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The Collapse of Soviet‑Type Socialism in Europe and the Lessons for China

著者 SAITO Minoru

出版者 Institute of Comparative Economic Studies, Hosei University

journal or

publication title

Journal of International Economic Studies

volume 5

page range 1‑19

year 1991‑03

URL http://doi.org/10.15002/00002085

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Joumaloflntemationa1EcoUDomicStudies(1991)No.5,1-l9

o1901ThelnstituteofComparativcEconomicStudies,HosciUniversity

THECOLLAPSEOFSOVIET-TYPESOCIALISMmIEUROPEANDTHE

LESSONSFORCHINA*.

MinoruSAITO

Prq/臼ssor,FtJmkyqfEm"omjcs,HmejU"jvelTj(y

FollowingtheexampIesoftheSovietUnionandEast-Europeancountries,Chinatriedtointroducc economicrefbrmsafterthcdisastersoftheCuIturalRevolutionItseemsthatChinaintendsto

continueexpenmentingwitheconomicrefbrmsevemaftertheTian-An-MentragedyWhich

suppressedmemiIesslytheappealfOrpolitical「eform・

However,therecentsituationinEasternEuropeshowedthatattemptingeconomicrefOrmswithout politicaldemocratizationcannotsucceedandcalmleadtothecollapseofsociaIistregimes,IfChina wishestoleamthelessonsfmmthatexperlence,itwiI1benecessaryfOrChinatocombineeconimic refOrmwithpoliticalrefOrm,oratleasttoallowaconsiderabledegreeofpoliticalreIaxationButafter theTian-An-MentragedyithasbecomemoredifficultfbrtheregimetoobtainapopulaTconsensus

fOrrefbrmme2sq1res.

LTheCollapseofSoviet-TypeSOcialism l・TheRecemtSituationinEasternEumpe

Soviet-typesocialism,characterizedbyone-partyruleinpoliticsandcentralized planningintheeconomy,wasprimarilyshapedintheSovietUnioninthel930s

underJosephStalinThisSoviet-typesocialism-infactfardifferentfromthe

notionsofsocialisminMarxiantheory,whichpresupposedtheadventofsocialism astheresultofhighlydevelopedcapitalism-wasintroducedintoEastemEurope

andAsiancountries,includingChina,aftertheSecondWorldWar・

InEastemEurope,Soviet-typesocialismasdefinedabovestarted,almost simultaneously,aroundl948whenthecommunistpartiesabsorbedthesocial- democraticpartiesandthusinadefactofashionestablishedone-partyrule・

Immediatelyafterthis,allEastemEuropeancountiesbegantheirfirstFive-Year PlanssimilartothatoftheSovietUnioninthel930s,Asaresult,IcalISoviet-type socialisminEastemEuropetheRegimeofl948、Thedrasticpoliticalchangesin EastemEuropefroml989onarenothingbutthecollapseofthisRegimeofl948.

IwillventuretosaythattheintroductionofthisRegimeofl948inEastem EuropewasinsomesensenecessaryandusefUl,atleastintheinitialstageofits introductionAlmostallEastemEurOpeancountries(tosaynothingofChina)

塾)TIDjSjSa唾visedve届ionofthoarticlewritにninJapanesowhichw…riginalIypubIishcdinK・YamanouchiandK・Kikq1chicds.

(19”).。、蛭oku雄izai〃oSllin。。“”"-8。"oKHFどkim7mboIJ,HoseiDaigakuShuppanKyoku(NewAspectsofthe ChineseEcouBomy:mePmc芯$びげRご/bmwmdjHsP'USP"fF・TOkyqHoseiUnivcrsityP唾ss).Thisbookisoneoftheresultsof reseaTchomModelnChincscEconomybyastudygrouporgamizedatHoseiUnive応ityWslmstituteofCOmparativeEconomic

StlUdi聖

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MinoruSAITO

wereeconomicaIlylessdevelopedthantbeWest,andtheywereeagertoovercome thiscomparativebackwardnessbytheshortestroute・Undertheconditionsofthe ColdWar,theyhadnochoicebuttoadoptSoviet-typesocialism,whichwas supposedtobethebestwaytoattaintheabove-mentionedaimOskarLange,the famousPolisheconomistwhopIayedaIeadingrolempost-wareconomicpolicy- makinginhiscountry,admittedinl957thattheColdWarhadbroughtfOrththe situationwhichmadealIEastemEuropeancountrics(thencallcdPeoplc,s

Democracies)imitatetheSovietmodelofsocialistconstructionl)ThismodeLas pointedbyLange,wasinfactthemethodofa“wareconomy"・Emphasizingthe

historicalnecessityofthismodel,Langealsoadmittedthatawareconomycould notbeapermanentwaytomanagetbenationaleconomy,althoughinsomeperiods

oftimeithadbeennecessaryandusefULz)

SilviuBrucan,diplomatandpoliticianinRomaniaundertheCeausescuregime,

confessedthathewasshockedtoseethattheeconomicandtechnicaldisparity betweentheWestandtheEastwasmuchwiderinl985andl986whenherevisited theUnitedStatesandWesternEurope,tban30yearsbefOrewhemhehadbeenthe RomanianambassadortoWashingtonAshestated:

bythewell-knownhistoricaIconditionsthatthesocialistrevolutionstartedinless developedcountries,post-revolutionarygovernmentswereforcedtoindustrial‐

izetheircountriesinordertocatchupwithcapitalistcountrieseconomicallyand technologically・Asfarasthecompetitionconcemedthedegreesofindustrializa‐

tion,thingswentwellaccordingtotheplans;namely,thosecountriescouldcatch

upslowIybutsteadilywiththeWestattainingrelativelyhighergrowthrates・

However,thefailuresinscientificandtechnoIogicaIrevolutionoffSeteverything JustatthetimewhenintheWestnewtechnologieswereappliedonalargescale andthusresultedinenormousexpansionofproductivefOrces,intheEastthere

happenedadrasticslowdownofgrowthrates、Thisshowednothingbutthe inadaptabilityofdirectiveplanningsysteminauguratedbyStalintoscientificand technologicalrevolution3)

ThismeansthatSoviet-typeSocialism,whichhadbeen“necessaryandusefUl,,in

theearlystagesofindustrializationcouldnotsurviveanylonger、Justafterthe

SecondWorldWar,intheshortperiodbefOretheestablishmentoftheRegimeof l948,therewereseveralattemptstocreateamoredemocraticandrationalregime,

calledthe“ThirdWay”(differingbothfromSoviet-typeandfromtheWestem- type)ItisdoubtfUlwhethertheThirdWaywaspossibleundertheconditionsof theColdWar,butafterStalin,sdeathinl953,whentheColdWarwaSgradually

beginningtomeltawayandtheinitialstageofindustrializationinEasternEurope wascomingtoanend,therewererenewedattemptstoimprovethecxistingsystem

toadapttothechangedsituation

Especiallyinthemid-sixties,whenevenintheSovietUnionthereappeared Kosygineconomicreform,variouseffortsweremadetoimprovetheexisting

socialistsystem・TheseexperimentaIreformswerebasedontherecognitionthat thereweredifferentinterestsi、society・IntheSoviet-typeofsocialism,itwas

supposedthatthestatecouldrepTesenttheinterestofthesocietyasawhole・

Enterprises(almostallofthemownedbythestate)asthefUndamentalunitsof

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THECOLLAPSEOFSOⅥETxTYPESOCIALISMlNEUROPEANDTHELESSONSFORCHINA

reproductionweresupposedtobemerepartsof“onesinglefactory,,、Thusthe interestsofindividualsasproducersaswellasconsumersweresupposedtobe

perfectlyrepresentedbythestatcUnderthesesuppositionsitwouldberational thatthestatedictateeverythingthroughcentralizedplanni、9,andtherewouldbe

noneedfOrparliamentarydemocracyastherewouldbenoconflictofinterests

However,itwasevidenteveninthel960sthattheexistingsocialiststatecould notpelfectlyrepresenttheinterestofsocietyasawhole,becauseitcouldneither

managethesocietyas“onesinglefactory,,,norsatisfytheneedsofeveryone throughcentralizedplanningAsWlodzimierzBrusemphasizedinhisdecentral‐

izedmodelofeconomicmanagement("amodelofaplannedeconomywithabuilt‐

inmarketmodel,,)4),atIeastthreedifferentkindsofinterestsshouldbedefined andcoordinated:namely,theinterestsofstate,enterprisesandindividuals,

Betweenthestateandvaliousenterprises,insteadofstrictlycentralizedplanning thereshouldbeguaranteedautonomyofmanagementfOrenterprises,thus recognizing(evenstate-owned)enterprisesasindependenteconomicunits,while thestateshouldlimititsroletomaintainingalong-termmacro-economicbalance fOrthesocietyasawhole,Roughlyspeakmg,thisisthemaintaskofeconomic

refOrm(refOrmofeconomicmanagemcntandplanning)Betweeneachenterprise anditsworkingcollective(individualsorganizedasproducers),thedifference betweeninterestsshouldbecoordinatedthroughworkers,participation,collective

managementorworkers,self-management・ThismcansthereisaneedfOr

democratizationintheworkplacewhichhasbeenabsentinSoviet-typesocialism Andlastbutnotleast,betweenthestatcandindividuals(ascitizens)civicrights

shouldbefUllyguaranteedThismeansthereisaneedfOrdemocratizationofthe

societyasawhole・

TherefOrmofeconomicmanagementandplanningshouldbecoincidentwith politicalrefOrm(democratization),toovercomeresistancefromthesideofthe

existingplanningbureaucracy;andthepursuitfOrrationalcconomicmanagement shouldbecompIementedbyelementsofworkers,selfLmanagementtoguarantee cooperationfromthesideoftheworkingforce・TherefOre,inmyview,ifthe radicalrefbmoftheexistingSoviet-typesocialismispossible,thereshouldbea comprehensiverefOrmintegratingthosethreeaspccts(economicreform,self managementanddemocratization),whichmightleadtoanoptimalcombinationof economicrationalityandpoliticaldemocracy・However,untilthedrasticeventsof

l989,exceptintheuniqueandunsuccesfUleffOrtsofworkers,seIf-managementin Yugoslaviasincel950andintheunfOrtunatelyshort-livedPragueSpringfOr democratization,allothereffortstorefOrmtheexistingSoviet-typesocialismin EastemEurope(includingl965KosyginrefolmintheSovietUnion)concentrated solelyonthepartialmodificationoftheexistingsystemofeconomicmanagement andplanning,withoutanyseriousstepfbrworkers,selfLmanagementorthe

democratizationofpoliticalsystem、

ThosepartialrefbrmscouldonlybejustifiedtemporarilyAsfarastheywere

successfUlinimprovingpeople,seconomicconditions,thepoliticaldissatisfaction withtheexistingsystemwaseconomicallycompensatedOncethiseconomic compensationceasestowork,thedeficiencyofthesepartialrefonnswillbe seriouslyfelttothepointofrealdangerfOrtheexistingsystemMoreover,even thosepartialrefOrmsimpliedalotoftheoreticaIproblemshithertounresolved;

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MinoruSAlTO

suchasthenecessityofmarketinstitutionsinasocialisteconomy(notonlythe

existenceofthemixedeconomyduringtheshortperiodoftransitionbutalsoa

considerablelong-timecoexistenceofplanandmarket),mixed(state,cooperative,

individualandprivate)ownershipofthemeansofproductio、,aswellasan acceptablelimitfOrsocialinequality

Thoseproblemsalsoimpliedpracticalquestions;howcanasocialistmixed economyworkeffectively,withoutdamagingtheaccustomedsocialbenefitsand thequalityoflifehithertoenjoyed;howcanthedemocratizationofthework-place beintroducedinhannonywitheconomicefficiency,withoutleadingtoeconomic

chaosasinthecaseofworkers,selfmanagementinYugoslavia;andwhatkindof

politicalreformcanbeintroducedpeacefullyintotheexistingsystem?Inaddition,

themostimportantquestionis,iftheexistingsystem,alreadysufferingfrom ecnomicinefficiencyandpoliticaldissatisfaction,cannotsuccessfUllyreformitself,

whereistheraisond,etreoftheexistingsystem?

AsisweII-knowntoday,Soviet-typesocialisminEasternEuropecouldnot refOrmitselfquicklyenough(theeffOrtsandfailuresofindividualrefOrmswillbe analyzedlater)WillthisalsobcthecasefOrChina?

2.IsThereaChineseTypeofSociaIism?

Duringthel960s,ChinesecommunistleadersunderMaoZe-donginafierce

debatecriticizedSovietleaderNikitaKhrushchev,accusingthathewastryingto

tumsocialismintocapitalismFroml966o、,theChineseleadershipinitiatedthe

so-called“CulturalRevolution,,、Canwesaynowthatthiscreatedaunique

ChinesetypeofsocialismclearlydistinguishablefromtheSoviet-type,orshouIdwe saythattheyonlytriedtomaintainandreproducetheoldSoviet-typcsocialism?

WhenthePeople,sRepublicofChinastarteditsFirstFive-YearPlaninl953,it wasundertheslogan“StudyexclusivelytheexpenencesoftheSovietUnion,,、At thattimetheChineseleadershiptriedwithalltheirmighttocreatethesameSoviet‐

typeeconomicandpoliticalsysteminChinathroughcentralizedadministrative- directiveplanning・TheGreatLeapForward(1958-1960)andtheCultural Revolution(froml966),bothinitiatedandpromotedbyMao,were,inmyview,

theeffortstoovercometheinherentcontradictionsoftheSovict-typesocialism

throughanon-Soviet,uniquelyChinesestyle,emphasizingselfconsciousactivity

ofChinesepeoplethemselves・

AfterMao,sdeathinl976andtheofficialdenouncementoftheCultural

Revolution,itseemedthatChinawasonceagainfollowingthepathofSoviet-type Socialism,addingtothisprototypetheexperiencesofthemorerecentpartial

reformsoftheSovietUnionandEasternEurope、AfterlvisitedChinafOrthefirst timeinl979,IwrotemyimpressionsofChinaasfOlIows:

AfterthedeathofMaoZe-dong,andafterthearrestoftheGangofFour,China

atlastreachedthestagewhereitcouldbegintocriticizeMaoastheStalinof

ChinaButinthosetwentyyearssinceMaoblamedLiuShao-qiasthe KhrushchevofChina,therehavebeenconsiderableexperimentationwithpartial

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THECOLLAPSEOFSOVIET-TYPESOCIALISMINEUROPEANDTHELESSONSFORCHINA

refOrmintheSovietUnionandinEasternEurope・ThenecessityfOrrefOrm objectiveIyexistedalsoinChina,butitsstartwashamperedbytheCultural RevolutionTherefOre,present-day(1979)chinaisexperiencingsimultaneously therevisionofeconomicpolicies,thecriticismofStalin(Mao),thedebateson economicrefOrm,thereappraisaloftheYugoslavWorkers,selfman- agement,``PragueSpring,,anditsreversal,allinahighlycompressedfOrm5)

LookingbackonthetimeoftheFirstFive-YearPlan,wasthereinChinathe urgentnecessitytoimitatethefOrcedindustriaIizationadoptedintheSovietUnion inthel930s?Thisquestionwasindeedraisedatthattime,askingwhetheritwas necessaryfOrChinatospeedupindustrialization.AfteralLChinawasthen enjoyingaidfromtheSovietUnionandEast-Europeancountries,andthusina morefavourableinternationalsituationthantheSovietUnionwasafterthe OctoberRevolutionTothisquestionrepliedLiFu-chun(thenthechiefofthe ChineseStatePlanningCommission),sayingthatChinainheritedbackward economicconditionsandwassurroundedbyviciousimperalism・Underthese conditions,itwasnecessaryfOrChinatospeedupindustrializationIfnot,there wouldberealdangernotonIytotheconstructionofasocialistsocietyinChinabut alsooflosingeconomicandpoliticalindenpendenceasaresultofagressionby

imperialiStcOuntrieS6)

Asiswell-knownjustattheendoftheFirstFive-YearPlan,amongthe leadershipoftheChineseCommunistParty,therearoseastmggleconcemingthe courseoffurthereconomicconstructionAttheEighthNationalCongressofthe

PartyheldinSeptemberl956,afactionledbyLiuShao-qitemporarilywonby criticizingthe“rushedadvance,,promotedbyMao・Liuatthattimeproposedthat theprimarytaskshouldbetowidendemocracyandtostruggleagainst

bureaucratism,appealingtonon-communistintellectualstocriticizethedefectsand enorsofthecommunists・Forthatpurpose,fromMayl957thePartyinitiatedthe so-calledperiodofa“HundredFlowers”(whenitwassaidthatonehundred Howerswouldflourishtogetherandonehundredthoughtswouldbedebated together).However,thisrevealedthefactthattheantipathyagainstthe CommunistPartyamongthoseintellectualswasmuchstrongerthanexpected,

pointingthattherewasneitherrealsocialistdemocracynorquasi-democracyasin

capitalistcountries・

Facingthis,anotherfactionledbyMaodemandedacounter-attackonthose criticisms,blamingtheintellectualsas“rightwingelements,,、Thistime,the majorityofthecommunistleadershipincludingLiu,sfactionfOllowedMaoin changingthecoursefromtheHundredFlowerspolicytothe“StruggleAgainstthe

Rights"・AtthispointaseliseofcrisisfOrthecommunists,ruleunitedtheParty・

ThiswasafavourablewindfbrMaowhousedittocounter-attacktheopposition groupwithintheParty・AnextraordinarysecondsessionoftheEighthParty CongressconfirmedMao,svictoryagainstLiu,whichledlatertotheGreatLeap

ForwardandtheCulturaIRevoIution・

TheCulturalRevolutionwasfinallybroughttoanendinl976,afterthefirst Tian-An-MenIncidentinAprilandMao,sdeathinOctober,fOllowedbythearrest ofthcGangofFbur・TheCulturalRevolutionwasthencalledinChina“the DisasterofTenYears,,,indicatingtheperiodfromitsstartinl966、Butlaterthere

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MinoruSA1TO

wasanotherexpression,"theDisasterofTwentyYears",whichimpliesthatthe disasterhadstartedhPomMao,svictoryoverLiu

However,itwouldbeamistakeifLiu,scourseisover-estimated・BetweenLiu andMaotherewasnodifferenceconcerningthenecessityoftheruleoftheParty,

therefOretheyunitedinthestruggIeagainsttheRight・Thedifferencebetween

themwas,thatLiuintendedtoadoptKhrushchev-typemini-revisionofeconomic

policyinordertomaintaintheexistingregimc,whileMaoinsistedonidealizingthe

war-timeYunanexperiences、

HadtheexperiencesoftheCulturalRcvolutionleftChinaanythmgdifferent fromtheoriginalSoviet-typeSocialism?Undoubtedly,ithadbroughttothe Chineseeconomyextremelydestructiveresults・Iftherewerenofavourablenon‐

economicoutcomesfromtheexperiencesoftheCulturalRevolution,thenitwas

clearlynothingbutagra、diosewasteoftimeandonecouldsaytherereallyareno originalelementsinChinesesocialismThiswouldsuggestthatChinahasno prospectotherthantofOllowtheexampleofSovietsocialismbeingseveralsteps

behindHowever,itwouldbeworthwhiletopointoutthefactthatsomany

commonChinesepeoplejoinedtheCulturalRevolutio、,whichwecannotexplain solelyfromthepersonalauthorityofMao、ManyChinesepeopleshowedthentheir dissatisfactionwithprotestagainstthegrowingsocialimbalancesandbureaucrat‐

ismundertheleadershipofLiuShao-qi・IfsocialismshouldbebasedontheselfL

consiciousnessofthemiIlionsofpeopIe,theexpcriencesofthattimemightadd somethingtoChinesesocialism.

ILTheFailuresofIntra-RegimeRefDrmsinEasternEurope

AslstatedbefOre,ifradicalrefOrmsoftheexistingSoviet-typesocialismwere

possible,itshouldbeacomprehensiverefOrmintegratingthreeaspects(thereform ofeconomicmanagementandplanning,Workers,selfLmanagement,andthe

democratizationofthepoliticalsystem),whichmightleadtoanoptimal combinationofeconomicrationalityandpoliticaldemocracy・However,therehave

beenonlypartialrefOrmssuchas:(1)theuniqueandunsuccessfuleffortsof workers,self-managementinYugoslaviasincel950;(2)theunfortunatelyshort‐

livedPragueSpringfordemocratizationofCzechoslovaksocictyinl968;(3)the

NewEconomicMechanisminHungaryasafOrerunnerofeconomicreformswhich

wasnotabletopreventthecollapscofSoviet-typeSocialism;and(4)therccurrcnt

faiIureofrefOrmsinPoland(itseemsthattheSovietUnionunderGorbaChevis

fOllowingthePolishpattern).ThemaincbaracteTisticsofeachoftheseintra-regime refOrmexperimentsareshownbrieHybclow.

1.SdfManagementinYugOslavia

Asiswell-known,YugoslaviaunderTito,whichhadactuallybeenthefirstto

introduceSoviet-typesocialismintoEasternEuropc,wasexpelledbyStalinfrom

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THECOLLAPSEOFSOVIET-TYPESOCIALlSMINEUROPEANDTHELESSONSFORCHINA

theEastemblocinl949,AfterthattheYugoslavIeadershipearnestlytriedtofind theirownidentityasasocialistcountry,criticizingSoviet-typesocialismasStalinist bureaucraticstatesocialismTheyclaimedthattheyrediscoveredMarxwhohad insistedthatpost-revolutinarystateshouldgraduallydieawayandthattheworkers shouldbethegenuinemastersofthefuturesocietyinsteadofthebureaucratsOn

27Junel950theFundamentaILawonWorkers,SelfManagementwasadoptedby theYugoslavparliament,andsincethenworkingcollectivesof“socially-owned,,

(notstate-owned)enterprisescouldelcctworkers,councils,whichhadtherightto managealltheaffairsoftheirenterprisesthroughmanagingcommitteeselectedby

theworkers,councils・

Decision-makingwasthusdcccntraIizedtotheenterpriseleveLsocentral planningwastobeabandonedLater,sincethebeginningofthel960s,various refOrmmeasuresmthesphereofcconomicpolicywereintroducedtoconfOrmto thesystemofworkers,councils、ThisprocessIedtothedevelopmentofaformof

“marketsocialism,,、

However,Workers,selfmanagemcntinYugoslaviawasintroducedunderthe one-partyruleoftheYugoslavLeagueofCommunistsand,inthisrespect,wasnot farfromthepoliticalsystemunderStalin,Itistruethatthereexistedanidealofthe transitionfromone-partyruletosomekindofdirectdemocracy,buttheactual politicalprocessinYugoslaviawasalwaysincIinedtocentralizepoliticalpower,

wheneverpoliticalandeconomicdifficultiesaroscDr・IvanT・Berend(then RectorofBudapestUniversityofEconomics,laterPresidentoftheHungarian AcademyofSciences)oncetoldmethathehadthoughtinl956thattheworkers,

councilssystemshouldbeintroducedalsoinHungary,butaftertwentyyearshe fOundthatbehindtheYugoslavsystemtherewasastrongtendencyfOrpolitical

centralization

lnthel960s,whenfurthermeasurestoenhance“marketsocialism,,wcretaken,

suchastheabolitionofthecontrolofwagesandtheliberalizationoffbreigntrade,

Yugoslaveconomicconditionsworsenedduetothelackofmacro-economic balance,resultinginagallopinginHation・Therewerethreepossiblecounter‐

measuresatthattime,namely:(1)revivingthecentralizedcontrolofeconomy,

considerablyrestrictingnotonly“marketsocialism,,butalsoworkers,self

managementinordertorestoremacro-cconomicbalance;(2)onthecontarry,

enhancing“marketsocilism,,,onthegroundthatthereasonfOreconomic difficultieswasnotthelackofcentralcontrolbutthemalfUnctioningofthemarket mechanism;(3)stickingtotheprincipleoftheWorkers,selfmanagement,whatever

theeconomicresultswouldbc

Thefirstcountermeasurewasrejectedinprinciple,andTitoadoptedthesecond andthethirdcountermeasurescombined,ButaftcrTitodied,thingsgotworseand worsewithanastronomicrateofinHation,leadingYugoslaviaintoeconomic

chaos・AsMilovanDjilas(oncevice-presidentunderTito)said,"theonlythingthat fUnctionedunderTitowasTito''7)TheYugoslavselfLmanagementsystem,which

Iackedasufficientlyrationalsystemofeconomicmanagementthatcouldcombine workers,selfLmanagementwithmacro-economicefficiency,andlackeda democraticpoliticalsystemwhichcouldhavereplacedone-partyrule,wasdestined tofailure・However,thisfailureispreciousfromtheviewpointoflearninghowto combineeconomicrationalitywithworkers,fundamentalrightsattheworkshop

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MjnomSAITO

leveL

2.‘`PragueSpring,,inCzechoslowhkia

Atthebeginningofthel960s,inrelativeIyhighlyindustrializedCzechoslovakia theadministrative-directivesystemofeconomicplanningresultedinanabrupt

worseningofeconomicperfOrmance、Thisdemandedaradicalre-examinationof thepasteconomicpoliciessincetheintroductionofSoviet-typesocialismaround

l948Thisre-examinationbroughtafairlymarket-orientedeconomicrefOrmi、

1965,whichinturnclarifiedtheurgentneedtoeliminatethepoliticalobstaclesto

thesuccessofthereform

JustafterthefirsttentativerefOrmmeasureswereinterruptedbypoliticaI

oppositioninl961,theCzechoslovakeconomyexperiencedashalpdeteriolation,

andmarkedinl963aclearrecessionforthefirsttimeunderthesystemofa

plannedeconomy、ManyCzechoslovakeconomists(includingOtaSik,whowasat

thattimetheheadoftheInstituteofEconomicsoftheCzechoslovakAcademyof

Sciences)arguedthatthescnegativephcnomenawerctheinevitableresultofthe administrative-directiveplanni、9.TheThirdFive-YearPlan(1961-1965)in progresswasabandoned,andaradicaleconomicrefOrmwasintroducedwhichwas

intendedtocreate‘`normalmarketconditions,,inthesphereofexternaltrade,

domestictradeandinvestment・ThcrefOrmaffectedfavourablyoveralleconomic

growth,buttheintroductionofaflexiblepricesystemasakeypartoftherefOrm enabledthemonopolizedlargestateenterprisestoraisepriceseasily・Thisresulted

inaninUationarypncespiralinl967-1968

Meanwhile,theadvanceofeconomicrefOrmmeasuressharplyconfrontedthe traditionaladministrativeinstitutionsandbureaucrats,andaradicalpolitical

changeswereclearlyneeded、ThustheActionProgrammeoftheCommunistParty

ofCzechoslovakia,adoptedinAprill968,pointedthatthepreviouseconomic

policiesbasedonthedirective-administrativemethodhadresultedineconomic

imbalances,inefficiency,andstagnationanddeteriolationofpeople,sliving standardltfUrthersuggestedthatthedeeperreasonwhytheout-datedeconomic

managementsystcmhadsurvivedwasduetoadistortionofthepoliticalsystem,a

lackofatimelywideningofsocialistdemocracy,andadegenerationof

revolutionarydictatorshipintobureaucratism,whichhamperedprogressinevery sphereofCzechoslovaklife・TherefOre,thedemocratizationofpoliticallife,above

allthedenialofone-partyrulewasthenecessaryandinevitablepre-conditionfOr

thesuccessofeconomicrefOrm

Thedemocratizationofpoliticallifebeganwiththeabolitionofcensorship,

whichenabledopencriticismoftheCommunistPartyOntheotherhand,the

SovietUnionunderBrezhnevaccusedthis“PragueSpring,,democratizationasa movemcntofcounter-revolutionlikethatinHungaryinl956、Onthenightof

August20,1968,sixhundredthousandarmedfOrcesoffiveWarsawPactcountries ledbySovietmiUtarycommandersinvadedCzechoslovakia・Afterthat,asearlyas

thenextmonthcensorshipwasrevivedandtheCommunistPartyofCzechoslova‐

kiaunderGustavHusakexpelIedfromitsrankabouthalfamillionrefonn-minded

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THECOLLAPSEOFSOVIET-TYPESOCIALISMINEUROPEANDTHELESSONSFORCHINA

communists,includingtheex-FirstSecretaryAlexanderDubcek・

ThesuppressionofPragueSpringwasaseriousmistakenotonlyfOr CzechoslovakiabutfOrallcountrieswithSoviet-typesocialismlnthemidstof PragueSpringthefamous“Manifestoof2000Words,,wamedtheCommunist PartythatitwasthelastchancefOrthePartytorehabilitateitself,whichlater provedcorrect・TheaccumulateddissatisfactionoftheCzechoslovakpeople discreditedtheCommunistPartywhichcouIdnotmaintainvoicesoftherefOrm underitsownleadership、AlloverEastemEurope,thedemocratizationofthe politicalsystemwasstrictlybannedandanyrefOrmoftheeconomicsystemwhich mightextendintothepoliticalsystemwasblocked・Thisinturnmadeeventhe economicrefOrmmeasuresinadequate

TimehadbeentooshortfOrtheCzechosIovakrefOrmexperimentstoshowtheir feasibility・Inparticular,duringPragueSpringtherefOrmersintentionally postponedmeasurestoguaranteetheactiveparticipationofworkersinthe managmemoftheirenterprises,toavoidover-burdeningthenewly-fOrmedwokers,

councils・Duetothat,theCzechoslovakrefOrmsinl968areoftencharacterizedas

"technocratic,,reforms,whichmighthavecontributedtothepassiveattitudeofthe Czechoslovakworkersincontrasttothatoftheintellectualswithrespecttoboth

therefOrmsandtheSovietinvasion

However,asJiriKostawhoassistedOtaSikinPragueSpringwrote,

CzechoslovakiawasthefirstamongthosecountriesundertheSovietinHuence thattriedtointegratetheelementsofself-managmentintothedecentralized systemofeconomicpIaming,atarelativeIyhighdegreeofindustrial developmentinadditiontoattemptingtomaintainnon-capitalistformsof

ownershiplncompansontoYugosIavia,therewereconsiderablesufficientpre‐

conditionsfOrsuccess・ButCzechoslovakiacouldnotfinishitsexperimemtsThat wasbecausetheSovietleadershipfearedthattheCzechoslovakexpenments wouldspreadtoothercountriessuchasEastGermany,Hungary,Polandand eventheSovietUnionitselfThelongexpenenceinYugoslaviaofselfL managementandtheshort-livedgermofdemocratizationinCzechoslovakiain l968showedboththeproblemsandthepossibilitiesfOrthesolutiontothe integrationofplanningandselfmanagementundersocialisln8)

JiriKostawrotethisinl974,hopingthatCzechoslovak“socialismwithahuman face,,wouldrevivesomeday・However,todayitseemstoolatenotonlyfOrSoviet- typesocialismbutalsofOranytypeofsocialismtosurviveinCzechoslovakiaafter twentyyearsofresistancetoreaIrefOrms.

3.EcomomicRehrminHungary

TheoriginalconceptionofHungarianeconomicrcfOrmwasbomduringthefirst lmreNagygovernmentofl953-1955,butafterl956thedebateoneconomic mechanismwouldnotregainmomentumuntill963・Thedebateresultedinthe actualintroductionoftheso-called“NewEconomicMechanism,,in1968.Atthat

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timeHungarywasverycautiousconcentratingthedebateoneconomicpolicy,

avoidinganyreferencesonpoliticalrefOrmTheremightbetwomainreasonsof thiscautiousness:first,HungaryhadaIreadyexpcriencedSovietmilitary interventioninl956,andsotheHungarianleadershad,afterthat,takenthe greatestcarenottoirritatetheSovietleadcrs・Moreover,itwasmcreasinglyclear thattheCzeshoslovakpoliticalrefOrmsatthattimewereundermountingpressures

fromtheoutsides、

Second,after1956,especiallysincetheendofl961whentheHungarianparty leaderJdnosKddardeclare。that"thosewhoarenotagainstusarewithus,,,there wereaconsiderabledegreeofpoliticalrelaxationandamoodofreconciliationin Hungary、Thiswassupposedtoguaranteeafavourablepoliticalclimatewithwhich itwouldbepossibletointroducearadicalcconomicrefOrmwithoutaccompanying furtherpoliticalrefbrmmeasures・

Withrespecttotheissueofworkers,participation,aYugoslavtypeofworkers,

councilshadbeenspontaneouslyorganizedinBudapestduringl956butsuppressed thereafter・Inl977whenlvisitedBudapest,RezsONyers(whowascalledthe

"FatherofHungarianEconomicReform",forhewasresponsiblefOrthe introductionofl968economicrefOrmasSecretaryofthePartyinchargeof economicpolicy)answeredclearlytomyquestionthatitwasimpossibleinHungary tointroducethesystemofworkers,councilsbecauseofobjectionsfromtheSoviet

Union・

ThusHungaryinitiateditseconomicreforminl968withnoradical democratizationofpoliticallife,retainingone-partyrulewithoutanypromiscof politicalpluralism,noranykindofworke「s,sclfmanagement、Thiswaspossible becauseatthattimethereexistedinHungaryacertaindegreeofsocialconsensus,

neithertoretreattothepre-1956stateofaffairsnortorepeatthebloodshedof l956,ThisconsensuswasinawayrefIectedintheeditorialarticleoftheofficial

"NewHungarianQuarterly”in1986,whichpointedthat“inthesethirtyyears manyofthedemandsoftheautumnofl956havenotonlybeenfUIfilledbut

overfUlfilledbyfar",)

However,aftertheremarkablesuccessofitsinitialstage,Hungananeconomic refOrmconfrontedmanydifficulties,especiallywhentherefOrmentereditssecond decadeThosedifficultiesmightbepartlyduetothefactthatthel968Hungarian reformwasahalfwayreformwithrespccttotheutilizationofmarketmechanism,

andpartlyduetothefactthatintemationalcompetitionintheworldmarketwas tooseverefOrtheover-protectedHungarianindustry・Rezs6Nyerswamedinl984 thattheslow-downofthereformprocessonthepleaofthosedifficultiesmightmelt downthe“capital,,ofpoliticaItrust,butforfUrtherrefOrmhithertoacceptedsocial policyachievements(suchasjobsecurityandpriccstability)wouldhavetobe questionedAsNyerswrote,

ThesolutionofthetopicaleconomicpoIicytasksinvolvesthreeproblems:first,

managementpracticeunderchangingcircumstancesrequiresbroadpolitical backing;second,transitionalsocialtensionsaretobeexpectedinfactoriesand

enterprises;third,thetaskcanonlybesolvedwithawidesocialsupport.、'0)

HerearoseagaintheneedfOrpoliticalreforminHungary、Thereseemedtobe

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THECOLLAPSEOFSOⅥEPTYPESOCIALISMlNEUROPEANDTHELESSONSFORCHINA

severalreasonsfOrthat・First,politicaltrustfOrthePost-l968regimeunderJanos KddarwhichhadexistedattheinitialstageofeconomicrefOrmwasgradually meltingawayduringthosetwodecades,anditwasnecessaryfOranyfUrtherrefOrm toregainpopularsupportbyaradicalpoliticalchange、Second,asNyerspointed,

fUrtherpursuitfOrimprovingeconomicefficiencywouldendangersocial achievementspreviouslyconsideredasguaranteedJdnosKomaioncestatedthat therewerecontradictionsbetweentheefficiencyconditionsontheoneside,and theethicalprinciplesofSocialismsuchassolidarityandsecurityontheother,and

"oneofthebestqualitiesofHungana、practiceinrecentyearsmightbethatithas notsoughtatalltocreatetheillusionofhavingfOundafinalsolution,butassumes

thetaskofexperimentingandexploringwaysandmeans,,、'1)

Third,asfarasHungarianeconomicperformancchadbcenfavourable(asinthc firstfiveyearssincetheintroductionofthereform),akindof“economic compensation,,worked,inasensethatpopulardissatisfactioncausedbythelackof widerdemocraticrightsmightbecompensatedpartlybyrelativelyavailable consumergoods、Butundertheconditionsofeconomicdifficulties,theneedfbr

"politicalcompensation,,mustemerge、Inordertopersuadepeopletocooperate withtheregimeevenatthesacrificeoftheirownIivingstandard,theregimeneeds togainlegitimacyasthegenuinerepresentativeofpeople,sintereststhrough democratizingthepoliticallifc

Fourth,anyeconomicrefOrminasociaIistsystemhastobeaccompaniedbya radicalpoliticalchange,becausethesysteminitselfintegrateseconomywith politics、Amarket-orientcdsocialisteconomy(ifpossiblc)cannotbecompatiblc withaStalinist-typepoliticalsystem,whichwascompatibleonIywithan administrative-directivemethodofeconomicmanagement・Inthatsense,the inherentdeficiencyoftheHungarianl968refOrmshouldhavebecomeobviousin duetime,whatevertheeconomicperformancemighthavebeen・

ItwastoolatealsofOrHungarytoinitiatepoliticalrefOrmfromabove・Since l988undermountingcriticismagainsttherulingSocialistWorkers,Partybythe mushroomingindependentpoliticalpartiesandorganizations,thePartyrapidlylost itsinUuence、Finally,afterthefirstfreeelectionsincel948heldinMarch,1990,a conservativecoaUtiongovernmentemergedinHungarywhichrejectedanysortof

socialism

4.RecurremFaUureofRefbrmTrialsofPoland

InPoland,withmuchdebateandseveralattemptstointroduceeconomicrefOrm sincel956,noeffectivereformmeasureshadbeenfOundtoworkwithintheframe‐

workofthesocialistsystem・AccordingtoJanuszZielinski,inthel950sandl960s therewerefourbasicperiodstoconsider:1956-1959wastheperiodofemerging conceptionsofreform;1959-1965sawinterimdebateandpartialattemptatrefOrm;

andafterl965refOnnmeasuresweregraduallyintroduced・ButtheMarcheventat WarsawUniversityinl968andthefirstGdanskuprisinginl970forcedtheregime underGomulka(since1956)tocollapsetogetherwiththerefOrmmeasuuresThe periodafterl971(whichendedwiththeemergingof“Solidarity,,movementin

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MinoruSAITO

1980)wasdefinedbyZielinskiasthepcriodofpromiseofrcfOrmoftheregime

underEdwardGierek12)

AfterthecoHapseofGomulkaregime,thePoIishgovemmentrenewedthe attemptfOrrefOrmbyintroducinganeweconomicandfinancialsysteminl973.

ButthiswasalsodestinedtofailfacingwithnationwidewavesofprotestinJune l976P.G・HareandP.T・Wanlescomparedthesuccessfulintroductionofthel968 reforminHungarywiththefailureofPolishl973-1975refOrmsasfOllows、First,

PolandintendedtointroduceeconomicrefOrmwithoutreducingthestrainofhigh economicgrowth,whichledtolargerdomesticandexternalimbalances,causing populardissatisfaction・MeanwhileinHungary,theThirdFive-YearPlan(1966‐

1970)intendedonlytosustainsteadyeconomicgrowth,maintainingdomesticand extemalbalances,andsogravesocialtensionwasavoidedinHungaryatthe introductionofthel968reform、Second,the“guided-marketmodel,,was introducedatthebeginningofl968,completelyabandoningthetraditional administrative-directiveplanninglncontrast,inPolandthel973-1975refOrmwas amixtureoftraditionalandnewsystems,andPolishpolicy-markerseasiIylosttheir selfconfidenceoncefacedwithdifficulties・ThisledeventuaIlytosweepingretreat fromthereformmeasures13)

Therecurrentfailureofreformsbroughtacriticalsituationinl9801nthe summerofl980thenewly-formedindependenttrade-unionmovement“Solid- arity,,sharplycriticizedthePolishgovemmentledbythePolishUnitedWorkers,

PartyfOrthefailureofrefOrms,anddemandedthatthegovemmentresolvethe accumulatedgraveproblemsimmediatelyinonelump・AtthattimethePolish regimehadtocopewithinsurmountabletasks:tointroducedemocratizationofthe politicalsystemsimilartothatofthePragueSpring,toduplicatetheHunganan modelofeconomicreform,andtointroducetheYugoslavmodelofworkers,selfL management、Finally,alloftheseweretobeaccomplishedduringtheexisting

economiccrisis・

ThePolishregime,sincel981underGeneralWojciechJaruzelski,inwhichthe majoritywasrelucta、ttointroduceradicalpoliticalreform,gavepriorityto overcomingtheimpendingeconomiccrisisatanycost,anddecidedtodeclare martiallawThiswas,ofcourse,alsopartlytoavoidthepossibleSovietmilitary intervention、However,inordcrtoovercomeeconomiccrisistheregimeneeded widerpopularsupportfOrtheinevitableausteritymeasures,whichcouldnotbe obtainedbyfOrce・

Afterthecancellationofmartiallaw,in1987,thePolishregimeproposeda plebisciteforthesecondstageofeconomicrefOrm(thefirststagewassaidtohave beenintroducedpreviouslyduringtheperiodofmartiallaw)andfOrpolitical democratization,butcouldnotgettheneededsupportfromthevoters・Fromthe beginningofl989,thePolishregimewasfOrcedtore-openthedialoguewith Solidarity,andpromisedtocarryoutpartial(onIyforthePoIishSenate)free electionThe「esultofthefreeelectionwastheswcepingvictoryofSolidarity candidates(theygained99scatsoutoflOO),whichlcdtothcformingofthe TadeuszMazowiecki(oneoftheadvisersofSolidarity)governmentinSeptember

l989・

TheoldPolishUnitedWorkers,Partywasseriouslyweakenedandsplitintotwo factionsbothclaimingsocial-democratictendencies,whiIetheSolidaritymovement

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THECOLLAPSEOFSOⅥET-TYPESOCIALISMINEUROPEANDTHELESSONSFORCHINA

alsosplitintotwo、Aworker-basedpopuIisttendencybroughtLechWalesa (chairmanandsymbolofSolidarity)fOrwardasaPresidentialcandidate,thc intellectualsrecommendingMazowieckiforthesamepost,ThePresidential electionshowedthevictoryofWalesa,buttheresultalsoindicatedthegrowmg politicalinstabilityi、Poland.

ln.LessonsfmEconOmicandPOliticalRefmminChima 1.EconomicRehrmandNeedfmDemocratizationinChiuD2

AtthetimeofthePlenumoftheCentralCommitteeoftheCommunistPartyof ChinaheldinDecemberl978,whichimplicitlydenouncedtheGreatLeapForward andtheCulturalRevolution,theeditorialarticleofChinesemagazine“Jingli Yanjiu,,("EconomicStudies,,)diScusSedthesituation:

WecannotsimplysubstitutephilosophyfOreconomicscience…

TbdiffUseandadvanceeconomicSciencewemustcarrythroughthecourseof

"HundredFIowers,,andencouragepeople,sdemocracy…

BefOretheCulturalRevolutionwehadexperiencedlivelydebatesarou、dmany

theoreticalproblemsconcemedwithsocialistconstructioninChina…

However,inthepastLinBiaoandtheGangofFourenfOrcedusanobscurantist policyonthepretextofmaintainingsecrecyagainsttheenemyandinfOrmedour peopleofnothingaboutthcrealintemalandextemalstateofaffairs…Wemust

infOrmpeopleoftherealstateofaffairsofournationaleconomy・Thisisnotonly

necessarytodevelopeconomicscience,butaIso,moreimportantly,itwouldbe

profitablefOrourpeopletoexcercisetheirfUndamentalrightsasthegenuine mastersofsocietytogovernthestateandtomanagetheeconomy・'4)

lnthefOUowingrefOrmdebates,sometriedtodefmethreekindsofreform;

namely,``small,,,‘`medium,,,and“big”reforms.‘`Small,,refOrmwasmeantto

indicatepartialrevisionofpreviouspoliciesandinstitutions,maintainingthecore

ofSoviet-typesocialism,suchashadbeendoneinRomaniaunderNicolae

Ceausescu.“Medium,,wastheHungariantypeofrefOrm,whichradicallychanged theeconomicmanagementsystem,whilemaintainingaone-partyruleinpolitics.

"Big,,reformwastheYugoslavtypeofrefOrm,combinigworkers,self

managementwitharadicaleconomicrefOrm・

Suchadefinitionimpliedthat“small,,reformwasinsufficientandChinahadto

startfromtheHungariantypeofeconomicrefOrm,thentotrytoadoptthe Yugoslavtype,intoducingworkers,selfmanagementofenterprisesPossiblyin

thatsense,“JingjiYanjiu”initsFbbruaryl984issue(eightmonthbefOrethe

adoptionoftheResolutionontheRefOrmofEconomicSystem)publishedtwo

articlesonHungananrefOrm;“ReportofInspectionoftheHungarianEconomic RefOnn,,byaChinesedelegationofeconomistsoftheAcademyofSocialSciences

ofChina,and“ExperiencesofHungarianEconomicRefOrm,,writtenbyRezs6 Nyers・Againinthenextmonth“JingjiYanjiu”includedareport“Inspectionon

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MinonlSAITO

theFinancialSysteminHungary”byaChinesefinancialinspectionteam Comparingwiththeintra-regimerefOrmexperimentsinEasternEuropewhichI

mentionedearlier,itisevidentthatinChinaatthattimetherewaslittlereference tothenecessityofpoliticaldemocratization(especially,theneedtoabolishone- partyrule)similartothatproposedinthePragueSpringlnreality,especiallyin

thelatterhalfofthe1970s,alsoinChinavariousdemandsfOrdemocratizationwere boilingoutthroughthetemporarilyguaranteedfreedomofexpression,symbolized,

fOrexampIe,bytheso-calle。“DemocracyWall,,inPeking・WhenIfirstvisited ChinainAprill979,wallpostersinPekingandShanghaiwererichincontentswith criticismagainstMao,debateoncconomicpolicy,reproachesagainsttheprivileges ofPartyofficialsandmilitarypersonnel,aswellasdissatisfactionfromtheyouth whohadbeensenttothefrontierduringtheCulturalRevolution、However,soon afterthisbriefperiod,wallposterswererestrictedandDemocracyWallwasshut

down・

Theabove-mentionedResolutionontheRefOrmofEconomicSystem(adopted inOctoberl984bytheCentralCommittecoftheCommunistPartyofChina)

State。,concerningurbanreform,thefOllowing:

InthemainweshouldfinelyresoIvetwokindsofrelations;nameIy,toestablish rightrelationsbetweenthestateandthenationalizedenterprisesinorderto enlargetheautonomousdecision-makingoftheenterprises,andtoestablish rightrelationsbetweentheworkersandenterprisesinordertoguaranteeforthe workerstheirstatusasmasters15)

AslstatedbefOre,intheexistingsocialiststatesthereareatleastthreekindsof differentintereststobecoordinated;namely,theinterestsofstate,enterpnsesand individuals・Theabove-mentionedResolutio、proposed,bearinginmindsimilar needs,theintroductionofeconomicrefOrmcenteringontheguaranteeof autonomousdecision-makingfOrthestate-ownedenterprisesinrelationtothe state,andtheintroductionofworkers,self-management・However,therewasstill nomentionoftheneedfOrpoliticaIdemocratizationinrelationtotheparty-state、

ThisisnottheplacetoexamineminutelytheprocessofChineseeconomic refOnnsincel984HereIquotethcanalysisofProfessorKazuyoshiUeharaof KyotoUniversity、HecomparedtheChineserefOrmwiththatoftheSovietUnion andsummarizedthat“thecharacteristicsoftheChinesereformare,audaciousbut inconsistenteconomicrefOrmononeside,andlaggedpoliticalrefOrmonthe other,,、ChineseeconomicrefOrmstartedfromonIyapartialsphereofthe economy,whichsoonbecameincompatiblewithotherbranches,andtherefOrm processgraduallydevelopedinotherbranchesandspheresthroughtrialsand elTors・sotosay,Chinesereformbeganasanemergencyevacuationfromthe economicandpoliticaldisastersbroughtfromthenotoriousCulturalRevolution,

andsoChinawasfOrcedtonavigatewithoutacorrectcompass,searchinggradually onthewayfortherightdirectionAsaresult,inChinatodayoldandnew mechanismsexisttogether・Astopolitics,ChineserefOrmhasarigidlimitof``Four BasicPrinciples,,,andsopoliticalreformisseverelyrestrictedandpostponedin practice・TheFourBasicPrincipleswerefirstmentionedbyDengXiao-pingin Marchl979,andtheyincludedthe“RoadtoSocialism,,,“People,sDemocratic

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THECOLLAPSEOFSOVlET-TYPESOClALISMINEUROPEANDTHELESSONSFORCH1NA

Dictatorship,,,"LeadershipoftheCommunistParty,,and“Marxism-Leninismand

MaoZe-dong,sThought,,、Thoseareambiguousphrases,butonethingisclear:

leadershipoftheCommunistPartyisunshakabIe、'6)

ThusChineserefOrmsincel984undertheleadershipofDengXiao-pingbecame moreandmoreinclinedtoaone-sidedemphasisonthedevelopmentofeconomic

forcesandtoasevererestrictionofdemandsfordemocratizationProfessor

SusumuYabukiofYokohamaMunicipalUniversity,whohadbeenasupporterof

theideasoftheCulturalRevoIution,criticizedthissituationasa“Socialism limitlesslycIosetocapitalism"・Hewroteinl986,that;

DengXiao-pingisadvocatingtheconstructionofasocialismwithChinese

characteristics,butitsmeaningisexcessivelyinclinedtothetheorycenteringon productivefOrces…Itseemsthatheintendstocreateasystemwhichmight

manageitseconomywithcapitalism,andgovernwithsocialism・Heresocialism

meansnothingbuttheleadershipofthcCommunistParty・Asaresult,Chinais pursuingcapitalisminitseconomicmanagementbutcannotbecomecapitalismat

all…17)

SinceDecemberl986,Chinesestudentsissueddemandstodemocratizepolitical

life・Thisisintensifiedtheinner-PartyconflictandresultedinthedismissalofHu

Yao-balugfromthepostofGeneralSecretaryoftheCommunistPartyinl987・

Afterthat,newly-appointedGcneralSecretaryZhaoZhi-yangreaffirmedthelimit

ofpoliticalreform.

Withthedevelopmentandthcdcepeningofthereformoftheeconomicsystem therefOrmofthepoliticalsystemisneededmoreandmorekeenly・Theprocess ofthedevelopmentofasocialistcommodity-economymustbeatthesametime theprocessoftheconstructionofasocialistdemocraticpoliticalsystemWithout thereformofthepoIiticalsystcm,therefOrmoftheeconomicsystemcannotbe

successfulintheend…

Theconstructionofasocialistdemocraticpoliticalsystemis,justlikethe developmentofasocialistcommodity-economy,agradualprocesspilingupstep

bystepOurconstructionofamodernsocietyneedsastabilizedsocialand

politicalenvironment,facingcomplicatedsocialcontradictions、Soweabsolutely

deny“bigdemocracy,,whichwilldestroylawandorderanddestabilizeour

society、

ItisourmeritandstrengththatwehavetheCongressofPeople,s Representatives,multi-partypoliticalconsultationsystemundertheIeadership oftheCommunistPartyandthcadministrationontheprincipleofdemocratic centrismltwillbeabsoIutelyprohibitedtoabandonthismeritandstrengtband tocopytheWestern-styleseparationofthethreepowersandtherotationof

politicalpowersbetweenpluralparties、18)

Twoyearslater,attheoccasionofGorbachev,svisittoChina,Chinesestudents onceagainorganizedmassdemonstrationdemandingthedemocratizationof politicallifewhichresultedinthcTian-An-McntragedyinJunel989Asiswell- known,immediatelyafterthatZhaoZhi-yangwasalsodismissedfromthepostof

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MinoruSAITO

GeneraISecretary・HewasaccusedofputtingthePartyinthedangerofsplitby hesitatingtosupressthesmdents,demonstrationUndoubtedlythePartyhada senseofcrisisthatifthemonolithicruleofthePartydisappearedtherewouldbea chaosinChina,andsocriticismagainstthePartywas“absolutelyprohibited"・

However,theabsenceofdemocratizationalsosuggeststhedangerofachaosto

come.

2.``S⑪meLessonsoftheHungarialHExperiencefbrChineseRefOrmers,,byJanos

K⑪rmai

Asmentionedabove,itisclearthatChineserefOrmersboreinmindthe

HungananrefOrmmodelwhentheypromotedtheResolutionontheRefOrmofthe

EconomicSysteminl984,becausetheHungarianmodelseemedtopursue economicefficiencysuccessfUlly,maintainingtheprevioUspoliticalsystemofone- partyrule・ProfessorKeijildeofRitsumeikanUniversitypointedoutthe

characteristicsofthel984Resolutionasfollows:

First,ChineserefOrmmodelintendedtochangegovemmentmanagementon stateenterpnsesgraduallyfromdirectcontroltoindirectcontrolasin

Hungarian-typereform・InthatsenseitwasthefourthtrialofrefOrminthe

socialiststatesnexttoYugoslavia,HungaryandPoland

Second,intheChineserefOrmmodcl,thebasicdirectionofreform(reductinof

directiveplanningandexpansionofguidedplanning)wasclear,butambiguous withrespecttotheactualrelativeweightsbetweendirectiveplanning,guided

planningandmarketregulation…

InthatsensenorealconsensusexistedfortherefOrmmodeLSo,theResolution

couldimplyboththeHungarian-typeandareformwhichsubstantially

maintaineddirectiveplannin9..13)

OnSeptemberl985,theChineseAcademyofSocialSciencestogetherwiththe

WorldBankinvitedJanosKomaitoChinatoparticipateinaconferenceonthe refOrmoftheeconomicsystemThenKomaipreparedatypedreportof56pages withatitle“SomeLessonsoftheHungarianExperiencefOrtheChinese

RefOrmers,,、Defininghimselfasa“convincedsupporterof(Hungarian)refOrm

ideasandatthesametimearathercriticalobserverofthepresent(Hungarian)

situation,,,andadmittingtheexistenceofverygreatdifferencesbetweenChinaand

Hungary,Komaicmphasizedthc“meaningfulness,,ofcomparativeanalysis、20)

ThoughKornaimadenodirectcomparativeanalysis,wemustpayattentionto

thepointshemadeconcerningtheHungarianexperience,Mentioningthe

cxistenceof“mixed-combincdfOrmsofnon-privateandprivateownershipand activity,,,Kornaihimselfraisedthequestion:

Doestheapplicationofthewaysandformsdescribedaboveleadtoabandoning socialismandadoptingcapitalism?Myanswcrisno.…

Ownershipisnotthemaincriterionwhendeterminingwhetherasystemdeserves

thenametobecalled“Socialism"・Inthenormativesensesocialismshouldbea

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THECOLLAPSEOFSOⅥET-TYPESOCIALISMINEUROPEANDTHEIF5BSONSFORCHINA

systemwhereproductionisefficientandthestandardofliving,thequaIityoflife isimproving・Justiceprevails,equalchancesaregiventoeveryone・Societyhelps thediasbled,thesick・Economicplanningplaysanimportantroleintherational aUocationofresources・AllthesedesiderataarefUllycompatiblewithsome domainofprivateactivityandprivateownership,21)

AslstatedbefOre,theabsenceofdemocratizationmeansthedangerofachaos tocome,especiaUywhentheeconomicrefOrmdoesnotbringtheexpectedresults・

ThiswasalsotheHungariancase,Kornaiexplains:

Whatistherelationshipbetweenthepresent(Hungarian)troublesandthe

refOnn?Opinionsdiffer.I(Komai)agreewiththosewhobelievethatthe

troublesarenotbecauseoftherefOrmbutinspiteofit…

Totheregretoftheadherentsofthe(Hungarian)reform,thereisawrong-but veryconvincing-thoughtathand:sincetroublesandrefOrmcoincidedintime,

reformmustbethecauseofthetrouble…

ThepresenteconomicdifficultiesinHungarydonothelpthcrefOrmprocess・

ThereisanimportantlessonfOrothercountries・Bettertobecautiousingoal‐

setting,strivingonlyfOrmodestgrowthofoutputandstandardofliving-and keepthispacepersistently、Anunsustainablyfastincreaseatthebeginning fOUowedbyaslowdownordeclineunderminesthepopularityoftherefOnnThe

"moraIcapitaI,,builtupinthegoodyearscanbeeasUyerodedinthebad yearS、22)

InthelastparagraphofhisreportKornaiconcludedasfollows:

Itishighlydesirabletohavealong-tennplanfOrtheinstitutionalchanges,i、e,an all-embracingstrategyofthemoreimportantmeasuresandablueprintofthe

systemwhichshouldbecreatedattheend…

TheHungarianrefOrmdidnothaveandstilldoesnothavesuchastrategyand blueprint;thevariousindividualsandgroupshaveratherdifferingvisionsofthe

future…

Thispartlyamatterofconstructivediscussionswhichcouldexplorethe altemativesolutionsandeventuallyleadtocommonunderstanding、Thisauthor (Komai)ishowevernotasnaiveastobelieve,thataUdifferencescanbe elimi、atedbyargumentationappeaIingatnothingbutrationalconsiderations、

Thereareconnictingsocialforces,differentinterestgroups,thereispolitical

powcrstruggle・

StilltheoutsideobscrverwhodoesnotknowtheChinesecircumstanceswell

cannotexcludetheoptimisticscenarioofawidenationalconsensussupportmga

commonplanofreform23)

Thisoptimisticscenanocouldnotberealized,neitherinHungaryafterl988nor inChinaparticularIyaftertheTian-An-MentragedyofJunel989・EvenbefOrethc Tian-An-Mentragedy,ProfessorUeharacooIyanalyzedthesituationasfOllows:

TheprogressofChineserefOnnwouldresultinmanyconflictsandcotradictions、

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MinoruSAITO

Forexample,theenlargementofcnterpnseautonomyandtheemphasisonthe responsibilityofthemanagersarcincompatiblewiththeacquiredprivilegesof cadresofthePartyandthegovemment・Moreover,thereisaquestionwhether theworkerswouldbearthehardshipsofthenegativeincentivessuchas bankruptcyandunemployment・Ontheotherhand,therearethoseinteUectuals andstudentswhointendtodeveIopthereformfromtheeconomytothepolitics andideology.Nodoubttheywerehatedbythecadres・Withthisfora background,thedismissalofHuYao-bang(Januaryl987)occurred…

Itmaybepossibletosayatleasttwopointsfromthisprocess:first,Chinese refOrmhasadefinitelimitinthesensethatthereformisclearlycenteringonthe economicefficiency,andthepoliticalrefonnisadmittedasfarasitisneedeto stimulateefficiency…

Second,itisreaffirmedthattheeconomicreformthusdefinedshouldbe

continuedasbefore…

TodayChinahastopursueeconomicefficiencywithverydifficulttasksto

harmonizeeconomicefficiencywiththeethicsofsocialism24)

AswesawinthecasesofEastemEurope,economicrefOnnsneededwider

popularsupportsinorderthattheregimecouldpersuadepeopletobeareven temporaryhardships、ThereisaseriousdangeralsoinChinathateconomicreforms

whichmaintainthepreviouspohticalsystemofarigidone-partyrulecannotattain

theexpectedsuccess・WithoutanysenouseffOrtsofdemocartization,butwith

recurrentsuppressionofdemocratizationmovement,therewouldbeaccumulated

thepoliticaldissatisfaction・Thispoliticaldissatisfactioncouldbeenhancedby

disiIlusionedeconomicdissatisfactionofcommonpeoplebccauseofthefailureof theeconomicrefOrms・ThustheneedsfOrpoliticalrefonn,theneedsfOr democratization,firstofalltheneedsforradicaIchangeoftheexistingpolitical

system(theone-partyruleoftheCommunistPartyofChina)areclearalsoin

China.

N0tes

Lange(1974),p,105.

1bid.,p・l08

Brucan(1989),p3-4 Brus(1972),Chaptera Saito(1979),p9q

citedinUehara(1972),p5L

hTに「"α"o"ロノHemノ。刀jbH"e,Januaryl8,1988.

Kosta(1974)、concludingpartofChaptera Saito(1989),p・Z59

Nyels-Tardos(1984),ppl7-18 Komai(1986),p136.

Zielinski(1973),ppl4-15・

HalcandWanles(1981),pp491-517.

Ji"g/iYm/〃(EconomicStudies),December1978,pp6-7.

jjjjjjjjjjjjjj 12345678901234 11111

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(20)

THECOLLAPSEOFSOVIETLTYPESOCIALISMINEUROPEANDTHELESSONSFORCHINA

jjjjjjjjjj 西沁刀岨沮加皿塑坦型

鹿kj"8Wどek(y(JapaneseEdition),300ctobcrl984,Appendixp、5.

Uehara(1989),pp54-57、

Yabuki(1986),P20.

PEkjlzgWeek(y,10Novemberl987・

Ide(1988),p218.

SeeKornai(1985),pp2-3.

1bid.,p37.

1bid.,pp43-44.

1bid.,p56.

Uehara(1987),pp222-223.

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