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Ang,B.W.,F.Q.Zhang,andK.H.Choi

(0887)!&

FactorizingChangesinEnergyand

EnvironmentalIndicatorsthroughDecomposition

!'

Energy,vol.

12(5)!

pp.

378. 384"

Casler,S.D.andA.Rose

(0887)!&

CarbonDioxideEmissionsintheU.S.Economy:

A StructuralDecompositionAnalysis

!'

EnvironmentalandResourceEconomics,

vol.

00(2.3)!

pp.

238.252"

Chung,H.S.and H.C.Rhee

(1//0)!&

A Residualfree Decomposition ofthe

SourcesofCarbonDioxideEmissions:ACaseoftheKoreanIndustries

!'

Energy,

vol.

15(0)!

pp.

04.2/"

Ehrlich,P.R.and,A.H.Ehrlich

(086/)!

Population,Resources,Environment:Issues

inHumanEcology,SanFrancisco:Freeman.

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CO

1lq_`jSXna+,gW^VZUr"N-f07 Jf2K!32.36o"

InternationalEnergyAgency

(1//8)

CO

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Emissionsfrom

FuelCombustion:High-lights

!1//8

Edition,InternationalEnergyAgency.

]QG(1/00)*gW#lqweYMCOBcna+,ZUFI-f22Jf3K!486 .5/3o

Kaya,Y

"(0878)!&

ImpactofCarbonDioxideEmissiononGNPGrowth:Interpreta-tionofProposedScenarios

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PresentationtotheEnergyandIndustrySubgroup,

ResponseStrategiesWorkingGroup,IPCC,Paris.

uDm#ht#iPv(1/0/)*gW#lqpEjBcnHrTlkRna+,ZUF I-f21Jf1K!107.111o"

Liu,L.C.,Y.Fan,G.Wuetal

"(1//6)!&

UsingLMDIMethodtoAnalyzethe

ChangeofChina

%

sIndustrialCO

1

Emissionsfrom FinalFuelUse:AnEmpirical

Analysis

!'

EnergyPolicy,vol.

24!

pp.

4781.48//"

Liu,X.Q.,B.W.AngandH.L.Ong

(0881)!&

TheApplicationofDivisiaIndexto

theDecompositionofChangesinIndustrialEnergyConsumption

!'

TheEnergy

Journal,vol.

02(3)!

pp.

050.066"

Ratnakar,P.andU.Mukhopadhyay

(1/0/)!&

IdentifyingtheMajorPlayersbehind

IncreasingGlobalCarbonDioxideEmissions:A DecompositionAnalysis

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The

Environmentalist,vol.

2/(1)!

pp.

072.1/4"

Schipper,L.,S.Murtishaw and M.Khrushch

(1//0)!&

Carbon Emissionsfrom

gW;9:=Eb>@A?$LU<

Manufacturing Energy Use in

35

IEA Countries:Longterm Trendsthrough

3;;7!*

EnergyPolicy,vol.

4;!

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SustainableEnergy:ChoosingamongOptions,US:MIT

Press.

Torvanger,A

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ManufacturingSectorCarbondioxideEmissionsin

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OECD

Countries

!3;9513;:9$

A DivisiaIndexDecompositiontoChangesinFuelMix,

EmissionCoefficients,IndustryStructure,EnergyIntensitiesandInternational

Structure

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EnergyEconomics,vol.

35+5,!

pp.

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Wang,C.,J.ChenandJ.Zou

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DecompositionofEnergyRelatedCO

4

Emis-sioninChina

$3;7914222!*

Energy,vol.

52!

pp.

951:5"

Wei,Y.M.,L.C.Liu,F.Ying,G.Wuetal

"+4229,!)

TheImpactofLifestyleonEn-ergyUseandCO

4

Emission:AnEmpiricalAnalysisofChina

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57!

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Wu,L.,S.KanekoandS.Matsuoka

+4228,!)

DynamicsofEnergyrelatedCO

4

EmissionsinChinaduring

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EnergyPolicy,vol.

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€S †^VA"-+,,{ytbWIkƒePOQ^VRZ`‡)tbCO-|…"MX KoUvr\cld^V$pˆps[w^V*'~i}a,,YJA01+-+.(@J =2D! '<C3#83B&xujYqQ\cQLWg( ';7>9#5:6&\cQWg&-+,-{,+]-/zfŠ( tb?47DNnEGHF%T_@ CO-|h‹„N@‰K‚m .,

DecompositionAnalysesoftheChanges

inChinasCO

!

EmissionsfromFossilFuels

ZHANGHongwu

TAKETOSHIKazuki

ThepurposeofthispaperistoanalyzethechangesinChinasCO

!

emis-sionsfrom fossilfuelsintheperiodfrom1980to2009bydecomposingthem

intosomefactors.First,applyingtheKayaIdentity,changesinthetotal

CO

!

emissionsaredecomposedintothefactorsoffuelconversion,energy

saving,economy,andpopulation.Duringthisperiod,thefactorofecon-omy,whichisrepresentedaspercapitaGDP,hasbeenthelargestfactor

increasingthetotalCO

!

emissions,andthefactorofenergysavinghas

beenthelargestfactordecreasingthem.Thefactoroffuelconversionhas

hadlittleeffectondecreasingthetotalCO

!

emissions.Second,applyingthe

SimpleAverageDivisiamethodtotheextendedKayaIdentity,changesin

CO

!

emissionsperGDParedecomposedintothefactorsoffuelconver-sion,savingenergyandindustrialstructureineachsector.Duringthis

period,thefactorofsavingenergyhascontributedtodecreasingCO

!

emis-

sionsperGDP,whilethefactoroffuelconversionhashadonlyalittlede-creasingeffect.ThefactorofindustrialstructurehasincreasedCO

!

emis-sionsperGDP.Lately,theeffectsofsavingenergyandfuelconversion

havebecomemuchsmallinthemanufacturingsector,ofwhichtheshare

ofCO

!

emissionsisthelargestinChina.Underthissituation,theun-changedweightofmanufacturingsectorcannotdecreaseChinasCO

!

emis-sionsperGDP,andthegrowingGDPhasbeenincreasingthetotalCO

!

emissions.

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