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THE UNBIASED ESTIMATION OF THE PROPORTION ON A GIVEN DOMAIN OF THE MULTIVARIATE NORMAL DISTRIBUTION BASED ON THE SUFFICIENT STATISTICS

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TRU Mathematics 16−2 〔1980〕

THE UNBIASED ESTIMATION OF’IHE PROP(DRTION ON A GIVEN

DOMAIN OF THE MULTIVARIATE NORMAL DISTRIBUTION

BASED ON THE SUFFICIENT STATISTICS

Kenj i MASUDA 〔Received Nbv㎝ber 14,1980)

1.INTRODUCTION

     LIEB㎜and RESNIKOFF[5] presented  a collection  of varia1)1e samPIing Plans based dn the estimator♪  of the per cent defective of a submitted lot. The variable sampling plans pertain to a single quality characteristic, and it is assumed that mea.surements of this quality characteristic are independent ,identically distributed nonnal random variables.      Associated with each inspection characteristic are the design specifica− tions・ If UPper lilnitびand lower li皿it L are specified, the item is consid− ered defective if its measurement either exceeds σor is smaller than乙.  If the per cent defective of a submitted lot is sufficiently  sma11, the lot is accepted, otherwise it is rej ected. S工nce the㎞owledge about the per cent defective is rare, a logical procedure is to estimate the per cent defective from a sa㎎)1e, and accept or reject the lot on the basis of this estimator P.   ・ The purPose of this paper is to extend the point estimation  theory  fbr the mivariate nomal case originally developed by KOI;lvK)GOROV[3]to that fbr the㎜1tiva・i・t・n・㎝・1 case・[El・e・bserv・d v・lues xヱ’・2’…’・。 are ass㎝・d

to be independently drawn fr㎝amultivariate nonnal population. The popula−

tion paranleter p to be estimated here  is considered to be a probability that an observed value is contained in a specified rmltivariate domain A.     As…m exa叩1e, the mifOr血1y mini皿皿variance mbiased estimation in bi− variate nol孤al case is discussed.   Nthough this paper deals only with the pomt estlmatlon,1t ls also applicable to the theoエy of testing statistical h)rp《)thesis in sa呵)1ing inspection(see:1.IEBERMAN and RESNII(OFF[5]). 2.UNIFORMLY MINIMUM VARIANCE UNBIASED〔U.M.V.U.)ESTIMA7て)R  2−1U.M.V.U. Estimator      Let xヱ’x2’…’x刀be a random sa叩1e from a k−variate population with density functionψfxノ. The probability p that observed value x is contained i皿 domain A is given by

155

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156

K.MASUDA

     P 一 J。 th (x?. dX’        ・   『・

Whereρis also cgnsidered as the popuユation paτameter  in the fbllowing dis← cussi㎝. Define p as the usual attTibute estimator of the population paraln一 eter P,        P(Xヱ’X2’…’Xn,=ヱ戸f XヱEA’ 〔2.1.1)        prx1’X2’・1・・’X刀,=0’エf Xヱ孔 It is evident that ♪ is unbiased. From I正《and SCHEFFE,s results[4],  it

follows that倉rE‘p/T)is the unique unifomiy血t㎜ variance unbiased esti−

matbT ofρ, 諭ere T is assumed to be  the co加plete sufficient statistics fbr the k−variate distribution.

2−2Multivariate Nor rnal Distributi㎝    ‘   、

     We shall dhoose the density fimcti㎝〔2.2.1)as basic to;our study of the

k−variate nomal distributi㎝,

〔2・2・・〕 …)−k/21・「1/2・xp{一〉(x一岡ノ’Σ一ヱ(x−Mノ},   『. 砲ere Σ is the positive definite matrix.  It was also observred that  E‘x,=M andΣ is the matrix of the variances and covariances of the co㎎xcmlents of x.      It may be verified that  fx,S)  is a complete sufficient statistics  fbr ・・,・・紬・rrl.、・、紐・・一Σ1.、・・、一叉,・・、一又・・,(see・G・R・[・D.…』・ are mutua11γinφependent〔see:RAO[9]).      .  2−3U.M.V.U. Estimator    −MUltivariate Normal Distribution −      If the sa㎎)1e is drawn from a nor皿al population with un㎞own mean vector 珂and un㎞o岨variance−covariance皿atrixΣ, then tlie pair of sample value x and S is complete sufficient statistics.   III this case, 〔2.3.1)    食(x.Sノ.=E(多/x,S/ is the V.M.V.U. estimator fbr the population・parqinetpr p. From 〔2.3.1〕,we

have

(2.3.2) P‘x,S,=pb{P・一ヱ/x,S}        一臓ii;s戊…’ 油・・efr・ユ{・’S/i・th・j・int d・n・ity・f・、・・and S…d h(・’S, i・th・j・桓t density Of x and S.      Since x and S are mutually independent, and are sul)j ect to a I(−variate −・・d・・t・・bu・i・n V疇・』・・〔tra・…ha・・d・・t・・b…㎝・k・(n一ユ’・1・ respectively(5ee: fbr ex. RAO[9]), h‘x,S/ is given by

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、 (2.3.3〕       、 THE UNBIASED EST工MtNTION OF THE PROPORTION hcx’S”= C、。」V・Silii/2!z1・/・ex・{一;’X−『一ヱ剛x       ・KlΣ1’ Cn−1)/21S1 (n一ヱーk”1)/2。。p{一・。。ce(X’ヱS〃・}, where・K・t…−W…lk−・〃・・:ヱr・・一≒…〃一ヱ.      To find.fイxヱ’x/S/ consider the j oint density’of the mutually inde− P・nd・nt sa・XP1・・t・ti・tics xヱ・叉★・nd S★・ 油ere叉・r☆Σ1.、・、.・n・S・一Σ1.、・・ゴ叉・…て又・熾…9…n・by

縮頑一〉‘xヱーM”, z一ヱ(X」”M」}±㎏{一ご醐1×

・r。…ヱΣ,一ユr叉・−M」}・・1・1“’C刀一2,/21S・1 Cn−2−k一ヱ,/2・xp{一…q・‘・−1S.t )Z・}, 曲ere−・〆η一2’・k/2・k・「k・’)/4F1ヱr・n−≒ゴ≠ユ〃−1・・

・in・・r・…・・ヱ・S・一⊇・・ゴ又,1・ゴ迦iliiix;iS;;一・・E・,k・

the j oi皿t density f(xヱ,又,S, becomes then 〔・・…)

d⊇ゴ・・亡ユ・・ヱーM)・,、。IIラ;llii…

    『×expt一字・叉一・,・Σ一ヱ・又一…。…、・ヌーMl・・一ヱIR−Xヱ・・。…、・又一X、,・・      ・Σ一ヱ(R−M)・+15(叉一Xヱ,・・一ヱ・叉一Xヱ,}・・        (n−1,      …1・1’・(n’2)/21S−U1‘n−2−k−”/2・・pt−’・…e{・一ヱ・S−U,}/…。三、,k, Where U−。i、‘Xヱー叉,r・ヱー叉,’・      The fbllowing equation is evident: lS−。三、(・ヱー又ノ‘・ゴ又ノ・1−IS|{・一☆・ヱー叉,・S一ヱ(・ヱー叉ル      Since S and S★are nomnegative’definite, respectively, the above equation

麺1’es that

Dヱー │、・・、一叉,・S一ヱ・・、一又….      Dividing the expression 〔2.3.4) by 〔2.3.3〕 resUltS in the condi.tiona1       −density of x1・ given x and S;

157

L

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158

K.mSUDA

〔2.3.5) f(・ヱ’x’S, hcx,S, ・k/2・‘n G1,        1,、・。三、,k/2・xp・一 ll・、一・…−1・・、一・,     n−2−k+ヱ        )‘2π,    rr        2 一垣一Xヱ)s・−1励・IR−M…−11R−X、1・。…、IR−Xユ,’・一ヱcR−・ヱ・}       …ace・・一ヱU,…÷1衰一・,・Σ一1・又一・〃嶋・

We can evaluate the power y of exponential in〔2.3.5〕⊇e允11㎝血g㎜er,

・一一 A間{・・、ヱー・i,・・j、−U、鴎一X、ユ,・吾戊川三、−Ui,・・デ・戊、, ・。…、ll、一・、ヱ・庁・ゴ、・一。三、・・i、・1,・・j、−iY−・fli−v、,1 ij−・ゴ,}  =0 . It should be noted here that the fbllowing relations are used, nalnely, 叉一・三、i、_i。7’,・、一奈;.、・、、’・一・,・,…,k,・−1−・・’jl’・’・一・’・’…・k・ M−‘‘・ヱ・2…P。)’・U−(・、戊,’・げ。≒f三、一・i、)( ij−・」、ノ’i・」一・’・’…’k and xヱ=rxヱヱx2ヱ…Xkl」’・      S血ce lS−Ul−IS’1{ヱー。三、・・、一叉,・S一ヱで・、一又,},i・f・…ws・h・・ 〔・…6〕 フノー,,睾・;lii・7・・2・・i・1・/・1,1・/・・       刀一2−k一ヱ       ・{ユー。三、‘・ヱー又)・S→ユr・ヱー衰,}2     We・・tice th・t S−1−D(・/屋)R一ヱ・r・/儒,,油・r・Ri・the s卿・e c・rre−

i:轡竃璽議i:三竃鐘:蓋欝ぎ

輌g・na・・ma・・iX・D・・、,,噸・・、’i−・,・,…,k ar・th・ ・ig・nv・・ue・・f R一ヱ・      ・f・th・t・an・f・一・i…一・・可P・・/認・・、一叉・i・.ma・・,血・n・th・

right me血ber of〔2.3.6)bec㎝es      ユユ        ’

       n−2−k一ユ      .

,,;睾・,緒・・1,1・/・1・−i・・2:’:・

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THE UNBIASED ESTIMATION OF THE PROPORTION

1・1一篇㌫曇痛{㌔1、縫玲芸・

then  the dens ity of z, given イx,S,,beco皿es as fbllows:    11一ユ      刀一2−k−1

毒;・,南輌2 −・h・・rest・…i・n・・ノー

    We shall fb㎝…江ize the…ibove result in the fbllowing theorem.      田…OREN・・亡Nk (M’Σ) b・亡力・k−va・i・亡・・。rrn・ヱP・puユa亡i°n and xヱ’x2’…’X。 加arand。m sample fr。m the a加▽e n・rmaヱP・Pα1a亡ion・ Then,亡力e unigue uni− forml y皿inimun vaヱ・iance unbiased es亡ゴma亡oヱ」)(x,S, of 亡he probabiユi亡y P  tha亡 亡he observed value X is oo刀亡ainedゴηadomain A is give刀as fbヱユows:

(・・…)・(R.s)=IT」A,,;睾己ピ芦三

       n  ユ     ーぬ・・e・、A−{・−Df万フP・r     Atransfonnation T       2 Where z=aσOSθ        ユ’ フ        ユ

the transformation T

       2,      COROLLARY. Fo r k≧2         n一ヱ        is defined as          戊一ヱ z戸aσosθS∬呈=1       〔2・3.7〕 .一戊(・XゴX)/・ユ・A}・  ユユ          T2r・ユ・2…・k,=「aθ、θ2… s・n・、,戊一・,・’…’k−・・and・。一・己二;・i・・、・  is presented as following corollary・ θ     ,, k一ユ

Under

一⇒。。毒iと,が已瓢二i・・…i・k−i−ideide・

      2ユ …dek.ヱda’、 』e…・己二i (Sin・ノー’−1−・ ・・r k−一・・

3.EXAMPLE

    We assume k=2. Then we substitute in 〔2.3.8).

(3・・)P・R…

゚÷認…・

He・eafter,1 GS・3‘ ;1ユーa2パη一5”2 nt・・b・d・・…dby・1・)・・mce the c・rre・a−

・i・一・…bec・−R−

m:;]・’・・ h・v・ R一ユー、i}。T・[.司・・…ig−・・ue・ ・、,・2・fR一ヱare・b・・垣・d・λユ☆・・2−、…ピ

159

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160

K.MASUDA. The。rth。g。n。・ma・riX・P・whiCh・・an・f・rm・R一ユt・・(・i,’・一・’・i・gi・・n・by ・一

m;傷倒・

Fro皿 (2.3.7) fbr k=2, it is easily seen that

[;;]輌・・馬Cl:il]・

The above relation is rewritten as fbllows:

(…)・2一癌ユー岳号嘉・

(…〕・2−一震、・繧乏据・

      ロ      The data below is a random sa匝ple of sizeユo ta](en from a bivarlate nor一 皿al populati㎝・ .ユ .ユ,ユ

ー2

2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 ヱ0 8.639 8.634 9.ユ48 9.057 9.757 9.028 10.336 7.978 9.693 8●703 9.76  9.68  7.88  9.50  8.6ユ  8.55  ヱ0.63  7.38  9.98  9.ヱ5     S・rPP・・e th・t・pecificati・・liiT!it ・、一ユ…f・r・、ヱ・nd・、=ヱ゜・°f°「x2ヱ・

Now,。e・h・11 estim・t・th・per cent d・fectiv・pf・・th・ab・ve・pecificati㎝

li皿its.      D・fi・・A−{↓・、、・、、〃(・ユユ・u7・r・、、・・,,}・F…〔3・2〕and〔3・3)・the T・A in (2.3.7〕 is given by

(・.・〕…、・2〃・癌、一岳綜ユk・21・・一掛岳鰺2綜

・・Q川・i・・Z・ヱル We shall denote (3.4), for s iirrplicity, by T、A−…、・2〃・σzヱ・・、・・21・・一・・、・・、・・21…i・・;・ヱ・}’wh・re lil/ff・

・、酷鰺矯・・d・、嘉鷲鳥

     ・・nce・、一一・.・4・892,・、一・・928478・…一・・36・72・w・・ha…bi・・…2,・ヱ/2− ・.・・5998,・b;・・…2,・ユ/2−・.362ユ5ヱ…ケ・・、一・、12/・2…、・・、12・ユ/2・・…42・882・      TAヱTA2 TA3 and r4 ・r・giv…sf°ヱユ゜WS; TA、一・、・、A・…,・,・・2・・;・…σ21}・TA、一・、・、A・…’・〃・;・1…21<a2・・i・・…21}’

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TH巳UNBIASED ESTIMAITION. OF TH巳PROPORTION 盟,−T、・、A・{〔・’・〃・:/…ろ・・2・i・ (b、一・ジ/・2・(b、・・、)2J}and TA、−v・{‘…,/i・‘・ヱー・、,2/・2・・(b、・・ジ1・a2・・},・ee・ig・…,wher・’一・th・ t・anSf・nnation T2 i・giV・n by ・2r・ヱ・ノー(・’θノ…θ・2…ヱ篭…θ・・d・2⊇⊇θ・        2

       Fig・3・1        Fig.3.2

     T・ ea・虫P・血t r・ヱ・2,・f血t・・secti・n・・f th・1血・・2一σzヱ・bユ’・2−一σzヱ・b2 ・・d・he circ・・考・・;一・2,也ere c・rresp・・ぷn…d・㎡y㎝・p・・ar…rd皿・・ (a,θ‘aノ, fbr a≠o if e (a) is restricted to the interval to.2π1. Generally th…are fbu・p・血t・・f血t・rsecti・血・θユr・)’θ2r・ノ’e3(・)飢dθ4r・ノrb・ing・in Fig・ 3・2・       、       ・      th・・we ha・・ P(叉’S,一・四・・血・・盟・・TA・       ヱ   2       3   4

場{:;頑㌦一場::1:1:::::1:}ω卿r一

z2

盟2

カ2     Z=CZ+b−一\  2  1 ヱ   \ @    . @    1盟3      i ヱ   昇’zヱ  ∼ /z2−−czヱ劫 ゐ 工

TA

R 工  =

TA4

b2

z2 @     z =σz+カ      ヱ ヱ @  θヱ θ θ4 一a θ3 bヱ        z @       ユ’ 嘯Q−一σzヱチゐ2    Cb2−・//・?…、・・ジ}ヱ/2

       β「a”{θ3「・戊eθ4「・ノ}+{e2(・ノeθヱr・川d・・刀d {bi/(・+σ2,}ヱ/2  ヱ

㌶:顎;㍑・,・/・

where the difference of two angle φ andψ is defined as・follows:

…一

j諜;:

161

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162

.K. MASODA      We can obtai11工盟 =o・388635, alld by nurnerical integration「TA=o・331983        1       4 and㌔+エ.A・.=°・°7ヱ゜ヱ3・Fumh・㎜・e We.have P=°・7916ヱ3・        2   3

4.ACKNO−S

     The authoT is gratefUt to Prof.1㎞Titus H. Sakamoto, Keio Uhiversity fbr his helpful s㎎gesti(}hs and co㎜㎝ts. 血紐ks・are also eXt㎝ded to Assis迦t Prof. N. Shinozaki, Keio Uhiversity, fbr his valmpble advices.

REFERENCES

[1] 【2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] 【9]

BIAO鯛LL, D.(1947〕:(bnditional expectation and unbiased sequential

estilnation, A.s』.,18,105−110. GIR工, N. C. (1977):Mu.1亡エvaτ工a亡e s亡atエs亡エcaヱヱぬ台re刀ce, Academic PTess, New¥ork. KOU㎞ROV, A. N.〔1950):Un1)iased esti皿vates〔in Russian〕,ヱzves亡工a A一  σad. Nauk USSR 14, 303−326. ㎜,E. L. alld SCHEFFE, H. 〔1955〕:(;gmpleteneSs, similar regions and皿biased estimation, Part 1, sankhya,10,305−340. LIEBERMAN, G. J. and RESNIKOFF, G. J. 〔1955〕: Sa叫)1ing plans fbr il1− spect‡㎝bアvariables,」.A.s.且.,50,457−516. MIL−STD−414(1957).:Sampling procedures and ta1)1e fbr inspection by  variables fbr per cent defective, Office of the Assistallt Secretary  of.Defence. RAO, C. R. (1952):Some theore鵬on mi車皿um variance estimatiop, san−  khy三,12, 27−42. RAO, C. R. (1952):Mini皿」m varianc皇estimation in distributionS admit−  tillg ancillary statistics, sankhya,12, 53−56. RAO, C. R.. k1973):Linear S亡aε工s亡工caヱエnfere刀σe and土亡s Appユica亡工α1s・ 2nd ed. John Wiley, New York.       Dept. of㎞agem㎝t Science       Sci6nce Uhiversity of Tokyo

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