ࡣࡌࡵ
୰ᅜࡀᑐእ㛵ಀ࠾࠸࡚ᙉ◳ࡑࡢ☜ಖࢆᙇࡍࡿᑐ㇟ࢆࠕ᰾ᚰ┈ࠖ㸦᰾ᚰⓗᅜᐙ┈㸧
⾲⌧ࡍࡿࡼ࠺࡞ࡗࡓࡇࡀὀ┠ࡉࢀࡓࡢࡣ2010ᖺ௨㝆ࡢࡇ࡛࠶ࡿࠋࡇࡢࡇࡣࠊ
୰ᅜࡢᑐእ⾜ືࡀࡑࢀࡲ࡛ࡢࠕ㡗ග㣴ᬉ࠺ࡇ࠺ࡼ࠺࠸ࠖ㸦⬟ຊࢆ㞃ࡋࠊࢆᚅࡘ㸧࠸࠺⾲⌧㇟ᚩࡉࢀ
ࡿ༠ㄪᛶࡽᙉ◳࡞⮬ᕫᙇ㌿ࡋࡘࡘ࠶ࡗࡓࡇࢆ㇟ᚩࡍࡿࡶࡢㄆ㆑ࡉࢀࡓࡇࡶ
࠶ࡗ࡚ࠊ᪤࡞ࡾࡢᑓ㛛ᐙࡼࡗ࡚◊✲ࡉࢀ࡚࠸ࡿࠋ࠼ࡤࠊ࣐ࢣ࣭ࣝࢫ࢙࢘ࣥࡣ ṇ୰ᅜࡢ⮬ᕫᙇⓗᑐእ⾜ື㸦assertive behavior㸧ࡢ◊✲ࡢ➨୍㒊ࡋ࡚ࠕ᰾ᚰ┈ࠖㄽ ࡢศᯒࢆ⾜ࡗ࡚࠸ࡿ1ࠋ๓⏣ᏹᏊࡣࠕ᰾ᚰ┈ࠖㄽࢆᅜ┈ㄽதࡢ㛵㐃࡛ゎ᫂ࡋࡼ࠺ヨࡳ
ࡓ2ࠋ
ಶูࡢࢸ࣮࣐ࢆㄽࡎࡿ୰࡛㔜せ㡯┠ࡋ࡚ࠕ᰾ᚰ┈ࠖࢆᢅࡗࡓࡶࡢࡶ࠶ࡿࠋ࣮࣭࢘ࣜ
࣒ࣛࡣ୰ᅜࡢᑐ⡿㛵ಀ࠾ࡅࡿࣁࢺὴࢱ࢝ὴࡢᑐ❧ࢆࠕ᰾ᚰ┈ࠖࢆࡵࡄࡿㄽதࡋ࡚
ศᯒࡋࡓ3ࠋ㜵⾨┬㜵⾨◊✲ᡤࡢࠗ୰ᅜᏳಖ㞀࣏࣮ࣞࢺ࡛࠘ࡣࠊእ㠃࠾ࡅࡿேẸゎᨺ
㌷ࡢⓎゝຊྥୖࡢ୍⎔ࡋ࡚ࠕࠗ᰾ᚰⓗ┈࠘ࡢᅛᇳࠖࢆㄽࡌ࡚࠸ࡿ4ࠋInternational Crisis
Groupࡢ༡ࢩࢼᾏ⣮த㛵ࡍࡿሗ࿌᭩ࡣࠕ᰾ᚰ┈ࠖ㛵ࡍࡿ㡯┠ࢆࡓ࡚࡚࠸ࡿ5ࠋቑ⏣㞞
அࡣᑤ㛶ㅖᓥၥ㢟ࡢ㛵㐃࡛ࠕ᰾ᚰⓗ┈ࠖࢆㄽࡌ࡚࠸ࡿ6ࠋ
ࡇࢀࡽࡢෆࠊࢫ࢙࢘ࣥࡢ◊✲ࡣࠊᮏᩥ11࣮࣌ࢪᑐࡋ࡚ᩥᮎὀ 2.5࣮࣌ࢪࢆࡁࠊ ヲ⣽ᣐࢆ♧ࡋࡓປస࡛ࠊከᑡࡢㄗࡾࡣ࠶ࡿࡀࠊᴟࡵ࡚⏝౯್ࡀ㧗࠸ࠋᮏ✏ࡣࢫ࢙࢘
ࣥࡢ◊✲ࢆ୰ᚰࠊඛ⾜◊✲౫ᣐࡋࡘࡘࠊࠕ᰾ᚰ┈ࠖㄽࡢᒎ㛤ࢆ୰ᅜእ㛵㐃ࡅ ࡘࡘ㊧ࡅࡿࡶࡢ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
㸯㸬ணഛⓗ⪃ᐹ
ᮏ㢟ࡢศᯒධࡿ๓ࠊⅬ☜ㄆࡋ࡚࠾ࡃࡁࡇࡀ࠶ࡿࠋ➨୍ࠊ୰ᅜࡢゝㄝ✵㛫
࠾࠸࡚ࡣࠊࠕ᰾ᚰ┈ࠖ࠸࠺⾲⌧ࡣᅜ┈㛵ࡋ࡚ࡢࡳࢃࢀࡿࡶࡢ࡛ࡣ࡞࠸࠸࠺ࡇ࡛
࠶ࡿࠋ๓⏣ᏹᏊࡶᣦࡋ࡚࠸ࡿ࠾ࡾ7ࠊ୰ᅜࡢᏛ⾡ሗࢹ࣮ࢱ࣮࣋ࢫ㸦CNKI㸸China National Knowledge Infrastructure㸧࡛ࠕ᰾ᚰ┈ࠖ࠸࠺⾲⌧᳨࡛⣴ࢆࡅࡿࠊࠕࢱࢡࢩ࣮࣭ࢻࣛ
ࣂ࣮ࡢ᰾ᚰ┈ࠖࠊࠕほගࢥ࣑ࣗࢽࢸ࣮ࡢ᰾ᚰ┈ࠖࠊࠕᴗࡢ᰾ᚰ┈ࠖ➼ࠊᅜ┈ࡣ
ࣞ࣋ࣝࡢ␗࡞ࡿ┈ࢆᢅࡗࡓ㡯┠ࡀฟ࡚ࡃࡿࡢ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
➨ࠊ୰ᅜ࠾ࡅࡿᅜ┈ࢆࡵࡄࡿ㆟ㄽ࠾࠸࡚ࡣࠊࠕ᰾ᚰ┈ࠖࢆࡵࡄࡿ㆟ㄽࡀᚲࡎ ࡋࡶ㔜せࢸ࣮࣐ぢ࡞ࡉࢀ࡚ࡇ࡞ࡗࡓ࠸࠺ࡇ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ୰⳹ேẸඹᅜࡢṔྐ࠾࠸
࡚ࡣࠊᅜ┈㏣ồࡢṇᙜᛶࡀබᘧㄆࡵࡽࢀ࡞ࡗࡓᮇࡀ࠶ࡿࠋ࣐ࣝࢡࢫ࣭࣮ࣞࢽࣥ⩏
ⓗ⌮ゎࡼࢀࡤࠊࠕᅜ┈ࠖࡣᨭ㓄㝵⣭ࡢ┈ࡢ㝵⣭ᛶࢆそ࠸㞃ࡍ⾲⌧㐣ࡂ࡞࠸࠸࠺ࡇ
࡞ࡾࠊᅜ┈ࡢ㏣ồࡀᙜ↛どࡉࢀࡿࡼ࠺࡞ࡗࡓࡢࡣᨵ㠉㛤ᨺ௨ᚋࡢࡇ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ୰ᅜ
࠾࠸࡚ึࡵ࡚ᮏ᱁ⓗᅜ┈ㄽࢆᒎ㛤ࡋࡓࡢࡣ㜅Ꮫ㏻ࡢࠗ୰ᅜᅜᐙ┈ศᯒ࠘㸦ኳὠேẸฟ
∧♫ࠊ1996ᖺ㸧࡛࠶ࡿࠋᮏ᭩࠾࠸࡚ࡣࠊᅜ┈ࡀᏳಖ㞀┈ࠊᨻ┈ࠊ⤒῭┈ࠊᩥ
┈ศ㢮ࡉࢀࠊࡑࡢ㛫ࡢඃඛ㡰ࡀㄽࡌࡽࢀ࡚࠸ࡿࡀࠊࡑࡢุ᩿ࡣಶูⓗᅜ┈ࡢ㔜せ ᛶ⥭㏕ᛶ౫ࡿࡁࡇࡀᣦࡉࢀ࡚࠸ࡿࡔࡅ࡛ࠊࠕ᰾ᚰ┈ࠖ࠸࠺࢝ࢸࢦ࣮ࣜࡣタࡅ
ࡽࢀ࡚࠸࡞࠸ࠋୡ⣖ධࡗ࡚ฟ∧ࡉࢀࡓᏳಖ㞀┈㛵ࡍࡿᙇᩥᮌࡢⴭస8࡛ࡣࠊඃඛ 㡰ࡉ࠼㆟ㄽࡉࢀ࡚࠸࡞࠸ࠋ
㜅Ꮫ㏻ࢆྵࡴㄽᐈࡼࡿ21 ⦅ࡢ▷࠸ㄽᩥࢆ㞟ࡵࡓᅜ┈ㄽ㞟9ࡣࠊ᰾ᚰ┈ࢆ⾲㢟ࡋ ࡓᩥ❶ࡀ 1 ⦅࠶ࡿࡢࡳ࡛࠶ࡿ10ࠋࡇࡢㄽᩥࡣෑ㢌࡛ࠕ᰾ᚰᅜᐙ┈ࠖࡀ⡿ᅜᅜ┈ጤဨࡢ ሗ࿌᭩11࠾ࡅࡿ͆vital national interests͇ࡢヂㄒ࡛࠶ࡿࡇࢆ᫂ࡽࡋ࡚࠸ࡿࠋྠࡌ㡭
Ⓨ⾲ࡉࢀࡓ᰾ᚰ┈ࢆㄽࡌࡓᩥ❶ࡣࠊᅜᐙ┈ࢆࡑࡢ㔜せᛶᛂࡌ࡚ࠕ᰾ᚰ┈ࠖࠊࠕ㔜せ
┈ࠖࠊࠕせ┈ࠖࠊࠕ୍⯡㸦ᬑ㏻ࡢ㸧┈ࠖศ㢮ࡋࠊࠕ᰾ᚰ┈ࠖࢆᑟⓗᆅ࠶ࡿࡶ
ࡢࡋ࡚࠸ࡿ12ࡀࠊࡇࢀࡣ⡿ᅜᅜ┈ጤဨሗ࿌ ᭩ࡢ͆vital͇ࠊ͆extremely important͇ࠊ
͆important͇ࠊ͆less important or secondary͇࠸࠺⡿ᅜᅜ┈ࡢᅄศ㢮13ࢆୗᩜࡁࡋࡓࡶࡢ
ᛮࢃࢀࡿࠋ࡞࠾ࠊୖᣲࡆࡓᅜ┈ㄽ㞟ࡢᕳ㢌ㄽᩥ࡛㜅Ꮫ㏻ࡣᨵ㠉㛤ᨺ㛤ጞᚋ⣙30ᖺࢆ⤒
࡚ࠊ୰ᅜࡢᅜ┈ࡣࠊ᪥ᮏࢆ㥙ࡋࡘࡘ࠶ࡿᅜຊࡢୖ᪼ࠊᅜ㝿⎔ቃࡢኚࠊᢏ⾡㐍Ṍ➼ࡢᙳ 㡪ࢆཷࡅ࡚ࠊᛴ㏿ኚࡋࡘࡘ࠶ࡾࠊࡑࡢ☜ᐃࢆࡍࡁᮇ࠶ࡿㄽࡌ࡚࠸ࡿ14ࠋ⡿
ᅜᅜᐙ┈ጤဨሗ࿌᭩ࡣࡇࡢࡼ࠺࡞≧ἣㄆ㆑ࡢ୰࡛ཧ↷ࡉࢀࡓࡶࡢᛮࢃࢀࡿࠋࡋࡋ 㜅Ꮫ㏻ࡣࡇࡢㄽᩥ࠾࠸࡚ࡶࠕ᰾ᚰ┈ࠖࡣㄽࡌ࡚࠸࡞࠸ࠋ᭱㏆ᙼࡀඹⴭ࡛ฟ∧ࡋࡓᅜ㝿 㛵ಀㄽࡢᩍ⛉᭩15ࡣᅜᐙ┈ࢆᢅ࠺ 1 ❶ࡀ࠶ࡿࡀࠊࡑࡇ࡛ࡶᇶᮏⓗࠗ୰ᅜᅜᐙ┈ศ ᯒ࠘ࡢෆᐜࡀ⧞ࡾ㏉ࡉࢀ࡚࠾ࡾࠊࠕ᰾ᚰ┈ࠖࡣㄽࡌࡽࢀ࡚࠸࡞࠸ࠋࠕ᰾ᚰ┈ࠖㄽࡣ௨ୗ
ぢࡿࡼ࠺ᑐእ㛵ಀ㸦≉ᑐ⡿㛵ಀ㸧࠾ࡅࡿㄝᚓࡢㄽ⌮ࡋ࡚⏝ࡉࢀࡿࡼ࠺࡞ࡗ ࡓ⾲⌧࡛ࠊᅜ┈㛵ࡍࡿᏛ⾡ⓗ㆟ㄽ࠾ࡅࡿせᴫᛕ࡛ࡣ࡞ࡗࡓࡢ࡛࠶ࡿ16ࠋ
㸰㸬ᅜ┈ࡋ࡚ࡢࠕ᰾ᚰ┈ࠖㄽࡢᒎ㛤 㸦㸯㸧ࠗேẸ᪥ሗ࠘⣬࠾ࡅࡿฟ⌧㢖ᗘࡢኚ㑄
ࢫ࢙࢘ࣥࡀࠗேẸ᪥ሗ࠘ࢹ࣮ࢱ࣮࣋ࢫࡢ᳨⣴ᶵ⬟ࢆ⏝ࡋ࡚ㄪᰝࡋࡓࡇࢁ౫ࢀࡤࠊ ࠕ᰾ᚰ┈ࠖゝཬࡋࡓグࡢᩘࡣୗᅗࡢࡼ࠺࡞ኚ㑄ࢆ㐙ࡆ࡚ࡁࡓࠋࡍ࡞ࢃࡕࠊ2001ᖺ
ࡲ࡛ࡣ㛫Ḵⓗ1ᖺ1௳ࡢグࡀ࠶ࡗࡓ㐣ࡂ࡞࠸ࡀࠊ2002㸫03ᖺ1ᖺ3௳ࡎࡘ࠶ࡾࠊ 2004ᖺ25௳ᛴቑࡋࠊ2005ᖺಸቑࡋ࡚55௳࡞ࡾࠊ௨ᚋ2ᖺ㛫ࡣࡰྠỈ‽࡛࠶
ࡗࡓࡀࠊ2008ᖺ⣙1.6ಸቑࡢ95௳࡞ࡾࠊ2009ᖺࡣ⃭ቑࡋ࡚260௳࡞ࡾ㺂2010ᖺ
ࡉࡽ325௳ቑຍࡋ࡚࠸ࡿ17ࠋ
㸦㸰㸧⏝ἲࡢኚ
ୖグࡢࡼ࠺࡞⏝㢖ᗘࡢኚࡣࠊ⏝ㄒἲࡢኚࢆࡶకࡗ࡚࠸ࡓࠋࢫ࢙࢘ࣥࡼࢀࡤࠊ 1980ᖺ௦90ᖺ௦ࡣࠊබᘧ࣓ࢹ࠾࠸࡚ᅜ㝿㛵ಀࡢᩥ⬦࡛ࠕ᰾ᚰ┈ࠖ࠸࠺⾲
⌧ࢆ࠺ሙྜࡢయࡣࠊ୰ᅜ࡛ࡣ࡞ࡃࠊㅖእᅜ࡛࠶ࡗࡓࠋ1990ᖺ௦༙ࡤ୰ᅜ㛵ࡋ࡚ࠕ᰾
ᚰ┈ࠖ࠸࠺⾲⌧ࡀึࡵ࡚⏝࠸ࡽࢀࡓࠊࡑࡢෆᐜࡣᅜෆࡢၥ㢟ࢆᣦࡋ࡚࠸ࡓࠋࠗேẸ
Source: Swaine, China Leadership Monitor, no. 34, p.4
᪥ሗ࠘⣬ࡀᑐእ㛵ಀ࠾ࡅࡿ୰ᅜࡢࠕ᰾ᚰ┈ࠖ᭱ึゝཬࡋࡓࡢࡣࠊ2002ᖺ2᭶28
᪥ࡢ⡿୰㛵ಀ㛵ࡍࡿ⋤⥼ᛮㄽᩥ࠾࠸࡚࡛࠶ࡗࡓࡀࠊࡑࡢෆᐜࡣ᫂♧ࡉࢀ࡚࠸࡞ࡗ ࡓ18ࠋ
ࡋࡋࡑࡢᚋࠊྎ‴ၥ㢟ࢆබᘧࠕ᰾ᚰ┈ࠖ⾲⌧ࡍࡿࡇࡼࡗ࡚ࠊࡋ࡚⡿ᅜ
ࠊࡑࡢ῝้ࡉࢆッ࠼ࡿࡼ࠺࡞ࡿࠋࡑࡢ⫼ᬒࡣ୰ᅜࡗ࡚ࡢྎ‴ၥ㢟ࡢ῝้ࡀ࠶
ࡗࡓࠋࡍ࡞ࢃࡕ1998ᖺྎ‴ၥ㢟㛵ࡋ࡚୰ᅜࡢ❧ሙ᥋㏆ࡋࡓࠕ୕ࡘࡢࣀ࣮ࠖ19ࢆ⾲᫂
ࡋ࡚࠸ࡓࣅ࣭ࣝࢡࣜࣥࢺࣥᨻᶒࡢ㛵ಀࡀ1999ᖺ5᭶ࡢ⡿ᅜ✵㌷ࡼࡿ㥔࣋࢜ࢢ࣮ࣛࢻ୰
ᅜ㤋ㄗ⇿ࡼࡗ࡚ᝏࡋ࡚࠸ࡓ୰࡛ࠊᮤⓏ㍤⥲⤫ࡀ7᭶ࠕᅜㄽࠖࢆၐ࠼࡚⊂❧ഴ
ྥࢆ㟢࿊ࡋࠊ⩣2000ᖺࡢ⥲⤫㑅ᣲ࡛ࡣྎ‴⊂❧ࢆඪ⥘㡿ᥖࡆࡓẸ㐍Ṍඪࡢ㝞Ỉᡥೃ⿵
ࡀᙜ㑅ࡋࠊ2002ᖺ8᭶ࡣ㝞Ỉᡥ⥲⤫ࡀྎ‴ᾏᓙ୧ᓊ࠾ࡅࡿࠕ୍㎶୍ᅜࠖࢆၐ࠼ࠊ2003 ᖺධࡿ㝞Ỉᡥ⥲⤫ࡀ⩣ᖺࡢ⥲⤫㑅ᣲࡢ㝿ྎ‴⊂❧ࡢྍྰࢆၥ࠺බẸᢞ⚊ࡢᐇゝ ཬࡋ࡚࠸ࡓࡢ࡛࠶ࡿࠋࡑࡢ㛫⡿ᅜ࡛ࡣ㺂2001ᖺ1᭶Ⓨ㊊ࡋࡓࢪ࣮ࣙࢪ.W.ࣈࢵࢩࣗᨻᶒࡀ 4 ᭶ྎ‴ྥࡅࡢつᶍ࡞රჾ㍺ฟࡢᐇࢆ⾲᫂ࡋࠊྎ‴ࡢᏳಖ㞀ᑐࡍࡿࢥ࣑ࢵࢺ࣓
ࣥࢺࢆ᫂☜ࡋ࡚࠸ࡓࠋࡇࡢࡼ࠺࡞≧ἣ┤㠃ࡋࡓ୰ᅜࡣࠊ2001ᖺ9᭶11 ᪥ࡢྠከⓎ
ࢸࣟ௨㝆ᑐࢸࣟᡓதഴᩳࡋ࡚࠸ࡗࡓ⡿ᅜࡢ㛵ಀᨵၿࢆᅗࡾࠊ⡿ᅜࢆᕳࡁ㎸ࡴࡇࡼ
ࡗ࡚ྎ‴ࡢ⊂❧ഴྥࡢ㧗ࡲࡾࢆᑒࡌ㎸ࡵࡼ࠺ࡋ࡚࠸ࡓࡢ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
ྎ‴ࢆ୰ᅜࡢࠕ᰾ᚰ┈ࠖࡍࡿ᭱ึࡢබᘧⓎゝࡣࠊ2003ᖺ1᭶19᪥ࡢ၈ᐙ〉እ㒊 㛗ࢥ࣭ࣜࣥࣃ࢚࢘ࣝᅜົ㛗ᐁࡢㄯ࡛࡞ࡉࢀࡓࠋ⩣ᖺඖ᪦ࡣእ㒊ࡢグ⪅ぢ࡛Ⓨゝ
ேࡀྎ‴ၥ㢟ࡢᩥ⬦࡛ࠕᶒ㡿ᅵಖࠖࢆࠕ᰾ᚰ┈ࠖࡍࡿⓎゝࢆࡋࡓࠋ௨ᚋ 2004 ᖺࢆ㏻ࡌ࡚ࠊᶒ㡿ᅵಖ࡞࠸ࡋࡣྎ‴ࢆࠕ᰾ᚰ┈ࠖࡍࡿබᘧⓎゝࡀᛴቑࡋࠊⓎゝ
⪅ࡶእ㒊Ⓨゝேࡸእᐁࡢࡳ࡞ࡽࡎࠊ၈ᐙ〉እ㒊㛗ࡀࢥࣥࢻ࣮ࣜࢨ࣭ࣛࢫᏳಖ㞀 ᢸᙜ⤫㡿⿵బᐁ㸦7᭶㸧ࠊᮤ⫕ᫍእ㒊㛗ࡀࣃ࢙࢘ࣝᅜົ㛗ᐁ㸦10᭶㸧ࠊ ᐙᐆ⥲⌮
ࡀࢪ࣭࣮ࣚࣟࢵࣃ㆟㸦ASEM㸧ࡢ₇ㄝ࡛㸦10 ᭶㸧ࠊ⬌㘊℀ᅜᐙᖍࡀࣈࢵࢩࣗ⤫
㡿࠾ࡼࡧ࣮࢜ࢫࢺࣛࣜࡢࢪ࣭ࣙࣥࣁ࣮࣡ࢻ㤳┦ࡢぢ࡛㸦11᭶㸧ᚎࠎࣞ࣋ࣝࡀୖ
ࡀࡾࠊ┦ᡭࡶ⡿ᅜ௨እࡢᅜࢆྵࡴࡼ࠺࡞ࡗ࡚࠸ࡗࡓ20ࠋ
ࢫ࢙࢘ࣥࡼࡿࠊୡ⣖᭱ึࡢ10ᖺࡢ๓༙㡭ࡽ୰ᅜࡣ⡿ᅜᑐࡋ࡚ࠕ᰾ᚰ┈ࠖ
ࡢ┦ᑛ㔜ࢆ┒ࡾ㎸ࢇࡔබᘧᩥ᭩Ⓨฟࡢせồࢆᚎࠎᙉࡵ࡚࠸ࡗࡓ21ࠋࡑࡢ୰࡛ࠊࠕ᰾ᚰ
┈ࠖࡢ㐺⏝ᑐ㇟ࡶከᵝࡋ࡚࠸ࡗࡓࠋ2006ᖺ4᭶ࡣ᭮⣚ᅜᐙᖍࡀࢫࣜࣛࣥ࢝ࡢ㤳
┦ࡢㄯ࡛ึࡵ࡚ࢳ࣋ࢵࢺࢆබᘧࠕ᰾ᚰ┈ࠖつᐃࡋࡓ22ࠋྠᖺ 9 ᭶ࡣᮤ⫕ᫍእ
㒊㛗ࡀࠕᅜᐙᏳಖ㞀ࠖࢆึࡵ࡚බᘧࠕ᰾ᚰ┈ࠖࡍࡿ₇ㄝࢆࡋࡓ23ࠋྠᖺ11᭶
ࡣ⬌㘊℀ᅜᐙᖍࡀࣃ࢟ࢫࢱࣥゼၥࡢ㝿ࡢ₇ㄝ࡛ࠊࠕ᰾ᚰ┈ࠖࢆิᣲࡋࡓ㝿ึࡵ࡚ேᶒ ၥ㢟㛵ࡍࡿỴᐃᶒ᪂ᙖၥ㢟ࢆࡑࡇྵࡵࡓ24ࠋࡇࢀࡽࡢබᘧⓎゝࡀ࡚2006ᖺ⾜ࢃ
ࢀࡓࡇࡣࠊୖ㏙ࡢࡼ࠺ୡ⣖᭱ึࡢ10ᖺࡢ୰㡭ᅜ┈㛵ࡍࡿ㆟ㄽࡢ㧗ࡲࡾࡀ࠶ࡗࡓ ࡇ㛵㐃ࡋ࡚࠸ࡿᛮࢃࢀࡿࡀࠊලయⓗ࡞ᅉᯝ㐃㙐ࡢゎ᫂ࡣᚋࡢ◊✲ㄢ㢟ࡋࡓ࠸ࠋ
ࡲࡓࡇࢀࡽࡢබᘧⓎゝࢆ㏻ࡋ࡚ࠊ㐺⏝ᑐ㇟ࡢከᵝࡶࠕ᰾ᚰ┈ࠖ࠸࠺⏝ㄒࡣࠊ ጇ༠ࡸྲྀᘬࡢవᆅࡣ࡞ࡃࠊࡑࡢ☜ಖࡢࡓࡵࡣࠊ≉ᶒ㡿ᅵಖ㛵ࡋ࡚ࡣࠊṊຊ⾜
ࡶ࠶ࡾ࠺ࡿ࠸࠺ྵពࡀ࠶ࡿࡇࡀ᫂☜࡞ࡗࡓ25ࠋ
ࡇࡢࡼ࠺࡞≧ἣࢆ⫼ᬒࠊ2009 ᖺ 7 ᭶ࡢ⡿୰ᡓ␎࣭⤒῭ᑐヰ㸦Strategic and Economic
Dialogue㸧ࡢ㛢₇ㄝ࡛እᢸᙜࡢᡝ⛃ᅜᅜົጤဨࡣࠊࠕ⡿୰㛵ಀࡢ㛗ᮇⓗࡘ࡞Ⓨᒎࠖ
ࡢࡓࡵࡣ┦ࡢࠕᨭᣢࠊᑛ㔜ࠊ⌮ゎࠖཬࡧࠕ᰾ᚰ┈㸦core interests㸧ࡢ⥔ᣢࠖࡀ㔜せ࡛
࠶ࡿ㏙ࠊ୰ᅜഃࡢ㛵ᚰࡣࠊձᇶᮏไᗘᅜᐙᏳಖ㞀ࡢ⥔ᣢࠊղᅜᐙᶒ㡿ᅵಖࠊ ճ⤒῭ⓗ࠾ࡼࡧ♫ⓗ࡞ᣢ⥆ⓗⓎᒎ࡛࠶ࡿ㏙ࡓ26ࠋࡇࢀࡣࠊࠕ᰾ᚰ┈ࠖࡢෆᐜࢆయ⣔
ⓗᥦ♧ࡋࡓࡶࡢゝ࠼ࠊࡑࡢཎᆺⓗ⾲⌧ࡣ₩⠡እ㒊㛗ࡀྠᖺ3᭶⡿ᅜ࡛⾜ࡗࡓ₇ ㄝࡶぢࡽࢀࡓ27ࠋࡋࡋࠊࡑࡢබᘧሗ㐨ࡣ⡿ᅜᅜົ┬ࡢ࢙࢘ࣈࢧࢺࡢࡳ࡛ࠊ୰ᅜ࡛ࡣ
⳹ൂྥࡅ㏻ಙ♫ࡢ࢙࢘ࣈࢧࢺᥖ㍕ࡉࢀࡓ28ࡔࡅࡔࡗࡓࠋࡇࡢࡇࡣࠊእ㛵ಀ⪅ࢆ୰
ᚰࠕ᰾ᚰ┈ࠖࡢෆᐜࢆ᫂☜つᐃࡋࡼ࠺࠸࠺ㄆ㆑ࡀ࠶ࡗࡓࡶࡢࡢࠊᅜෆྥࡅ᫂♧
ࡍࡿ༑ศ࡞ᣦᑟ㒊ෆࡢࢥࣥࢭࣥࢧࢫࡲ࡛ࡣ⮳ࡗ࡚࠸࡞ࡗࡓࡇࢆ♧ࡍࡶࡢᛮࢃࢀ
ࡿࠋ
ࠕ᰾ᚰ┈ࠖࢆ┒ࡾ㎸ࢇࡔබᘧᩥ᭩ᑐࡍࡿ୰ᅜࡢᑐ⡿せồࡣ2009ᖺ11᭶ࡢࣂࣛࢡ࣭
࢜ࣂ࣐⤫㡿ゼ୰㝿ࡋ࡚Ⓨฟࡉࢀࡓࠕඹྠኌ᫂ࠖࡼࡗ࡚ᐇ⌧ࡉࢀࡓࠋࡇࡢඹྠኌ᫂
ࡣࠕ᪉ࡣࠊ┦ࡢ᰾ᚰ┈㸦core interests㸧ࡢᑛ㔜ࡀ⡿୰㛵ಀࡢ╔ᐇ࡞㐍ᒎࡗ࡚ᴟࡵ
࡚㔜せ࡛࠶ࡿࡇྜពࡋࡓࠖ࠸࠺୍ᩥࡀ┒ࡾ㎸ࡲࢀࡓࡢ࡛࠶ࡿࠋࡋࡋࠊࡇࡢඹྠኌ
᫂ࡣ୰ᅜഃࡢせồࢆ༑ศᫎࡋࡓࡶࡢ࡛ࡣ࡞ࡗࡓࠋ⡿ᅜഃ࡛ࡇࡢඹྠኌ᫂ࡢෆᐜࡢ
΅ࡢ௵ᙜࡓࡗࡓࢪ࢙ࣇ࣮࣭ࣜ࣋ࢲ࣮ᅜᐙᏳಖ㞀㆟ࢪᢸᙜ㒊㛗ࡼࢀࡤࠊ୰ᅜ
ഃࡣ᭱ᚋࡢ▐㛫ࡲ࡛㸦up to the last minute㸧ࠊ୰ᅜࡢࠕ᰾ᚰ┈ࠖࢆྎ‴᪂ᙖࡢ⊂❧ᑐ ࡍࡿᑐ࡛࠶ࡿ᫂♧ⓗグ㏙ࡍࡿࡇࢆせồࡋࡓࡀࠊ⡿ᅜഃࡣᣄ⤯ࡋࡓ29ࠋࡑࢀࡶ
ࢃࡽࡎࠊ୰ᅜࡣࡇࡢඹྠኌ᫂ࢆ⡿୰㛵ಀࠕ᪂ᮇࠖ㸦new era㸧ࢆࡶࡓࡽࡋࡓࠕ㔜せ࡞
ࢥࣥࢭࣥࢧࢫࠖࡋࠊᵝࠎ࡞ၥ㢟㛵ࡋ࡚୰ᅜഃࡢࠕ᰾ᚰ┈ࠖࡢᑛ㔜ࢆせồࡍࡿࡼ࠺
࡞ࡗࡓ30ࠋ
㸱㸬༡ࢩࢼᾏ㡿᭷ᶒၥ㢟ࠕ᰾ᚰ┈ࠖㄽ
2010ᖺ4᭶ࢽ࣮࣮ࣗࣚࢡ࣭ࢱ࣒ࢬ⣬ࡣࠊࠕ࠶ࡿ⡿ᅜࡢ୰ᅜᨻ⟇ᢸᙜᐁࠖࡽࡢሗ
ࡋ࡚ࠊ3 ᭶ிࢆゼၥࡋࡓ࣋ࢲ࣮㒊㛗ࢪ࢙࣮࣒ࢫ࣭ࢫࢱࣥࣂ࣮ࢢᅜົ㛗ᐁᑐ ࡋ࡚୰ᅜഃࡀࡸ༡ࢩࢼᾏࡣᶒ࠸࠺ࠕ᰾ᚰ┈ࠖᒓࡋ࡚࠾ࡾᅜࡢධࡣチࡉࢀ࡞
࠸㏙ࠊ୰ᅜࡀึࡵ࡚༡ࢩࢼᾏࢆྎ‴ࠊࢳ࣋ࢵࢺ୪ࡪࠕ᰾ᚰ┈ࠖ⾲⌧ࡋࡓሗࡌ ࡓ31ࠋ
ࡑࡢᚋྠ✀ࡢሗ㐨ࡀ୰ᅜෆእࡢከࡃࡢ࣓ࢹ࡛⧞ࡾ㏉ࡉࢀࡓࡇࡼࡾࠊ୰ᅜࡀ༡ࢩ ࢼᾏࢆ᪂ࡓࠕ᰾ᚰ┈ࠖຍ࠼ࡓࡢㄆ㆑ࡀ୰ᅜෆእ୍࡛ேṌࡁࡋࡣࡌࡵࠊୖグሗ㐨ࡢ
⾲㢟ࡀዴᐇ♧ࡍࡼ࠺ࠊ୰ᅜࡢ㌷ⓗᣑᙇ⩏ⓗഴྥࡢドᕥࡋ࡚ゝཬࡉࢀࡿࡼ࠺࡞
ࡗࡓࠋྠᖺ11᭶ࡣࠊ5᭶ࡢ⡿୰ᡓ␎࣭⤒῭ᑐヰ࠾࠸࡚ᡝ⛃ᅜᅜົጤဨࡀ༡ࢩࢼᾏࢆ୰
ᅜࡢࠕ᰾ᚰ┈ࠖࡍࡿⓎゝࢆࡋࡓࡇࢆࣄ࣮࣭ࣛࣜࢡࣜࣥࢺࣥᅜົ㛗ᐁࡀ⮬ࡽබᘧㄆ
ࡵࡓ32ࠋ
ࡋࡋࢫ࢙࢘ࣥࡀ⢭ᰝࡋࡓࡇࢁ౫ࢀࡤࠊ࣋ࢲ࣮ࢫࢱࣥࣂ࣮ࢢᑐࡍࡿⓎゝ
ࡘ࠸࡚ࡣࡑࢀࢆࡅࡿබᘧࡢ㈨ᩱࡣ࡞ࡃࠊ9 ᭶බᘧࡢ☜ㄆࢆồࡵࡽࢀࡓእ㒊Ⓨゝ
ேࡣྰᐃࡶ⫯ᐃࡶࡋ࡞࠸᭕࡞ᛂࢆ♧ࡋࡓ33ࠋࡲࡓࠊࢆࠕ㠀ᖖࡼࡃ▱ࡗ࡚࠸ࡿࠖ
ୖ⣭ᨻᗓ⫋ဨ㸦senior official㸧ࢫ࢙࢘ࣥࡀಶேⓗ☜ㄆࡋࡓࡇࢁࠊࡇࡢྜ࡛༡ࢩ ࢼᾏࢆ᫂♧ⓗࠕ᰾ᚰ┈ࠖࡍࡿⓎゝࡣ࡞ࡗࡓࡢࡇ࡛࠶ࡿࠋࡇࡢⅬࡘ࠸࡚ᙜ
⪅ࡢ㸯ே࡛࠶ࡿ࣋ࢲ࣮ࡣᖺฟ∧ࡉࢀࡓⴭ᭩࡛እ㒊ᖖົ㒊㛗㸦executive vice foreign minister㸧ࡀ༡ࢩࢼᾏᑐࡍࡿ୰ᅜࡢ㡿᭷ᶒࡘ࠸࡚ࠕᅜᐙⓗඃඛ㡯ࠖ㸦national priority㸧
ࡋ࡚㛗ࠎ㏙ࡓࡀࠊࠕ᰾ᚰ┈ࠖࡣࡋ࡚࠸࡞ࡗࡓࠊグࡋ࡚࠸ࡿ34ࠋ
ᡓ␎࣭⤒῭ᑐヰࡢ㝿ࡢࢡࣜࣥࢺࣥᅜົ㛗ᐁᑐࡍࡿⓎゝࡘ࠸࡚ࡣࠊබ⾲ࡉࢀࡓᡝ⛃ᅜ ࡢⓎゝグ㘓ࡣࠕ᰾ᚰ┈ࠖࡢゝཬࡀ࡞ࡃࠊ⡿ᅜᨻᗓ㧗ᐁ㸦one very well placed U.S. official㸧 ࡀࠊୖグࡢࢡࣜࣥࢺࣥ㛗ᐁⓎゝ௨๓ࠊࢫ࢙࢘ࣥಶேⓗ㏙ࡓࡇࢁࡼࡿࠊᡝ
⛃ᅜࡣ༡ࢩࢼᾏࢆࠕ᰾ᚰ┈ࠖࡣࢇ࡛࠾ࡽࡎࠊᡓ␎࣭⤒῭ᑐヰ࠾ࡅࡿ༡ࢩࢼᾏ㛵 ࡍࡿⓎゝࡣୗࡢᨻᗓ⫋ဨࡼࡿࡶࡢ࡛ᶒጾᛶࢆᣢࡘࡶࡢ࡛ࡣ࡞࠸ࠋࡇࡢࡼ࠺࡞ࡇࢆ㋃
ࡲ࠼࡚ࠊࢫ࢙࢘ࣥࡣࢡࣜࣥࢺࣥ㛗ᐁࡢⓎゝࡘ࠸࡚ࠊᡝ⛃ᅜࡢⓎゝࡀ⚾ⓗࡘ㠀බᘧ࡞
ࡶࡢ࡛࠶ࡗࡓࠊࢡࣜࣥࢺࣥࡢグ᠈㐪࠸ࠊ୰ᅜഃࢆ≌ไࡍࡿࡓࡵᨾពᐇ㐪࠺Ⓨゝࢆ
ࡋࡓ➼ࡢྍ⬟ᛶࢆิᣲࡋࡘࡘุ᩿ࢆᅇ㑊ࡋ࡚࠸ࡿ35ࠋ
௨ୖࡢ⪃ᐹࢆ㋃ࡲ࠼࡚ࢫ࢙࢘ࣥࡣࠊ୰ᅜࡀ᫂☜༡ࢩࢼᾏࢆࠕ᰾ᚰ┈ࠖつᐃࡋࡓ ࡇࡣ࡞ࡃࠊࡓ࠼ᡓ␎࣭⤒῭ᑐヰ࡛ࡑ࠺ࡋࡓࡋ࡚ࡶ㠀බᘧ⾜ࢃࢀࡓࡢ࡛࠶ࡾࠊ3 ᭶
ࡣ࣋ࢲ࣮ࢫࢱࣥࣂ࣮ࢢᑐࡋ࡚༡ࢩࢼᾏၥ㢟ࡢ㔜せᛶࢆッ࠼ࡓࡀࠊព㆑ⓗࡑࡢ ࡇࢆ᫂☜ࡍࡿࡇࢆ㑊ࡅ࡚࠸ࡓࠊ࠸࠺ุ᩿ࢆ♧ࡋ࡚࠸ࡿࠋ࡞࠾ࠊ༡ࢩࢼᾏࡀࠕ᰾ᚰ
┈ࠖᒓࡍࡿྰࢆ᫂☜ࡋ࡞ࡗࡓ⌮⏤ࡋ࡚ࡣࠊ᫂☜⫯ᐃࡋࡓሙྜࡣᙉ࠸ᅜ 㝿ⓗⓎࡀணࡉࢀࠊ᫂☜ྰᐃࡋࡓሙྜࡣᅜෆⓗᙅ⭜ぢࡽࢀࡿ༴㝤ࡀ࠶ࡗࡓࡇ
ࢆᣦࡋ࡚࠸ࡿ36ࠋ
࠸ࡎࢀࡏࡼࠊࢽ࣮࣮ࣗࣚࢡ࣭ࢱ࣒ࢬ⣬ࡢሗ㐨ࡑࢀ㛵㐃ࡍࡿᩘࠎࡢࡑࡢᚋࡢሗ 㐨ࡣࠊ๓ᖺᮎࡢࢥ࣌ࣥࣁ࣮ࢤࣥᅜ㐃Ẽೃኚື㆟࠾ࡅࡿᙉ◳ጼໃࠊ2010ᖺ1᭶ࡢ⡿ᅜྎ
‴ྥࡅṊჾ㍺ฟ 2᭶ࡢ࢜ࣂ࣐⤫㡿ࡢࢲ࣭࣐ࣛࣛࡢぢᑐࡍࡿᙉⅯ࡞Ⓨࠊ3᭶
㯤ᾏ࡛㉳ࡁࡓ㡑ᅜࢥࣝ࣋ࢵࢺⰄỿἐ௳㛵ࡍࡿᅜ㝿ㄪᰝᅋࡀ5᭶ᮅ㩭ࡼࡿ㨶㞾 ᨷᧁࡢ⤖ㄽࢆฟࡋࡓᚋࡢࠊᅜ㐃Ᏻಖ⌮࠾ࡅࡿᮅ㩭㠀㞴Ỵ㆟ࡢ㜼Ṇ࠾ࡼࡧᮅ㩭
ࡢ≌ไࢆ┠ⓗィ⏬ࡉࢀࡓ㯤ᾏ࠾ࡅࡿ⡿㡑ྜྠ㌷₇⩦ᑐࡍࡿᙉⅯ࡞Ⓨ➼୪ࢇ࡛ࠊ
୰ᅜࡢᑐእⓗ⮬ᕫᙇࡢ㧗ࡲࡾࡢ୍⎔ࡋ࡚ࠊ୰ᅜࡢ㡿᭷ᶒ⣮தࡢᑐᛂࡢᙉ◳ࡢドᕥ
ぢ࡞ࡉࢀࠊᵝࠎ࡞ᅜ㝿ⓗἼ⣠ࢆࡶࡓࡽࡋࡓࠋ
3 ᭶ிࢆゼၥࡋࡓ࣋ࢲ࣮ࢫࢱࣥࣂ࣮ࢢᑐࡋ࡚୰ᅜഃࡀ༡ࢩࢼᾏࡢ㡿᭷ᶒࢆ
ᙉࡃᙇࡋࡓࡇࠊ㌷ேࡸ୰ࡢᨻᗓ⫋ဨࡀᢡゐࢀ࡚༡ࢩࢼᾏࡀࠕ᰾ᚰ┈ࠖᒓࡍ
ࡿᙇࡋ࡚࠸ࡓࡇࡽࠊ࣋ࢲ࣮࣮࢝ࢺ࣭࢟ࣕࣥ࣋ࣝᮾࢪ࣭ኴᖹὒᢸᙜᅜົḟ ᐁ⿵ࡣ༡ࢩࢼᾏ㛵ࡍࡿໟᣓⓗᨻ⟇⾲᫂ࡀᚲせ࡛࠶ࡿุ᩿ࡋࡓࠋࡑࡢᨻ⟇⾲᫂ࡣࢡࣜࣥ
ࢺࣥᅜົ㛗ᐁࡼࡗ࡚7᭶ࣁࣀ࡛㛤ദࡉࢀࡓASEANᆅᇦࣇ࢛ࣛ㸫࣒ࣛ㸦ARF㸧࡛⾜࠺
ࡇࡋࠊேࡣཧຍᅜࡢ᰿ᅇࡋࢆࡋࡓ37ࠋARF ࡛ࢡࣜࣥࢺࣥ㛗ᐁࡣ⡿ᅜࡀ༡ࢩࢼᾏ
࠾ࡅࡿࠕ⯟⾜ࡢ⮬⏤ࠊࢪࡢᾏୖධᆅ㸦maritime commons㸧ࡢ᥋㏆ࡢ㛤ᨺᛶࠊᅜ㝿 ἲࡢᑛ㔜ࠖࢆࠕᅜ┈ࠖࡋ࡚࠸ࡿ⾲᫂ࡋࡓࡢ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ㛗ᐁࡣࡲࡓࠊ㡿᭷ᶒ⣮தࢆᙉไຊ
౫ࡽࡎゎỴࡍࡿࡓࡵࡢࠊ㡿᭷ᶒࢆᙇࡍࡿࠕ࡚ࡢᅜࡼࡿ༠ㄪⓗእࣉࣟࢭࢫࠖࢆ
ᨭᣢࡍࡿ㏙࡚ࠊᅜ㛫࡛ࡢၥ㢟ࢆᙇࡋ࡚࠸ࡓ୰ᅜࡼࡾࡶᮾ༡ࢪㅖᅜᐤࡾࡢጼ ໃࢆ♧၀ࡍࡿࡶࠊ㛵ಀᅜᮾ༡ࢪㅖᅜࡀ୰ᅜせồࡋ࡚࠸ࡓ༡ࢩࢼᾏ㛵ࡍ
ࡿࠕ⾜ືつ⠊ࠖࡢసᡂࢆಁࡋࡓ38ࠋ
ࡇࡢࡼ࠺࡞ᒎ㛤ࢆ⫼ᬒࠊ୰ᅜ࡛ࡣࠕ᰾ᚰ┈ࠖࡢ༡ࢩࢼᾏࡢ㐺⏝ᢈุⓗ࡞ぢゎࡀ
⾲᫂ࡉࢀࡿࡼ࠺࡞ࡗࡓࠋᅜ㜵Ꮫࡢ㡑᪫ᮾᩍᤵࡣࠕ᰾ᚰ┈ࠖࡢᥦ♧ᙜࡓࡗ࡚୰ᅜࡀ
⏝ᚰ῝࠸ែᗘࢆࡿࡁࡔᙇࡋࡓࠋఱᨾ࡞ࡽࡤࠊ୰ᅜࡢ⥲ྜᅜຊࠊ≉㌷ຊࡣ࡚
ࡢࠕ᰾ᚰ┈ࠖࢆ᧦ㆤࡍࡿࡢ༑ศ࡛࠶ࡾࠊࡑࡢᑦ᪩࡞ᥦ♧ࡣ㏫ຠᯝ࡞ࡿࡽ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
ࡲࡓࠊࠕ᰾ᚰ┈ࠖࡢ㐣ᗘࡢᙉㄪࡣࡢᅜ┈ࡢ㍍どࢆࡶࡓࡽࡋࡡ࡞࠸ࠋᚑࡗ࡚ࠊ୰ᅜࡣ ᅜຊࡢቑᛂࡌ࡚ᚎࠎࠕ᰾ᚰ┈ࠖࡢࣜࢫࢺࢆ᫂ࡽࡋ࡚࠸ࡃࡁࡔ࠸࠺ࡢ࡛࠶
ࡿ39ࠋᅜ㐃༠ࡢ㛗࡛ඖ㥔᪥ࠊඖᅜ㐃ࡢ㝞ࡣ 8᭶ᮎᮾி࡛⾜ࢃࢀࡓ➨ 6ᅇ ࠕᮾி㸫ிࣇ࢛࣮࣒࡛ࣛࠖ༡ࢩࢼᾏࢆ୰ᅜࡢࠕ᰾ᚰ┈ࠖࡍࡿ⪃࠼᪉ࢆྰᐃࡋࡓࠋࡑ ࡢⓎゝࡣࠕᮾி㸫ிࣇ࢛࣮࣒ࣛࠖࡢ࢙࢘ࣈࢧࢺ࡛ࡣᴫ␎ࡋⓎ⾲ࡉࢀ࡚࠸࡞࠸ࡀࠊ11
᭶᪥ᮏ࣓ࢹࡢྲྀᮦࢆཷࡅࡓ㝿ࡢグ㘓ࡣࡼࡾヲ⣽ᩜ⾝ࡉࢀ࡚࠸ࡿࠋ㝞ࡣ⨶ᑗ
㌷ࡀⓎ⾲ࡋࡓ༡ࢩࢼᾏࡣ୰ᅜࡢࠕ᰾ᚰ┈࡛ࠖ࠶ࡿ࠸࠺ᩥ❶ࢆࡼࡾ┤᥋ࡘ᫂☜ᢈุ
ࡋ࡚௨ୗࡢࡼ࠺㏙ࡓ40ࠋ
༡ࢩࢼᾏࡀ୰ᅜࡢ᰾ᚰ┈࡛࠶ࡿࠊ࠸࠺୰ࡢࠕ࡛࠶ࡿ㸦㸧ࠖ࠸࠺ࡢࡀṇࡋࡃ
࡞࠸ࠋ༡ࢩࢼᾏ୰ᅜࡢ᰾ᚰ┈ࠕࡀ࠶ࡿ㸦᭷㸧ࠖ࠸࠺ࡢࡀṇࡋ࠸ࠋࠕ࡛࠶ࡿࠖ
ࡀ࠼ࡿ༳㇟ࡣ༡ࢩࢼᾏࡀ୰ᅜࡢ᰾ᚰ┈࡛࠶ࡿ࠸࠺ࡇ࡞ࡿࠋ㹙ࡋࡋ㹛 ༡ࢩࢼᾏࡣすἋࠊ༡Ἃࠊ୰Ἃࡀ࠶ࡾࠊࡇࢀࡽࡢᓥ♋ᑐࡋ࡚୰ᅜࡣ⌮⏤༑ศ
࡞᰿ᣐࢆࡶࡗ࡚ᡃࠎࡢ㡿ᅵ࡛࠶ࡿㄝ᫂ࡋ࡚࠸ࡿࠊࡋࡋ㹙༡ࢩࢼᾏࡣ㹛ᡃࠎ ࡢ㡿ᅵ࡛࡞࠸ࡶࡢࡶ㠀ᖖከ࠸ࠋࡋࡶ༡ࢩࢼᾏࡣᅜ㝿ⓗබᾏ࡛࠶ࡾࠊ⯟⾜ࡣ⮬
⏤࡛࠶ࡿࠋ࣭࣭࣭➨ࠊ⨶ࡣ㏥ᙺᑗ㌷࡛࠶ࡾࠊᙼࡀⓎ⾲ࡋࡓࡶࡢࡣಶேࡢពぢ
࡛࠶ࡿࠋ࣭࣭࣭༡ࢩࢼᾏࡢ㛵㐃ᓥ♋ࡣ୰ᅜࡢᅜᐙ┈㛵ಀࡍࡿࡀࠊ᰾ᚰ┈࡛ࡣ
࡞࠸ࠋ୰ᅜࡢ᰾ᚰ┈ࡣ➨୍Ⓨᒎ࡛࠶ࡾࠊ➨ྎ‴࡛࠶ࡿࠋࡇࡢࡘࡘ࠸
࡚ࡣ΅ࢆࡋ࡚࠸࡞࠸㸦ἐ᭷ၟ㔞㸧࣭࣭࣭ࠋࡋࡋࠊ༡ἋࠊすἋ➼ࡢᓥ♋ࡘ࠸࡚
ࡣத㆟ࡀ࠶ࡿㄆࡵ࡚࠸ࡿࠊ࣭࣭࣭࣋ࢺࢼ࣒ࠊࣇࣜࣆࣥࠊ࣐࣮ࣞࢩࠊࣈࣝࢿ
த㆟ࡀ࠶ࡿࡇࢆㄆࡵ࡚࠾ࡾࠊࡇࡢத㆟ࡘ࠸࡚ࡣᖹⓗ΅ࡼࡿゎỴࢆ
ᙇࡋ࡚࠸ࡿࠋ࣭࣭ྎ‴ၥ㢟ࡘ࠸࡚ࡣ⡿ᅜࡢᖹⓗ΅ࢆ㏻ࡌ࡚ゎỴࡍࡁࡔ࡞
ゝࡗࡓࡇࡣ࡞࠸ࠋᚑࡗ࡚✀㢮ࡢၥ㢟ࡣࣞ࣋ࣝࡀ␗࡞ࡿࡢ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ㸦㹙㹛ෆ ࡣヂ⪅⿵㸧
ிᏛࡢᮒ㗓ᩍᤵࡣࠊࠕ༡ࢩࢼᾏࡀ୰ᅜࡢ᰾ᚰ┈࡛࠶ࡿࠖᨻᗓ⫋ဨࡀබᘧ⾲᫂
ࡋࡓࡇࡣ࡞࠸ࡋ࡚ࠊ௨ୗࡢࡼ࠺㏙ࡓ41ࠋ
࣭୰ᅜࡀ࠶ࡿ㆟㢟ࢆࠕ᰾ᚰ┈࡛ࠖ࠶ࡿᐉゝࡍࡿࡇࡣࠊࡑࡢゎỴࡢࡓࡵ୰ᅜࡀ Ṋຊ⾜ࢆྵࡴ࠶ࡽࡺࡿ㑅ᢥ⫥ࢆಖ␃ࡋ࡚࠸ࡿࡇࢆᙉㄪࡍࡿࡇ࡞ࡿࠋ
࣭༡ࢩࢼᾏࡣ୰ᅜࡢ༡Ἃ⩌ᓥࡔࡅ࡛࡞ࡃࠊࢪ࡛᭱ࡶ⦾ᛁ࡞㏻ၟ㊰࡛࠶ࡾࠊ7 ࡘࡢ ᅜᐙࡢ㡿ᾏⓗ⤒῭Ỉᇦཬࡧᅜ㝿බᾏࢆྵࡴᅜ㝿Ỉᇦ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
࣭༡ࢩࢼᾏࢆ᰾ᚰ┈ᐉゝࡍࡿࡇࡣᮾ༡ࢪㅖᅜࡢ៧៖ࢆᘬࡁ㉳ࡇࡍࡢࡳ࡞ࡽ
ࡎࠊࡇࡢỈᇦ㔜せ࡞ၟᴗࠊ⯟㐠ࠊᏳಖ㞀ୖࡢ┈ࢆ᭷ࡍࡿᅜᐙࡢ㆙ᡄࢆ῝ࡵࠊ
୰ᅜࡀᮾࢪ࡛ᾏୖໃຊ⠊ᅖࡢ⥺ᘬࡁࢆࡋࡼ࠺ࡋ࡚࠸ࡿゎ㔘ࡉࢀࡡ࡞࠸ࠋ ࣭⡿ᅜࡀ༡ࢩࢼᾏၥ㢟ᡭࢆฟࡍࡇࡣ᩿ᅛᑐࡋ࡞ࡃ࡚ࡣ࡞ࡽ࡞࠸ࡀࠊᡃࠎࡶ༡
ࢩࢼᾏࢆ᰾ᚰ┈᱁ୖࡆࡋ࡚ࠊேⅭⓗໃࢆ⥭ᙇࡉࡏࡿࡘࡶࡾࡣ࡞࠸ࠋ ࣭୰ᅜࡣ༡ࢩࢼᾏၥ㢟㛵ࡋ࡚ࠕ᰾ᚰ┈ࠖ࠸࠺ࢥࢺࣂࢆៅ㔜ࢃ࡞ࡃ࡚ࡣ࡞ࡽ
࡞࠸ࠋ➨୍ࠊ୰ᅜࡣࠕ༡ࢩࢼᾏ㛵ࡍࡿ⾜ືᐉゝࠖ⨫ྡࡋ࡚࠾ࡾࠊࡑࡢᨻ⟇ࢆ
ኚ᭦ࡋࡓ࠸࠺༳㇟ࢆ࠼࡚ࡣ࡞ࡽ࡞࠸ࠋ➨ࠊ༡ࢩࢼᾏၥ㢟ࡣ୰ᅜࡀࠕ᰾ᚰ
┈࡛ࠖ࠶ࡿᐉゝࡋࡓࡔࡅ࡛୰ᅜࡢ⌮ゎࡍࡿ᪉ᘧ࡛ゎỴ࡛ࡁࡿ⡆༢࡞ࡶࡢ࡛ࡣ
࡞࠸ࠋ
࣭୰ᅜࡢᅜᐙ┈ࡢᇶᮏཎ๎࡛࠶ࡿࠕ᰾ᚰ┈ほࠖࡑࡢእᨻ⟇࠾ࡅࡿලయⓗᐇ
㊶ࡋ࡚ࡢࠕ᰾ᚰ┈ㄝࠖࢆΰྠࡋ࡚ࡣ࡞ࡽࡎࠊእᨻ⟇ୖࡢࢪ࢙ࣥࢲࢆࡳࡔࡾ
ࠕ᰾ᚰ┈ࠖࡍࡿࡇࡣ㏫ࠕ᰾ᚰ┈ࠖࡢᴫᛕࢆᙅࡵࡿࡇ࡞ࡿࠋ ࡇࡢࡼ࠺࡞㆟ㄽࡢ㧗ࡲࡾࡣࠊࡑࡢ㛫9᭶㉳ࡁࡓᑤ㛶ㅖᓥ࿘㎶ᾏᇦ࠾ࡅࡿ୰ᅜ⁺⯪
᪥ᮏࡢᾏୖಖᏳᗇᕠど⯪ࡢ⾪✺௨㝆ࡢ㌵㎚ࠊ11᭶ࡢᮅ㩭ࡢᘏᆤᓥ
ࣚ ࣥ ࣅ ࣙ ࣥ ࢻ
◙ᧁࡼࡿ⡿㡑
ࡢ㌵㎚➼ࡼࡾᙉ◳ⓗ⮬ᕫᙇ㊰⥺ࡀ㏫ຠᯝ࡞ࡗ࡚࠸ࡿ࠸࠺ㄆ㆑ࡢ୍➃ࢆ࡞ࡍࡶࡢ
࡛࠶ࡗࡓࠋᚑࡗ࡚ࠊ2010ᖺᮎ௨㝆ࠕ᰾ᚰ┈ࠖᴫᛕࡢ᫂☜ࡼࡿ㝈ᐃᰂ㌾㊰⥺ࡢᅇ ᖐࡀ୪⾜ࡋ࡚㐍ࡴࡇ࡞ࡿࠋ
ࠕ᰾ᚰ┈ࠖࢆ᭱ึබᘧ᫂☜ࡋࡓࡢࡣ 12 ᭶ึ᪪እ㒊ࡢ࢙࢘ࣈࢧࢺᥖ㍕
ࡉࢀࡓᡝ⛃ᅜࡢㄽᩥ42࡛࠶ࡿࠋࡇࡢㄽᩥࡣඖࠎ➨12ḟ5࢝ᖺィ⏬ࡢゎㄝᮏᥖ㍕ࡉࢀࡓࡶ
ࡢ࡛࠶ࡗࡓࡀࠊእ㒊࢙࢘ࣈࢧࢺࡔࡅ࡛࡞ࡃࠗேẸ᪥ሗ࠘ࡶせ⣙ࡀᥖ㍕ࡉࢀࠊ2010ᖺ
ࢆ⥲ᣓࡋࡓࠗ୰ᅜእ࠘㸦2011ᖺ∧㸧ࡶ㔜せᩥ⊩ࡋ࡚ᥖ㍕ࡉࢀ࡚࠸ࡿ43ࠋࡇࡢㄽᩥ࡛ᡝ
⛃ᅜࡣ୰ᅜࡢࠕ᰾ᚰ┈ࠖࢆ௨ୗࡢ3ࡘᩚ⌮ࡋࡓࠋձ୰ᅜࡢᅜయࠊᨻయࠊཬࡧᨻࡢᏳ ᐃࠊࡍ࡞ࢃࡕࠊඹ⏘ඪࡢᣦᑟࠊ♫⩏ไᗘࠊ୰ᅜࡢ≉Ⰽ࠶ࡿ♫⩏ࡢ㐨ࠊղ୰ᅜࡢ
ᶒࡢᏳࠊ㡿ᅵಖࠊᅜᐙ⤫୍ࠊճ୰ᅜ⤒῭♫ࡢᣢ⥆ⓗⓎᒎࡢᇶᮏಖ㞀ࠋࡑࡋ࡚ࠊྎ‴
ၥ㢟ࢆࠕ᰾ᚰ┈ࠖ㛵ࢃࡿࡋ࡚ヲࡋࡃㄝ᫂ࡋࡓࡀࠊࡑࡢࡢࡣᣲࡆࡎࠊᙜ↛༡ࢩࢼ ᾏࡶゐࢀ࡚࠸࡞࠸ࠋࡇࡢࡼ࠺࡞᰾ᚰ┈ࡢᐃᘧࡣࠊㄽᩥࡢ⾲㢟ࡀ♧ࡍࡼ࠺ࠕᖹⓗ
Ⓨᒎࠖ㊰⥺ࡢ☜ㄆࡋ࡚ࠊᙉ◳㊰⥺ࡽࡢ⬺༷ࢆㄝࡃ❧ሙࡢ୍㠃ࢆᡂࡋ࡚࠸ࡓࠋࠕ㡗ග 㣴ᬉࠊ᭷ᡤసⅭࠖ࠸࠺⾲⌧ࢆྲྀࡾୖࡆࡓ㒊ศ࡛ࡣࠊࡑࡢ⾲⌧ࢆᥦ♧ࡋࡓ㒭ᑠᖹࡢពᅗࡀ ࠕㅬㅽៅࠊࢺࢵࣉฟ࡞࠸ࠊࢆᥖࡆ࡞࠸ࠊᣑᙇࡋ࡞࠸ࠊぞࢆၐ࠼࡞࠸ࠖࡇ࠶ࡾࠊ ࠕᖹⓎᒎࡢ㐨ࠖࡢᛮ୍⮴ࡋ࡚࠸ࡿㄝ࠸࡚࠸ࡿࠋࡲࡓࠊ୰ᅜࡢᅜຊࡀቑࡋᑐእά
ືࡀᣑࡍࡿ୰࡛ᰂ㌾㊰⥺ࢆ☜ㄆࡋࡓ 2006ᖺ 8 ᭶ࡢ୰ኸእᕤస㆟ࡢᡂຌゝཬࡋࠊ ࡑࡢ㝿ࡢᇶᮏゎ࡞ࡗࡓ୰ᅜࡀ౫↛ࡋ࡚♫⩏ࡢࠕึ⣭ẁ㝵ࠖ࠶ࡾࠊ⏕⏘ຊࡢⓎ
ᒎࡀ᭱㔜せㄢ㢟࡛࠶ࡿࡢㄆ㆑44ࡀ☜ㄆࡉࢀ࡚࠸ࡿࠋ
ࡇࡢࠕ᰾ᚰ┈ࠖࡢつᐃࡣ⩣2011ᖺࡉࡽᶒጾᛶࡢ㧗࠸ᙧ࡛ᥦ♧ࡉࢀࡓࠋྠᖺ9᭶
ห⾜ࡉࢀࡓࠕ୰ᅜࡢᖹⓎᒎࠖ㢟ࡍࡿᨻᗓⓑ᭩45ࡣࠊࠕ᰾ᚰ┈ࠖྵࡲࢀࡿࡶࡢࡋ࡚ࠊ
ࠕᅜᐙᶒࠊᅜᐙᏳಖ㞀ࠊ㡿ᅵಖࠊᅜᐙ⤫୍ࠊ୰ᅜ᠇ἲࡀ☜❧ࡋࡓᨻไᗘ♫ࡢ
ᒁࡢᏳᐃࠊ⤒῭♫ࡢᣢ⥆ྍ⬟࡞Ⓨᒎࡢᇶᮏⓗಖ㞀ࠖ࠸࠺6㡯┠ࢆᣲࡆ࡚࠸ࡿࡀࠊᇶ ᮏⓗୖグࡢᡝ⛃ᅜㄽᩥࡢつᐃᕪ࡞࠸ࠋ༡ࢩࢼᾏࡘ࠸࡚ࡣูࡢ㒊ศ࡛ゐࢀ࡚࠸ࡿࡀࠊ ࠕ୰ᅜࡣ࣭࣭࣭ᑐヰ΅ࡼࡿ㡿ᅵᾏὒᶒ┈ࢆࡵࡄࡿ㞄ᅜࡢ⣮தࡢฎ⌮ࢆሀᣢࡋࠊ ᘓタⓗែᗘ࡛ࠗಀதᲴୖࡆࠊඹྠ㛤Ⓨ࠘ࡢᙇࢆᥦ♧ࡋࠊ᭱ࡢດຊࢆᑾࡃࡋ࡚༡ࢩࢼᾏࠊ ᮾࢩࢼᾏ࠾ࡼࡧ࿘㎶ࡢᖹᏳᐃࢆ᧦ㆤࡋ࡚࠸ࡿࠖ㏙࡚࠸ࡿࡔࡅ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
㸲㸬ᑤ㛶ၥ㢟ࠕ᰾ᚰ┈ࠖㄽ
2010ᖺᮎ㡭ࡽࡢࠕ᰾ᚰ┈ࠖࡢ㝈ᐃⓗෆᐜつᐃࢆక࠺ᰂ㌾㊰⥺ࡢ☜ㄆక࠸ࠊ୰ᅜ ࡢእ⾜ືࡣᰂ㌾ᛶࡀぢࡽࢀࡿࡼ࠺࡞ࡗࡓࠋ୰ᅜࡣࠊ2010ᖺ10 ᭶ࡢASEAN ᣑᅜ 㜵┦㆟࠾ࡅࡿᱱගⅯᅜ㜵㒊㛗ࣟࣂ࣮ࢺ࣭ࢤࢶᅜ㜵㛗ᐁࡢㄯࢆዎᶵࠊ1 ᭶ࡢྎ
‴ྥࡅරჾ㍺ฟ௨㝆୰᩿ࡋ࡚࠸ࡓࠊ⡿ᅜࡢ㌷ὶࢆ㛤ࡋࠊ2011ᖺ1᭶ࡣࢤࢶᅜ 㜵㛗ᐁࡢゼ୰⬌㘊℀ᅜᐙᖍࡢゼ⡿ࢆᐇࡋࡓࠋ3 ᭶ᮾ᪥ᮏ㟈⅏ࡀ㉳ࡁࡿࠊ୰ᅜ ࡣ᪥ᮏ⅏ᐖຓࢆᥦ౪ࡋࠊ5 ᭶ゼ᪥ࡋࡓ ᐙᐆ㤳┦ࡣ⿕⅏ᆅࢆゼၥࡋ⿕ᐖ⪅ࢆ⃭ບࡋ ࡓࠋ୰ᅜࡣࡲࡓ7᭶ASEANㅖᅜ༡ࢩࢼᾏ࠾ࡅࡿ⾜ືつ⠊㛵ࡍࡿ΅ࢆ㛤ጞࡍࡿ
ࡇྜពࡋࡓࠋ
ࡋࡋ࡞ࡀࡽࠊᑐእ⾜ືࡢᰂ㌾ᛶࡣ㝈ᐃⓗ࡛࠶ࡗࡓࠋ2011ᖺ㸯᭶ࡢࢤࢶᅜ㜵㛗ᐁࡢ
ிゼၥ୰ࡣࠊࡑࢀྜࢃࡏࡿࡢዴࡃ㛤Ⓨ୰࡛࠶ࡗࡓࢫࢸࣝࢫᡓ㜚ᶵJ-20ࡢ㣕⾜ᐇ㦂ࡀ
⾜ࢃࢀࡓࠋ3 ᭶ࡣࣇࣜࣆࣥࡢࣃࣛ࣡ࣥᓥ㏆ࡢ࣮ࣜࢻࣂࣥࢡ࡛୰ᅜࡢᾏୖ┘ど⯪ࡀࣇ
ࣜࣆࣥࡢㄪᰝ⯪ࢆ㏣࠸ࡔࡋࠊ5 ᭶ࡣࡸࡣࡾᾏୖ┘ど⯪ࡀ⮬ᅜࡢⓗ⤒῭Ỉᇦ࡛ㄪᰝ
ࢆ⾜ࡗ࡚࠸ࡓ࣋ࢺࢼ࣒ࡢㄪᰝ⯪ࡢ᥈ᰝࢣ࣮ࣈࣝࢆษ᩿ࡋࡓࠋ6 ᭶ࡣᾏୖ┘ど⯪ぢᏲࡽ
ࢀ࡚୰ᅜ⁺⯪ࡀ࣋ࢺࢼ࣒ࡢㄪᰝ⯪ࡢࢣ࣮ࣈࣝษ᩿ࢆヨࡳࡓࠋ7 ᭶ࡣ୰ᅜࡢ⁺ᴗ┘ど⯪ࡀ ᑤ㛶ㅖᓥࡢ㡿ᾏධࡋࡓࠋ8 ᭶ࡣ㐃࡛ᨵಟ୰࡛࠶ࡗࡓ࢘ࢡࣛࢼࡽ୰࡛ྂ㉎ධࡋ ࡓ⯟✵ẕⰄࡀヨ㦂⯟⾜ࢆ⾜ࡗࡓࠋ୰ᅜࡣ༡ࢩࢼᾏ࠾ࡅࡿ⾜ືつ⠊㛵ࡍࡿ ASEANㅖᅜ
ࡢ΅ᮇ㝈ࢆタࡅࡿࡇᑐࡋࠊ΅ࡣ㐍ᒎࡋ࡞ࡗࡓࠋ2012ᖺ4᭶ࡣࣇࣜࣆ
ࣥ㏆ᾏࡢࢫ࣮࢝࣎ࣟ♋࡛ࣇࣜࣆࣥᾏ㌷ࡀ୰ᅜ⁺⯪ࢆᣡᤕࡋࡓࡇࡼࡾࠊ⌧ሙᛴ⾜ࡋ ࡓ୰ᅜᾏୖ┘ど⯪ࣇࣜࣆࣥᾏ㌷ࡀ2ࣨ᭶ࢃࡓࡗ࡚╮ࡳྜ࠸≧ែ࡞ࡗࡓࠋ
2012ᖺ4᭶ࡢ▼ཎៅኴ㑻ᮾி㒔▱ࡼࡿᑤ㛶ㅖᓥ㉎ධࡢពྥ⾲᫂➃ࢆⓎࡋࠊ9᭶ࡢ 㔝⏣ెᙪᨻᶒࡼࡿ㉎ධỴᐃࠊ୰ᅜࡢ᪥ࢹࣔᒎ㛤ࡋࡓᑤ㛶ㅖᓥၥ㢟ࢆࡵࡄࡿ୰ᅜࡢ᭱
㏆ࡢᑐ᪥ᙉ◳ጼໃࡣṧᏑࡍࡿᑐእᙉ◳ጼໃࡢ㔜せ࡞୍➃࡛࠶ࡗࡓࠋࡑࡢᒎ㛤ࢆヲ⣽᳨ウ
ࡍࡿࡇࡣᮏ✏ࡢᇝእᒓࡍࡿࡀࠊࡇࡇ࡛ࡣࡇࡢၥ㢟ࡢ㛵㐃࡛ࠕ᰾ᚰ┈ࠖㄽࡀࡢࡼ
࠺ᥦ♧ࡉࢀࡓࢆ⡆༢㊧ࡅ࡚࠾ࡁࡓ࠸ࠋ
୰ᅜࡣᑤ㛶ㅖᓥᑐࡍࡿ㡿᭷ᶒᙇࢆࠕ᰾ᚰ┈ࠖつᐃࡋ࡚ࡁࡓࡢ࡛࠶ࢁ࠺ࠋ2011 ᖺ2᭶ห⾜ࡉࢀࡓࢫ࢙࢘ࣥࡢ⾜ࡗࡓ◊✲ࡼࢀࡤࠊࡑࡢࡼ࠺࡞つᐃࡣබᘧ㈨ᩱࡣ
ࡃぢࡽࢀࡎࠊࡍ࡚㠀බᘧࡢࡶࡢ࡛࠶ࡿ46ࠋእ㒊ࡢὥ☨Ⓨゝேࡣ 2010ᖺ11 ᭶ࡢᜏグ
⪅ぢ࡛ࠕ୰ᅜࡣྎ‴ࢳ࣋ࢵࢺ➼ࡢၥ㢟ࢆ୰ᅜࡢ᰾ᚰ┈ಀࡿ⾲᫂ࡋ࡚࠸ࡿࡀࠊ㔮 㨶ᓥၥ㢟ࡣ୰ᅜࡢ᰾ᚰ┈ಀࡿࡢࠖ㉁ၥࡉࢀ࡚ࠊࠕ㔮㨶ᓥ࠾ࡼࡧࡑࡢᒓᓥᕋࡣྂ᮶
୰ᅜᅛ᭷ࡢ㡿ᅵ࡛࠶ࡿࠖᛂࡌࡓ47ࡢࡳ࡛ࠊ᫂☜࡞ᅇ⟅ࡣ♧ࡉ࡞ࡗࡓࠋ
2012ᖺධࡗ࡚ࠊ୰ᅜࡀᑤ㛶ㅖᓥၥ㢟ࢆ᰾ᚰ┈ྵࡵጞࡵࡓࡳࡽࢀࡿᒎ㛤ࡀ࠶ࡗࡓࠋ 1᭶16᪥᪥ᮏᨻᗓࡀᑤ㛶ㅖᓥࡢ୍㒊ࢆྵࡴ↓ேᓥྡࡋࡓࡇࢆⓎ⾲ࡍࡿࠊ⩣᪥ࡢ
ࠗேẸ᪥ሗ࠘ࡣࠊࡑࢀࢆࠕ୰ᅜࡢ᰾ᚰ┈ࢆ࠾࠾ࡗࡨࡽᐖࡍࡿ⾜ືࠖ㠀㞴ࡍࡿㄽホ ࡀᥖ㍕ࡉࢀࡓࡢ࡛࠶ࡿ48ࠋࠗேẸ᪥ሗ࠘ࡀ୰ᅜඹ⏘ඪ୰ኸጤဨࡢᶵ㛵⣬࡛࠶ࡿࡇࡽࠊ
୰ᅜഃࡀᑤ㛶ၥ㢟ࡢ㔜せᛶࢆ㧗ࡵࡓࡇࡣྰᐃ࡛ࡁ࡞࠸ࠋࡋࡋࠊㄽホࡣࠕᅜ㝿ㄽቭࠖ
࠸࠺ࢥ࣒ࣛᥖ㍕ࡉࢀࡓᮏᩥ85Ꮠࡢᴟࡵ࡚▷࠸ࡶࡢ࡛࠶ࡿࠋⴭ⪅ྡࡣேẸ᪥ሗ♫ᅜ㝿㒊ࡢ
➹ྡ࡛࠶ࡾࠊࡑࡢㄽホࡣ♫ㄝࡼࡾࡣࡿබᘧᗘࡢప࠸ࡶࡢ࡛࠶ࡿࠋࡇࡢㄽホࡣබᘧ⾲᫂
⮳ࡽ࡞࠸࡛ࣞ࣋ࣝၥ㢟ࡢ῝้ࡉࢆ᪥ᮏഃࣆ࣮ࣝࡋࡓࡶࡢ࠸࠼ࡼ࠺ࠋ☜ࡇࡢㄽ ホࡣࠕ᪥ᮏࡣ୰ᅜࡢᶒ᧦ㆤࡢពᚿỴᚰࢆ᥈ࢁ࠺ࡋ࡚ࡣ࡞ࡽ࡞࠸ࠖࠊ᪥ᮏഃࢆ≌ไ ࡍࡿᩥ❶࡛⤖ࡤࢀ࡚࠸ࡿࡀࠊࠕ୰ᅜࡣ୍㈏ࡋ࡚ᒁࡢ╔║ࢆሀᣢࡋࠊ▩┪ࡢ⃭ࢆᅇ㑊ࡋࠊ 㔮㨶ᓥၥ㢟ࡀ୰᪥୧ᅜࡢ㛵ಀయᙳ㡪ࡍࡿࡇࢆᅇ㑊ࡋ࡚ࡁࡓࠖ㏙࡚ࠊ㛵ಀᝏ㜼 Ṇࡢពྥࡶ⾲᫂ࡋ࡚࠸ࡓࡢ࡛࠶ࡿࠋࡲࡓࡇࡢㄽホᑐࡋ࡚ࡣࠊ᪥ᮏ࣓ࢹࡼࡗ࡚ࠕ୰
ᅜࡢពᅗࡣᾏᇦᑐࡍࡿࢥࣥࢺ࣮ࣟࣝࢆᣑࡍࡿࡇ࠶ࡿࠖࠕ᭤ゎࠖࡉࢀࡿࡇ࡞
ࡗࡓࠊ࠸࠺ᢈุࡶ࠶ࡗࡓ49ࠋ
ࡑࡢᚋࠊ4 ᭶▼ཎᮾி㒔▱ࡀ⡿ᅜ࡛ᮾி㒔ࡀᑤ㛶ㅖᓥࢆ㉎ධࡍࡿ࠸࠺ពྥࢆ⾲᫂
ࡋ࡚௨᮶ែࡀ῝้ࡋࡓ⤒⦋ࡣࡇࡇ࡛ࡣヲ㏙ࡏࡎࠊࠕ᰾ᚰ┈ࠖつᐃࡢ㛵ಀࡢࡳ㛵ࡋ
࡚࠸ࡃࡘࡢᣦࢆ⾜࠺ࡇࡍࡿࠋୖグࡢ㚝ኌㄽホ௨㝆ࡋࡤࡽࡃ୰ᅜഃࡽᑤ㛶ၥ㢟ࢆ
ࠕ᰾ᚰ┈ࠖ㛵㐃ࡅࡿⓎゝࡣ࡞ࡗࡓ50ࠋࠗேẸ᪥ሗ࠘ࡢሗ㐨ࡼࢀࡤࠊ5᭶13᪥᪥
୰㡑㤳⬻㆟ࡢࡓࡵゼ୰ࡋࡓ㔝⏣㤳┦ㄯࡋࡓ ᐙᐆ⥲⌮ࡣࠕ᪂ࠊ㔮㨶ᓥ➼ࡢၥ㢟
ࡘ࠸࡚୰ᅜഃࡢཎ๎ⓗ❧ሙࢆ㔜ࡡ࡚㏙ࠊ࣭࣭࣭୰ᅜഃࡢ᰾ᚰ┈㔜࡞㛵ᚰ㸬㸬㸬㸬㸬㸬㸬㸬㸬㸬
㸦㡯㸧
ࢆ㐺ษᑛ㔜ࡋࠊ㛵㐃ࡍࡿၥ㢟ࢆៅ㔜ࡘጇᙜฎ⌮ࡍࡿࠖ㸦ഐⅬ➹⪅㸧ࡼ࠺せㄳࡋࡓ51ࠋ ࡑࡢ 1 㐌㛫ᚋ㬀ᒣ⏤⣖ኵඖ㤳┦ぢࡋࡓᮤඞᙉ⥲⌮ࡶࡰྠᵝࡢࡇࢆ㏙ࡓ52ࠋ
ࡇࢀࡽࡢ⾲᫂ࡣࠊ୍᪉࡛㧗ࡢᣦᑟ⪅ࡼࡿⓎゝࡋ࡚ᶒጾᛶࢆ㧗ࡵ࡞ࡀࡽࠊ᪉࡛ࠕ᰾
ᚰ┈ࠖࢆࠕ㔜࡞㛵ᚰࠖేグࡍࡿࡇࡼࡗ࡚ࠊᑤ㛶ၥ㢟ࡀࠕ᰾ᚰ┈ࠖつᐃࡉࢀ
ࡿྰࢆ᫂☜ࡋ࡞࠸ᚤጁ࡞ࡶࡢ࡞ࡗ࡚࠸ࡿ53ࠋࡇࡇ࡛᪂ࡀゝཬࡉࢀ࡚࠸ࡿࡢࡣࠊ ஸ࢘ࢢࣝேࡢ⤌⧊ࠕୡ⏺࢘ࢢࣝ㆟ࠖࡢࣛࣅ࣭࣮࢝ࢹࣝᖍࡀゼ᪥ࡋࠊࡑࡢᮾ
ி㆟ࡀ5᭶13㸫17᪥㛤ദࡉࢀࡿ㐠ࡧ࡞ࡗ࡚࠸ࡓࡽ࡛࠶ࡿࠋࡋࡓࡀࡗ࡚ࠊࠕ᰾ᚰ
┈ࠖࡣ᪂ၥ㢟ࠊࠕ㔜࡞㛵ᚰࠖࡣᑤ㛶ၥ㢟ࢆᣦࡋ࡚ゝࢃࢀࡓࡶࡢ࡛࠶ࡾࠊ᪥ᮏഃࡢ≌ไ
ࢆᙉࡵࡿࡓࡵᩒ࠼࡚ࡑࡢ༊ูࢆ᫂☜ࡋ࡞ࡗࡓࠊ⪃࠼ࡿࡢࡀ⮬↛࡛࠶ࢁ࠺ࠋ୰ᅜࡢᣦ ᑟ㒊ࡣࠊ㝈ࡾ࡞ࡃࠕ᰾ᚰ┈ࠖつᐃ㏆࠸ᙧ࡛ၥ㢟ࡢ῝้ࡉࢆッ࠼࡞ࡀࡽࡶࠊ᫂♧ⓗࠕ᰾
ᚰ┈ࠖつᐃࡍࡿࡇࡼࡾጇ༠ࢆ㝖ࡏࡊࡿࢆᚓ࡞ࡃ࡞ࡿ༴㝤ࢆᅇ㑊ࡋࡓࡶࡢᛮࢃ
ࢀࡿ54ࠋ5᭶୰᪪ࡣࠊᾏୖ࠾ࡅࡿ ែࡢ㝿ࡢ㜵⾨ᙜᒁ㛫ࡢ㐃⤡࣓࢝ࢽࢬ࣒㛵ࡋ࡚
2008ᖺࡽ⾜ࢃࢀ࡚࠸ࡓ༠㆟ࢆᣑࡋࠊᾏୖἲᇳ⾜ᶵ㛵ࡸỈ⏘㛵ಀ㒊㛛ࡶྵࢇࡔ㧗⣭ົ
ࣞ࣋ࣝࡢᾏὒ༠㆟ࡢ➨1ᅇ㆟ࡀᮺᕞ࡛㛤ദࡉࢀࠊḟᅇࢆᮾி࡛㛤ദࡍࡿࡇ࡛ྜពࡀᡂ
❧ࡋࡓࡢ࡛࠶ࡿ55ࠋࡇࡢࡇࡣ୰ᅜ࡛ࡶ⫯ᐃⓗሗࡌࡽࢀ࡚࠸ࡓ56ࠋ
ᑤ㛶ၥ㢟ࢆࠕ᰾ᚰⓗ┈㔜࡞㛵ᚰࠖࡍࡿ㆟ㄽࡣ6᭶୰᪪ࡢࠕᅜ㝿ㄽቭࠖࡢ㚝ኌㄽ ホࡶࡳࡽࢀࡓ57ࠋࡋࡋࠊ⯆῝࠸ࡇࠊࡑࡢᚋ8᭶15᪥ࡢ㤶 άືᐙࡼࡿᑤ㛶ㅖ ᓥୖ㝣ࠊ9᭶11᪥ࡢ㔝⏣ෆ㛶ࡼࡿᑤ㛶ㅖᓥ㉎ධࡢⓎ⾲ࠊ୰ᅜഃࡢ⃭ࡋ࠸ᢠ㆟᪥ࢹࣔࠊ
୰ᅜഃබ⯪ࡼࡿᑤ㛶ㅖᓥᾏᇦධࠊ୰ᅜᅜᐙᾏὒᒁ⯟✵ᶵࡼࡿ㡿✵≢ࠊ୰ᅜ✵㌷ᶵ
ࡼࡿ๓㏻࿌࡞ࡋࡢ㜵✵㆑ูᅪ㣕⾜ࠊᮾࢩࢼᾏ࠾ࡅࡿ୰ᅜⰄ⯪ࡼࡿᾏୖ⮬⾨㝲ㆤ⾨
Ⰴࡢⅆჾไᚚ⏝࣮ࣞࢲ࣮↷ᑕࠊែࡀ࢚ࢫ࣮࢝ࣞࢺࡋ࡚࠾ࡾࠊࠗேẸ᪥ሗ࠘ࡢࠕᅜ㝿ㄽ ቭࠖḍࡣ㚝ኌࡼࡿཝࡋࡃ᪥ᮏࢆᨷᧁࡍࡿㄽホࡀᩘከࡃᥖ㍕ࡉࢀࡓ58ࡀࠊࡑࡢ୰࡛ࡣࠕ᰾
ᚰ┈ࠖࡑࡢࡶࡢࡣࡶࡼࡾࠕ᰾ᚰ┈㔜࡞㛵ᚰࠖ࠸࠺⾲⌧ࡣࡶࡣࡸ⏝࠸ࡽࢀ࡚࠸
࡞࠸ࠋ୰ᅜഃࡢィ⟬ࡋ࡚ࡣࠊṊຊ⾪✺ࢆᅇ㑊ࡋࡘࡘࠊᑤ㛶ㅖᓥᑐࡍࡿ᪥ᮏࡢᐇຠᨭ㓄
ࢆᾐ㣗ࡍࡿࡶࠊᚎࠎ᪥ᮏഃᑐࡍࡿᅽຊࢆ㧗ࡵࡿࡇࡼࡗ࡚ࠊ⮬ᅜ᭷࡞ࠕጇ ༠ⓗゎỴࠖࢆ㏣ồࡋ࡚࠸ࡿࡶࡢᛮࢃࢀࡿࠋ
ࡴࡍࡧ
௨ୖࡢ᳨ウࡽ᫂ࡽ࡞ࡼ࠺ࠊࠕ᰾ᚰ┈ࠖ࠸࠺⾲⌧ࡣࠊᅜ┈ࢆࡵࡄࡿᏛ⾡ⓗㄽ㆟ࡢ
୰ࡽ⏕ࡲࢀࡓࡶࡢ࡛ࡣ࡞ࡃࠊ⡿ᅜᑐࡍࡿㄝᚓ࠾࠸࡚≉ᐃࡢၥ㢟㸦ࡋ࡚ྎ‴ၥ㢟㸧 ࡢ୰ᅜࡗ࡚ࡢ㔜せᛶࢆᙉㄪࡍࡿ㐨ලࠊࠕ㆙࿌࡞࠸ࡋእୖࡢᱳᏊࠖ59ࠊࡋ࡚⏝࠸ࡽࢀ
ࡓࡶࡢ࡛࠶ࡿࠋࡇࡢࡇࡣ୰ᅜ࡛ࡶ⮬ぬࡉࢀ࡚࠸ࡿࠋㅰዒ⛅ࡣࡑࡢࠕ≉ᐃࡢእ⏝ㄒ㸦እ
㎡௧㸧ࠖࡋ࡚ࡢ≉ᚩࢆࠕ୍⯡㐨ᚨࡉࢀࡓᴫᛕࡸࢹ࢜ࣟࢠ࣮ࡢㄝᩍẚࡿࠊ┦ᡭ ᪉ࡀ⪺࠸࡚ゎࡿࢥࢺࣂ࡛࠶ࡿࠖⅬồࡵࠊࡑࡢ⏝ἲ㛵ࡋ࡚ࠕእ΅୰㔜Ⅼⓗὀព
ࢆᡶ࠺ࡁ㡿ᇦࢆ⾲⌧ࡍࡿࡢ⏝࠸ࡿሙྜࡣࡑࡢᏛ⌮ⓗ౯್ࢆ㐣ᗘ⎍ࡍࡿᚲせࡣ࡞
࠸ࠋࡑࢀ㐣ᗘᢳ㇟ⓗ࡞ෆᐜࢆῧຍࡍࡿᐇ㝿ⓗ࡞⾲⌧ຠᯝࢆ㜼ᐖࡍࡿࡇ࡞ࡿࠖ
㏙࡚࠸ࡿࡢ࡛࠶ࡿ60ࠋ
ㅰዒ⛅ࡣࡲࡓࠊࠕ᰾ᚰ┈ࢆ⊃㝼ࡋ࡚እࡢࠗࣞࢵࢻࣛࣥ࠘ࡋ࡚ࡋࡲ࠸ࠊ┦ᡭ᪉ࡢ
ཱྀฟࡋࢆᐜㄆࡋ࡞ࡅࢀࡤࠊ᪉ࡢ㔜どࡍࡿၥ㢟࡛↓ព࡞ᑐᓖࢆࡶࡓࡽࡋࠊ୍᪉ࡀཱྀ㢌ࡢ
ࢆᚓ࡚ࡶࠊ༷ࡗ࡚ᡓ␎ⓗᑐヰࡢ✵㛫ࢆᢲࡋࡘࡪࡍࡇ࡞ࡿࠖᣦࡋ࡚࠸ࡿ61ࠋ୰
ᅜᣦᑟ㒊ࡼࡿࠕ᰾ᚰ┈ࠖࡢ⏝ἲࡣࠊྠࡌ࠸࠺ࢃࡅ࡛ࡣ࡞࠸ࡀࠊࡇࡢࡼ࠺࡞㓄
៖ࢆᫎࡋࡓࡶࡢᛮࢃࢀࡿࠋࠕ᰾ᚰ┈㔜࡞㛵ᚰࠖ࠸࠺⾲⌧ࡣࠕ᰾ᚰ┈ࠖ࠸࠺
⾲⌧ࡢ⏝ࢆᅇ㑊ࡋࡘࡘ㝈ࡾ࡞ࡃࡑࢀ㏆࠸㆙࿌ࢆ࠼ࡼ࠺ࡍࡿࡶࡢ࡛࠶ࢁ࠺ࠋබᘧ⾲
᫂ࠕ᰾ᚰ┈ࠖࢆ⏝࠸࡞࠸ၥ㢟ࡘ࠸࡚ࡶࠊ㠀බᘧࡑࡢ⾲⌧ࢆ࠺ࡇࡀᐜㄆࡉࢀ࡚
࠸ࡿࡢࡣࠊᅜෆᨻⓗ㓄៖ࡶࠊྠᵝ࡞ຠᯝࢆࡡࡽࡗࡓࡶࡢᛮࢃࢀࡿࠋᑤ㛶ㅖᓥၥ 㢟࡛ࠊ⌧ሙ࡛ࡢᑐ᪥⾜ືࡀ࢚ࢫ࣮࢝ࣞࢺࡍࡿࡢࡣ⭡ࠕ᰾ᚰ┈ࠖ࠸࠺⾲⌧ࡀ⏝࠸
ࡽࢀ࡞ࡃ࡞ࡗࡓࡢࡣࠊጇ༠ࡢవᆅࢆṧࡋ࡚࠸ࡿࡇࢆពࡍࡿᛮࢃࢀࡿࠋࡓࡔࡋࠊࡑࡢ ጇ༠࡞ࡿࡶࡢࡶ࠶ࡃࡲ࡛୰ᅜഃ᭷࡞ࡶࡢࢆ๓ᥦࡋ࡚࠸ࡿࡇࡶ᫂ࡽ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
― ὀ ―
1 Michael D. Swaine, “China’s Assertive Behavior Part I: “Core Interests,” China Leadership Monitor (Hoover Institution, Stanford University), No.34 (February 22, 2011), pp. 1-25 (main text: 11pp., endnotes:13.5pp.).
2 ๓⏣ᏹᏊࠕ୰ᅜ࠾ࡅࡿᅜ┈ㄽத᰾ᚰⓗ┈ࠖࠗPHP Policy Review࠘㸦2012.02.02㸧ࠋ
3 Willy Lam, “Hawks vs. Doves: Beijing Debates ‘Core Interests’ and Sino-U.S. Relations,” China Brief, Volume X, Issue 17 (August 19, 2010), pp.2-4.
4 㜵⾨┬㜵⾨◊✲ᡤ⦅ࠗ୰ᅜᏳಖ㞀࣏࣮ࣞࢺ2011࠘㸦㜵⾨┬㜵⾨◊✲ᡤࠊ2012ᖺ2᭶㸧36-38
5 International Crisis Group, “Stirring Up the South China Sea (I),” Asia Report, N㡫ࠋ o223 (23 April 2012), pp.4-5.
6 ቑ⏣㞞அࠕᑤ㛶ㅖᓥࢆࡵࡄࡿ୰ᅜࡢᑐ᪥ᨻ⟇ࠖࠗᮾள࠘ࠊNo.545㸦2012ᖺ11᭶㸧28-37㡫ࠋ
7 ๓⏣ᏹᏊࠊ๓ᥖㄽᩥࠊ3㡫ࠋ
8 ᙇᩥᮌࠗୡ⏺ᆅ⦕ᨻ୰ⓗ୰ᅜᅜᐙᏳ┈ศᯒ࠘㸦ᒣᮾேẸฟ∧♫ࠊ2004ᖺ㸧ࠋ
9 チ⦅ࠗ୰ᅜᅜᐙ┈ᙳ㡪࠘୰ᅜୡ⏺ㄽྀ࣭2006㸦ฟ∧♫ࠊ2006ᖺ㸧ࠋ
10 ₫ⶢፍ࣭ỤᚰᏛࠕ୰⨾᰾ᚰᅜᐙ┈அẚ㍑ࠖࠊ๓ᥖ᭩ࠊ39-50㡫ࠋ
11 The Commission on America’s National Interests, America’s National Interests (July 2000).
12 ⋞᭷ᡂࠕ୰ᅜᖹᓹ㉳ⓗ᰾ᚰ┈ᛮ⪃ࠖࠗ㔠⼥⤒῭࠘ࠊ2006ᖺ8ᮇࠊ6㡫ࠋ
13 The Commission on America’s National Interests, op.cit., pp.5-8.
14 㜅Ꮫ㏻ࠕᓹ㉳୰ⓗ୰ᅜᅜᐙ┈ෆᾰࠖࠊチ⦅ࠊ๓ᥖ᭩ࠊ3-7㡫ࠋ
15 㜅Ꮫ㏻࣭㜅ᱱࠗᅜ㝿㛵ಀศᯒ࠘㸦ிᏛฟ∧♫ࠊ2008ᖺ㸧ࠋ
16 ๓⏣ᏹᏊࡶࡇࡢࢥࢺࣂࡀࠕᅜᐙ┈ࡢᐃ⩏ࢆ⢭ᰝࡍࡿ୰࡛ㄌ⏕ࡋࡓࡶࡢ࡛࡞࠸ࠖࡋ࡚࠸ࡿ
㸦๓ᥖㄽᩥࠊ9㡫㸧ࡀࠊࡑࡢࡅࡣᥦ♧ࡉࢀ࡚࠸࡞࠸ࠋ௨ୖࡢࡇࡣ༑ศ࡞ࡀࡽ୍ᛂࡢ
ࡅ࡞ࡾ࠺ࡿࡶࡢ࡛࠶ࢁ࠺ࠋ࡞࠾ࠊࠕ᰾ᚰ┈ࠖࡢᐃ⩏ࢆࡵࡄࡿ୰ᅜෆࡢ㆟ㄽࡘ࠸࡚
ࡣࠊ๓⏣ᏹᏊࠊ๓ᥖㄽᩥࠊ6-9㡫ཧ↷ࠋ
17 Swaine, op.cit., p.4.
18 Ibid, p.3 and note 7 (p.13).
19 (1)ࡘࡢ୰ᅜ࡞࠸ࡋ୍୰୍ྎࠊ(2)ྎ‴⊂❧ࠊ(3)ྎ‴ࡢᅜᐙ㛫⤌⧊ຍ┕ᑐࡍࡿᨭᣢࠋ
20 Swaine, op.cit., p.3 and note 10 (pp.13-15).
21 Ibid., p.6.
22 Ibid., p.8.
23 Ibid., p.3.
24 Ibid., pp.5 and 8.
25 Ibid., p.7.
26 U.S. State Department, “Closing Remarks for U.S.-China Strategic and Economic Dialogue,” July 28, 2009ࠑhttp://www.state.gov/secretary/rm/2009a/july/126599.htmࠒ㸪accessed 2013/30/02.
27 Swaine, op.cit., note 13 (p.16).
28ࠕ㤳㍯୰⨾⤒῭ᑐヰ㸸㝖ୖ᭶⌫እせၥ㢟ᆒᕫㄯཬ㸦2009ᖺ7᭶29᪥㸧
ࠑhttp://www.chinanews.com/gn/news/2009/07-29/1794984.shtmlࠒ㸪accessed 2013/03/02.
29 Jeffrey A. Badar, Obama and China’s Rise, Washington, D.C.: The Brookings Institution, 2012, p.56.
30 Swaine, op.cit., pp.6-7.
31 Edward Wong, “Chinese Military Seeks to Extend Its Naval Power,” New York Times 㸦April 23, 2010㸧㸬ࠑhttp://www.nytimes.com/2010/04/24/world/asia/24navy.htmlࠒ㸪accessed 2013/03/02.
32 Hilary Rodham Clinton, “Interview with Greg Sheridan of The Australian,” November 8, 2010, ࠑhttp://www.state.gov/secretary/rm/2010/11/150671.htmࠒ㸪accessed 2013/03/02.
33 Swaine, op.cit., p.9. ጧ⍜እ㒊Ⓨゝேࡢᅇ⟅ࡘ࠸࡚ࡣnote43 (p.23)ཧ↷ࠋ
34 Badar, op.cit., pp.76-77.
35 Swain, ibid.
36 Swain, op.cit., pp.9-10.
37 Badar, op.cit., p.105.
38 Hillary Rodham Clinton, “Remarks at Press Availability,” July 23, 2010,
ࠑhttp://www.state.gov/secretary/rm/2010/07/145095.htmࠒ㸪accessed 2013/01/30.
39ࠗ░ᮃ㐌ห࠘ࠊ2010ᖺ㸵᭶25᪥ࠋWilly Lam, op.cit., p.3ࡼࡾᘬࠋ
40 ୰ᅜ⫃ྜᅜ༠ࠕ㝞㛗᥋ཷ᪥ᮏ፹య᥇ゼࠖࠊ
ࠑhttp://www.unachina.org/hczs/hzft/267115.shmtlࠒ㸪accessed 2013/01/07.
41 ᮒ㗓ࠕ୰ᅜ“᰾ᚰ┈”ᐅᣑࠖࠗᅜ㝿ඛ㥑ᑟሗ࠘2011ᖺ1᭶7᪥㸫13᪥ࠊ24㡫ࠋ
42 ୰⳹ேẸඹᅜእ㒊ࠕᡝ⛃ᅜ㸸ሀᣢ㉮ᖹⓎᒎ㐨㊰ࠖ㸦2010/12/06㸧ࠊ
ࠑhttp://www.fmprc.gov.cn/chn/pds/ziliao/zt/dnzt/jianchizouhepingfazhandaolu/t774662.htmࠒ㸪 accessed 2011/09/25.
43 ୰⳹ேẸඹᅜእ㒊ᨻ⟇つྖ⦅ࠗ୰ᅜእ࠘2011ᖺ∧㸦ୡ⏺▱㆑ฟ∧♫ࠊ2011ᖺ8᭶㸧 405-414㡫ࠋ
44 2006ᖺࡢ୰ኸእᕤస㆟ࡘ࠸࡚ࡣࠊBonnie S. Glaser, “Ensuring the ‘Go Abroad’ Policy Serves China’s Domestic Priorities,” China Brief, Volume 7, Issue 5 (March 8, 2007)ཧ↷ࠋ
45 ᅜົ㝔᪂⪺ᘚබᐊࠊࠕӐ୰ᅜⓗᖹⓎᒎӑ ⓑ⓶᭩ࠖ㸦2011ᖺ09᭶06᪥㸧ࠊ ࠑhttp://politics.people.com.cn/GB/1026/15598619.htmlࠒ㸪accessed 2011/09/12.
46 Swaine, op.cit., p,8.
47ࠕ2010ᖺ11᭶2᪥እ㒊Ⓨゝேὥ☨ᣲ⾜⾜グ⪅ࠖࠊ
ࠑhttp://www.fmprc.gov.cn/mfa_chn/wjdt_611265/fyrbt_611275/t766045.shtmlࠒ㸪accessed 2013/03/04.
48 㚝ኌࠕ୰ᅜ⥔ㆤ㡿ᅵᶒⓗពᛮᐜヨ᥈ࠖࠗேẸ᪥ሗ࠘2012ᖺ1᭶17᪥ࠊ3㡫ࠋ
49
50 ቑ⏣㞞அࠊ๓ᥖㄽᩥࠊ30-31㡫ࠋ
51ࠕ ᐙᐆศูぢ㡑ᅜ⥲⤫᪥ᮏ㤳┦ࠖࠊࠗேẸ᪥ሗ࠘ࠊ2012ᖺ5᭶14᪥ࠊ1㡫ࠋ
52ࠕᮤඞᙉぢ᪥ᮏ๓㤳┦㬀ᒣ⏤⣖ኵࠖࠊࠗேẸ᪥ሗ࠘ࠊ2012ᖺ5᭶26᪥ࠊ1㡫ࠋ
53 ᪥ᮏഃ࡛ࡣࡇࡢⓎゝࢆᑤ㛶ၥ㢟ࢆࠕ᰾ᚰ┈ࠖ⤖ࡧࡅࡿࡶࡢ࡛ࡣ࡞࠸⌮ゎࡋ࡚࠸ࡓࠋ ࠕࠗᑤ㛶ࡣ᰾ᚰⓗ┈࠘୰ᅜゝࡗࡓ㸽 㔝⏣࣭ ㄯ ゎ㔘ࢬࣞࠖࠗㄞ᪂⪺࠘2012ᖺ5᭶ 14᪥㸦ኤห㸧ࠋ
54 ቑ⏣㞞அࡶ㢮ఝࡢุ᩿ࢆ♧ࡋ࡚࠸ࡿ㸦๓ᥖㄽᩥ㺂32㡫㸧ࡀࠊࠕ᰾ᚰ┈ࠖࠕ㔜࡞㛵ᚰࠖࡢ 㛵ಀࡣㄝ᫂ࡋ࡚࠸࡞࠸ࠋ
55 እົ┬ࠕ᪥୰㧗⣭ົࣞ࣋ࣝᾏὒ༠㆟㸦ᴫせ㸧ࠖࠊ2012ᖺ5᭶16᪥ࠊ
ࠑhttp://www.mofa.go.jp/mofaj/area/china/jc_kk_1205.htmlࠒ㸪2012ᖺ9᭶10᪥ࢡࢭࢫࠋ
56 ቑ⏣㞞அࠊ๓ᥖㄽᩥࠊ32㡫ࠋ
57 㚝ኌࠕ᪥ᮏ“㉎ᓥ”㛯ᙜఇ▯ࠖࠗேẸ᪥ሗ࠘2012ᖺ6᭶12᪥ࠋ
58 ࡑࢀࡽࡣேẸ᪥ሗ♫ࡢ࢙࢘ࣈࢧࢺࠗேẸ⥙࠘ࡢࠗேẸ᪥ሗ㔜せゝㄽᗜ࠘ࡢࠕᅜ㝿ㄽቭࠖ
ࠑhttp://opinion.people.com.cn/GB/8213/49160/49222/index4.htmlࠒ㘓ࡉࢀ࡚࠸ࡿࠋ
59 Swaine, op.cit., pp.6-7.
60 ㅰዒ⛅ࠊ๓ᥖ⟠ᡤࠋ
61 ๓ᥖ⟠ᡤࠋ
5
ఀ⸨ ⼥
㸯㸬ࠕୡ⏺ᅜࠖ࠸࠺┠ᶆ
㸦㸯㸧 ᪉ἲࡋ࡚ࡢ᪉ᆺᡓ␎ⓗࣃ࣮ࢺࢼ࣮ࢩࢵࣉ
෭ᡓᚋࠊࡾࢃࡅୡ⣖ධࡾࠊࣥࢻࡢ㔜せᛶࡀࡦࢁࡃㄆ㆑ࡉࢀࡿࡼ࠺࡞ࡗ࡚ࡁࡓࠋ
᪥ᮏࢆྵࡵࠊྛᅜࡀࠊࡑࡢእ㺃Ᏻಖ㞀ᨻ⟇ࢆ❧㺃ᒎ㛤ࡍࡿ㝿ࠊࣥࢻ࠸࠺ᅜࡢᏑ ᅾࢆ㔜せ࡞୍せ⣲ࡋ࡚ィ⟬ධࢀࡿࡇࡀྍḞ࡞ࡗ࡚ࡁ࡚࠸ࡿࠋࡑࢀࡣࠊࡇࡢᅜࡀࠊ
୰ᅜࣥࢻὒ㸫᪥ࡢࣃ࣮࣡ࢤ࣮࣒ࡢ↔Ⅼ㸫᥋ࡍࡿ࠸࠺ᆅ⌮ⓗ≉ᛶࠊ࡞ࡽࡧྎ㢌 ࡍࡿ᪂⯆ᅜ࡛࠶ࡾ࡞ࡀࡽẸ⩏࠸࠺すഃࡢ౯್ほࢆඹ᭷ࡍࡿ࠸࠺ᨻⓗ≉ᛶࡼࡿ
ࡇࢁࡀࡁ࠸ࠋ
ࡇࢀࡲ࡛ࠊୡ⏺ࡢ࠶ࡾ࠶ࡽࡺࡿせᅜࠊ᪂⯆ᅜࡀࣥࢻࡢ㛫ࡢᡓ␎ⓗ㛵ಀࡢᵓ⠏㺃 ᙉࢆ➇ࡗ࡚ࡁࡓࠋࣥࢻࡣ࠸࡞ࡿᅜࡶྠ┕㛵ಀࡣ࡞࠸ࡶࡢࡢࠊ༢࡞ࡿዲᅜࡋ
࡚ࡢ㛵ಀࢆ㉸࠼࡚ࠊྛᅜࡢᨻ㺃⤒῭㺃㌷ὶࢆ῝ࡉࡏࡿࠕᡓ␎ⓗࣃ࣮ࢺࢼ࣮ࢩࢵࣉࠖ
ࢆࠊࠕ᪉ᆺ࡛ࠖ⤖ࢇ࡛ࡁࡓ1ࠋ
㸦㸰㸧ࣥࢻࡢලయ┠ᶆ
ࡑࢀ࡛ࡣࠊࠕᡓ␎ⓗࣃ࣮ࢺࢼ࣮ࢩࢵࣉࠖࢆእ㺃Ᏻಖ㞀ᨻ⟇ࡢ㍈ࡋࡘࡘࠊࣥࢻࡣఱ
ࢆ┠ᣦࡋࠊࡇྥ࠾࠺ࡋ࡚࠸ࡿࡢࠋࡑࢀࡣ୍ཱྀ࠸࠼ࡤࠊࠕୡ⏺ᅜࠖ2
࡞ࡽ࡞࠸ࠋᐇ㝿ࠊ㤳┦ࢆ➹㢌ࠊࣥࢻࡢእ㛵ಀ⪅ࠊᡓ␎ᐙࡓࡕࡢ࡞ࡽࠊࢃࢀࢃࢀ
ࡣࠕࢢ࣮ࣞࢺ࣭ࣃ࣮࣡ࠖࠊ࠶ࡿ࠸ࡣࠕ࣓࣮ࢪ࣮࣭ࣕࣃ࣮࣡ࠖࠊࠕࢢ࣮ࣟࣂࣝ㺃ࣉ࣮࣮ࣞࣖࠖ
࡞ࡿࡢࡔ࠸࠺Ⓨゝࡀ㢖⦾ฟ࡚ࡃࡿࡼ࠺࡞ࡗ࡚࠸ࡿࠋࣥࢻࡀ࠸ࡲࡸ༡ࢪࡢᆅᇦ
ᅜࡋ࡚࡛ࡣ࡞ࡃࠊୡ⏺ࡢ࡞⮬ࡽࢆ⨨࡙ࡅࡼ࠺ࡋ࡚࠸ࡿࡢࡣࠊ᫂ࡽ࠸࠼ࡼ
࠺ࠋ
ࡶࡗࡶࡇࡢᅜࡣࠊඖ᮶ᅜព㆑ࡢᙉ࠸ᅜ࡛࠶ࡗࡓࠋ෭ᡓᮇࡢࣥࢻࡣࠊ㠀ྠ┕㐠ື
௦⾲ࡉࢀࡿࡼ࠺࡞⌮ᛕࢆ๓㠃ᥖࡆࠊ➨୕ୡ⏺㸭㏵ୖᅜࡢ࣮ࣜࢲ࣮ࢆ⮬ㄆࡋࡓࠋࡋࡋ࡞
ࡀࡽࠊ⤒῭ຊࠊ㌷ຊ࠸ࡗࡓࣁ࣮ࢻࣃ࣮࡛࣡ࡳࢀࡤࠊࢢ࣮ࣟࣂࣝ࡞⯙ྎ࠾࠸࡚ࡣࠊ
ࣥࢻࡣྲྀࡿ㊊ࡽ࡞࠸Ꮡᅾ㐣ࡂ࡞ࡗࡓࠋࡋࡓࡀࡗ࡚ࡇࡢⅬ࡛ࡣࠊࣥࢻࡢ⌧ᐇࡢᙳ㡪 ຊࡣࡏ࠸ࡐ࠸ࠊ༡ࢪ࠸࠺ࠊ෭ᡓᮇᅜ㝿ᨻࡢ࿘⦕ᆅᇦ㝈ࡽࢀࡓࡶࡢ࡛࠶ࡗࡓࠋ1962
ࡋࡋ1991ᖺࡢ⤒῭⮬⏤௨㝆ࡢ⤒῭ᡂ㛗ࠊ1998ᖺࡢ᰾ᐇ㦂࣭᰾ಖ᭷ᐉゝࡳࡽࢀ
ࡿࡼ࠺࡞㌷ຊࡢቑᙉక࠸ࠊࣥࢻࡢ⌮ᛕ⌧ᐇࡢ⁁ࡀᇙࡲࡾࡘࡘ࠶ࡿࠋ࠸ࡲࡸୡ⏺
ࡢ࣋ࢫࢺࢸࣥධࡿỈ‽㐩ࡋࡘࡘ࠶ࡿࣥࢻࡢࣁ࣮ࢻࣃ࣮࣡ࡀࠊ๓㏙ࡋࡓᆅ⌮ⓗ≉ᛶ࡞
ࡽࡧᨻⓗ≉ᛶ┦ಗࡗ࡚ࠊࠕୡ⏺ᅜࠖ࠸࠺㔝ᮃࡢᐇ⌧ࡁࢃࡵ࡚᭷࡞⎔ቃࢆฟ ࡋ࡚࠸ࡿࡽ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
ࡑࢀ࡛ࡣࠊࣥࢻࡀ┠ᣦࡍࠕୡ⏺ᅜࠖࠊୡ⏺ࡢせ࡞ࣉ࣮࣮ࣞࣖ࡞ࡿࡓࡵࡣࠊఱࡀ ᚲせࡔ⪃࠼ࡽࢀ࡚࠸ࡿࡢ࡛࠶ࢁ࠺ࠋࡑࢀࡣࡲࡎ➨୍ࠊࣁ࣮ࢻࣃ࣮࣡ࡢ୍ᒙࡢቑᙉ࡛
࠶ࡿࠋࡇࡢⅬ࡛ࡣࠊඛ⾜ࡋ࡚ྎ㢌ࡍࡿ㞄ᅜࠊ୰ᅜࡁࡃỈࢆ㛤ࡅࡽࢀ࡚࠾ࡾࠊᾏእࡽ
ࡢࡉࡽ࡞ࡿᢞ㈨ࢆࡧ㎸ࡴࡓࡵࡢ⤒῭ᨵ㠉ࠊරჾࡢ㏆௦࣭⬟ຊྥୖࡢࡓࡵࡢㄪ㐩ࠊ◊✲㺃 㛤Ⓨࡀᙜ㠃ࡢࡁ࡞ㄢ㢟࡞ࡿࠋ
ࡑࡢ࠺࠼࡛ࠊᨻ㺃እୖࡢᆅྥୖࢆࣥࢻࡣ㈎ḧ㏣ồࡋࡣࡌࡵ࡚࠸ࡿࠋᅜ㐃Ᏻಖ⌮
ᖖ௵⌮ᅜධࡾࡣࠊ᪥ࡢࣥࢻእࡗ࡚ࡢࡁࡃࠊࡘ┦ᙜ┿㏣ồࡉࢀ࡚࠸ࡿ
┠ᶆ࡛࠶ࡿࠋせᅜࡢ㤳⬻ㄯ࠾࠸࡚ࡣ࡞ࡽࡎࠊ┦ᡭᅜࡢ㤳⬻ࡀࣥࢻࡢᖖ௵⌮
ᅜධࡾࢆࡢࡼ࠺࡞ゝ࠸ࡪࡾ࡛ᨭᣢࡋࡓࠊᨭᣢࡋ࡞ࡗࡓࡢࡀࠊࡁ࡞㛵ᚰ࡞ࡿࠋ ࡇࡢⅬ࡛ࡣࠊ⌧ᖖ௵⌮ᅜࡢ࠺ࡕࠊࣟࢩࠊࣇࣛࣥࢫࠊࢠࣜࢫࡽࡣ᫂☜࡞ᨭᣢࢆࣥ
ࢻࡣᚓ࡚࠾ࡾࠊ࣓ࣜ࢝ࡽࡶ2010ᖺࡢ࢜ࣂ࣐ゼ༳ࠕࣥࢻࢆᖖ௵⌮ᅜࡋ࡚ྵࡴࠊ ᨵ㠉ࡉࢀࡓᏳಖ⌮ࢆᮇᚅࡍࡿࠖ࠸࠺Ⓨゝࢆᘬࡁฟࡋࡓࠋ᭱ࡶᾘᴟⓗ࡞ࡢࡀ୰ᅜࡔࡉࢀ
ࡿࠋࡋࡋࡑࡢ୰ᅜ࡛ࡍࡽࠊࠕᏳಖ⌮ࡢሙࢆྵࡴᅜ㐃࠾࠸࡚ࠊࡼࡾࡁ࡞ᙺࢆᯝࡓࡋࡓ
࠸࠸࠺ࣥࢻഃࡢ⇕ᮃࢆ⌮ゎࡋࠊᨭᣢࡍࡿࠖ㸦2010 ᖺ ᐙᐆゼ༳㸧࠸࠺❧ሙࠕ๓ 㐍ࠖࡋ࡚࠾ࡾࠊከᩘࡢᅜࡀᨭᣢࡍࢀࡤࣈࣟࢵࢡࡍࡿࡇࡣ࡛ࡁࡲ࠸ࡢᮇᚅࡀࣥࢻࡣ
࠶ࡿࠋ
ࡉࡽࣥࢻࡣከᅜ㛫㍺ฟ⟶⌮ࣞࢪ࣮࣒ࡢຍ┕ࢆ㏻ࡌ࡚ࠊ⮬ࡽࡢ᰾㺃࣑ࢧࣝࡢࠕྜἲ
ࠖࢆᅗࢁ࠺ࡋ࡚࠸ࡿࠋ2008ᖺࡢࠕ≉ᢅ࠸ࠖࡼࡾࠊ᰾ᣑᩓ᮲⣙㸦NPT㸧ᮍຍ┕ࡢ
ࡲࡲࠊẸ⏕⏝ཎᏊຊ༠ຊࢆㄆࡵࡽࢀࡓཎᏊຊ౪⤥ᅜࢢ࣮ࣝࣉ㸦NSG㸧ࡢຍ┕㏣ồ࡞ࡀ ࡑࡢᆺ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
ࣥࢻࡣࠊ1947ᖺࡢศ㞳⊂❧௨᮶ࠊࡘࡡࣃ࢟ࢫࢱࣥ࠸࠺ᆅᇦࡢᣮᡓᅜࡢ㛵㐃࡛ㄒࡽ
ࢀ࡚ࡁࡓ4ࠋ࠸ࡲࡢࣥࢻࡀ┠ᣦࡍࡢࡣࠊࡑ࠺ࡋࡓ⨨࡙ࡅࡽ⬺ࡋࠊୡ⏺ࡢࣃ࣮࣡ࢤ࣮࣒
ࡢᩥ⬦ࡢ࡞࡛Ḟࡏ࡞࠸ࣉ࣮࣮ࣞࣖ࡞ࡿࡇࢆពࡍࡿࡶࡢ࡛ࡶ࠶ࡿࠋ
㸦㸯㸧ᡓ␎ዲࡁ࡞ࣥࢻ
᪥ࡢࣥࢻࡢ࣓ࢹ┠ࢆࡸࡿࠊࣥࢻேࡀ࠸ᡓ␎ዲࡁ࡛࠶ࡿࡀࡼࡃࢃ
ࡿࠋࡉࡲࡊࡲ࡞◊✲⪅ࠊࢪ࣮ࣕࢼࣜࢫࢺࠊඖእᐁࠊඖ㌷ேࡀࠊࡋࡤࡋࡤࠕᡓ␎ᐙࠖࡋ
࡚ࠊࣥࢻࡢࡿࡁᡓ␎ࢆᥦゝࡋ࡚࠸ࡿ5ࠋࡑࡶࡑࡶࣥࢻࡣࠊྂ௦ࡽཷࡅ⥅ࡀࢀ࡚
ࡁࡓᡓ␎ᩥࡀᏑᅾࡍࡿࠋ࣐࢘ࣜࣖᮅࢆ⠏࠸ࡓࢳࣕࣥࢻࣛࢢࣉࢱ⋤࠼ࡓᐓ┦ࠊ࢝࢘ࢸ
ࣜࣖࡢᡭࡼࡿࡉࢀࡿࠗࣝࢱࢩ࣮ࣕࢫࢺࣛ㸦ᐇㄽ㸧࠘6ࡣࠊᐇ㸻ᅜ┈ࢆ㏣ồࡍ
ࡿࡓࡵࡢ෭ᚭࡘࣉࣛࢢ࣐ࢸࢵࢡ࡞⟇ࡀヲ⣽ᥥࢀ࡚࠸ࡿࠋ
ࡑࢀࡼࢀࡤࠊ᭭㝀⨶ⓗ࡞ୡ⏺࠾࠸࡚ࠊ㞄ᅜࡣᮏ㉁ⓗࡣࠕᩛᑐ⪅࡛ࠖ࠶ࡿࡳ࡞ࡉ
ࢀࡿࠋࡣ࠸࠼ࠊࡍࡄᡓதࢆࡅࡿࡁࠕᩛࠖࡔࡣࡉࢀ࡚࠸࡞࠸ࠋ⮬ࡽ┦ᡭࡢ ຊࢆៅ㔜ẚ㍑⪃㔞ࡋࡓ࠺࠼࡛ࠊ≧ἣࡼࡗ࡚ࡣࠊᖹ࡞⼥ⓗ࡞ᨻ⟇ࡶ᥎ዡࡉࢀࡿࠋ ࡋࡋ᭱⤊ⓗࡣࠊࠕᩛᑐ⪅ࠖࡢྥࡇ࠺ഃ⨨ࡍࡿࠕ㑥ࠖ࡞㐃ᦠࡋࡘࡘࠊㅁሗάື
ࢆྵࡵࡓ⾡⟇ࢆ㥑ࡋ࡚ࠕᩛᑐ⪅ࠖࢆṾ⁛ࡋ࡞ࡅࢀࡤ࡞ࡽ࡞࠸ࠋࡑࡢᚋࡣࠊࡑࢀࡲ࡛ࡢࠕ
㑥ࠖࡀ᪂ࡓ࡞㞄ᅜࠊࡍ࡞ࢃࡕಽࡍࡁࠕᩛᑐ⪅ࠖ⨨࡙ࡅࡽࢀࡿࡢ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
ࡇࡢ࢝࢘ࢸࣜࣖࡢᛮ⪃ᵝᘧࡣࠊࡋࡤࡋࡤすḢᅜ㝿㛵ಀㄽ࡛࠸࠺ࡇࢁࡢࠕࣜࣜࢬ࣒ࠖ
ࡋ࡚⌮ゎࡉࢀࡿࡇࡀ࠶ࡿࡀࠊࡑࢀࡣṇ☜࡛ࡣ࠶ࡿࡲ࠸ࠋ≧ἣࡼࡗ࡚ࡣࠊᩛᑐ⪅ࡢ
⼥⟇ࠊࡍ࡞ࢃࡕࠕࣜ࣋ࣛࣜࢬ࣒ࠖⓗ࡞ᨻ⟇ࡀồࡵࡽࢀࡿࡽ࡛࠶ࡿࠋࡑࢀࡣࠕࣉࣛࢢ࣐
ࢸࢬ࣒ࠖ⾲⌧ࡍࡿࡢࡀࡼࡾ㐺ษ࡛࠶ࢁ࠺ࠋ⌧௦ࡢከࡃࡢࣥࢻࡢࠕᡓ␎ᐙࠖࡀࠊࡋࡤ ࡋࡤ࢝࢘ࢸࣜࣖࢆᘬドࡋ࡚࠸ࡿࡇࠊࡲࡓࠕࣉࣛࢢ࣐ࢸࢵࢡࠖ࡞ᨻ⟇ࢆ᥇⏝ࡍࡁࡔ
ᙇࡋ࡚࠸ࡿࡇࢆ㋃ࡲ࠼ࢀࡤࠊ࢝࢘ࢸࣜࣖࡢఏ⤫ࡣ㸫ࠕࣜࣜࢫࢺࠖࠕࣜ࣋ࣛࣜ
ࢫࢺࠖࡢᯟࢆ㉺࠼࡚㸫ࡦࢁࡃᾐ㏱ࡋ࡚࠸ࡿࡼ࠺ᛮࢃࢀࡿࠋ
㸦㸰㸧ᡓ␎࡞ࡁࣥࢻ
᪉࡛ࠊ⌧௦ࡢࠕᡓ␎ᐙࠖࡓࡕࡢከࡃࡣࠊ᪥ࡢࣥࢻࡣᐇົࡢ࡛ࣞ࣋ࣝࡢᡓ␎ࠊ
ࡃᡓ␎ࡀḞዴࡋ࡚࠸ࡿࡇࠊ࠶ࡿ࠸ࡣࡳ࠼ࡃ࠸ࡇࢆჃࡃࠋ࡞ࡿෑ㢌࡛㏙ࡓ
ࡼ࠺ࠊࣥࢻࡣ࠶ࡾ࠶ࡽࡺࡿᅜࠕᡓ␎ⓗࣃ࣮ࢺࢼ࣮ࢩࢵࣉࠖࢆᵓ⠏ࡋ࡚ࡣ࠸ࡿࠋࡋ
ࡋࠊࡑࢀࡽࢆ࠺ά⏝ࡋࠊࠕୡ⏺ᅜࠖ࠸࠺┠ᶆࢆᐇ⌧ࡋࡼ࠺ࡋ࡚࠸ࡿࡢࠊࡑࡢࢢ
ࣛࣥࢻ࣭ࢹࢨࣥࡀࡳ࠼࡚ࡇ࡞࠸࠸࠺ࡢ࡛࠶ࡿࠋࡉࡲࡊࡲ࡞ࠕᡓ␎ᐙࠖࡓࡕࡢⱔ❧ࡕ
ඹ㏻ࡍࡿࡢࡣࠊ᪥ࡢࣥࢻࡀࡁࢃࡵ࡚᭷࡞ᅜ㝿⎔ቃ࠶ࡿࡶࢃࡽࡎࠊᅜᐙࡋ
࡚ࡢయⓗ࡞ᡓ␎ࡀࡣࡗࡁࡾࡋ࡞࠸ࡓࡵࠊዲᶵࢆ㐓ࡍࡿࡢ࡛ࡣ࡞࠸࠸࠺↔ࡾ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
㡪ຊࢆᙉࡋࡘࡘ࠶ࡿ୰ᅜᑐࡋ࡚࡛࠶ࢀࠊࡋࡤࡋࡤ㉺ቃࢸࣟ㸦cross-border terrorism㸧ࢆ
ࡅ࡚ࡃࡿࡼࡾᑠࡉ࡞ࣃ࢟ࢫࢱࣥᑐࡋ࡚࡛࠶ࢀࠊࣥࢻࡢ⌧ᐇࡢእ㺃Ᏻಖ㞀ᨻ⟇ࡣࠊ
≧ἣᑐᛂᆺࡢሙᙜࡓࡾⓗ࡞ࡶࡢࡔ࠸࠺ᢈุࡣࡋࡤࡋࡤ⪺ࢀࡿ7ࠋ
2012 ᖺࡢึࡵࣥࢻᨻᗓࡀ㛵ࡍࡿࡓࡕ࡛Ẹ㛫ࡢ◊✲ᡤࡽⓎ⾲ࡉࢀࡓᨻ⟇ᥦゝ
᭩ࠊࠗ㠀ྠ┕2.0࠘ࡣࡑ࠺ࡋࡓᢈุᛂ࠼ࡼ࠺ࡋࡓࡦࡘࡢヨࡳ࡛࠶ࢁ࠺8ࠋࡣ࠸࠼ࠊࡇ
ࢀᑐࡋ࡚ࡣࠊࠕᡓ␎ᐙࠖࡓࡕࡢホ౯ࡣ࡞ࡽࡎࡋࡶⰾࡋࡃ࡞ࡃࠊᨻᗓࡶࡇࡢᩥ᭩ࢆ࣮࢜ࢯ
ࣛࢬࡍࡿࡇࡣ㑊ࡅ࡚࠸ࡿࠋᐇ㝿ࡢࡇࢁࠊྠᥦゝ᭩ࡣࠊಶูලయⓗ࡞ᨻ⟇࠸࠺ࡼࡾ
ࡶࠊ≉ᐃࡢྠ┕ࡼࡾࣥࢻእࡢᡭ㊊ࡀ⦡ࡽࢀࡿࡁ࡛ࡣ࡞࠸࠸࠺ࠕᡓ␎ⓗ⮬ᚊᛶ 㸦strategic autonomy㸧ࠖ࠸࠺᪉ྥᛶࡢ☜ㄆ࣭ᐃ⩏࡛࠶ࡿࠋࡋࡋࠊ࣑ࢩࣗࣛ㸦Brajesh
Mishra㸧ඖᅜᐙᏳಖ㞀⿵బᐁࡣࠊࡶࡣࡸࡑ࠺ࡋࡓࡕࡽࡶࡘ࡞࠸ែᗘࡣ㏻⏝ࡋ࡞࠸
ࡋ࡚ᥦゝ᭩බ↛ၥࢆ࿊ࡋࡓ9ࠋ
ࠕୡ⏺ᅜࠖ࠸࠺㔝ᮃࢆࣥࢻࡀᣢࡕࠊࠕᡓ␎ᐙࠖࡢゝㄝࡀ⁄ࢀ࡚࠸ࡿࡶࢃࡽࡎࠊ ᐇົ࡛ࣞ࣋ࣝࡣࠊࠕᡓ␎ᐙࠖࡓࡕࡀ᥎ዡࡍࡿࡼ࠺࡞యⓗ࡞ᡓ␎࡞ࡁࡲࡲࠊࡑࡢሙࡂࡢ ᨻ⟇ࡀ᥇⏝㺃㐙⾜ࡉࢀ࡚࠸ࡿ࠸࠺ᢈุࡣࠊࡓࡋⓗእࢀ࡛ࡣ࡞࠸ࠋ
㸱㸬ࣥࢻࡢᏳಖ㞀⎔ቃ⬣ጾㄆ㆑
㸦㸯㸧 ᆅᨻᏛ
ࣥࢻࡢᡓ␎ࡢᅾࠊ࡞࠸ࡋࡣ᭕ࡉࡣᏳಖ㞀ศ㔝㝈ᐃࡋ࡚ࡳ࡚ࡶኚࢃࡽ࡞࠸ࠋ࡞
ࡿࠊ⌧ᅾࠊ㌷ᡓ␎㢟ࡍࡿᩥ᭩ࢆⓎ⾲ࡋ࡚࠸ࡿࡢࡣᾏ㌷ࡢࡳ࡛࠶ࡾࠊ⤫ྜ㌷ᡓ␎
ࡣࡲࡔ࡛ࡁ࡚࠸࡞࠸10ࠋࡋࡓࡀࡗ࡚ࡇࡇ࡛ࡣࠊᅜ㜵┬ࡢ㏆ᖺࡢᖺḟሗ࿌᭩11ࡢグ㏙ࠊ࡞ࡽࡧ
⊂❧௨᮶ࡢࣥࢻࡀ┤㠃ࡋ࡚ࡁࡓ⬣ጾࡢṔྐࢆ㋃ࡲ࠼࡚ࠊࣥࢻࡀ࠸࡞ࡿᏳಖ㞀⎔
ቃ⨨ࢀ࡚࠸ࡿㄆ㆑ࡋࠊఱࢆㄢ㢟ࡳ࡞ࡋ࡚࠸ࡿࢆ⪃ᐹࡋ࡚ࡳࡓ࠸ࠋ
ᖺḟሗ࿌᭩ࡀෑ㢌࡛ࡰẖᖺᙉㄪࡋ࡚࠸ࡿࡢࡀࠊࣥࢻࡢ⨨ࢀ࡚࠸ࡿᆅ⌮ⓗ⎔ቃ࡛࠶
ࡿࠋࡑࡇ࡛ࡣࠊࣥࢻࡣ15,500 ࣓࣮࢟ࣟࢺࣝࢆ㉸࠼ࡿ㛗࠸㝣ࡢᅜቃ⥺12ࢆ᭷ࡍࡿ㝣ᅜᐙ
࡛࠶ࡿ୍᪉ࠊ᪥ࡲࡍࡲࡍ㔜せᛶࡀ㧗ࡲࡗ࡚࠸ࡿࣥࢻὒࡢせ⨨ࡍࡿᾏὒᅜᐙ࠸࠺
ഃ㠃ࡶ࠶ࡿࡇࡀᣦࡉࢀࡿࠋ⊂❧௨᮶ࠊࣥࢻࡣ୰ᅜࠊࣃ࢟ࢫࢱࣥᡓⅆࢆ࠼࡚ࡁࡓࠋ
࠸ࡎࢀࡶࡶࡗࡥࡽ㝣ࡢ⬣ጾ࡛࠶ࡿࠋࡑࢀࡒࢀࡢᅉ࡞ࡗࡓᅜቃၥ㢟ࠊ࢝ࢩ࣑࣮ࣝၥ㢟ࡣࠊ
࠸ࡎࢀࡶᑐヰࡢᯟ⤌ࡳࡣ࠶ࡿࡶࡢࡢゎỴࡢぢ㏻ࡋࡣࡲࡗࡓࡃ❧ࡗ࡚࠸࡞࠸ࠋࡑࢀࡇࢁࠊ ᮍゎỴࡢᅜቃࢆࡵࡄࡗ࡚㌷ⓗ࣭ᨻⓗ⥭ᙇࡀ㧗ࡲࡿࡇࡶከ࠸13ࠋࡑࢀࡺ࠼ࠊࡲࡎࡇࡢ2
ࡍࡿࡼ࠺ࠊ୰ᅜࡢືࡁ่⃭ࡉࢀࡿࡼ࠺࡞᱁ዲ࡛ࠊ㏆ᖺ࡞ࡗ࡚ᾏࡢ㛵ᚰ࣭㛵ࡶᙉ ㄪࡋጞࡵ࡚࠸ࡿࠋ
㸦㸰㸧 ࢢ࣮ࣟࣂࣝ࡞ၥ㢟ࡢ㛵ᚰ
㏆ᖺࡢᖺḟሗ࿌᭩࠾࠸࡚ࡶ࠺ࡦࡘὀ┠ࡍࡁ࡞ࡢࡣࠊࣥࢻࡀ⮬ࡽࡢᏳಖ㞀ࢆᆅ ᇦࡢࡳ࡞ࡽࡎࠊࢢ࣮ࣟࣂࣝ࡞ᩥ⬦ࡢ࡞࡛ᤊ࠼ጞࡵ࡚࠸ࡿⅬ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ2008-09 ᖺḟࡢሗ࿌
᭩ࡽࡣ୍㈏ࡋ࡚ࠊࠕࢢ࣮ࣟࣂࣝᏳಖ㞀⎔ቃࠖࡀࡲࡎึࡵㄽࡌࡽࢀࡿࡼ࠺࡞ࡗ࡚࠸ࡿࠋ ࡑࡇ࡛ࡣࠊୡ⏺ࡢࣃ࣮࣡ࣂࣛࣥࢫࡢኚࡸࠊࢸ࣭ࣟᾏ㈫࡞㠀ᑐ⛠ⓗ⬣ጾࡢ㔜せᛶࠊࠕࢪ
ኴᖹὒࠖᏳᐃࡢᚲせᛶ࡞ࡀࠊࡑࡢ࠶ⓏሙࡍࡿࠕᆅᇦᏳಖ㞀⎔ቃࠖࡰྠศ 㔞࡛グ㏙ࡉࢀ࡚࠸ࡿ㸦2011-12ᖺḟ∧㸧14ࠋ
㸦㸱㸧 ୰ࣃᑐࡍࡿㄆ㆑
⥆ࡃࠕᆅᇦᏳಖ㞀⎔ቃ࡛ࠖࡣࠊࡲࡎࣃ࢟ࢫࢱࣥࡘ࠸࡚ࠕࢸࣟ⤌⧊ࡢάືࡣ࠸ࡲࡔ⾶
࠼ࢆࡳࡏ࡚࠾ࡽࡎࠊᠱᛕ㸦concern㸧ࡢせᅉ࡛࠶ࡾ⥆ࡅ࡚࠸ࡿࠖࡇࠊࠕࣃഃ࠶ࡿࢸࣟ࢟
ࣕࣥࣉࡢᏑᅾࠊ㉺ቃධࡣ౫↛⬣ጾ㸦threat㸧ࢆ✺ࡁࡘࡅࡿࡶࡢࠖㄽࡌ࡚࠸ࡿࠋࣃ࢟ࢫࢱ
ࣥࡢ㏻ᖖᡓຊࡸ᰾ࡢ⬣ጾࡘ࠸࡚ࡣ୍ษゝཬࡏࡎࠊࣃ࢟ࢫࢱࣥࡽࡢ㉺ቃࢸࣟࡇࡑࡀࣥ
ࢻࡢࡶࡗࡥࡽࡢᠱᛕࡔ࠸࠺ࡢ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
ࡇࢀࡣࠊ࠸ࡲࡢࣥࢻࡢᮏ㡢㏆࠸ࡳ࡞ࡋ࡚ࡼࢁ࠺ࠋࣃ࢟ࢫࢱࣥࡢ㏻ᖖᡓຊࡢ᱁ ᕪࡣṔ↛ࡋ࡚࠾ࡾࠊṇつᡓ࡛ࡣࣥࢻኴยᡴࡕ࡛ࡁ࡞࠸ࠋࡔࡽࡇࡑࠊ㉺ቃࢸࣟ࠸
࠺ࠕ௦⌮ᡓதࠖࢆࡅ࡚ࡃࡿࡢࡔ࠸࠺ㄆ㆑ࡣࠊࣥࢻ࡛ࡦࢁࡃࡳࡽࢀࡿࠋࡲࡓࣃ࢟ࢫ ࢱࣥࡢ᰾⟶⌮ࡸ᰾ᢚṆࡘ࠸࡚ࡶࠊࣥࢻ࡛ࡣᅜ㝿♫ࡀᢪ࠸࡚࠸ࡿᠱᛕẚࡿᴦほ
ⓗ࡞ㄆ㆑ࡀᙉ࠸15ࠋࢸࣟၥ㢟ࡶ᰾ࡘ࠸࡚ࡶࠊࣥࢻ࡛ࡣࣃ࢟ࢫࢱࣥ㌷ࡀࡑࢀ࡞ࡾ
⟶⌮ࡋ࡚࠸ࡿࡳ࡚࠸ࡿࡢ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
୰ᅜࡘ࠸࡚ࡣ࠺ࠋࡇࡇ࡛ࡣᖺḟሗ࿌᭩ࡢ᭩ࡁࡪࡾࡣࡸࡸៅ㔜࡞ࡿࠋࡍ࡞ࢃࡕࠊ ࠕࣥࢻࡣ୰ᅜࡢᅜቃၥ㢟ࡀᮍゎỴ࡛࠶ࡿࡇࢆᏳಖ㞀ୖࠊィ⟬ධࢀ࡚ࡣ࠸ࡿࡀࠊ ᡓ␎ⓗ㺃༠ຊⓗࣃ࣮ࢺࢼ࣮ࢩࢵࣉࡢ࡞࡛┦┈࡞ࡿ㡿ᇦ࡛༠ㄪࡍࡿດຊࡀᡶࢃࢀ
࡚࠸ࡿࠖࡋࠊᅜቃၥ㢟ࢆᢪ࠼ࡘࡘࡶࣃ࣮ࢺࢼ࣮ࡋ࡚༠ຊ㺃㛵ࡋ࡚࠸ࡃࡇࡢព⩏ࡀᙉ ㄪࡉࢀ࡚࠸ࡿࠋࣃ࢟ࢫࢱࣥࡢࢣ࣮ࢫࡣ␗࡞ࡾࠊࠕ⬣ጾࠖࡣ࠾ࢁࠊࠕᠱᛕࠖ࠸࠺⾲⌧ࡶ
Ⓩሙࡋ࡞࠸ࠋ
ࢀࡽࡣࡋࡤࡋࡤ㠀බᘧࡢ㆟ࡢሙ࡛ࡣࠊ㏻ᖖ㺃᰾ࡢ୧ᡓຊ࡛ࡁࡃỈࢆ㛤ࡅࡽࢀ࡚࠸ࡿ୰
ᅜᑐࡍࡿ⬣ጾㄆ㆑ࢆཱྀࡍࡿࠋࡋࡋ㏫ㄝⓗ࡛ࡣ࠶ࡿࡀࠊࡔࡽࡇࡑ⌧ẁ㝵࡛ࡣࠕᐇᡓࠖ
ࢆᅇ㑊ࡍࡿࡓࡵࠊࠕ୰ᅜ⬣ጾㄽࠖࢆබᘧࡣᢚไࡋ࡚࠸ࡿࡳ࡞ࡍࡢࡀጇᙜ࡛࠶ࢁ࠺ࠋ㏆ᖺ ࡢᅜ㜵ⓑ᭩࠾࠸࡚ࡣࠊ୰ᅜ㌷㏆௦ࡢືࡁࡸᅜቃ㏆࡛ࡢゎᨺ㌷ࡢᨷໃ㛵ࡋ࡚ࡢグ㏙
ࡍࡽࡳࡽࢀ࡞࠸ࠋ
ࡋࡋ᭱ᚋࠊࠕࣥࢻࡣ୰ᅜࡀ㏆㞄ࠊࡉࡽࡣࡑࡢඛࡢᆅᇦ㌷ⓗᙳ㡪ຊࢆᣑࡋࡘ ࡘ࠶ࡿࡇࢆព㆑ࡋࠊὀព῝ࡃほᐹࡋ࡚࠸ࡿࠖ࠸࠺⾲⌧࡛ࠊ࠸ࢃࡺࡿࠕ┿⌔ࡢ㤳㣭ࡾࠖ
௦⾲ࡉࢀࡿࡼ࠺࡞ࠊ୰ᅜࡀࣥࢻࡢᗞඛ㐍ฟࢆᅗࡗ࡚࠸ࡿࡇᙉ࠸㆙ᡄឤࢆ⾲᫂ࡋ
࡚ࡣ࠸ࡿࠋࡇࢀࡀᚋ㏙ࡍࡿࣥࢻࡢᾏ㌷ᙉࡢືࡁࡘ࡞ࡀࡗ࡚࠸ࡿࠋ
㸲㸬࣓ࣜ࢝ࡢ᪂ᡓ␎ࣥࢻࡢᡓ␎㛵ᚰࡢᣑ
ᖺḟሗ࿌᭩ࢆྵࡵࠊබᘧᩥ᭩ࡣࡲࡔࡳࡽࢀ࡞࠸ࡶࡢࡢࠊ᭱㏆ࠊ࣓ࣀࣥ㸦Shivshankar
Menon㸧ᅜᐙᏳಖ㞀⿵బᐁࢆࡣࡌࡵࡋ࡚ࠊࣥࢻࡢᨻᗓ㧗ᐁࡀࡋࡤࡋࡤཱྀࡍࡿࡼ࠺
࡞ࡗ࡚࠸ࡿࡢࡀࠊ࣓࡛ࣜ࢝2010ᖺ㡭ࡽࣄ࣮࣭ࣛࣜࢡࣜࣥࢺࣥᅜົ㛗ᐁࡽࡀ࠸ጞࡵ
ࡓࠕࣥࢻኴᖹὒ㸦Indo-Pacific㸧ࠖᴫᛕ࡛࠶ࡿࠋࣥࢻࡣඖ᮶ࠊᾏࡘ࠸࡚ࡢᡓ␎ⓗ㛵ᚰࡣࠊ ࠕࢹࣥ‴ࡽ࣐ࣛࢵ࢝ᾏᓙࡲ࡛ࠖ࠸࠺ࣥࢻὒ㝈ᐃࡉࢀ࡚࠸ࡿࡳࡽࢀ࡚ࡁࡓࠋࡋ
ࡋ୰ᅜࡢᾏࡢ㔝ᚰࡀ㟢ࢃ࡞ࡿࡘࢀࠊ࣓ࣜ࢝ࡣࣥࢻࡢᾏὒ༠ຊࡢᙉࢆᮃࡴ
ࡼ࠺࡞ࡗࡓࠋ
ࣥࢻࡶ୰ᅜࡀᮏ᮶ࠕࣥࢻࡢᾏ࡛ࠖ࠶ࡿࡣࡎࡢࣥࢻὒࡲ࡛ᚎࠎᙳ㡪ຊࢆ⾜
ࡋࡣࡌࡵࡿ࡞ࠊ࣓ࣜ࢝ࡢືࡁࢆḼ㏄ࡋࠊ⏝ࡋࡼ࠺࠸࠺ᛮᝨࡀ࡞࠸ࢃࡅ࡛ࡣ࡞࠸ࠋ 2011ᖺࠊࣥࢻࡣ࣋ࢺࢼ࣒༡Ἃㅖᓥ㏆࡛࣋ࢺࢼ࣒ᾏᗏἜ⏣ࡢඹྠㄪᰝࢆ⾜࠸ࠊ୰ᅜഃ
ࡢⓎࢆᣍ࠸ࡓࠋᙜ㠃ࠊࣥࢻࡀ࣋ࢺࢼ࣒ࡢ⤒῭㺃㌷㛵ಀࢆࡇࡲ࡛ᵓ⠏ࡋ࡚࠸ࡃ
ὀ┠ࡍࢀࡤࠊࣥࢻࡢ㛵ᚰࡀᮏᙜ࣐ࣛࢵ࢝ࢆ㉺࠼ࡿ࠺ࡀࡳ࠼࡚ࡇࡼ࠺16ࠋ
ࡋࡋࠊ࣮࢜ࢫࢺࣛࣜࡢ◊✲⪅ࠊࢳࣕࢥ㸦Priya Chacko㸧ࡀᣦࡍࡿࡼ࠺ࠊ⌧ᅾࡢ
ࣥࢻᨻᗓࡢ㛵ᚰࡣࠊ୰ᅜᑐࡍࡿᢚṆ࠸࠺ࡼࡾࡶᅜෆ⤒῭ࡢᨵ㠉ᙺ❧ࡘࡼ࠺࡞Ᏻᐃࡋ ࡓ⎔ቃࡢ㔊ᡂ࠶ࡿࡢ࡛࠶ࡗ࡚ࠊ࣓ࣜ࢝ࠊ࠶ࡿ࠸ࡣ࣮࢜ࢫࢺࣛࣜ࡞ࡇࡢⅬ࡛࡞
ࡽࡎࡋࡶᐖࡀ୍⮴ࡍࡿࢃࡅ࡛ࡣ࡞࠸17ࠋ
㏆ᖺࡢࣥࢻࡢ㌷ᣑࡢືࡁࡣࡓࡋ┠ぬࡲࡋ࠸ࡶࡢࡀ࠶ࡿࠋ㌷ண⟬ࡣGDPẚ࡛ࡣ ౫↛ࡋ࡚2ࣃ࣮ࢭࣥࢺᙉࡲࡿࡶࡢࡢࠊࣥࢻࡢ⤒῭ᡂ㛗ࡶᛴቑࡋ࡚࠸ࡿ㸦ᅗ 1㸧ࠋࡍ࡛ୡ⏺ࡢ࣋ࢫࢺࢸࣥධࡿつᶍ࡞ࡗ࡚࠾ࡾࠊ᪥ᮏࡢࡑࢀࢆᚋ10ᖺࡢ࠺ࡕ
㏣࠸㉺ࡍࡢண ࡶ࠶ࡿ18ࠋࡇࡢ₶ἑ࡞㈨㔠ࡼࡾࠊࣥࢻࡣࡇࢀࡲ࡛ᪧࢯ㐃ࡶࡗࡥ
ࡽ౫ᣐࡋ࡚ࡁࡓරჾయ⣔ࢆๅ᪂ࡋࠊㄪ㐩ඛࢆከゅࡍࡿࡶࠊᢏ⾡⛣㌿ࢆ㐍ࡵࠊᅜ⏘
ࢆᅗࢁ࠺ࡋ࡚࠸ࡿࠋ
ࡃὀ┠ࡉࢀࡿࡢࡣࠊᾏ㌷ຊᙉࡢືࡁ࡛࠶ࡿࠋᾏ㌷ࡣරဨᩘ࡛ゝ࠼ࡤࠊ౫↛ࡋ࡚
㝣㌷ࡢ20ศࡢ1ࠊ✵㌷ࡢ2ศࡢ1⛬ᗘ㐣ࡂ࡞࠸ࡶࡢࡢࠊᅜ㜵ண⟬࡛ࡣయࡢ5ศࡢ1⛬ ᗘࢆࡾࡽࢀ࡚࠸ࡿ19ࠋࣟࢩࡢ㏥ᙺ✵ẕࢦࣝࢩࢥࣇࡢᑟධ20ຍ࠼ࠊᅜ⏘✵ẕࡢᘓ㐀
ࡶ╔ᡭࡋࠊ✵ẕ3㞘యไࢆᐇ⌧ࡋ࡚2022ᖺࡲ࡛ࡢࠕࣈ࣮࢛࣮ࣝ࢘ࢱ࣮ࢿࣅ࣮㸦እὒⰄ㝲㸧
ࠖࢆ┠ᣦࡍࡋ࡚࠸ࡿࠋ
ࡋࡋ༡ࢪ◊✲ࡢᶒጾࠊࢥ࣮࢚ࣥ㸦Stephen Cohen㸧ࡣࣥࢻࡢ㏆ᖺࡢ㌷ⓗ㏆௦
ࡢືࡁࡣࠊᨻᣦ㔪ࢆḞ࠸࡚࠸ࡿࡤࡾࠊࡑࡢ㌷⤌⧊ࡸࢻࢡࢺࣜࣥࡣ౫↛ࡋ࡚ࣂࣛ
ࣂ࡛ࣛࠊ⊃࠸ண ᇶ࡙ࡁࠊ㌷ᡓ␎┠ⓗࡶ࡞࠸ࡲࡲᢏ⾡ࢆ㏣ồࡍࡿࠕ┠ᶆ࡞ࡁ㌷ᣑ࡛ࠖ
࠶ࡿᡭཝࡋࡃㄽホࡍࡿ21ࠋࡇࢀࡲ࡛ࡳ࡚ࡁࡓࡼ࠺ࠊࣥࢻࡣࡑࡢලయⓗࠊ⤫ྜⓗ࡞
ᡓ␎ࡀ᫂☜࡞ࡲࡲ㌷ᣑࡔࡅࡀ㐍ࢇ࡛࠸ࡿࡼ࠺ࡳ࠼ࡿࡇࡀࡑࡢ⫼ᬒ࠶ࡿࠋ ࡣ࠸࠼ࠊࣥࢻࡢ㌷ᣑ┠ⓗࡀఱࡶ࡞࠸ࢃࡅ࡛ࡣ࡞࠸ࠋ2012ᖺ4᭶ࠊࣥࢻᅜ㜵┬ࡣࠊ
᰾ᙎ㢌ᦚ㍕ྍ⬟࡞㛗㊥㞳ᙎ㐨࣑ࢧࣝࠊࢢࢽVࡢⓎᑕᐇ㦂ᡂຌࡋࡓⓎ⾲ࡋࡓࠋᑕ⛬
ࡣ5,000 ࣓࣮࢟ࣟࢺࣝཬࡧࠊ࣑ࢧࣝࡢ㛗㊥㞳ࡣᑐ୰ᑐ⟇࡛࠶ࡿሗࡌࡽࢀ࡚࠸ࡿࠋ
ࡋࡋࡲࡔ㓄ഛࡣ㛫ࢆせࡋࠊ࣑ࢧࣝࡢᩘ㺃⬟ຊࡢⅬ࡛ࡣᑐ୰ᢚṆࡢຠᯝࢆࡍࡄᮇᚅ
࡛ࡁࡿࢃࡅ࡛ࡣ࡞࠸ࠋᚋࠊ୰ᅜࡢ㌷ᣑ➇த࡚ࡿࡶᛮ࠼࡞࠸ࠋ⌧୰ᅜഃࡣࠊ
ࣥࢻࡢᐇ㦂ᡂຌࢆࡁࢃࡵ࡚෭㟼ཷࡅṆࡵࡓࠋࡑࡢព࡛ࡣࠊࡇࢀࡶࠕ┠ᶆ࡞ࡁ㌷ᣑࠖࡢ
ᆺ࠸࠼ࡿࡢࡶࡋࢀ࡞࠸ࠋ
ࡋࡋὀ┠ࡍࡁ࡞ࡢࡣࠊࣥࢻࡀࢢࢽVࢆ㏻ᖖࡣᑕ⛬5,500࣓࣮࢟ࣟࢺࣝ௨ୖࡢ࣑
ࢧࣝᑐࡋ࡚⏝࠸ࡽࢀࡿࠕ㝣㛫ᙎ㐨࣑ࢧࣝ㸦ICBM㸧ࠖබ⛠ࡋࡓⅬ࡛࠶ࡿࠋࣥࢺ
ࢽ࣮㸦A.K. Antony㸧ᅜ㜵┦ࡣࠊࣥࢻࡀࡘ࠸ICBMಖ᭷⬟ຊࡢ࠶ࡿࠕ࢚࣮ࣜࢺࢡࣛࣈ
ධࡗࡓࠖ⬚ࢆᙇࡾࠊ࣓ࢹࡶࣥࢻࡀᅜ㐃Ᏻಖ⌮ᖖ௵⌮ᅜ5࢝ᅜ㸦P5㸧ࡢ⬟ຊ⫪
ࢆ୪ࡓࡇࡢព⩏ࢆᙉㄪࡋࡓࡢ࡛࠶ࡿ22ࠋࢢࢽVࡣP5ྠ➼ࡢࣃ࣮࣡ࢆࡶࡘ⮳ࡗࡓ
ࣥࢻࡢᏑᅾࢆෆእ༳㇟࡙ࡅࡿࡇᐤࡋࡓࡢࡣ㛫㐪࠸࡞࠸ࠋ
ࡍࡿࣥࢻࡢጼ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
㸴㸬ࠕᑐ୰ྠ┕ࠖࡽࠕᡓ␎ⓗࢢ࣮ࣟࣂࣝ㺃ࣃ࣮ࢺࢼ࣮ࢩࢵࣉࠖࡢⓎᒎྥࡅ࡚
㸦㸯㸧୰ᅜࢆࡵࡄࡿᛮᝨࡢ୍⮴
᪥ᮏᅜෆ࡛ࡣ㏆ᖺࠊ୰ᅜᑐࡍࡿ≌ไࡋ࡚ࣥࢻࡢ㛵ಀᙉࢆᙇࡍࡿゝㄝࡀࡋࡤ ࡋࡤ⪺ࢀࡿ23ࠋࡋࡋࡑࢀࢆࡇࡉࡽᙉㄪࡍࡿࠊ2007ᖺࡢࠕ᪥⡿༳ࠖᵓࡳ
ࡽࢀࡓࡼ࠺ࠊࣥࢻࡣᾘᴟጼໃࢆ♧ࡍࠋࡇࢀࡣࡲࡎ➨୍ࠊࣥࢻࡗ࡚୰ᅜࡣࠊࠕୡ
⏺᭱ࡢ㏵ୖᅜࠖࠊࡼࡾṇ☜ゝ࠼ࡤ㺂᪂⯆ᅜࡢྠᚿ࠸࠺ഃ㠃ࡀ࠶ࡿࡽ࡛࠶ࡿࠋẼೃኚ
ືၥ㢟ࡸୡ⏺㈠᫆ᶵ㛵㸦WTO㸧ࡢ࣮ࣝࣝసࡾ࡞࡛ࠊ༳୰ࡢᐖࡣྜ⮴ࡍࡿࠋࢢ࣮ࣟࣂࣝ
⤒῭⛛ᗎࢆ⮬ࡽ᭷࡞ࡶࡢኚ㠉ࡍࡿࡓࡵࠊᑡ࡞ࡃࡶᙜ㠃ࡣ༠ຊࡋ࡞ࡅࢀࡤ࡞ࡽ࡞࠸
ࡢㄆ㆑ࡀᏑᅾࡍࡿࡽ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ➨Ᏻಖ㞀㠃࡛ࡶࠊᅜ㜵ᖺḟሗ࿌᭩ࡢៅ㔜࡞᭩ࡁࡪ
ࡾࡽࡶ❚࠼ࡿࡼ࠺ࠊࣥࢻᅜෆ࡛ࡣࠊ⌧Ⅼ࡛ࡢ୰ᅜࡢ㌷ⓗᑐ❧ࡣྜ⌮ⓗ࡛ࡣ࡞
ࡃࠊᅇ㑊ࡋࡼ࠺࠸࠺ྜពࡀࡦࢁࡃඹ᭷ࡉࢀ࡚࠸ࡿࠋ
ࣥࢻࡢࠕୡ⏺ᅜࠖྥࡅࡓࠕᡓ␎ࠖ࠸࠼ࡿࡶࡢࡀ࠶ࡿࡍࢀࡤࠊࡇࡢ୰ᅜᑐ ࡋ࡚ࡳࡽࢀࡿࡼ࠺࡞ࠊ࢝࢘ࢸࣜࣖ௨᮶ࡢࣉࣛࢢ࣐ࢸࢵࢡ࡞ᨻ⟇࡞ࡢࡶࡋࢀ࡞࠸ࠋࡑ
ࢀࡣⰋࡃ࠸࠼ࡤࠊ⮬ࡢࣃ࣮࣡ࡢẚ㍑⪃㔞ࡑࡢࠎࡢᅜ㝿⎔ቃࢆ╮ࢇࡔ⮫ᶵᛂኚ࡞ᨻ⟇
࡛࠶ࡿࠋࡋࡋࡑࢀࡣᝏࡃ࠸࠼ࡤ↓ཎ๎࡞ࠊཷࡅ㌟ࡢᨻ⟇ࡢࡼ࠺ᫎࡿࡢ࡛࠶ࢁ࠺ࠋ ௨ୖࢆ㋃ࡲ࠼ࡿ࡞ࡽࡤࠊࠕ୰ᅜ⬣ጾㄽࠖࢆ๓㠃ᢲࡋฟࡋࡓࠊ࠶ࡿ࠸ࡣࡑࡢࡼ࠺ෆእ
ཷࡅṆࡵࡽࢀࡿᑐࣥࢻᨻ⟇ࡀពࢆ࡞ࡉ࡞࠸ࡇࡣ᫂ࡽ࡛࠶ࢁ࠺ࠋ
ࡋࡋᠱᛕࡉࢀࡿࡢࡣࠊ᪥ࡢ᪥ᮏࡀࠊᑤ㛶ၥ㢟ࠊ᪥㐠ືࡢ㧗ᥭࡢ࡞࡛୰ᅜࡢᑐ 0.0
10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0
90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 ᅗ㸯 ࣥࢻ㌷ᨭฟࡢ᥎⛣
(The SIPRI Military Expenditure Databaseࡼࡾ➹⪅సᡂ)
㌷ᨭฟ(10൨⡿ࢻࣝ)
㸦ᖺ㸧
࡛࠶ࡿࠋ2012ᖺ10᭶ࢹ࣮࡛ࣜ㛤ദࡉࢀࡓ➨3ᅇ᪥⡿༳ᒁ㛗⣭༠㆟㛵ࡋࠊࣥࢻ᭷ຊ
⣬ࡣࠊ⡿༳୧ᅜࡀࢹࣥ‴ࡽ༡ࢩࢼᾏ⮳ࡿᗈ⠊࡞㡿ᇦࡢ⮬ᅜࡢ⪃࠼᪉ࢆㄝ᫂ࡋࡓࡢ
ᑐࡋࠊ᪥ᮏࡣࠕࡼࡾ⊃࠸ࠖᑤ㛶ၥ㢟ࡘ࠸࡚ࡋㄝ᫂ࡋ࡞ࡗࡓሗࡌࡓࠋᐇ࡛࠶ࢁ
࠺࡞ࢁ࠺ࠊࡑࡢࡼ࠺ཷࡅṆࡵࡽࢀ࡚࠸ࡿࡇ⮬యࡀၥ㢟࡛࠶ࢁ࠺ࠋࡑࡶࡑࡶࠊࡑ ࡢ1㐌㛫๓㛤ദࡉࢀࡓ᪥༳ࠕ2㸩2ࠖᑐヰࢆྵࡵࠊ᪥༳ࠊ᪥⡿༳ࡢ㐃ᦠᙉࡣࠕ୰ᅜࢆ
≌ไࡍࡿពᅗࡀ࠶ࡿࠖ᪨ࠊࠕ᪥ᮏᨻᗓ㛵ಀ➽ࡢヰࠖࡋ࡚ሗࡌࡽࢀ࡚ࡁࡓࠋ᰿ᗏࡑࡢࡼ࠺
࡞ពᅗࡀ࠶ࡿࡋ࡚ࡶࠊࡑࢀࢆ㟢㦵⾲ࡍࡢࡣࠊ๓㏙ࡋࡓࣥࢻࡢᑐ୰㛵ಀࢆ⪃࠼ࢀࡤࠊ
㈼᫂ࡣ࠸࠼ࡲ࠸ࠋ
ࡋࡓࡀࡗ࡚ࠊᑤ㛶ၥ㢟࡛ࡢ༠ຊࡸ୰ᅜᑒࡌ㎸ࡵࡔ┤᥋ཷࡅṆࡵࡽࢀࡿࡼ࠺࡞ࡓࡕ࡛
ࡢᑐࣥࢻᨻ⟇ࡣཝៅࡴࡁ࡛࠶ࡿࠋࡴࢁࢇࠊࣥࢻࡶྎ㢌ࡍࡿ୰ᅜࡢᠱᛕࡀ࠶ࡿ
ࡢࡣ㛫㐪࠸࡞࠸ࠋ୰ᅜࡢࡳࡀྎ㢌ࡋࠊ⡿୰෭ᡓࠊ࠶ࡿ࠸ࡣG2 ࡞ࡾࠊ⡿୰ඹྠᨭ㓄ࡢࣥ
ࢻኴᖹὒࠊୡ⏺ࡀᙧᡂࡉࢀࡿࡇࡣࠊᅜቃࢆ᥋ࡍࡿ᪥ᮏࣥࢻࡗ࡚᭱ᝏࡢࢩࢼࣜ࢜
࡛࠶ࡿࠋ๓⪅࡛࠶ࢀࡤࠊᡓதࡢࣜࢫࢡࡀ㧗ࡲࡾࠊᚋ⪅࡛࠶ࢀࡤࠊࣉࣞࢮࣥࢫࡢపୗࡣචࢀ
࡞࠸ࠋ
㸦㸰㸧 ᑐ୰≌ไࢆ㉸࠼ࡓ㛵ಀ
࡛ࡣ࠺ࡍࡁ࡞ࡢࠋ࡞ࡼࡾࡶᚲせ࡞ࡢࡣࠊࣥࢻᑐࡋ࡚ࠊ୰ᅜゝཬࡍࡿࡇ
࡞ࡃࠊࡑࡢࢢ࣮ࣟࣂࣝ࡞⯙ྎࡢྎ㢌ࢆᨭ࠼ࡿ❧ሙࢆ᫂☜ᡴࡕฟࡍࡇࡀᮃࡲࡋ࠸ࠋࡑ
ࢀࡣ┤᥋ⓗ࡛ࡣ࡞࠸ࡏࡼࠊ㛗ᮇⓗぢࢀࡤ⤖ᯝⓗ୰ᅜᑐࡍࡿࢯࣇࢺ㺃ࣂࣛࣥࢩࣥࢢࡢ
ຠᯝࢆᮇᚅࡋ࠺ࡿࠋලయⓗࡣ⤒῭㛵ಀ࣭ᢏ⾡༠ຊࡢᙉࡀࡲࡎ࡞ࡼࡾࡶ⫢せ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
ࡃ᪥ᮏࡢᚓពศ㔝࡛࠶ࡿࣥࣇࣛᨭ㸦㐨㊰ࠊ᪂ᖿ⥺ࠊ㟁Ẽ㺃ሗ㺃㏻ಙ⥙㸧ࠊཎᏊຊ࣭
⎔ቃᢏ⾡༠ຊࡇࡑࣥࢻࡀᮇᚅࡍࡿⅬ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
㌷㠃࡛ࡣࠊせྛᅜࡀࣥࢻࡢරჾᕷሙࡢཧධࢆ➇࠺࡞ࠊ᪥ᮏࡣ⺅ᖒࡢእ࠶ࡿࠋ
ࣥࢻࡽࡳࡓࡁࠊ᪥ᮏࡢ㜵⾨㠃࡛ࡢホ౯ࡣࢮࣟ➼ࡋ࠸24ࠋࡋࡋࣥࢻࡣ᪥ᮏ࠾
ࡅࡿṊჾ㍺ฟ୕ཎ๎ぢ┤ࡋࡢືࡁࢆὀどࡋ࡚࠾ࡾࠊ୍㒊࡛࠶ࢀ༠ຊࡀᐇ⌧ࡍࡿࡍࢀࡤࠊ
ࣥࢻࡢᑐ᪥ホ౯ࡣⓗኚࡋࡼ࠺ࠋᅜ㛫ࡢᾏୖカ⦎ࢆࡣࡌࡵࡍࡿ༠ຊ࣭ὶࡣࠊ
୰ᅜࢆ่⃭ࡋ࡞࠸ࡓࡕ࡛㸦ᩆ㞴カ⦎ࡸࢸࣟᑐ⟇ࢆྡ┠ࡋ࡚㸧῝㺃⥅⥆ࡉࡏࢀࡤࡼ࠸ࠋ ࡋࡋ᭱ࡶ㔜せ࡞ࡢࡣࠊእⓗ࡞ࣉ࣮ࣟࢳ࡛࠶ࢁ࠺ࠋࡲࡎࠊඹ᭷ࡍࡿᬑ㐢ⓗ࡞ཎ⌮ࢆ
☜ㄆࡍࡿࡇࡀồࡵࡽࢀࡿࠋࡍ࡞ࢃࡕࠊࠕἲࡢᨭ㓄ࠖࠊࠕᕷẸ♫ࠖࠊࠕẸ⩏ࠖࠊࠕ⯟⾜ࡢ⮬
Ṇࡵࡽࢀ࡞࠸ࡼ࠺㓄៖ࡋࡘࡘࠊࣥࢻኴᖹὒࠊࡑࡋ࡚ୡ⏺࠾࠸࡚ࡑࢀࡽࣞࢪ࣮࣒ࡢᙧ ᡂ㺃ᙉྥࡅ࡚ࡢ㐃ᦠࢆࣥࢻࡢ㛫࡛ㅻ࠺ࡁ࡛࠶ࢁ࠺ࠋ
ࡇࡢᬑ㐢ⓗཎ⌮ᇶ࡙ࡁࡘࡘࠊᆅᇦⓗࡣࠊ᪥༳ࡀࡶ࠾࠾ࡴࡡⰋዲ࡞㛵ಀࢆ᭷ࡋࠊ
ࡘᡓ␎ⓗࡶ㔜せ࡞ࠊᮾࡣ࣑࣐࣮ࣕࣥࡽすࡣࣛࣥ⮳ࡿ༡すࢪᆅᇦࡢᏳᐃ㺃 Ẹྥࡅࡓ᪥༳㐃ᦠࢆᶍ⣴ࡍࡿࡇࡣྍ⬟࡛࠶ࡿࡤࡾࠊ࠾ࡑࡽࡃୡ⏺యࡗ
࡚ࡶ᭷ព⩏࡛࠶ࢁ࠺ࠋࡴࢁࢇࡇࡢ࠺ࡕࠊࣃ࢟ࢫࢱࣥࡔࡅࡀࣥࢻࡗ࡚གྷ࡞┦ᡭ࡛ࡣ
࠶ࡿࡀࠊ⌧ᅾࡣ㛵ಀᨵၿࡀ㐍ᒎࡋ࡚࠸ࡿࡋࠊࣥࢻࡗ࡚ࡶࣃ࢟ࢫࢱࣥ࡞ࡽࡧࡑࢀ
㞄᥋ࡍࡿࣇ࢞ࢽࢫࢱࣥࡢᏳᐃ࣭ኻᩋᅜᐙࡣ᭱ᝏࡢࢩࢼࣜ࢜ࡢㄆ㆑ࡀࡦࢁࡀࡗ࡚
࠸ࡿࠋࡇࡇ࠾࠸࡚ࡶࠊᕷẸ♫ࡸẸ⩏ࢆᙉࡍࡿࡓࡵࡢ᪉⟇ࡘ࠸࡚᪥༳ࡀ㐃ᦠ࡛
ࡁࡿྍ⬟ᛶᮇᚅࡀ࠶ࡿࠋ༳ࣃࡢಙ㢗㔊ᡂࡸ࢝ࢩ࣑࣮ࣝၥ㢟ࡘ࠸࡚ࡶࠊ᪥ᮏࡣࢺࣛࢵࢡ 2࡛ࣞ࣋ࣝࡢ༠㆟࡞ࡽࡤᨭࡋ࠺ࡿ❧ሙ࠶ࡿ25ࠋ࠸ࡲࡲࡉኚࡢ㏵ୖ࠶ࡿ࣑࣐࣮ࣕࣥࠊ
ࣂࣥࢢࣛࢹࢩࣗࠊࢿࣃ࣮ࣝࠊࣃ࢟ࢫࢱࣥࠊࣇ࢞ࢽࢫࢱࣥࠊࣛࣥ࠸ࡗࡓࣥࢻ࿘㎶ᅜ
࡛᪥༳ࡢᥖࡆࡿᬑ㐢ⓗཎ⌮ࢆᐃ╔ࡉࡏ࡚࠸ࡃࡇࠊࡑࡢࡓࡵࡢᡓ␎ࢆᥥࡃࡇࡀᮃࡲࢀࡿࠋ せࡍࡿࠊ᪥༳㛵ಀࢆࠕᑐ୰≌ไࠖ࠸࠺⊃㔞࡞ᛮᝨࢆ㉸࠼࡚ࠊᩥᏐ㏻ࡾࠊࠕᡓ␎ⓗࢢࣟ㸬㸬
࣮ࣂࣝ㸬㸬㸬
࣭ࣃ࣮ࢺࢼ࣮ࢩࢵࣉࠖ㸦ഐⅬ➹⪅㸧㣕㌍ࡉࡏࡽࢀࡿ࠺ࡀၥࢃࢀ࡚࠸ࡿࡢ࡛ࡣ
࡞ࢁ࠺ࠋ
― ὀ ―
1 ࣥࢻࡣࡓ࠼ࡤࠊ࣓ࣜ࢝㸦2004ᖺ㸧ࠊࢠࣜࢫ㸦2004ᖺ㸧ࠊࣇࣛࣥࢫ㸦1998ᖺ㸧ࠊࢻࢶ 㸦2001ᖺ㸧ࠊ᪥ᮏ㸦2006ᖺ㸧ࠊࣟࢩ㸦2000ᖺ㸧ࠊ୰ᅜ㸦2005ᖺ㸧ࠊ༡ࣇࣜ࢝㸦1997ᖺ㸧ࠊ
ࣥࢻࢿࢩ㸦2005ᖺ㸧ࠊࣈࣛࢪࣝ㸦2006ᖺ㸧࡞ࠊᡓ␎ⓗࣃ࣮ࢺࢼ࣮ࢩࢵࣉࠊࡲࡓࡣࡑ
ࢀ㢮ࡍࡿ㛵ಀࢆᐉゝࡋ࡚ࡁࡓ㸦ᣓᘼෆࡣᐉゝᖺ㸧ࠋࡲࡓ2010ᖺᚋ༙ࡔࡅ࡛ᅜ㐃Ᏻಖ⌮ᖖ௵
⌮ᅜࡢࡍ࡚ࡢ㤳⬻ࡀゼ༳ࡋࡓࡇࡣࠊࣥࢻࡀࠊせᅜࡽᘬࡗᙇࡾࡔࡇ࡛࠶ࡿࡇࢆ
༳㇟࡙ࡅࡿฟ᮶࡛࠶ࡗࡓࠋ
2 ᇼᮏṊຌࠕኚࡍࡿࣥࢻእ㸫ᅜእࢆ㐍ࡵࡿࡢࠖࠗ⌧௦ࣥࢻ㺃ࣇ࢛࣮࣒ࣛ࠘2009ᖺ 4᭶㸦ห㸧ྕࠊ24-31㡫ࠋ<http://www.japan-india.com/pdf/forum/46-1.pdf> 2013ᖺ2᭶1᪥
ࢡࢭࢫࠋ
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ࡗࡓࡉࢀࡿࠋ
4 ࡇࡢⅬ࡛ࠊࣃ࢟ࢫࢱࣥࢆࡣࡌࡵࡋࡓ༡ࢪྛᅜࡢ㛵ಀᵓ⠏㺃ᙉࡀḞࡏ࡞࠸ࡢㄆ㆑
ࡣࠊ࣐ࣥࣔࣁ࣭ࣥࢩࣥ㸦Manmohan Singh㸧㤳┦ࡢⓎゝࡸ⾜ືࡽࡣ❚࠼ࡿࡶࡢࡢࠊᨻᗓࢆྵ
ࡵࠊࣥࢻయ࡛ࡣࠊࠕᛀ༷ࠖࡉࢀ࡚࠸ࡿഴྥࡀᙉ࠸ࠋఀ⸨⼥ࠕࣥࢻࡢࠗୡ⏺ᅜ࠘ᑐ
ࣃ࢟ࢫࢱࣥ㛵ಀࠖ㏆⸨๎ኵ⦅ࠗ⌧௦ࣥࢻࡢᅜ㝿㛵ಀ㸫࣓ࢪ࣮ࣕ㺃ࣃ࣮࣡ࡢᶍ⣴࠘㸦ࢪ
⤒῭◊✲ᡤࠊ2012ᖺ㸧105-131㡫ࠋ
5 ࡇ࠺ࡋࡓᡓ␎ᐙࡢࠕᚚᡤⓗᏑᅾࠖࡔࡗࡓࡢࡀࠊእົḟᐁࠊᅜᐙᏳಖ㞀⿵బᐁࢆṔ௵ࡋࡓ ࢹࢡࢩࢵࢺ㸦J.N.Dixit㸧ࠊ㜵⾨◊✲ᡤ㸦IDSA㸧ᡤ㛗ࢆົࡵࡓࢫࣈ࣐ࣛࢽ࣒㸦K. Subrahmanyam㸧 ࡢ୧ᨾே࡛࠶ࡗࡓࠋ⌧ᅾ࡛ࡣࠊࢪ࣮ࣕࢼࣜࢫࢺࡢ࣮ࣛࢪ࣭ࣕࣔࣁࣥ㸦C.Raja Mohan㸧ࠊࣦࣛ
ࢲࣛࢪࣕࣥ㸦Siddharth Varadarajan㸧ࠊᏛ⪅ࡢࢳ࢙ࣛࢽ࣮㸦Brahma Chellaney㸧ࠊࣃࣥࢺ㸦Harsh V.
Pant㸧ࠊඖ㌷ேࡢࣂࢫ࣮࢝ࣝ㸦C.Uday Bhaskar㸧ࠊࢩࣥ㸦Jasjit Singh㸧ࡽࡀ࠸ࡿࠋ
6 L.N.Rangarajan, Kautilya, The Arthashastra㸦Penguin Books, 1992㸧㸬
7 ࡓ࠼ࡤࠊ࣮ࣛࢪ࣭ࣕࣔࣁࣥࡣࠊ࣐ࣥࣔࣁ࣭ࣥࢩࣥᨻᶒࡀᑐ⡿㛵ಀࡘ࠸࡚⡿ᅜഃࡢᮇᚅ
ࣥࢻࡀᛂ࠼ࡼ࠺ࡋ࡚࠸࡞࠸㸦C. Raja Mohan, “Doubting Delhi,” The Indian Express㸦January 8, 2013㸧㸬<http://www.indianexpress.com/story-print/1056003>2013ᖺ2᭶12᪥ࢡࢭࢫ㸧ࡋࠊ
ࣃ࢟ࢫࢱࣥࢆࡣࡌࡵࡍࡿᑐ࿘㎶ᅜእࡘ࠸࡚ࡶࠊࢽࢩࢸࣦࢆḞ࠸࡚࠸ࡿ㸦C. Raja Mohan, “A Visit to Pakistan,”The Indian Express㸦September 19, 2012㸧㸬
<http://www.indianexpress.com/story-print/1004528>2013ᖺ2᭶13᪥ࢡࢭࢫ㸧ᡭཝࡋࡃᢈุ
ࡋ࡚ࡁࡓࠋ
8 ྠሗ࿌᭩ࡣࠊࢧࣛࣥ㸦Shyam Saran㸧ඖእົḟᐁࠊࣦࣛࢲࣛࢪ࣭ࣕࣥࣄࣥࢻ࣮⣬⦅㞟㛗ࢆ
ࡣࡌࡵࡍࡿඖእᐁ࣭㌷㛵ಀ⪅ࠊࢪ࣮ࣕࢼࣜࢫࢺࡽࡼࡗ࡚ᇳ➹ࡉࢀࠊⓎ⾲ࡢሙࡣṔ௦ ࡢᅜᐙᏳಖ㞀⿵బᐁࡶฟᖍࡋࡓࠋNonalignment 2.0: A Foreign and Strategic Policy for India in the Twenty First Century, 2012.
<http://www.cprindia.org/sites/default/files/NonAlignment%202.0_1.pdf>2013ᖺ2᭶1᪥ࢡࢭࢫࠋ
9 The Hindu, February 29, 2012.
<http://www.thehindu.com/news/national/article2943359.ece> 2013ᖺ2᭶12᪥ࢡࢭࢫࠋ
10 Ύ⏣ᬛᏊࠕࣥࢻ㌷ࡢᡓ␎㏻ᖖᡓຊࠖすཎṇࠊᇼᮏṊຌ⦅ࠗ㌷ᅜࡍࡿࣥࢻ࠘㸦ள
⣖᭩ᡣࠊ2010ᖺ㸧150-155㡫ࠋ
11 ᅜ㜵┬ᖺḟሗ࿌᭩ࡣࠊ௨ୗ࡛ධᡭྍ⬟࡛࠶ࡿࠋhttp://mod.nic.in/reports/welcome.html.
12 ࡇࡢ࠺ࡕࠊࣂࣥࢢࣛࢹࢩࣗࡣ4,096࣓࣮࢟ࣟࢺࣝࠊ୰ᅜࡣ3,439࣓࣮࢟ࣟࢺࣝࠊࣃ࢟ࢫ
ࢱࣥࡣ3,325࣓࣮࢟ࣟࢺࣝࡢᅜቃࢆ᥋ࡍࡿࡋ࡚࠸ࡿࠋ
13 ࡓ࠼ࡤ୰ᅜࡢ㛫࡛ࡣ2009ᖺኟࠊ୰ᅜேẸゎᨺ㌷ࡼࡿࠕධࠖࡀࡓࡧࡓࡧ㉳ࡁ࡚࠸ࡿ
࠸ࡗࡓሗ㐨ࡀ┦ḟࡂࠊ㔝ඪࡽࡣࠊᙉ◳ጼໃࢆồࡵࡿኌࡀୖࡀࡗࡓࠋࡑࡢᚋࡶࣥࢻࡀᐇ
ຠᨭ㓄ࡍࡿࣝࢼ࣮ࢳ࣭ࣕࣝࣉࣛࢹࢩࣗᕞࡸࢪ࣒࣮࣭ࣕࣥ࢝ࢩ࣑࣮ࣝᕞฟ㌟⪅ᑐࡋࠊ୰ᅜ
ഃࡀࠕ≉ู࡞ᰝドࠖࢆⓎ⤥ࡋࡓࡾࠊᙜヱᆅᇦࡢ㌷ேࡢゼ୰ࢆᣄྰࡍࡿ࠸ࡗࡓࡀ┦ḟࡂࠊ ୧ᅜ㛫ࡢ㌷ὶࡀࡋࡤࡽࡃ୰᩿ࡉࢀࡓࠋࡲࡓࣃ࢟ࢫࢱࣥࡢ㛫࡛ࡣࠊ2013ᖺ1᭶ࠊ࢝ࢩ࣑
࣮ࣝࡢ⟶⌮ࣛࣥ㸦Line of Control: LoC㸧࡛ࠊ≛≅⪅ࢆక࠺つᶍ࡞㖠ᧁᡓࡀ⥆ࡁࠊ᪉ࡀ ࠕᡓ㐪ࠖࢆ㠀㞴ࡋྜ࠺ែ࡞ࡗࡓࠋ
14 Ministry of Defence, Government of India, Annual Report 2011-2012, pp.2-8.
<http://mod.nic.in/reports/AR-eng-2012.pdf>2013ᖺ2᭶10᪥ࢡࢭࢫࠋḟ㡯ࡢグ㏙ࡶྠᖺḟሗ
࿌᭩ᇶ࡙ࡃࠋ
15 ఀ⸨⼥ࠕᆅᇦ⣮தࢢ࣮ࣟࣂࣝ㺃࢞ࣂࢼࣥࢫ㸫2002ᖺ༳ࣃ༴ᶵᅜ㝿♫ࡢᑐᛂࠖෆ⏣Ꮧ⏨ࠊ ᕝཎᙲ⦅ⴭࠗࢢ࣮ࣟࣂࣝ㺃࢞ࣂࢼࣥࢫࡢ⌮ㄽᨻ⟇࠘㸦୰ኸᏛฟ∧㒊ࠊ2004ᖺ㸧235-254㡫ࠋ
16 C.Raja Mohan, “Looking beyond Malacca,” Indian Express㸦October 11, 2011㸧㸬
<http://www.indianexpress.com/news/looking-beyond-malacca/858300>2013ᖺ2᭶12᪥ࢡࢭࢫࠋ
17 Priya Chacko, “India and the Indo-Pacific,” Indo-Pacific Governance Research Centre Policy Brief, November 2012.
<http://www.adelaide.edu.au/indo-pacific-governance/policy/Chacko_PB.pdf>2012ᖺ12᭶1᪥ࢡ ࢭࢫࠋ
18 ᇼᮏṊຌࠕࣥࢻࢆࡵࡄࡿ᪥ᮏࡢືࡁ㸫㡰ㄪ࡞᪥༳Ᏻಖ㞀㛵ಀᚋࠖすཎṇࠊᇼᮏṊຌ
⦅ࠗ㌷ᅜࡍࡿࣥࢻ࠘㸦ள⣖᭩ᡣࠊ2010ᖺ㸧95㡫ࠋ
19 Ministry of Defence, Government of India, Annual Report 2011-2012, pp.15-16.
20 ࡓࡔࡋࠊࢦࣝࢩࢥࣇࡢࣥࢻࡢᘬࡁΏࡋࡣ2008ᖺ࠸࠺ᙜึࡢணᐃࡼࡾᖜ㐜ࢀ࡚࠾
ࡾࠊ⌧ᅾࡢࡇࢁ᪩ࡃ࡚ࡶ2013ᖺᮎࡢぢ㏻ࡋ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
21 Stephen P. Cohen and Sunil Dasgupta, Arming without Aiming: India’s Military Modernization 㸦The Brookings Institution, 2010㸧.
22 ࡇࢀྠᵝࡢᒎ㛤ࡣࠊ2013ᖺ1᭶ࣥࢻࡀ₯ỈⰄⓎᑕᙎ㐨࣑ࢧࣝ㸦SLBM㸧ࡢⓎᑕᐇ㦂
ࢆึබ㛤ࡋࡓ㝿ࡶࡳࡽࢀࡓࠋ
23 ࡓ࠼ࡤࠊḈࡼࡋࡇࠊᏳಸ୕ࠊ⏣ஂಖᛅ⾨ࠊᓥ⏣ὒ୍ࠕ᪥༳ྠ┕࡛୰ᅜ❧ࡕྥ࠼ࠖ
ࠗWill࠘2011ᖺ4᭶ྕࠊ196-209㡫ࠋ