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HEC0HEC1

9.2 Results from Diagonal

(a)mTatETmiss= [100, 150] GeV. (b)mTatETmiss= [150, 200] GeV.

(c)mTatEmissT = [200, 250] GeV. (d)mTatETmiss= [250, inf] GeV.

(e)mTat TAUCR.

Figure 9.11: mT distribution at eachETmiss slice and TAUCR after the background-only fit with unblind. The uncertainty band includes statistical and systematic error.

(a) jet multiplicity atETmiss= [100, 150] GeV. (b) jet multiplicity atEmissT = [150, 200] GeV.

(c) jet multiplicity atETmiss= [200, 250] GeV. (d) jet multiplicity atEmissT = [250, inf] GeV.

(e) jet multiplicity at TAUCR.

Figure 9.12: jet multiplicity distribution at each ETmiss slice and TAUCR after the background-only fit with unblind. The uncertainty band includes statistical and systematic error.

(a) 1st jetpT atEmissT = [100, 150] GeV. (b) 1st jetpTatEmissT = [150, 200] GeV.

(c) 1st jetpTatETmiss= [200, 250] GeV. (d) 1st jetpT atEmissT = [250, inf] GeV.

(e) 1st jetpTat TAUCR.

Figure 9.13: 1st jetpTdistribution at each ETmissslice and TAUCR after the background-only fit with unblind.

The uncertainty band includes statistical and systematic error.

(a) 2nd jetpTatETmiss= [100, 150] GeV. (b) 2nd jetpTatETmiss= [150, 200] GeV.

(c) 2nd jetpTatEmissT = [200, 250] GeV. (d) 2nd jetpTatETmiss= [250, inf] GeV.

(e) 2nd jetpTat TAUCR.

Figure 9.14: 2nd jetpT distribution at eachETmiss slice and TAUCR after the background-only fit with unblind.

The uncertainty band includes statistical and systematic error.

(a) 2nd jetpTatETmiss= [100, 150] GeV. (b) 2nd jetpTatETmiss= [150, 200] GeV.

(c) 2nd jetpTatEmissT = [200, 250] GeV. (d) 2nd jetpTatETmiss= [250, inf] GeV.

(e) 3rd jetpTat TAUCR.

Figure 9.15: 3rd jetpTdistribution at eachETmissslice and TAUCR after the background-only fit with unblind.

The uncertainty band includes statistical and systematic error.

(a) 2nd jetpTatETmiss= [100, 150] GeV. (b) 2nd jetpTatETmiss= [150, 200] GeV.

(c) 2nd jetpTatEmissT = [200, 250] GeV. (d) 2nd jetpTatETmiss= [250, inf] GeV.

(e) 4th jetpTat TAUCR.

Figure 9.16: 4th jetpTdistribution at eachETmissslice and TAUCR after the background-only fit with unblind.

The uncertainty band includes statistical and systematic error.

(a) leptonpTatETmiss= [100, 150] GeV. (b) leptonpTatEmissT = [150, 200] GeV.

(c) leptonpTatETmiss= [200, 250] GeV. (d) leptonpTatETmiss= [250, inf] GeV.

(e) leptonpTat TAUCR.

Figure 9.17: lepton pT distribution at eachETmiss slice and TAUCR after the background-only fit with unblind.

The uncertainty band includes statistical and systematic error.

(a) 1st b-jetpTatETmiss= [100, 150] GeV. (b) 1st b-jetpTatETmiss= [150, 200] GeV.

(c) 1st b-jetpTatETmiss= [200, 250] GeV. (d) 1st b-jetpTatETmiss= [250, inf] GeV.

(e) 1st b-jetpTat TAUCR.

Figure 9.18: 1st b-jetpTdistribution at eachETmissslice and TAUCR after the background-only fit with unblind.

The uncertainty band includes statistical and systematic error.

(a)EmissT /p

HTatETmiss= [100, 150] GeV. (b)EmissT /p

HTatETmiss= [150, 200] GeV.

(c)ETmiss/p

HT atEmissT = [200, 250] GeV. (d)EmissT /p

HTatETmiss= [250, inf] GeV.

(e)ETmiss/p

HTat TAUCR.

Figure 9.19: ETmiss/p

HTdistribution at eachETmissslice and TAUCR after the background-only fit with unblind.

The uncertainty band includes statistical and systematic error.

(a) R(b,`) atETmiss= [100, 150] GeV. (b) R(b,`) atETmiss= [150, 200] GeV.

(c) R(b,`) atETmiss= [200, 250] GeV. (d) R(b,`) atETmiss= [250, inf] GeV.

(e) R(b,`) at TAUCR.

Figure 9.20: R(b,`) distribution at each ETmiss slice and TAUCR after the background-only fit with unblind.

The uncertainty band includes statistical and systematic error. These plots are just for validations of the 2-D shape fit, and not used in either the event selection or the fit.

(a)mtopatETmiss= [100, 150] GeV. (b)mtopatETmiss= [150, 200] GeV.

(c)mtopatEmissT = [200, 250] GeV. (d)mtopatETmiss= [250, inf] GeV.

(e)mtopat TAUCR.

Figure 9.21: mtop distribution at eachETmissslice and TAUCR after the background-only fit with unblind. The uncertainty band includes statistical and systematic error. These plots are just for validations of the 2-D shape fit, and not used in either the event selection or the fit.

(a)amT2atETmiss= [100, 150] GeV. (b)amT2atETmiss= [150, 200] GeV.

(c)amT2 atETmiss= [200, 250] GeV. (d)amT2atETmiss= [250, inf] GeV.

(e)amT2 at TAUCR.

Figure 9.22: amT2 distribution at eachETmissslice and TAUCR after the background-only fit with unblind. The uncertainty band includes statistical and systematic error. These plots are just for validations of the 2-D shape fit, and not used in either the event selection or the fit.

(a)topnessatEmissT = [100, 150] GeV. (b)topnessatEmissT = [150, 200] GeV.

(c)topnessatETmiss= [200, 250] GeV. (d)topnessatEmissT = [250, inf] GeV.

(e)topnessat TAUCR.

Figure 9.23: topnessdistribution at eachETmissslice and TAUCR after the background-only fit with unblind. The uncertainty band includes statistical and systematic error. These plots are just for validations of the 2-D shape fit, and not used in either the event selection or the fit.

JES Enveloped NP 1 JES Enveloped NP 2 JES Enveloped NP 3 JES Enveloped NP 4 JES Enveloped NP 5 JES Enveloped NP 6 JES Pseudorapidity Calibration 1 JES Pseudorapidity Calibration 2 JES Pseudorapidity Calibration 3 JetTJES High-p JES Pileup 1 JES Pileup 2 JES Pileup 3 JES Pileup 4 JES B-Jet Response JES Lighter-Flavor-Jet Response JES Lighter-Flavor-Jet Composition JES Punch Through JER Enveloped NP JER Cross Calibration 1 JER Cross Calibration 2 JER Cross Calibration 3 JER Cross Calibration 4 JER Cross Calibration 5 JER Cross Calibration 6 JER Cross Calibration 7 JER Forward Region Parallel Resolutionmiss TE Perpendicular Resolutionmiss TE Energy Scalemiss TE B-Tag B-Jet 1 B-Tag B-Jet 2 B-Tag B-Jet 3 B-Tag B-Jet 4 B-Tag B-Jet 5 B-JetTB-Tag High-p B-Tag C-Jet 1 B-Tag C-Jet 2 B-Tag C-Jet 3 B-Tag C-Jet 4 C-JetTB-Tag High-p B-Tag Lighter-Flavor-Jet 1 B-Tag Lighter-Flavor-Jet 2 B-Tag Lighter-Flavor-Jet 3 B-Tag Lighter-Flavor-Jet 4 B-Tag Lighter-Flavor-Jet 5 B-Tag Lighter-Flavor-Jet 6 B-Tag Lighter-Flavor-Jet 7 B-Tag Lighter-Flavor-Jet 8 B-Tag Lighter-Flavor-Jet 9 B-Tag Lighter-Flavor-Jet 10 B-Tag Lighter-Flavor-Jet 11 B-Tag Lighter-Flavor-Jet 12 B-Tag Lighter-Flavor-Jet 13 B-Tag Lighter-Flavor-Jet 14 ttbar & singletop Radiation ttbar Parton Shower singletop Interference W+jets & diboson CKKW W+jets & diboson Factorization W+jets & diboson Renormalization W+jets & diboson Resummation ttbar+Z Scale (ttbar1L)-1µ (ttbarTau)-1µ

Uncertainty After Fit

2

−1.5 1

− 0.5

− 0 0.5 1 1.5 2

Figure 9.24: Model parameters and their uncertainties after the 2-D shape fit with unblind.

The vertical dashed-dotted line divides into two categories: standardized systematic parameters (left) and normalization scale factors (right). The naming rule of systematic parameters follow Table8.1 8.5. For the detailed explanation on the fit configuration, see section7.2.

0.4

0.2 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1

JES Enveloped NP 1 JES Pseudorapidity Calibration 1 JES Lighter-Flavor-Jet Response JES Lighter-Flavor-Jet Composition JER Enveloped NP JER Cross Calibration 3 JER Cross Calibration 4 JER Cross Calibration 5 JER Cross Calibration 7 Parallel Resolutionmiss TE Perpendicular Resolutionmiss TE Energy Scalemiss TE ttbar & singletop Radiation ttbar Parton Shower singletop Interference W+jets & diboson Renormalization (ttbar1L)µ (ttbarTau)µ (ttbarTau)

µ (ttbar1L) µ W+jets & diboson Renormalization

singletop Interference ttbar Parton Shower ttbar & singletop Radiation Energy Scale miss ET Perpendicular Resolution miss

ET

Parallel Resolution miss

ET

JER Cross Calibration 7 JER Cross Calibration 5 JER Cross Calibration 4 JER Cross Calibration 3 JER Enveloped NP JES Lighter-Flavor-Jet Composition JES Lighter-Flavor-Jet Response JES Pseudorapidity Calibration 1 JES Enveloped NP 1

0.18 0.03 -0.22 0.25 0.53 -0.49 0.05 0.07 0.21 -0.21 0.33 0.13 0.34 0.28 0.33 0.18 0.24 1.00 -0.27 -0.02 0.16 -0.36 0.05 -0.10 -0.02 0.04 -0.02 -0.09 -0.01 -0.23 0.24 0.23 0.44 0.58 1.00 0.24 -0.05 -0.01 0.04 -0.08 0.10 -0.06 -0.00 0.02 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 -0.04 0.20 0.12 -0.05 1.00 0.58 0.18 -0.05 -0.02 -0.06 -0.06 0.13 -0.06 -0.05 0.04 -0.02 -0.15 0.01 0.01 -0.02 0.07 1.00 -0.05 0.44 0.33 0.04 -0.23 0.06 0.05 -0.03 -0.05 -0.02 -0.01 -0.04 0.09 0.05 -0.03 0.10 1.00 0.07 0.12 0.23 0.28 -0.05 -0.13 -0.02 -0.02 0.24 0.15 -0.02 -0.07 0.08 -0.17 0.12 0.25 1.00 0.10 -0.02 0.20 0.24 0.34 0.16 0.11 -0.02 0.20 -0.17 -0.02 -0.08 -0.03 -0.05 -0.26 -0.21 1.00 0.25 -0.03 0.01 -0.04 -0.23 0.13 0.09 0.00 0.02 0.13 -0.09 -0.36 -0.02 0.00 -0.00 -0.28 1.00 -0.21 0.12 0.05 0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0.33 0.06 -0.18 0.01 0.12 -0.16 -0.10 -0.14 -0.08 0.02 1.00 -0.28 -0.26 -0.17 0.09 -0.15 -0.01 -0.09 -0.21 0.01 0.03 -0.02 0.01 0.15 -0.05 -0.03 0.02 1.00 0.02 -0.00 -0.05 0.08 -0.04 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 0.21 0.03 -0.04 0.07 0.03 -0.01 0.28 -0.02 1.00 0.02 -0.08 0.00 -0.03 -0.07 -0.01 0.04 0.02 0.04 0.07 0.02 0.03 -0.02 0.06 0.21 0.28 1.00 -0.02 -0.03 -0.14 -0.02 -0.08 -0.02 -0.02 -0.05 -0.00 -0.02 0.05 -0.07 -0.15 0.04 -0.09 0.05 1.00 0.28 0.28 -0.05 -0.10 -0.36 -0.02 0.15 -0.05 -0.06 -0.06 -0.10 -0.49 0.17 0.13 -0.32 0.12 1.00 0.05 0.21 -0.01 0.15 -0.16 -0.09 -0.17 0.24 -0.03 0.13 0.10 0.05 0.53 -0.12 -0.09 0.02 1.00 0.12 -0.09 0.06 0.03 0.01 0.12 0.13 0.20 -0.02 0.05 -0.06 -0.08 -0.36 0.25 0.01 0.14 1.00 0.02 -0.32 0.04 -0.02 0.07 -0.02 0.01 0.02 -0.02 -0.02 0.06 -0.06 0.04 0.16 -0.22 -0.08 1.00 0.14 -0.09 0.13 -0.15 0.03 -0.04 0.03 -0.18 0.00 0.11 -0.13 -0.23 -0.02 -0.01 -0.02 0.03 1.00 -0.08 0.01 -0.12 0.17 -0.07 0.02 0.03 0.01 0.06 0.09 0.16 -0.05 0.04 -0.05 -0.05 -0.27 0.18

h_corr_reduced (threshold 20 precent)

Figure 9.25: Correlations among model parameters after the 2-D shape fit with unblind. Only parameters with at least one correlation of more than 0.2 are shown. The naming rule of sys-tematic parameters follow Table 8.1 8.5. For the detailed explanation on the fit configuration, see section7.2.

[GeV]

t1

m

~

200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000 [GeV]

0 1χ∼

m

0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700

< 0t

0 - m

χ1

- m t1

m~

< 0 - mW

0

χ1

- m

t1

m~

0

χ1

bW

1

~t

0, χ1

t+

1

~t production, t1

~ t1

~

th) 1σ Observed limit (±

exp) 1σ Expected limit (±

= 13 TeV, 28.0 fb-1

s

Limit at 95% CL

Figure 9.26: Diagonal: Expected (black dashed) and observed (red solid) CLs exclusion limits at 95% CL in the plane ofm˜t1 versusm˜01. The dashed red line ( th) indicates the results with

±1 variation of the signal cross section uncertainty (Figure3.1).

[GeV]

t1

m

~

200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000 [GeV]

0 1χ∼

m

0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700

0.00 0.00 0.00

0.00 0.000.000.07 0.000.000.22 0.010.060.67 0.070.230.70 0.220.500.81 0.470.540.80 0.690.730.84 0.730.77 0.92

0.67 0.67

0.67 0.68 0.69 0.70 0.70 0.71

0.67 0.030.01

0.000.00 0.000.00

0.000.00 0.00 0.00

0.020.01 0.04

0.00 0.00

0.00 0.00 0.070.08 0.16

0.00 0.00 0.00

0.00 0.00 0.01 0.300.48 0.40

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.370.48 0.55

0.00

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.29 0.620.64 0.65

0.00 0.00

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.11 0.44 0.730.71

0.00 0.00

0.00 0.01 0.01 0.04 0.12 0.35 0.65

0.00 0.01 0.03

0.01 0.03 0.07 0.09 0.18 0.27 0.53 0.69

0.01 0.10 0.09

0.08 0.11 0.17 0.25 0.29 0.38 0.52 0.65

0.08 0.79

0.23 0.24

0.23 0.21 0.30 0.32 0.39 0.49 0.68

0.19 0.82

0.39 0.41

0.43 0.43 0.45 0.51 0.52 0.57

0.38 0.78

0.54 0.54

0.57 0.59 0.58 0.63 0.62 0.67

0.56

< 0t

0 - m

χ1

- m

t1

m~

< 0 - mW

0

χ1

- m

t1

m~

0

χ1

bW

1

~t

0, χ1

t+

1

~t production, t1

~ t1

~

= 13 TeV, 28.0 fb-1

s obs. CLs

Figure 9.27: Diagonal: Mass points used to draw the contours in Figure 9.9. Observed CLs

values without variation of the signal cross section uncertainty are shown on the mass points.

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