冷戦体制解体とアジアの「奇跡」の終焉―アジア通 貨金融危機の本質―
著者 涌井 秀行
雑誌名 明治学院論叢. 国際学研究 = Meiji Gakuin
review. International & regional studies
巻 18
ページ 47‑85
発行年 1999‑03‑31
その他のタイトル Dismantling the Cold War System and the Asian Economic Crisis
URL http://hdl.handle.net/10723/1602
!"
#$%&'()*+,-.
/0123456789:;<=>72?@
ABCD)E FG H+
IJKLH4MNO>2PON 6QR;STUDHJGVWXY Z[\STCD;]^Z 7 _`.ab A>
cd eMefghiVjVW XYZklmnWW^oVj+pCD .qrG+IstuJG AFN2'(c dv\KGjwj'(xWyz{7
|}GK>_~;?jm.P
HG? ?1?'(cd
2?87G6A
jwj?7FG
G 7 .
2DG \A>8G jwj¡\¢
£¤¥jwj¥.¦§
56 ¨8?©;ª@ A£¤.«5 6¬ N£¤H NG ¡®¯2°±²³ .ab´µ?N¶78·¸¹Gµ ºA?»>£¤25?¼2½¾;P?
7F$NF¿G A 7jm
ÀÁÂÃG2¨@ÄÅÆ:.7ª¿
OÇ@6jwjaÈÉ56 HÊ
?ËÌ'(cd.ͿκMMºA Ïjwj7@ KÐ;ª6<HÑ [;?GÒÓ?ÆÔ2Õ@6A
jwjËÌ'(cd<Ö
× Ø Ù &
ÄÚÛÜ7ÝÞßà á Û Ü
á ÝÞßàâãäåæ7?2 á ãäåæçè
ãäåæéå ãäåæéå"L
1êëìí7jwjËÌ'(cd á jwjËÌ'(cdîï
á jwjËÌ'(cd
¦åðñjwj&PòM7GËÌ'(cd7Yóôãä ájwj?22¨@H NF
á +õZ7Gjmö÷øùú 7ûüoýôþ
á jmðñ £
á jmðñ ûüoýôþ
á jmäL âá
M7$ <jm7jwj
!
"#$%&'(&)*'+, -./0123&4'5 67'8 39:;<='>=?@A2BCD EFGHIJKLM0NOPQA&R STUVWXYZ [\]^_`XYabcde8fAgh 3&4ijgklmnaMnop'39qr' 23&8stuRS'32A34
P92Dvwx
yzyl{c|}~)33
3&4
PQv32
}(v32 3&40'2
#$h ¡Z¢£
¤¥¦§£¨h%&4©ª
«¤¬®0&¯°±²0³´² (&°Sµ¶·¸'39L¹º»¼f/
Q½¾¿À'ÁÂÃÄ'39ÅÆ8'
hǤfAÈ¥¦'8
ÉÊËÌ'39Í6S08 κÏÐw Ç¥¦'8Ñ 9vÒ'Ó94' Ô=ÕÖ'×£uØnÙÚ¥¦0Û>
rÜÝÞߣ;PQh´
àáâh£5'3 9ãh%&4±s ä å 0æçè>rVÝ xä 0éê4
Ç0ëZì(íhîÝ 25&xyïTðñZ0òó Çñ2Ç"ô25
&'39äõÐö÷Ïøùúûïú{
4üý'ýc¸8h34
þïHIJúû'ú{09
& 8'Â '3
3402xyïï0
2Q0å
¨ 02%ók
C;Z049&' úû%&hj94 G'39¨ ¤0 «ª
/QÄù
¥¦#$ùxy Dvù2¢U*¸4P Qc¢}±0ó¸¤
á ð
zyl{á 3¸ðñZ½Ð
Çùh%&4¸ï
*¸'½ÐT
ð'2QþïHIJ 05ç&P'4PQ
h%&4
¸'áâüA&á
<0' u l{¸
'9&áâ¢Uì3
&h0'(&zyl{á
·¸P'h%&4PPh'39
zyl{á «ªl{¸' '39 ï°±uA2/Q
¬L¹32/Qh3P '0(h%&4á ~0
&¸'«ªl{M' 05P'Pzyl{¸£
h%4ÎÐ °
h¢25&'
ZkA9 @&'39 Ò8Q34á s
¨h¸0çÄ0
4P9zyl{¸h :&A908234
ï°±uS
n0C}4áⵠʵ
¦á 'ùB
ï0ü'°±SnÊï
ÊïïïSn0CÒ
¸*¸'ð
!"#$%&'(%)*"*
+,-./0,/1234"56 789:;<1"$=>
?@<ABCDEFG21H<
IF4"%JKLMNOP0QR STUVWXYZ<[\]^_`1 a<%0bc4deJKdfg h(i^jklmnopqrs_`
1a<UVWXtutvwxy^j tzde{|itz}~
' g%$$
%opqrs_UVWX
0LMg@$%0
4`%
"$%A+,-.
,D ,¡¢_`
£¤¥Q¦Q§¨R©1a<
ª «vwxy^jtxy^j^
j¬tzj/®¯<ot
°±²sk³´|µ#$%
+0¶·¸¹º¬»,xy4t`^
j¬³´xe³´t¯<¼½³´h(
k³´¾%¿µÀUVWXLÁ
xy,Âo±²Ã+ÄsÅ Z1"Æ,DZÂÈÉ«<Ê^j/Ë
*ÌÍÎÏ"STJKo_Ðs:Ñ
@<ÒÓÔ°ÕÖ×vwØÙÚÛ"
ÜÝÞÛßàQáâ¥Rã¾%
»,xy4t`"*äåæçoèésê u8ëì^íîã¥NUêïu8ð ñ+·¸òó«¾%¶
ôõST<tö|÷øtöSTùúû üýÅ$þ¶ªo#sû eh(% %<,0¶ó
ª àOk¯<
^j1AAÕÔ 14"A:¾UVWXx å|TJK÷øàOã
RR£ÛßSToQRâ 4VXsÌ«T%$T
@$%xyçLÁJK_
Ð ¥§R[oÕs
¯<"<
Å6xy,
Ì«T%@$%"³´_S TDT<T½
<@"6_$%
ª =BCDEAµ<åºA 6ST '"
de¯<o[4±²sk 1a$ ¾$%B¢
1ãP1H"û1a*
UVWXT,-b1«"<"
$[4±²k¯<
2Ó0ÓSTTÀ"AÈ*
!{$%UVWX1 1<"'
%b ÅÑZÅUVWX u84:¯<å
µÑZÀ"|"$
UVWXJKR%
® ¶o(sH
® <""$%
$ 1a<%
JK^¬³´|Ì 1"<
ªui¶4"$%T PU UYZ<
k¶%µUVWX tvwxyU Ude"([
¯<,`%Ö|TU UYZ
<i^j6a%;a|T0 LÁ¯<([ÓQ
Pã;ô þ(ªUVWX <Ü
([g"
L¢Ó"|tó
i^jì^U Uos
!"#$
%&'()*+,-./0)12 3456 78927:52 6'78;)<=>?@ABC?57
<278DCE?5FGFH8 IJKLMNOPAQR
; STUVWPXYZF[!\]^
_<`aM(5Fbc(d (8e<f5gUhijklmn89;<?o +QRpqM(rstufgUvwxyz {a|}~PfXR d(lf{. <!(
.B5mn8t
neX[`a<.
v-PXpqM (rs9;
¡RM(LM¢£)<¤7
¥¦§¨©.ª?pq«¬®
¯°l±²pqr³´µ¶F·
¸¹º»¼F½'wx.*+¾B UV¿ÀÁÂP<|ÃP|ÄÅ
f{aÆÇÆÇ
ÈÉÆÊËqqÌ.ÍÎ`a¹ÆÊÏÐ
·ÑÒ.ÓÔ?¿ÀÆÊÐ ÕÐ<PÖ×´ØÙ.ÚRl
ÛÜÝ:ÜÝÞßà?ÏзÑÒáà ÈÉÆÊËqâeãägU6 åàQæ çèlPwxféhêë ìQæaPpqM(íîï<?ðañ
?4wxòó<e|Ãaã ägU D|.wxLMQæ
¿Àlôõf{aö
¨R÷wxø?}.<?
|apq«¬¾ÔD?¿ùúûM (üúûâý.þ|
P|4q+`a÷f{a .ÓÔ¿ÀÆÊMáÃaíî ï{a|í -r9;¿À|
æP|ÆÊoMwx<÷¡R
¾`aÆÇ)<
fö2v-ee
¢ZMP.PB.{aÈ ÉÆÊËqâF.`P
ÆÊ6 <
awxý<?ÆÊ
_<P¿ÀÆÊBR
·hi9; ^
<`a5!8¾QR xP
ÆÊ_.à?TXRÆÊ
¶f`aB<.P
¿ÀM(.
X4÷F.¾a¿ÀM(¾ BRSTËv`aB<RXf{a 2f|Ãqq<P?
RRXqhi¸<|
Cf¯lq{af5GLq 8f{P¾X¿ÀM(
¿ÀM(58<|C^¥¶<
M(÷qfe{q
flP¾>QR
X®.Cfü.
qؾQR2¼F<A .Fåý.|B
<|C XP|
ü.?|a
BCM(.FØ
AR{¾ ÓüFØ
.¦§á.a
Óf.ªEA
9 ;.Fbáf|Ã
}~gUágUvwx ÓüfÓf .BRX Ó Ó
pqM(LM<258õ
!"#$%&'()*+,-&./
012345,6 -7 089:;'<=>?@ABCDE@!
FG=5, HIJK!LM*>
NOPQRSTM UVWX!* &' >Y-
&Z[\]^E_`aZbc,RU- defghijklmnodep@
==> &'UVqH$%
70Z,&derstu*vw dep@xy,czl!{|}
~CB]^]Bu
ZZ}u~^]]] &
+[-b c,]^]vw* Z,HI
U ¡u+[¢< &' 6£¤¥*+,]^]
6¦§6¨©ª 6¦ §£~Z,
«,¬-®UV§~&¯°=>
[n Z[±Z²'U³´c[
µ¶Z[n
·¸$%-® Z, µ¶¹º&Z[¹,»¼
*½¾R>&|¿=>, RZ,!¥PQZ=>
,u6NÀÁÂÃÄÅZ,
* ÆÇÆÈp É'¥Ê˳ÌUÊÍHÎO=>[n
=PQHÃÏ}Ð
>Ä*ÑÒzlÁÂÃ
ÄÓ&6Ô&<6NÀ
ÄÕÖÓ[× &!
=ØZ<HPQÃÄ
Ù* &ÚÛ'Ü¡Ó[
& &!!·Ý$%-® n4 FÞP'+,߯6NÀÕà'Ä
á¾RZ[6Ä}6 âÄã±Ó &! >
6n&ÑÒzlU-߯u äåæ!ç«+[n, &ÅZ[n«, èé' ên+[nëHÆBìC ÏÐÄÕÖ,nZ[íîïð'ñò ÏÐóô=!õö+[n÷
®UøùØZ<úûZ[ü&÷ýþ!
©>[<«Ï}Ð>! *
6¨þÏÐÄ
£*! ê6 Ï}Ð>Ä! £c[n PQ!*&Z [ U- !n!R Ï}Ð>!n&n >
¸O U-Ï0} &
+[HøU-0Z, &ÅZ [n >U-!¥@ß]
Z>,uÓ&zl'¥-®
'n¬@ß]Z=>[n&
<-®Cp!S =>[n'n߯
ÆBìC]C
«,ñòëH¦S!
Z,.-®¬2~@ß]Z=>
[nH Z,U!
üÖ¡'<-® U- Z[n+,ZHÃÓ&
Ézl!cFÞ P&'+,߯ ÆBìC
&<'+[n]C! z*&<½zó!
Án.2&n
'÷' !*+,R>
6 ÉHø
J,cz!²'ZZ³O
´c,u*&<ýHß Æ~6 ~Æ B ì C
~6~-*
>¥'U³*+, >ýHP QOuUä,cqH$
%]Ç!&g.
j&.2
! ! ! !
!"#$%&'()*+,-.'/0 123456789:.;
<3 =>?'@*+,-A-'/-B+C" #$
% & $ 'D*+4E'9:F/G@ E"H+!IJKLM34C ;
NN9OPQRS*+,-.QT"/UVWX/Y&Z[>/\&%]&/%&^/_`VaAbaQcdeI*3/fVa/$UV g/h$i/jk/almAb noOPQ"pq*+,-.;
decrstuv w K OPQ x y z{|cfVa }z& f~W^ x `Va Q Q # $ $|h
W`V | >
W $|h
Z
u
Z
u
` z | g h $ i
j k
$ U V g f V a
Z
u
` z | g h $ i
j k
$ U V g f V a
Z
u
` z | g h $ i
j k
$ U V g f V a
Z
u
` z | g h $ i
j k
$ U V g f V a
Z
u
` z | g h $ i
j k
$ U V g f V a
Z
u
` z | g h $ i
j k
$ U V g f V a
h&
!"#
$ %
%"&'
( )*+'
, - .'/
!"#
012345 6789:
0; <5 67=>?@:
!"#$%&
'()*+,-*./(0(1 2345 6-7879:
;<=>-?@AB<CDEFG4 HI787<J,)KL<=>- M+NOPQ787RSTJ*
UVWXYZQ[\]^_Y`
Q[\]^_abcQ[\
]^_*deIf^]_ g,>-hijklmnopq0
>rstuvwQ[\xyz 9{(,>-rstu|}><=~(78 74hijk.7$
+t 5 DS
,>-?*<*Eh
< ^hi ^+f^
7*h^
S+a@acl*h ^hi?@@^ +^>S]_a@- 787 *hiQ <{=>-
.¡¢£¤¥12¦!5 6})0§2lm¨|,
>)©@-ª *d« *?(
¦!¥lQ¬ e)®
+ 787¯lQ6°¥±g<
+b+)²³,>-<*+´¬
*de®,wµJ¶·¸¹º
»e"#¼½¾¿{ÀcÁ Âà ,>ÄÅÆÇÆ&Á ÆÈ ÉÊaËe®c;-ÌÍοÏÐÑ=>7 87Òl*)Î@Ó®+¾±ÔÕ Öc@-y«×Ø*Ùa®ÚM
@+b+-)(ÛÜiÉÊ«
-ÄÅÆÇÆ&Á Ýg*"#¾¿Þ ß·¸,>}z+,-®
?àÑ*áâã°ä787åæçN4
èéê¨!ëÞ{* ì 4}%&$Æ<{=-
?{?{äíîïðñ«<,ò@78 7óôçõö²÷)èøùú û½*Eïüý)<=>-?
þçõö²÷*CD0(+787 )²÷ ÇÆ
=>}>äÇÆaw
@-)(787²÷*çõ ] ä7f_7
$õô çõ787
)]_« <=>-?õô Ö¸â çõ õôac¿õô«<787a@
-)çõÌ¢<*&&Ä
&% çõ¸0!Ï |a@?@078 7}>rö ä
¸a@-{(Ûyä<=
>-h®c Ö +ç õPBM)«@787<óÚ 4}>Æn+çõçN 4a@-)@*]h_7873 éêlmçõ}>é ê<= +Ï{,>- )±,be* ò4
±,®µ+c+,-40>¥
¥¦ @±+@
µ+c+,-{+@µçõPB
<×çõ*M«MQ«>-)
*?787Õ{9N787çõ ã°+ *ä787
3w>¡Ã-Ã
<=>-
) |N0(- !
*úÆ l
ââ787äåæ
" #$%%&'()*+, )-
!"#$%&'( ))*+,-./
0123456#78&'9:/0123
;<6=>?@ABCD"AEF C G*(/0=HIJ&@AK LMNOB(PQ*RSTUVC EWX&'JYZ@AE)[
R\]^_`Ca23bJYc(
A>d!"(e\fg#h6*K ij!"(kilmnoAp7AQ )"q*(&'#rs6tu/0#vwx6 23y#6z{/0BqC0|}~
*PBQP()"q*b
C()/0UV>?C"
lm o*("O;K
P)PCE)=*(
!"/0>?M NAE)*[=(="q /0KLMNOB(PQ*R STUVCEWX&'JYZ@AE)
%AE;A(*
/00RSTBC)
%AEe\fg#h6=Kij!
"kilmnoA7AP(%
RST=9(&'=C"(9
/0*(K&OBCQ(
/0*;KC)%PR
A(RL%O"
(e\fg#h6/0L=lm noAKij!"O( C lm o=¡TAEQ)CPc¢£
e\fg¤"q@A
>d¥/¦k`O)="(lm
§¨©ª«©¬¬®¯°±²³
^
´ (µ¶·¸¹(º»
K
#;K6
¼?
´
>?
K½
¾¿^ÀÁ
>d
KÂ
K
>?
>d
Rij
HIJ&
KÂ
HIJ&
Ã Ä Å
hÆhh h
>d ÇAijx
R È lmno
´* ^ lm ox;K
x $%&'+,-./0#ÉÊx®2345±6
x¾Á78&'9:/0#ËÌÍ(/x®23;<±6 xz{
xÎÏfg
!"
#$ %
&'( )
*#+(,,-.+/01 2
3456$
! "#
$%&'
! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! !
! ! ! ! !
! ! !
! ! ()*+,- ./ (01- 23456789:;<=>?@6AB 456C@DE =FGH IJ4./=KLMNO 56666 HPQM6RST5UVDEO 566W5XYZ[ C\69T]6T\^_T`6a:6bc6da 6]:6Ta66:e6]f6STgRT H=>h6 Wij5klmnoc6d:g6a6:pqCPrsNH=>?O WijWV= RSTtuv I+451w@DENx6 RSTtu IJ4PI+4MNOyz{6;< Nx|}6~*@rQl{E?O VNW 456W =>?OVNW RSTv I+45W O
!"#$
%&'()* +,- ./0 1213456789 : ;<=>>8?@A./06BC D=>EF:GH912I<JKL MNOP'QR=STUVLMW X6B')Y/A./0Z[6B'(M) O:=YL\]^_`abcdefg '(</0hi;KMjhi9kl=m9 no7DNOM)Opqrs=
V123tuv:wjY/A.
/0Z[6B rs=WXtuvo:\M xL'(M)*yz{|L1 23}~uv:\ MO'M)QR
=SA AWX:
L WXtuv'O xL'(M)H]jWXoj
zoyzy'Hhn /0uv WXtuv )O
wM;<yz ¡¢¡rs=
y £ y uv
12t¤-L¤ - ¥¦§¨13t¤- L¤- ¥ M)©
ª«¦¬®=WXuv:
w¯]12t13t '(
M)LWX°±²:(³]NNO )y;KMWX°±²´= µ¶y'f·¸-
¹º´=µ¶»e
'(M)O WXD=¼'H
½)WX=¾:GH0n
¿À./0s4567ÁÂ<^_
6BÃ-ÄÅe M)
ÆÇÈÉNj¡¢¡ÊËoj7ÌoY /A./0Z[6B6ÍÎÏÐÑÀÒ(
MOP¡¢¡ÓÔÕÖ×'w ÉNhi9kl=m9nØVÙPO ÚÛM)jÜżš¢¡0n¿À
WXÝÄcÞßoLà×
jÜżš¢¡0n¿À WXÝÄcÞ ßo:\Mj¡¢¡ÊËo¡¢¡á=
âãÑäåÑ¡¢¡jÊËoæç
èé2êë
èì íë
é2ê:îPPï)