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Study on Planning Support MAS Model for Impact Analysis of Large-Scale Shopping Center in Japan

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Study on Planning Support MAS Model for Impact Analysis of Large‑Scale Shopping Center in

Japan

著者 陳 萍

著者別名 Chan, P.

journal or

publication title

博士学位論文要旨 論文内容の要旨および論文審査 結果の要旨/金沢大学大学院自然科学研究科

volume 平成21年6月

page range 89‑92

year 2009‑06‑01

URL http://hdl.handle.net/2297/26915

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陳葬 博士(工学)

博甲第1060号 平成20年9月26日

課程博士(学位規則第4条第1項)

StudyonP1annmgSupportMASModelfbrlmpactAnalysisofLarge-Scal ShoppingCenterinJapan(日本における大規模商業施設の影響評価のたBl

の計画支援MASモデルに関する研究)

川上光彦(理工研究域・教授)

沈振江(理工研究域・准教授),伊藤’悟(人間社会研究域・教授),

近田康夫(理工研究域・教授),中山晶一朗(理工研究域・准教授)

氏名 学位の種類 学位記番号 学位授与の日付 学位授与の要件 学位授与の題目

論文審査委員(主査)

論文審査委員(副査)

DissertationAbstract

Z1heco加腕emaノe"v肋"me"rq/"α'Z)ノノocα/c伽MMIpα〃jseXpe7je"cmg化cノノ"CSO/ocaノ govel"”e伽/iave火veノOpeaaノノノヒゾ"ぬq/・cjlD′Ce"〃9℃"e7arjo〃o/iciesroco"s加加伽舵"αα"α

”v伽Jize伽Ce〃α/ci!〕ノCO腕we1℃jα/e"v〃"me"MYbweハノビl;jrjsa城c"〃mevα/"are伽poremjaノ z叩acrq/c"汀刎poノjcieso〃メノノe/i`'"だq/、acil0′伽ねメノZe""Ce伽ii"1W"αCO叩ノexilW"he”"伽α〃

”6α〃帆剛mbjSPhD”Sea'℃/jjsco加伽がearo/2W""伽"gajWS碗o〃α3α〃〃ア6α"p伽"mg rooノノ0M〃o7m,Wcrα"α6入,芯q/〃Ce〃α/α'℃α”gc"e7ajio"po/icjeso〃/ZJZge-scaノビs/zqpYフノ"g ce"〃(B-sAqP)6!byeノqp"?e"ノ。

MostregionalcityinJapanisexperiencingdeclineinitscommercialcentenMoreandmore large-scaleshoppingmallsshiftingtoout-ofLcitylocationiscommonlycitedasthereasonfOrthe declineofcitycenters・LocalgovernmentseffOrtstopromotetheregenerationofcentralcomnerce havefbcusedonregulatingthelocationoflarge-scaleshoppingmallthroughissuingasenes planningpoliciesandregI11ations、Thereisanemergingneedofadecision-makingsupportingtoolto exhibittheeffectsofdifferentplannmgpolicyscenanosontheregenerationofcentralcity commerce・consideringurbandevelopmentisacomplexprocessthatinvolvesmanystakeholders,

conditionsandfactors,MAS,whichhasbeenshownpowerfUlinbetterunderstandingtheprocesses ofurbandevelopmentand理owth,issupposedtobeapromismgtoolfOrpolicyanalysis・ThisPhD researchiscommittedtofbrmulatingaMASmodelasanurbanplanningtooltosupportimpact analysisofthecentralarearegenerationpoliciesonlarge-sCaleshoppingcenter(B-shop)

development・

Differentfrommost‘game-playing,MASmodelswhicharebasedonpureagents,behavior disregardmgurbanplanninginstitution,theShopsimmodelintroducesthereallandusezoningand planningregulationsasconstraintsfOragent'sbehavior,whichmakeitabletomeasurethelikely impactoflandusepolicyatthelocalleveLThevirtualurbanspaceisconstructedaccordingtoreal localcitiesfacingdeclineinJapan・Eachceuconstitutingthespacehastheattributesindicatingthe characteristicofurbanplanningconditions(theurbanplannmgarea,thelandusezoningtypesand

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suitabUity).FburkmdsofcityindiViduals(PlanneLdevelopeBshopandhousehol。)aredesignedas agentsthatareaffectedbyurbanplannmgpoliciesandmteractwitheachothertogeneratemarket spatialpattem・ThecomponentsofShopsimaren1ustratedmFigurelandthevirtualurbanspacefOr shnulationsareshowedinFigure2・ParametersensitivityanalysisandempiricalcalibrationofModel suggestedthatShopsimcanworkweUtoexhibithowmarketspatialpattememergentfromagents,

interactionaffectedbyurbanplannmgpolicies,andtherefOrecanbeemployedasapromisingtool fOrsupportmgpolicyi、pactassessment.

lnterface Agents

Patches:Cells

Livcat Button:Semp

Pxcor -Pycor Pcolor -Urbanarca -LHndmne -HFAR +Chcck-radiuSO

+SetupPatchcsO +chcck-RatioO +Sctup-HouseholdsO +Sctup-ShopsO +Ref爪esh-showO +Slider3:Radius-of-UCA

0.HFAR -Urbanar(

-Lnndmn -HFAR -Setup-Bl -Setup-lm -Setup-ur +chcck-RatioO

+Sctup-HouseholdsO +Sctup-ShopsO +Ref爪esh-showO

Turtles:

Turtles:Households +S1ider7:Rich-ratio

+Slider8:Middle-ratio

+Slidcr9:PCO雁ratio

+S1ider7:Rich-ratio +Slider8:Middle-ratio

+Slidcr9:PCO雁ratio

-Xcor -Yoor -CoIor -Incomc -Dem2nd

-Ub

-Us

-Choice -Xcor -Yoor -CoIor -Incomc -Dem2nd

-Ub

-Us

-Choice -setupBasicsO

-Setup-landmneO -Setup-urban-HEARO

lsicsO ldmneO ban-HEARO +Slidcr4:Bjmor

+Slidcr4:Bjmor

Locatei Locatei Locatei +SlidcrlO:Householdnum

+SlidcrlO:Householdnum +SlidcrlO:Householdnum

0..1-

;:shops World&View:

Urban-甲ace (IDcatbnoforigin,

際iRji:淵iW鯛脇

+Chooser2:Show-paltcrn (By-zonc,By-density,By‐

income)

....」lTmlc

....」lTmlc

Tmlcs:shops ⑫』■、

艶艶生生

Ittt

叩叩叩叩 邨血加姐

-Sctup-basicsO -Setup-hcomeO Sctup-location()

塵Setup-tastc()

-Xcor -Ycor -Color -Price -F】CCI迄sp -Salc

-Setup-Bl -Xcor -Ycor -Color -Price -F】CCI迄sp -Salc

-Setup-Bl -Xcor -Ycor -Color -Price -F】CCI迄spacc -Salc +Chooscrl:HIP-hcome

(Wcll-mixcd,Inncl君hi酌er;

Outer-higheO Ce

-Setup-BasicOsicO SimulationMOnitor

Plot:Ma水etshare SimulationMOnitor Plot:Ma水etshare SimulationMOnitor Plot:Ma水etshare

Button:Go

----PInterfacc-Association

FigureLThecor叩onentsofShopsim.

,笑冷‐●P△:p・か◆こすPC宅ハ

マタ謎》》辨掛》櫟》蓉轌螺纈》》与詔一・か》葎奔d・あ』..

,十毬くい‐

十Ocp龍詑謡.。6卯・中ウ十埋設品あ分由鍵』凸α■淀,‐〉●◆午エキ

ゥ怨非『母◇幹6独雫繊撰》多幸拷篭幹詫酔:b箪羊》》

〈rb》●▲。.〉曲

・ず|酢、や鷺白}驚詔詔か藁。+■灘侭や.$ャP・淀かも拓華・●先。

。(粥失粥⑭⑤企〉.〉か詔か我侭能。.■甜沁・》ゆかり蒋低搦

纈》鋸詩蒟鋸熱総蕊熱鞭覇》●。

α〆|、9分』遠い幻】守一故仇努一一読挑ぐい◆矛誹$十◇⑤肘・守り。⑪葵分介弗;は.・・◆灸凌・》ん、鰕壹鰐⑪少・斌一能¥・や詔⑩〈』やらか叩十・学。巨託可。。一品士兎託几・う・●へ踞廿午二

》》譲憤轤毎》》α》蕊》。{》鎌》》》蕊》》(一打鍵熱》》》・奄浄鉾》 野鶴簿霊霧諺辮灘蕊鐵溌》熟蕊識》:苧 ⑥(八究鵲認難いw・含金.‐和平爵¥一句。◆八・飴十.認》(・・いぴ・》 クゥ▲小郡。〈・・人,c★守菟詫賦今⑥・・す失孔芯ロマウやい館¥杉矛・秒・ 無。騨無癖鑑識溌辮溌溌瀞鐸韓礒金脅色輯律幽ひ溌能製摺粂②

据思千・Vザル〃ザ。.@◆‐千・屯・わ.。、舗少唖C・》ヘマ女・でやqザニテ角…詔玲佇む今宛戸が。ザ・蝿・猯・・・ぞ◆心Cl

解・・α謁鄭力騨騨辮解撰織態我巧幻埒箪

戸し

蟻。(》》》》韓趨今野灸“辮蕊》鰯鐸鐇》謂詫〉鍵も『》》鋳缶 蕊億酔冴も蛾ぱ洗譲器ぜい〉乳.》子&・のい》〉シ騨・・灘

①七・屯わ⑭》.『↓(ザ花、(す汚器・$□缶$。◆α洗洸少◇u5U史.Lへ死謂.》R詔)$〉‐.粥詫詫河好古弟一・託◆

能釦孝洋診翅》、対・〉ん、」津。←“・屯・心・汗 ..昨》》霧無鉛埠舞篭究肉認識穂「

’土龍』ん子ら。尖突平

B-Shop へ馨

゛■シ:講露蕊曾蕊i蕊

▲二鷺CA淫「

…ノゴパ;WY:;]ニ 1m・LUEAr

ー、1

UCA

(1)Sub-areasandShops (2)Landusezoning Landusezoningtype:

I-lsIIow-riseexclusiveresidcntialdistrict 7---Ouasi-residentialdislrict 2--ZmlIow-riseexclusiveresidentiaIdistrict

8--NeighborhoodcommerciaIdist「ict

3--1slmid-high-「isecxclusiveresidentiaIdistrict9--Commcrcialdistrict

4--Zndmid-high-riseexclusivcresidenIialdistrictlO----Ouasi-industriaIdistrict

5----15Iresidentialdistrict ll---IndustriaIdisIrict 6----Znd「esidentialdisl『ict l2--Exclusivcindustrialdistrid

(3)Householddensity HouseholddenSily:

圏HousehoId-num>=4 国Household-num>=2 口Household-num=1

□Houschold-num=0

(4)HousehoIdlncome

mComele泥I:

鬮Rich

圏Middle

園PooT

RiCIu:Middle:Poor

=0.2:0.6:0.2

Figure2・Thevirtualurbanspace(urbanplanningconditions)generatedbyShopsim、

-90-

+Slidcrl:Radius-of-Center +SIidcr2:Radius-of-UPA

+Slider5:Bシcor +Slidcr6:Bshop-floorqpace

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ShopsimprovideskeyfUnctionalitieslikeinteractivepolicyscenariodevelopmentandthe abilitytovisualizeandquantifysimulationoutcomesspatiaUy6Acombinedpublictransportation scenario(CPTS)arcdcsignedandsimulatedinShopsim、ThescenarioofCrPSapproximatcsthe situationinwhichbus-firstisacommonpracticeamonghouseholds,andavailability-improving policyandparking-controlpolicyareimplemented・Thesimulationresultsindicatedthatthepositive impactsofpublictransportationpolicyonregenerationofalocalcitycentercouldbeachievedby carefUllyplannedmtegratedmeasures・TheimpactofthenewB-shoponthecommercial envlronmentofthecitycenterarevisualizcdinthreepolicyscenarios:CenterActivation(CA),

RanwayStationDevelopment(RSD),andNeighbouringComnercePromotion(NCP).COmparing ResultsfromthesescenariosindatedthatthattheCAscenario,whichencourageslarge-scale shopstolocateinthecentercommercialareawithoutupperlimitationfbrfloorspace,

mightbeaneffectivemeasuretoimprovetheactivityofcentercommerceifthereisareasonable limitatio、onB-shop'sfloorspace・ThescenariosareillustratedinFigure3andtheirdetail descriptionsaregiveninthedissertation.

CAsceimio IISmscen2rio N℃Pscen2m

CPTSscenano

Figure3・I11ustrationofscenariossimulatedmShopsim・

Asmentionedabove,theShopsimmodelisconstructedinthecontextofJapanandthe simulationresultsfOravirtualcityareencouragmg・Butitdoesnotnecessarilymeanthatthe Shopsimmodelisrcadytobeappliedmrealitybecausepracticallythevirtualurbanenvironmentof theShopsimisprettyideaLFbrfUtureresearch,Shopsimcanbeexpectedtoyieldprogressina numberofareas:(i)inthedesignofarealisticvirtualurbanenvironment(fOrexample,prOjecting thescaleandconfigurationofreallandusezonalstmctureintovirtualcity)suitablefOrsupporting urbanplannmgdecision-makingand(ii)inthemethodsandtechniquestoderiveempiricalbehavior rulesfOragentswhentheyexperiencehypotheticalchangesthathappenintheirurbanenvlronments (fOrexamplethecompetmgstrategiesofexistingshopswhenanewoneisopened).(iii)intheways toidentifytherulesthatunderliespatialpatternsgeneratedfrominteractionofagents・Tbachieve theseprogresses,lalgevolumeofdataneedstobeextractedfromrealityandprocessedintheMAS model,whichunfOrtunatelytoourknowledgecannotbedoneundercurrentpopularMAS developingenvironments・Tbsolvethisproblem,wesuggestedthatconnectingMASandGIScould beapossiblepromisingwayJtiswellknownthatdatafOrplanningaregenerallyavailableinGIS fOnnthatmightbereadilyintegratedintothedatabasefOrmodeldevelopment・Furthermorethe calculationandvisualizationofsummaryindiceswithinGIScanhelpidentifyspatialpattemsand processesofinterest.

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学位論文審査結果の要旨

泰雲煙字議論X』二粒とヱェー護套蚕i員全量五面鐘と_試間を釘亘_ととムI三F_護査委員会にて 論XqQ内.容腫つkK撞討_い_審査友銑を擁定と産輿ユ且_型一目に目頭発表劇云い_同旦最終 審査委員L会塗麗催Lii昌禦…二狂旦l皇よⅢ璽劇三協j議止左結果1-以王の通り劉慮上童。…--…

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ングを前提として仮想的条件を設定することによりシミュレーションを行い、計画支援シ

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星乏占とLrQniilミi生を検証し`、l量凰_泰乏丞乏当のi童j召』三主」L庄屋の臓風_住宅Q芝 ごfLZ≧薑立鑓,_交通三妾f雲〈をどQi曇ゴヅiL行動をZ三島と富ヱヨヱ式箆二とl豆よ_L_各種の都市整 億麺j職ヨ計画代替案Q検討溌可能蚕上重量二点を添上迄2-二虹らの成果催藺MASを活思上迄 詮画玄援黙異乏呉4M>j聾築腫在熱蓮迄ので塗仏乘ね溌園」喜猿は量三コと童計画技jmiiの進展に

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また塁_拳術飽な麹晶重鴇旦鉦上上璽一量Qj5j曝に主p-2tj三舎L'三大童式賞jiifづZi2-主2重、_杢論 文睦奨一壇土-1莞蝋…囚挙(立腫j真二r:畳_も囚上劉雇さjtL量9------------

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