PowerPoint プレゼンテーション

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Tokyo Metro ₁

Tokyo Metro

M-MAP2 seminar

Current situation of Tokyo urban railway

and importance of demand forecast

★

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Tokyo Metro ₂

Introduction

http://www.joc.or.jp/column/olympiccolumn/memorial/20080508.html

About 45 years of experience

1985

2000

2016

1972

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Tokyo Metro ₃

agenda

About Urban

Railway in Tokyo

Ⅰ

History of METRO

construction

Ⅱ

Plan for the 21st

Century

（Transport Policy）

Ⅲ

DEMAND

FORECAST

Ⅳ

★

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Tokyo Metro ₄

Railway operators have built cities based

on urban railway master plan.

Ⅰ. About Urban Railway in Tokyo

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Tokyo Metro ₅

The central area of Tokyo

20km

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Tokyo Metro ₆

Railway

operators

National railway

Privatization→JR

Private railway

METRO

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Current Tokyo Metro Rail Network Map in Tokyo

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Tokyo Metro Outline

- Company outline

Operating lines _{9 Lines}

Route length Total 195.1 km

No. of stations 179 stations

No. of cars 2,719 cars (As of March 31, 2013)

No. of

passengers Average number per day 6.44million (FY2012) Minimum

headway 1 min 50 sec (Marunouchi Line)

Ginza 14.3 km Marunouchi 27.4 km Hibiya 20.3 km Tozai 30.8 km Chiyoda 24.0 km Yurakucho 28.3 km Hanzomon 16.8 km Namboku 21.3 km Fukutoshin 11.9 km

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Yurakucho Marunouchi Hibiya Tozai Chiyoda Ginza Namboku Fukutoshi n Tokyu Line 11.9 km Tokyu Line 31.5 km Odakyu Line 52.5 km JR Line 9.4 km Saitama Railway Line 14.6 km JR Line 29.7 km JR Line 6.1 km Toyo Rapid Line 16.2 km

Tokyu Line 24.2 km Minatomirai Line 4.1km Tobu Line 40.1 km Seibu Line 40.3 km Tobu Line 56.9 km As of Mar. 31, 2013 Operating Kilometers

Tokyo Metro lines

(Solid lines) 195.1 km Through-service

partner lines

(Dotted lines) 337.5km

Total 532.6 km

Tokyo Metro 9 lines and through-service

operation

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Tokyo Metro ₁₀

Each group has been roles

National railway

Privatization→JR

Private railway

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Tokyo Metro ₁₁

There is a

METRO

in central Tokyo

METRO

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Tokyo Metro ₁₂ Minami-Senju Ochanomizu Ryogoku Shibuya Meguro Ikebukuro Ueno Iidabashi Shinjuku Oshiage OtsukaSugamo Gotanda Tōkyō Kanda Susaki Shimbashi Narihirabashi

Home Ministry Notification No. 56

Legend New or additional section National Railway Private Railway Prefectural border Minami-Senju Shibuya Meguro Ikebukuro Shinjuku Oshiage Otsuka Sugamo Gotanda Susaki Line No. From To

The Tokyo Urban Rail Development Master-plan 1946

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Tokyo Metro ₁₃

Ogikubo Asakusa Shibuya Nakameguro Ikebukuro Ueno Ii da b a sh i Shinjuku Oshiage Kakigaracho Sugamo Gotanda T ōky ō Shimbashi Nakano Kita-Senju Sengakuji Akabane Nerima Toyocho Kinshichō Shinagawa Ebisu Azabu Jimbocho Iwabuchimachi Meguro Akashicho Futakotamagawa Yotsuya Kitami Sumiyoshicho Ichigaya Honancho Mejiro Ayase Minowa Komagome Asakusabashi Gokokuji Narimasu Takadanobaba Mukohara Yamatomachi (Wakōshi) Ōji Nakamurabashi Nishi-magome Roka-kōen Kirigaya Yoyogi-Uehara Nishi-Funabashi to Tobu Noda Line

to Saitama

Urban Transport Council Report No. 10

Ogikubo Shibuya Nakameguro Ikebukuro Shinjuku Oshiage Kakigaracho Nakano Kita-Senju Nerima Shibakurumachō Shinagawa Azabu Meguro Akashicho Futakotamagawa Kitami Sumiyoshicho Honancho Ayase Minowa Nakano-sakaue Gokokuji Narimasu Mukohara Yamatomachi Nakamurabashi Nishi-magome Roka-kōen Kirigaya to Tobu Noda Line

to Saitama Legend New or additional section National Railway Private Railway Prefectural border Section following previous plan Cancelled section

Line No. From To

4

(Main route)

4

(Branch route)

Line No. From To 1

(Main route)

1

(Branch route) (Main route)8

8

(Branch route)

8

(Branch route)

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Tokyo Metro ₁₄

urban railway

master plan

pie in the sky

×

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Tokyo Metro ₁₅ 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000 19 56 19 57 19 58 19 59 19 60 19 61 19 62 19 63 19 64 19 65 19 66 19 67 19 68 19 69 19 70 19 71 19 72 19 73 19 74 19 75 19 76 19 77 19 78 19 79 19 80 19 81 19 82 19 83 19 84 19 85 19 86 19 87 19 88 19 89 19 90 19 91 19 92 19 93 19 94 19 95 19 96 19 97 19 98 19 99 20 00 20 01 20 02 20 03 20 04 20 05 20 06 20 07 20 08 20 09 20 10 20 11 20 12 20 13 20 14 20 15

JR private railroad SUBWAY

200km 312km 512km 303km 816km 169km 985km km 335 km 452 km 198 km 200km

METRO

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Tokyo Metro ₁₆

Operating km of urban rail is 2459 km

JR,

887.2,

36%

Private

railway,

1214.4,

49%

Metro

357.5,

15%

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Tokyo Metro ₁₇

The number of station 1510

JR, 360,

24%

Private

railway,

825,

55%

METRO,

325,

21%

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Tokyo Metro ₁₈

Next topic.

About Urban

Railway in Tokyo

Ⅰ

History of Metro

construction

Ⅱ

DEMAND

FORECAST

Ⅳ

Plan for the 21st

Century

Ⅲ

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Tokyo Metro ₁₉

Ⅱ. History of Metro construction

Ogikubo Asakusa Shibuya Nakameguro Ikebukuro Ueno Ii da b a sh i Shinjuku Oshiage Kakigaracho Sugamo Gotanda T ōky ō Shimbashi Nakano Kita-Senju Sengakuji Akabane Nerima Toyocho Kinshichō Shinagawa Ebisu Azabu Jimbocho Iwabuchimachi Meguro Akashicho Futakotamagawa Yotsuya Kitami Sumiyoshicho Ichigaya Honancho Mejiro Ayase Minowa Komagome Asakusabashi Gokokuji Narimasu Takadanobaba Mukohara Yamatomachi (Wakōshi) Ōji Nakamurabashi Nishi-magome Roka-kōen Kirigaya Yoyogi-Uehara Nishi-Funabashi to Tobu Noda Line

to Saitama

Urban Transport Council Report No. 10

Ogikubo Shibuya Nakameguro Ikebukuro Shinjuku Oshiage Kakigaracho Nakano Kita-Senju Nerima Shibakurumachō Shinagawa Azabu Meguro Akashicho Futakotamagawa Kitami Sumiyoshicho Honancho Ayase Minowa Nakano-sakaue Gokokuji Narimasu Mukohara Yamatomachi Nakamurabashi Nishi-magome Roka-kōen Kirigaya to Tobu Noda Line

to Saitama Legend New or additional section National Railway Private Railway Prefectural border Section following previous plan Cancelled section

Line No. From To

4

(Main route)

4

(Branch route)

Line No. From To 1

(Main route)

1

(Branch route) (Main route)8

8

(Branch route)

8

(Branch route)

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Tokyo Metro ₂₀

Yurakucho Line

Ⅱ. History of METRO construction

0 50 100 150 200 250 Y JR P M

Y22

Y18

Y13

Y09

New

Line

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Tokyo Metro ₂₁ 0 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000 300,000

Y09

Y13

Y18

Y22

Yurakucho Line

2015

2014

2004

1994

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Tokyo Metro ₂₂

0 10000 20000 30000 40000

1985

2010

2015

Y22 Worker

★

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Tokyo Metro ₂₃

Y22 Surrounding situation

Bus terminal

large apartment

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Tokyo Metro ₂₄

Nanboku Line

0 50 100 150 200 250 N JR P M

New

Line

meguro komagome yotuya ichigaya iidabashi

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Tokyo Metro ₂₅

Hanzomon Line

0 50 100 150 200 250

Z

JR P M

New

Line

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Tokyo Metro ₂₆ 0 10000 20000 30000 40000 50000 60000 2004 2009 2014

Z14 Person

Actual value

Estimated value

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Tokyo Metro ₂₇

Fukutoshin Line

0 50 100 150 200 250 F JR P M

New

Line

ikebukuro shibuya

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Tokyo Metro ₂₈ 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 45 47 49 51 53 55 57 59 61 63 65 67 69 71 73 75 77 79 81 83 85 87 89 91 93 95 97 99 1 3 5 7 9 Millio n

The population of Tokyo

1945 2010

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7 8 9 10 11 12 13 45 47 49 51 53 55 57 59 61 63 65 67 69 71 73 75 77 79 81 83 85 87 89 91 93 95 97 99 1 3 5 7 9 Millio n

The population of Tokyo

Tokyo Metro ₂₉

1945 2010

M H T C Y Z Z N F

The population of Tokyo & History of METRO construction

58 years

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inquiry commission Tokyo Metro ₃₀ Begin construction Government Railway operators Detailed analysis time axis Permission for Railway Business Data provision

Steps in railway construction in Japan

master

plan

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Tokyo Metro ₃₁

Tokyo’s METRO network

As of Mar. 31, 2015 (in km)

Line METRO Partner _Line Details of through-service sections

Tokyo Metro Ginza 14.3 - None Marunouchi 27.4 - None Hibiya 20.3 44.4 Tobu 44.4 Tozai 30.8 31.7 JR 15.5, Toyo-kosoku 16.2 Chiyoda 24.0 82.2 Odakyu 52.5, JR 29.7

Yurakucho 28.3 80.4 Seibu 40.3, Tobu 40.1

Fukutoshin 11.9 108.7 Seibu 40.3, Tobu 40.1, Tokyu 24.2, Minatomirai 4.1

Hanzomon 16.8 88.4 Tokyu 31.5, Tobu 56.9

Namboku 21.3 26.5 Tokyu 11.9, Saitama Railway 14.6

Tokyo Metro total 195.1 337.5

Toei METRO

Asakusa 18.3 190.1 Keisei 64.6, Keisei/Hokuso 49.9, Shibayama 2.2, Keikyu 73.4

Mita 26.5 11.9 Tokyu 11.9 Shinjuku 23.5 67.3 Keio 67.3

Oedo 40.7 - None

Toei METRO total 109.0 269.3

Tokyo Metro and

Toei METRO total 301.8* 594.9 896.7

(including through-service sections)

*A section 2.3km is shared by both operators and counted once.

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Tokyo Metro ₃₂

Next topic.

About Urban

Railway in Tokyo

Ⅰ

History of METRO

construction

Ⅱ

DEMAND

FORECAST

Ⅳ

Plan for the 21st

Century

Ⅲ

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Tokyo Metro ₃₃

The Tokyo Urban Rail

Development Master-plan 2000

２０１５

Ⅲ. Plan for the 21st Century（Transport Policy）

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Tokyo Metro ₃₄

Contents of the plan

-on urban railway master

plan-New Line

Reuse

Effective use

Sustainability

①

②

③

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Tokyo Metro ₃₅

Issues of railway management

New

Line

Population concentration

（Population growth）

New Town

Wide Area Network

Business

core city

Airport

Bullet train

Access

Effective

use

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Tokyo Metro ₃₆

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Tokyo Metro ₃₇

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Tokyo Metro ₃₈

★

Length of Congested Sections of Main 42 Lines (1995)

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Tokyo Metro ₃₉

Airport Access

(1998→2015Estimated)

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HANEDA Legend Within 60 minutes(1998) Spreading range(2015) Estimated

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Tokyo Metro ₄₀

Government

Railway operators

Think Tank

Research

＆

study

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Tokyo Metro ₄₁

J

apan

T

ransport

R

esearch

I

nstitute

Brief History

1968:

The Japan Transport Economics Research Center (JTERC)

was founded in order to engage in comprehensive

research activities on transport policies.

1991:

The Japan International Transport Institute was

established as an internal body of JTERC in order to

strengthen global information gathering capabilities

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Tokyo Metro ₄₂

Last topic.

About Urban

Railway in Tokyo

Ⅰ

History of METRO

construction

Ⅱ

DEMAND

FORECAST

Ⅳ

Plan for the 21st

Century

Ⅲ

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Tokyo Metro ₄₃

Fukutoshin Line

Ⅳ. DEMAND FORECAST 0 50 100 150 200 250 F JR P M

New

Line

★

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Tokyo Metro ₄₄ 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Fukutoshin Line Ridership

Actual value

Estimated value

Ⅳ. DEMAND FORECAST

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Tokyo Metro ₄₅

A rail ridership

demand forecast

model system

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Tokyo Metro ₄₆

Flow Chart of Rail Transport Demand Forecasting

Urban Transportation Trunk Route Access Transportation (airport access, Shinkansen access)

Setting Future Population

(1) Forecast trip generation/attraction (2) Forecast trip distribution

(3) Forecast modal choice

(4) Forecast railway route choice

Daily sectional traffic volume by route

Determining Future Trunk Route Users by Terminal

(2) Forecast trip distribution (3) Forecast modal choice

(4) Forecast railway route choice

Daily sectional traffic volume by route Daily sectional traffic volume

for all routes in scope

Peak congestion rate by route Peak sectional traffic volume by route

Peak congestion rate by route Peak transportation

capacity by route

Four-Step Estimation Method

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Tokyo Metro ₄₇

Overview of Four-Step Estimation Method

1. Forecasting future population

2. Forecasting traffic volume using the four-step estimation method

(1) Forecasting trip generation/attraction

(2) Forecasting trip distribution

(3) Forecasting modal choice

(4) Forecasting railway route choice

Number of Workers by Residence

6 people

1 people 5people

Number of Workers by Workplace

Generation volume Attraction volume Current pattern = Future pattern

Train: 3/5 people Car: 1/5 people Bus: 1/5 people Walk: 0/5 people A Line: 2/3 people B Line: 1/3 people X City Y City Z City X City _{Z City} Y City X City _{Z City} Y City X City X City Z City

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Tokyo Metro ₄₈

New Study

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Tokyo Metro ₄₉

METRO

出典：http://www.jterc.or.jp/kenkyusyo/product/tpsr/bn/pdf/no58-01.pdf

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Tokyo Metro ₅₀

2020

Station

Business core city

METRO

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Tokyo Metro ₅₁

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Sustainable Metro System Business Privatization for Metro System Business Social Needs for Sustainable Metro System Almost Finished the Metro Network in Tokyo Establishment for Metro System Construction Strong Social Needs for Tokyo Metropolitan Metro Network

Process for Private Company in Tokyo Metro Case

Supported by The Government

Apply a Process in Private Business Model (Self-Responsibility)

Relax

government Regulation

TEITO RAPID TRANSIT AUTHORITY （Public corporation）

TOKYO METRO Company （100% government Investment）

Fiscal Investment and Loan by the Government

／Subsidy by the Government

Keep Social Stocks and Good Use

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Tokyo Metro ₅₃

Conclusion

Railway master plan is important for city growth

Scientific demand forecasting method is basics of railway project （Ridership demand forecasts are positive）

Government support of up to business to self-reliance is important

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Tokyo Metro ₅₄

For the future of Bangkok

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Tokyo Metro ₅₅