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List of abbreviations
MMPP Markov Modulated Poisson Process
MAP Markovian Arrival Process
BMAP Batch Markovian Arrival Process
QBD Quasi Birth Death
ML Maximum Likelihood
PH Phase Distribution
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! & . ! I 6. E > E M „1> E) 6 h & $ 6 2! ] &) . > 1& J<& B E > Q $ $ c" Z;k I 6( M D ! ' ! <& &) " $ 6 2! m 02 TPC-W N _ ) ) <& &) Lognormal 8 G & 3.275 ] ! v 1P & 11.56 . I 1& " O!/ 15 -P$ X ' 3 . ' " 9 ; %$ O!/ 16 -P$ X ' 3 . ' " 9 ; $ I 3 : X ' " 7 -1 X ' bc N > E! > I ! V .$ $ X\ 67 ; <& ! %5 ) Y & 8 . > 1& 6;v v J
J ! 6 2! 5 1 K $ E N\ J ( ! 6 8/.& I 6 1 K ! 8 . > 1& $ . ! 8 &) :! 0 ! G & ! 7 v J ! I 1 $ 6 2! PI & NT g & 8 ) -5 K ' $ I .# > & v ] 8 62 / 1( 0 0N1 # I 1& _ ) [ ) -/> 17 ( I > 1& Q 1 . K _ ) & ! I 8 . $ & ! " C h & E 1g ! $ * & ) E % . > 1& ; <& 3Static 4Dynamic
O!/ 17 \ ) 8 Randomization ) 8 E 7 -2 -" ' ( MAP ) \$ 9: c " 6 2! .$ N 4I J 6 K ! 8 $ &) ) * & ! > 1& ( M D ! T J ) $ ! ' ;Y ) E % I ( " $ 6 2! ) -l &) KPC-Toolbox ! MATLAB Y , ! I N6 E > E L g _ ) MAP . M 1& ; <& @ C h &
7 -3 -" ' ( MAP ) 9: c "
E > ( M D ! ' & " $ 6 2! N 4I 6 K ! 8 $ &) ) * & ! . _ ) B4I $ ]{ PH F ! ) E % C Maximum Likelihood M 1& ; <& ' ! I 8 I ! ' ;Y W KPC-Toolbox ! MATLAB _ ) _. I ! w 8 8 ( M D ! ]{ .6 Q - 7 * Y& ) ( MAP 6 K N > 1& * & > 1& _. #$ ) :! 5 MAP . C 6 • • ,
W E &C 6 * & l& MAP F ! E % ) ;> ) ! 8 &) G $ ! d I 6 E > -/> 18 .6 E > E H I 6 Iu Q)\ K . > 1& B4I Y E $ H :6 E > E % ) V ! ) I 6 E > ( M D ! S5 * k N V2 ; <&
O!/ 18 \ ) 8 Randomization E ) 8 1& H 1 .g ! k d 1& .I V2 E \ ! F ! 67 N] B4I '( I $ . > ) ]"
! I ( M ! 7 1 ! ! & ] &) I ! 1 @ S5 * & N $ ! 8 &) 67 l& -/>
19
! SP ,& B4I %$ ) ! N1Y7 $ . E &C 6 * & Z ;V ' & .6 E > E H <& ) E " m 02 ! H : U' .6 E > E H …O 6. $! ' ! I SP ,& $ 6. 7 ; .6 E > ! Y , ! E % ! & O!/ 19 \ ) 8 Randomization E ) 8
8
-'
I
' ) /
E " , 8 ! ;> ) , ) j & $! ' 1 ! ! & # SP ,& $C - P< .6 E > L H $ * & ; <& E < , 8 ! 542 ! V QBD ; <& E < N MAP I " E < MAP . B h & ) E % E > E $ H& $ MATLAB * & E < 8 n.$ .6 E > E H ) E % f & ! ! [ ) ;> I ! '( Q Arena /;> E % ) * & E < ' $! '( Q ) E % " SPNP SHARPE .6 E > E H 8 -1 -: ) / 3 d" -e -/> 11 E ) ) 1 K $ -X & ;> C I 6 X & 5 QBD SI! & $ E ) . > 1& %M
S5 E > E . $ MMPP MAP . E ) ) 1 $ QBD :! 0 C !aM :\ . K ] & . $ ] > 1& ) 3 :[ ! " " " " " # I : > 1& . - 7 ) :! 0 C ! & $ ` P G $ % & & ' ( & ' & ( ' ' ' ' ' ' )
E ) 1PI 6 K H& ; l C 1 ; <& 1PI W ! 6@ I $ 2 ; <& - 7 b X & $ : < g H 1& ] 3 Y & [ . . • * & • * * * *( + • *, *, *, *, ( + • *- * . -• (/ . / .( & • * 0 / . 1 & • * 02 .13 ' 4 &
1& $ E ) 8 j & : ; <& Q D & $! ' ) MAMSolver SMCSolver E % ) $ I I C Matlab ) E % E > Q : ; <& . . $ & SMCSolver ! Matlab
- ( .6 E &C & ! * A& J ! ! ' ;Y 8 ) E % ) ! & $ Matlab 1& ! ) ] 5 [ ZPY & E GH {& I Q Pb 1g ! E /H ! : l l< E M J €! J cP I 6( ! ! W; & :\ l& I ! C ! ' ) . 8 -2 -: ) / K ' Oc -e U" ) M ' @ " SMCSolver ] ) * A& 8 b l& 3 $ ] & . > l& - 7 C d 6<5 6 E > [ , [ B0 A0 A1 A2 D ! ) :! 0 ! : G B0: A0: A1: A2:
f & ! I ; <& ! ! " 6 Yg & ) : ! W ]{ pi : ! 7 >> [G,R]=QBD CR(A0,A1,A2); >> pi=QBD pi(B0,A0,R); * * * ( * 5 * 6 * 7 * 8 * 9 * * * ( … 0.0381 0.0675 0.1350 0.4500 0.0282 0.0412 0.0414 0.0900 0.0158 0.0211 0.0112 … ] ! E > E H d I 3 <%5 [ 140 .6 Z;V & 8 ) E % m 02 ! H : U' E $ H& 6@ ] & ! ' ;Y 12 . I Y & ' [
8 -3 -3 d-34; MAP F ! m 02 ! MAP :! 0 / QBD N @ " $!aM & - > -K ] & :! 0 !aM :\ . K :;< / C ! I > D0 @ " $!aM j & D1 $!aM j & & ) :! 0 W ! ]{ .6 ! />C . > ; • *:;< :;< & • *:;<' 4 4 • = *:;<' ' 4 • * 4 >? @ 8 -4 -U" ) M MAP QN " V E )! / O 73 ' ( MAP ! ' ;Y 8 W ) I ] 6 [ N6 6( ! - 7 1& ! 1%P ,& : ; <& S5 $ MAP ) ! & P. ) : Q • SI! & $ E ) -K MAP • _ ) # D MAP h & • 1G ;.$ h g j & $ ; <& MAP • !aM ] & MAP •
! 8 $ &) ] ! 8 G & ; <&
• SP ,& $ * A& ! $ . ) MAP • - ; MMPP MAP • ... ( f 1 : 6 K ! 8 ! I . ) ! & N l& 1Y7 1 Q b H 1g (
! ] &) W & .# > > 1 . ! &) #$ 6H" S5 I s ( .6 E > E S5 $
J ' 6 Y. -I . > v 10
.# I ; <& ! * & 1$ !aM 8 G & # $ , & >
>> P=[0,1;1,0]; >> mapqn_ezsolve({map_exponential(1);map_exponential(1)},10,P) 1$ !aM ' & 8 I 0.9091 -.b ) :! 0 & E % LV S5 * k ; <& . $ 2 : I >> [XN,QN,UN]= mapqn_ezsolve({map_exponential(1);map_exponential(1)},10); C ! I XN 1$ !aM N* S5 1 2 ! QN(i,h) S5 * k i ) ( ! F) " 1 7 Q h N > UN(i,h) S5 E % LV i ) ( ! F) " 1 7 h N > V ! ) o 0& ' & sum(UN(2,:)) I C 1& 6 0.9091 V ! ) S5 * k 6 sum(QN(2,:)) I C 1& 6 5 .6
( f 2 : ] &) G S5 J * A& 8 ! hyper-exponential # I 1& ( g 8 G & 7 ] ! 25 J ) ( ! ! •K * . K 0.99 . M 1& ! 7 Q S5 ) & I ) :! 0 ' ! :\ . K ] & :# I 1& S Y >> P=[0.1,0.7,0.2;1,0,0;1,0,0]; ! V # $ , & * K :6> # $ 2 8 .# I [ K C 1$ !aM H& >> Q1=map_exponential(1); >> Q2=map_exponential(1); >> Q3=map_hyperexp(7,25,0.99); >> [XN,QN,UN]=mapqn_ezsolve({Q1;Q2;Q3},10,P); ) 1$ !aM e XN :! 0 ( 0.6465 . > $ 2 ( f 3 : C ( J Q S5 M -;7 * A& ! MAP N) ( skewness=10 RMAP(1)=0.35 D ! :6> # $ 2 N# G >> P=[0.1,0.7,0.2;1,0,0;1,0,0]; >> Q1=map_exponential(1); >> Q2=map_exponential(1); >> Q3=map_mmpp2(7,25,10,0.35); >> [XN,QN,UN]=mapqn_ezsolve({Q1;Q2;Q3},10,P); 1$ !aM e 0.5122 . > $ 2
: Q ! ) ! & & 6 E % - 7 I G #@& _ P. ) 1G ;.$ _ ; <& LAGS D ! & map_acf(MAP,LAGS) 1Y. _ ) _ ; <& map_cdf(MAP,POINTS) • \! C ( J - ; MAP map_erlang(MEAN,k) " C ( J - ; MAP map_exponential(MEAN) & ] & MAP map_infgen(MAP) ! e 8 G & ; <& map_lambda(MAP)
! 8 &) 8 G & ; <&
map_mean(MAP) - ; MMPP(2) MAP map_mmpp2(MEAN,SCV,SKEW,ACF1) ! 8 $ .& ; <& map_moment(MAP,ORDERS) B 1( 0 $ . MAP map_sample(MAP,NUM,S0) ] ! ; <& MAP map_var(MAP)
-;7 * A& N1( 0 $ . _ ) E % # $ , M $ . ) 1%P ,& ! Q S5 N# I ! SP ,& $ 6 K d I # I E % ) ! ) # & -/> 20 .6 E > E H >> Plot(map_sample(Q3,100)) ([ 1000 . . 100(S ( 100000 . . 10000(‚ O!/ 20 -( f V7 * E ) 8 : ' $ E ( " MAP l& W E > $ . MAP _ ) B ! . Y 8 .$ N " ! 6 K " & ! " 8 G & # I 1& H& ! d I -/> 21 ! e H & E $ H& I .6 E > E H E > * & MAP . ! [ J ( H 1/ ' >> Plot(poissrnd(10,[100,1])
(S 100 . ([ 1000 . (‚ 10000 . ( 100000 . O!/ 21 -( f X I ( " V7 * E ) 8 : ' $ E 8 -5 -' @ KPC-Toolbox E I h < " ] " E ) 8 ! ' ;Y KPC-Toolbox ! Matlab ! &C $ & ! " I " /& 6 E > !
8 &) j & ! ! 1& #$ ( ! E b . & J I ] 7 [. ] & C 6( ! 8 . I Y & [ . J 6{ / $ & ! " # D ! ' 8 /P.b E < E $ H& demo_run.m 8 O I > 1& #$ ( # D -K & NE . . $ 1& . ! $ & ! " I I s ( * A& S
) > ! 8 $ &) -& > ! E b . & K ] & -/> 26 .( ]{ NE * A& J Y N ) : ! & * & MAP ! h & I " Q .& . >> trace = kpcfit_init(S); >> MAP = kpcfit_auto(trace,'OnlyAC',1);
O!/ 22 -) 8 X 7 \$ " ] " X ' ' " O / \ ) 8 O!/ 23 -P$ D0 ( MAP / : O!/ 24 -P$ D1 ( MAP / : $ ] & D0 D1 j & MAP E > 16 .6 E > E H ! 6 Yg ) E % :! 5 !
! I ; N I E $ H& 8H . :! 0 ! -K & & ) ! ! ! I Q 1 & -K & . > $ 2 I -/> 25 .6 E > E H >> MAP = kpcfit_auto(trace,'OnlyAC',1,'AnimateAC',1); O!/ 25 -Oc V7 * 2 X 8 " h < " ; I X I ) 8 E
8 -6 -' ) / ( " Arena E * & E < ! [ ! ) f & ! ) E % &) ! '( Q Arena E H ! * & 8 1PI 3 k .6 E > -/> 26 ) & 1P5 <%5 ! .6 E > E H * i & Create 1& ! 7 F) " ! & ! [ W I I E % [ " $ 6 2! . M O!/ 26 -8/ & ( 7 * i & ) Q I $ : . D ! m 2 G J B 6 v N1( 0 :! 0 ! e 8 Y /& $ ! G I p,H& /& ! [ X\ ! ) / - ! . ! 'M 8 8 N ! $ 0,H& I # E I [ , ! Schedule ! -/> 27 .6 E > E H Q b - I 6 Iu Q)\ l& $ & ! " $ 1 .6 E > E % 1g ( l& ) O!/ 27 -( i 8 b Create * i & ! & ! ! $ G Schedule ! I I 8 Y -/> 28 - ! .6 E > E H * i & J T $ N ! # ! T / Create $ ! G I # E I . I S Y & ' & ! V ! T $ )
O!/ 28 -E ) %" : ] 9 M " X ' ( i 8 b * i & J N! [ F) " ) * & Process Y & C : . D ! I # I 1& E ) " ] e $ _ & ! ! I I 8 Y -/> 29 .6 E > E H O!/ 29 -( i 8 b Process " E I G b
) # & N# I * & E n " ! ! # $ , I 1 K ! sub-model
# I E % I h 8
. > : % & ] T N6 2! T $ 4A& I > E > - /H 1P2 * i & O ) & ! 2 ! T g & 8 Q E < -/> 30 -/> 31 .6 E > E H O!/ 30 -' @ sub-model & ' ( " O!/ 31 -76 TUM sub-model &
! -/> 31 > " / h K ! 6 2! & I 6 E > E % # .0 * i & J )
> $ 2 #$ ( ' ! * I /& h 8 . I * ! k & , ! 1 % & ] Q & 4A& .
.6( M D ! 6 2! T $ , ) E % ) ;> ) ]" & 6 @ !
Report @>! 'M N
) ! C d ) ;> 8 K ! I ! C 6 ... _ & o 0& NS5 * k D 1 $ & ! " m 02 ! D ! & . > 1& O!/ 32 -1 UL ) 8 V7 * E 9 6 V ( )" j "
$! ' ;Y ) E % ' E n " ! & ) * & /& I I E! > 6 @ ! Arena ! @ C ) 12 I ! -/> 33 .6 E > E H O!/ 33 -@ O" k E U" ) M ) 8 Arena V7 * E d$ / ' ( "
8 -7 -I )! / " ( ' ) / ) E % W ! :! 0 K #$ ) ;> :! 0 #$ # - P< 1> ! " $ /;> ! ' ! .6 b SHARPE SPNP * & /& H& :! 0 $ I 6( M ! 7 1 ! ! &
! I : % 8 ! C 1& #$ ( ! " SPNP ! 0 ! E $ H& /& ! 1 6> ' 8H . : E > E Y ` E GH {& I r E /H ! $ / - -K E < ] 9 [ N ) * & C ( D ) . $ / : ; <& - P< ! '( Q ! ; SHARPE $ F ! W ) * & /& " /;> E 4b & D G 1 ! ... ) S5 $ /;> ' SI! SPNP . I 1& 1 ; H" " /;> ) Wl( O!/ 34 -V ( M/M/1 I )! / ' @ " O!/ 35 -V ( M/M/1/K I )! / ' @ " E S5 J 1 ! ) E " ! M/M/1 $ S5 ) * & F ! ]{ # 2 " E n " MMPP MAP S5 . .# E Q ! M/M/1 ! -/> 34 E H ]6 E > 3 E " Q G $ .[ 6 K •( -I " $ /;> ! " 6 K -K - P< / - Nr ( 1 ; <& $! ' ! * & 8 ) •( -K - 7 . ! ! C -K :! 7 N6 <& * & 8 6 K •( 62! I 1& # ! ! C
. > <& 6 K ! I ! V .$ 8 -/> 35 J '( 6 E > E H * Inhibitor S5 J * & <& M/M/1/K $ 2 - P< - 7 ! ' W I > 1& - ; I K * E > p,H& h g Inhibitor > 1& ] 10 $ * & 1 ! .[ ] > 1& @ H " 1P& Y :! 0 H 11 . > Y & [ 8 -7 -1 " ( ' ) / MMPP I )! / " S5 E > * & . MMPP/M/1/K 6 Yg ! -/> 36 6 E > E H * & 8 I
! E > ! SI! & E ) x & -/> 10 . > 1& C - ; > %M I ! V .$ ; MMPP/M/1 @ & Inhibtor -K - 7 ! ' W <& 6 K •( > - :! 5 8 ! 1 N6> ! . $ , A A k
O!/ 36 -V MMPP/M/1/K 9 I ' @ " $ 6 Yg P0 P1 $!aM E .$ T2 T3 j & J $ @ C x & $ e ) 1/ I 6 ! . $!aM T1 T0 . $ 1& H ! 6 Yg 8 8 1 ' P2 1& * & ! ! S5 ' I T4 ] e C 1& 8 Y ! . > 1& # ) ‚ 2 h; I I O!/ 37 -V MMPP/M/1/K U 2 M ( c 9 I ' @ " SPNP ! 1P& Y :! 0 C ( N8H . ! ) E % * & :! 5 ! -/> 37 6 E > E H ! ! 7 S5 ! N-/> 8 ! .6 ! I ! 2 ! $!aM I * Y( /& I e 1PY( T3 1& . > 8 /P.b j & $! . $ & ! " S5 ) ! -/> 38 1 -/> 41 H .6 E > E T0=5, T1=1, T2=10, T3=5, T4=8, K=100
O!/ 38 -( f " V7 * E ZL E ZL a MMPP O!/ 39 -( f " V7 * E ZL ' @ X MMPP O!/ 40 -( f " V X " : 6 ( 8 c MMPP
O!/ 41 -V M E ) %" ] ( f " MMPP 8 -7 -2 " ( ' ) / MAP I )! / " S5 " /;> * & MAP/M/1/K ! 6 Yg -/> 42 .6 E > E H * K ! x & * & 8
! E > ! SI! & * & -/> 13 . > 1& 4;7 I ! V .$ N > E! > ' " /;> * & ' ! 8 > @ Inhibitor S5 MAP/M/1 $!aM . > 1& - ; T2 T3 6 K ! ! e P0 $!aM T4 T5 6 K ! ! e P1 . $ P2 ! S5 T6 1& C ] e . > 1& E $ H& N ) D< 8 ! I > . ! ! 7 S5 ! 6H$ O!/ 42 -V MAP/M/1/K U 2 M ( c 9 I ' @ " SPNP ! ) $ & ! " S5 8 /P.b j & $! . -/> 43 1 -/> 46 .6 E > E H T0,T3,T5=5, T1,T4=1, T2=10, T6=8, K=100
O!/ 43 -( f " V7 * E ZL E ZL a MAP O!/ 44 -( f " V7 * E ZL ' @ X MAP O!/ 45 -( f " V X " : 6 ( 8 c MAP
O!/ 46 -( f " V M E ) %" ] MAP $ ! $ Y 8 G & & 8 n.$ : > 1& ) 3 H I I [ K ! " 6 K ! ! 6 g
********* Outputs asked for the model: MAP2 ************** Steady-state average number of tokens in P0
etok(MAP2, P0): 1.66666669e-001
Steady-state average number of tokens in P1 etok(MAP2, P1): 8.33333331e-001
Steady-state average number of tokens in P2 etok(MAP2, P2): 9.37500004e-001
9
-L )K
E > ! ! I! L <5 1 " ) * & 6 % I 8 & _ & _7 & p 0, ! D & $!
" X!' @H O ) E) & 1 @ ! I ! D ! & ] 3 > : $ H& : l l< Z;k .6 E 'I & ! 1& NF! 'M 8 ! E > E * & F ! I I M ) MAP 1& J ( h & -/> $
1& 6 E > U ! I 1 $! ' ) E % I * & ! [ J ( D &) f & ) ! & C ( -I Q 1 K ! ! * & ) E % . . I ! 1( 0 $ O!/ 47 -E 5* G b )3@ ' ) / " )" / ( CloudReports O!/ 48 E " 5 @ Y< : )" j " C" CloudSim CloudReports ;> $! ' O M W <& ) D $ CloudSim CloudReports ) -/> 47 ) E % /& ( 1& #$ ( ! ! I! ) * & 1( 0 C ( * & 8 ! E > E % 1( 0 C ( 1 I 1( 0 _ ) $ )6 62 / -/> 48 ] h & I ( * & ) E % 8 .6 E > ! $ D 1 $ MAP & ;> W <& 8 ! E > Q $ ) d Q E % ! & ] h & H 67 ! $ 1Y7 " 6 . I
CM
[1] Pacheco-Sanchez, et al; "Markovian Workload Characterization for QoS Prediction in the Cloud," Cloud Computing (CLOUD), 2011 IEEE International Conference on , vol., no., pp.147-154, 4-9 July 2011
[2] The Art of Capacity Planning, J.Allspaw, O’Reilry, 156 pages, Sep 2008
[3] Queueing Networks and Markov Chains: Modeling and Performance Evaluation with Computer Science Applications, G.Bolch, S.Greiner, H. de Meer, K.S.Trivedi, WILEY, 896 pages, May 2006
[4] M. Andersson, et al, “Performance modeling of an apache web server with bursty arrival traffic.” In Proc. of ICOMP, 2003
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[6] MAP Queueing Networks, http://www.cs.wm.edu/MAPQN/index.html, Accessed at 10 July 2012
[7] G. Casale, et al, "KPC-Toolbox: Simple Yet Effective Trace Fitting Using Markovian Arrival Processes", QEST’08
[8] KPC-Toolbox, http://www.cs.wm.edu/MAPQN/kpctoolbox.html, Accessed at 12 July 2012 [9] Kishor Trivedi home page, http://people.ee.duke.edu/~kst, Accessed at 12 July 2012
[10] M/M/m/b Queue, http://people.ee.duke.edu/~chirel/IRISA/SPNP/ex3.html, Accessed at 12 July 2012 [11] Reachability in Petri Nets with Inhibitor arcs, Klaus Reinhardt, University of Tübingen http://www-ti.informatik.uni-tuebingen.de/~reinhard/petr.html, Accessed at 12 July 2012
[12] D. Bini, et al, “The MATLAB toolbox SMCSolver for matrix-analytic methods,” University of Antwerp. Belgium, Slides: http://win.ua.ac.be/~vanhoudt/tools/SMCSolver_slides.pdf
[13] Will E.Leland, et al, “On the Self-Similar Nature of Ethernet Traffic,” IEEE/ACM Transactions on Networking, Volume 2 Issue 1, Feb. 1994
[14] National Science Foundation Awards Millions to Fourteen Universities for Cloud Computing Research, April 23, 2009 http://www.nsf.gov/news/news_summ.jsp?cntn_id=114686, Accessed 13 July 2012
[15] The Sky Is No Limit: 13 Research Teams Compute in the Clouds, April 20, 2011
http://www.nsf.gov/news/news_summ.jsp?cntn_id=119248, Accessed 13 July 2012
[16] A. Riska, et al. “Matrixanalytic analysis of a MAP/PH/1 queue fitted to web server data.” In MAM4, pp. 335–356, 2002.
[17] S. L. Scott, P. Smyth, “The Markov Modulated Poisson Process and Markov Poisson Cascade with Applications to Web Traffic Modelling”,Bayesian Statistics, Oxford University Press, 2003.
[18] N.Mi, et al. A”SIdE: Using Autocorrelation-Based Size Estimation for Scheduling Bursty Workloads,” IEEE Trans. on Network and Service Management, full paper, to appear in 2012.
[19] G.Casale, et al, “BURN: Enabling Workload Burstiness in Customized Service Benchmarks,” IEEE Trans. on Software Engineering, 2012.