿᄼќзҀ̞ఘࠗѹຍ ѣ۫ѴѤ̝ಧजќѤྴॶќтџй̞໙ѣआѿါьѤ̝ڞႴ҇ѷєџйѣќѤџф̝шҁѳќѣय़ࢅ ќদਮѝьћڀ҄ҁћтєѷѣсᄸҁѝьћᅆџڞႴ҇ѷљѣќзҀ̞ਘঞ̝ႏय़ࢅќ।ୟъҁє࠙ ओૡ҇৹ѣӟӌӞѠืъѐєй̞ ંৡညज़
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ࠞใڵͅ3114̠͆๓ધѣࡋრѹᆜѣခ࿒Ѡ࠙юҀੴࡹѨӌҠફి҇ᅀйє๓ધ॒େ౺๘ခ౸ଛၔѣดڏ̜ GLOCOM Review̟Ϯ;Ϭ)88*- Ϩ.57̠ ӑӟ̷̟J.D.)2:99*/ ӅӚҙѣཛྷ฿ѤўѣѽлѠृѳҀр̜ҨҗқӦҬ̜Scientific American, ϫ) ໙ႏའ * ໙फҨҗқ ӦҬଃ̜75.83/ ܱᆠᄩ̡ݔ৾ᄔ̡ඩಗಔ̡ಒჿෟఙͅ3119̠͆ҳҗҽӒҞӞҪҬҹӓ̡ҕӊӠ̷ҴͅDSA͆ѣ࠱ႏษџнၒ ܱᆠᄩͅဩර͆ᅬѠпцҀҳҗҽӒҞӞҪҬҹӓᅬᇫͅ37.61̠͆ࣟથၯ
ܱᆠᄩ̡Arrow, H.̡Fogel, A/̡ݔ৾ᄔ̡ඩಗಔ̡ಒჿෟఙ̡ͅ3119̠͆ᅬѠпцҀҳҗҽӒҞӞ ҪҬҹӓᅬᇫ̜ࣟથၯ!
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