1 ং
༗ݶ۠ؒ(0,1)্ͷҰ༷ɼ࿈ଓܕͷ֬ͱͯ͠࠷جຊతͳ
ͷҰͭͰ͋ΔɽͦͷҰ༷ʹै͏֬มʢҰ༷֬มʣʹର͠
ͯෛͷରมΛࢪͤɼ৽ͨʹແݶ۠ؒ(0,∞)ʹΛऔΔ֬ม͕ಋ
͔Εɼ͔ͭɼͦͷࢦʹҰக͢Δɽແݶ۠ؒ(0,∞)্ͷࢦ
·ͨҰ༷ͱಉ༷ʹ࿈ଓܕͷ֬ͱͯ͠جຊతͳͰ͋Δɽ
্ड़ͷࣄ࣮ʹج͚ͮɼҰ༷Λಛघͳ߹ͱͯ͠แؚ͢Δϕʔλ
ʹै͏֬มʢϕʔλ֬มʣʹରͯ͠ಉ༷ͷมΛࢪͤɼࢦ
Λಛघͳ߹ͱͯ͠แؚ͢ΔΑΓҰൠతͳ֬ʢࢦͷҰ ൠԽͷҰྫʣ͕ಘΒΕΔ͜ͱ͕͔Δɽ͜ͷ֬ʹ͍ͭͯɼྫ͑
ɼJohnson, Kotz and Balakrishnan (1995, p.218)McDonald and Xu (1995a, pp.140–143), Nadarajah and Gupta (2004, p.127), ຸ୩ʢ2010ɼ pp.793–795ʣʹ͓͍ͯݴٴ͞ΕɼࢦϕʔλͱݺΕΔɽ͔͠͠ɼ͍
ͣΕͷจݙʹ͓͍ͯɼͷͱີͷܗঢ়ͷؔʹ͍ͭͯମܥతʹ ݴٴ͞ΕΔ͜ͱͳ͍ɽ
ຊߘɼϕʔλ֬มʹରͯ͠ෛͷରมΛࢪ͢͜ͱʹΑͬͯಘΒ ΕΔ֬ʢࢦϕʔλʣʹ͍ͭͯɼͦͷͱີͷܗঢ়ͷؔΛ
∗Ԭେֶܦࡁֶ෦ɼe-mail: [email protected]
ベータ確率変数の対数変換の 分布の形状について
伴 原 理 人*
( 1 )
ମܥతʹݕ౼͠ɼͦͷ݁Ռͱͯ͠ಘΒΕΔݟΛཧ͢Δʢ໋1ࢀরʣɽ
ͦΕͱ߹ͤͯɼ͜ͷࢦϕʔλʹै͏֬มΛۊม͢Δ͜ͱʹΑͬ
ͯWeibullͷҰൠԽͷҰྫʢҰൠԽࢦϕʔλʣΛߏ͢Δɽ͜ͷ
എܠͱͯ͠ɼWeibull͕ࢦʹै͏֬มͷۊมͷͱͯ͠
ಘΒΕΔͱ͍͏ࣄ࣮ɼٴͼɼࢦϕʔλ͕ࢦͷҰൠԽͱͳͬͯ
͍Δࣄ࣮ʹҙ͢Δɽͳ͓ɼࢦΛಛघͳ߹ͱͯ͠แؚ͢Δ֬
ͱͯ͠ɼຊߘͰͷٞͷରͱͳΔࢦϕʔλͷଞʹɼஶ໊
ͳྫͱͯ͠ΨϯϚઌड़ͷWeibull͕ڍ͛ΒΕΔɽΨϯϚ
Weibullͷͱີͷܗঢ়ͷؔʹ͍ͭͯɼྫ͑ɼݤݪʢ2018ʣ
ɼͦΕΒͷΛಛघͳ߹ͱͯ͠แؚ͢ΔΑΓҰൠతͳ֬Ͱ
͋ΔҰൠԽΨϯϚʹج͍ͮͯମܥతʹٞ͢Δɽ
ҎԼɼຊߘ࣍ͷΑ͏ʹߏ͞ΕΔɽઌͣɼୈ2અʹ͓͍ͯɼϕʔλؔ
Λਖ਼نԽఆͱͯ͠ߏ͞ΕΔඪ४ϕʔλʹै͏֬มʹରͯ͠ɼ
ෛͷରมΛࢪ͢͜ͱʹΑͬͯࢦϕʔλΛಋೖ͢Δɽͦͷ্Ͱɼࢦ
ϕʔλʹै͏֬มΛۊม͢Δ͜ͱʹΑͬͯҰൠԽࢦϕʔλ
Λߏ͠ɼߋʹɼҰൠԽࢦϕʔλʹै͏֬มΛ1࣍ม͢
Δ͜ͱʹΑͬͯͦͷҐஔईΛߏ͢Δɽ࣍ʹɼୈ3અʹ͓͍ͯɼࢦ
ϕʔλͷີؔͷάϥϑͷܗঢ়͕ͦͷʹԠͯ͡ͲͷΑ͏ʹม Խ͢Δ͔Λݕ౼͠ɼͦͷ݁Ռͱͯ͠ಘΒΕͨݟΛ໋1ͱͯ͠ཧ͢Δɽ
ͦͷࡍɼີؔͷάϥϑશͯิAͱิBʹਤࣔ͢Δɽਤࣔ͞Εͨ
άϥϑશͯMaple 6ʹΑΔ࡞ਤͰ͋Δɽ࠷ޙʹɼୈ4અͰ݁Λड़Δɽ
2 ࢦϕʔλͱͦͷҰൠԽ
ҙͷਖ਼ͷ࣮α, β >0ʹରͯ͠ੵ1
0 xα−1(1−x)β−1dxଘࡏ͢Δ ʢྫ͑ɼݘҪ1962ɼp.12ਿӜ1980ɼpp.295–296ࢀরʣɽ͜ͷࣄ࣮ʹ
ҙ͢Δͱɼ͜ͷੵΛα, βͷؔͱݟ၏͢͜ͱ͕Ͱ͖ɼ͜ΕΛϕʔλؔ
ͱ͍͏ɿ
B(α, β) :=
1
0
xα−1(1−x)β−1dx, α, β >0. (1)
͜͜Ͱɼ߸:=ͦͷࠨลΛͦͷӈลʹΑͬͯఆٛ͢Δ͜ͱΛҙຯ͢Δɽ
ҙͷਖ਼ͷ࣮α, β >0ͱ(0,1)۠ؒͷҙͷ࣮x∈(0,1)ʹରͯ͠ɼ xα−1(1−x)β−1>0Ͱ͋ΔͷͰɼੵͷੑ࣭ʹΑΓɼϕʔλؔৗʹਖ਼
ΛऔΔ͜ͱ͕͔Δɽଈͪɼҙͷα, β >0ʹରͯ͠B(α, β)>0Ͱ͋Δɽ ϕʔλͱɼϕʔλؔΛਖ਼نԽఆͱͯ͠ີؔΛߏͨ֬͠
Ͱ͋Δɽͭ·Γɼ࣍ͷ(2)ࣜͱͯ۠ؒ͠(0,1)্ʹఆٛ͞ΕΔؔf∗ Λີؔʹ࣋ͭ֬ϕʔλʢಛʹɼඪ४ϕʔλʣͱݺ
Εɼαͱβܗঢ়ͱݺΕΔʢα, β >0ʣɿ f∗(z|α, β) = 1
B(α, β)zα−1(1−z)β−1, 0< z <1. (2)
࣮ࡍɼα, β >0ͱB(α, β)>0ʹҙ͢Δͱɼҙͷ࣮z ∈(0,1)ʹର
ͯ͠ɼzα−1(1−z)β−1>0Ͱ͋ΔͷͰf∗(z|α, β)>0ΛಘΔɽ·ͨɼϕʔ λؔͷఆٛʹҙ͢Δͱɼ1
0 f∗(z|α, β)dz= 1ΛಘΔɽΑͬͯɼؔf∗
ɼඇෛੑͱਖ਼نԽ݅Λຬͨ͢ͷͰɼ͔֬ʹີؔͰ͋Δɽ
ͯ͞ɼ༗ݶ۠ؒ(0,1)ʹΛऔΔҰ༷֬มʹରͯ͠ෛͷରมΛࢪ
͢͜ͱʹΑͬͯಘΒΕΔ֬มͷɼແݶ۠ؒ(0,∞)্ʹఆٛ͞Ε ΔࢦͰ͋Γɼͦͷࢦʹै͏֬มΛۊม͢Δ͜ͱʹΑͬ
ͯಘΒΕΔ֬มͷɼ(0,∞)্ͷWeibullͰ͋Δɽ
ຊઅͰɼ͜ͷࣄ࣮Λجʹͯ͠ɼઌͣɼୈ2.1અʹ͓͍ͯɼҰ༷Λಛ घͳ߹ͱͯ͠แؚ͢Δϕʔλʹै͏֬มʹରͯ͠ෛͷରม
Λࢪ͢͜ͱʹΑͬͯɼࢦΛಛघͳ߹ͱͯ͠แؚ͢ΔΑΓҰൠతͳ
֬ʢࢦϕʔλɼࢦͷҰൠԽͷҰྫʣΛߏ͢Δɽͦ
ͷ্Ͱɼୈ2.2અʹ͓͍ͯɼࢦϕʔλʹै͏֬มʹରͯ͠ۊม
Λࢪ͢͜ͱʹΑͬͯɼWeibullΛಛघͳ߹ͱͯ͠แؚ͢ΔΑΓҰ ൠతͳ֬ʢҰൠԽࢦϕʔλɼWeibullͷҰൠԽͷҰྫʣ Λߏ͢Δɽͦͯ͠ɼୈ2.3અʹ͓͍ͯɼҰൠԽࢦϕʔλʹै͏֬
มʹରͯ͠1࣍มΛࢪ͢͜ͱʹΑͬͯɼͦͷҐஔईΛߏ
͢Δɽ࠷ޙʹɼୈ2.4અʹ͓͍ͯɼ্ड़ͷΑ͏ʹͯ͠ߏ͞Εͨࢦϕʔ λʹؔ࿈͢Δز͔ͭͷʹ͍ͭͯݴٴ͢Δɽ
( 3 )
2.1 ࢦϕʔλ
ຊઅͰɼ(2)ࣜͰఆٛ͞ΕΔඪ४ϕʔλʹै͏֬มʹରͯ͠ෛ
ͷରมΛࢪ͢͜ͱʹΑͬͯɼࢦΛಛघͳ߹ͱͯ͠แؚ͢ΔΑ ΓҰൠతͳ֬ʢࢦϕʔλʣΛߏ͢Δɽଈͪɼ(2)ࣜͰఆٛ
͞ΕΔඪ४ϕʔλͷີؔf∗ʹରͯ͠Z ∼f∗ͱͯ͠ɼͦͷෛͷର
มX:=−logZͷ֬Λಋग़͢ΔɽXͷؔΛF0ͱදه͢
ΔͱɼF0ɼͦͷఆٛʹΑΓɼҙͷਖ਼ͷ࣮xʹରͯ࣍ࣜ͠ͱಘΒΕΔɿ F0(x|α, β) :=P(X ≤x) =P
Z≥e−x
= 1−F∗
e−x|α, β
, x >0.
͜͜ͰɼP(X≤x)֬มXͷ࣮ݱ͕࣮xҎԼʹͳΔͱ͍͏ࣄ
ͷ֬Λද͠ɼF∗ZͷؔΛද͢ɽΑͬͯɼ
F∗
e−x|α, β
= e−x
0
f∗(z|α, β)dz
ʹҙ͢ΕɼX ͷີؔf0ͦͷؔF0ͷಋؔͱͯ͠ಘΒ ΕΔɿ
f0(x|α, β) = d
dxF0(x|α, β) =e−xf∗
e−xα, β).
ैͬͯɼ0 < x < ∞ͳΔxʹରͯ͠ɼX ͷີؔf0࣍ࣜͱͳΔ ʢα, β >0ʣɿ
f0(x|α, β) = 1
B(α, β)e−αx(1−e−x)β−1. (3)
͜ͷ֬ɼࢦϕʔλʢಛʹɼࢦϕʔλͷඪ४ܕʣͱ
ݺΕΔʢྫ͑ɼMcDonald and Xu 1995aNadarajah and Gupta 2004, p.127,ຸ୩2010ɼpp.793–795ࢀরʣɽ͜ͷ໋໊ͷഎܠͱͯ͠ɼର
ਖ਼نʹै͏֬มͷରมͷ͕ਖ਼نͰ͋Δࣄ࣮ɼٴͼɼີ
ؔ(3)ࣜʹै͏֬มX ͷࢦมZ =e−Xͷ͕ϕʔλ
Ͱ͋Δࣄ࣮ʹҙ͢ΔɽͦͷҰํͰɼWeibullʹै͏֬มͷର
มͷΛରWeibullͱݺͿ͜ͱ͋Γʢྫ͑ɼJohnson, Kotz and Balakrishnan 1995, p.3Rinne 2009, pp.131–133ࢀরʣɼ͜Εʹ
ै͑ɼϕʔλ֬มͷରมͱͯ͠ಋग़͞ΕΔ(3)ࣜΛີؔʹ
࣋ͭɼࢦϕʔλͰͳ͘ɼରϕʔλͱݺͿ͜ͱʹͳΖ
͏ɽྫ͑ɼMcDonald and Xu (1995a) p.141·ͨ͜ͷ໋໊ͷՄೳੑΛ ഉআ͠ͳ͍ɽ͔͠͠ɼຊߘʹ͓͍ͯɼҎԼɼີؔ(3)ࣜʹΑͬͯఆٛ
͞ΕΔΛࢦϕʔλͱݺͿ͜ͱʹ͢Δɽ
ͯ͞ɼࢦϕʔλͷີؔ(3)ࣜɼα=β = 1ͱͨ͠߹ɼ f0(x|1,1) =e−x
ͱͳΔͷͰɼඪ४ࢦͷີؔʹؼண͢Δ͜ͱ͕͔Δɽ͜ΕʹΑ Γɼඪ४ϕʔλͷີؔ(2)͕ࣜα=β = 1ͷ࣌ʹ۠ؒ(0,1)্ͷ Ұ༷ʹؼண͢Δ͜ͱʹҙ͢ΔͱɼҰ༷֬มͷରมʹΑͬͯ
ඪ४ࢦ͕༠ಋ͞ΕΔ͜ͱ͕͔֬ʹཧղ͞ΕΔɽͳ͓ɼࢦϕʔλ
ͷີؔ(3)ࣜɼβ= 1ͱͨ͠߹ɼB(α,1) = 1/αʹҙ͢Δͱɼ f0(x|α,1) =αe−αx
ͱͳΔͷͰɼσ:= 1/α >0 ⇐⇒ α= 1/σͱม͢ΔͱɼσΛई
ͱ͢Δࢦʢඪ४ࢦͷईʣʹؼண͢Δ͜ͱ͕͔Δɽ
͜ͷ࣌ɼϕʔλͷܗঢ়αईͷٯʹରԠ͢Δɽ
2.2 ҰൠԽࢦϕʔλ
ຊઅͰɼࢦΛಛघͳ߹ͱͯ͠แؚ͢Δࢦϕʔλʹै͏֬
มʹରͯ͠ۊมΛࢪ͢͜ͱʹΑͬͯɼWeibullΛಛघͳ߹ͱ͠
ͯแؚ͢ΔΑΓҰൠతͳ֬ʢҰൠԽࢦϕʔλʣΛߏ͢Δɽ ଈͪɼ(3)ࣜͰఆٛ͞ΕΔࢦϕʔλͷີؔf0ʹରͯ͠X ∼f0 ͱͯ͠ɼਖ਼ͷ࣮γʹରͯ͠XͷۊมY :=Xγͷ֬Λಋग़͢Δɽ Y ͷؔΛF1ͱදه͢ΕɼͦͷఆٛʹΑΓɼҙͷਖ਼ͷ࣮yʹର
ͯ͠ɼ
F1(y|α, β, γ) :=P(Y ≤y) =P
X≤y1γ
= y1γ
0
f0(x|α, β)dx
( 5 )
ͱͯ͠ද͞Εɼͦͷີؔf1F1ͷಋؔͱͯ͠ಘΒΕΔɿ
f1(y|α, β, γ) = d
dyF1(y|α, β, γ) = 1
γf0(yγ1|α, β)yγ1−1.
ैͬͯɼ0 < y < ∞ͳΔy ʹରͯ͠ɼY ͷີؔf1 ࣍ࣜͱͳΔ ʢ0< α, β, γ <∞ʣɿ
f1(y|α, β, γ) = 1
γB(α, β)yγ1−1e−αy
γ1
1−e−y
γ1
β−1
. (4)
δ:= 1/γͳΔมΛࢪ͢ͱɼY :=Xγ =X1/δͷີؔf1ͷผදݱ
͕ಘΒΕΔʢ0< α, β, δ <∞ʣɿ
f1(y|α, β, δ) = δ
B(α, β)yδ−1e−αyδ
1−e−yδ β−1
, 0< y <∞. (5) Ҏ্ͷΑ͏ʹɼ(4)ࣜ͘͠(5)ࣜͰఆٛ͞Εͨີؔf1Λ࣋ͭ֬
ΛҰൠԽࢦϕʔλʢಛʹɼҰൠԽࢦϕʔλͷඪ४ܕʣͱ
͍͏ɽҎԼʹ͓͍ͯɼಛʹஅΒͳ͍ݶΓɼҰൠԽࢦϕʔλͷີ
ؔf1ͱͯ͠(5)ࣜͷදݱΛ༻͍Δɽ
ҰൠԽࢦϕʔλͷີؔ(5)ࣜɼδ= 1ͱͨ͠߹ɼࢦϕʔ λͷີؔ(3)ࣜʹؼண͢Δɿ
f1(y|α, β,1) = 1
B(α, β)e−αy(1−e−y)β−1=f0(y|α, β).
·ͨɼβ = 1ͱͨ͠߹ɼB(α,1) = 1/αʹҙ͢Δͱɼ
f1(y|α,1, δ) =αδyδ−1e−αyδ (6) ͱͳΔͷͰɼσ := 1/α1δ >0 ⇐⇒ α= 1/σδ ͱม͢Δ͜ͱʹΑͬ
ͯɼσΛईͱ͢ΔWeibullʹؼண͢Δ͜ͱ͕͔Δɽ͜ΕʹΑ Γɼࢦϕʔλͷີؔ(3)͕ࣜβ = 1ͷ࣌ʹࢦʹؼண͢Δ
͜ͱʹҙ͢ΔͱɼࢦͷۊมʹΑͬͯWeibull͕༠ಋ͞ΕΔ
͜ͱ͕͔֬ʹཧղ͞ΕΔɽ·ͨɼ͜ͷ࣌ɼ(6)ࣜʹΑΓɼϕʔλͷܗঢ়
αईͷۊͷٯʹରԠ͢Δͱ͔Δɽ
2.3 ҰൠԽࢦϕʔλͷҐஔई
ຊઅɼ(5)ࣜͰఆٛ͞ΕΔҰൠԽࢦϕʔλͷඪ४ܕʹҐஔͱ ईΛಋೖ͢ΔɽଈͪɼY ΛҰൠԽࢦϕʔλͷඪ४ܕʹै͏֬
มY ∼f1ͱͯ͠ɼ࣮μͱਖ਼ͷ࣮σʹରͯ͠Y Λ1࣍ม͢Δɿ W :=μ+σY, −∞< μ <∞, σ >0. ͜ͷ࣌ɼW ͷ֬ΛμΛҐஔ
ɼσΛईͱ͢ΔҰൠԽࢦϕʔλͷҐஔईʢ͋Δ
͍ɼ୯ʹҰൠԽࢦϕʔλʣͱ͍͏ɽͦͷؔF ɼͦͷఆٛ
ʹΑΓɼw > μͳΔwʹରͯ͠ɼ
F(w|α, β, δ, μ, σ) :=P(W ≤w) =P Y ≤w−μ σ
= w−μ
σ
0
f1(y|α, β, δ)dy Ͱ͋ΓɼͦͷີؔfF ͷಋؔͱͯ͠ಋग़͞ΕΔɿ
f(w|α, β, δ, μ, σ) = d
dwF(w|α, β, δ, μ, σ) = 1
σf1 w−μ σ
α, β, δ
.
ैͬͯɼw > μͳΔwʹରͯ͠ɼWͷີؔf࣍ࣜͱͯ͠ಘΒΕΔɿ f(w|α, β, δ, μ, σ) =
δ σB(α, β)
w−μ σ
δ−1 exp
−α w−μ σ
δ
1−exp
− w−μ σ
δβ−1
(7)
͜͜ͰɼҐஔμҙͷ࣮ͰΑ͍ͷʹରͯ͠ɼईσΛ࢝Ίͱ͢Δ
ͦͷଞͷα, β, δਖ਼Ͱ͋Δ͜ͱʹҙ͢Δɿμ∈(−∞,∞), σ, α, β, δ∈ (0,∞). μ= 0, σ= 1ͷ߹ɼҰൠԽࢦϕʔλ(7)ࣜҰൠԽࢦϕʔ λͷඪ४ܕ(5)ࣜʹؼண͢Δɿf(w|α, β, δ,0,1) = f1(w|α, β, δ), w >
μ= 0.
ͯ͞ɼҰൠԽࢦϕʔλͷີؔ(7)ࣜɼδ = 1ͷ߹ɼࢦ
ϕʔλͷີؔ
f(w|α, β,1, μ, σ) = 1
σB(α, β)e−ασ(w−μ)
1−e−w−μσ β−1
(8)
( 7 )
ͱͳΓɼߋʹɼμ= 0, σ= 1ͷ߹ɼࢦϕʔλͷඪ४ܕͷີؔ
(3)ࣜʹؼண͢Δɿf(w|α, β,1,0,1) =f0(w|α, β).
2.4 ࢦϕʔλʹؔ࿈͢Δز͔ͭͷ
ຊઅɼҎ্ͷٞʹΑͬͯߏ͞Εͨࢦϕʔλʹؔ࿈͢Δزͭ
͔ͷʹ͍ͭͯݴٴ͢Δɽ
2.4.1 ࢦҰൠԽϕʔλ
McDonald and Xu (1995a)ɼ(2)ࣜͰఆٛ͞ΕΔୈ1छͷϕʔλ
͚ͩͰͳ͘ɼୈ2छͷϕʔλΛแؚ͢ΔΛߟରͱ্ͨ͠
ͰɼࢦҰൠԽϕʔλΛఏҊͨ͠ɽ͔͠͠ɼؔ৺Λୈ1छͷϕʔλ
ʹݶఆ͢ΔͳΒɼຊߘʹΑͬͯߏ͞ΕΔͷํ͕ΑΓҰൠతͰ
͋Δɽ
࣮ࡍɼMcDonald and Xu (1995a)ɼ༗ݶ۠ؒ(0, c), c >0ʹΛऔΔ ϕʔλ֬มͷۊมʹΑͬͯୈ1छͷҰൠԽϕʔλΛߏ্ͨ͠
Ͱɼୈ1छͷҰൠԽϕʔλʹै͏֬มͷରมʹΑͬͯୈ1छ ͷࢦҰൠԽϕʔλΛߏ͢Δɽ͜ͷΑ͏ʹͯ͠ߏ͞ΕΔୈ1छͷ ࢦҰൠԽϕʔλɼຊߘʹ͓͚Δ(8)ࣜɼͭ·Γɼࢦϕʔλʹ ରԠ͢Δɽैͬͯɼຊߘ(7)ࣜͷҰൠԽࢦϕʔλɼMcDonald and
Xu (1995a)ͷୈ1छͷࢦҰൠԽϕʔλΛಛघͳ߹ͱͯ͠แؚ͢Δ
ΑΓҰൠతͳͰ͋Δͱ͔Δɽ
ͳ͓ɼͷ໊ʹף͞ΕΔҰൠԽͱ͍͏ޠɼ௨ৗͷ߹ɼ֬มͷ ۊมʹΑͬͯߏ͞ΕΔʹରͯ͠༻͍ΒΕΔɽ͜ΕʹΑΓɼϕʔ λ֬มʹରͯ͠ɼMcDonald and Xu (1995a)ͷࢦҰൠԽϕʔλ
ʹ͓͍ͯɼۊมʢҰൠԽϕʔλʣͷޙʹରมʢࢦҰൠԽϕʔ λʣΛࢪ͢ͷʹରͯ͠ɼຊߘͰٞ͢ΔҰൠԽࢦϕʔλʹ͓͍
ͯɼରมʢࢦϕʔλʣͷޙʹۊมʢҰൠԽࢦϕʔλʣ Λࢪ͢ͱ͍͏૬ҧ͕͋Δͱ͔Δɽ
2.4.2 ϕʔλࢦͱϕʔλWeibull
ඍՄೳͳؔF :R → [0,1]ʹରͯ͠ɼ(2)ࣜͰఆٛ͞ΕΔඪ४ ϕʔλͷີؔf∗Λ༻͍ͯ৽ͨͳؔG:R→[0,1],
G(x) :=
F(x)
0
f∗(z)dz
Λੜ͢Δ͜ͱ͕Ͱ͖ɼ͜ͷΑ͏ʹͯ͠ੜ͞ΕΔϕʔλFͱ
͍͏ܗͰݺΕΔʢEugene, Lee and Famoye 2002ɼNadarajah and Gupta 2004, p.146, Nadarajah and Kotz 2006, Alexander, Cordeiro, Ortega and Sarabia 2012ࢀরʣɽͳ͓ɼͦͷີؔg(x) :=G(x) =f∗(F(x))F(x)
࣍ࣜͱͯ͠ಘΒΕΔɿ g(x) = 1
B(α, β)[F(x)]α−1[1−F(x)]β−1F(x).
͜ΕɼFʹै͏ಠཱಉͷ֬มྻͷॱং౷ܭྔͷີؔͷҰൠԽ ʹͳ͍ͬͯΔ͜ͱʹҙ͢Δɽ࣮ࡍɼX1, . . . , Xn, i.i.d.∼Fʹରͯͦ͠ͷ ॱং౷ܭྔΛX(1), . . . , X(n)ͱදه͢Δͱɼr൪ͷॱং౷ܭྔX(r)ͷີ
ؔ࣍ࣜͱಘΒΕΔ͜ͱ͕͔Δʢྫ͑ɼJohnson, Kemp and Kotz 2005, p.61ࢀরʣɿ
f(r)(x) = 1
B(r, n−r+ 1)[F(x)]r−1[1−F(x)]n−rF(x), 1≤r≤n.
ͦͷࡍɼϕʔλؔBͱΨϯϚؔΓͷؔࣜB(α, β) = Γ(α)Γ(β)/Γ(α+
β)ɼٴͼɼΨϯϚؔͷੑ࣭Γ(α) = (α−1)Γ(α−1)ʹҙ͢Δɿ
B(r, n−r+ 1) = (r−1)!(n−r)!
n! .
ͯ͞ɼFͱͯ͠ࢦͷؔF(x) = 1−e−xΛద༻͢Δ͜ͱͰੜ
͞ΕΔϕʔλࢦͱݺΕɼͦͷີؔ࣍ࣜͱͳΔɿ g(x) = 1
B(α, β)
1−e−xα−1 e−βx.
( 9 )
͜ͷີؔɼϕʔλؔͷରশੑB(α, β) =B(β, α)ʹҙ͢Εɼ(3)
ࣜͰఆٛ͞Εͨࢦϕʔλͷີؔf0ʹଞͳΒͳ͍͜ͱ͕͔Δɽ
·ͨɼFͱͯ͠WeibullͷؔF(x) = 1−e−xδΛద༻͢Δ͜
ͱͰੜ͞ΕΔϕʔλWeibullͱݺΕɼͦͷີؔ࣍ࣜ
ͱͳΔɿ
g(x) = δxδ−1 B(α, β)
1−e−xδ α−1
e−βxδ.
͜ͷີؔɼϕʔλؔͷରশੑB(α, β) =B(β, α)ʹҙ͢Εɼ(5)
ࣜͰఆٛ͞ΕͨҰൠԽࢦϕʔλͷີؔf1ʹଞͳΒͳ͍͜ͱ͕
͔ΔɽNadarajah and Kotz (2006)ɼϕʔλWeibullʹ͍ͭͯݴٴ
͢ΔͷΈͰ͋Δ͕ɼϕʔλࢦʹ͍ͭͯͦͷੑ࣭Λৄࡉʹੳ͢Δɽ
2.4.3 ࢦͱWeibullͷॱং౷ܭྔͷ
ຊઅɼࢦͱWeibullͷॱং౷ܭྔͷʹ͍ͭͯߟ͢Δɽ ಛʹɼWeibullͷॱং౷ܭྔͷ͕ҰൠԽࢦϕʔλʹؼண͢
Δ͜ͱΛ֬ೝ͢Δɽ͜ΕʹΑͬͯɼͦͷಛघͳ߹ͱͯ͠ɼࢦͷॱ
ং౷ܭྔͷ͕ࢦϕʔλʹؼண͢Δ͜ͱ໌͢Δɽ
ͯ͞ɼ(6)ࣜʹ͓͍ͯα= 1ͱͨ͠ඪ४Weibullʹै͏ಠཱಉͷ
֬มྻY1, . . . , Ynʹରͯ͠ɼͦͷॱং౷ܭྔΛY(1), . . . , Y(n)ͱදه͢Δ ͱɼલઅͷٞʹΑΓɼr൪ͷॱং౷ܭྔY(r)ͷີؔf(r), 1≤r≤n
࣍ࣜͱͳΔ͜ͱ͕͔Δɿ f(r)(y) = 1
B(r, n−r+ 1)δyδ−1e−(n−r+1)yδ
1−e−yδ r−1
, 0< y <∞. ϕʔλؔͷରশੑʹҙ͢Δͱɼ͜ΕҰൠԽࢦϕʔλͷີؔ
(5)ࣜʹ͓͍ͯα =n−r+ 1, β =rͱஔ͍ͨͷʹଞͳΒͳ͍ͱ
͔Δɽ
Ҏ্ʹΑΓɼWeibull͔ΒಘΒΕͨॱং౷ܭྔͷ͕ҰൠԽࢦ
ϕʔλʹؼண͢Δ͜ͱ͕֬ೝ͞Εͨɽ·ͨɼ্ड़ͷٞͷಛघͳ߹
ͱͯ͠ɼࢦ͔ΒಘΒΕΔॱং౷ܭྔͷ͕ࢦϕʔλʹؼண
͢Δ͜ͱ͕֬ೝ͞ΕΔɽ
3 ࢦϕʔλͷܗঢ়
ຊઅͰɼ(5)ࣜͰఆٛ͞ΕΔҰൠԽࢦϕʔλͷີؔͷάϥϑ ͷܗঢ়ʹ͍ͭͯٞ͢Δɽಛʹɼͦͷδ= 1ͱͨ͠߹ɼଈͪɼ(3)ࣜͰද ݱ͞ΕΔࢦϕʔλͷີؔʹ͍ͭͯɼͦͷάϥϑͷܗঢ়͕ͦͷ
αͱβʹԠͯ͡ͲͷΑ͏ʹมԽ͢Δ͔Λମܥతʹݕ౼͠ɼͦͷ݁Ռͱ
ͯ͠ಘΒΕͨݟΛ໋1ͱͯ͠ཧ͢Δɽ
ͯ͞ɼ(3)ࣜͰఆٛ͞ΕΔࢦϕʔλͷີؔf0ͱ(5)ࣜͰఆٛ
͞ΕΔҰൠԽࢦϕʔλͷີؔf1ͱͷؒʹҎԼͷཱ͕ؔࣜ͢
Δ͜ͱʹҙ͢Δɽୠ͠ɼҎԼͰɼΛಛʹ໌ࣔ͢Δඞཁ͕ͳ͍߹ɼ f0(x) :=f0(x|α, β), f1(y) :=f1(y|α, β, δ)ͱུه͢Δɽ
f1(y) =δyδ−1f0(yδ), y∈(0,∞).
ΑͬͯɼͦΕͧΕͷಋؔf0 ͱf1 ͷؒʹ࣍ͷཱ͕ؔࣜ͢Δɿ f1(y) =δyδ−2
(δ−1)f0(yδ) +δyδf0(yδ) .
͜͜Ͱɼࢦϕʔλͷີؔf0ͷఆٛࣜ(3)ʹҙ͢Δͱɼͦͷಋ
ؔ
f0(x) = f0(x) 1−e−x
(α+β−1)e−x−α
(9) ͱಘΒΕΔͷͰɼ࣍ࣜΛಘΔɿ
f1(y) = δf1(y)
y 1−1
δ
+ yδ 1−e−yδ
(α+β−1)e−yδ−α
. (10) ҎԼͰɼઌͣɼୈ3.1અʹ͓͍ͯɼδ= 1ͷ߹ɼଈͪɼ(3)ࣜͰఆٛ͞
ΕΔࢦϕʔλͷඪ४ܕͷີؔf0ͷάϥϑͷܗঢ়͕ͦͷαͱ βʹԠͯ͡ͲͷΑ͏ʹมԽ͢Δ͔ʹ͍ͭͯମܥతʹݕ౼͠ɼͦͷ݁Ռͱ͠
ͯಘΒΕͨݟΛ໋1ͱͯ͠ཧ͢Δɽ࣍ʹɼୈ3.2અʹ͓͍ͯɼδ= 1 ͷ߹ɼଈͪɼ(5)ࣜͰఆٛ͞ΕΔҰൠԽࢦϕʔλͷඪ४ܕͷີؔ
f1ͷάϥϑͷܗঢ়ʹ͍ͭͯҰఆͷݕ౼ΛՃ͑Δɽ࠷ޙʹɼୈ3.3અʹ͓
͍ͯɼͦΕΒͷҐஔईͷܗঢ়ʹ͍ͭͯߟ͢Δɽ
( 11 )
3.1 δ = 1ͷ߹ɿࢦϕʔλ
(5)ࣜͰఆٛ͞ΕΔҰൠԽࢦϕʔλͷີؔf1ɼδ= 1ͷ
߹ɼ(3)ࣜͰఆٛ͞ΕΔࢦϕʔλͷີؔf0ʹؼண͢Δɽͭ·Γɼ ҰൠԽࢦϕʔλͷີؔf1ͷಋؔ(10)ࣜɼδ= 1ͷ߹ɼࢦ
ϕʔλͷີؔf0ͷಋؔ(9)ࣜʹؼண͢Δɽ
ͯ͞ɼҙͷx∈(0,∞)ʹରͯ͠f0(x)>0, 1−e−x>0Ͱ͋Γɼ·ͨɼ
α >0Ͱ͋Δ͜ͱʹҙ͢ΔͱɼҎԼͷಉؔΛಘΔɿ
f0(x)≶0 ⇐⇒ (α+β−1)e−x−α≶0
⇐⇒ 1 + β−1 α
e−x≶1.
͜ΕʹΑΓɼҙͷx∈(0,∞)ʹରͯ͠e−x∈(0,1)Ͱ͋Δ͜ͱʹҙ
͢Δͱɼβ≤1ͷ߹ɼ࣍ͷෆཱ͕ࣜ͢Δ͜ͱ͕͔Δɿ 1 + β−1
α
e−x≤e−x<1.
ैͬͯɼβ≤1ͷ߹ɼҙͷx∈(0,∞)ʹରͯ͠
1 +β−1 α
e−x<1 ⇐⇒ f0(x)<0
ΛಘΔͷͰɼ(3)ࣜͰఆٛ͞ΕΔࢦϕʔλͷີؔf0(x)xͷ୯ ௐݮগؔͰ͋Δͱ͔Δɽ
࣍ʹɼβ > 1 ͷ߹Λߟ͢Δɽ͜ͷ࣌ɼ1 + (β −1)/α > 1ͳͷͰ log[1 + (β−1)/α]>0Ͱ͋Δɽ·ͨɼx >0Ͱ͋Δ͜ͱʹҙ͢ΔɽΑͬ
ͯɼಉؔ
f0(x)≶0 ⇐⇒ log 1 +β−1 α
≶x
ʹΑΓɼβ >1ͷ߹ɼ(3)ࣜͰఆٛ͞ΕΔࢦϕʔλͷඪ४ܕͷີ
ؔf0(x)ɼ
x∗:= log 1 + β−1 α
>0
ʹରͯ͠ɼx < x∗ͷ࣌ʹ୯ௐ૿Ճɼx > x∗ͷ࣌ʹ୯ௐݮগͰ͋Γɼx=x∗ Ͱ࠷େΛऔΔ͜ͱ͕͔Δɽଈͪɼີؔf0(x)ͷܗঢ়x=x∗Λ࠷
େʢ࠷සʣͱ͢Δ୯ๆܕͰ͋Δɽ
Ҏ্ͷٞʹΑͬͯɼࢦϕʔλͷີؔf0ͷܗঢ়ɼβ≤1ͷ
߹ʹ୯ௐݮগܕɼβ > 1ͷ߹ʹ୯ๆܕͰ͋Δ͜ͱ͕໌ͨ͠ʢ໋1
ࢀরʣɽ
໋1(ࢦϕʔλͷܗঢ়). (3)ࣜͰఆٛ͞ΕΔࢦϕʔλͷີؔ
f0ͷάϥϑ{(x, f0(x|α, β))|x∈(0,∞)}ͷܗঢ়ɼਖ਼ͷβʹԠ͡
ͯҎԼͷΑ͏ʹఆ·Δʢਤ1–ਤ6ࢀরʣɽୠ͠ɼҎԼͰf0(x) :=f0(x|α, β) ͱུه͢Δɽͳ͓ɼຊ໋Ͱݴٴ͞ΕΔਤશͯิAʹఏࣔ͞ΕΔɽ
1. β≤1ͷ߹ʢ୯ௐݮগܕʣ
ີؔf0(x)xͷ୯ௐݮগؔͰ͋ΓɼͦͷάϥϑӈԼΓͷ ܗঢ়Λࣔ͢ɽಛʹɼx→ ∞ͷ߹ʹ͓͍ͯf0(x)→0Ͱ͋Δɽ
(a) β <1ͷ߹ʢඇ༗քɼਤ7ʣ
x→0ʹ͓͍ͯf0(x)→ ∞Ͱ͋Δɽ (b) β = 1ͷ߹ʢ༗քɿࢦɼਤ8ʣ
x→0ʹ͓͍ͯf0(x)→αͰ͋Δɽ͜ͷ߹ɼࢦϕʔλ
σ:= 1/αΛईͱ͢Δࢦʹؼண͢Δɽ
2. β >1ͷ߹ʢ୯ๆܕɼਤ9–ਤ12ʣ
ີؔf0(x)x=x∗Λ࠷େʢ࠷සʣͱͯ͠ɼͦͷάϥϑ
୯ๆܕͷܗঢ়Λࣔ͢ɿ
x∗= log 1 + β−1 α
.
·ͨɼx→0͘͠x→ ∞ͷ͍ͣΕͷ߹ʹ͓͍ͯf0(x)→0 Ͱ͋Δ1ɽ
1x→0ʹ͓͍ͯີؔf0(x)͕0ʹऩଋ͢Δࡍɼͦͷ͖ɼβ <2ͷ߹ʹແݶେ
ʹൃࢄ͠ʢf0(x)−−−→ ∞x→0 ʣɼβ= 2ͷ߹ʹఆʹऩଋ͠ʢf0(x)−−−→x→0 α(α+ 1)ʣɼβ >2 ͷ߹ʹ0ʹऩଋ͢Δʢf0(x)−−−→x→0 0ʣͱ͍͏ܗΛऔΔʢਤ1ɼਤ3ɼਤ5ɼਤ9–ਤ12ࢀ রʣɽ
( 13 )
ূ໌. (3)ࣜͰఆٛ͞ΕΔີؔf0ͷܗঢ়͕β ≤1ͷ߹ʹ୯ௐݮগܕɼ
β >1ͷ߹ʹ୯ๆܕͱͳΔ͜ͱʹ͍ͭͯɼ্ड़ͷٞʹ͓͍ͯطʹ໌
Β͔ʹ͞ΕͨɽΑͬͯɼҎԼͰɼີؔf0(x)ͱͦͷಋؔf0(x)ʹͭ
͍ͯɼx→0ͱx→ ∞ʹ͓͚ΔऩଋઌΛߟ͢Δɽ
ୈҰʹɼx→ ∞ʹ͓͚Δऩଋઌʹ͍ͭͯߟ͑Δɽҙͷα >0ʹରͯ͠
e−αx x−−−−→→∞ 0Ͱ͋Γɼ·ͨɼ1−e−x x−−−−→→∞ 1ʹΑΓҙͷβ >0ʹର͠
ͯ(1−e−x)β−1−−−−→x→∞ 1Ͱ͋Δ͜ͱʹҙ͢Δͱɼ f0(x) = 1
B(α, β)e−αx(1−e−x)β−1−−−−→x→∞ 0
Λಘͯɼߋʹɼ(9)ࣜʹҙ͢Δͱ(α+β−1)e−x−α−−−−→ −x→∞ αʹΑΓɼ f0(x) = f0(x)
1−e−x
(α+β−1)e−x−α x→∞
−−−−→0 ΛಘΔɽ
ୈೋʹɼx→0ʹ͓͚Δऩଋઌʹ͍ͭͯߟ͑Δɽҙͷα >0ʹରͯ͠
e−αx x−−−→→0 1Ͱ͋Δɽ·ͨɼ1−e−x x−−−→→0 0ʹΑΓɼ(1−e−x)β−1ͷऩଋ ઌɼβ <1, β = 1, β >1ͷ֤߹ʹԠͯͦ͡ΕͧΕ∞, 1, 0ͱͳΔɽ ΑͬͯɼB(α,1) = 1/αʹҙ͢Δͱɼ
f0(x) = 1
B(α, β)e−αx(1−e−x)β−1 −−−→x→0
⎧⎪
⎪⎪
⎨
⎪⎪
⎪⎩
∞ if β <1 α if β = 1 0 if β >1 ΛಘΔɽߋʹɼ(9)ࣜʹҙ͢Δͱɼ(α+β−1)e−x−α−−−→x→0 β−1ʹΑ Γɼβ <1ͷ߹ɼ
f0(x) = f0(x) 1−e−x
(α+β−1)e−x−α x→0
−−−→ −∞
ΛಘΔ͕ɼβ ≥1ͷ߹ෆఆܗͱͳΔҝɼۃݶͷධՁʹผͳΔΛ ཁ͢Δɽઌͣɼβ = 1ͷ߹ɼB(α,1) = 1/αʹҙ͢Δͱɼಋؔf0(x)
ҎԼͷΑ͏ʹ؆୯Խ͞ΕΔɿ
f0(x) =−αf0(x) =−α2e−αx x−−−→ −→0 α2.
࣍ʹɼβ > 1ͷ߹Λߟ͑Δɽ(9)ࣜʹ(3)ࣜΛೖ͢Δͱɼ࣍ͷදݱΛ ಘΔɿ
f0(x) = e−αx(1−e−x)β−2 B(α, β)
(α+β−1)e−x−α .
͜͜Ͱɼx→0ʹ͓͚Δ(1−e−x)β−2ͷऩଋઌɼβ <2, β= 2, β >2 ͷ֤߹ʹԠͯͦ͡ΕͧΕ∞, 1, 0ͱͳΔ͜ͱʹҙ͠ɼ·ͨɼB(α,2) = 1/[α(α+ 1)]ʹҙ͢ΔͱɼҎԼΛಘΔɿ
f0(x) −−−→x→0
⎧⎪
⎪⎪
⎨
⎪⎪
⎪⎩
∞ if β <2, α(α+ 1) if β= 2, 0 if β >2.
Ҏ্ͷٞʹΑͬͯɼີؔf0(x)ͷ૿ݮදද1ͱͯ͠ಘΒΕΔɽ͜
ΕʹΑΓɼ໋ͷཱ͔֬ΊΒΕͨɽ
ද 1: ࢦϕʔλͷີؔf0ʢ(3)ࣜʣͷ૿ݮදɿ্ஈࠨදʢβ <1 ͷ߹ʣɼ্ஈӈදʢβ= 1ͷ߹ɼࢦʣɼԼஈදʢβ >1ͷ߹ʣ
x 0 · · · ∞
f0 −∞ − 0
f0 ∞ 0
x 0 · · · ∞ f0 −α2 − 0
f0 α 0
x 0 · · · log[1 + (β−1)/α] · · · ∞
f0 ∗ + 0 − 0
f0 0 0
∗ · · · ∞ʢβ <2ͷ࣌ʣ, α(α+ 1)ʢβ= 2ͷ࣌ʣ, 0ʢβ >2ͷ࣌ʣ
໋1ʹΑΓɼβ >1ͷ߹ɼଈͪɼ(3)ࣜͰఆٛ͞ΕΔࢦϕʔλ
ͷີؔf0 ͷάϥϑͷܗঢ়͕୯ๆܕͷ߹ɼͦͷ࠷େʢ࠷සʣ
( 15 )