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the Protectionism Issue

著者 Balatchandirane G., Hayashi Yuichi journal or

publication title

金沢大学経済学部論集 = Economic Review of Kanazawa University

volume 16

number 1

page range 25‑67

year 1995‑12‑26

URL http://hdl.handle.net/2297/18312

(2)

CURRENTFEATURESOFJAPANESE

AGRICULTUREANDTHE PROTECTIONISMISSUE

G・BALATCHANDIRANE YUICHIHAYASHI

INTRODUCTION

ForeigncriticismthattheJapaneseagriculturalcommoditiesmarket isclosedhasbeenrisingincrEscendoinrecentyears・Thebasicreason forthisistraceabletothehightradesurplusthatJapanhasbeen havingwiththeUSfOroveradecadeandahalfnowAmongthe

vanousargumentsthatareputforthagainsttheclosednatureofthe

Japaneseagriculturalmarketisthesimpleyetpowerfulonebased onthetheoryofcomparativeadvantage・Inthenumeroustradedis‐

putesbetweentheUSandJapansofar,thehighleveloftradesurplus isheldtobeincontrovertibleproofthattheJapanesehavebeenunfair・

TheJapaneseresponsehasbeenthatitisnotsomuchtheactual amountofthetradesurplusastheissueofcomparativeadvant‐

agethatshouldbeconsidered;namely,ifJapanhasacomparative advantageintheproductionofconsumerdurableslikeVCRs,

automobiles,etc.,thenitmakessensefortheUStobuymorEofthem fromJapanandconcentrateonthosearCaswheretheUShasacom‐

parativeadvantageTheconsumersintheUSaretheultimategainers astheyareabletogetqualitygoodsatreasonablepricesbyhaving anopentrade'129j”aThetradesurplustoowouldgetwipedoutin thelongrunastheUSwouldbeabletoexporttoJapanmoreof

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thecommoditiesinwhichithasacomparativeadvantage

SonowtheUSsideseemstohaveanironcladargumentwhenit asks:WhydoesJapannotopenitsagriculturalcommoditiesmarket,

inparticularthericemarket,inwhichtheUShasacomparative advantage?TheJapaneseconsumersarethelosersnowastheypay closetotentimesthepliceintheinternationalmarketeverytimethey buyriceinJapan・SowhydoesJapanresistinternationalpressure evenattheriskofbringingaboutanendtotheopentrade短g”e whichwassocrucialinitsnation-buildingfromtheearlyYifties onwards?HowdoesoneaccountfOrthehighdegreeoftoleranceof theJapaneseconsumertowardsthehighpriceofrice?

Inwhatfollowswedealwiththeseandadditionalquestionspertain‐

ingtotheclosednatureoftheJapaneseagliculturalcommodities market・Herewewillnotesomeofourimpressionsonthevanous artiCles,academicandnon-academic,whichhavebeenwrittenonthis topicMostoftheEnglish-languagepublicationsonthisissueseem toneglectthevastbodyofresearChdoneintheJapaneselanguage・

TheyaredependentonmaterialalreadywritteninEnglishMostof thewritingsinEnglishcanbetermedas`pro-liberalization'Thusthe emphasisonmarket-openin9,comparativeadvantagetheoryandfree trade,frequentlyseeninthesewritings,keepsgettingrepeatedOn theotherhand,thematerialwritteninJapaneseisbothpro‐and anti-liberalization,sotherCseemstobeabetterdiscussionoftheissues concerned1・ForaJapanesescholarwellversedwiththewritingsin Japaneseonthisissue,itwouldseemthattheforeignersareunitedly callingforaopeningoftheJapaneseagriculturalcommoditiesmarket withoutappreciatingtheissueswhichseemtoexemisetheJapanese、

Tothecasualforeigner,theimpressionisthattheJapanesearEnear unanimous(withafewnotableexceptionsofJapanesewritingin English),indefendingtheclosednatureoftheirmarket、2

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CURRENTFEMURESOFJAPANESEAGR1CULTUREANDTHEPROTECTlONISM1SSUE(GBALA&HAYASHI)

THEPRESENTSTATUSOFAGRICULTUREINJAPAN

BeforewegointotheissueofagriculturalprotectionisminJapan,

itmightbeworthourwhiletotakealookatthecurrentstatusof agricultureinJapan・Tablenolcapturessomeoftherelevantinfonna‐

tionThelandareaofJapanhasremainedataround37million hectares・Thearablelandareasizehasbeenshrinking,however・CO、‐

sequently,theratioofarablelandtototallandwhichwasaround l6.4%inl960hasdeclinedLessthan14%ofJapan'slandareaisused

foragriculturetoday、Therehasbeenasteadydeclineinthenumber

ofagriculturalhouseholdsinthepastthreeandahalfdecades、At thesametimethetotalnumberofindependenthouseholdshasbeen growmgsignificantlyduringthisperiodwhichmeansthattherehas beenadrasticfallintheshareofagliculturalhouseholdstototal householdsWhileinl960theagriculturalhouseholdsaccountedfor

overonefourthofthetotalnumberofhouseholdsinJapan,today

theyaccountforlessthanonetenthofthem・Theactualnumberof

agriculturalhouseholdsinJapanintheyearl993was3,644,000,adrop

ofaround40%fromthenumberof5,985,000,in1960.Therehasbeen anevengreaterfallinthenumberofindependentfanners(CfNote aunderTableno、1).Suchhouseholdshavebeenreducedtolessthan

halftheirnumberthreeandahalfdecadesagQSincetheirrateof fallhasbeengreaterthanthatoftotalagriculturalhouseholds,the

ratioofindependentfarmerstototalagriculturalhouseholdshas

declinedfromabout8.6%inl960tolessthan6%today.

Thecustomaryvariablesthathighlighttheweightofagriculture intheeconomy,a).theshareoftotallaborforceengagedinagn‐

culture,andb).agriculture,scontributiontotheGrossDomestic Product,enableustoappreciatetheplaceofagricultureinthe Japaneseeconomytoday・Whiletherehasbeenasharpincreasein

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TAURLUUNO、1THESTATUSOFAGRICULTUREINTHEJAPANESE ECONOMY

1970 1985 1990

1960 1965 1975 1980

Note:a、Independentfarmers(ノブ流tswzoAuz)arethosewhoearnincomesequal ormo泥thanthatoftheurbanworkersenablingthemtohaveacomparabIe livingstandard・TheyareacategorydefinedbytheAgriculturalBasicLawUVbgyo Kiルo〃Hb)ofl96L

Sou1℃e:MinistryofAgriculture,ForestryandFishing,jVbgyoHbh2JsAo(Whjje RzP〃o〃んPα'@GseAgDGic"""勘,Variousyea庵.

thetotallaborforceinthethreedecadesfroml960,therehasbeen anevensharperdecrCaseinthelaborforceengagedinagriculture・

Thisisreflectedinthefallintheshareofthetotallaborforcein theeconomyengagedinagriculturCfro、26.8%inl960toaround6%

today・WhiletheabsolutefiguresforGrossDomesticProducthas

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UNIT 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990

Totallandarea

(1,000ha) 37,007 36,978 37,746 37,753 37,771 37,780 37,772

ArableIand

B/A(咄)

6,071 16.4

6,004 16.2

5,796 15.7

5,572 15.0

5,461 14.7

5,379 14.2

5,243 13.9

Totalno、of

households

(1,000) 20,860 24,290 27,870 32,141 35,977 38,988 41,016

Agricultural households

(1,000)

D/C(咄)

5,985 28.7

5,576 23.0

5j261 18.9

4,891 15.2

4,614 12.8

4,311 11.2

3,835

9.4 Independent

famle病a(1,000)

E/,(筋)

515 8.6

507 9.1

368 7.0

465 9.5

258 5.6

247 5.7 TotalLaborfo1℃e

(10,000persons) 4,465 4,754 5,109 5,240 5,552 5,807 6,249 L2borfomein

Agricultu疋

(10,000persons)

G/F 1,196

26.8 981

20.6 811

15.9 588

11.2 506

9.1 444

7.6 400

6.4

GrDssDomestic Product

(BillionYens) 16,681 33,765 75,299 152,362 245,547 324,159 TotalAgricuItural

PrDduction H/I(96)

1,501 9.0

2,296 6.8

3,163 4.2

5,790 3.8

5,893 2.4

7,456 2.3

(6)

CURRENTFEATURESOFjAPANESEAGRICUETUREANDTIEPROTECTIOMSMISSUE(GBALA&HAYASH)

grownbyoverl9timesinthesameperiod,thefiguresfor

cultureduringthesameperiodincreasedjustfivefOld・Thus culture,scontributiontoGDPhasdeclinedfrom996inl960to inl990.

a9,.

a9,.

2.3%

THEPRODUCTIⅥTYGAPBETWEENAGRICULTURE ANDINDUSTRY

Thus,agriculture,sweightintheeconomyhascomedowngreatly

inthepost-WorldWarllyears・Oneimportantr巳asonforthishas beentheappreciablegapmtheproductivityincreasesbetween industryandagriculturewitnessedinthepastfourdecadesorso・

TableNQ2givesthedifferencesinproductivitiesbetweenagli‐

cultureandmanufacturinginJapan,betweentheyearsl955-l990・The productionperhourhasbeenusedinthecompilationchoosingthe baseyearl955asbeingequaltolOO、Theagriculturalproduction inc正asedtol45inl990inthefaceofaノtzノノノ,Zglaborforcewhich

decreasedfromlOOto30duringthesameperiod・Thisresultedin ahealthygrowthofproductivityfromlOOinl955to480inl990.But theproductivityriseinthemanufacturingsectorhasbeenevenmore rapid,risingfromlOOinl955to663inl990・

Therateofagriculturalproductivityinc配aseinJapanduringthe periodreferredtowashighbutcompa正dtotheproductivityincrease

inthemanufacturingsectortheylaggedbehind、Thisisreflectedin thefigurcsintheTableno、3whichshowsanintemationalcom‐

pansonofincreaseinlaborproductivitiesforthemanufacturingsector

andagriculturefortheperiodl960-1990.TheTablealsoliststherate ofincreaseinwagesinthemanufacturingsectorandtherateof increaseoftheagriculturalproductpricesforthesameperiodln thel960sagricultureinJapanshowedaremarkablerateofproducti‐

vityincrease,butthiswaseclipsedbythefigu正sregisteredfor

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TABLENo.2DIFFERENCESINPRODUCTIwTIESBETWEENAGRI-

CUI/TUREANDMANUFACTURING,1955-1990

LABO

100

164 208 148

198

480 AVERAGEANNUALRATEOFINCRUTASE

0.2

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SouICe:Isobee/nL(ed).,/Wio〃jVbgyo”〃(S雌diUso〃ん,@打…Agガc"ノノ3J刺,

(Tokyo:Yuhikaku,1993),p、47.

theindustry,thoughthishighperiodwasnottoberepeatedby industryinfutureInthel970swhileagriculturalproductivity increaseswerCnegative,theyonceagamrecoveredtoremarkablelevels inthel980s・Industrymeanwhilehasshownlcspectablerisesinpro‐

ductivitygrDwthsOverall,Japaneseagriculturalproductivitygrowth fortheentireperiodcomparesveryfavorablywiththoseofother developedcountriesThus,wefindthereisnotmuchsubstancein thecriticismofthosewhoholdthattheperformanceofJapaneseagn、

cultureintherecentpasthasbeenpoorandhenceitwouldbebetter toopentheJapaneseagriculturalmarkettotheagriculturalcom‐

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MANUFACTURINGINDUSTRY

XUF

CTION llWlZXUFLABOR PROD

AGRICULTURE

PR TIOUF lIvDEXOF

LABOR PRODUCT1vnYLABUI(

1955 100 100 100 100 100 100

1960 222 147 151 108 91 118

1965 388 183 212 119 72 164

1970 808 209 387 136 66 208

1975 885 209 424 148 50 301

1980 1,220 208 588 130 44 298

1985 1,451 259 561 152 36 423

1990 1,819 175 663 145 30 480

1955-60 17.1 8.0 8.6 1.6 -1.8 3.5

1960-65 11.8 4.4 7.1 2.1 -4.6 6.8

1965-70 15.8 2.7 12.8 2.7 -1.7 4.8

1970-75 1.8 -0.0 0.6 1.6 -5.4 7.7

1975-80 6.6 0.1 2.2 -2.5 -2.4 -0.2

1980-85 3.5 4.5 -1.0 3.2 -4.1 7.2

1985-90 4.6 -7.5 3.4 -1.0 -3.5 2.5

(8)

CURRENTFEATURESOFjAPANESEAGRICULTUREANDTHEPROTECTlONISMlSSUE(GBALAUtHAYASHI)

TABLENo.3RATUmSOFINCRUnASEOFPRODUCTIwTYINAGRI-

CULTUREANDMANUFACTURING,WAGESINMANU‐

FAcTURINGANDPRICESOFAGRICUUrURALPRO‐

DUCTS(ANNUALL1960-1990

6.9

1970:0 13

l980p0

196 40

l980p0 1960 1970:0

1960-70

14.0 19800

sour℃e:SameasTableno、2p、298.

moditiesfromothercountries・Thisfactabouttheperfolmanceof agriculturalproductivityneedstobestrCssed,sincethereisa widespreadfeelingthatthepelfoImanceofagricultureinthe post-WorldWarllyearshasbeenpoor・Hencemanycontendthat itbehoovesJapantoconcentrateonnon-agriculturalproductionand letagricultureshrinkevenfurtherbytradeliberalization、

Turningtothewageincreasesforthemanufacturingsectorinthe caseofJapan,wefindthattheywerequitesubstantial,reflectingthe largerisesinproductivity,Whiletheagriculturalproductpricesalso registeredfavorableincreases,theirrisewasmuchlessandthey stagnatedinthel980s.

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LAmR PRODUCTIVITY IN

AGRlCUUruRE

MANUFACTURⅨG UlDUS1RYWAGES

JAPAN 1960-70

1970-80 1980-90

9.8 4.4 4.0

6.3

-0.3 5.5

12.2 13.3 3.7

6.9 8.3 0.0 U、S、A 1960-70

1970-80 1980-90

3.5 2.5 2.6

5.2 2.1 2.7

4.0 8.1 3.5

1.6 8.4 0.9 WEST

GERMANY

1960-70 1970-80 1980-90

4.1 3.2 2.0

8.4 1.2 2.5

8.6 8.3 4.3

0.1 4.0

-0.4 FRANCE 1960-70

1970-80 1980-90

4.8 3.5 1.3

6.8 2.3 4.9

8.3 14.4 9.5

3.3 8.2 4.3 ENGLAND 1960-70

1970-80 1980-90

2.9 2.2 1.7

5.7 2.4 2.5

7.2 15.3 7.3

2.1 14.0 3.5

(9)

TAmlnNO、4HOURLYWAGESANDPRODUCTIONINAGRICUL・

TURE(ALLJAPAN)(Units:Yen,%)

11 10 1078 197:

197 740

510 198

:3.4 21

198

Source:SameasTableno,2.p、68.

TheaboveTablenQ4givestheperhouragliculturalproduc‐

tionandwagessincethemidlWOs、Theagriculturalproductionper hourroseslowlyinthesecondhalfofl970sonlytofallinthefirst halfofl980sandthenshowagenerallyrisingtrendTheagn‐

culturalwageperhourroseslowlyduringtheentireperiodThisis comparedwiththewagespaidtothetemporarilyemployedstaffin non-agricultureThelasttwocolumnsoftheTableindicatethefollow‐

ing:Theratioofagriculturalproductiontothewageshasbeen decliningovertheyears,whichmeansthattherehasbeenanincen‐

tiveforfa】merstoshiftfromagriculturalproductiontowagelabor intheruralareas・Alsothewagerateoftemporarylaborerswasnot attractivetoperfolmi、gagriculturalproductiononself-ownedland tillaboutl978orsoAfterthisdatethetrendchangesandthisis

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Agricultural

pmduction(A) Wagesinthe

ruralareas(B) Wagerateof temporary laborers(C)

A/B A/C

1976 535 594 485 90.1 110.3

1977 564 648 519 87 0 108 7

1978 594 687 551 85 2 107 8

1979 579 740 586 78 2 98 8

1980 510 818 628 62 3 81 2

1981 517 862 654 60 0 79 1

1982 515 893 683 57 7 75 4

1983 540 920 688 58 7 78 5

1984 583 956 706 61 0 82 6

1985 586 987 703 59 4 83 4

1986 566 1,005 721 56 3 78 5

1987 540 1 021 718 52 9 75 2

1988 560 1 061 736 52 8 76 1

1989 659 105 763 59 6 86 4

1990 173

(10)

CURRENTFEATURESOFJAPANESEAGmCuLTUREANDTHEPROTECTIONISMlSSUE(GBALA&HAYASm)

areasonfortheriseofparttimefarminginJapan

ThefOllowingTablen0.5givesfurtherdetailsofagricultural incomesandmanufacturingsectorwagesperdayperpersonbythe sizeofthefarmlandandthatoftheenterpriseWhiletheaverage manufacturingindustrywagesmcreasedbyl9.4timesbetweenl960 andl990,theaverageagriculturalearningsincreasedjust99times duringthesameperiodTheratiooftheaverageagriculturalincome totheaveragemanufacturingindustryincomewhichstoodat64、0%

inl960roseto79、3%in1965,andthensteadilydeclinedtoreacha

TABLENo.5 MANUFACTURINGINDUSTRYWAGESANDAGRI‐

CULTURALINCOMESCOMPARED(PERDAYPER

PERSON)(UNIT:YEN,%)

Source:SameasforTableno、2

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1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 MANUFACTURING

ⅢDUSTRYWAGES (NUMBEROF

WORKERS)

OVER 500 100~499

30~99

5~29 AVERAGE

(A)

1,186 (100)

842 (7LO)

695 (58.6)

529 (44.6)

820 (69.1)

1,817 (100)

ラInIJFD⑥凸44(qjnU1几只〕

1,279 (70.4)

1,101 (606)

(79.7)1j“8 3,734 (100〕

2,999 (80,3)

2,553 (68.4)

2,180 (58.4)

2,948 (79.0)

9,474 (100)

7,584 (80.0)

6,086 (64.2)

5,074 (53.6)

7,137 (75,3)

14,442 (100)

110186 (77.5)

8,717 (60.4)

7,401 (512)

10,334 (71.6)

18,217 (100)

13,443 (73.8)

10,480 (57.5)

8,828 (48.5)

12,773 (70.1)

20,886 (100)

17,121 (819)

14,559 (69.7)

12,242 (58.6)

150946 (76.3)

AGRICUL TURAL INCOME

、(CmDlG HOKKAIIx〕

ALL JAPAN

OVER 2.Oha 1.5~2.0

1.0~1.5

0.5~1.0 UPTO0,5ha

AVERAGE AVERAGE (B)

811 (68.4)

616 (519)

527 (44.4〉

449 (37.9)

390 (32.9)

513 (43.3)

525 (44.3)

1,583 (87.1)

1,286 (70.8)

1,147 (63.1)

998 (54.9)

(47.1)856 1,134 (624)

1,148 (63.2)

2,450 (65.6)

1,992 (53.3)

1,775 (47.5)

1,496 (40.1)

1,275 (34.1)

1,769 (47.9)

1.824 (48.8)

6,265 (66.1)

4,957 (52.3)

4,344 (45.9)

3.772 (39.8)

2,850 (30.1)

4,392 (46.4)

ワOLHJ向く)《u》Eu・9句〃.丸■44

5,870 (40.6)

4,950 (34.3)

40285 (29.7)

3,472 (24.0)

2,3J80 (16.0)

4,361 (302)

4,546 (36.5)

6,995 (384)

5,692 (31.2)

4,497 (24.7)

3,323 (18.2)

1,671

(9.1)

4,747 (26.1)

4,937 (27.1)

7,905 (37.8)

5,408 (25.9)

40778 (229)

3,282 (15.7)

1,290 (6.2)

5,073 (24.3)

5,230 (25.0)

B/A(%) 64.0 79.3 6L9 63.5 44.0 38.7 32.8 WAGESFORTEMPORARY

AGmCULTURALWORKFR (MALE)

382

(32.2) (46.9)853 1,611 (43.1) 3,635

(38.4) 5,054 (35.0) 5,981

(32.8) (32.1)6.711

(11)

figureof32.8%inl9901notherwordstheaverageagriculturalincome inJapanisjustaboutonethirdoftheaveragemanufacturingsector income・Thisonlyconfirmstheexistenceofincentivesforfalmers toincreasetheshareoftheirnon-fa1mincome・Thustheliseof part-timefarmingcanbeaccountedfor.

SCAnUDOFFARMINGINJAPAN

OneimportantreasonwhyJapaneseagIiculturecannotshowthe kindofhighproductivitiesdisplayedbytheotherdevelopednations isthescaleoffalminginJapan・ThetinysizeoftheJapanesefarms whichisaroundL2hectareperfannhousehold,isusuallynotinthe formofasingleplotbutfragmentedandlocatedatdifferentplaces・

ThisdoesnotgowiththekindoftechnologicalprogressthatJapan hasmadeinthelastfourdecades・Powertillers,whoseuseincreased fivetimesbetweenl960andl97qdisplacedbothcattleandthewooden plough・MechanicaltransplantinghasrEducedthelaborrequiredto plantahectareofricefroml50-300hourstolO-20hoursButthetiny scaleoffarmingimpedestheintmductionofmachineryandtherealiza‐

tionoflargeproductivityincreases、Forexample,thetransplanting

operationscanbedoneoveraperiodof20daysintheseason,hence

onemachinecantransplantlO-20hectares・Butsinceeachindividual plotisaroundlhectareorless,themachinecannotbeputtooptimum use、Inricefarming,theaverageisO8hectares,whilericemachinery

isoptimallyusedonalO-20hectarefarm、3ThefollowingTableno、

6comparesthescaleoffarminginJapanwithotherdeveloped countriesanditbecomesobviouswhyJapancanneverhopetoattain thekindofhighproductivitiesthattheotherswiththeirvastlylarge farmsareabletoachieveAstheTableindicates,forotherdeveloped nationsthesizeoftheirareaperfarmhouseholdisl3tol46times

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(12)

CURRENTlⅦATURESOFjAPANESEAGRICULTUREANDTHEPROTECTIONlSMlSSUE(GBALA&HAYASHI)

thatofJapanTheyareabletoreapthebenefitsofhugepro‐

ductivityincrCasesduetotheintroductionoflargescalemachinery

WhichJapanisnotabletoexploit.

TABLENo.61NTERNATIONALCOMPARISONOFTHES旧ALnOF FARMING,1982

JAPAN EUROPEAN COMMUNITY WEST GERMANY FRANCE UNITED KINGDOM UNITED STATES

Note:aAreaperfanTlhousehoIdisforl980andexcludesGreece

Source:TatsuoMatsuuraandMo面oMorisaki,T〃eルカα"…FbFdノMn戒Br (Tokyo:JapanlntemationalAgriculturalCounci1,1985)p、57asquotedbyJimmye

S,HiumanandRobertA、RothenbergAgアブb郷ノノ豚”ノTm此@”nm“"”i〃ん,α〃

(Hampshi正:GowerPublishingCompanyLimited,1988)p、19.

COMPOSITIONOFLABORFORCEINJAPANESE AGRICULTURE

ThedeclineofJapaneseagriculturchasbeenaidedandabettedby thecompositionoflaborfomeengagedinit・Thisbecomesapparent fromthefollowingTableno、7.Thelaborfomeengagedinagrl‐

cultureinl993hasshrunktoabout28%ofthel960figureWhilethe sexdistributionisverycloseto50%eachformalesandfemales,it istheagedistributionthatrevealsanewtrendTheshareofpersons inthel5-54yearsrangeandthoseinthe55-64yearsrangehasbeen

”"蝿whiletheshareofpeopleinthe'65yearsandabove'category,

hasbeen徳jl2gintherecentyears、Inl993asmuchas36%ofthe

-35-

(TI PARED lJAPAN IVⅢS)

AREAPERFARM HOUSEHOLD

(IECTARE) (TIMES)

JAPAN 5,430 1,2

EUROPEAN

COMMUNITYa 102,030 19 17.4 15

WEST

GERMANY 12,140 15.9 13

FRANCE 31,730 29.4 25

UNITED

KINGDOM 18,810 77.1 64

UNITED

STATES 420,280 77 175.2 146

(13)

totallaborforceengagedinJapaneseagriculturCwaseither65years orolder.

AGE・WISEANDSEX-WISEDISTRIBUTIONOF LABORFORCEINJAPANESEAGRICULTURE

(Units:10,000persons)

(FigurCsinparenthesesrepresentpercentages)

TAHLnNO、7

Sexis面bution

1965 1970

1980 1985 444

SoumeWYAo〃ハbgyoノVb"ノセα〃UtzPα"eseAg流“/“、ノYb[z76oo鉱(Tokyo:IeC noHikariKyokai,vanousyears).

Thistrendofgraymgofthelaborforcecoupledwiththefallin numberofoffspringsoffarmerswhotakeupagricultur巳astheir occupationinrecentyearsmakesJapaneseagriculturcvulnerable indeed・Theabsolutenumberoffamlers'offspringswhotakeupagri‐

cultureastheircallingisshowninthenexttable、0.8.Thisnumber hasfallentoalarminglylowlevelsTherewere656cities,2001towns and589villagesinJapanintheyearl990accordingtoofficialclassifica‐

tions・Thisgivesatotalof3246cities,townsandvillagesinthewhole

-36-

Total

Agedistribution

15-54 years

55-64 years

65 yea】ns aboveand

Sexdistrib

Males Females

1960 1196 576

(48.2) (51.8)620

1965 981

1970 811

1975 588 276

(46.9) (53.1)312

1980 506

1985 444

1990 392 (36,4)143 (34.1)134 (29.3)115 (49.5)194 (50.5)198

1991 380 130

(34.2)

128

(33.6) (31.8)121 (50.0)190 (50.0)189

1992 357 120

(33.6) (32.4)116 (33.8)121 (50.7)181 (49.3)176

1993 338 111

(32.8) (31.0)105 (36.0)122 (51.2)173 (48.8)164

(14)

CURRENTlmATURESOFJAPANESEAGRlCULTUREANDTHEPROTECTIONISMISSUE(GBALA&HAYASm)

ofJapanAsagainstthisthenumberoffarmers'childrentakingup agricultureastheirprofessionislessthanthetotalnumberoftowns andvillagesinJapan・Inotherwords,onanaverage,notevenone personpercity,townandvillageinJapaniswillingtotakeupagn‐

cultureashisorheroccupationeveryyear.

TABLENo.8FARMER,SCHmDRENWHOTAKEUPAGRICUL-

TUREASTHEIROCCUPATION(Unit:Persons,%)

Source:MinistryofAglicultu正,FCI℃stlyandFisheries,ハbAFdzSハ灘gyoCllosa HbAoA郷(、幼olTo〃ノハleocCz`,α/”"αls"wcm”q//imlMlo…〃ojds),vanousyears.

SELF-SUFFICIENCYRATESINJAPANESEAGRICULTURE Theself-sufficiencyratesfOrvanousagriculturalproductsinJapan havebeenfallinginthepastfewdecades、Thetrmdiscapturedby thefollowingthreefiguresFigureno・lshowstherecenttrendsin theself-sufficiencyratesofsomeoftheadvancednations,measured onthebasisofcalorificvalueThesteadydeclineofJapancom‐

paredtotheothercountrieswhichimprovedtheirself-suffidencyrates isimmediatelyapparent・Bytheyearl993,thisfigureforJapanhas

-37-

YEAR(MARCH) NUMBEROFPERSONS YEAR(MARCH) NUMBEROFPERSONS

1965 68,000 1978 9,000

1966 72 200 1979 7 600

1967 64 100 1980 7 000

1968 61 000 1981 5 700

1969 47 600 1982 7 100

1970 36 900 1983 6 500

1971 31 900 1984 4 700

1972 22 000 1985 800

1973 18 600 1986 400

1974 14 400 1987 4 000

1975 9 900 1988 3 500

1976 10 200 1989 2 100

1977 12 000 1990 1 800

(15)

furtherdeclinedto37%・Canadashowedavalueof141%,Australia

179%,Sweden102%,Thailand130%,China9796andthefOnnerSoviet

Union88%(allfortheyearl980).Notonlyistheself-sufficiencyrate offoodseenonacalorificbasisforJapanoneofthelowestinthe world;ithasalsobeenshowingaconsistentlydecliningtrendsince

1965.

FIGURENO1MOVEMENTOFSEIF-SUFFICIENCYRATES FORFOODFORMAJORADVANCEDNATIONS

(MEASUREDBYCALORIEVALUE)

%叩

120

100

80

60

4019657075808589

Source:ShuzoTeruoka,Gejodajsjliho"s”gノノOSC"s腕"んob虹

"ogyO:」Who".A”e'ねz・EC櫛』ん"jboノセ卿伍g症zc""”j〃、B2)eノDPed Mz2jmzsa,wfP"Sc"fmzyQW'@ノメs1o8J〃,α”[スSAa,zdtjIeEC CozJ"オアゾビS」IKhZgpb#j0Sハ応o(Scje"“α"。Tノioz4gjl圦No.84,(April l992),p、96.

-38-

us.A

/、 ハノ、

/Uハ

128

27

/V

115

 ̄●

/、.、/

・〆.

佇・ ̄げ’V

FRANCE

' 93 FORMER

WESTGERMANY

..-..ノ

。-%、,ノー 93

AENGLAND

DO

73

/、-..

〆。

/、、ノ

ヂー・-P

jb-。

p●●

,

0 0

.⑰77

(16)

CURRENTFEATuRESOFJAPANESEAGRlCULTUREANDTlmPROTECmONISMISSuE(G・MLA&HAYASHI)

Theself-sufficiencyratesinFigureno2showthemovementof thevaluesofbalanceoftradeincereals,namelyexportsminusimports ofcerealsformajordevelopedcountriessincel960,measuredinmillion tons・Japanhasbeenaconsistentnetimporterofcerealssincel960

andthenegativebalanceoftradeince正alshavebeenonasteady

risingtrend.

FIGURENo.2BALANCEOFTRADEOFCEREALSOFMAJOR

DEVELOPEDCOUNTRmg(MILLIONTONS)

加叩即釦⑩釦0m釦印即11’|’一

IET DRMERSC NION LVELO

~OIITRIF 196165707580

Soume:SameasFigureno、1,p、86. 8588(EXCLUDINGCHINA)

AmongthevarlousitemsthatfallunderthecategoryoffOod,it iscerealswhosepeIfonnancehasworsenedthemost・Figureno、3 showsthewayself-sufficiencyratesforce正alshavemovedfora numberofdevelopedcountriesbetweentheyearsl960andl987・The cerealself-sufficiencyofJapaninl986wasjust3096,thelowestinthe developedworldBy1993,thishaddeclinedtoaround22%,arecord

low・

Thefiguresfortheself-sufficiencyratesforvanousfooditemsin JapanisseenfromthefoUowingTableno、9.TheoverallfOod

-39-

(17)

FIGURENO3THEMOVEMENTOFSELF-SUFFICIENCYRATESFOR CERFMLISFORMAJORDEVELOPEDCOUNTIBIES

%,203

『。

】RLIN

88082858789企

句ZLDC□C

Soume:SameasFigurelp、96.

self-sufficiencyhasbeendecliningforJapaninthe妃centpastFrom afigureof91%inl96qthefoodself-sufficiencyratehascomedown

to6796inl990.

TAuRmuNO、9CHANGESINFOODSELF-SUFFICIENCY RATESFORJAPAN(%)

sour℃eIMinistryofAgriculturaForestryandFishing,Sh0h郷Pyo/ihy脚

Alyomz6HGso〃Fbo‘Sc媚!`ノifYCj‘"〔:y),vanousyears.

IApAYu面SEIMpORⅢSANDEXPORTSOFAGRICULTURAL

PRODUCTS

TheimageofJapanasbeingacountryclosedtoagriculturalpro‐

ducts,importsneedstobeputintherightperspectiveJaPantoday isノノbejtzソ宮UsfimporterofagriculturalpmductsintheworldThefollow‐

-40-

1965 1975 1985 1990

ALLGRAmJS 62 40 31 30

FOODGRAnJS 80 69 69 67

RICE 95 110 107 100

WHEAT 28 14 15

PULSES 11

FOODONACALORJED1TAKEBASIS 73 54 52 47

ALLFOODPRODUCTS 86 77 74 67

(18)

CURRENTFEATURESOFjAPANESEAGRICUUIUREANDTHEPROTECTIONISMISSUE(GBALA&HAYASm)

ingTablenQ10showstheexportsandimportsofagriculture,fishely andfO正stryproductsofvariouscountriesoverthetimespanl981-1993 Japan,simportsinthiscategoryhaveballoonedovertheyearsNo developednationimportsasmuchasJapandoes,andcomparedto Japan,slowlevelofexportsinthiscategory,theotherdeveloped nationsexportasubstantialamount・ThusJapanhasbeenhaving asizeablebalanceoftradedeficitinthiscategoryandthishasgrown

toover$55billioninl993.

TABLENO10EXPORTSANDIMPORTSOFAGRICULTURE,FISHERY

ANDFORESTRYPRODUCTSOFVARIOUSCOUNITRmS

(Units:$l00million)

ND

~霊F霊F霊F:霊1羽割悪需Ei霊

GLAN

Note・a・Russia・ Soul℃e:E40Tmzメeyi2n幼ooAbvanousyears、

-41-

81

EXPORTS IMPORTS EXPORTS‐、腰ORTS

1987

EXPORTS IMPORTS EXPORTS‐IMPORTS

U、S,A 450.5 183.4 267.1 312.9 220.0 92.9

FRANCE 178.5 132.9 45.6 236.5 176.9 59.6

CANADA 78.4 48.9 29.5 72`7 53.9 18.8

FORMER SOVIET

UNION 29.7 213.2 -183.5 28.8 165.0 -1362

FORMER WEST

GERMAN 106.1 222.5 -116.4 151.4 296.9 -145,5

ITALY 61.4 127.8 -66.4 79.1 196.2 -117.1

ENGLAND 79,2 148,3 -69.1 99.9 203.3 -835

JAPAN 10.9 185.1 -174.2 9.5 209.6 -2001

1989

EXPORTS MORIS E】PoInS・MORTs

1991

EXPORTS HllPORTS mPORTS・MOIrTS

1993 E0PORTS MORTS U、S,A 590.1 463.7 126.4 6040 455.3 148,7 637.3 515.4 121.9 FRANCE 324,8 275.6 49.2 374.8 320.8 540 377.2 300.5 757 CANADA 282.6 90.8 191.8 2W、4 98.5 188.9 305.2 104.9 2003

UNION 73.9 12.0 -138.1 538 17L7 -117.9 17.7a 51.8 -34.1 GERMANY 180.1 33L1 -151,0 291.2 559.4 -268.2 285.4 482.0 -196.6 ITALY 112.1 298,3 -206.5 140.1 336.9 -192.0 139.9 288.1 -148.2 ENG1AND 13L9 318.6 -186.7 163.7 332,1 -168.4 156.1 313.2 -157.1 JAPAN 32.7 531.2 -498.5 38.7 544.4 -505.7 39.2 590.3 -551.1

(19)

THEURUGUAYROUND

GATT(GeneralAgr巴ementonTariffsandTrade)hasbeeninvolved inthepromotionoff正etradeandtheremovalorreductionofimpedi‐

mentstofrEetrade・Inpursuitoftheseobjectives,ithasfacili‐

tatedvariousORounds''-,amelymultilateralnegotiationsaimedatthe reductionofbarTierstofreetradeThelatestround,theeighth,was theUruguayRound,whichlastedoversevenyears,TheUruguay RoundofnegotiationsreachedaconclusioninDecemberl993,and wassignedbyalmostl25countriesgivingrisetothebirthoftheWorld TradeOrganizationinAprill994、Japanhadresistedtheopeningof itsricemarketallthrough,butintheendacceptedtheDeniscom‐

promiseproposaLThisproposalwhiChwasputupinthelaststages ofthenegotiationscontainedexceptionalmeasurEsfOrcomprehen‐

sivetariffconversionofquotas・TheJapanesegovemmentaccepted toprovidingminimumaccessforimportedricethroughthese measur巴s,Italsoacceptedtoimplementthetariffconversionofdaily products,starChesandotherproducts、Thechangesenvisagedwere tobetakenupaspartofthefiscall995tariffrevision・

Japan'sscheduleofconcessionsintheareaofagriculturalpro‐

ductscanbegroupedunderatariffconversionexceptionalmeasures,

btariffconversionandc、reductionintariffrates.

』・nzla功「Cmz〃eγsわれ丘兀℃GPZm"ロノMbUzszJ”s:Japanacceptedtheimple‐

mentationoftariffconversionexceptionalmeasuresforriceThe salientfeaturCsofthisprovisionarethat:

LJapanwillimplementnotariffquotaforriceduringtheimple‐

mentationperiodwhichwillbesixyearsstartingfroml995.

2.Japanwillprovidetheopportunityforminimumaccessfor importedrice,whichinl995willamountto4%andintheyear2000 to8%ofthedomesticconsumption.Ther巳fermceperiodwastobe

-42-

(20)

CURRENTFEATURESOFjAPANESEAGRlCULTUREANDTIEPROTECTIONISMISSUE(GBAIA&HAYASⅢ)

1986.1988.

3.TheFoodAgencywillimportriceonastatetradebasis・The differentialprofitsonimportseamedbystatetradeentelpriseswere tobelimitedtoanamountbasedonsalesduringthesamereference periodofl986-1988・

Bnmb「CD""eだわ〃:Productsotherthanricethathavebeensubject tonon-tariffbasedimportrestrictionsweretoundelgotariffcon‐

versionlnotherwords,non-tariffrestrictionshadtoberemovedfully

orphasedoutandintheirplacetariffwastobesubstitutedPooled quotaswerctobeestablishedwiththecalculationsbasedontheprice differentialduringthebaserefe正nceperiodofl986-1988andwere tobermucedby15%duringtheimplementationperiodwhichwas tobesixyearsbeginningin1995.Accessopportunitiesrelatedtotaliff conversionweretobeestablishedbasedonimportresultsorimport

quotasinforceduringthebasereferenceperiodlnprindple,the tariffstobecollectedontheseestablishedaccessopportunitieswe1℃

tobeatthesamelevelasthatduringthebasereferenceperiodApplic‐

abletariffrateswillnotbercducedduringtheimplementationperiod、

Tariffratesmayberaisedatacertainrateontanffconversionitems asaspecialsafeguardincaseimportvolumesincreasedatgreater thanacertainrateorvalueforcustomsfellatlessthanacertain

rate・

CRC“αわれj〃nzlajj6「Rates:Itwasdecidedtoreducethetariff ratesinordertosatisfytheconditionofa35%averageratedecrease overaslx-yearperiodandaminimumratedecreaseonparticular

agriculturalpmductitemsof15%4.Tablenollgivesthelistoflead‐

ingagriculturalpmductitemssubjecttotariffreductions・

Inconcreteterms,Japanwasobligedtoimport380,OOOtonsofrice

infiscall995・Thefirstlotamountingto2,800tonswhichwasimported

wasauctionedo、26thJulyl995、Theupperlimitofthemarginof

-43-

(21)

TABLENo.l1TARIFFREDUCTIONSONLEADINGAGRICUIjTURAI PRODUUTITEMS

OYens

Note:Uniformreductionsinprinciple

SoulCe:JErRO,〃,α"否Ag戒"/“、ノMn雄ejI995(Tokyo:JapanEXternal TradeOIZanizatio、,Junel995)p、9.

profitthattheFoodAgencycouldmakewasYens292perkilogram ofrice・Allbrandsofricesoldonthisdaybroughtthisupperlimit ofprofit.

PROTECTIONISMINJAPANESEAGRICULTURE

WhyistheJapaneseagriculturalcommoditiesmarketsopro‐

tectedandhowdoesitcomparewithothercountriesintennsofthe degreeofprotection?Tableno・l2showstheNominalRatesofProtec tion(NRP)forvarlouscountriesbetweenl955-1987.TheNominalrate

-44-

ProductName Currentrate

(asofl994)% Rateaftersix (cfnote)years

Beef 50

38.5%(however,ifimport volumeexceedsacertain levelJapanmayraisethe tanffrateto50%asan emergencyadjustment measure)

Fr巴shOranges (June-November)

(December-May)

0024 6213

Orangejuice(nosugar added,10%sucrosecontent orgreater)

30 25.5%

Naturalcheese 35 29.8%

(26.3%and22.4%onsome varieties)

IceCream(sucrosecontent

lessthan50%) 28 21

Candies 35 25

Macaroniandspaghetti 40Yens/k9 30Yens/k9 Pastries(withaddedsugar) 24 15%

SoyaBeanandVegetable

oils(unprocessed) 17Yens/k9 10.9Yens/k9

(22)

CURRENTITATURESOFjAPANESEAGmCULTUREANDTHEPROTECTIONlSMISSUE(GBALA&HAYASHI)

ofagliculturalprotectioniscalculatedbysubtractingthevalueofagri‐

culturaloutputininternationalpricesfromthevalueofagn‐

culturaloutputindomesticpncesanddividingtheremainderbythe

valueofagliculturalouhputininternationalprices、Thisisequivalent

totheweightedaverageoftheNRPsofindividualcommoditiesusing

theirsharesinthetotaloutputvalueatborderprIcesasweights、

CommoditiescoveredintheaverageNRPcalculationincludetwelve tradablecommoditiesasmentionedinfOotnoteaunderTableno、

12.Thesecommoditiesaccountforabout60-70percentofthevalue

oftotalagriculturaloutputincashofcountriesunderstudy,5

HayamisummanzesinTableno・l2theaverageNRPsbycompar‐

ingproducerandborder(importc.i、f)prices・Heusesproducerprlces astheyincludetheeffectsnotonlyofborderprotectionbutalsoof

morcdirectagriculturalsupportpoliciessuchasdeficiencypay‐

ments・Theuseofproducerpricesleadstoanunderestimationofpro‐

tectiontotheextentthattherea正costsofmarketingfromthefarm gatetoapointinthemarketingchainequivalenttotheinterna‐

tionallytradedproduct.AsisreadilyseenfromtheTablethisbias isobviousinthecaseofthefood-exportingcountriessuchasAustralia andtheUS,forwhomtheestimatesofNRPsarenegativeinsome yearswheninfactnopolicywasexercisedtoexploitagricultureor

onlymoderatelyprotectivepolicieswereadoptedHowever,Hayami

feelsthatinsofarasthisbiasissimilaracrosscountriesandover time,itdoesnotpresentasenousproblemforthepurposeofmaking

broadcomparisonS6・TheTablesignifiesthefollowing:a).Japan,Korea

andSwitzerlandhavehighlevelsofNRPand,b).Thehighfigur巳for NRPforJapanisofrecentorigin・

ThefollowingTableno、13givestheNRPsforindividualcommodi‐

tiesintheECandJapan,WhatdoestheTableindicate?Inthecase ofJapan,thereisgrBaterdegreeofprotectionforgrainsascom‐

-45-

(23)

paredtolivestockproducts,whiletheoppositeistrueinthecaseof theECHayamipointsoutthetwo-tierstructurefortheprotection ongrains・Thedegreeofprotectionisvelyhighforfoodgrams,

particularlyrice、Butforfeedgramssuchasmaizeetc.,thedegにe ofprotectionisextremelylow・Thesegramsarehardlyproducedin Japan・Thisstrongbiasinfavoroffoodgrainsisattlibutedtothe traditionallackofsubstitutabilitybetweennceandfeedgrains、A naturalconsequencehasbeenthatpricesupportonricewasincreased whilesimultaneouslyfeedgrainswereimportedwithoutprotection.

TABLENo.l2COMPARISONOFTHENOMINALRATESOFACm-

CULTURALPROTECTIONBETWEENIMSTASⅡAN COUNTRIESANDELEVENOTmuRDEVELOPED COUNTRIES,1955TO1987(船)

19551960196519701975198019851987 EastAsia

Japan Korea Taiwan

Eumpea、Coummunity Denmark

France Gemlany,FR・

Italy Netherland量 UnitedKingdom Averageb NonalignedEurope

Sweden SwitzeTland FoodExporters

Australia Canada UnitedStates

41

-15

-3 18

-46

-17

941一一 49272 拓切、

85 117 52

肥〃犯11

151 160 74

5調妬幻辿如調 3680177245233 5056505356324 Ⅳ〃釦的虹”艶 9998269123332 50477582345233 47028933347334 的印ね”訂ね鴎

34 60

“図 50

73

筋兜 43

96 59 126

65 181

131 218

741 751 544-- 220 701 59312

oワ』q》

n匹finedasthepercentagebywhichtbeproducerpnceexceedstheborderprice、Tbeestimates showna歴theweightedaveragesfortwelvecommodities,usingproductionvaluedatborderprices aswEight・ThetweIvecommoditiesincluderice,wheat,barley,corn,oatsDrye,beef,pork,chickien,

eⅡgSomiIkandSUger・

bWeightedaveragefornIIsixcountTiesshownfoT1975,1960,19850and1987,butexcludingDenmark andUnitedKingdomforearIieryears、

Source:YujiroHayamiemノTheAgガc"/、”【、U2】e”)wブzノq/ノセZPα〃(Tokyo:

Unive函ityofTokyoPress,1991),p、223.

-46-

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