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西欧における大衆政治と政党システム―ロッカン・モデルから西欧政治の再考―(英文)

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《論 説》

MassPol

i

ti

csandPol

i

ti

calParty

System i

nWesternEurope

― Rethi

nki

ngWesternPol

i

ti

csf

rom Rokkan’

sModel―

MasaoFuruta

Content Preface

Ⅰ ExpansionofSuffrageinNation-Building Ⅱ From SocialCleavagetoPartySystem Ⅲ PartySystem andVoterAlignment

Ⅳ SocioeconomicChangeandThreeStagesModel Ⅴ Summary

Conclusion

Pref

ace

Since the state-formation in the 17th century, West European governmentshave made every effortto adaptthe ‘dissents’in the territoryastheirownpeopletotheirpoliticalsystem.Intheprocessof the nation-building,the election is one ofthe important political institutionsintermsofthefunctionofnotonlyselectingrepresentatives ofindividualresidents,butalsoformingthem ascitizensandintegrating them intothenation.

Itshouldhavebeendecidedthewayofnation-buildingandnational integrationduringtheeraofthemassdemocracyfrom thelate19th century;theactiveparticipation oftheruled peoplein thepolitical

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system,theestablishment,expansionandequalizationofcivilandpolitical rightsandobligations,andtherecognitionofoppositionrightsdealing withmattersrelatingtoelections,suchasconcentrationofsupportand mobilizationandformationofpoliticalpartiesorganizedforitsexpression. Theprocesscanberewordedastheestablishmentofliberalism and democracy.Theelectoralsystem stipulatestherelationshipbetweenthe stateandthepeoplenotonlythenbutalsoinlatertimes.Electionshave theaspectofexpressingthediverseopinionsofthepeoplebasedonsocial cleavage, while the “unapproved members of society” can be incorporatedasamemberofthenation.

Astheuniversal,equalandsecretelectoralsystem hastakenroot,the politicalsystem thatcontrolsthewholenationhassomeconfusion,but overcomingitwillincreasethestabilityofthepoliticalsystem.Bythe early1920s,WesternEuropeancountrieshadexpandedtheirpolitical citizenship(e.g.votingrights)toallmanhood.“Therewasanimportant difference in the character ofelectoralcompetition in 15 Western European countries. The confrontation over representatives was gradually”nationalized“throughthedevelopmentofmassmembership parties,theinterestin theelectionswere...fundamentally different” [Rokkan,1970:70].

Certainly,although thereisvariation in each country from top to bottom,withtheexpansionoftherighttoelectionfrom privil egedtonon-privileged,itispossibletoperform thecomparativeanalysisoftheforms ofeach country according to the criteria ofthe historicalpolitical developmentmodelpresentedbyS.Rokkan.Therefore,intheessay,(1) themeaningoftherightsrepresentedinthenationformation,(2)Iwould like to explain using the Rokkan modelofmacro viewpoint the

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circumstancesleadingtothegeneralelectionwiththe“threshold”model, and(3)whichparty(system)expressesthepoliticalsituationofthepeople concerned.

Iwouldliketorestructurethedevelopmentofthemassdemocracyand politicalpartysystem whichhaveexpandedpoliticalrightsinwestern countries,andinterpretationofpresentcontenporarysignificanceinthis paperthroughRokkan’stheory.

Ⅰ Expansi

onofSuf

f

ragei

nNati

on-

Bui

l

di

ng

1.MacroPerspective:ConceptualMapofEurope

Theeast-westaxisoftheconceptualmapofEurope(seeFigure1)identifies theconditionsofnationalconstruction,andthesouth-northaxisidentifies the conditions ofnationalformation.The premise ofthis map is interpretedasanimportantfirststeptowardsthedemarcationofthe territoryafterthereligiousreform[RokkanandUrwin,1983:64-74] .Theeast-westaxisisaneconomiccriterionthatdefinesstate-formationandthe middlezoneseparatingtheeastandwestisthecity-stateEuropewitha tradebelt.Thestate-formationwasrelativelydelayedinorneartrade belts,andwasinitiatedearlierinwestcoastalareasofthedistancefrom tradebeltsandinlandareasintheeast.However,thereisconsiderable differenceinwhetherthenationalform islocatedinthewestortheeast. State-formation is based on economic resources from the highly developedmoneyeconomyinthewestandfrom theagricultureeconomy intheeast,andshowstheasymmetriccharacterofthecontentsinthe state-formation.

Thesouth-northaxisexplainstheconditionsofnation-buildingfrom the culturalaspect.AftertheReformation,Protestantism intheNorthern

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F ig ur e 1: A “C O N C E PT IO N A L M A P” O F 16 T H -1 8T H C E N T R Y W E ST E R N E U R O PE (te rr ito ri es re co gn iz ed as so ve re ig n, 16 48 -1 78 9, in ita lic s) So ur ce :R ok ka n, 19 73 :8 2

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EuropeanRegionbrokeawayfrom thehyperboli ccontroloftheRoman-CatholicChurch,anditwasedified,andsocializationintomassintegration fornationallanguagestandardizationtonationalculture.Itbecamean institutionandwasincorporatedintosecularpower.Asaresult,Nordic countries completed construction ofthe nation and nation building relativelyeasily,andculturallyintegratedthenationbeforetheageof massdemocracy.Ontheotherhand,theCatholicChurch,whichwasa successoroftheformerRomanEmpireinthesouthernregionandwasa spiritualunity,maintaineditstransdisciplinarycharacterandrepeated longconflictwiththestate.

Giventhestyleofmassmobilizationinthesouth-northdimension,in ProtestantEurope(especiallyBritain,theNetherlands,andScandinavian countries),religious,languageandotherculturalmovementstookthe massmobilizationsfrom thebottom ofthenon-privilegedgroup.Itwas mobilizedanditsleaderwasalsoselectedfrom farmers,urbanresidents and industrialworkers.In Catholicpartsin southern Europe,mass mobilizationwasoftenfrom thetopofexistingchurchesandsecularized privilegednetworks.

From theConceptualMap,theinitialsituationofeachnationcanbe organizedasfollows.

(1)Switzerland and Union ofUtrecht(Netherlands)areformed asa multilateral,federalizedfederalstateinGermanybecausetheurban networkinthetradebeltinahighdensityareaisdelayedinthe constructionofaunifiedsystem.And,likeItaly,theregionthathas undergonelongdivisionsuntilnationalunitywasbuiltasanati on-statequitelate.

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(2)Onthewesternsideofthetradebelt,acentralizedstate(e.g.Spain, France,England,Denmark,and Portugal)wasestablishedthatsucceededin politicalintegrationwiththestrongurbaneconomy.

(3)Ontheeasternsideofthetradebelt,acentralstate(e.g.Austria,Prussia, and Sweden)wasestablished wherecitieswereweak and astrong primaryeconomysucceededinpoliticalintegration.

(4)Locatedaroundeithereastorwest,thereweresurroundingareas (e.g.Finland)thatseparatedfrom thegreaterpoliticalsystem inlater years,andareas(e.g.Brittany,Bavaria,Lorraine,andCatalonia)integratedinto thedominantcenter.

At the time ofthe 16th and 18th centuries,full-fledged state constructionwasunderway,whichwouldconditionthemodernnati on-state.Ifthisexternalboundaryconstructioniscompletedwithoutany problems,thepeoplelivingtherehadanopportunitytosmoothlydevelop theircivil,politicalandsocialrightsandobligations.

2.ProcesstoMassDemocracy

Instateformationandnation-building,thetimingandform affectthe transitiontopopulardemocracyintheareasystem intheprocessof externalboundaryconstruction.Inotherwords,thecontrolofexternal exchangewasalsorelatedtothecircuitof“voice”(e.g.justificationof freedom ofexpression)thatfunctionsinthedomain.Itcouldcausethe populationto“exit”from thesystem.Inordertobringtheinhabitants thatareintheregionalboundariesandwithintheboundariesintothe system,their“circuitprotests”,theinternalcircuitofmeanswasopened totheoppositionandthemarginalizedresidents,andsotheboundaries

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keepingtheresidentsinthearea,theexecutionofthe“protest”wouldto the “nationalization”ofthe concerned residents.Differences in the distinctivenessofeachnationemergeinconnectionwithitsinstallation. In other words,depending on how the nation-builders tackled the followingfourfactors,itmakesadifferenceinvariousresults.

Thefourfactorsarewhether(1)the“representative(class-of-identi ty-congressionalassembly)circuit”wasmaintained in the criticalperiod of regionalconsolidationfrom 1600to1800,(2)speedoftherightstovote expandedafter1789,(3)“levelsofviolence”thatoccurintakingpolitics into“protests”,and(4)organizingmobilizationof“protests”from below duringthetransitiontopopularpolitics[Rokkan,1974:52].

Theearly‘nationalization’ofProtestantism inNorthernEuropeallowed themobilizationof‘from belowprotests’.Firstofall,earlydevelopmentof “literacy”activelymobilizedthelowerstratatopopularpolitics,andthe factthatthechurch hasbeen incorporated intoapartofthestate apparatus reduces the number of disputes,which the controlled population resided in centraland southern Europe,voluntary mass mobilizationwasdelayedduetounderdevelopedmasseducation,which inturnkeptmobilizationof“from above”.

The development ofdemocracy in Europe in generalmust be consideredbothfrom theinstitutionalside(politicalright=therighttovote)and from thesourceofsocialdifferentiation and mobilization(party system) [Rokkan,1980].

InWesternEurope,aftertheFrenchRevolution,politicalrightswas institutionalizedthesamerightstothepeopleintheareaandcompleteit inthe20thcentury.Theylegallyembodytherighttovoteandtheright toholdofficialpositions,andguaranteethepoliticalstatusof“peoplewho

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cannotfreely expresstheiropinion.”Politicalrightsincludeordinary, equalanddirectconstituencies,aswellassecretballots,whichisalsothe processofintegratingthepeopleandtheirrepresentatives.Itincludes secret voting and is also a process of consolidating national representatives.

Secretvotingisasystem thatallowsindividualstoexercisetheirown choices,eithertemporarilyorawayfrom theenvironmentinwhichthey arebound,invoting,ifelectionisregardedasapureindividual’schoice.It can besaid thattheelection system isaproductoftheprocessof achieving“nationalization”intheform ofuniform formalequalitytoall citizensthroughthe“onepersononevote”system[Bendix,1971].

Theequalconstituencyprocessof“onepersonandonevote”basically followsthefollowingfiveconsecutivestages[Rokkan,1968:148].

Inthefirststageofaseriesofpre-revolutionsinthefirsthalfofthe 19thcenturystartingwiththeFrenchRevolution,itwascharacterizedas aconditionofpoliticalcitizenship,withtheapprovalofmembershipin professionalpositions(noblemen,monks,merchants,artisanalprofessionalgroups,free farmers).

Inthesecondphase,duetoboththeAmericanandFrenchrevolutions, thetimewouldcomewhenelectionrightsincrease.However,therewere strictrestrictionson entering the politicalarena underthe regime censitaire.

Intheearlymassmobilizationinthethirdstage,theelectoralrights wasgreatlyexpanded,butformalinequalitiesintermsofitsinfluence,it took various measures and sustained such as multiple votes and inequalityelectionsystem forrepresentatives,etc.

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Inthefourthstage,thesocialandeconomiccriteriaforeligibilityfor manhoodwereabolished,andthemanhood’scommonvotingrighthas been generalized.Although the inequalities of one vote in the constituencywereeliminated,thereisagap(ofonevote)worthnotingin termsofthevalueofonevoteintheelectoraldistricts.

Inthefifthstage,therighttovoteforwomanhood,mi norsandshort-term residentsisapproved,and thevalueofonevoter’svotewere homogenized.

Thefirstandthesecondstagesarethehistoricalstagesthataim atthe establishmentofliberalism,andthethird,thefourth,andthefifthcanbe understoodasthestageoftherealizationofdemocracy.Ofcourse,the stepsuptoequalvotinghavenotbeenuniform amongcountries.We confirm the expansion of political citizenship. Considering the componentsofthepoliticaldevelopmentmodelinTable1,theexpansion anddevelopmentofdemocratizationineachcountryisthegeopolitical position(I:Territory),thentherangeofperipheralcontrol(II:Territory),or religion depending on the outcome ofthe reform (II:Culture),the representativesystem ofthetribalconference(identity-basedparliament)since theMiddleAgeswillsurviveordisappear(III:Territory),andthefinal universalsuffragehasbeenuniversalized(IV:Rights).Therearedifferences insocialandculturalconditionstogradualorrapidprogressofthefive variables(Figure2).Table4illustratesthevariationofeachcountryinthe orderofthegeneralelections,giventhecombinationofthevariablesin Figure2.Wecanrealizeonemessagefrom here.

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Culture

Territory

Economy

EthnicOrigi

nsofSucces-sive Territorial

Populations

-Celtic

-Roman

-Germanic

-Slavic

-Finno-Ugric

-Arabic/Muslim

Extent of Incorporation

into German-Roman

Empire:

-partofcore -marchland -temporarily within

Empire, later transferred to outside control

-newerpartofEmpire

Predominant Agrarian

Structure:

-Atlantic/Celticboscage -open field (champion)

farming -allodial

-seignoral/manorial -Mediterrangean-type

fieldsystem 0 The Early MiddleAges Strength of Vernacular LiteratureStandard(s) GeopoliticalPosition

-withincentralcitybelt

-closetocitybelt

-distantfrom citybelt

Strength/Structure of

CityNetwork

Ⅰ. The High

MiddleAges

ExtentofNationalization

ofTerritorialCulture:

-success/failure ofRef-ormation

Extent of Periphery

Control:

-degree ofunification/ centralization Change in Geoeconomic Position: -breakthroughofAtl an-ticcapitalism Ⅱ.1500-1700 Survival of

Representative Insti

tu-tionsv.AbsolutistRule

Ⅲ.1648-1789

Table1:Theprimaryelementsofthemodel PRECONDITIONVARIABLRS

Culture

Territorial

Economy

ExtentofPeriphery-

Cen-terStrain:

Ethnic-linguistic mobilization

Pressures for

Centralization/Unification

v. Movements of

Liberation/Secession

CharacterofRural-Urban

ResourceCombinations:

Commercial or military

combinations with rural

resources v.rural-urban

conflict

Ⅳ. Intensified

Nation-Building

Character of

Church-StateRelations:

strains, conflicts, alliances Pressures for Imperial Expansionv.Movements forDetente,Peace

Rapidity,Localization of

IndustrialGrowth

Ⅴ.Urbanization,

Industrialization,

Secularizarion

INTERVENINGPROCESSVARIABLES:INTERACTIONOFNATIONAL WITHINDUSTRIALREVOLUTION1789-1920s

Partyalternatives

System:alternatives

Rights:extension

Sequencing ofSteps in

Formation ofSystem of

PartyAlternatives

Frequency/Intensity of

CrisesofTransiti

on:ex-tentofviolentdisruptions

Sequencing

ofStepsTo-ward Universalization of

PoliticalRights

Ⅵ.The

Struc-turing ofAl

ter-natives

Class/Culture Conditi

on-ingofPartyChoice

Class/Culture Conditi

on-ing of Attitudes to

System:

acceptancev.rejection

Class/Culture Conditi

on-ing ofLevels/Types of Participation Ⅶ. Consequent Mass Al terna-tives EXPLICANDA:VARIATIONSINPOLITICAL RESPONSESTRUCTURES1848-1950s Source,Rokkan,1981:74-75

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Ingeneral,countriesthathadsustainedthecenter-buildingofthestate foralongtimetendtograduallyandgraduallyexpandthesuffrage(see Figure3)inthefourstages[HagvetandRokkan,1980:140141].

(1)Incountrieswherealliancesofvariouspowerstoachievenati on-buildingwereearlysuccessful,rapiddemocratizationstrategiesare unnecessary(England,Sweden).

(2)Althoughthetwonationsachievedindependence,iftherehadbeen stillathreatofseparation,itbroughtaboutasharpincreaseinvoting power.Inaddition,rapiddemocratizationisadoptedevenwhenitis necessary toachievenationalintegration,againstdecentralization (particularism)basedonstrongsocialcleavage(SwitzerlandaftertheSeparation AllianceWarin1846,Norwayinthe1890s,Finlandin1906).

(3)Suddentransitionfrom absolutism torepresentationalruletrended

ThefirstPhase Ⅰ:Territory Geopolitical Positon ThesecondPhase Ⅱ: Territory Extent of PeripheryControl ThefourthPhase Ⅳ: Territory Timing of Unification v of Liberati on/Secess-ion ThethirdPhase Ⅲ: Territory Survival of Representative ThesecondPhase Ⅱ:Culture success/failure of Reformation EXPLICANDA: Formation of Alternatives Ⅵ:Rights The result of order of each phasetowardsthe

universalsuffrage

Figure2:Theprocessleadingtothegeneralelectionright

→ →

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tomaximize(atleastmanhood)therighttovote(France,Denmark,Prussia/ Germany).

(4)Countries characterized by strong anti-religious reforms must experiencelongcontinuousstepstowardsfullmanhood’ssuffrage. In countries where the Catholic Church were influential,the democratization processand massmobilization slow down(Austria, Spain,Italy,andBelgium).

3.ThresholdofLegitimacyandIncorporation

Resulttingpartysystem

Levelofeachthreshold

①Legiti-②Incorpo-③Represen-④Majority

mation ration tation power

Autocraticoroligarchicregimes,Verfemungofall

parties:protestsandgrievanceseitherchanneled

throughthefieldadministrationorthroughestate

representation.

a.①H ②H ③H ④H

Embryonic internal party system: cliques of

representatives, clubs ofnotables.Examples:

Britainbefore1832,Swedenduringthequarrels

between“Hats”and“Caps”.

b.①M ②H ③H ④H

Internalparty systems generating rudimentary

outside supportthrough registration association

butsafeguardsintroducedorganizations:predomi

-nantinWesternEuropeduringperiodbetweenthe

absolutism andtheintroductionofparliamentary

ruleundermanhoodsuffrage.

c.①M ②M ③H ④H orM

Initialphase in developmentofexternalparty

system:lower-classmovementsfreetodevelop,but

suffrage stilllimited and/or unequal.Example:

Swedenbefore1909.

d.①L ②M ③H ④H

Samebutwithparliamentaryrule:Belgium before

1899;Norway,1884-1900.

e.①L ②M ③H ④H

Isolationoflower-classorreligiousminorityparties

from the nationalsystem:restrictive measures

againstpoliticalorganizations butfullmanhood

suffrage.Examples:theWilhelmineReichduring

Sozialistengesetze,1878-1890;France during the

Second Empireand early decadesoftheThird

Republic.

f.①M ②L ③H ④H

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Mass democracy in Western European countries has developed throughfourstagesinresponsetothe“challengefrom below”.Theyare: (1)establishmentoftherighttoestablish amobilization agency,(2) institutionalizationofthemobilizationmarketthroughtheexpansionof therightstovote,(3)acceptanceforthe“movementfrom below”tothe parliamentary representative,(4)actualinfluenceof“movementfrom below”toexecutiveTheseexpansionofpoliticalcitizenshipexpansions, dependingonhow theyaredealtwith,alsohavethe“threatofviolence”. Thenew politicalmovementhastogotothecoreofthepoliticalsystem bygoingthroughthesefour“thresholds”atthesestages(seeTable2)[Rokkan, 1970:79ff].

(1)“Thresholdoflegitimacy”iswhethersuppressedtheprotestasa conspiracyor,toacertainextent,approvedasarightofcriticism or

Competitive party system under universaland

equalmanhoodsuffragebutwithhighpayoffsfor

alliancesandwithaclearseparationoflegislative

andexecutivepowers.Thebestexamplewouldbe

theUnitedStatesifitwerenotfortherestrictions

andthelowdefactoenfranchisementofNegroes

intheSouth.FranceundertheFifthRepublicmay

beabetterexample.

g.①L ②L ③H ④H

Same but with parliamentary rule.Examples:

FranceunderlaterdecadesoftheThirdRepublic

andmostoftheFourth;GreatBritainsince1918.

h.①L ②L ③H ④M

Samebutwithmedium thresholdPR(Propotional

Representation):littleneedforalliancestoacieve

representationbutsafeguardsintroducedagainst

fragmentationthroughexplicitorimplicitelectoral

minima.Examples:theNetherlands,andSwi

tzer-landsince1918-20.

i.①L ②L ③M ④M

SamebutwithmaximalPR andfewerrestraints

againstmajoritypower:thefragmented,centrif

u-galparliamentand the plebiscitarian presi

den-dencyoftheWeimarRepublic.

j.①L ②L ③L ④L

Note:H:High,M:Medium,L:Low

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opposition(e.g.rightofassembly,expression,publication).Inthehi storyofstate-formationandnation-building,from whatpointintimedideffective approvaloftherightsofpetition,criticism anddemonstrationrights existforthesystem?From whichtimewasitjudgedthattherewas formal protection of the right of assembly, expression and presentation?

(2)“Thresholdofincorporation”iswhethertheprotesterwasequalto thatofthedominantintermsofpoliticalrights.How longdidittake for the supporters ofthe growing opposition movementto be recognized aslegitimateparticipantsin theselection ofthesame delegateasthevestedinterests?

(3)“Thresholdofrepresentation”iswhetheranew movementgains representationanditisinstitutionallyguaranted.How highisthe initial“threshold”forthenew movementagainsttherepresentative? Andwhenandinwhatwayswasthe‘threshold’loweredtomakeit easierforthelegislaturetogetaseat?

(4)“Thresholdofexecutivepower”(iswhether)Whethertheopponent ornotisincorporatedintomajoritycontrol,orthepartyorparty coalitionoftheopponentcangainpowerbythevictoryoftheelection. How did the government exempted from pressure from the legislature?Andhow longdidittakefortheparliamentaryforcesto directly influencethegovernment’spolicy decisions?Whetherthe minorpartytakestheform ofaproportionalruleapproachingthe administration,or whether it is through the Cabinet system responsibleforthemajorityofthelegislature.

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change,wecanobservemanyvariationsintheorderofthechanges.The progressthatdevelopsfrom four“highthreshold”tofour“lowthreshold” isconsideredinthedemocraticscene.Inotherwords,thatisfreedom of expression,assemblyandassociation,andapprovalofexpansionofthe righttovote.Duringthisdevelopmentprocess,manyvariationsinfluence eachsubsequentstage.So,evenwithsomeoptions,thereexistsnosingle, definitivemodelthatcanexplainthewhole.However,itispossibleto arrangeasfollows.

The“thresholds”in (1)and (2)controlthedevelopmentofpopular politics,andtheeliminationofthebarriertoelectoralpowerpromotesthe expansionofpotentialpoliticalmarketsandthepoliticalparticipationof citizens.Atthistime,theconditionsofeachcountrydifferdependingon the timing ofdetermining the decline ofthe firsttwo “thresholds”. Western countries can be grouped into a British modelwith a representativetraditionandaFrenchmodelwithanabsolutisttradition. TheBritishmodelhasnotregainedinequalitybutslow andgradual generalelections,butremains for a long time formalapprovalof inequality(e.g.Sweden,Netherlands,Belgium,Luxembourg,Ireland,andFinland).The Frenchmodelhasanearly,suddenuniversalizationandequalizationof politicalcitizenship,buttheresurgenceofunequalelectionsandtheuse ofthereferendum(e.g.Switzerland,Denmark,Norway,andPrussia/GermanEmpire). Naturally,thevariationofpoliticalgamesineachcountryisexpanded(see Figure2)[Rokkan,1970:86-87].

Countriesthathavesuccessfullypassedthefivestagesofequalityare England,Belgium,andSweden.Thesecountriesareincontrasttothe rapidlychangingcaseofFrance[Rokkan,1961].InEngland,theprocess from the1832electorallaw reform totheabolitionofmultiplevotesin

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1948tookover100years.InSweden,statusrepresentationwasabolished in1866,butextremeinequalitiesaffectingelectionsremaineduntil1921.

Belgium movedfrom statusrepresentationtopropertyqualificationas soonasitbecameindependentin1831andendedthemulti-votephase from 1893to1917,resultingintheelectionofallmanhoodovertheageof 25.(However,onemorevoteshadbeenapprovedbyproperty,background,andhouseholder until1919).

IntheNetherlands,hemovedfrom astutasrepresentationsystem toa propertyqualificationsystem in1848,butdidnotexperiencemultiple votingbeforechoosingamen’ssuffrageduringWorldWarI.Finlandhad inheritedthefour-statusSwedishsystem until1906,andthenwenton from thefirststagetothefifthstageofgrantinguniversalsuffrageto menandwomen.

France,incontrast,endedthefirsttofourthstagesinfouryears.The January1789Actwasanindirectelectoralsystem centeredonnobles, monks,andtiersétat,butinthe1791Constitution,ataxingstandardwas establishedtoallow acertainnumberofcitizenstoparticipateinthe election.TheConstitutionof1793movedstraighttothestageofthe manhood suffrage,and sudden democratization appeared in a short periodoftime,butforthenextfew decadesitswungbetweenrestricted andordinaryequalelections.Thatis,intheperiodfrom 1815to1848,the classicalproperty qualification system restricted the suffrage,and democratizationwasrapidlyreproducedbythe1848revolution.

Withatraditionofabsolutists,Denmark,afterashortperiodofstatus representationin1831,reachedthemanhoodsuffragewhichexpandedin 1849,but,likeFrance,itisduringthedisputeoverGermanybetween oligarchelitesandurbanradicalism /peasantunionthatprogressedto

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manhood’srighthastakentheform ofadivisionofelectoralsystem, whichisamixtureofthetraditionofstatussystem,propertyqualification system andgeneralelectionsystem.Prussiagainedtherighttovoteafter the1848Revolution,butthethree-classsystem (Dreiklassenercht,1850-1918) protectedtheinterestsoflandownersandbureaucrats.Incontrasttothe third-classelectionlaw,Reich’sempireimplementedequalsuffrageforall manhood.

TheAustrianEmpireandIcelanddidnotfallintothetwopatternsof theBritishmodelandtheFrenchmodel.InAustria,fourstatuselectoral systemswereadoptedfrom 1861torepresentcorporatistinterests,butin 1897thefifthstatuswasaddedfornon-statuscitizens,butin1907itwas unifiedintoanationalrepresentativesystem of“onemanandonevote”. Iceland wasnotcompletely democratized aftertherebuilding ofthe AlsingCouncil,butgraduallyprogressedondemocratizationwiththe liberationfrom Denmark.

4.ThresholdsoftheRepresentativeandExective

Whenthefirsttwoof“legitimates”(oflegitimacyandincorporation)areremoved andtherighttopoliticalparticipationisextendedtomanhood,aparty appears to protestagainstthe numericalinequity ofthe majority representationsystem next.Thisdevelopmentcanbeunderstoodasa politicalprocessthataddsdemocracytoliberalism.Thedebateshifts from theunfairelectoralsystem tothe“threshold”ofarepresentative whodemandstheproportionalrepresentation(PR).

Proportionalrepresentationisintroducedaspartofthestrategyof nation-buildingandintegration,asminoritiessuchaslanguages,religions andethnicitiestendtodestroythesystem from distrustintheelectoral

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system inmultipolarsocietiesineachsystem.Therefore,proportional representationwillcreateanew principleofcoexistencewithdifferent elementsbyguaranteeing“protectionofminorityrights”inmultipolar society,andwillcreatenew pressurefrom thebottom,andatthesame timeselffrom above.Itappearedasamovetosavestatuses.Itseems thatitiseasierforself-defensethatitwouldbeeasierforapoliticalparty thathasbeeninapropertyqualificationsystem tolowerthe“threshold” ofarepresentativethantomergewitharulingparty.

Organizing the“threshold”oftherepresentativein relation tothe proportionalrepresentationsystem,thepressurefor(1)theproportional representationsystem islikelytobeestablishedinamultipolarsociety, and(2)introducingtheproportionalrepresentationsystem alongwiththe expansionofthevotingright,groupsthatbecomedisadvantagedfounda meansofsurvival,and(3)theactuallyintroducedstatesaresmalland easytocommunicateamongtheelite,relyingoninternationalpolitical stability,andcanonlybedoneinresourcelesslittleandso,Theresistance to the introduction ofthe proportionalrepresentation system was persistentinthefourpoliticalregimes(e.g.Britain,France,andGermanempire).

From theabove,theproportionalrepresentationsystem willstabilize the system from the viewpoint ofnation-building,and when the proportionalrepresentationsystem isintroducedinthemassmobilization phase,thestructureselectedbythepoliticalpartywillbestabilized,and Itworkedto“freeze”therelationship(IV:PoliticalPartiesinTable2)ofthe electorateandthepoliticalparty.Thatis,“thepartysystem ofthe1960s willstillreflectthesocialclearagestructureofthe1920s,withsome importantexceptions.”Thiswasadefiningfeatureofthecompetitive politicsfoundinWesternEuropeancountries,evenintheeraofhigh

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massconsumptionaftertheSecondWorldWar[Mair,1983].Eventhen, partyselectionandpartyorganizationhavebeenolderthanthemajority oftheelectorate,andthepoliticalpartycurrentlyactiveforcitizensofthe WestEuropeanispartofthepoliticallandscapebeforethevotershadthe righttovoteascitizens[LipsetandRokkan,1967:50].

Variationinthegapbetweensocio-economicchangeprocessesand politicaldevelopmentprocessesmustconsidertheroleofpoliticalparties in administrativedecision-making[Rokkan,1970:91-92].Itrelatestothe fourththreshold,“thethreshold”ofMojoritypower.How manyvotes doesapartyneedinanelectionandwhatseatsdoesapartyneedina parliamenttobegiventheopportunityforpoliticalpartiestohavean effectiveimpactonthecentraldecision-makingbodiesoftheregime?The administrativethresholdisrelatedtotheinstitutionalizationofcontrol from parliament to the government.Western European countries introducedrulesofgovernmentcontrolbyparliamentinthe19thcentury exceptGermanyandAustria.

Theprocessofloweringthisthresholdisdividedintotwomodels.One istheBritishmodel(e.g.Belgium,theNetherlands,and Norway),inwhichthe parliamentarymajoritywasresponsibleforthecabinetsystem beforethe expansionoftherighttovote.InBritain,aresponsiblecabinetsystem wasestablished during theWalpoleerain thefirsthalfofthe18th century,Belgium wasestablishedin1831,intheNetherlandsin1848,and inNorwayin1898.Ontheotherhand,theotheristhatthemanhood’s suffragerightwasintroducedbeforethesystem ofresponsibilitywas institutionalized,and the gap between the system of responsible government and the suffrage system was large.It could not be establisheduntil1901intheNetherland.Austria,alsoGermany,didnot

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becomepossibleuntilthedefeatin1918.

Thedeclineoftheexectivethresholdwillallow accesstothecabinetif onepartyorcoalitionformsamajoritywithintheparliament,sothe possibilityofminorityparticipationintheadministrationisassumed;(1)in termsofthemajorityseatinparliament,theissueforthecoalitionforthe minoritypartyandthelargestparty,(2)“bargainingability”ofsimilarity andclosenessofpolicy,and(3)severeconditionsofpressurefrom the internationalenvironment.Andtheconclusivemeaningof“thethreshold” ofexectiveis“toexplain thevariation in voting behavioramong all countries”.

Insomecountries,electionspresentconditionsthatallow therulerto choosefrom multipleoptions.However,inothercountries,theelection representsasocialcleavagethatis“loyalitytoasegmentedsociety,”and byelectingrepresentativesoftherightsofeachsegmentedthecultureof itsowncommunity.Wecanguaranteetheinterestsofthecommunity.It clarifiesthestructureof“issurestobeclarifiedVI:ElectionOptions”in Table2.Atthesametime,thisshouldberelatedtodensityin“VI: Progressinformingapartyselectionsystem”.Inotherwords,intheway ofthepartysystem inWesternEuropeancountriesaftertheFirstWorld War,wecanseethecharacteristicsofthepoliticsofeachcountry.

Oncetherelationshipbetweenthelowingofeach“threshold”andthe process ofdemocratization(election)is sorted out,the new political movementwillcommunicateitsviewstothepeopleinanelectionbeyond the “threshold”oflegitimacy and organize,To secure the rightto participate,togaintherighttoinfluencethechoiceofrepresentation equalto established system supporters beyond the two transfer “threshold”, not only to collect votes over the “threshold” of

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representativeandifaminoritygetsseatinParliamentinthesameway ofelectionasexistingpoliticalparties,anditisexplainedthepatternthe highandlow offourth“thethreshold”inTable2(patternsfrom atofare historicalcases,gtoj)untilthepresentcase[LipestandRokkan,1967:26-29].

Whataretheconditionsunderwhichpoliticalopponentsfrom these “threshold”organizepoliticalparties?(1)Thearrangementofpolitical partieswithin thepoliticalsystem appearsbeforethedeclineofthe “threshold”ofrepresentatives.(2)“Thethreshold”oftherepresentative posesseverechallengestothenew politicalorganizationatthestageof masspolitics.Inaddition,(3)themovementtolowerthe“threshold”ofthe delegateshasalsobecomeapolicytoprolongthelifeofthesplitpolitical partieswhocannotjointlydefendamongthepoliticalpartiesanew with theemergingmassmovement[cf.Carstairs,1980].

5.Summingup

We lastly confirm the transition pattern to state-formation,nati on-building,and massdemocracy in the sense oforganizing from the historicalviewpointofnationalization(nationalization)[Rokkan,1975].

(1)Inareasfarfrom thetradebelt(England,Sweden,Norway,andIceland), democratization isgradual,so there remainsalmostno violence. Theseareasdidnothaveproblemswiththecontrolof‘exit’choices, maintaining arepresentativesystem,and standardizing theirown law,religionandlanguage.Theexpasionoftherightstovotehas progressedsteadily.

(2)Intheareawithinthetradebelt(Netherlands,Switzerland,and,Belgium), progressedrelativelysmoothly.However,itdevelopedmultipol arco-existenceforthestrengthofurbannetworks,blockedcentralized

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nationaldevices,andcompletedtheconsociationaldemocracy. (3)Itwasdifficulttotransitthemassdemocracy,and sometimes

accompaniedbyviolence,astheareasattheendsofthetradebelts (France,Denmark,Prussia/Germany,Austria,andSpain)havestrongcenters.In Prussia,Austria,andSpaininparticular,duetothelackoflegitimacy withintheboundariestotheterritorialcenters,therefore,itwasnot possibletomaintaintheregimewithoutrestrictingthevarious“exit” choices.

(4)Iftheterritoryhadtogothroughtheprocessofcenterformation, peopleformationanddemocratizationinashorttime(ItalyandFinland),it waspronetovariousproblems.

ThedevelopmentofmasspoliticscenteredonelectionsinWestern Europecountries,asmentionedintheconceptualmap,startsfrom the geopoliticalandgeoculturalpositionofthecountry,andisdefinedbythe wayofstate-formationandnation-building.

AsWesternEuropeanhistoryshowsfrom the19thcenturytothe20th century,electionsreflectthediverseinterestsofeachcommunitylayer basedonsocialcleavages,sotherehasexistedaninherentpossibilityofa crisisthatdividesthenation-state.Orithasanimportantmeaninginthe processof“nationalintegration”tomakeeachresidentrecognize“unity asanation”.Wecanunderstandthediversityofthedevelopmentofthe WesternEuropeannation-statesthroughtheexaminationofthehistory ofelectoralsystems in each country,or the formation ofpopular democracythatiscloselyrelatedtoelectionsintheform ofaparty system.ItshouldalsobenotedthatthebasicstructureoftheWestern European party systems was defined before the start of mass

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mobilizationduetotheexpansionofelectoralpoweranddemocratization.

II From Soci

alCl

eavagetoPartySystem

1.TheoryofSocialCleavage

Cleavageisaconceptforidentifyingongoingconflictsinacertainsociety. Eveninthecaseofconflict,therearecaseswheretheconflictthatdivides peopleiseasily rooted in trade,negotiations,and an uncompromised socialstructure,butthereshouldbealsoconfrontationsonthesurfaceof eachpoliticalparty.Thestudyofwhattypeofdivisionexactlydeserves tobenamedacleavage,especiallyasocialcleavage,hasbeendescribedin itsownconceptbyeachresearcher,withverylittlediscussionsofar [BartoliniandMair,1990:213-215].

Thesocialcleavageisaconceptthatplacesthesourceofthepolitical divisionofsocialstructureaboutthedifferencebetweenclasses,status, beliefs,values,groups,andorganizationswithinacapitalistsociety.And theemergenceofsocialcleavagesandtheactualimpactofitwillevoke theroleoforganizationalandinstitutionalfactors.

Rokkan explainsthe politicalconflictthathasemerged from the transformationofsocialstructurewiththeconceptofsocialcleavage, alongwiththeNationalandIndustrialRevolutionsinthe18thand20th centuries.Healsodecidestodistinguishpeopleonlywhendifferencesand conflicts between one socialgroup and another confirm a clear perception,andareinstitutionalizedinapoliticalsystem.Wemustargue thatitbecomesastandard[ManzaandBrooke,1999:31-32].

Twoapproachesareneededtoelucidatethesocialcleavage[Bartoliniand Mair,1990:ch.9].Ontheonehand,thereisanapproachthatbringsimpact oninstitutionsandbehavior,andontheotherhand,thereisanapproach

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thatchangessocialstructure.Thesocialcleavageisdefinedaswhetherit remainsatthesurfaceofpoliticalconfrontationorevenclosetosocial structures.

Thenwehavetothinkofthreelevels.Thefirstlevelisthe“experience” elementrootedinsocialstructure.Thesecondlevelisthe“normative” elementintheconflictingsenseofsocialgroups.Thethirdlevelisan “institutional”elementexpressed through individualinteractionsand organizations.

S.Bartoliniand P.Mairexplain thatthetypeofpoliticaldivision presentatonlyoneofthethreelevelsshouldnotbeconsideredasocial cleavage.Forexample,divisionsthatarerootedinsocialstructuresbased onclassinequalityarethecriteriabywhichpeoplejudgetheirpolitical position.A politicaldivisionisdefinedasasocialcleavagebecausethe individualorgroupdecidesthestandardofthecleavageasitsownnorm and then institutionalizesthrough the politicalparty(or party system) appropriatelycharacterizedfrom thesocialcleavage,whenitcomesto being,andmostpoliticalconfrontationseitherwiththemere“political quarrels”orshort-livedconflicts.

Itisexpectedtobeinequalitiesrootedinasocialstructurepertaining toasocialgroup,andtheirnormativesignificancehavelittleimpacton thealignmentofvotingbehaviorwithoutanopportunitytoexpressthat elementwithin thepoliticalsystem.Politicaldivisionsdonotpersist unlessthere existsan elementrelated to socialstructure.and are socioeconomic inequalities associated with conflict between groups, whichpoliticalconflicttendstobeshort-lived.

Wemustconsidersocialcleavagesfrom thethreeconditionsofsocial structure,collectiveunity,andpoliticalconfrontation.

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Thefirstconditionhastobebasedonacertainsocialstructure.Social structuresusuallychangeslowly,butsocialcleavagestendtopersist onceestablished.Thedivisionbasedonsocialstructureestablishesa groupofpeoplewithsharedinterestsandstatuses.

Forexample,iftheproportionofworkingclassesisreduced,theimpact basedonclasscleavagemaydiminish.Onthecontrary,thedeclinecan bring aboutchangeswithin theclassin termsofchanging political formation.Forthesocialcleavagewithstrongpoliticalimpact,religion, class,race,ethnicity,language,etc.canbeassumed.

Thesecondconditionisthatthererecognizesconflictbetweengroups. Itmustberecognizedthattherearetwoormoredifferentgroupsover collectiveidentificationandonegroupmemberisinoppositiontothe other.Collectiveidentificationisanessentialconditionforestablishinga socialcleavage.Therefore,the conflicts thatarise from temporary dissatisfaction among people are unlikely to be considered in the organizationalandinstitutionalcontext.

Thethirdconditionisthatconfrontationwilloccur.TheSocialcleavage hastobemadeclearerbetweengroupsasawaytomobilizecertainparts ofthepopulationforpoliticalactivity.Thisisnottemporary,butisal ong-term politicalconflict[ManzaandBrooks,1999:33-35].

Rokkan did notconsiderpoliticalpartiesas“outgrowth”ofsocial powers,butregarded politicalpartiesasarepresentativeagency in transitioningfrom asocialcleavagetoaconcretepoliticalconfrontation.

First,the role ofpoliticalparties is to consolidate and express conflictinginterestswiththeestablishmentofmanhood”ssuffrage,to create organized networks,and to translate intergroup disputesby devisingelectoralstrategies.So,everycleavagealwaysdoesnottranslate

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itselfintoapoliticalparty[LipsetandRokkan,1967:26].

Second,asaclashofinterests,ittendstoexplainsocialcleavages,but profitsshould be understood asmore deeply rooted than economic advantagesand societalprivileges.When elementssuch ascultural confrontationandideologicaldivisionarestrong,theyaretakenup,for example,intheform ofclasscleavageorexpressedin“state-church conflict”.Theimportantthinghereishow tocontrolthenormsofthe community.Saiddifferently,itmustbeviewedasanissueofvalues. Otherwise,itwillalsounderminetheexplanationofpoliticalphenomena based on socialcleavages.The socialcleavage of“land-industry”of England in 19th century mustbeinterpreted as“twovalue-oriented clashes”relatedtothelegitimacyofstatus.Politicalpartiesrepresent “involvementinvalueinpolitics”[LipsetandRokkan,1967:5,15,18,and19].

TheconfrontationbetweengroupsinWesternEuropeanmasspolitics andtheideologicalconfrontationthataccompanyitare“theconceptof moralrightsandtheinterpretationofhistoryandhumandestiny”[Lipset andRokkan,1967:11],anditdoesnotaccountforincertainsituationsgroup’s profitandloss.Thefollowingthreephenomenaareintertwinedinthe conceptofsocialcleavage[KnutsenandScarbough,1995:493-494].

First,asocialcleavageisarelativelysustainablesocialdivisionthat givesrisetoagroupthat“integrates”objectivelyaccordingtotheclass, religion,economicandculturalinterestsetc.inwhichisrootedinthe structure.Second,somesocialcleavagesarerelated tosomevalues commontogroupmembers.Groupmembersunderstandthe“common life”.Third,certainsocialcleavagesareinstitutionalizedinsomeforms.It adoptstheform ofchurches,tradeunions,andotherassociations,butis ultimatelylefttopoliticalparties.A politicalpartycanberegardedasa

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productthathasshiftedmeresocialdivisionintoasocialcleavageby givingconsistentpoliticalexpressionstocertainsocialgroupsandtheir members.

Thesupportofapoliticalpartyisexpressedintheform ofvotesfrom therelativelystablerelationshipwithasocialgroup,andfrom thevoters thesharedvalueorientation.Therefore,politicsbasedonsocialcleavages cannotbeachievedwithoutadoptingtheform ofpoliticalparties.

Thenotionofasocialcleavageismoreexclusivethanthenotionof politicaldivision,andhasamorerigidmeaningthansocialdivision.So socialcleavagesaremorethanjustsocialconflicts,andatthesametime constituteaparticularform ofpoliticaldivision.Iftheterm socialcleavage isusedinallsortsofsocialandpoliticaldivisions,theconceptwillloseits analyticalability.

Inshort,itisthesocialcleavagethatformsthepoliticalandsocialview ofhumanbeings.Itisthesub-culturethatsurroundstheindividual.The lowercultureis“agroupofattitudes,values,beliefs,behaviors,andhabits sharedwithaspecialgrouporsocialclassinsociety,andhasadecisive influenceon theindividual.And ithastobedistinguished from the characteristicsofthewholesociety.”Socialcleavagesareacultureof referencegroupsforindividuals.Socialstructureisacollectionofvarious “impermeable”groups,andculturalaggregatesofdifferenttypesand contents.Inthatrespect,socialcleavagesmaketheinsideofthesocial structurethatformsthepoliticalactivityclear.

Thatiswhycitizenstrytoliveinaclosedpluralsocietyinamultipolar societybecausetheyfeelmoreattachedtotheircommunitysocietythan thepeople’sposition(nationalpoliticalculture).Socialcleavagesthatdivide societieslikeclass,religion,language,ethnicity,race,generation,and

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gender,inaway,characterizethecharacterofsocialstructure.Wehave multiplesocialgroupsthatsupportaspecificparty,eachformingaparty, andeachpartyhasbeenembodiedintheform ofapartysystem.

However,thesocialstructurethatcausesthepoliticalpartysystem differsinappearanceinthehistoryofindividualnation-stateformation. Thewayinwhichsocialstructuresbasedonsocialcleavagesaffectthe partysystem canbesummarizedasfollows.

(1)Socialcleavagescreatepartyorganizationsthatrepresentsocial groups.Ittakesahistoricalstack.

(2)Certainpoliticalpartiesreceivesupportfrom certainvoters. (3)Eachpartycompetesfortheacquisitionofvoterswhileappealing

forapartofthesociety.

(4)Policies arising from socialcleavages themselves clarify the differencesbetweentheparties[cf.Rose,1987].

Therefore,we can understand the currentpoliticalsituation ofa countrybyobservingthepartysystem.

2.ImportanceofInterveningAgents

Thedivisionbyclassisusuallytransferredtothepoliticalscene,butnot necessarily in every country.Sometimesreligiousdivisions,even if turnedintopolitics,cannotbeconcludedinrealitythatallcaseswillbeof thesameshape.Andthatisnotalwaysthesamestrength.Forexample, eventhoughgenderconflictisanimportantdivisionineverysociety,itis notreflectedinthepoliticsofeverycountry.

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pointsoutthattheconsequencesofitsform dependontheeffortsofthe peoplewhoaretryingtoexpressinpolitics(translators)andthosewho actuallyactwithconviction(persuaders).Putanotherway,whetherornot immobilizing theinnumerabledivisionsin thesociety intocleavages meansthattheprimaryagentcanfunctioneffectivelyanditsinterests canbecommunicatedtopoliticalparties(orotherformsofpoliticalorganizations) [Sartori,1990:169].Forexample,takingtheclassasthecriterionofcleavage, wecansayasfollows.

A politicalpartyisnotan“objective”socio-economicconditionbuta “subjective”socio-economicself-perception.However,ifapoliticalparty derivesonlyfrom socio-economicconditions,thisismoreimportantthan thesocio-economicconditionsoftheclass,astheindependentmotivation andintentionofachievingitspoliticalpurpose.Thatisitsownsocial recognition.Atthattime,thereshouldremaintheexpectationofdemand andsupplytopoliticalpartiesin(partof)society.Forexample,itisthelabor organization(usuallyatradeunion)thatmediatesbetweentheclasscleavage andthesocialistparty,andasaresult,thesocialistpartyrepresentsthe workers’interestsin theelection.Thedivision-cleavage-organization/ group-partyschemeappearsinthepoliticalphenomenonofelections.

Similarconsiderationsapplytootherdivisions,suchasthechurchand itsumbrellaorganizations.ThisissometimesexpressedintheCatholic action.These institutions and organizations evolve in a process of mobilizingsupportersinareligioussense,quicklygainingmomentum eveniftheyarethedominatingparty,andarereligiouslymoreorganized thantheoriginalfounder’sintentions.Theycanmakeclearerdivisions moreclearly.S.N.Kalvasdoesnotautomaticallyreflectthesenseof valuesimmediatelyaftertheidentityandconflictwithwhichreligious

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partiesalreadyexist,andconversely,“thereligioustiesareextinguished bymodernization”.Itisconcludedthatthetransitionfrom acleavagetoa partyisastrugglebetweenvariousgroupsandorganizationsinfaceof somepressureunderthesevereconstraintsofsocietyatanygiventime. Asaresult,itcanberewordedalsoasthemanifestationofthewillingness topenetrateself-perceptioninsociety.

Inshort,asshowninTable3,thetransitiontopoliticizationofthe cleavagesthatarisefrom thecriticalsocialcircumstancesatthattimeis atleastaninterveningagentthatactivelyassertspoliticalpowersin societyandfunctionofinterestarticulationandaggregation.Itisessential thatanargentcanperform thefunctionsofthem.Thisfunctionjustifies acting on behalfofthe people in the sub-society.However,when polarizationissignificant,thecostofconsolidatingandfunctioningthem forcitizensisrather“exprensive”[AlmondandPowell,1996:124].

Interveningagentsplayaveryimportantroleinmediatingbetween cleavagesandpoliticalparties[Kitschelt,1992;Doorenspleet,2005:2-8].Itsrole cannotbeexplainedorjudgedonlybythe“objective”situationofsocial structure.Inotherwords,the“objective”roleplayedbythe“subjective” executorwhotriestoputacertainsocialsituationintoapoliticalissue andtheinterveningagentplayanimportantroleinthesocietyand politics.

Table3:FlowofFunctionsofInterestAggregationandArticulation Aggregationfunction → Articulationfunction division → cleavage → subculture → agent → party → policy (e.g.class,religion)(social,cultural,andeconomicorientation) (votingbehavior)

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Ifthereisnothingtodividesociety,judgingfrom thestandpointof cleavage,theabsenceofitmeansnoneedforpoliticalpartiesorpolitics. However,such asituation isunlikely.Then wehavetothink about divisionsinsociety.Andifthedivisionchangesaccordingtotheage,the oldcleavagelineshoulddisappearandanew onelineappear.Inthis sense,politicalchangeshouldbeexplainedinresponsetochangesin socialcircumstances[Sartori,1990].However,sincetraditionalcleavagesare firmly embedded in each society as a means ofnetworking and communication,itshould beconsidered thatthey can withstand the changesofthetimes[Steiner,1974:cf.ch.IV].

The“alignment”ofpoliticalpartiesdescribesthesupportofvoters basedonsocialcleavagesinsociety.Forexample,aftertheSecondWorld War,itissaidthatBritain’spoliticalpartysystem wasorganizedbasedon theclasscleavages.TheworkingclasshassupportedtheLabourParty, andthemiddleclasshassupportedtheConservativeParty.InFrance, thenationaldifferencesbetweenCatholicsandanti-clericalistswerea factorinthesupportanddisapprovalofpartiesfrom boththeleftand right.Inothercountries,politicalformationisusuallybasedonsocial cleavages such as socio-economic class,urban and rural,language, religion,region,andethnicity.Needlesstosay,allsocialcleavagesare actuallyreflected,notadoptingtheform ofpoliticalparties.

Theactiontobecomeapoliticalpartysupportbasedonthesocial cleavagethatdividesthesocialstructureisarrangedfrom theconditions ofthehistoryofanation.Thiswillexplainthediversityamongthepeople (=multiplesubcultures).Inthatrespect,evenifthesocialconditionsleadingto politicalaction disappear,they willlastfora long time.The new generationissocializedintovaluesthatcombinewithitssocialcleavages

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(“imprinting”).Thatmeansthattherelationshipbetweenthevotersand party options is “freezing ofparty alternatives.” New values are considered topenetratetheyoungergeneration by interrupting the currentgenerationandthenextgenerationinthepoliticalreorganization thatcross-cuttingmaintainstheconventionalvalues.Assoonasmultiple socialcleavagescrosseachother,theyform politicalpartiesbasedonthe interests ofeach field.In such a situation,inter-party competition becomesmore common in the politicalstyle ofmultiparty systems differentfrom theUK-USmodel.From thesocialcl eavagetothesub-culture,thesubcultureandthecultureofeachsocialgroupoccupyone partofthesociety,anditbecomesafixed(frozen)supporttoaspecific partyasapoliticalexpressionafterthat[RokkanandCampbell,1960].

3.SocialStructureofPartyChoice

A Socialchangeprocesscauseschangeintherelationshipbetweenthe politicalparticipationofcitizensandthedeclineinthevotingratein relationtotheconstitutionoftheelectorateandthesocialpositionand electionbehavior.From bothpointsofview,votersdecidethechoiceof party.Itisstatedthat,oncechangesinfactorshavebrokendownthe causalrelationshipbetweensocialstructureandpolitics,thatis,social positionandpartychoice,citizenswillnotbeloyaltoaparticularparty. So,hastheideologythatreflectsthetraditionalcleavagebecomeless importantasafactorindeterminingvoters’politicalattitudeandparty choice[Thomasson,2005:7-9]?

Itisanimportantelementinthemodeltoexplainthatcitizensact instrumentallyonthebasisoftheirpurposebyevaluatingpoliticalissues andpoliticalpartiesandcandidatesrelatedtogovernmentperformance

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[CarminesandHuckfeldt,1996].

Theeffectsofsocialchangeon citizensaredepicted in Figure3 explaning thevariablesin thecausality scheme.Itisheld thatthe hypothesisofmovingfrom lefttorightinFigure3.Thishypothesiscan sparethevariationinpartyselection.Itisincommonwithothermodels consistingoflong-term factorsasthebasis.Atthesametime,themodel thatemphasizesinstrumentalintentionstopolitics(e.g.valuechangetheory) shouldbesuccessfulovertime.

However,variousapproaches(e.g.politicaladvertising,mediacoverage,etc.)miss thetruepositionofanindividual.So,asabasicwayofthinking,Ifurther considerthevariousvariablesontherightthatisinfluencedbythe factorsontheleftinFigure3.Sotospeak,thisschemeisasetofvoting behaviorvariablesthataddvaluechangetotheRokkan’stheoryofsocial cleavage.

IthasbeenunderstoodthattheexplanationbyLipsetandRokkanhas lostitseffectivenessintheWesternEuropeanpartysystem.Thisisnot anargumentthathasjustbegun.A debateovertheimportanceofclass

Figure3:ConceptualFrameworkforVotingChoices

dependentvariable:

votingbehavior

short-term factor

long-term factor

independent

variable: social

structure,cleavage

partychoice

how tocatchthei

s-sue judgment

based on

performance and

expectations politi

-calleader’srating

formation ofvalue,

party identification

ideological ori

enta-tion

for the individual

residence, and af

-filiation ofreligious

organization social

class

↑ ↑

politicalandinstitutionalcontext

(sustainabilityandchange)

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cleavage forpoliticsbegan in the early 1950s.O.Kirchheimerhas explained,undertheprevailing secularization and mass-consumpti on-orientedsituationinthe1960s,theclasscleavage(lines)hasbecomefluid anddiluted,andthemselveswerenolongercritical[Kirchheimer,1966].Itis statedthatmassmembershippartiesandChristianpartiesbasedon previousclassesaredestinedtobecomecatch-allparties.

Thetraditionalcleavages,especiallyclassandreligion,areregardedas lessimportantforvoter’schoiceofpartiesinthelatetwentiethcentury.It istheargumentthatisbasedonsecularization[Dalton,1984;Franklin,1992].It isexplainedthatthereexistsevidencethattheimpactofsocialcleavage declinesinadoublesense[KaaseandKlingemann,1994].

(1)Thenumberintegratedinthecleavagedecreasesduetosocial changeduetothechangeincompositioneffect.Forexample,the numberofCatholicswhoattendchurchesregularlydecreases. (2)Therelationshipbetweenaffiliationofaspecificpartofsocietyanda

partypreferencedeclines.Forexample,Catholicswhodonotattend churchhavenotvotedforCatholicpartiesorChristiandemocratic parties.

However,canwesimplymakethe“conclusionthattheimportanceof thesocialcleavagestructurediminishes”forelectionpoliticssoeasily? Theclaim statesthatitdoesnotconsidertheimportanceofcleavage development towards politicaloutcomes.However,we ignore the importanceofpoliticsandinstitutionsthatpoliticizesocialcleavages[De Gaat,2001].Long-term changeinvoters’behaviorisbecauseitisconsidered tobetheproductoflong-term,gradualandsecularsocialchangeinthe

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politicalenvironment[Curtice,2002:164].

Ⅲ PartySystem andVoterAl

i

gnment

1.PartyFormation

Massdemocracyhasdevelopedasourceofpoliticalmobilization(partyand partysystem).Anoverview ofWesternEuropeanpoliticalhistoryshows thatthere existvarious types ofarrangementofbehavior atthe individuallevelfrom thestructureofsocialcleavages,throughtheparty system consistingofparties.Thatis,itshouldbenotedthatinwhatform, inwhichordereachsocialcleavagebecomesapoliticalissue,inanyway, the social cleavage in any combination can adopt the form of confrontationbetweenpoliticalpartiesandthepubliccanbeinvolved.Is itprovidedthebasisforformingapartysystem?Rokkandescribedfive modelsofsocialcleavages[Rokkan,1980b:121].

Center

(4)Owner-Worker (2)State-Church

Economy Culture FunctionalDimention

(3)Land-Industry (1)Center-Periphery Periphery

TerritorialDimention Source:Rokkan,1980b:12

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Therehavebeenfour“criticalperiods”inWesternEuropesincethe 16thcentury,andthemeasuresadoptedtherecreateasocialcleavage andtheformationofasocialgroupbasedonwhichthecoreofthe politicalpartieswasformed.Thefirsttwosocialcleavagesaredirect productsoftheReformationandtheNationalRevolution;(1)itwasa conflictbetweenthecentralizednationallanguage,cultureandethnicity, language,andculture(Center-Periphery),(2)itwasaneducationaldispute betweenthestateandthecollectiveprivilegeofthechurch(Statevs.Church).

ThelattertwoarecausedbytheIndustrialRevolution,(3)itwasa conflictbetweenlandinterestandindustrial/enterpriseclass(theprimary industry:ruralvs.thesecondary industry:cities),(4)itwasastrugglebetween owner/employer and laborers/workers(capitalist class vs.working class). Furthermore,(5)itwasasplitbetween workerswhohaveacquired politicalcitizenship before and after the First World War either recognized thatthey weremembersofthenation orprioritizethe internationalposition as a working class.They splitdepending on whetheritisinvolvedinsolidarity(Socialism vs.Communism).

A socialcleavageof“center-periphery”existsineverycountrywith

Table4:CriticalJunctureandCleavage

Issues

Cleavage

CriticalJuncture

Nationalvs.supranationalrel

o-gion

Nationallanguagevs.Latin

Secularvs.religiouscontrolof

masseducation

Tariff levels for agricultural

products;controlvs.freedom

forindustrialenterprise

Nationalintegrati

onvs.Interna-tionalrevolutionarymovement

(1)Center-Periphery

(2)State-Church

(3)Land-Industry

(4)Owner-Worker

(5)Socialist-Communist

Reformation-

Counter-Revolution:16th-17thcenturies

NationalRevolution:1789 and

afterIndustrialRevolution:19th

century

The Russian Revolution:1917

andafter

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oneexception(Sweden,theNetherlands,andDenmark).However,when transitioningtoapoliticalpartyinasocialcleavage,the“state-church” hasbeenextremelyimportant.

Thesocialcleavagesin “center-periphery”and “state-church”have affected the socialcleavages that had risen from the Industrial Revolution.For example,in middle Europe the Catholic political movementcrossedthecleavagesofurbanandruraleconomicinterests, sothatincountrieswhereCatholicpartiesexist,agrarianpartiesarein principleabsent.InProtestantcountries,thereexistsagrarianpartythat consolidatespeasants’interests.Also,IndustrialDevelopmentresultedin expandingthelabormarketandpushingmassmembershippartiesto whichtheworkingclassbelongstothepoliticalarena.

Needlesstosay,thereremaineddifferencesamongcountriesinterms ofintegrationintothepoliticalsystem,anddependingonthepolitical characterofeachworkingclass,proletarianinternationalistcommunist partiesandsocialdemocracythathasacceptedthestate.Itsplitsinto politicalparties,andtwotypesofsocialistpoliticalpartiesareformed, whichcompetethroughtheFirstWorldWarandtheRussianRevolution. ThecasewasthecrashoftheGermansocialistcampaftertheFirst World War.Differencesatthehistoricalstageofeach country have addedvariationtothepoliticalpartyorpartysystem.

However,thefirstthreesocialcleavagesformedthefoundationofthe modernpartysystem andformedthedifferencesbetweenthoseineach country.Sothedecisivecontrastinthesystem appearedbeforethe working class party entered the politicalarena.The fourth social cleavagecoloredtheframework,andthefifthsocialcleavageaccented themodernpartysystem.Needlesstosay,itgoeswithoutsayingthatthe

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entry ofsocialistpartieshad amajorimpacton theparty system. Therefore,“the party systems ofthe 1960s reflect,with few but significantexceptions,thecleavagestructuresofthe1920’s”[Lipsetand Rokkan,1967:50].

Ifthecompetition between citizenson anationalscalebecomesa disputeoverasystem andis“frozen”withaspecificgroupintheform of asocialcleavagetoindividuals,thatisasocialcleavage— politicalparty hasahistoricaltrajectory.Itisconsidered tobeacreated “political package”;(1)ethnicityandthedivisionofthevotereflectedbylanguage, (2)churchmembers,theinfluenceofchurchactivities,(3)thespreadof urbanizationandthecharacterofprimaryindustry,(4)classvoting,and (5)thedivisionofworkersafterthefirstandthesecondWorldWars. Theycauseddifferencesandvariationsinthepresenceandstrengthof politicalpartiesarisingoutofsocialcleavagesineverycountry.The differencehasbeen expressed in thepoliticalparty system ofeach country.We can understand the politicaltrajectory ofnation by observingthearrangementofpoliticalpartiesinthatnation[Rokkan,1970: 139].

WeconsidertheconditionsforthesettingofaChristiandemocratic partyfrom thecomponentsofthemodelinTable1[RokkanandSvåsand,1978: 56-57].Whatarethepreconditionsforthepresenceorabsenceofastable Christian democraticparty within thepoliticalsystem?Thevarious variablesforitsexistenceareI:Culture(success/failureofReformationasaresult oftheReformation),IV:Economy(resourcescombinationofruralandurban,characterof rural-urbanresourcecombination),andIV:Territory(geopoliticalposition),V:Culture (church-staterelations).IntheCatholicEurope,thepresenceorabsenceofa Christiandemocraticpartyisrelatedtothegeopoliticalpositionandto

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theworkofvariablessuchasthealliancebetweenthestateandthe church.So,while Christian democratic partiestraditionally existin Austria,Germany,Italy,Switzerland,Belgium andtheNetherlands,but areabsentinFrance,SpainandIreland.

On the otherhand,in the ProtestantEurope,nonconformistsor dissentersand orthodox rallied intodissidentpartiesbecauseofthe alliancebetweenthechurchandthestate.Inthesecases,theirpolitical argumentswereexpressedinliberalism(e.g.England,Denmark,andSweden), nationalism(e.g.Finland),agricultureandperiphies(e.g.Ireland).Thus,one socialcleavagemayform oneparty,buttheremaybecaseswhereitis absorbedbyanothersocialcleavage.

Wemusttakeintoaccounttwoperspectiveswhenitcomesfrom the socialcleavagetothewayofpoliticalpartyformation.Thefirstisthe partyorganizationanditsmembersandsize.Second,whenandhow a socialgroupexertsparticipatoryaffiliationandwhathappensifasocial group may become politically active withoutforming its affiliation [Stinchocombe,1975:583].Wehavetoconsidertheindividualcircumstances from thehistoricalcircumstancesinallperspectives.

Mass membership parties developed in Europe during the 19th centuryinresponsetotheexpansionofthesuffrage.Thepioneersofthe mass party were seen in the politicalmovement ofthe national movementandtheRomanCatholicChurch,butthesocialistpartyin Europehasdevelopedonthebasisofthepopular.Thesocialistparty succeeded in mobilizing the supportofthe working class,thereby becomingaprominentelectoralpower,andthispartymodelwaslater adoptedbythe“bourgeois”party.This“contagionfrom theleft”isnot necessarilytrue.InBritain,boththeConservativePartyandtheLiberal

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PartybecamemassmembershippartiesbeforethebirthoftheLabour Party.

Massmembershippartiesareanefficientmeansofguaranteeinghigh andstablelevelsofelectoralsupport,andmoregenerally,thepolitical mobilizationofaparticularsocialgroup.Historically,andparticularlyfor socialistparties,ahighdegreeof“socialencapsulation”callsfortheunion ofpartiesand members,and formembersoftheparty acollective identityintermsoftheobviousbenefitswasimportantinexpressing.

Somemasspartieshavesucceededin“membershipdensity,”whichcan hiderealisticweaknessesin an broad appealtotheelectorate.The membership has diminished gradually, weakening strong party identification.

InWesternEuropeanelectoralpoliticsforseveraldecadesafterthe SecondWorldWar,itissaidthattwovotingbehaviorpatternscanbe understood[Knutsen and Scarbrough, 1995: 492].The first is a pattern characterizedbythestablemainpoliticalpartiesinthe1950sand1960s, and therelationship between votersstrongly supporting them.“The strengthofmostpartieshaschangedlittlefrom oneelectiontoanother, from oneeratoanother,orfrom onegenerationoflife.”Thisshowsthe “frozenthesis”explainedbyRokkan.

However,thesecondpatternhasbeguntoappearinthe1970s.Itissaid thatbythe1980s,“new politics”haschangedmanyWesternEuropean politics.Insteadofthesustainabilityandstabilityofthefirstpattern,the volatility,thedealigmment,theunconventionalpoliticalbehavior,andthe de-freezedpartysystem.Itistheunfreezingthemeforthelatterpattern. Statedinadifferentfashion,thatpointtothepatternthatoldorder changed.

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2.PartySystems

Socialcleavagesarenotallpoliticalissuesineachcountry,anditdoesnot necessarilymeanthataparticularpoliticalpartyisestablishedineach country,anditdoesnotalwaysshifttoaconfrontationbetweenpolitical parties.Certainsocialcleavageindeedcreatesconflictbetweenpolitical partiesinsomecountries,butinothersnot.However,itshouldbenoted thatthesplitofworkingclass(Socialism vs.Communism)canbeobserved commonlyineachcountry.

Wewillconsidertwocasesin which thepoliticalpartiesand the politicalpartysystem wereestablishedfrom acertainsocialcleavage, basedonwhichtheallianceformationofeachpowerwasarranged[Rokkan, 1980b:121].

Consideringthesocialcleavageofcenter-peripheryinSpainandItaly asanexample,thissocialcleavageexistsinbothcases,butinItalythere isnopartythatdefendstheperiphery,butitexistsinSpain.Thereason isseeninthedifferencebetweentheterritorialstructureandthecity network.InSpain,therehasbeentwoeconomicallypowerfulperipheries (Basque,andCatalonia)andapoliticalcenter(Madrid).However,inItaly, sincethecenterofstateformationandthecenterofeconomywerein agreement,thepoliticalpartiesrepresentingtheperipherieshavebeen lacking.

Thesocialcleavageoftheprimaryindustry-secondaryindustry(rural -urban)wasapoliticalissueinnorthernEurope,butnotintheBritain.In bothcases,theReformationintegratedtheChurchintostate-building elites.Theyactedinconcertwithurbanandruralinterestsinthecaseof Britain,butinthecaseofnorthernEurope(especiallyDenmarkandNorway), state-builderswere based on allianceswith urban bourgeoisie.The

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reasonisthedifferencebetweenthetwocasesofliberalmobilization. WhereasinBritaintheliberalpartiesweretheresultofanalliance betweenCelticfringesandnonconformists’industryandurbanclasses,in northernEuropetheliberalpartiessupportthecoreofthestate.Itwasa productofthealliancewithfarmerswhoopposedthebuildingofsociety. Itcannotalwaysbeargued thatsocialcleavagesimmediately cause politicalproblemsinthisway,andcausepoliticalpartyformationand politicalconflict[cf.Urwin,1980].

To understand the differencesbetween Western European party systems,wemustpayattentiontothealliance,neutrality,andconflict thatthepre-mass-mobilizedstateandnation-buildingeliteshavechosen inthefirstthree“criticalperiods”.Dependingontheirchoice,Western European Party System’seighttypesin Table 5 have typified the complexanddiversealliancechoiceofsevenactors.Actorsare:(1)the core ofnation-building thatgoverns the state bureaucracy (N),(2) churches(C),(3)theRomanCatholicchurches(R),(4)non-statechurches (D),(5)landownerwhoruledtheprimaryindustry(L),(6)urbancommerce andindustry(U),and(7)resistancemovementfrom periphery(P).

Table5:EightTypesofWesternEuropeanPartySystem

HistoricalBackground PartySystem

Case Type

ReligiousdisputesarenotresolvedinIreland before separation.Centralculture was rei n-forcedwithalandnoblenetwork.Thecitywas inagreementwitht heruralarea.Correspond-ingly,theLiberalPartyinthe19thcenturyand theLabourPartyinthe20thcenturywereto playaroleinthetwo-partysystem.Withthe rise ofworkers since the end ofthe 19th century,class cleavage made an important distinctioninBritain. Conservatives(N) vs. Liberals Celticfringes Dissenters/Nonconf o-rmists Industry Britain (1)N’choice: ①C ②L (2)P’sresponse: P-D-U Ⅰ

Theurbanelite’srightwing(thebureaucracy/ nobility)andtherural/peripheralleftcannot ally.Lackoffeudalism andindependenceofself -employedfarmersarehigh.Farmersandtheir organizations were able to cope with the domesticcrisisfrom thelate19thcenturytothe 20th century. The struggles of political relationshipwereclassconflict,ideologicalsplit betweenworkers,andurbanandruraltensions. Conservatives(N) vs. Agrarians Christians Radicals Nordic countries (1)N’choice: ①C ②U (2)P’sresponse: P-D-L Ⅱ

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TheWesternEuropeanpartysystem classifiedfrom thesealliances andrivalsfallsunderanyoftheeighttypemodelsfrom TableI,typesIto VIII.Dependingonthecircumstancesofeachcountry,asocialcleavage

Regionaltensionsby multi-centricstates(e.g. Bavarianseparatism)havemadeitdifficultto unite nationalscales.Western liberalism and easternconservatism wereatodds.Protestant -ism and Catholicism werealsorelated tothe policyofnationalunity(GreatGermanism vs. SmallGermanism),andithasbecomeapparent thatsocialcleavageshadacomplicatedeffect sincethelate19thcentury.

Conservatives(N) vs.

Liberals

Catholics(Zentrum) Bavarians Prussia-German Empire (1)N’choice: ①C ②L (2)P’sresponse: P1-S-U-P2-R Ⅲ

This case is a mixed type ofnorthwestern Europe(I-III)andsouthernandcentralEurope (IV-VIII).In theformation ofpoliticalparties, liberalists,Protestants,andCatholics,whowere responsiblefortheformationofthesupporters, respectively formed aparty.SimilarSwit zer-landdidnotshowanyreligiousconflictatall. Liberals(N)

vs. Calvins Agarians Catholics Netherlands

(1)N’choice: ①C ②U (2)P’sresponse: P1-D-L P2-R-L Ⅳ

Multilingual,multiculturaland multiethnicgo back totheReconquistamovement.A single politicalculture isabsent.The heterogeneity among the people and the strength ofthe independenceoftheregionmadeitdifficultto form the people.Conflicts between secular power and the church have been added to ethnic and culturalissues.Basque’s strong religiousloyaltyisatoddswiththeanti-clerical centralgovernment,and Catalan separatism suppressesclasscleavage.

Liberals(N) vs. CatalanLiga Carlists Spain (1)N’choice: ①S ②L (2)P’sresponse: P1-U P2-R Ⅴ

Thecity ofanticlericalsecularpowersruled Catholics.The central-peripheralconflicthas been long lasting.With the supportofthe Christian TradeUnion in 1944,itformed the People’s Republican (Mouvement R’epublican Populaire:MRP)butdidnotbecomeapopular Christian party.Afterall,the alliance corre-spondingtothesecularnation-buildingelitewas notbased(butestablishedinItaly).Therewasa cross-cuttingpressureofliberals,Catholicsand socialistswithregionalcharacteristics. Liberals/Radicals(N)

vs. Conservatives Catholics Christians France (Italy in similar) (1)N’choice: ①S ②U (2)P’sresponse: P-R-L Ⅵ

Thereexistedaconflictbetweenthecapitaland thegrowingarea.Wealsoconsideredaconflict betweenculturallyandeconomicallydeveloped areas and underdeveloped areas.The party system hasrevolved around ethnic,religious andclassgaps.Beforefascistsseizedpower,the Socialist party and the opposing Bourgeois formedthe“Läger”ontheissueofclassand religion.The tradition is inherited after the SecondWorldWar.Ithasamultipolarsocial character,butconvergestoeithertheleftor rightwing. Christians(N) vs. Liberals Pan-Germans Industry Austria (1)N’choice: ①R ②L (2)P’sresponse: P-S-U Ⅶ

Theoppositioncoalitionwasdismantleddueto schoolproblemsuntilthe early stage ofthe nation formation.Themobilization processof economy,cultureandsocietywaspolarizedto French and Dutch speaking areas. The cleavagesoverlap each other.Thiscaseisin contrasttoSwitzerland,whichhassucceededin integratingethnicallyandculturally. Christians/Liberals

(N) vs. Flemishseparatists Belgium (1)N’choice: ①R ②U (2)P’sresponse: P-L Ⅷ Source:LipsetandRokkan,1967:36-41.

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had created a party,and the alliances and conflicts shown the characteristicsofeachcountry’spartysystem intheabovemodels.

We divide Western Europe into two.The characteristics ofthe southernandcentralparts(III,V,VI,andVIIinTable5)areasfollows:(1) anti-Reform strengthened the position of the church,(2) radical secularization movementand Catholic tradition polarize,(3)cultural integration wasstarted,ifthebourgeoisiewhoopposed theancient regimedidnotstandhosttothechurchand(4)thechurcheshaveto reconfirm theirplaceinthenewlycreatedpoliticalorder.

Next,thenorthernandwesternparts(I,II,IV,andVIIIinTable5)are politicallystableasofthe16thcentury,anditissodifferentinthe southernandcentralpartsthatthestructureofsocialcleavageswhich wouldberevealedafterthat.Itsfeatureis;(1)StateChurchwasnotin conflictwith the Nation-Building elites,and (2)the “left”movement againstreadyreligiousestablishedforceshadalliedwithdissentersand urbancommerceandindustry.

Itisimportantthatthebasicstructureofthepoliticalpartysystem was determinedbeforethedemocratizationofelectoralexpansionandthe startofmassmobilization.Inaddition,ithasjoinedthepartysystem until then,intheform ofaclassconflictbetweenthebourgeoisieandworking classdue to the developmentofcapitalism,and the socialistparty representingthelatter.So,oncethefivesocialcleavagesadoptedthe formation ofapoliticalparty,thepoliticalparty system hasbecome “frozen”,and even if individualsocialcleavages disappeared,the establishedpoliticalpartiessurvivethereafter[LipsetandRokkan,1967: 36-38].Thisisthe“freezingthesis”.

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pattern ofalliancesand confrontationsofthelowerclassesofthose countriesbeforeindustrialworkersenteredthepoliticalarena.Therefore, theallianceandconfrontationalpatternswiththeupperclassofsociety callfor:(1)callingformeasurestoensurelastingthe“campofrightwing”, andfrom that,(2)forcesthatwillnotbewiththepartnersofalliance chosenbytheworkingclassappearingthereafter,decidedtocondition thestrategy in therelationship ofitselfand others.Thecentralized allianceoftheupperclasswas,sotospeak,bureaucrats,landlords, aristocrats,churches,andsoon,so-calledformer“nation-buildingelites” undertheancienregime.Such‘ins’groupshadtoselectoutofthealliance partners,conditioned on socialenvironment,interestsand ideologies. Thatplacedthe“outs”thatdidnotbecomealliancepartnersattheother sideofthesocialcleavageline[Stinchocomb,1975:577-578].

Thefirstchoiceofallianceandconfrontationwasthegovernment’s religiousorientation.Thechoicewasdeterminedbytheoutcomeofthe Reformation in Europe.TheelitesputtheProtestantChurch under control(in theform ofastatechurch)in England and Scandinavian countries.Nonconformists,Priests,and seculariststurned toward the oppositionsoftheconflictingcamps.

Reformation had been divided in twocountries,such astheLow CountriesoftheNorthSea,Germany,andSwitzerland,intothepatriotic ProtestantmajorityandthestrongCatholicminoritywhoopposeit.The Nation-Building elites,like Germany and the Netherlands,chose an alliance with the patriotic Protestant Church.The Roman-Catholic ChurchwasnotruledbytheNation-Buildingelites,sotheelitehadallied withtheRoman-CatholicChurchorchoseasecular,competitiveattitude insouthernEuropeandinFrance.

Tabl e1:Thepri maryel ementsofthemodel PRECONDITIONVARIABLRS
Tabl e2:threshol dandpartysystem
Tabl e5:Ei ghtTypesofWesternEuropeanPartySystem
Tabl e6:TypeofLi beralDemocrati cRegi me
+2

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