The Importance of Regional Power Status ; US‑China Relations as a Contrasting Case
著者 Haddad Michal
journal or
publication title
人間社会環境研究
volume 15
page range 107‑124
year 2008‑03‑27
URL http://hdl.handle.net/2297/9836
論文
人間社会環境研究第15号2008.3
107Thelmportanceof・RegionalPowerStatus;
US-ChinaRelationsasaContrastingCase
社会環境科学研究科国際社会環境学専攻 MichalHaddad
地域大国としての地位の重要`性
一対照的事例としての米中関係 ハダド・ミハル
要旨
この論文は,修士論文のために私が提出した仮説Iの実証を補強することを目的とする。こ の仮説は,地域大国の地位が同盟結成の決定的な要因であるというもので,修士論文では米国 の日本との同盟をそれによって説明した。本論文では,中国と米国との関係を対照的事例とし て説明する。戦争直後に,米中の関係は,中国の弱さ,不安定さのために同盟を形成しない場 合となった。50年代には,米国はアジアで中国をその主な敵とみなした。次第に米国は,中国 の勢力を見直すようになり,60年代には中国を地域大国として見るようになった。ベトナム戦 争は,米国に中国と国交を結ぶ必要性を確信させた。
キーワード:地域大国,米中関係,冷戦
thatlackofregionalimportancemightleada s叩erpowertorefiamfTomfbnnmganallianceorto abstamfi・omhavmgrelationsaltogetherlThus,fbr example,theUSchosetoallocatefewerresourcesand devotedconsiderablylesseHbrttofbnnmgrelations withConⅡnunistChmalnilthel960slnternational pressuresandmoreurgentproblemsaswellasthe complicatedsituationinChmacombmedtominimize America,sfbcusonsecurlngaworkmgrelationship withChmaFurthermore,theUS-ChmacasewUlbe reviewedinordertoprovidemoleevidenceanda generalbasisfbrthehypothesis・Whenasupelpower hasnorelationsoraconfiDntationwitharegional power,thatstateofaffairswillpersistuntilthe superpowerencountersregionalissuesthatitcannot solveorpromotebenefitiallyうaloneOncelegional quandariesarise,thevalueofrelationswitharegional lntroduclion
Thisarticlepresentsacontrastmgcasetoa
hypothesisIdevelopedandprovedmtheMaster,s
thesis1Ihypothesizedthatas叩elpowerneedsto
alignwithatleastoneregionalpowerlnanygiven
region,ifitwishestomaintamitsworldwidestatusA
regionalpowercanprovideabasefbrsupport,which
facilitatesthechancesfbrsuccessoftllegeatpower,s
engagementmtheregionForasuperpoweL
alignmentswithkeyactorsmvariousregionsarethe
bestwaytomaxmizeitsbenefitsandtorealizeallof
itsinterests・USrelationswithChinaarepresented
hereasacontrastmgcasetoprovidefiJrtherevidence
thatregionalstatusisannnportantftlctorlna
superpower,scalculationmfbnningrelations
ConverselyうtheUS-Chmacaseisfirstlyanevidence
人間社会環境研究第15号20083
108
FarEastareawereclearlyfbcusedonChma,butthe USsoonrealizedthatthismightbehardertoachieve thanitthought,giventhecomplexsituationmChma
ThroughoutthecivilwarmChma,theUS
supportedChiangKai-shek,sKuomintang(KMT)4
actively,withthehopethatitwouldprovideastable regmemthefUtureNevertheless,theUSmamtamed
relationswithboththeKMTandtheChmese
Communists(CCP)うthroughvariousmissions6
WiththesimationmChinagrowmgmorecomplicated anddifHculttodecipher,theUSrealizedgraduaUy thatChmamightnotbeabletoliveuptoFDR,svision Yet,theUScontinuedwithitseffbrtstofbnnastable regmemChmamainlythroughaidtothe Kuommtang
OnceWOrldWarIIended,thekeygoalsoftheUS mEastAsiaweretoelnmateJapanesemilitarism,
andpromotedemocracywhileworkmgtoendthecivil warmChmaandtorestoreChmaasasovereignstate BothbefbreandafterthewaLAmericaneconomic
interestsinJapangreatlyexceededthoseinChma7
Nevertheless,ChmawasnotunnnpoltanttotheUSas theUSheldouthopethatChmawouldactasabuffbr betweenRussiaandtheWest,amidanatmosphereof growmgbipolarconfiDntationTherefbre,theUS contmuedtoaidtheKMⅢbothbecauseAmericastill opposedtheCCP,sideologyandbecausetheUSand theKMThadcooperatedbefbreandtheUScontinued tobelievethatChiangwasthepreferredrulerofChma AfterJapan,ssulrendeE50,OOOAmericantroopswere transferredtoChma,toassistmdisarnnngthe Japaneseandtoensurethattheannsandevacuated
areasweretumedovertotheNationalistsratherthan
theConmnunists8TheUSsuppliedandtramedthe KMTsmilitaryfbrces,providedintelligence,and guardedtheirlmesofconⅡnunication9Although
America,sfbcusgraduaUyshiftedfiomChinatoJapan,
theUSstillremamedengagedmChinaandcontmued itseffbrtstostabilizetheregion
TheStateDepartment,seffbrtsattheendofWOrld powermcreasesandtheyevenbecomeanecessityfbr
thesupelpower・
Thisalticlepresentsapatternmthebilateral relationSSevereconfiFontationmthel950sledto America,sassessmentofChinaasafbnnidablefbe OnceChmeseweaknesseswererealized,theUS
graduallysawChmalessasarevolutionary threatenmgpowerandmoreasaregionalpowerwith somelimitations21arguethattheViemamWar hastenedthesignificanceofthosereassessmentsof Chma,spower,andencouragedtheUStobegm rapprochementlwillshowthattheUSfirst
consideredChinaasitsmainrivalmAsia,and filrthennore,asanmportantrivalmthecontextofthe ColdWar・hthel960s,theUS,begantoreexammeits viewofChma,andcametobetterappreciateits weaknessesmbothmilitaryandeconomictennsThis reexammationbytheUSreducedChma,sstatusasa threatenmgrivaltothatofaconsequentialregional poweLbutnotwithsufHcientpowertoposeadanger directlytotheUSTheViemamWaracceleratedthe
needtofbnnrelationswithChinaUntillossesm ViemamposedtheUSwitharegionalpredicament,
theUSdidnotviewChma,sregionalstatusas mportanttoAmericaninterestsmAsia
WorldWarlIinAsiaandthelmmediate Aftermath
DurmgWOrldWarlLtheUSsoughttoavoidthe civilwarmChmauntilafterJapan,sdefeaththe earlystagesofthewarltheUShopedthatChina wouldbecomeastrongstabilizmgfbrcemEastAsia inthefUture,asoneofRoosevelt,s‘fburpoliceInen・
,3ForChmatoactasthe‘policeman’thewayFDR wished,itwouldhavetohaveareliableandstable regmesimilartothatoftheUSIntheAmericanview;
withoutastrongandstableregme,Chmacouldnot
regamitsregionalstamsandhelp‘policeotherstates
intheareaTheAmericanmterestsandhopesfbrthe
ThelmportanceofRegionalPowerStatus
109WarIIfbcusedonbringmgaboutacoalition govemnentbetweentheKMTandCCPAmerica,s goalwasstilltostrengthenChmathroughunification andasitwasalreadyclearatthatpointthatChiangdid nothavethecapacitytouniteChmabymilitarymeans,
acoalitiongovenⅡnentseemedtheonlywaytobrmg anendtothehostilitiesandtostrengthenChma10 ArrivmgmChinamDecemberl945,asheadofthe MarshallMission,GeneralMarshalrsaimwasto bolstertheChmesegovernmentbyaITangmga cease-fireandbyencouragmgpoliticalnegotiations betweentheparties'’HowevelBMarshallcameto thesameconclusionashispredecessor,Hurley〕that neithersidewaswillmgtomakethesubstantial concessionsneededtofbrmacoalitiongovemment12 ThroughsuchmissionsmChina,theUScameto realizethataidmgandsupportmgtheKMTmightbe morecostlythanmitiallythoughthcomparisonwith Japan,wheretheUShadamoreorless‘ffeehand,m shapmgthepost-warorderthere,Chmaappearedquite unmanageable
Moreover,MarshallgraduallyrealizedthatChiang,s govemmentwasnotaneHectiveallyfbrtheUSmits conffontationwiththeSovietUnion13Evenpriorto theendofWOrldWarll,ml944,theUSrealized ChiangdidnothaveasuitableregmefbrtheUSto
support14TheUSmissio、smChinasoonagreed thatmediationwashopelessandbothpaltieswishedto resolvetheissuethroughamilitarycampaignlsA coalitiongovemnentmChlnacouldhaveprovided theoptnalsolutionmtennsofAmerica,smterests lnpromotmgstabilityandreducmgitsengagementm thearea・Asnegotiationswereffuitless,asecondcivil warmChmaseemedunavoidableandinⅡninentln l94ユtheUSstatedthatitwouldassisttheKMTbut wouldavoidusmgAmericanmilitaryfbrcesto mtervenemChma,smternalaffairs16Befbrelong,
thehostilitiesmChinaunraveledmtoanall-outcivil
war.
TheSecondChineseCivilWar
DurmgthesecondcivilwarmChina,themam Americanmterestwastofindawaytolimitits mvolvementwithoutjeopardizmgdomesticsupport essentialtoitspoliciesfbrtheprotectionand reconstructionofEuropeTheUSstrategicand economicinterestsmChmaweremsufficienttojustify agreatermvestmentoflimitednationalresourcesAs theUScouldnotsustamsizeablecomnitmemsm everypartoftheworld,USofficialschosetofbcus theireffbrtsonthecountriesmtheareawhere
Americaninterestsandtheprospectsfbrsuccesswere 印eateLsuchasJapanandthePhilippmesPresident TrumandidnotbelievethatAmericanpowercouldbe productivelyappliedeverywhere,anddidnotthink thattheUShadasseriousofaneedtoactmAsiaasit
didinEurope17Furthennore,economicsecurity
considerationsplayedalesserrolemEastAsiamthe
inunediatepostwarworldthantheydidmEurope18
WiththegrowmgbipolarconfiPontation,theUS decidedthattheEuropeanspherewasmoreunportant bothstrategicallyandeconomically〉andleqUired
moreofAmerica,sresourcesandattentionthanthatof theAsiansphereOncethepolicyofcontannentwas meffect,theUSrecognizedthelimltsofitspowerand thatthecostsandimportanceofitscomnitmentsm theEuropeantheaterlniteditsengagementelsewheTe.'g hthiscontext,directmvolvementormilitary
interventionmthecivilwarmChinawouldmtelfere withcanylngoutavastEuropeanaidprogram,Thus,
theUSassembledamilitarypackagefbrChmam l947thatgrantedrestricted,shoIt-tennassistanceln specifiedmilitaryfields,whileavoidmgdirect mtervention20TheUSresolvedtoconcentrateon economicaidandavoiddirectmilitaryintervemion
AdebateoverthedirectionofChmapolicybroke
outamongpolicy-makersmWashingtonThefbcusof
thedebateconcernedtheprovisionofexclusiveaidto
Chiang,sKMTSomeadvocatedthattheUSshould
人間社会環境研究第15号2008.3
110connectedtootherchaUengesaroundthewoddand theperceivednportanceofChma,srolemthebipolar rivahy
Kennanconcludedthattherewerefivevitalpower centersmtheworld-theUS,TheUSSRGreat Britain,theRhineValleyandJapan-andthatthetask
ofcontannentwastoseetoitthatmostofthose
centerswillnotbeunderSovietcontrol23TheUS cametoviewChmaasanunimportantactormthe evolvmgcompetitionbetweentheSovietsandtheUS AsTnckernotes,“Stakesseemedcriticallyhighm Europe,theMiddleEast,mcreasmglymJapan,butnot
inpoor,overpopulated,underdevelopedChma''24
AmericawasdealmgwithnewchallengesmEurope,
suchasprovidmgaidtoGreece,settmgupthe MarshallPlanandNAIO,theBerlmblockadeand moreEachofthesechallengesreqUiredmcreased attemionanddeeperAmericanconⅡnitmentlnthe ColdWarcontext,Europewastheareaofprimary strategicnportance,theMiddleEastcamenext,then NorthwestAfTica,LatmAmericanandHnallytheFar East・Z51ncomparisonwiththepressmgchallengesln Europe,EastAsianproblemswereviewedasremote26 AccordmgtoAmericanofficials,theproblemsm Chmahadnotreachedemergencystatus;Chmawas notapproachmgcollapseas,fbrexample,Greece was27hthelatel940s,theriskoftheestablishment ofaco、ⅡnunistregnemChmaseemedtolerable
lnGaddis,analysis,mainlandChmadidnotappear toprovideafavorableterramtofight叩on,ifwar occurredThe“inabilityoftheUSSRtorapid]yextend linesofcomnunications,basedevelopmentoperations andmilitarycontrolthrougjlthevastareasofSiberia andintoChmesetelritoly,,wasmportantmassessmg
Chma,smportancemtheColdWar、28hadditionto
doubtmgChma,sgeo-strategicmportance,American policymakersdoubtedthatChmawouldbecomea usefillallymthefiltureTheStateDepartment,s assumptionwasthatsmceChlnawasneitheran mdustrialnormilitarypower,acomnnnstChma assistbothcamps,morderto血proverelationswith
theCCPByl947-1948,theCCP,supperhandmthe civilwarwasapparent,andsomepolicymakers realizeditwouldbemAmerica,sbestmteresttomvest moremitsrelationswiththeConmnunists、However,
theoptionofaidmgbothcampsofthecivilwarwas quick]yabandoned,duetoAmerica,slmitedresources andtoparticularlystrongoppositionbytheAmerican publictoaidmgaconⅡnunistregnelnFebruary l949,NSC41wasissued,anditrecomnendedtheuse ofecono血csanctionstowlnconcessionsfiomthe conmunists・NSC41explamedthatChmawouldneed westemandJapanesetrade,capitalandtechnicalaid todevelopitsmdustryうsmcelocalandSovietsources
ofcapitalweremadequate21
Byl949,ComnunistvictorymmainlandChma wasapparentThePeople,sLiberationAnnymanaged tocapturemostofthemamcitiescontrolledbythe Nationalistslnlatel949,ChiangKai-shekretreated firomthemainlandtotheislandofnliwanalongwith 600,OOONationalisttroopsandmanyotherrefUgees fiomthegovenⅡnentandbusmessconununityln Decemberl949,ChiangproclamedTnipei,asthe temporarycapitaloftheRepUblicofChmalnAugust l949,evenbefbretheNationalistsofficiallylost,the StateDepartmentpublishedtheCカノ"αノリノノカノ花Pqpe7、
TheStateDepartmentlaidresponsibilityfbrthe commgConununists,victoryonChiang,sregme,
claimingtheUShaddoneeverythmgpossibleto supporttheNationalists22TheUSdidnotdisengage
itselfffolnSmoaffairs,andcontinueditspolicyof supportandassistancetotheKM工butreducedthe amountsothatitssupportwouldnotmpairother Americanpoliciesmtheregionandaroundtheworld
ThelntemationalSettimg-TheColdWar
TheintemationalsettmgandtheevolvmgColdWar
playedacrucialrolemthefbnnationofAmerican
policytowardsChmaThechoicesmadeweredirectly
ThelmportanceofRegionalPowerStatus
111wouldnotimposeadirectthreattocrucialAmerican mterestsmtheAsianPacificareaorglobally29 CohenaddsthatKennanthougdlt,“Chmalackedthe resourcestobecomeagPeatmilitaryormdustrial powerfbralongtnne ・’'3oThelossofChmawas undesirable,butnotunendurablePPS(Policy PlannmgStafD39statedthat“manywarmthe fbreseeablefUtureChmacouldatbestbeaweakally oratworstanmconsequentialenemy,,、31Clearly,
Chma,sregionalstatuswasimportantmassessmgits necessityasaUSaUy
Tbbesure,theChmesemainlandwasnot unnnportant,andwasnotneglectedaltogether Nonetheless,asnotedabove,America,sChmapolicy
hadtobefbnnulatedmaccordancewithitsinterestsm theAsianregion,itsresourcesandcapabilities,andthe needtorespondtoSovietchallengesaroundtheworld AmericahadmdeedconsiderableambitionsmtheFar East,buttheHumanadmmistrationdidnotconsider
thoseascrucialasthoseinterestsmEurope321n Gaddis,words,theUScapabilities“laymorem technologythanmanpowerandbecauseofcompetmg obligationsmEurope,aregionofgreatervitalinterest,
itmadesensetoconfinetheAmericanpresencemthe FarEasttoislandscapableofbemgdefendedbyair andnavalfbrces,thusavoidmgthecostsofoperations agalnsthighmanpowerbutlowtechnology
adversanesonthemamand''33AccordmgtoGaddis,
thiswasarealisticrecognitionbothofglobalpriorities andinterestsandofexistmgasynmetriesofpowerm theFarEast,aswellasglobally、34Thus,mamland Chmawasnotconsideredanareaofgeatstrategicor economicimportancetotheUSmtheeventofa
modemconfiontation
HeinrichsremmdsthatthecontahⅡnentpolicydid notdictateresistancebeyondtheresoumestheUShad orwithoutreasonableprospectofsuccess35Even aftertheUShaddecideduponacontannentpolicyin ordertopreventSovietexpansion,ithadto`chooseits battles,wiselyAmericanpowercouldnotbeapplied
everywhereandAmericanpolicymakershadtoapply itspowerwithmasetofprioritiesandmareaswhere successwashighlyprobablelnthiscomext,
contammgcomnunismmEuropewasconsidered morefeasiblehEastEurope,mostoftheconⅡnunist reg血eshadratherweaksupportfiFomthepeoplethey ruledlnChma,howeveLtheConnnunistswere popularamongthemassesandwereactuallythe preferredrulers36TheUSrealizedquiteearlyit
wouldbefiFuitlessandcostlytofightconnnunismm ChmaTheUSrecognizedthatconcessionsregardmg
Chmawereeasiertomakethanconcessionsover Japan,andthus,asnoted,itsfbcusmAsiashifted towardsJapan
hNovemberl949,aninternalStateDepartment memorandumconcludedthatAmerican,sposition wouldnotbedirectlyjeopardizedbythelossofChma aslongasthesecurityoftheislandsismaintamed37 Therefbre,Washmgtonacceptedtheconceptofa defensivepermeterlnthis,theUSwnlmamtam mmimalpositionmAsiamordertoachievea successfUldefenseagamstfUtureSovietaggression Thisconsistedofthepresentmilitarypositionmthe Asianoffbhoreislandcham-Japan,Okinawaandthe
Philippmes381nJanuaryl950,whenAcheson
announcedthedefbnsivepermeteLitexcludedboth TtliwanandKorea39
ColdWarrivahies,prioritiesandpreocc叩ation withEurope,economicandstrategicmterestsinthe Asiansphereandperceivedmasssupportfbr ConⅡnunismmChma,aswellaslhnitationson Americanresourcesandcapabnities,allcombmedto mpactthefmnulationofUSChmapolicymthelate l940sTheseparametersevolvedandchangedrapidly,
andthusattimesAmericanChinapolicyhasbeen
criticizedasbothmconsistentandunclear4o
However,Iassertthattheunderlymgreasonfbrthe
USnottoactivelypursuerelationsoranalliancewith
Chmaisprmarilyconnectedtoitsassessmentofthe
AsianregionalbalanceTheUSwaslookingfbran
人間社会環境研究第15号2008.3
112allymtheregionthatwouldassistmpreservmg Americanpowermtheareawithmmmalcosts,while mamtahnngitssecurityうeconomicandstrategic nerestsmtheregionSmcetheFarEastwasalesser prioritythanEurope,theUSdesiredanallythathad strategicmportance,thatwasastableandstrong regimeandthathadthepotentialtobearegional powercapableofbemgmanagedandcontroUedh lightoftheserequlrements,Chmacamemadistant secondtoJapan、Chma,sstrategicmportanceand valuemafUturebipolarwarwasdoUbtfhllts conditionofmtemalstrifecouldnotbeeasilysolved,
andUSpolicy-makersbelievedthatitwouldtakea longtimefbrastableandstrongregmetoemergem ChmaBecauseofthisandotherregionalfhctors,
Chma,sregionalposturewasbleak,andChma,s abilitiestoassisttheUSmmamtammgaregional balanceseemedquestionableMoreover,comparedto occupiedJapan,Chmacouldnotbeeasilymanaged TheUSrecognizedthattheConmunistsmChma wereprevailmg,andconsideringtheabovementioned otherfactors,aconⅡnunistChmadidnotappear menacmgtoAmericanmterestsmAsiaChmadidnot havethepotentialJapanhadtobecomearegional powermthenearfUture、
AttheendofMao,sthreemonthslongvisitto MoscowBMaoandStalmsignedanalliancetreatym Februaryl950TheSmo-Sovietalliancetippedthe balanceofpowermAsiamfavorofAmerica,senemy A1thoughnotsoactively§theUSattemptedto
encourageaSmo-Sovietrift41Inresponseto
conmunismmChma,theSoviet,spossessionofthe nuclearbomb,andtheSmo-Sovietalliance,theUS issuedNSC68mAprill950,outlininganewpolicy TheproposalentailedasharpmcreasemAmerican militaryexpensesandannedfbrcesltalsomdicated anAmerican-ConununistrivallyうandAmerican
intentionstofighttheconmunistthreat4zThe Smo-AmericanconfiFontationwassettobegm.
TheKoreanWar
SomeobservethattheKoreanWardictatedthe
mternationalenvironmentmthepostwarperiodand
establishedthecontoursoftheSmo-American
confiOntationfbrthenextZOyears43TheKorean
War,s血portanceisattmesunderestimoted,
especiallymcompansonwiththeVietnamWarLack ofspacedoesnotallowadeservedlengthydiscussion ofthewaLbutithasbeentheonlywarAmerican troopsdirectlyfbughtChmesetroopsFollowmga shortreviewofthewaLIwillfbcusontheeffectsof
thewaronSmo‐AmericanrelationsandAmericanpolicyandperceptionsofChmaduringandafterthe
war・
OnJune251950,NCrthKoreaattackedSouth Korea44TheattackseemedtocorroborateAmerican suspicionsaboutacoordmatedintemational
comnunistheat、45TWodayslateLtheUN
unanimouslyapprovedUNSCresolution82,callmg
fbrlNtomtervenemKorea46Althoughitwasa
UNjomtoperation,theUSledit,andprovidedmost ofthemilitaryfbrcesOntopofamilitarymtervention inKorea,theUSsentitsSeventhFleettotheTHiwan Strait,butrefUsedChiang,soffertoassistmthewa工
47EarlyinOctoberl950,aftertheUStroopsmanagedto fbrcetheNorthKoreanstowithdrawfiBomSouth Korea,theUSproceededbeyondthe38thparauelmto
NorlhKoreanterritory48TheChmesewereworried
thewarwouldgobeyondtheYaluRiverandthatthe USmightattempttomvadeChinaaSwell,morderto
activelyfightconnnunismmChmaPassmgthe38ih
paralleliscitedasthemamcausetheChineseentered
theKoreanWar、491nlateNovemberl95qChma
enteredthewaragamstUNfbrces、ByJanuaryl95L
theCommunistfbrceswereabletocaptureSouth
Korea,scapital,SeoulBetweenNovemberl950and
Junel951,theChmeseandKoreanfbrcesandUS
fbrcesclashedmseveralbloodybattleshMayl95L
aftertheUNfbrcesreachedafewmilesnorthof
ThelmportanceofRegionalPowerStams
113parallel38,thefightmgdecreasedFortwoyears,
whilefiFustratmgnegotiationswereconducted,a stalematewassustamed,withsmall-scalebattlesln Julyl953,acease-firewasestablished,creatlnga demilitarizedzonearoundthe38thparallel,withNorth
Koreantroopsononeside,andSouthKoreanand AmericantroopsontheotheI50
BefbretheKoreanWaLtheUSperceivedtheUSSR asthemamthreattoAmericaninterestsmtheFarEast Theconta血nentpolicymcluded,amongothers,
contammgChma,seenasaSovietclientslChen sununarizesthat“Washmgtondidnotviewthe ChineseConmunistsasaqualifiedchallengertothe strategicmterestsoftheUSmAsia''52Itisoften clamedthattheUSmiSjudgedconⅡnunisminChina,
andtheCCP,sdetermmation,mterestsandcapacityto actmKorea53WiththeKoreanWaLAmerica reviseditsviewofChmaagam,andalteredthe directionofAmericanChmaPolicyChmawasnow seenasanaggressiveandhostilecountryぅmother words,America,senemymtheFarEast54Asa
result,theThFumanadministrationfi・ozeallChinese financialassets,prohibitedAmericanshipsand citizensfTomtravelingtoChma,establishedatotal embargo,andhardeneditsstancetowardsChma,s
admissiontotheUN55Followmgthewar,boththe
USandChmaremamedconⅡnittedmKorea,and increasedcommitmenttootherareassuchas lndochinaandnliwan56TheKoreanWarrevealed theeffectsofthelackofcommunicationbetween WashmgtonandPekmgAstherewerenodiplomatic relations,neithersidecouldsuccessfUllyconununicate eitherthreatsorreassurances、57Changsumnarizes
theKoreanWarascompletmgthe“break,,between theUnitedStatesandChina58
TheimportanceoftheKoreanWarcannotbe underestmatedBefbrethewaLSmo-American relationsweredeterioratmg,andtheUSbegantosee
ChmaasaclientoftheSovietUnionChmawas
viewedasanideologicalrivalwithmthebipolar
conffontationAfterthewar§Chinawasviewedasan enemy,globallybutmorespecificallywithmtheAsian regionTheUSnolongerconsideredChmatobeweak andmconseqUential,butrathervieweditasa menacmgaggressorandafiercerivalboth ideologicallyandmUitarilyTheSmo-American confiFontationappearedinFeversible
Sino-AmericanConfrontationinthel950s andEarlyl960s
Inthel950s,theSmo-AmericanconfiFontation mtensifiedmallareas;economicrelations,diplomatic relationissuesandmilitarizedcrisesFollowmgthe KoreanWaLtheUSmcreasmglyviewedChmaasthe mamthreattoAmericanmterestsmAsiaand
worldwideTheUShadreassesseditsviewsofChma,
ftomaweak,non-threatenmgcountlytoafbnnidable rivalandahostileaggresso正Thel950ssolidified theseperceptionsonbothsideswithconflictsover numerousissues・Throughoutthedecade,American policymakersattemptedtobrmgaboutaSmo-Soviet split,andAmericanChmapolicywasfbnnulatedwith thata血Intheearlyl960stheUSviewofChmaas anommousaggressorcontmuedChma,swarwith lndiaml96Z,anditsacquisitionofusablenuclear weaponsml964mcreasedAmericanfbarsand suspicionsofthePeople,sRepublicofChma
TheKoreanWartriggeredtheThFuman admmistrationtoissueatotalembargoagamstChma lnfiact,thetradecontrolsonChmawereharsherthan
those血posedontheUSSRP9Thiseconomicpolicy towardChmacontinuedthroughoutthel950s,butdid undergochangesZhangassertsthattheUS“attached agreatdealofimportanceto[American]economic weapon,,whendealmgwiththePRC6oThis
"economicweapon,,wasannportanttoolm
Americanpolicytoward‘drivingawedge,m
Sino-SovietrelationsAtfirst,theembargoand
minimalSovietassistancecausetheoppositeefIect.
人間社会環境研究第15号2008.3
114
demonstratedtheConununists,capacltytocontroland directtheChinesemasses,andto“evokeareleaseof
ahostffanticenergyffomthenation,smasses、''63
HilsmangoesontonotethatAmericarecognizedthe PRC,swillmgnesstokeepthelivmgstandarddownm ordertopennitallhumanenergyandmaterial resourcestogomtomakmgChmaafbnnidable militarypower、64Despitetheeconomicfnilureofthe
`GreatLeapForward,,itdidhavesomepsychological effectsthathelpedtheUSreassessChma,spowerand
toftlrtherleadtoareassessmentofChmaasan
alannmgthreattoAmericann並erestsmAsiaand
worldwide
RecognitionandadmissiontotheUNremameda sourcefbrconflictbetweentheUSandthePeople,s RepublicForreasonsmentionedearlieEtheUS mamtaineditsnon-recognitionpolicytowardthe
PRC650ntopofthose,theUSnowidentifiedPRC
asahostileaggressonandthushardenedits non-recognitionpolicyandmadeeffbrtstokeep ConnnunistChinaoutoftheUmtedNationslnearly l945,ChiangKai-sheksignedtheUnitedNations OrganizationCharteLasarepresentativeofChina66 ThereaftertheROCrepresentedChinaattheUNand theUSattemptedtomamtamthatlnl951,theUS managedtopassaresolutionattheUN,labelmg Chmaasanaggressor・ThisputConunl血stChinam directbreachoftheUNCharteLmakmgitsentlyto
theUNevenmoredifficult671nthel950s,theUS ledthe‘moratorium,procedure,mwhichtheGeneral AssemblyagreedannuaUynottodebatetheissueor
makeanychangesmChma,srepresentation68This
issuecontinuedtodeepentheanmositybetweenthe
USandCommunistChma
lnthel950sandearlyl960stherewereaseriesof crisesbetweentheUSandConmunistChma,over twoislandsmtheFonnosaStraits;QuemoyandMatsu Atthetne,theconflictsbroughtthesidesclosetoa wide-scalemilitaryconflictTheseintensifiedtherift betweenthetwo,andsolidifiedAmericanmagesof TheCCPmovedqUicklytotakecentralcontrolofthe
countly,soveralleconomyHoweveEwithtmethe PRChadtomcreaseitsrelianceonSovietaid,
suppliesandmarkets・Thisdidfbster“harshfbelings,,
towardtheRussiansandpavedthewayto estrangement,butnotasqUicklyasWashmgtonhad hopedDulleswascontentwiththepsychological impactthattheembargogeneratedAnd,evenmally theembargodidreachitslong-tenngoaLasit hastenedthecollapseoftheSmo-Sovietalliance
qThechangesmtheUSembargopolicytoward Chmademonstratethegrowmghostilitiesbetween ChmaandAmerica,andatthesametimesuggestthe needfbrdiplomaticrelationsmfUtureJapanwasthe firsttoactivelypursuetradewithChmaandthefirstto signnon-officialtradeagreementswiththePRC,m l95262DespiteChma,sweakeconomy,itwasstill
consequentialmregional,andglobal,economy America,schiefalliesgloballyぅandespecially regionallybdemandedarelaxationofthesanctions ColdWarpolicies,ideologicalrivally,andthegrowmg perceptionofChmaasAmerica,smamthreatmthe regionledtothestrictembargoJtwasregionaltrade andeconomicneed,enhancedbythedemandsofthe globalmarkets,whicheventuallyfbrcedtheUSto relaxitsembargoagamstChinaHence,evenfbra supelpoweLregionaldemandsandpressuresoften influenceitsglobalpolicies
TbgetherwithamoderatelysuccessfUleconomic
policytowardChma,theUSalsoslowlychangedits
viewofChma,seconomyandpowerlnthelastlg40s
andearlyl950s,Chmawasseenasalargeand
over-populatedcountry,recovermgfiFomyearsofcivil
warandWesterndommanceChma,seconomywasm
shattersandfewmtheUSbelieveditcouldrisetobe
anmdustrialandeconomicpowermtheregionh
l958the‘GreatLeapForward,wasannouncedm
ChinaAlthoughthisturnedouttobeafailurem
economictenns,itdidhaveanmpactonAmerican
assessmentofChinesepower、AsHilsmanremarks,it
ThelmportanceofRegionalPowerStams
115mamandChmaasamenacmgaggressor、
Thefirstcrisisocculredinl954-1955,whichwas thelongestofthethreeconflictsTheConⅡnunists
mitiatedasheUmgofQuemoymSeptemberl954`,
TheUSthoughtBeUmgintendedtobegmanassault onTaiwan,andtestAmericanconⅡnitmenttoQuemoy
andTaiwan7oTheUSwasmaqUandary・America
wishedtoavoidbemgmvolvedmanotherwarwith Chma,butalsowantedtopreventaPRCattackon
Ttliwan71TheUSreactedtotheshellmgwith
mcreasmgAmericanmilitarypresencemtheTHiwan Strait,strengthenmgNationalistsdefenses,andissumg
warnmgstoPekmg72Thecrisispeakedinl955and
almostescalatedtoopenhostilities,butthenbeganto
sUbside73ChangandHeconcludethatmutual
miSjudgmentsand“misassessments'’1edtothe escalationofthetensions,andthiswasmostlydueto lackofregularmeansofconⅡnunicationBecauseof this,eachsidemisreadtheother,sintentions74 Durmgthecrisis,theUSdecidedtofbnnanalliance withT1aiwanlnearlyl955,theCongresspassedthe FonnosaResolution,andEisenhowerobtained
authorizationtouseAmericanfbrcestodefendNationalistTaiwanandotherrelatedpositionsmthe
Straits75Thetensionsduringthecrisisandthe
resultmgalliancebetweennliwanandtheUSlocked theUSandChmamtoapattemofconfiFontation
lnl958tensionseruptedagam、Thiscrisiswas shorterthanthefirst,butmoresevereDullesnoted thatthePRCandtheUScametothe"brinkofwar''76
ThethirdcrisisocculTedml962hreactionto
movementoffbrcesmTaiwan,thePRCalsomcreased itstroopsalongthenliwanStraitTheUSdefUsedthe crisisthroughambassadorialtalksandKennedy,s declarationthattheUSopposedusmgfbrcemthe area77Thecrisesdidbrmgaboutsomepositive
developmemsFollowmgthefirstcrisis,theUSand thePRCbeganambassadorialleveltalks,which assistedmconⅡnunicatmgmessagesmthefbllowing crises78Theramificationofthecrisesextendedto
AmericanChmapolicy・Thecrisesstrengthenedthe Chmalobbymdomesticaffairs,helpedfUrther politicizetheChinaquestionsanddelayedAmerican
recognitionofthedepthoftheSmo-Sovietsplit79
Inlatel962,mtandemwithon-gomgtensionsand smallshootmgmcidents,Chinalaunchedama]or attackonIndianfbrcesalongtheborderofdisputed areasbetweenthetwonationsThefightmgexpanded tothetwomainlydisputedareas;theAksai-Chmand theArunachal-Pradeshareas8oTheSino-IndianWar wasconductedunderveIydifHcultconditionssuchas fteezmgweatherconditionsandcombatsmhigh altitude,reaching5000metersandmoreTheWar
endedwithm2monthswithaChmeseunilateral
cease-fire,afterithadcapturedbothofthedisputed areas81TheharshdefeatlndiasufTeredmthewar causedtheIndianleaderstobemorerespectfUlof
Chma,spower82Thewarundoubtedlymcreased
Chma,sprestigeandperceivedstrengthmtheregion,
butthenplicationsofthewarwerenotlimitedtothe Asianregion
AsHilsmandescribes,“theattackhadbeena masterpieceoforchestratmgmilitaly,politicaland psychologicalmstrumentalitiesasasmglQlmited,
disciplmedandcontrolledoperationdirectedtoward
andsubordmatedtoapoliticalend''83TT1roughthis
campaign,Chmamanagedtohunnliateaprincipal rivalfbrAsianleadershipaswellasproveitspower andcapabilitiesintheregionIheSmo-Indianborder disputeconvmcedAmericanofficialsthatChmawas
fimdamentallydangerousandexpansiomst84
Moreover,itwasobviousthatChinawasnowaskilled andsophisticatedregional,andaspirmgglobal,power・
AsuccessfUltestofanatomicbombml964anda
hydrogenbombml967elevatedChma,sprestige
regionaUyandworldwide,andpresentedtheneedfbr
policyadjustmentswithmtheUSTheUSworried
aboutChma,spositionmtheglobalsystemandits
nnpactonthesecurityandpsychologymtheAsian
regionButmostly〉theUSbegantoreconsider
人間社会環境研究第15号2008.3
116
whetherthepolicyofisolatmgChmaunderthese cn℃umstancesremamedthebestoption85AsFoot notes,“objectively;Chmaasanuclearweaponsstate hardlyexercisedanyconstramtsonUSactivity,[but]
itwasrecognizedthatthischangeofstatushad
politicalandpsychologicalramifications''86Asa
nuclearpoweLtherewasagreaterneedtodrawChma intotheintemationalconⅡnunityうandespeciallymto
disarmamentandarmscontrolnegotiations87The
USwasfbrcedtoreviewandreassess,yetagam,its Chinapolicy
FollowingtheSmo-Sovietallianceml950,theUS
madeeHbltstocausestrainsmtheallianceandcause
asplitmtheconⅡnunistblocDullesbelievedthebest waywouldbetofbllowahard-lmepolicytoward ChmaAsChangputsit,“Chmesedependencyon MoscowwouldilritatetheSoviets,andmadeqUate SoviethelpfbrChmawouldfiFustratetheneedyand ambitiousChinese''88Thel950sbroughtachange
mAmericanviewsanditsestnationofChma,as Chmawasmcreasmglyviewedasaggressive BeginningwiththeKoreanWar,theUSregarded
“militant,
madmissibleChmaasand
unrecognizable''89ChinawaschallengmgAmerica,s regionalandglobalhegemony〕makmgitselfacentral actormintemationalpoliticslnthelatel950s,the Sovietappeareddetennmedtoachievedetentewith theWest,andthusChmawasconsideredmore .angerousandattmesevenAmerica,smamenelny・
90Atthesametime,theUSandChmamamtamedthe armedaspectoftheconflict,withtheescalatmg presenceandnatureofannsmtheareaSmceChma wasseenasaprovokingaggressorandthemamthreat toAmericaninterestsmtheregion,fbnnmganykmd ofrelationswasoutofthequestionHoweveLsome issuesdidslowlyrevealaneedtoavoidalienatmg ChmaasmuchasfirstplannedItwasnotuntil Chinesepowerwasreassessedandregional complexitiesdemandedthatfbnnmgrelationswith
Chmacametobeconsidered
TheSino-SovietSplitandReassessmentof
China,sPower
OnceAmericanofficialsunderstoodthedepthofthe Smo-SovietriftanditseffectsonChma,spowelB Chma,sthreattotheUScouldbereexammedand policychangesmplementedInitially,theSmo-Soviet allianceassistedmelevatmgChma,spowerand prestigeWithmtheUS,thealliancewasindeed viewedasthreatening,andAmericanpolicyamedat causmgariftThealliancemcreasedChina,ssecunty andcapabilities,butmthel950s,Mao,sselfLasseltion conflictedwiththeSoviethegemonymthe ConmunistworldTheKoreanWar,Chma,sgrowing mmilitarystrength,aswellasStalm,sdeath,
seemmglyreducedChma,sdependenceonthe Soviets91Befbrelong,thetwoconununistpowers driftedfUrtherandfUrtherapart,untilanapparentsplit
wasvisibleml969withtheonsetoftheborder conflict
Durmgthel950s,theChineseandSovietinterests andpoliciesconflictedandmcreasmglyclashed ChinaperceivedthegrowingUS-Sovietd6tenteas occulringattheexpenseofChmesenerests Moreover,theUSSRandChmahaddiffermg perceptionsregardmgSovietaidtoChma,smUitary andnucleartechnologydevelopment92Smo-Soviet economiccooperationwasslowlycollapsing,asthe
Chmesegrewmoresuspiciousanddiscontented93
SovietattemptstocontrolChma,sbehaviorwere
reducmgthevalueandunityofthealliance94The
riftmtheSmo-Sovietrelationswasvisiblemmdirect
mumalcriticismsmthelatel950sandbecamepublic
mtheearlyl960swithharshmutualaccusations95
Inthel960s,Americanadmmistrationsgradually realizedtheriftwassofhr-reachingthatthealliance wasmoperableandthatanySovietattemptstorestrain
andcontrolChinawouldrequiretheuseoffbrce96
TheUScametorealizethatChinaviewedtheSoviets,
nottheUnitedStates,asitsbiggestthreatthatwas
ThelmportanceofRegionalPowerStams
117morelikelytoattacktheChinesemainland97Some scholarscriticizetheEisenhowerandKennedy adnnnistrationsfbrnotactmgfnsteronthemfbnnation oftheriftanAmericanpolicygoalsmceAcheson98 Iclaimthatatthetime,regionalcircumstancesstilldid notcompeltheUStoalteritspolicyandexploitthe rifththeearlyl960s,theUSstillconsideredChma asanaggressoranddangerousWhiletheSino-Soviet riftwasunfbldmg,theUSwantedfUrthermgdetente withtheSovietUnion,ratherthanrapprochementwith China99 UntiltheUSrecognizedChma,s weaknessesanditsstrengthasaregionalpowerlather thanconsidermgitamenacmgadversalyぅtheCold WarsettmgandtheSmo-Sovietriftdidnotplompt normalizationwithChmaTheUScouldpromoteits mterestsandpolicieswithinthecontextofthebipolar rivahy§withoutaneedfbrgoodrelationswithChma ltwasnotuntiltheUSfaceddisastermAsiathatit
requiredmprovedrelationswiththeonlypowermthe
Area,andworldwidawhichcouldassisttheUStoend
theViemamWar・TheSmo-Sovietriftdeepenedinthelatel960s Beginnmgmthemid-1960s,theSovietsmoved nuclearcapablemilitaryunitstotheFarEastandboth ChmaandtheUSSRmcreasedtroopsalongthe ChmeseRussianborder.'O01nMarchl969,sporadic
incidentsdevelopedmtoasenousannedconflict whichcontmuedfbrsixmonths1o1Atfirst,the Chmesewereunyieldmgtoapproachesfbrceasefire negotiationswiththeRussiansButafterthemcident
threatenedtoreachanall-outwaLmaregionwhich housedsomeofChina,snuclearmstallations,the ChmeseagreedtonegotiateThetalkstemporarily easedthetensions1o2Withthisclearsplitbetween theChmeseandtheSovietspoweLaswellasmthe wakeoftheVietnamWarandAmerica,sweakened lntemationalposition,therearosea“needtoreassess
.”103
fiiendsandenemles
AmericanperceptionsofChinesemilitarypower underwentchangesmthel960s,toolnthel950s,the
USconsideredChmatohaveapotentialfbrbemga fearsomemilitarypower・lo4Experienceoffightmg theChmesemtheKoreanWarhelpedtoshapethat mageAmericanadm血strationsleamedthatif Chmesefightersshouldmasterthetechniquesof modernwarfare,thenChinacoulddevelopmtoa
"fbrmidable,world-classmilitaryfbe,oracandidate
greatpower、'''05However,itwasalsothoughtthatif ChmafnUedtoreachthosedevelopments,itspower wouldremamlmitedtotheregionalsphereThe hdo-ChmaWarimpressedandremmdedWashmgton ofChinesefighters,capabilitiesofaswiftsuccess1o6 AcquisitionoftheatomicbombfUrtherstrengthened theideathatChinacouldbeconsideredanaspirmg
greatpower・
hthel960s,theUSgraduaUyreevaluatedChina,s militarypotentialandrealcapabilitieshtheViemam WaLChma,sfbrcesmdeedseemedfbrmidable,but eventuallyprovednottohavefUllyrealizedthe modemizationpotential1o71nthel969Smo-Soviet borderdispute,China,slackofdevelopmentof advancedConventionalfbrceswasapparent Accordmgly,theUSconcludedthatChmacouldnot fightconvmcmglybeyondthemainlandborders1o8 ThelossofSovietsupportsmcel960wasan importantfactormAmerica,sreassessmentofChma,s
conventionalmilitarycapabilitieslo,ThePLAmight notbeagreatpower,oramodemmilitaryfbrce,butit retamedcredibilityasadeterrentfbrce11oThus,
graduallyAmericanofficialsrealizedChmawasnotas threatenlngaswasthought,butithadconsiderable militarypoweIBandwasrespectedaroundtheworld,
butmostlymtheAsianregionTYleUSbegantoview Chmaasanmportantleadmgregionalpower、The reassessmentofChma,smilitarycapabnitiesandits positionasal1eg7o"α/powerhelpedspeedthemoveto rapprochement
Bytheendofthel960s,theUShadalso
reexammedChma,seconomicandpoliticalmodelln
theearlyl950s,AmericanofTicialswoniedChina
人間社会環境研究第15号2008.3
118TheViemamWarhighlightedChma,smportantrole mtheregion,andatthesametmeaddedinfblmation concernmgitsoverallpowerpotentialBoththe AmericansandtheChmeseappearedtoneedan acuteanddangerouscrisisbefbreacceptmg rapprochementTheVietnamWarmightbedescribed asthelaststrawlntheend,itwasacrucialneedm regionalaffairsthatbroughtaboutnonnalizationm
theirrelations・
America,smvolvementmViemammcreasedmthe
earlyl960s,withtheKennedyadmmistration,s mcreaseofmilitaryadvisersmSouthVietnamThe USmitiallygotmvolvedmlndochina(Viemam)mthe
earlyl950s,maneffbrttohelptheFrenchfbrces・''5
ThepolicywasaffectedbytheDommoTheoryうwhich stipulatedthatifonecountly‘felrtoconnnunist
regme,thenothercountrieswouldfbllow・''6
MoreoveEtheUSwishedtopreserveltsprestigeand credibilitymsupportmgwhatseemedtobea
democraticregnemSouthViemarn1171nAugUst
l964VietnamesetorpedoboatsattackedAmerican navalvesselstwicemtheGulfofTbnkm・Following theGulfofTbnkmmcident,PresidentJohnson receivedauthorizationftomtheCongresstoconduct militaryoperationsmSouthEastAsiawithout declarmgwar・ThisledtoAmericanairstrike
operationsanmgatbombmgkeyholdsoftheNLF118
Froml965,theUSsentmarinefbrcestoSouth Vietnam,withwhichUStroopsreachedover550,OOO
byl969''9FollowmgthefierceTetOffensivem
l968,PresidentJohnsondecidednottoseekreelection ThisfilrtherdemonstratedAmerica,sftagilestrategic positionmViemam,andAsiamgeneral12o
ConculTently)ChmawasalsoengagedmViemam Froml956,Chmacontinuallyprovidedmilitaryaid andannsshipmenttotheNolthVietnamese、Chmese aidtoViemamincreaseddramaticallyfroml963l21
Froml965,Chmeseaidmcludedthreemamtypes;the dispatchofChmeseengmeersfbrconstructionand maintenanceofairfieldsandroadsetc.;allowmgthe
mightappealtoThirdWOrldcountriesashavmgfbund asystemfbrrapideconomicdevelopmentandthe abilitytocontrolalargepopulationmThe
ideologicalrivallybetweentheUSandChinawasat tmesevengreaterthanwiththeSoviets,asChina seemedtoprovidearolemodeltoAsianandThird WOrldcountriesfbrdevelopmgastrong,mHuential moderncountlyHowever,mthel960s,dueto domesticpolicyfailuressuchastheGreatLeap Forward,Chma,sprestigeasamodelfbrdevelopmg nationsdnmished112TheJohnsonAdmmistration concludedChinawasastate“capableofcausmg troublemitsborderareas,developmganatomicbomb,
butnotcapableofsolvingfbod-populationproblems ordevelopmgabroadmdustrialbase・'''13The weakenmgofChma,spositionasarolemodelanda leaderfbrconmunistregmesreducedalittlethe severeideologicalrivallythatdommatedtherelations
mthel950s
Bytheendofthel960s,Chmesefbreignpolicy
seemedmoredefensiveandcautiousthanadventurous
・’'4AmericaviewedChmaasa andaggresslve
regionalpowerthatwouldnotbecapableofreachmg superpowerstatusandchallengmgtheUSinthe nIemationalsphereanytimesoonThishelpedm pavmgthewayfbrasignificantreductionoftensions,
andadvancetowardrapprochement
TheVietnamWarandRapprochement
Mosthistoriansagreethatthecrucialfactorm America,sdecisionfbrrapprochementwithChmawas theViemamWarTmswarisespeciallynoteworthym thatitgreatlyaffectedAmericanpolicymtheFarEast andtowardChinaMoreoveEtheViemamWar acceleratedtheseemmgdeclinemAmerica,s internationalpowerandstamsWhiledurmgthel960s,
theUSbegantoassessChmaasposmglessofa
challengetoAmericanmterests,andlessofathreatto
theUS,theUSwasfightmgaprowwarwithChina
ThelmportanceofRegionalPowerStams
119useofChmeseantiaircraftartillelytroopsfbrthe defenseofNorthⅥetnam;andacontmumgs叩plyof militaryequlpmentandmaterials122TheJohnson admmistrationfhllyrecognizedthelinkbetween ChmaandNorthVietnam,andwasadamantinits decisionnottoletViemam‘ftllrtoconnnunisml23 ChmawasbelievedtobebehmdtheViemamWarぅand mpart,theUSmtervenedintheVietnamWarmorder
toreduceChma,srevolutionalypolicy124Duringthe
waEitbecameclearthatChinawasnotthecauseof
themsurgencymViemam,butrathermerely providingmilitarys叩port'25However,theUS recognizedthatChmaheldthekeytoendmgthewar,
asatrustedallyofNorthViemam
TheViemamWarnotomyraisedawaveofanti-war publicopmionandprotestswithmtheUS,italso dmmishedAmerica,sprestigeworldwideThe prolongedwaLwithnoapparentendnorcleargoal,
andcontinuedlossesontheAmericansidareduced AmericanprQjectionofpowermtheworldEspecially mtheFarEast,America,sroleandpowerseemedto bedeterioratmg126Alocal,regionalAsianwar fbrcedAmericatoreconsideritspowerandAsianand globalpolicy、
ForPresidentNixon,electedml96afindmga solutionfbrtheVietnanlWarwasatthetopofhis
prioritiesNixonwithdrewsoldierstoreduce Americancasualties,bombedsupplyroutesm CambodiaandsoughttostrengthentheSouth ViemameseannyButaboveaU,hesoughttoopen relationswithChma,asthatwasclearlythebestway
toendA1nerica,smvolvementmtheVietnaInWar・
l27Chma,astrongregionalpower>couldcompelNorth Viemamtonegotiations,ifempoweredevenfi1rtherby
relationswiththeUS
Inl969,asNixontookoffice,theUSbegan sendmgmessagestoChmaSecretcontactsand messageswerepassedbetweenbothsidesregardmga possiblerapprochementAtatimewhenWashmgton realizedtheneedandoppomnityfbrnonnalization
withChma,Chma,too,recognizedtheadvantagesfbr suchamove128TheUSsignaleditsdesirefior rapprochementbyeasmgtravelandtraderestrictions,
andlaterceasedtheSeventhFleet,spatrolsofthe
TniwanStrait・'29 Afterextendedtalksand
Kissmger,ssecretvisittoBeUmg,mJulyl971theUS andChinaannouncedPresidentNixonwouldvisit
Chinamearlyl972l3oLaterml971,theUS supportedtheproposaltoreplacetherepresentatives ofChmamtheUmtedNationsfiomthoseoftheROC tothePRC131
RapprochementdidhelpleadtoAmerican withdlawalfiFomaprolongedandcostlywal;butdid notsolvetheVietnameseproblemmthewaytheUS hadhopedfbrthroughoutthemterventionTY1eUS pulleditstroopsoutandwithdrewcompletelyfi・om Viemambythemid-1970sJnl975,NoIthViemam attackedtheSouthagamandcapturedthemamcities lnl976,NorthVietnamdeclaredthefbnnationofthe
SocialistRepublicofViemamUltimately;the
unificationofVietnamdealtablowtoAmerican contannentgoals・However;thelossofViemamwas notsodamagmgtoAmericaninterestsandpoweL becauseoftherapprochementSmo-American rapprochementcausedthemostprofbundshiftmthe Asianregion,butmostlymthemternationalbalance durmgtheColdWar・'32Rapprochementgreatly improvedChma,sstrategicpositionandinternational status,asitwasallocatedakeypositionmtheUN133 RelationswithChinaalsoenabledtheUStoenhance itsstrategicpositionvis-a-vistheSovietUnionThe mcreasedleveragetheUSgamedcontributedtoa lnitedd6tentewiththeSoviets,andtheSALT treatieSl34Butmostofall,theUSwasabletoendits
engagementmtheViemamWaralittlemore gracefilllyAstheUSrealizeditcouldnotwmthe VietnamWar,endingthecostlyeconomicandnlitary interventionwasAmerica,sprommentobjective
AmericanreasonsfbrrapprochementwithChmaare
variedThereislittledoubtthattheinternational
人間社会環境研究第15号2008.3
120USmterestsmtheFarEastChinawasnot
unimportant,butthesimationwasmorecomplicated anddemandedgreatermvestmentandresources,ata timewhenAmericafbcusedmoreonEuropethanon AsiaThrouglloutthel950sandearlyl960s,theUS regardedChmaaspossessmgamoreradicalideology andamorerevolutionaryfbreignpolicythanthe SovietUmon,andassuch,constimtedalargerthreat toAmericaninterests・l370veraU,theSmo-American relationswereconstramedbytheideological conffontation,withneithersidewillmgtoattemptto improvebilateralrelationsfbralongtneDiplomatic,
Culturalandeconomiccontactsweremmmal,and militarilyうconflictoccasionallyflaredTheUSand ChmafbughtoneanothermKorea,experienced periodiccrisesmtheTniwanStraitandwereengaged inanmtensiveproxywarmViemaml38Therivalry
wassustameduntilaseemmglyinexhaustibleregional quandarydemandedachangemrelationsTheUSwas reassessmgChma,spowerfbrmostofthel960s,but thedecisivefactorlnlnltlatlngrapprochementwith ChinawastheViemamWa工TT1us,theevolutionof Smo-Americanrelationsprovesthatregionalpower statusisanmportantfactormasuperpower,sfbnnmg
relationsoralliances.
settmgoftheColdWarandrivalrywiththeUSSR
influencedAmerica,sdecisiontonormalizerelations withChinaNixonandKissmgerthoughttheycould useChinatoreduceSovietstrengthandelevate AmericanprestigeandpowerwithmtheColdWar context135Moreover,theAmericaneconomyhad beensuffermgfromdeficitsandhighinflation,and withwarexpenditures,theUSwaslesscompetitive ChmaofIeredavastmarketthatcouldpotentially
contributetotherecoveryoftheeconomy・'36But
thereisalsolittledoubtthatthecrucialfactorfbr
rapprochementwasthelengthyVietnamWarTheUS realizeditslmitsofpoweLandthenetworkof alliancesandrelationsithadmplacewasmsufficient tobrmgaboutasuccessfillconclusiontothewarThe onlywaytobrmganendtobloodshedwashough easmgoftensionswithChinaAsaregionalpower thathads叩portedtheNorthVietnamese,Chmacould exerciseitspowertocompelNorthViemamto negotiateanendtothewar・Chmawas,asastrong actormAsia,theonlypowerthatcouldhelpAmerica enditsmvolvementmtheViemamWar,Otherfactors,
suchasmcreasedadvantagevis-a-vistheSoviets,
economicbenefits,andtheneedtocontrolChma,s nuclearcapabilities,werennportantbutnotdecisivem attemptmgtofbnnrelationswithChmaThetmmgof theUS-Smorapprochementisaclearmdicationofthe effectsofthewaronAmerica,snecessityfbrfTiendly
relationswithChina.
NotesandRefen℃nces
’SeeMichalHaddad,“ASmdyoftheOrigins,Durability andStabilityoftheUS-IsraelandUS-JapanA11iances,,,
H2ィmα〃α"cノSbcjoEmノノ、"me"mノSfmjes,No.12,
(September2006),ppl83-l99
ZThisthesisonSino‐Americanrelationsuntill971is basedonRosemaryFoot,ssmdyandpartlyonGordon Chang,ssmdyaswelLSee;RosemaryFoot,ThePractice Conclusion
TheevolutionoftherelationsbetweentheUSand
ChmaafterWOrldWarllisdiscussedhereasa
contrastmgcasemordertoprovemyfirsthypothesis However,itisalsoaconoboratmgcase,asit demonstratesthatifas叩erpowerhasnorelations witharegionalpoweLitwilllikelyseekthemdueto pressures,needsandmterestsmtheregionlnthe latterl940s,Chmawasconsideredlessimpoltantto
(Oxfbrd
ofPower:USRelationswithChmasmcel949ClaredonPress,1995);GordonHChangFriendsand
Enemies:theUSChinaandtheSovietUnion、1948-1972、(StanfbrdStanfbrdUniversityPress,1990)
3WarrenLCohen,
America,sResDonsetoChma:A(411led,NewYork:
istorvofSino-AmericanRelations
ColumbiaUniversityPress,2000),p142.
4ChiangKai-shekwastheleaderoftheKuonnntangparty
duringthecivilwarwhichlaterbecametherulingpartym
ThelmportanceofRegionalPowerStatus
121nliwanTheKMTarealsooftenreferredtoasthe
Nationalists
5CCPdenotesChmeseComnunistparty,latercalledthe CPC,CO、ⅢnunistpartyofChina・MaoTBe-tungwashead ofCCPduringthecivilwaLandafterwardstherulerofthe People,sRepublicofChina(PRC)
6Fordetajlsaboutthemssions,mcludmgdocumentations
andprivateinterviews,see;JospehWEsherick,(ed),
LostChanceinChina:TheWOrldWarIIDespatchesof
America,sResponsetoChin2 p158.
z4TilckenPattemsintheDustpl4 pl4.
z5AkiraIriye,“WasThereaColdWarinAsia?,,,inJohn ChayKed),TheProblemsandProspectsofAmeriCan-EaS1 坐1211-匹皿19,§1(BouldeLColorado:WestviewPress,
1977),p9
26Heinrichs,“AmericanChmaPolicy;,,p282.
z7Paterson,“IfEurope,WhynotChma?,”p30.Paterson
addsthatmGreecearoadtoastable,non‐Communist govemmentandpeaceseemedfeasible,whereasinChina itwascleaLafiertwodecades,thatitwasimpossibleto endthehostilitiesandpreventamilitarizedsolution
z8Gaddis,“TheStrategicPerspective,,,pp73-74
Uユ』ユーS-旦旦nL1Q且(NewYork:RandomHouse,1974)
71hlJPl69
8MesseL‘`AmericanPerspectives,,,p257;ThomasG
paterson,‘`IfEurope,WhynotChina?TheContainment Doctrine,1947-1949,,,PMOg"e,Vbll3,(1981),P23.
9Westad,ColdWarandRevolutionpl72.
Z8Gaddis,“T 2gJianChen
oftheSj
KoadtotheKore用
Sino-AmericanConfirontation
(NewYork:
l0CoheL 111hlLp
l2TQ-ハロ
America,sResponsetoChmE ppl42,150-151
ColumbiaUniversityPress,1994),,p47.
3oWarrenlCohen,“Acheson,hisAdvisersandChina,
1949-1950,,,mDorothyBorgandWaldoHeinrichs(eds.),
UncertamYears:Chinese-AmericanRelationsl947-1950 lhlLpl51;Westad,ColdWarandRevolutionpl32、
JianChen,Mao1sChmaandtheColdWar(Chape]Hill:
UniversityofNorthCarolinePress,2001),pp33-34
13Westad,ColdWarandRevolutionpl64 (NewYork:ColumbiaUniversityPress,1980),pla 31Chen,Chma1sRoadtotheKoreanWarp47 32CohenAmerica,sResponsetoChinan-l58 '4Chen,Mao1sChinaandtheColdWarp23・
l5Cohen,America,sResponsetoChiiiaD
pl57;Chen, 3333333323456789 p158.Mao1sChinaandtheColdWar
pp33-34. Gaddis,``TheStrategicPerspective,,,ppll5-ll6 L1J.ppll6
Heinrichs,“AmericanChinaPolicyう,,p283.
chang,FriendsandEnemiesp21.
'6Chen,Mao1sChinaandtheColdWarpp33-34 l7NancyBemkopfTnckeLPatteriismtheDust:
Chinese-AmericanRelationsandtheRecoEnition
ControversM1949-1950
(NewYOrkColumbiaUniversity ’Gaddis,“TheStrategicPerspective,,,p、65.
Ilhl4pp64-6a
IChen,ChinajsRoadtotheKoreanWarpl17;fbr
reasonswhytheUSexcludedKoreaseaMineoNakajima,
`TheSino-SovietConfiPontation:ItsRootsinthe lnternationalBackgroundoftheKoreanWaL,,The 伽s/7.αノノα〃ん”"α/q/C/zj"ese4ノヴゥノハ,Nol,(January l979),pp20-22;NancyBemkopfTilckeLmnL2lL-LiQlユ9
Press,1983),plL
18Pollard,EEQ1ユ旦型2-s且21』エlnLppl94-195;Cohen,
America,sResDonsetoChinE p158.
I9MesseL“AmericanPerspectives,,,p259;Paterson,“If
Europe,WhynotChina?,,,p30.
zoRongquLuo,“ChmaandEastAsiainAmerica,sGlobal
Strategy,1931-1949,,,mAkiraIriyeandWarrenCohen
(eds),
American・Chinese・andJapanesePerspectivesonKongandtheUnitedStates、194.1992:Uncertajn
WartimeAsial931-l949(Wilmmgton,DESRBooks, Eエ1旦旦。§h狸(NewYork:TWaynePublishers,1994),p22
4oChang,FriendsandEnemiesp21
1990),p287;fbrfilrtherdetailsonthereasonsbehind America,sdecisionnottointerferewiththecivilwarin
China,see;Paterson,“IfEurope,WhynotChina?,”pp
l9-38
zlPollard,匙Ql1Q型2-旦旦Qllユロムpl91,fbrfUrtherreasons
fbrtheAmericanchoicetofbcusoneconomicsanctions see;ShuGuangZhangEconomicColdWar:AmericaIs
41Changnotesthatthis・wasanAmericanambition,but
therewere“conflictsingoalsandmethods"・Achesonhad notedthattheWesthaddonenothingtoattractYUgoslavia awayfromtheSoviets(andyettheriftoccurred)Acheson wasskepticalthattheUSwouldbeabletomduceariftin suchashorttimeSee;chang,FriendsandEnemies,p20.
42Chen,China1sRoadtotheKoreanWarpll3;David
EmbargoagainstChinaandtheSino-SovietAlliance u12二12ロユ(Washington,DC:WOodrowWilsonCenter Press,2001),ppl7-30
zzMesseL‘`AmericanPerspectives,,,p、260;chang,
FriendsandEnemiespp35-39.
Mayers, CrackingtheMonolith:USPolicvA2amstthe
Sino-SovietAlliancel949-1955(BatonRouge:
LouisianaStateUniversityPress,1986),p80
43Nakajima,``TheSino-SovietConfirontation"pl9 44Mayersstatesthatmostevidencenowavailablesuggests
thatChinawassurprisedandnotwellpreparedfbrNorth Korea,sattackontheSouthMayers,Crackingthe Monolithpp97-98・Foracontrastmgview§see;Thomas
z3JohnLewisGaddis,“TheStrategicPerspective:TheRjse
andFallofthe``DefensePerimeter,,Concept,’947-1951,,, inDorothyBorgandWaldoHeinrichs,(eds),LJncertain Years:Chinese-AmericanRelations、1947-1950,(New
York:ColumbiaUniversityPress,1980),p67;Cohen J、Christensen,“A`LostChance,fbrWhat?Rethinkingthe
人間社会環境研究第15号2008.3
122
USinclinedtodistrustThismadeitdifficultfbreither
sidetoproperlyassessactionsaseitherthreatsor
reassurances
58Chang,Eエ1旦』ユ旦旦-2』ユ。_且旦旦1.2塾p80
59SimeiQing,“TheEisenhowerAdministrationand ChangesmWestemEmbalgoPolicyAgainstChma,
1954-1958,”mWarrenLCohenandAkiraIriye(eds),
OrigmsofUS-PRCConfiPontation,”肋CJD”"αノq/
伽e7jcα"EUsMsjα"化伽o"s,Vol4,N03,(Falll995),
pp262-263.ForreasonsleadingtothewarmKorea,see;
Nakajima,“TheSino-SovietConfiPontation,,,ppZ7‐32;
Chen,ChinalsRoadtotheKoreanWar懇pplO5,125-157 45Chang,Eエ1旦旦旦旦-2ユユー旦旦目、21且旦學p76
46Forfilrtherdetailedaccountregardmgthereasonsfbr
AmericaninvolvementmtheKoreanWaLsee;Mayers, (NewYOrk
FooLThe TheGreatPowermEastAsia、1953-1960
ColumbiaUniversityPress,1990),pl22;Foot,
PracticeofPowerp53.
China1sRoad
pp82-125;Chen,
pl25‐209;Ni Crackm且theMonolith
totheKoreanWaLppl25‐209;Nakajima,“The
Sino-SovietConfiFontation,,,pp23-25. 6oZhang,E29且9,ユ里旦91回皿旦p49 61lU△pp49,78,112,138,140-173,236 6zFoot,ThePracticeofPowe典.p58 63Hilsman,JbMoveANation、p282.
641U△p283.
65ForfUrtherderajlsonthereasonstheUSdidnot recognizeChina,see;WilliamWBoyerandNeylanAkra,
“TheUnitedStatesandtheAdmissionofCommunlst
China,”PC〃cαノSbje"ceQ"αr花rlbノコVol76,N03,
(Septemberl961),p339
66BoyerandAkra,“TheUnitedStatesandtheAdmission
ofCommunistChina,,,p333.
67Foot,ThePracticeofPowerpp30-31 68Fo0t,ThePracticeofPowenp,32
69Cohen,America,sResponsetoChinaPl84;fbrmore 47Cohen,
America,sResponsetoChin2pl69Cohen
assertsthattheTTumanadministrationhadseveralreasons fbrsendmgtheSeventhFleettotheFonnosastrait;first,
sinceAmericawasdefendingKoreawhichwasplaced outsidethedefensiveperimeter,itwouldbedifficultto explamwhytheUSwasnotprotectingTniwanMoreover,
theUSwasuncertainbutsuspiciousabouttheconnechon ofthewarinKoreaandthecivilwarinChma,andfeared simultaneousattacksbytheChinesebothontheislandand inKorealhiswayAmericacouldleavealloptionsopen See;lhlJ.,ppl69-170、Tuckersuggeststhatthemovewas anattempttoreassuretheChinese,bypreventinga possibleprovocationbyChiangKai-shekagamsttheCCP.
Cohen,
nliwanHonEKongandtheUnitedStates p33.
TnckeL
ontheChineseandSovietreasonsandbehaviorduringthe ChristensenclaimsthatthismoveintensifiedMao,sneed
toenterthewaLandultimatelytheSino-American conffontationSee;Christensen,‘`A‘LostChance,fbr What?,,,pp263-271
48AccordmgtoChristensen,therewereseveralreasonsthe Americantroopsdidnotstopatthe38thparallelForone,
itwouldhavebeendiBHcultandalmostimpossibleto affbrdapennanentstandingdefensealongthelineSee;
Christensen,``A`LostChance,fbrWhat?,,,pp269-270 49Christensen,“A`LostChance,fbrWhat?,,,pp266-269;
Chen,China1sRoadtotheKoreanWarppl58-189;
CrackingtheMonollth
ppl35-14Z;
crisis,seaMayers,
Chen,Mao1sChmaandtheColdWalppl67‐170 7oTnckeLTniwan・HongKongandtheUnitedStates p40;
GordonHChangandDiHe,“TheAbsenceofWarinthe US‐ChinaConftomationoverQuemoyandMatsuin l954-1955:Contingency,Luck,Deterrence?,,,T7ze Amerjcα〃H/smrjcaノルWew,Vb1.98,N05,(December l993),ppl502,1507-1508;Hilsman,エQ-L4g1L2_△LL且119ユュ p287.
71Hilsman,JbMoveANationop299
72ChangandHe,“TheAbsenceofWaL,,p、1502.
73Fordetailsonthestagesofthecrisis,seaKalicki,ェh且
PattemofSino-AmericanCriseS1ppl36-152.
Nakajima,"TheSmo-SovietConftontation,"pp32-34
01235555
America,sResponsetoChm2
p172.
Cohen,
Crackin日theMonolith
plOO.
Mayers,
74ChangandHe,“TheAbsenceofWar,”ppl517,1523;
seealso;Kalicki,rhePattemofSino-AmericanCrises.p
153.
Chen,Chma1sRoadtotheKoreanWanpZZO
Nakajima,“TYleSino-SovietConfiPontation,”p27;
Chang,Ⅱ旦旦旦旦且_且』ユd-En且』ユユ』且旦塾p78
75ChangandHe,‘`TheAbsenceofWaL,,pl502;TuckeL 54Cohen,
America,sResDonsetoChina pl72;Mayers,THiwan、HongKongandtheUnitedStateap,40.
76Hilsman,TbMoveANationp289;Chen,皿旦旦迫_Qユュユ且 andtheColdWaLp202・ForafilllaccountonChina,s decisionandbehaviordurmgthel958crisis,see;lhlLpp
l71-204.
Crackin2theMonolith plOO.
55Mayers, 56J.H、I
Crackin2theMonolith
plOL
Sino-AmericanCriSCS1 ThePattemof
Kalicki,
(NewYork:
〕olitical-Militarvlnteractionsmthe1950,s
CambridgeUniversityPress,1975),p75;TilckeL工山12」ユュ
77TilckeE
45.
nljwanHon日Kon2andtheUnitedStates
p43,
on2Kon2andtheUnitedStates p33.