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The World Facing Africa(Summary) - 日本国際問題研究所

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国際問題 No. 707(2022年6月)57 Essay: A World in Crisis and Africa: For the Future of TICAD

Motoki Takahashi(Professor, Kyoto University, and Professor Emeritus, Kobe University)

The world is facing two crises of Human Security: the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russian inva- sion of Ukraine. The pandemic had the potential to be a catalyst for collective action by the whole humankind, but countries have adopted exclusionary defensive measures that have resulted in signif- icant vaccination inequalities between developed countries and Africa. Africa has been extensively ravaged by war in the past, but the scant attention it has been paid pales in comparison with that being accorded to Ukraine. These two “Apartheids” will need to be overcome. Africa has refrained from changing its borders, drawn disregarding its history, for the sake of peace and prosperity, and has been aiming for regional integration. We should listen carefully to Africans’ criticisms of inva- sions and learn from their thoughts and experiences. If the TICAD process can provide a forum to discuss regional and global efforts beyond bilateral cooperation in order to expand Human Security and realize a “dignified life” for individuals, it will show its historical significance in a world of cri- sis-driven turmoil.

1 Japan’s Policies and Practices for Peace in Africa

Shinichi Takeuchi(Professor, African Studies Center - Tokyo University of Foreign Studies)

The purpose of this paper is to examine Japan’s policies and practices for peace in Africa in relation to the realities of African conflicts and international efforts for the conflict resolution, thereby iden- tifying the challenges that the country faces. Although intensified armed conflicts epitomized Africa in the 1990s, low-intensity conflicts in rural areas are the main feature in the recent period. In response, the United Nations and African regional organizations have taken the lead in implement- ing partnership peace operations. While the opportunities for the use of force has clearly increased due to the implementation of the principle of impartiality, such operations have not necessarily pro- duced desired results. Having developed policies for peace in Africa since the end of the Cold War, Japan has promoted international peace cooperation with JICA and the SDF as two main actors. In addition to the necessity of developing legal and institutional frameworks for the participation of the SDF in UN peacekeeping operations, Japan should clarify the aims and principles of its peace policy and of advocating them to the domestic and international audience.

2 France and the Sahel Crisis

Sadaharu Kataoka(Professor, Faculty of International Research and Education, School of International Liberal Studies, Waseda University)

French President Emmanuel Macron announced the withdrawal of French troops from Mali on February 17, 2022, signaling an end to Operation Barkhane. This military operation, started in August 2014 to eliminate Islamic extremists in the Sahel region centered on Mali in West Africa, is thus terminated partway through, having failed to completely stop the terrorist activities of Islamic extremists in Mali.

More than 10 years have passed since terrorist attacks and killings by jihadists first emerged in the Sahel region, especially Mali, but terrorist attacks have continued unabated. Across West Africa,

国際問題

Focus: The World Facing Africa

Summary

INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS

No. 707, June 2022

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political instability and social unrest are reaching new heights due to the activities of militant Islamic extremist groups. These jihadist activities have spread beyond Mali, Burkina Faso, Niger and Mauritania, to the north of Cote d’Ivoire, northern Benin and Ghana, and are having a signifi- cant impact on local communities.

Were the military intervention and other measures taken by the international community, led by France, a complete failure? While France will continue its military commitments in the Sahel out- side of Mali, a fundamental review of the international community’s policy toward the Sahel is urgently needed.

3 New Developments in the Forum on China-Africa Cooperation Naohiro Kitano(Professor, Waseda University)

The Forum on China-Africa Cooperation(FOCAC), jointly managed by China’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Ministry of Commerce, has served as a platform for cooperation between China and Africa. At the 8th Ministerial Conference of FOCAC(Dakar Conference)in 2021, health and medical care became the top priority sector against the backdrop of the COVID-19 pandemic, and one billion vaccine doses were committed. Numerical targets were set for trade and investment pro- motion. The scale of financial assistance at $60 billion, pledged at the 2015 Beijing Summit, was not reached, and the level was dropped by $20 billion to $40 billion at the Dakar Conference.

Infrastructure connectivity was not included as a priority item, but African needs in this regard are high and financial assistance is expected to continue. FOCAC adopted long-term vison for the first time, and other new developments included establishment of a cooperation plan and coordination mechanism for cooperation on the Belt and Road Initiative(BRI)between the National Development and Reform Commission(NDRC), which is leading the BRI, and the African Union Commission(AUC). With FOCAC and BRI overlapping in Africa, it can be inferred that actors such as the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, the Ministry of Commerce, and the NDRC are advancing China-Africa cooperation in cooperation and competition with each other.

4 Russian Policy toward Africa

Yoko Hirose(Professor, Faculty of Policy Management, Keio University)

Russia has been increasing its engagement with Africa in recent years, both formally and informally, and it has been especially welcomed in countries whose values are incompatible with those of the West, making skillful use of this receptiveness to its own benefit.

The objectives of Russia’s activities in Africa can be summed up in five points:(1)involving itself in regional conflicts and expanding its influence;(2)securing military bases;(3)gaining access to natural resources and mineral concessions;(4)competing with the US, Europe and China;

and(5)securing 54 votes in the United Nations amid international isolation.

Since the October 2019 Russia-Africa Summit, Russia has actively deepened its ties with all African countries and expanded its presence through financial assistance and economic cooperation, including debt write-offs. On the other hand, private military companies such as the Wagner Group are particularly active in the unofficial sphere and, as a “security export,” they are engaged in the defense of mines, support for local governments, and military training.

The complicated sentiment of African countries toward Russia can be also observed in their atti- tude to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.

Summary

国際問題 No. 707(2022年6月)58

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5 Ethiopian Civil War: A Long Way to the End

Yuka Kodama(Senior Researcher, Institute of Developing Economies, Japan External Trade Organization)

In November 2020, armed conflict erupted in Ethiopia between the Tigray People’s Liberation Front

(TPLF)and the federal government when TPLF forces attacked a federal military base. As a result, the TPLF, which had been the center of power for a long time, was designated as a proscribed ter- rorist organization. Although the media had reported the political conflict, the sudden armed attacks on the federal government by the TPLF was not anticipated both at home and abroad. This paper reviews the background to the TPLF’s marginalization leading up to the civil war and the course of the civil war. In March 2022, the two sides declared a humanitarian truce, resulting in a temporary lull.This paper will also examine the possibility of a “national dialogue” that has begun almost simultaneously with this civil war.

国際問題 No. 707(2022年6月)59 国際問題707号 2022年6月号

編集人『国際問題』編集委員会 発行人 佐々江 賢一郎

発行所 公益財団法人日本国際問題研究所(https://www.jiia.or.jp/)

〒100−0013 東京都千代田区霞が関3−8−1 虎の門三井ビルディング3階 電話 03−3503−7262(出版・業務担当)

*本誌掲載の各論文は執筆者個人の見解であり、執筆者の所属する機関、また当研究所の意向を代表するものでは ありません。

*論文・記事の一部分を引用する場合には必ず出所を明記してください。また長文にわたる場合は事前に当研究所 へご連絡ください。

*最近号

20年11月号 焦点: ポストコロナの世界経済

20年12月号 焦点: 新型コロナウイルスに揺れる新興経済国 21年1・2月号 焦点: パンデミック後を見据える世界と日本 213月号 焦点: パンデミックの国際法問題

214月号 創刊700号記念特集:国際社会の変容と日本外交の展望―2030年に向けて

216月号 焦点: バイデン政権の課題

218月号 焦点: アメリカの政権移行と中東国際関係 21年10月号 焦点: 経済格差に揺さぶられる世界 21年12月号 焦点: 今日の外交と人権

222月号 焦点: 習近平体制の現状と課題 224月号 焦点: 国家建設の行方

***

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