the Protectionism Issue
著者 Balatchandirane G., Hayashi Yuichi journal or
publication title
金沢大学経済学部論集 = Economic Review of Kanazawa University
volume 16
number 1
page range 25‑67
year 1995‑12‑26
URL http://hdl.handle.net/2297/18312
CURRENTFEATURESOFJAPANESE
AGRICULTUREANDTHE PROTECTIONISMISSUE
G・BALATCHANDIRANE YUICHIHAYASHI
INTRODUCTION
ForeigncriticismthattheJapaneseagriculturalcommoditiesmarket isclosedhasbeenrisingincrEscendoinrecentyears・Thebasicreason forthisistraceabletothehightradesurplusthatJapanhasbeen havingwiththeUSfOroveradecadeandahalfnowAmongthe
vanousargumentsthatareputforthagainsttheclosednatureofthe
Japaneseagriculturalmarketisthesimpleyetpowerfulonebased onthetheoryofcomparativeadvantage・Inthenumeroustradedis‐
putesbetweentheUSandJapansofar,thehighleveloftradesurplus isheldtobeincontrovertibleproofthattheJapanesehavebeenunfair・
TheJapaneseresponsehasbeenthatitisnotsomuchtheactual amountofthetradesurplusastheissueofcomparativeadvant‐
agethatshouldbeconsidered;namely,ifJapanhasacomparative advantageintheproductionofconsumerdurableslikeVCRs,
automobiles,etc.,thenitmakessensefortheUStobuymorEofthem fromJapanandconcentrateonthosearCaswheretheUShasacom‐
parativeadvantageTheconsumersintheUSaretheultimategainers astheyareabletogetqualitygoodsatreasonablepricesbyhaving anopentrade'129j”aThetradesurplustoowouldgetwipedoutin thelongrunastheUSwouldbeabletoexporttoJapanmoreof
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thecommoditiesinwhichithasacomparativeadvantage
SonowtheUSsideseemstohaveanironcladargumentwhenit asks:WhydoesJapannotopenitsagriculturalcommoditiesmarket,
inparticularthericemarket,inwhichtheUShasacomparative advantage?TheJapaneseconsumersarethelosersnowastheypay closetotentimesthepliceintheinternationalmarketeverytimethey buyriceinJapan・SowhydoesJapanresistinternationalpressure evenattheriskofbringingaboutanendtotheopentrade短g”e whichwassocrucialinitsnation-buildingfromtheearlyYifties onwards?HowdoesoneaccountfOrthehighdegreeoftoleranceof theJapaneseconsumertowardsthehighpriceofrice?
Inwhatfollowswedealwiththeseandadditionalquestionspertain‐
ingtotheclosednatureoftheJapaneseagliculturalcommodities market・Herewewillnotesomeofourimpressionsonthevanous artiCles,academicandnon-academic,whichhavebeenwrittenonthis topicMostoftheEnglish-languagepublicationsonthisissueseem toneglectthevastbodyofresearChdoneintheJapaneselanguage・
TheyaredependentonmaterialalreadywritteninEnglishMostof thewritingsinEnglishcanbetermedas`pro-liberalization'Thusthe emphasisonmarket-openin9,comparativeadvantagetheoryandfree trade,frequentlyseeninthesewritings,keepsgettingrepeatedOn theotherhand,thematerialwritteninJapaneseisbothpro‐and anti-liberalization,sotherCseemstobeabetterdiscussionoftheissues concerned1・ForaJapanesescholarwellversedwiththewritingsin Japaneseonthisissue,itwouldseemthattheforeignersareunitedly callingforaopeningoftheJapaneseagriculturalcommoditiesmarket withoutappreciatingtheissueswhichseemtoexemisetheJapanese、
Tothecasualforeigner,theimpressionisthattheJapanesearEnear unanimous(withafewnotableexceptionsofJapanesewritingin English),indefendingtheclosednatureoftheirmarket、2
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CURRENTFEMURESOFJAPANESEAGR1CULTUREANDTHEPROTECTlONISM1SSUE(GBALA&HAYASHI)
THEPRESENTSTATUSOFAGRICULTUREINJAPAN
BeforewegointotheissueofagriculturalprotectionisminJapan,
itmightbeworthourwhiletotakealookatthecurrentstatusof agricultureinJapan・Tablenolcapturessomeoftherelevantinfonna‐
tionThelandareaofJapanhasremainedataround37million hectares・Thearablelandareasizehasbeenshrinking,however・CO、‐
sequently,theratioofarablelandtototallandwhichwasaround l6.4%inl960hasdeclinedLessthan14%ofJapan'slandareaisused
foragriculturetoday、Therehasbeenasteadydeclineinthenumber
ofagriculturalhouseholdsinthepastthreeandahalfdecades、At thesametimethetotalnumberofindependenthouseholdshasbeen growmgsignificantlyduringthisperiodwhichmeansthattherehas beenadrasticfallintheshareofagliculturalhouseholdstototal householdsWhileinl960theagriculturalhouseholdsaccountedforoveronefourthofthetotalnumberofhouseholdsinJapan,today
theyaccountforlessthanonetenthofthem・TheactualnumberofagriculturalhouseholdsinJapanintheyearl993was3,644,000,adrop
ofaround40%fromthenumberof5,985,000,in1960.Therehasbeen anevengreaterfallinthenumberofindependentfanners(CfNote aunderTableno、1).SuchhouseholdshavebeenreducedtolessthanhalftheirnumberthreeandahalfdecadesagQSincetheirrateof fallhasbeengreaterthanthatoftotalagriculturalhouseholds,the
ratioofindependentfarmerstototalagriculturalhouseholdshasdeclinedfromabout8.6%inl960tolessthan6%today.
Thecustomaryvariablesthathighlighttheweightofagriculture intheeconomy,a).theshareoftotallaborforceengagedinagn‐
culture,andb).agriculture,scontributiontotheGrossDomestic Product,enableustoappreciatetheplaceofagricultureinthe Japaneseeconomytoday・Whiletherehasbeenasharpincreasein
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TAURLUUNO、1THESTATUSOFAGRICULTUREINTHEJAPANESE ECONOMY
1970 1985 1990
1960 1965 1975 1980
Note:a、Independentfarmers(ノブ流tswzoAuz)arethosewhoearnincomesequal ormo泥thanthatoftheurbanworkersenablingthemtohaveacomparabIe livingstandard・TheyareacategorydefinedbytheAgriculturalBasicLawUVbgyo Kiルo〃Hb)ofl96L
Sou1℃e:MinistryofAgriculture,ForestryandFishing,jVbgyoHbh2JsAo(Whjje RzP〃o〃んPα'@GseAgDGic"""勘,Variousyea庵.
thetotallaborforceinthethreedecadesfroml960,therehasbeen anevensharperdecrCaseinthelaborforceengagedinagriculture・
Thisisreflectedinthefallintheshareofthetotallaborforcein theeconomyengagedinagriculturCfro、26.8%inl960toaround6%
today・WhiletheabsolutefiguresforGrossDomesticProducthas
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UNIT 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990
A Totallandarea
(1,000ha) 37,007 36,978 37,746 37,753 37,771 37,780 37,772
B ArableIand
B/A(咄)
6,071 16.4
6,004 16.2
5,796 15.7
5,572 15.0
5,461 14.7
5,379 14.2
5,243 13.9
C Totalno、of
households
(1,000) 20,860 24,290 27,870 32,141 35,977 38,988 41,016
, Agricultural households
(1,000)
D/C(咄)
5,985 28.7
5,576 23.0
5j261 18.9
4,891 15.2
4,614 12.8
4,311 11.2
3,835
9.4 E Independent
famle病a(1,000)
E/,(筋)
515 8.6
507 9.1
368 7.0
465 9.5
258 5.6
247 5.7 F TotalLaborfo1℃e
(10,000persons) 4,465 4,754 5,109 5,240 5,552 5,807 6,249 G L2borfomein
Agricultu疋
(10,000persons)
G/F 1,196
26.8 981
20.6 811
15.9 588
11.2 506
9.1 444
7.6 400
6.4
Ⅱ GrDssDomestic Product
(BillionYens) 16,681 33,765 75,299 152,362 245,547 324,159 I TotalAgricuItural
PrDduction H/I(96)
1,501 9.0
2,296 6.8
3,163 4.2
5,790 3.8
5,893 2.4
7,456 2.3
CURRENTFEATURESOFjAPANESEAGRICUETUREANDTIEPROTECTIOMSMISSUE(GBALA&HAYASH)
grownbyoverl9timesinthesameperiod,thefiguresfor
cultureduringthesameperiodincreasedjustfivefOld・Thus culture,scontributiontoGDPhasdeclinedfrom996inl960to inl990.a9,.
a9,.
2.3%
THEPRODUCTIⅥTYGAPBETWEENAGRICULTURE ANDINDUSTRY
Thus,agriculture,sweightintheeconomyhascomedowngreatly
inthepost-WorldWarllyears・Oneimportantr巳asonforthishas beentheappreciablegapmtheproductivityincreasesbetween industryandagriculturewitnessedinthepastfourdecadesorso・TableNQ2givesthedifferencesinproductivitiesbetweenagli‐
cultureandmanufacturinginJapan,betweentheyearsl955-l990・The productionperhourhasbeenusedinthecompilationchoosingthe baseyearl955asbeingequaltolOO、Theagriculturalproduction inc正asedtol45inl990inthefaceofaノtzノノノ,Zglaborforcewhich
decreasedfromlOOto30duringthesameperiod・Thisresultedin ahealthygrowthofproductivityfromlOOinl955to480inl990.But theproductivityriseinthemanufacturingsectorhasbeenevenmore rapid,risingfromlOOinl955to663inl990・Therateofagriculturalproductivityinc配aseinJapanduringthe periodreferredtowashighbutcompa正dtotheproductivityincrease
inthemanufacturingsectortheylaggedbehind、Thisisreflectedin thefigurcsintheTableno、3whichshowsanintemationalcom‐pansonofincreaseinlaborproductivitiesforthemanufacturingsector
andagriculturefortheperiodl960-1990.TheTablealsoliststherate ofincreaseinwagesinthemanufacturingsectorandtherateof increaseoftheagriculturalproductpricesforthesameperiodln thel960sagricultureinJapanshowedaremarkablerateofproducti‐vityincrease,butthiswaseclipsedbythefigu正sregisteredfor
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TABLENo.2DIFFERENCESINPRODUCTIwTIESBETWEENAGRI-
CUI/TUREANDMANUFACTURING,1955-1990
LABO
100
164 208 148
198
480 AVERAGEANNUALRATEOFINCRUTASE
0.2
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SouICe:Isobee/nL(ed).,/Wio〃jVbgyo”〃(S雌diUso〃ん,@打…Agガc"ノノ3J刺,
(Tokyo:Yuhikaku,1993),p、47.
theindustry,thoughthishighperiodwasnottoberepeatedby industryinfutureInthel970swhileagriculturalproductivity increaseswerCnegative,theyonceagamrecoveredtoremarkablelevels inthel980s・Industrymeanwhilehasshownlcspectablerisesinpro‐
ductivitygrDwthsOverall,Japaneseagriculturalproductivitygrowth fortheentireperiodcomparesveryfavorablywiththoseofother developedcountriesThus,wefindthereisnotmuchsubstancein thecriticismofthosewhoholdthattheperformanceofJapaneseagn、
cultureintherecentpasthasbeenpoorandhenceitwouldbebetter toopentheJapaneseagriculturalmarkettotheagriculturalcom‐
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MANUFACTURINGINDUSTRY
XUF
CTION llWlZXUFLABOR PROD
AGRICULTURE
PR TIOUFN lIvDEXOF
LABOR PRODUCT1vnYLABUI(
1955 100 100 100 100 100 100
1960 222 147 151 108 91 118
1965 388 183 212 119 72 164
1970 808 209 387 136 66 208
1975 885 209 424 148 50 301
1980 1,220 208 588 130 44 298
1985 1,451 259 561 152 36 423
1990 1,819 175 663 145 30 480
1955-60 17.1 8.0 8.6 1.6 -1.8 3.5
1960-65 11.8 4.4 7.1 2.1 -4.6 6.8
1965-70 15.8 2.7 12.8 2.7 -1.7 4.8
1970-75 1.8 -0.0 0.6 1.6 -5.4 7.7
1975-80 6.6 0.1 2.2 -2.5 -2.4 -0.2
1980-85 3.5 4.5 -1.0 3.2 -4.1 7.2
1985-90 4.6 -7.5 3.4 -1.0 -3.5 2.5
CURRENTFEATURESOFjAPANESEAGRICULTUREANDTHEPROTECTlONISMlSSUE(GBALAUtHAYASHI)
TABLENo.3RATUmSOFINCRUnASEOFPRODUCTIwTYINAGRI-
CULTUREANDMANUFACTURING,WAGESINMANU‐
FAcTURINGANDPRICESOFAGRICUUrURALPRO‐
DUCTS(ANNUALL1960-1990
6.9
1970:0 13
l980p0
196 40
l980p0 1960 1970:0
1960-70
14.0 19800
sour℃e:SameasTableno、2p、298.
moditiesfromothercountries・Thisfactabouttheperfolmanceof agriculturalproductivityneedstobestrCssed,sincethereisa widespreadfeelingthatthepelfoImanceofagricultureinthe post-WorldWarllyearshasbeenpoor・Hencemanycontendthat itbehoovesJapantoconcentrateonnon-agriculturalproductionand letagricultureshrinkevenfurtherbytradeliberalization、
Turningtothewageincreasesforthemanufacturingsectorinthe caseofJapan,wefindthattheywerequitesubstantial,reflectingthe largerisesinproductivity,Whiletheagriculturalproductpricesalso registeredfavorableincreases,theirrisewasmuchlessandthey stagnatedinthel980s.
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LAmR PRODUCTIVITY IN
AGRlCUUruRE
MANUFACTURⅨG UlDUS1RYWAGES
JAPAN 1960-70
1970-80 1980-90
9.8 4.4 4.0
6.3
-0.3 5.5
12.2 13.3 3.7
6.9 8.3 0.0 U、S、A 1960-70
1970-80 1980-90
3.5 2.5 2.6
5.2 2.1 2.7
4.0 8.1 3.5
1.6 8.4 0.9 WEST
GERMANY
1960-70 1970-80 1980-90
4.1 3.2 2.0
8.4 1.2 2.5
8.6 8.3 4.3
0.1 4.0
-0.4 FRANCE 1960-70
1970-80 1980-90
4.8 3.5 1.3
6.8 2.3 4.9
8.3 14.4 9.5
3.3 8.2 4.3 ENGLAND 1960-70
1970-80 1980-90
2.9 2.2 1.7
5.7 2.4 2.5
7.2 15.3 7.3
2.1 14.0 3.5
TAmlnNO、4HOURLYWAGESANDPRODUCTIONINAGRICUL・
TURE(ALLJAPAN)(Units:Yen,%)
11 10 1078 197:
197 740
510 198
:3.4 21
198
Source:SameasTableno,2.p、68.
TheaboveTablenQ4givestheperhouragliculturalproduc‐
tionandwagessincethemidlWOs、Theagriculturalproductionper hourroseslowlyinthesecondhalfofl970sonlytofallinthefirst halfofl980sandthenshowagenerallyrisingtrendTheagn‐
culturalwageperhourroseslowlyduringtheentireperiodThisis comparedwiththewagespaidtothetemporarilyemployedstaffin non-agricultureThelasttwocolumnsoftheTableindicatethefollow‐
ing:Theratioofagriculturalproductiontothewageshasbeen decliningovertheyears,whichmeansthattherehasbeenanincen‐
tiveforfa】merstoshiftfromagriculturalproductiontowagelabor intheruralareas・Alsothewagerateoftemporarylaborerswasnot attractivetoperfolmi、gagriculturalproductiononself-ownedland tillaboutl978orsoAfterthisdatethetrendchangesandthisis
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Agricultural
pmduction(A) Wagesinthe
ruralareas(B) Wagerateof temporary laborers(C)
A/B A/C
1976 535 594 485 90.1 110.3
1977 564 648 519 87 0 108 7
1978 594 687 551 85 2 107 8
1979 579 740 586 78 2 98 8
1980 510 818 628 62 3 81 2
1981 517 862 654 60 0 79 1
1982 515 893 683 57 7 75 4
1983 540 920 688 58 7 78 5
1984 583 956 706 61 0 82 6
1985 586 987 703 59 4 83 4
1986 566 1,005 721 56 3 78 5
1987 540 1 021 718 52 9 75 2
1988 560 1 061 736 52 8 76 1
1989 659 1 105 763 59 6 86 4
1990 1 173
CURRENTFEATURESOFJAPANESEAGmCuLTUREANDTHEPROTECTIONISMlSSUE(GBALA&HAYASm)
areasonfortheriseofparttimefarminginJapan
ThefOllowingTablen0.5givesfurtherdetailsofagricultural incomesandmanufacturingsectorwagesperdayperpersonbythe sizeofthefarmlandandthatoftheenterpriseWhiletheaverage manufacturingindustrywagesmcreasedbyl9.4timesbetweenl960 andl990,theaverageagriculturalearningsincreasedjust99times duringthesameperiodTheratiooftheaverageagriculturalincome totheaveragemanufacturingindustryincomewhichstoodat64、0%
inl960roseto79、3%in1965,andthensteadilydeclinedtoreacha
TABLENo.5 MANUFACTURINGINDUSTRYWAGESANDAGRI‐
CULTURALINCOMESCOMPARED(PERDAYPER
PERSON)(UNIT:YEN,%)
Source:SameasforTableno、2
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1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 MANUFACTURING
ⅢDUSTRYWAGES (NUMBEROF
WORKERS)
OVER 500 100~499
30~99
5~29 AVERAGE
(A)
1,186 (100)
842 (7LO)
695 (58.6)
529 (44.6)
820 (69.1)
1,817 (100)
ラInIJFD⑥凸44(qjnU1几只〕く
1,279 (70.4)
1,101 (606)
(79.7)1j“8 3,734 (100〕
2,999 (80,3)
2,553 (68.4)
2,180 (58.4)
2,948 (79.0)
9,474 (100)
7,584 (80.0)
6,086 (64.2)
5,074 (53.6)
7,137 (75,3)
14,442 (100)
110186 (77.5)
8,717 (60.4)
7,401 (512)
10,334 (71.6)
18,217 (100)
13,443 (73.8)
10,480 (57.5)
8,828 (48.5)
12,773 (70.1)
20,886 (100)
17,121 (819)
14,559 (69.7)
12,242 (58.6)
150946 (76.3)
AGRICUL TURAL INCOME
、(CmDlG HOKKAIIx〕
ALL JAPAN
OVER 2.Oha 1.5~2.0
1.0~1.5
0.5~1.0 UPTO0,5ha
AVERAGE AVERAGE (B)
811 (68.4)
616 (519)
527 (44.4〉
449 (37.9)
390 (32.9)
513 (43.3)
525 (44.3)
1,583 (87.1)
1,286 (70.8)
1,147 (63.1)
998 (54.9)
(47.1)856 1,134 (624)
1,148 (63.2)
2,450 (65.6)
1,992 (53.3)
1,775 (47.5)
1,496 (40.1)
1,275 (34.1)
1,769 (47.9)
1.824 (48.8)
6,265 (66.1)
4,957 (52.3)
4,344 (45.9)
3.772 (39.8)
2,850 (30.1)
4,392 (46.4)
ワOLHJ向く)《u》Eu・9句〃.丸■44く
5,870 (40.6)
4,950 (34.3)
40285 (29.7)
3,472 (24.0)
2,3J80 (16.0)
4,361 (302)
4,546 (36.5)
6,995 (384)
5,692 (31.2)
4,497 (24.7)
3,323 (18.2)
1,671
(9.1)
4,747 (26.1)
4,937 (27.1)
7,905 (37.8)
5,408 (25.9)
40778 (229)
3,282 (15.7)
1,290 (6.2)
5,073 (24.3)
5,230 (25.0)
B/A(%) 64.0 79.3 6L9 63.5 44.0 38.7 32.8 WAGESFORTEMPORARY
AGmCULTURALWORKFR (MALE)
382
(32.2) (46.9)853 1,611 (43.1) 3,635
(38.4) 5,054 (35.0) 5,981
(32.8) (32.1)6.711
figureof32.8%inl9901notherwordstheaverageagriculturalincome inJapanisjustaboutonethirdoftheaveragemanufacturingsector income・Thisonlyconfirmstheexistenceofincentivesforfalmers toincreasetheshareoftheirnon-fa1mincome・Thustheliseof part-timefarmingcanbeaccountedfor.
SCAnUDOFFARMINGINJAPAN
OneimportantreasonwhyJapaneseagIiculturecannotshowthe kindofhighproductivitiesdisplayedbytheotherdevelopednations isthescaleoffalminginJapan・ThetinysizeoftheJapanesefarms whichisaroundL2hectareperfannhousehold,isusuallynotinthe formofasingleplotbutfragmentedandlocatedatdifferentplaces・
ThisdoesnotgowiththekindoftechnologicalprogressthatJapan hasmadeinthelastfourdecades・Powertillers,whoseuseincreased fivetimesbetweenl960andl97qdisplacedbothcattleandthewooden plough・MechanicaltransplantinghasrEducedthelaborrequiredto plantahectareofricefroml50-300hourstolO-20hoursButthetiny scaleoffarmingimpedestheintmductionofmachineryandtherealiza‐
tionoflargeproductivityincreases、Forexample,thetransplanting
operationscanbedoneoveraperiodof20daysintheseason,hence
onemachinecantransplantlO-20hectares・Butsinceeachindividual plotisaroundlhectareorless,themachinecannotbeputtooptimum use、Inricefarming,theaverageisO8hectares,whilericemachineryisoptimallyusedonalO-20hectarefarm、3ThefollowingTableno、
6comparesthescaleoffarminginJapanwithotherdeveloped countriesanditbecomesobviouswhyJapancanneverhopetoattain thekindofhighproductivitiesthattheotherswiththeirvastlylarge farmsareabletoachieveAstheTableindicates,forotherdeveloped nationsthesizeoftheirareaperfarmhouseholdisl3tol46times
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CURRENTlⅦATURESOFjAPANESEAGRICULTUREANDTHEPROTECTIONlSMlSSUE(GBALA&HAYASHI)
thatofJapanTheyareabletoreapthebenefitsofhugepro‐
ductivityincrCasesduetotheintroductionoflargescalemachinery
WhichJapanisnotabletoexploit.TABLENo.61NTERNATIONALCOMPARISONOFTHES旧ALnOF FARMING,1982
JAPAN EUROPEAN COMMUNITY WEST GERMANY FRANCE UNITED KINGDOM UNITED STATES
Note:aAreaperfanTlhousehoIdisforl980andexcludesGreece
Source:TatsuoMatsuuraandMo面oMorisaki,T〃eルカα"…FbFdノMn戒Br (Tokyo:JapanlntemationalAgriculturalCounci1,1985)p、57asquotedbyJimmye
S,HiumanandRobertA、RothenbergAgアブb郷ノノ豚”ノTm此@”nm“"”i〃ん,α〃
(Hampshi正:GowerPublishingCompanyLimited,1988)p、19.
COMPOSITIONOFLABORFORCEINJAPANESE AGRICULTURE
ThedeclineofJapaneseagriculturchasbeenaidedandabettedby thecompositionoflaborfomeengagedinit・Thisbecomesapparent fromthefollowingTableno、7.Thelaborfomeengagedinagrl‐
cultureinl993hasshrunktoabout28%ofthel960figureWhilethe sexdistributionisverycloseto50%eachformalesandfemales,it istheagedistributionthatrevealsanewtrendTheshareofpersons inthel5-54yearsrangeandthoseinthe55-64yearsrangehasbeen
”"蝿whiletheshareofpeopleinthe'65yearsandabove'category,
hasbeen徳jl2gintherecentyears、Inl993asmuchas36%ofthe
-35-
(TI PARED lJAPAN IVⅢS)
AREAPERFARM HOUSEHOLD
(IECTARE) (TIMES)
JAPAN 5,430 1,2
EUROPEAN
COMMUNITYa 102,030 19 17.4 15
WEST
GERMANY 12,140 2 15.9 13
FRANCE 31,730 6 29.4 25
UNITED
KINGDOM 18,810 3 77.1 64
UNITED
STATES 420,280 77 175.2 146
totallaborforceengagedinJapaneseagriculturCwaseither65years orolder.
AGE・WISEANDSEX-WISEDISTRIBUTIONOF LABORFORCEINJAPANESEAGRICULTURE
(Units:10,000persons)
(FigurCsinparenthesesrepresentpercentages)
TAHLnNO、7
Sexis面bution
1965 1970
1980 1985 444
SoumeWYAo〃ハbgyoノVb"ノセα〃UtzPα"eseAg流“/“、ノYb[z76oo鉱(Tokyo:IeC noHikariKyokai,vanousyears).
Thistrendofgraymgofthelaborforcecoupledwiththefallin numberofoffspringsoffarmerswhotakeupagricultur巳astheir occupationinrecentyearsmakesJapaneseagriculturcvulnerable indeed・Theabsolutenumberoffamlers'offspringswhotakeupagri‐
cultureastheircallingisshowninthenexttable、0.8.Thisnumber hasfallentoalarminglylowlevelsTherewere656cities,2001towns and589villagesinJapanintheyearl990accordingtoofficialclassifica‐
tions・Thisgivesatotalof3246cities,townsandvillagesinthewhole
-36-
Total
Agedistribution
15-54 years
55-64 years
65 yea】ns aboveand
Sexdistrib
Males Females
1960 1196 576
(48.2) (51.8)620
1965 981
1970 811
1975 588 276
(46.9) (53.1)312
1980 506
1985 444
1990 392 (36,4)143 (34.1)134 (29.3)115 (49.5)194 (50.5)198
1991 380 130
(34.2)
128
(33.6) (31.8)121 (50.0)190 (50.0)189
1992 357 120
(33.6) (32.4)116 (33.8)121 (50.7)181 (49.3)176
1993 338 111
(32.8) (31.0)105 (36.0)122 (51.2)173 (48.8)164
CURRENTlmATURESOFJAPANESEAGRlCULTUREANDTHEPROTECTIONISMISSUE(GBALA&HAYASm)
ofJapanAsagainstthisthenumberoffarmers'childrentakingup agricultureastheirprofessionislessthanthetotalnumberoftowns andvillagesinJapan・Inotherwords,onanaverage,notevenone personpercity,townandvillageinJapaniswillingtotakeupagn‐
cultureashisorheroccupationeveryyear.
TABLENo.8FARMER,SCHmDRENWHOTAKEUPAGRICUL-
TUREASTHEIROCCUPATION(Unit:Persons,%)
Source:MinistryofAglicultu正,FCI℃stlyandFisheries,ハbAFdzSハ灘gyoCllosa HbAoA郷(、幼olTo〃ノハleocCz`,α/”"αls"wcm”q//imlMlo…〃ojds),vanousyears.
●SELF-SUFFICIENCYRATESINJAPANESEAGRICULTURE Theself-sufficiencyratesfOrvanousagriculturalproductsinJapan havebeenfallinginthepastfewdecades、Thetrmdiscapturedby thefollowingthreefiguresFigureno・lshowstherecenttrendsin theself-sufficiencyratesofsomeoftheadvancednations,measured onthebasisofcalorificvalueThesteadydeclineofJapancom‐
paredtotheothercountrieswhichimprovedtheirself-suffidencyrates isimmediatelyapparent・Bytheyearl993,thisfigureforJapanhas
-37-
YEAR(MARCH) NUMBEROFPERSONS YEAR(MARCH) NUMBEROFPERSONS
1965 68,000 1978 9,000
1966 72 200 1979 7 600
1967 64 100 1980 7 000
1968 61 000 1981 5 700
1969 47 600 1982 7 100
1970 36 900 1983 6 500
1971 31 900 1984 4 700
1972 22 000 1985 4 800
1973 18 600 1986 5 400
1974 14 400 1987 4 000
1975 9 900 1988 3 500
1976 10 200 1989 2 100
1977 12 000 1990 1 800
furtherdeclinedto37%・Canadashowedavalueof141%,Australia
179%,Sweden102%,Thailand130%,China9796andthefOnnerSoviet
Union88%(allfortheyearl980).Notonlyistheself-sufficiencyrate offoodseenonacalorificbasisforJapanoneofthelowestinthe world;ithasalsobeenshowingaconsistentlydecliningtrendsince1965.
FIGURENO1MOVEMENTOFSEIF-SUFFICIENCYRATES FORFOODFORMAJORADVANCEDNATIONS
(MEASUREDBYCALORIEVALUE)
%叩
120
100
80
60
4019657075808589
Source:ShuzoTeruoka,Gejodajsjliho"s”gノノOSC"s腕"んob虹
"ogyO:」Who".A”e'ねz・EC櫛』ん"jboノセ卿伍g症zc""”j〃、B2)eノDPed Mz2jmzsa,wfP"Sc"fmzyQW'@ノメs1o8J〃,α”[スSAa,zdtjIeEC CozJ"オアゾビS」IKhZgpb#j0Sハ応o(Scje"“α"。Tノioz4gjl圦No.84,(April l992),p、96.
-38-
us.A
/、 ハノ、
▲
/Uハ
128戸
27/V
115
ノ/ ̄●
/、.、/
・〆. /●佇・ ̄げ’V
FRANCE
' 93 FORMER
WESTGERMANY
/
 ̄
●
●
/ ..-..ノ
。-%、,ノー 93
 ̄
AENGLAND
DO
73
/、-..
■
〆。
●ノ
。
/、、ノ
、
●
夕 P
ヂー・-P ノ
jb-。
、 0
●
。 p●●
,
、 0 凸 0
.⑰77
CURRENTFEATuRESOFJAPANESEAGRlCULTUREANDTlmPROTECmONISMISSuE(G・MLA&HAYASHI)
Theself-sufficiencyratesinFigureno2showthemovementof thevaluesofbalanceoftradeincereals,namelyexportsminusimports ofcerealsformajordevelopedcountriessincel960,measuredinmillion tons・Japanhasbeenaconsistentnetimporterofcerealssincel960
andthenegativebalanceoftradeince正alshavebeenonasteady
risingtrend.
FIGURENo.2BALANCEOFTRADEOFCEREALSOFMAJOR
DEVELOPEDCOUNTRmg(MILLIONTONS)
加叩即釦⑩釦0m釦印即11’|’一
IET DRMERSC NION LVELO
~OIITRIF 196165707580
Soume:SameasFigureno、1,p、86. 8588(EXCLUDINGCHINA)
AmongthevarlousitemsthatfallunderthecategoryoffOod,it iscerealswhosepeIfonnancehasworsenedthemost・Figureno、3 showsthewayself-sufficiencyratesforce正alshavemovedfora numberofdevelopedcountriesbetweentheyearsl960andl987・The cerealself-sufficiencyofJapaninl986wasjust3096,thelowestinthe developedworldBy1993,thishaddeclinedtoaround22%,arecord
low・
Thefiguresfortheself-sufficiencyratesforvanousfooditemsin JapanisseenfromthefoUowingTableno、9.TheoverallfOod
-39-
FIGURENO3THEMOVEMENTOFSELF-SUFFICIENCYRATESFOR CERFMLISFORMAJORDEVELOPEDCOUNTIBIES
%,203 2
1 1 1 1 1 I
『。
】RLIN
度
88082858789企
句ZLDC□C
Soume:SameasFigurelp、96.
self-sufficiencyhasbeendecliningforJapaninthe妃centpastFrom afigureof91%inl96qthefoodself-sufficiencyratehascomedown
to6796inl990.
TAuRmuNO、9CHANGESINFOODSELF-SUFFICIENCY RATESFORJAPAN(%)
sour℃eIMinistryofAgriculturaForestryandFishing,Sh0h郷Pyo/ihy脚●
Alyomz6HGso〃Fbo‘Sc媚!`ノifYCj‘"〔:y),vanousyears.
IApAYu面SEIMpORⅢSANDEXPORTSOFAGRICULTURAL
PRODUCTS
TheimageofJapanasbeingacountryclosedtoagriculturalpro‐
ducts,importsneedstobeputintherightperspectiveJaPantoday isノノbejtzソ宮UsfimporterofagriculturalpmductsintheworldThefollow‐
-40-
1965 1975 1985 1990
ALLGRAmJS 62 40 31 30
FOODGRAnJS 80 69 69 67
RICE 95 110 107 100
WHEAT 28 4 14 15
PULSES 11 4 5 5
FOODONACALORJED1TAKEBASIS 73 54 52 47
ALLFOODPRODUCTS 86 77 74 67
CURRENTFEATURESOFjAPANESEAGRICUUIUREANDTHEPROTECTIONISMISSUE(GBALA&HAYASm)
ingTablenQ10showstheexportsandimportsofagriculture,fishely andfO正stryproductsofvariouscountriesoverthetimespanl981-1993 Japan,simportsinthiscategoryhaveballoonedovertheyearsNo developednationimportsasmuchasJapandoes,andcomparedto Japan,slowlevelofexportsinthiscategory,theotherdeveloped nationsexportasubstantialamount・ThusJapanhasbeenhaving asizeablebalanceoftradedeficitinthiscategoryandthishasgrown
toover$55billioninl993.
TABLENO10EXPORTSANDIMPORTSOFAGRICULTURE,FISHERY
ANDFORESTRYPRODUCTSOFVARIOUSCOUNITRmS(Units:$l00million)
ND
~霊F霊F霊F:霊1羽割悪需Ei霊
GLAN
Note・a・Russia・ Soul℃e:E40Tmzメeyi2n幼ooAbvanousyears、
-41-
81
EXPORTS IMPORTS EXPORTS‐、腰ORTS
1987
EXPORTS IMPORTS EXPORTS‐IMPORTS
U、S,A 450.5 183.4 267.1 312.9 220.0 92.9
FRANCE 178.5 132.9 45.6 236.5 176.9 59.6
CANADA 78.4 48.9 29.5 72`7 53.9 18.8
FORMER SOVIET
UNION 29.7 213.2 -183.5 28.8 165.0 -1362
FORMER WEST
GERMANY 106.1 222.5 -116.4 151.4 296.9 -145,5
ITALY 61.4 127.8 -66.4 79.1 196.2 -117.1
ENGLAND 79,2 148,3 -69.1 99.9 203.3 -835
JAPAN 10.9 185.1 -174.2 9.5 209.6 -2001
1989
EXPORTS MORIS E】PoInS・MORTs
1991
EXPORTS HllPORTS mPORTS・MOIrTS
1993 E0PORTS MORTS U、S,A 590.1 463.7 126.4 6040 455.3 148,7 637.3 515.4 121.9 FRANCE 324,8 275.6 49.2 374.8 320.8 540 377.2 300.5 757 CANADA 282.6 90.8 191.8 2W、4 98.5 188.9 305.2 104.9 2003
UNION 73.9 12.0 -138.1 538 17L7 -117.9 17.7a 51.8 -34.1 GERMANY 180.1 33L1 -151,0 291.2 559.4 -268.2 285.4 482.0 -196.6 ITALY 112.1 298,3 -206.5 140.1 336.9 -192.0 139.9 288.1 -148.2 ENG1AND 13L9 318.6 -186.7 163.7 332,1 -168.4 156.1 313.2 -157.1 JAPAN 32.7 531.2 -498.5 38.7 544.4 -505.7 39.2 590.3 -551.1
THEURUGUAYROUND
GATT(GeneralAgr巴ementonTariffsandTrade)hasbeeninvolved inthepromotionoff正etradeandtheremovalorreductionofimpedi‐
mentstofrEetrade・Inpursuitoftheseobjectives,ithasfacili‐
tatedvariousORounds''-,amelymultilateralnegotiationsaimedatthe reductionofbarTierstofreetradeThelatestround,theeighth,was theUruguayRound,whichlastedoversevenyears,TheUruguay RoundofnegotiationsreachedaconclusioninDecemberl993,and wassignedbyalmostl25countriesgivingrisetothebirthoftheWorld TradeOrganizationinAprill994、Japanhadresistedtheopeningof itsricemarketallthrough,butintheendacceptedtheDeniscom‐
promiseproposaLThisproposalwhiChwasputupinthelaststages ofthenegotiationscontainedexceptionalmeasurEsfOrcomprehen‐
sivetariffconversionofquotas・TheJapanesegovemmentaccepted toprovidingminimumaccessforimportedricethroughthese measur巴s,Italsoacceptedtoimplementthetariffconversionofdaily products,starChesandotherproducts、Thechangesenvisagedwere tobetakenupaspartofthefiscall995tariffrevision・
Japan'sscheduleofconcessionsintheareaofagriculturalpro‐
ductscanbegroupedunderatariffconversionexceptionalmeasures,
btariffconversionandc、reductionintariffrates.
』・nzla功「Cmz〃eγsわれ丘兀℃GPZm"ロノMbUzszJ”s:Japanacceptedtheimple‐
mentationoftariffconversionexceptionalmeasuresforriceThe salientfeaturCsofthisprovisionarethat:
LJapanwillimplementnotariffquotaforriceduringtheimple‐
mentationperiodwhichwillbesixyearsstartingfroml995.
2.Japanwillprovidetheopportunityforminimumaccessfor importedrice,whichinl995willamountto4%andintheyear2000 to8%ofthedomesticconsumption.Ther巳fermceperiodwastobe
-42-
CURRENTFEATURESOFjAPANESEAGRlCULTUREANDTIEPROTECTIONISMISSUE(GBAIA&HAYASⅢ)
1986.1988.
3.TheFoodAgencywillimportriceonastatetradebasis・The differentialprofitsonimportseamedbystatetradeentelpriseswere tobelimitedtoanamountbasedonsalesduringthesamereference periodofl986-1988・
Bnmb「CD""eだわ〃:Productsotherthanricethathavebeensubject tonon-tariffbasedimportrestrictionsweretoundelgotariffcon‐
versionlnotherwords,non-tariffrestrictionshadtoberemovedfully
orphasedoutandintheirplacetariffwastobesubstitutedPooled quotaswerctobeestablishedwiththecalculationsbasedontheprice differentialduringthebaserefe正nceperiodofl986-1988andwere tobermucedby15%duringtheimplementationperiodwhichwas tobesixyearsbeginningin1995.Accessopportunitiesrelatedtotaliff conversionweretobeestablishedbasedonimportresultsorimportquotasinforceduringthebasereferenceperiodlnprindple,the tariffstobecollectedontheseestablishedaccessopportunitieswe1℃
tobeatthesamelevelasthatduringthebasereferenceperiodApplic‐
abletariffrateswillnotbercducedduringtheimplementationperiod、
Tariffratesmayberaisedatacertainrateontanffconversionitems asaspecialsafeguardincaseimportvolumesincreasedatgreater thanacertainrateorvalueforcustomsfellatlessthanacertain
rate・
CRC“αわれj〃nzlajj6「Rates:Itwasdecidedtoreducethetariff ratesinordertosatisfytheconditionofa35%averageratedecrease overaslx-yearperiodandaminimumratedecreaseonparticular
agriculturalpmductitemsof15%4.Tablenollgivesthelistoflead‐
ingagriculturalpmductitemssubjecttotariffreductions・
Inconcreteterms,Japanwasobligedtoimport380,OOOtonsofrice
infiscall995・Thefirstlotamountingto2,800tonswhichwasimported
wasauctionedo、26thJulyl995、Theupperlimitofthemarginof-43-
TABLENo.l1TARIFFREDUCTIONSONLEADINGAGRICUIjTURAI PRODUUTITEMS
OYens
Note:Uniformreductionsinprinciple
SoulCe:JErRO,〃,α"否Ag戒"/“、ノMn雄ejI995(Tokyo:JapanEXternal TradeOIZanizatio、,Junel995)p、9.
profitthattheFoodAgencycouldmakewasYens292perkilogram ofrice・Allbrandsofricesoldonthisdaybroughtthisupperlimit ofprofit.
PROTECTIONISMINJAPANESEAGRICULTURE
WhyistheJapaneseagriculturalcommoditiesmarketsopro‐
tectedandhowdoesitcomparewithothercountriesintennsofthe degreeofprotection?Tableno・l2showstheNominalRatesofProtec tion(NRP)forvarlouscountriesbetweenl955-1987.TheNominalrate
-44-
ProductName Currentrate
(asofl994)% Rateaftersix (cfnote)years
Beef 50
38.5%(however,ifimport volumeexceedsacertain levelJapanmayraisethe tanffrateto50%asan emergencyadjustment measure)
Fr巴shOranges (June-November)
(December-May)
0024 6213
Orangejuice(nosugar added,10%sucrosecontent orgreater)
30 25.5%
Naturalcheese 35 29.8%
(26.3%and22.4%onsome varieties)
IceCream(sucrosecontent
lessthan50%) 28 21
Candies 35 25
Macaroniandspaghetti 40Yens/k9 30Yens/k9 Pastries(withaddedsugar) 24 15%
SoyaBeanandVegetable
oils(unprocessed) 17Yens/k9 10.9Yens/k9
CURRENTITATURESOFjAPANESEAGmCULTUREANDTHEPROTECTIONlSMISSUE(GBALA&HAYASHI)
ofagliculturalprotectioniscalculatedbysubtractingthevalueofagri‐
culturaloutputininternationalpricesfromthevalueofagn‐
culturaloutputindomesticpncesanddividingtheremainderbythe
valueofagliculturalouhputininternationalprices、ThisisequivalenttotheweightedaverageoftheNRPsofindividualcommoditiesusing
theirsharesinthetotaloutputvalueatborderprIcesasweights、CommoditiescoveredintheaverageNRPcalculationincludetwelve tradablecommoditiesasmentionedinfOotnoteaunderTableno、
12.Thesecommoditiesaccountforabout60-70percentofthevalue
oftotalagriculturaloutputincashofcountriesunderstudy,5
HayamisummanzesinTableno・l2theaverageNRPsbycompar‐
ingproducerandborder(importc.i、f)prices・Heusesproducerprlces astheyincludetheeffectsnotonlyofborderprotectionbutalsoof
morcdirectagriculturalsupportpoliciessuchasdeficiencypay‐
ments・Theuseofproducerpricesleadstoanunderestimationofpro‐
tectiontotheextentthattherea正costsofmarketingfromthefarm gatetoapointinthemarketingchainequivalenttotheinterna‐
tionallytradedproduct.AsisreadilyseenfromtheTablethisbias isobviousinthecaseofthefood-exportingcountriessuchasAustralia andtheUS,forwhomtheestimatesofNRPsarenegativeinsome yearswheninfactnopolicywasexercisedtoexploitagricultureor
onlymoderatelyprotectivepolicieswereadoptedHowever,Hayami
feelsthatinsofarasthisbiasissimilaracrosscountriesandover time,itdoesnotpresentasenousproblemforthepurposeofmakingbroadcomparisonS6・TheTablesignifiesthefollowing:a).Japan,Korea
andSwitzerlandhavehighlevelsofNRPand,b).Thehighfigur巳for NRPforJapanisofrecentorigin・ThefollowingTableno、13givestheNRPsforindividualcommodi‐
tiesintheECandJapan,WhatdoestheTableindicate?Inthecase ofJapan,thereisgrBaterdegreeofprotectionforgrainsascom‐
-45-
paredtolivestockproducts,whiletheoppositeistrueinthecaseof theECHayamipointsoutthetwo-tierstructurefortheprotection ongrains・Thedegreeofprotectionisvelyhighforfoodgrams,
particularlyrice、Butforfeedgramssuchasmaizeetc.,thedegにe ofprotectionisextremelylow・Thesegramsarehardlyproducedin Japan・Thisstrongbiasinfavoroffoodgrainsisattlibutedtothe traditionallackofsubstitutabilitybetweennceandfeedgrains、A naturalconsequencehasbeenthatpricesupportonricewasincreased whilesimultaneouslyfeedgrainswereimportedwithoutprotection.
TABLENo.l2COMPARISONOFTHENOMINALRATESOFACm-
CULTURALPROTECTIONBETWEENIMSTASⅡAN COUNTRIESANDELEVENOTmuRDEVELOPED COUNTRIES,1955TO1987(船)
19551960196519701975198019851987 EastAsia
Japan Korea Taiwan
Eumpea、Coummunity Denmark
France Gemlany,FR・
Italy Netherland量 UnitedKingdom Averageb NonalignedEurope
Sweden SwitzeTland FoodExporters
Australia Canada UnitedStates
41
-15
-3 18
-46
-17
9416一一 49272 拓切、
85 117 52
肥〃犯11
151 160 74
5調妬幻辿如調 3680177245233 5056505356324 Ⅳ〃釦的虹”艶 9998269123332 50477582345233 47028933347334 的印ね”訂ね鴎1
34 60
“図 50
73
筋兜 43
96 59 126
65 181
131 218
741 7511- 544-- 220- 7011’ 59312
oワ』q》
n匹finedasthepercentagebywhichtbeproducerpnceexceedstheborderprice、Tbeestimates showna歴theweightedaveragesfortwelvecommodities,usingproductionvaluedatborderprices aswEight・ThetweIvecommoditiesincluderice,wheat,barley,corn,oatsDrye,beef,pork,chickien,
eⅡgSomiIkandSUger・
bWeightedaveragefornIIsixcountTiesshownfoT1975,1960,19850and1987,butexcludingDenmark andUnitedKingdomforearIieryears、
Source:YujiroHayamiemノTheAgガc"/、”【、U2】e”)wブzノq/ノセZPα〃(Tokyo:
Unive函ityofTokyoPress,1991),p、223.
-46-