日本海域研究,第34号,151-164頁,2003
環日本海の諸国における情報化社会の発展段階と,
インターネットユーザーの比較分析
コチェトコフピャチェスラフ’・飯島泰裕2 (2002年8月31曰受付,ReceivedAugust31,2002)
(2002年10月1曰受理,AcceptedOctoberl,2002)
ComparativeAnalysisoflnternetUsersasinFactorof EstablishmentlnformationSocietyinJapanSeaRimCountries
VyacheslavKochetkovandYasuhiroIIJIMA
Abstract
20世紀最後の10年間で,情報技術は社会の発展に影響を与える重要な要因となった。「'情報化社会」と いう用語はこの研究では現代文明の期間を記述するために用いられる。その期間の特徴は,グロバル的規 模の'情報空間が作られて,人々の間に効率的な情報共有作業を提供し,世界的な'情報資源へのアクセスを 可能にし,社会生活における`情報と知識がますます重要になっているということである。
グロバル規模ネットワーク(インターネット)で起こっているあらゆる発展の最も主要な要因は人間で あり,この場合ユーザーであるので,新しい社会形成や構造はユーザーの量的そして質的特徴次第である とみなす事は理にかなっていると思われる。この研究の目的は米国,曰本,ロシア,及び中国のインター ネット使用者の共通する特徴を明らかにする事である。これらの国々特に選ぶのは単に偶然ではない。先 ず,米国や曰本のような経済的及び情報的先進国とロシアや中国のような発展途上国との間の共通`性や違 いを見つける必要がある。一方,既述の国々はアジア・太平洋地域に属し,その上,ロシア,曰本そして 中国は曰本海を共有する沿岸諸国であり,そのことは本研究の実際的な重要'性にもかかわってくることで
ある
比較分析方法を用いて分析し,適切なパラメーターを量と質の両方から評価した統計的なデータに基づ いて,情報化社会が形成される状況の中で選択された国々のインターネット使用者の共通の傾向と際立っ
た特色を明らかにしてみようと思う。
influencingdevelopmentofasociety、Theirrevolu‐
tionaryinfluenceconcernsthestatestructuresand institutesofacivilsociety,economicandsocial spheres,ascienceandeducation,cultureandapeople,
Introduction
Lastdecade20-thcenturiesinfo-communication technologies(ICT)ofsteeloneofthemajorfactors
'金沢大学社会環境科学研究科(KanazawaUniversity,GraduateSchoolofSocio-EnvironmentalStudy)
2金沢大学経済学部(KanazawaUniversity,FacultyofEconomics)
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swayoflifeManyadvancedandlessdeveloped countrieshavetothefullrealizedthoseenormous advantageswhicharebornwithitselfwithdevelop‐
mentanddistributionoflCT・Thereisnobodydoes notcausedoubtthatfact,thatmovementtoaninfor‐
mationsocietyisawaytothefutureofahuman civilization.“Thepoliciesfortheadvancementofthe InformationSocietymustbeunderpinnedbythe developmentofhumanresourcescapableofrespond ingtothedemandsoftheinformationage''1tisfixed OkinawaCharteronGlobalInformationSociety3,
whichissignedbyheadsof7conductingcountriesand thePresidentofRussiaV、Putin
lnthegivenresearchtheterm“Informationsociety
"(JohokaShakai)representsastepindevelopmentof themoderncivilization,describedbyincreaseofarole oftheinformationandknowledgeinlifeofasociety,
increaseofashareinformationalcommunicationsin
grossnationalproduct,creationoftheglobalinforma‐
tionspaceprovidingeffectiveinformationinteraction ofpeople,theiraccesstoglobalinformationresources andsatisfactionoftheirsocialandpersonalneedsfor informationproductsandservices''4.
Byvirtueofthateconomicbenefitsofintroduction ofinformationtechnologies(IT)ineconomyalready influencethebasiceconomicparametersofthemajor‐
ityofthecountries,scientists,economistsandpolitics evenmoreoftenpayattentiontoproblemsconnected withoccurrenceofnewrelationsThelevelofdevel
opmentofinformationtechnologies,computerengi‐
neering,Internetandmobilecommunicationsets thinkingoflarge-scalechangeswhichundoubtedly alreadyoccurandinflUencepracticallyallsidesof people,slife、Theopportunityofreceptionoftheinfor‐
mationthroughInternetgivesfortheordinarynet
useralotofconclusiveadvantagesinmanyfieldsof activity・Internethasappearedintheendof60syears inUSA5anddespiteofrelativelyashorthistoryof developmentoftheworldwideWeb,thetotalofusers ondataAccessMediaInternationalhasreachedby theend2001year3846millionpeopleandbytheend of2003yeargrowthofnumberofusersupto580 million,thatisnumberofusersfor2yearshasgrown practicallyonhalfHowever,ontheotherhand,
growthofnumberofusersanddevelopmentlThas non-uniformcharacter・Atunconditionalleadership ofUSA,betweenthecountriesexistseriousdistinc tionsltconcernsalsoalevelofdevelopmentofan informationinfrastructure,numberofusersetc
Asamajorfactorofdevelopmentofthisorthat processofaneventinsphereconnectedwithInternet istheperson,andinourcasethe“user”willnotice quitenaturally,thatthetypeandstructureofanew societydependsonquantitativeandqualitativechar‐
acteristicsofusersThepurposeofthegivenworkis attempt,torevealthecommonfeaturesanddiffer‐
encesofaportraitoftheuseronanexampleofUSA,
Japan,RussiaandChina・Thechoiceofthesecoun‐
triesisnotcasuaLOntheonehand,thisdesireto revealsimilarityandtolookafterdistinctions betweeneconomicallyandinformation-advanced (USAandJapan)anddeveloping(RussiaandChina)
countries・Ontheotherhand,thecountriessubmitted inworkconcerntoAsian-Pacificregion,moreover,
Russia,JapanandChinarepresenttheJapanSeaRim countries,thatalsodeterminesaurgencyofaconsid eredproblem
Onthebasisofthestatisticaldataandapplying methodologyofthecomparativeanalysis,aqualita‐
tiveandquantitativeestimationofresearchedparam‐
3Kyushu-OkinawaSummitG82000.“OkinawaCharteronGloballnformationSociety''、
4Theconceptofthefederaltargetprogram“DevelopmentofinformationinRussiafortheperiodtill2010'’51tisconsidered,that lnternethasappearedfromtheprojectofanetworkwiththecommunicationsofpacketsARPANet(AdvancedResearchProject AgencyNetwork).
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eters,attempttoallocatethecommontendenciesand featuresofdevelopmentthelnternetofanaudienceof thecountriesofconsideredregioninacontextof formationofaninformationsocietywasmade.
determinedllprimeglobaldesignzones(Project Areas)GISwiththeinstructionofresponsibleexecu‐
tors
-GIBN(GloballnteroperabilityofBroadbandNet‐
work)global-CanadaandJapani
-GIP(GlobalInventoryProject)-JapanandEU -TransF[>ulturalEducationandTraining,Teland
Lingwa-France,Germany;
-ElectronicLibraries,BibliothicaUniversalis- FranceandJapam
-MultimediaAccesstoWorldCulturalHeritage- ItalyandFrance;
-EnvironmentandNaturalResourcesManagement -Canada.;
-GlobalEmergencyManagementGemini-USA;
-GlobalHealthcareApplications-EU;
-GovernmentOn-Line-theGreatBritain;
-GlobalMarketPlaceforSMEs-EU,Japan,
USA;
-MARIS(MaritimeInformationSociety)一EU
CanadaZ
Firstly,havedroppedoutfromISPOnotonlythe small“raw',countriesasVietnam,butalsoBrazil,
India,ChinaandRussiawasunderlinedHowever,
laterinG8,sOkinawaCharteronGISinJuly21of 2000,that“allpeopleeverywhere,withoutexception shouldhaveanopportunitytoenJoyadvantagesof
GIS,,、
Nowwecansaythatthepreconditionsandreal waysofformationanddevelopmentoflnformation societyinJapanSeaRimcountriesarerealizedThis processhasglobalcharacter,entryofthesecountries inGISisinevitableUseofthematerialandspiritual blessingsofaninformationcivilizationcanprovideto thepopu]ationofregionworthylife,economicpros‐
perityandnecessaryconditionsforfreedevelopment ofthepersonAsrepresentativesofexaminedregion,
1.Factorsandfeaturesoccurrenceof
aninformationsociety
“Investmentsinanelectronicinfrastructureandin sphereofeducationareakeytomaintenanceofthe futurecompetitivenessofeconomyofeachcountry''6.
SuchwordsfromBillGatesbook,thepersonbrought insignificantcontributiontocreationofpreconditions ofoccurrenceofanewsocietybeginsltisfairto notice,forthefirsttimeideasconnectedwithoccur‐
renceIShaveariseninUSA,IntheMemorandum Clinton-GoreacceptedinWashingtonFebruary23,
l993yearandreferredto“Technologyofeconomic growthofAmerica,,、Newdirection,whichshouldbe created“Oneofthebasicdirectionsadmitted-devel opmentNII-NationalInformationlnfrastructure,
Afterthatdocumentinthescientificandpopular literaturesuchconceptshaveappearedasDigital HighwayandSuperhighway、Practicallyatthesame timeinEuropesimultaneouslywithithasappeared conceptoflSInl994itwascreated“theBureau underprojectsofaninformationsociety',(ISPO-Infor・
mationSocietyProjectOffice),alinkcarryingfunc tionbetweentheCommissionoftheEuropeancommu‐
nity(ECC)andpotentialparticipantsinrealizationof separateinitiativesoncreationoftheGlobalinforma‐
tionsociety(GIS).Atpresent(2001)somethousand coordinatedlSPOprojectsoncreationGISare alreadyofferedLateralsowascreated(ISAC)-
InformationSocietyActivityCenter」nBrusselsin Februaryofl995,atmeetingoftheministersengaged indevelopmentGISinthedifferentcountriesitwas
6BillGates.,“Business@withspeedofidea'’
7GolishkoA.V、,“Informationsociety:aboutwhatwecouldsuspect,butdidnotdaretoask,,,M,03.05.2001
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expensesfortheinformationalreadyhasthema‐
croeconomicimportanceandcharacterizesgrowthof
useofaresource“information,'、8
2.ItispossibletosaythatinRussiawasgenerated andsuccessfullydevelopsthedomesticmarketof teleCommunications,informationtechnologies,produ ctsandservices・Thevolumeofthemeanscirculating intheRussianmarket,achieves5-75billiondollars/
year、
3.Asawholeinthecountry,despiteofeconomic recession,growstheparkofPC,thesystemsand meansoftelecommunicationgowithaccelerated ratesofdevelopment・Theamountofcorporateinfor‐
mationnetworksgrowsandcontinuouslyincreased thenumberofglobalopennetworkssubscribers、The numberoftheRussianlnternetusersamountcomes nearertoonemillion・Alsointensivelyextendsthe nationalcommunicationnetworkwithsatellitechan‐
nelsusinglnstallationoftelephonesofthecountryis successfullycarriedoutandpromptlygrowsthe
marketofmobilecommunications、
4.Substantiallyinformationdevelopedmany branchesofeconomy,banksphereandsphereofthe government、
5.Inapublicopinionfromthepoliticalandeco‐
nomicpointsofviewthereisproblem,surgencyunder‐
standingoftransitiontoaninformationsociety・The widepublicresonanceofthestateinformationpolicy conceptcanbeconsideredasamaintenancepolicyof theinitialstageoftransitionofRussiatolS
6.TodayRussiaisapartofglobalpoliticaland economiccommunityinsuchdegreeinwhatitnever wasinthepastlndirectandRussiaisconnected figurativesensetootherworldbythecableand satelliteliaisonchannels,activelyusedhundredsthou‐
sandcellularandsimplephones,faxes,computersetc、
7.Thestatestructureresponsibleforcreationand developmentofITbasismaintenanceofprocessesof RussiaandChinashouldentertothetechnologicaUy
andeconomicallyadvancedcountriesfamilyonrights ofhigh-gradeparticipantsofglobaldevelopmentof ourcivilizationwithpreservationofpoliticalindepen‐
dence,nationaloriginalityandculturaltraditions,
withtheadvancedcivilsocietyandalawfulstateJtis possibletoexpect,thatthebasicfeaturesandattrib‐
utesofaninformationsocietywillbegeneratedinthe countriesunderstablesociopoliticalconditionsand deepeconomictransformationsinthefirstquarterof XXIcentury.
2.1.Thebasicpreconditionsofoccurrenceofan informationsociety
Furtheralsoitispossibletonotethatforlastten yearsinlessdevelopedAsiaPacificregion(APR)
countriesweregeneratedsuchfactorsofsocialand economic,scientificandtechnicalandculturaldevel‐
opmentwhichcanbeconsideredasthepreconditionof transitiontoaninformationsociety・Moredetail analysiscanshowforRussiasuchpreconditionsfoL
lowsbelow、
LTheinformationbecomesapublicresourceof development,scalesofitsusebecamecomparable withrraditional(energy,rawmaterialetc.)resources Alreadytoday,forexample,thesalesvolumein Russiaonlymeansofcomputerfacilitiesandcom‐
puterscience(basicallyPCandperiphery)reachessize morethanonemillionpiecesperoneyearandis estimated,approximately,inl5billiondollars・As showsworldexperience,costofsalesofsoftware,itis usualiyequaloralittlebitmoreexpensesforengi neering,andexpensesforapersonalcommunication facility,audioandvideoequipmentareusuallycom‐
、ensurablewithexpensesformeansofcomputer facilitiesTheseminimalapproachedestimations totallymake45billiondollarswhatwillmakeabout 5%ofRussianGNPinl997year・Thissizeoftotal
8TheconceptofinformationsocietyformationinRussia
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transitionisgeneratedandfunctions. introductionintoaninformationsociety、Amplifica tion(strengthening)ofapersonalprofessionaltraining includesinthefirst,measuresonstrengtheningof informationliteracy;inthesecond,aprofessional trainingonamanagementofdevelopmentlT;inthe thirdpreparationofthetechnicalandresearchper- sonnelinarealT;inthefourth,preparationof expertsinareacontentscreation(CO・AstoSouth KoreaduetoanactivestatepolicyinareaITonthe datarepresentativesofcompanyNielsen//NetRat‐
ings,theproviderofresearchesinthefieldofthe Internet,“SouthKoreaexperiencesdigitalrevolution,
astheprooftothatthebignumberoflocalusersofon -lineservicesandweb-sitesandtheinternet-market ofSouthKorea-oneofthelargestinAPR'''2serves Todeterminebecomingofnewtypeofpublicrela‐
tionsinmoredetail,itisnecessarytoconsiderthe basicfeaturesandattributesofaninformationsociety onanexampleofseparatelytakencountryForexam‐
plethecharacteristicfeaturesandattributesofan informationsocietyinRussianFederation,itisneces‐
sarytorelatethefollowing:
-formationofuniformICspaceofRussiaaspartsof globalinformationspace,fullparticipationofRus‐
siaduringinformationandeconomicintegrationof regions,thecountriesandpeoples;
-becomingandinthesubsequentdominationin economyofthenewtechnologicalwaysbasingmass useofperspectiveinformationtechnologies,means ofcomputerfacilitiesandtelecommunications;
-creationanddevelopmentofthemarketofthe informationandknowledgeasfactorsofmanufac tureinadditiontothemarketsofnaturalresources,
workandthecapitaLtransitionofinformation resourcesofasocietyinrealresourcesofsocialand 2.2.Problemsofinformationsocietydevelopmentin
theJapanSeaRimcountries・
FortheJapanSeaRimcountriesascomponent APRallpreconditionsandattributesJapaninherent inoccurrencelS・andSouthKoreainthissensetothe
fullarepeculiarareunconditionalleadersofoccuring processes.InJapaninMay,2002inthegovernmental committeeonlTthePriorityplanfore-Japan2002''9 whichinparthasreconsideredthesimilarplanof Marchofthelastyearwasdeveloped"・Underthe MarchplanasemphasizeinCommitteealllO3actions wereexecutedand“plannedmaintenanceofhigh -speedaccessinlnternet(suchasADSLandCATV Internet)for34millionfamilies,andalsohigh-speed access(suchasFTTH)forl4millionfamilies,and alsothepurposeformaintenancelO0%accesstoa networkofpubliceducationalinstitutions'''0.The Presentplanreflectssubstantiveprovisions''e-Japan strategy'''1,317actionsincludingatpresent・Strategy definesinthiscasethefollowingdirectionsinsphere offormationanddevelopmentlS:
1.Creationofacompetitivesuperfastnetwork
infrastructure
2.Definitionofrulesandthenewenvironmentfor electroniccommerce,
3.Realizationofideaofcreationoftheelectronic government、
4.Strengtheningofapersonalprofessionaltrain‐
lng
Withintheframeworkofasubjectofresearch,
speakingabouttheJapanesestrategy,moreallis worthyadirectiononapersonalprofessionaltraining
asconcernsthehumanfactorinacontextofthe
,"fhee-JapanimportantPlan2OO2'’
101bid.
,,"Advancede-Japanstrategy,,January22,2001informationcommunicationnetworksocialpromotionstrategyheadquarters、
l2Nielsen-netratingsGlobalRepOrtNewshttp://wwwnielsen-netratingscom/pr/prO20313hkpdf
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ouslysensitivetoinfluenceofprocesses,goingina societybothactivelyformingpublicinterestsand moodsForusitisobviouslyimportantwhatquantita‐
tiveandqualitativecharacteristicsareinherentusers oftheJapanSearimcountries,asonefromtheimpor‐
tantsitesofeconomicprogressAPR・
ThegeneralnumberofuserstheInternetondata NUAComontheend2001is3846million,Depending onregionontheEarth,theshareofuserschangesin limitsfromlupto60%andthuscontinuouslychange (seeFiglinAttachment).Theshareofthecountries APRmakesonthedataon200122%'4.Including
Japantheshareofregionispracticallyequall/3 worldquantitiesofusers(seeGraphl).Henceitis possibletotellwiththebigshareofconfidence,that processesandchangesoccuringintheenvironment
theInternetofusersAPRrenderdirectinfluenceon alllnternetpublicThusitispossibletoallocatethree originalworldgroupsofusersltisUSA,Europeand APRincludingJapan.
’nthenumericalattitudethepopulationonthebasic groupsontheendof2001diffuzedasfollows:USA-
115.5millionusers,Europel22million,Japanand APRaccordingly363and835millionusers・The increaseofthegeneralusernumber(seeGraph2)for thelastsomeyears,sincel997showsastablegainin from51miUionpersonperoneyearasforexample fortheperiodofl997-l998years,upto98million personfortheperiodof2000-2001years・Andthese parametersunderforecastsofexpertsfromNUA Com15tendtoincreaseuptolOOmillionperoneyear (about4759millionattheendof2002upto580million attheendof2003).
Thefollowingimportantcategoryfortheanalysis ofusersonwhichitisnecessarytopayattentionis economicdevelopment,actualsatisfactionofsoci‐
etyneedsininformationproductsandservices;
increaseofaroleofanlCinfrastructureinsystem ofasocialproduction;
increaseofaneducationallevel,scientificandtech nicalandculturaldevelopmentduetoexpansionof opportunitiesofsystemsofaninformation exchangeattheinternational,nationalandregional levelsand,accordingly,increaseofaroleofqualifi‐
cation,professionalismandabilitiestocreativityas majorcharacteristicsofservicesofwork;
creationofeffectivesystemofmaintenanceof rightsofcitizensandsocialinstitutesonfreerecep tion,distributionanduseoftheinformationas majorconditionofdemocraticdevelopment.
3.Thecolnparativeanalysisoflnternet usersinJapanSeaRimcountries.
Thus,takingintoaccountdevelopmentlTand preconditionsofoccurrencelSinexaminedregionit isexpedienttoanalyzelnternetusersstructureonthe basisofgiventosomecountriesofcoastofseaof JapanInthiscaseasforUSA-astheworldkindof leaderinthefieldofdevelopmentlT,andalsoJapan RussiaandChina.
3.1.UsersoftheInternetasamajorfactorof becomingoftheInformationsociety・
Forlastyearsthenewtypeofsocialcommunity usersl3ofglobalcomputernetworkswasgenerated Toformsuchsocietyiscausedbyvariousfactors economic,sociaLtechnical,politicalandpsychologi- caLItheresultthepopulationofusershasdeveloped anddevelopsasthecomplexdynamicunitysimultane‐
l3VoiskounskyAE.,HiltonT、SE.,1995.Globalnetworkingandremotecommunitiesformation、-1,:InformationSystemsand GlobalCompetitiveness,Proc・ofthelACISAnnualConf,Toronto,Canada,pp、282-287.
l4WhitePaperonTelecommunicationsTokyo.,2001 15NUACom.,wwwnuacom/surveys/index・cgi
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■■
Morethan50%
From40%upto50%
From30%upto40%
From20%upto30%
From10%upto20%
From5%upto10%
From3%upto5%
函
‐ ~[=]Fr.m1%upt。3%
「 ̄1Upto,0%・rnodata
FigLWorldlnternetUserPenetration(2001.03).
Source:WhitePaperonTelecommunications1999-2001'',NUACo.,Ltd
Graphl、Worldlnternetusersbyregionsin2001
2%2%
Table1.UsersGrowthinRegionsForecast
1998199920002001 157.00%131.40%120.00%113.20%
'7920%鑿iiiii1iii鱗!i鱗i1215.%
154.70%150.50%146.50%168.30%
162.50%128.00%166.10%119.40%
207』0%,8620%'1灘i騨灘iiii;
25000%153.30%182.60%154.80%
鑿|i麓!ii蝋iii灘'187個0%16670%
162.80%144.80%148.10%134.40%
2002 110.80%
116.5096 133.60%
115.70%
128.10%
146.20%
160.00%
123.70%
2003 109.40%
114.10%
130.10%
114.30%
125.20%
136.80%
150.00%
121.90%
USA Canada Europe Japan
APR(withoutJapan)
SouthAmerica Otherregmns WOrldtotal 9 4%
34%
-J
pUSA
pEurope pAPR(withoutJapan)
回OtherregIons
ロCanada
pJapan pSouthAmerlca
Source:Madeondata“AccessMedialnternational2001,,
possibletoallocatesomefeatures(seeTablel).
InSouthAmericagrowthofusershasmade250%
Inl998and153.3%Inl999Thesametendencyis tracedingroup“Otherregions,,lnsimilaryears growthhasmade216.7%And123.1%・Similarsharp decreaseofapostonlyinlatercanbelookedafterin Canadainl999interestofusersgrowthhasmade223.
3%・Andi、thefollowing2000hasdecreasedupto135.
4%Further,inAPRgroup(withoutJapan)change
hasmade226,3%in2000and136.7%in200LThe reasonforthishasservedthinkingglobalfinancial crisisofl998,entailedasitselfamplificationofinsta‐
bilityofnationaleconomiesofconsideredregionsand entailedforitselfsharpfluctuationsofgrowthof
Source:WhitePaperonTelecommunications2001,NUA CC,Lt
Graph2、Worldlnternetusersforecast
0000000
●●■●●●●0000000000000654321
endof l997
Source:
ondcfendof⑥ndof⑥ndofcndof l9981999200020012002
WhitePaperonTeleconnmunications2001,
CO.,Ltd.
ondcf 2003
NUA
ratesofgrowthHereonabackgroundofthegeneral tendencysteadygrowthforthelastsomeyearsare
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inworld
Onthebasissaidbeforeitispossibletodrawan intermediateconclusion,thatinindustrialsocietythe roleofthehumanfactorisinmanyrespectsbaseand determiningsorationallythepersonasthelaborforce isthefactorofmariufactureontheonehand,andthe participantproductionrelationsineconomywith another・Stillthebigurgencyisgotwiththehuman factorattransitiontonew,postindustrial,digitalor
information17 numberofusersForRussiaforexample,thegiven
period(August,1998)ischaracteristicsharpgrowthof adollarexchangerateonacurrencystockexchange (therealroubleexchangeratehasfallenon60%)l6 fndfollowedbehindthisstrongreductionofeconomic activityThoughbranchesconnectedwiththeinfor‐
mationcomputerengineeringhaveremainedinrather stableconditionForthelnternetprovidersitwas expressedinriseinpriceofpurchaseoftrafficand thereforebyincreasetypesonservicestheInternet forusers,thatcertainlyhasloweredinflowofnew usersandhasfoundrealexpressioninreductionof growthduringl998-l999yearsThusitispossibleto lookafterdependenceofgrowthofusersvolumethe Internetfromaconditionofnationaleconomy・
Dvnamicsofgrowthofusershasalsothecertain features、Foradvancedeconomicallythecountries ratherlowandstablerateofapostwithoutstrongly pronouncedfluctuationswithgradualdelayofratesof growthischaracteristicSuitableexampleinthis senseareUSA(seeGraph3).
Asopposedtothis,forlessdevelopedcountriesare characteristicsharp,withthebigamplitudeoffluctua‐
tionofratesofgrowthnumberofusersattheir subsequentaveragingandapproximationtoaverage
3.2.Dynamicsofvolumeofusersthelnternetinthe countriesofexaminedregion,
Asitwasalreadymentionedaboveinworkas objectsoftheanalysisthreecountriesincludedin groupofthecountriesofcoastofseaofJapanare submittedltisJapanasoneoftheadvancedcountries ofregionandRussiaandChinaaslessdeveloped countries,andhavinginthebigeconomicandinfor‐
mationpotentiaLUSAaretakenastheleaderin marketITsotosaytheleaderonadegreeofdevelop mentinsidethecountryofprocessesconnectedwith
transitiontoIS・
APRbyquantityofusersincludesl/3(31%atthe endof2001),andonashareJapanitisnecessary9%
fromuniversalamountand41%fromnumberAPRof userscomparingnumberusers(seeGraph4,5),that USAfaroutstripothercountriesbothbyamountof usersandonashareofusersfromthegeneralpopula‐
tionofthecountry
Furtherfollowstopayattentiontodistinctionsin theenvironmentofusersbeingbasedontheirdivision bygenderandagecriteria(seeGraph6,7).Firstofall,
astosexualdivisionofusers,itispossibletonote,
thatformoreadvancedcountries,inourcaseisUSA andJapan,shareofwomenintheenvironmentof users,itisespecialinUSAexceedsamountmaleparts Graph3・ReqionslnternetusersGrowthForecst
%%%%%%%00000000000000
□。●●●●□000000005050532211
199819992000200120022003
;-------------|
|-←USA-鰯一Calnada lヨトEurope-つく-Japan
l-来一APR(withoutJapan)‐←SouthAm・r1ca
l-Otherregions-..-WorIdtotaI ,------------------------」
Scurce:Madeondata“AccessMedialnternational2001,,
l6CrisisinRussiainacontextofglobalfinancialcrisis、wwwbudgetrfru/Publications/Magazines/bea/analysis/1998 17See:TapscottD・TheDigitalEconomyMcGraw-Hill,1996.
-158-
r
Graph41nternetUsersAmountin2001. Graph5、InternetPenetrationin2001
000000020864211 %%%%%%%
伽印、加加”
000000000654321USA Japan Russla Chlna
Source:Madeondata“AccessMedialnternational2001,, USAjapan
Russia ChIna
Source:Madeondata“AccessMedialntemational2001,,
Graph6・InternetUsersDifferenciesbyGender
2000WB「
HInuDm
【Ⅱ叩切6
■皿【Ⅱ【
HHH■
uBm■粥
【xHU
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【Ⅲ】
uHunG
USA
Japan
china Rlq⑨⑨l旦両目i百~百F雨乖1
□MalepFBmaIBSource:Madeondata“WhitePaperonTelecommunications2001,',NUACom
Graph7・InternetUsersAge
LUDII【Wf
【IUD別
mDIUID別
mqD別
【DID別
IUUD雛
【IIB斑
【DID
、【】Ⅵ
USA Ru日日垣■
Japan
Source:Madeondata“WhitePaperonTelecommunications2001'',NUACom
-159-
▲■、〃、品の〃
/
0-鏑 Q9bヨ$…露
父
/ /、
罫 、
~~ミミロ、二
Underl8 18-24 25-30 31-35 36-40 41-50 51-60 Ab
 ̄chin⑧ 15.30% 36.20% 16.30% 12.10% 8.20% 7.60% 3.20% 1.10%
+USA 22.50% 24.10% 21.90% 22.10% 20.50% 14.50% 11.20% 4.00%
コトRuBBizq 16.70% 27.30% 26.90% 13.60% 7.40% 5.10% 2.90% 0.10%
ヨトJapan
4.80% 11.90% 20.90% 24.10% 19.20% 15.80% 2.80% 0.70%ofusersthoughsomeyearsbeforemalehadsignifi‐
cantadvantageThesametendenciesarecharacteris‐
ticandforJapanWitheachyeartheamountof
womenofusersisincreasedfasterthanmaleFor
RussiaandChinatypicallyadvantageofamale'spart ofthepopulationOnthedatafor2000inRussia63.4%
maleand36,6%female,inChinathereisevenmore significantdifference-74.7%maleand25、3%female AttentiontoagestructureofuserstheInternetthe examinedcountries(seeGraph7).Now,isconvertible Analyzingagestructureofusersitispossibleto noticethefollowingfeatures、First,intheadvanced countriesasitseeonanexampleofJapanthebasic partofusershasageof25-40years,anddistinctions betweenamaturepartofthepopulationontheone handandyounguserstill25years,andalsobyan elderlypartofusers(than60yearsaremoresenior),
ontheotherhandisgraduallyreducedThoughon moreearlystagesofdevelopmentthecurveofage structurehadsimilaritythatnowitispossibleto observeinlessdevelopedcountriesAsinRussia,and itisespecialinChinausersshareofthecategorytill 30yearsobviouslyprevails,andafter30yearsnumber ofusersreduceissharply・
Thisfactspeaksalineofthereasons,suchasfor exampleabsenceproperlyadvancedinformationin‐
frastructure(lownumberofcomputersonrather population,smallamountoftelephonelinesetc.).
AccordingtotheMinistryofCommunicationsof Russiain200053thousandsettlementsonhadtele
phonelineandmorethan40%andpopulationofthe countryhadnophonesAstoUSAthataccessinthe Internetcoversinmoreorlessequaldegreeallbasic agecategoriesofthepopulationatgradualreduction ofashareafter35yearsltstressedhighdevelopedan informationinfrastructureandstimulatingpolicyof thegovernment,directedexpansionofaccessamong allagegroupsofusers.
Inthegivenworkasqualitativecharacteristicsof usersitisunderstCod:amaritalstatususers,struo tureofusersoneducation,andaplaceofaccessinthe lnternet、Ifquantityindicatorsgiveusrepresentation aboutalossofdevelopmentofeconomyandaninfor‐
mationinfrastructureintheexaminedcountryquali‐
tativecharacteristicsillustrateinthecertaindegree ofpreferenceofanaudienceandenabletopredict shortprospectsofdevelopmentofthemarketthe lnternetofservicesandelectroniccommerce・By virtueoflimitationofframeworksofthegiven researchweshallresultqualitativecharacteristicsof usersinChinaByatradethestructureofusersshows aprimaryshareofcivilservantsandtheengineering personnelamongusers(seeGraph8)
TheAnalysisofusersoneducation)(seeGraph9)
shows,whatthebasiccategoriesofusersarecollege students27%,graduatesofhighereducationalinstitu‐
tions30%and31%usershavingamasterdegree lnaplaceofaccessinthelnternet(seeGraphlO),
conductingpointsofaccesstraditionallyoccupy accessfromofficeandfromahouse-accordingly45,
7%and61.3%.
Graph8・UsersDifferencebyprofessioninChina
5% 4%8%
25% 0%
1国GovernmentOffIcer 国EngineerIngPerson
lpClerk pServlceperson
l因Peasant 国Manuf日cturerandoperator
lpArmyman
pStudenlI因UnempIoyedpeopIe
国OthersL--…-------------------------------------
Source:SemiannualSurveyReportontheDevelopmentof China,slnternet(January、2002).
3.3.Basicqualitativecharacteristicsofusers.
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Graph9・UsersDifferencebyEducatiominChina
290% 10%
turnstoabackwardsocietyineconomic,technologi‐
cal,politicalandculturalrelationslnconnectionwith itoneofprimarygoalsfacingtoasocietyisformnew publicrelationsandbywayofitcreationwithinthe frameworkoftransitiontoISnewgenerationof people,informationanditiscomputercompetent,in otherwordswithintheframeworkofdevelopmentthe lnternetofnewtypeoftheuser・Fromthatwhatway willbechoseninmanyrespectsthesuccessofchanges occuringnowinasocietydependsForlast30yearsit ispossibletoallocatesixmodelsofthetechnological developmentcreatingbasefortransitiontotheinfor‐
mationorganizationmostpreciselyshownwhichwere realizedworldwide181nabasisofallocationofthese modelsthemechanismofconnectionofdiscoveries withtechnology,technologies-withmanufacture,
manufactures-withasocietyinallcomplexityofits socialcharacteristicslaysWeshallallocatedistinc‐
tivefeaturesofeachofthesemodelsandweshall determineopportunitiesofuseofthesavedupexperi‐
enceoftechnologicaldevelopmentofothercountries inmovemelitofRussiafromanindustriallevelto information
Thefirstmodelconditionallycanbenamed“the innovationalenvironment',whichexampleisSilicon ValleyinCalifornia(USA).Suchenvironmenthasan opportunitytobegeneratedandfurthertobeasource ofinnovationalandtechnologicaldevelopmentonlyat presenceoffourobligatoryelements:asciencesub mittedbythelargeresearchandexperimentalcen tres;thelargeprivatecapital;itismodernthe equippedversatileenterprises;thebignumberof highlyskilledengineersandworkers.“heinnovational environment,,,combiningthesefourfactors,creates processoftechnologicaldevelopment、Distinctivefea‐
tureofthismodeloftechnologicaldevelopmentis creationofanetworkofinterrelationswithahigh degreeofdecentralization,and,allfourfactorsshould
30
31%
27%
1回UnderHIghSchooI図HIghSchooIp2SYearsCoIIege lpBachelorDegree四MasterDegree図DoctorDegree
Source:SemiannualSurveyReportontheDevelopmentof China'slnternet(January2002).
GraphlO・AccessLocatoininChina
15.40%
0.70%
19.70
61.30%
45.70%
~ ̄--~------- ̄--.--…--… ̄ ̄---` ̄` ̄. ̄沖.… ̄…-- ̄--…----~--~~-.-~.…---7
1回Home圏Office□School□lnternetCafe圏Othersl
L--------.--.------------------------_…-------------------1
Source:SemiannualSurveyReportontheDevelopmentof China,slnternet(January、2002).
4.Problemsofusersandprospectsofdevel‐
opmentattransitiontoaninformation societyinregion.
BeforeaUcountriesthereisaproblemofdefinition ofeffectivewaysandnecessaryconditionsfortransi‐
tioninaconditionofaninformationsociety,the analysisandupdatingofthecomplexsociopolitical processesconnectedtonewtechnologies、Itis extremelyimportantandresponsibleproblemfora societywhichisnotcapablesociallyandpoliticallyto varysimultaneouslywithinformationtechnological revolutionoccuringnowadays,canappearsnotcapa bleeffectivelytousenewtechnologiesandgradually
I8VladimirBorisov、Typologyofthebasicmodelsofinnovationaldevelopment
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beconcentratedonsmallterritoryontheareaSo,in SiliconValleyhavingextenthardlymore30km,itis concentrated8thousandtheenterprisesbelongingto2 thousandoftheCompanies,specializinginthefieldof informationtechnologiesAttheseenterpriseswork 220thousandhighlyskilledengineersandworkers,
andthescientificinnovationalbaseiscreatedfor SiliconValleysinStandforduniversity,universitiesto BerkeleyandSanFrancisco
Thesecondmodeloftechnologicaldevelopmentis basedthatinitiationofinnovations,beforetechnologi‐
calandindustrialrealizationanylargetransnational Companyhavingthenecessarycapitalisengagedin theirfinishing,havingbyacomplexoftheenterprises withamodemlevelofproductionsonwhichthe qualifiedexpertswork、ThisCompanyshouldhave theownresearchcentresorfinancesuchdevelopment inthelargeuniversitycentreSThus,TNCgenerates initselfallfourelementsnecessaryfortechnological progressof“theinnovationalenvironment,,,onlythe uncentrednetworkinterrelationshereisreplacedwith dictatorshipofinterestsTNC
Thethirdmodelis“thestateprotectionism',、Itis characterizedbythatthegovernmentofanycountry supportstechnologicalinnovationsthroughnational privateconcernsinconditionsoftheclosednational marketfortheforeigncompaniesAccordingtothis model,thegovernmentsofJapanandRepublicKorea bymeansoflinesofmeasuresencouragedthenational companies,alloveragaininsidethecountry,andthen helpedthemtoleavewiththeproductionmadewith thehelpofthenewesttechnologies,ontheworld market・Thesecountriesatthecertainstagecopied theAmericanandEuropeantechnologiesandemphas‐
izedmanufactureofcheaperandbestproductionon qualityFurther,inprocessofaccumulationbythe nationalcompaniesofexperienceofinnovational developmentandtechnologicalpriorities,therewasa transitionfromcopying-toownmanufactureofhigh technologies.
Thefourthmodeldiffersfrom“thestateprotection‐
ism,,thattechnologicalprogressiscarriedoutin constantanddirectinteractionwiththeworldmarket whennationaleconomicbordersremainopen・Accord ingtothismodelthegovernmentofFrancesupported thenationalcompaniesinopeninternationalcompeti‐
tivestruggleintheinformationmarket・However,to themajorityoftheFrenchfirmsverydifficultlyis independenttosupporttechnologicaldevelopmentat aworldleveltoprovideitscompetitiveness,despiteof theserioushelponthepartofthestatestructures
Thefifthmodelwhichcanbedeterminedas“mili‐
tary'',isbasedinqualitygoaldesidingtechnological developmentonaspirationtoachievethemilitary superiority・Thismodelhasthebigpotentialitiesasis verystrongstimulusformaintenanceofchangesof thestatedevelopmentintechnologicalareadueto whichthecertainprioritiesofthisorthatcountryin thegeneralworlddispositionareestablishedand supportedButthemilitarymodelhastwoserious problems・Thefirst-moralforimmorallytouse achievementsofascience,thenewesttechnologiesin creationofinstrumentsofmurder;thesecondprob‐
lem-technical:allmilitarytechnologiesareconfL dentialandkeepclosedfromotherspheresthat widelypreventsthemtobedistributedtoallsocietyas awholeltdeprivesmilitarytechnologiesofnecessary
"additionalcharging,,、Informationtechnologies demandfreedomofinformationinterchange,active movementofthecapital,attractionnewmeansforat astageofdevelopmenttheyareextremelyexpensive Therefore,inlong-termprospectthemilitarymodel killsitselfasthetechnologycontainedinasecret graduallybecomesoutdatedElementsofmilitary modelunderlietheAmericanexperienceoftechnolog‐
icaldevelopment・But,asagainstattemptofitsappli‐
cationintheformerUSSRin“apurekind,,,inUSA themilitarymodelworkedsimultaneouslywiththe marketmodel,theopenmarketconstantlystimulated militarytechnologies・Americanstothebeginningof
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80thyearscametoaconclusionaboutnecessity reducelarge“defensive,,researchanddevelopment programmesandincreaseofownmeansoftheprivate industryinfinancinginnovationalprojects
ThesixthmodelismodeloftheEuropeanCommu‐
nityltisbasedoncooperationbetweenthevarious governmentsandtheprivatecompaniesofthevarious countries・Asthough,bornfornationalframeworks
“theinnovationalenvironment"、Asanexampleof thismodelprogram“EVRICOM,,basedondevelop‐
mentoflargeprogramsinthefieldoftechnologiesby thecompaniesaminimumoftwocountriesonthe generalmeansofCommonwealthcanserveTheinter‐
nationalcommissionofexpertsacceptingthedecision onfinancing,doesnotthinkwithintheframeworkof nationalinterests,andaspirestosupportdynamismof developmentofallsystem,allEuropeaneconomy、Itis possibletoallocatesomemorewaysoftechnological development,whichareshownwithintheframework ofthebasicmodelsandhavenowideindependent
practicalapplication.“Diffusionofinnovations',con‐
cernstosuchways,forexampleHerethemainthing isintroductionofalreadyavailablehightechnologies inindustrialandadministrativestructures、Experi‐
enceofGermanyandItalyspeaksaboutthebig advantagesofthisway,butalsoaboutitslacksHis strength,thattechnologiesveryquicklyfindinthe industrytheapplicationandbecomeusefuLLack consiststhatallprocessofintroductiondependson characteristicsofalreadyexistingtechnologiesmade byothercountries,thesetechnologiesarenecessary foradaptingforconditionsofconcretemanufacture.
allsystemofpublicrelations・Transformedunder influencenew,orhigh,technologiesthesocietyis acceptedfornaming“information"・Inabasisof functioningofsuchsocietytheinformationinfras‐
tructurebasingcreationofthecomplexindustryof manufacture,processing,storageanduseofthe informationlaysbymeansofprogressiveelec‐
tronicengineering
2、Indevelopingthecountriesofcoastofseaof Japanthereisanadvancedlayerinternetusers networksthelnternetandinthefutureinframe‐
worksoftheAPRcountryofcoastofseaofJapan willplayasignificantroleintransformationproc
essinIS
3,Theanalysisofusershasshown,thatdespiteofaU originalityinternetdevelopingstructuresandthe typeofusershasaudiencesmanycommonfeatures hencedevelopsunderthesamelawsandprinci‐
ples
4.0nthecontemporaryastageoftransitiontoIS theroleofgovernmentsandpublicorganizations oncreationofgenerationofnewtypeofuserswill growsteadilyandtherewillbeanecessityto coordinateprocessesoccuringinthegivenenviron‐
ment.
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