Lig.,,Ni,].,,
tO,",'.'2i,3,{.S.`g".c,tu.'f}f",d..C,o,",rtrthcg,ig,n,E,n,zv'"eeting
s",ra,,figi}refix,th,N.ra;.:
SIMULATION
AND
PREDICTION
OF
STRONG
GROUND
'
'
MOTION
IN
EPICENTRAL
REGION
OF
THE
1979
IMPERIAL
VALLEY
EARTHQUAKE
BY
SEMI-EMPIRICAL
METHOD
by
KAZUO
DAN",
TEIJI
TANAKA*'
and
TAKAHIDE
WATANABE"",
Members
ofA.I.J.
1.
Introduction
Estimation
of earthquakeground
motlonsin
the
near-field,
in
spite
ofthe,
fact
that
there
have
behn
few
accelerograms recorded
there,
is
animportant
subject sinceit
provides
better
guidelines
in
earthquake resistant structuraldesign.
Especially,
a shallow close-by earthquake with a magnitudeof
about
6.'5,
similarto
the
1979
'
Imperial
Valiey
earthquake,is
atypical
earthguake consideredin
structuraldesign
of
nuclearpoweT
plants
in
Japan.
Since
Hartzell's
work(1978)",
a
semi-empirical
methodto
simulateground
motions
during
alarge
earthquakeby
utilizing records
for
smallevents
as
Green's
functions
has
been
appliedby
many'reseafcherssuch
as
Kanamori
(197g)*Z,
Hadley
&
Helmberger
(1980)'3,
Imagawa
&
Mikumo
(1982>'`,
Tanaka
et al.(1982)'5,
Irikura
(1983)'G,
Iida
&
Hakuno
<1984>"
and so on,First,
in
this
paper,
Tanaka
et al, 's methodhas
been
modified consistently withthe
a,-squarernodel
proposed
by
Aki
(1967)'S
andthe
accelerationground
motionsfor
the
1979
Imperial
Valley
earthquakehave
been
simttlatedby
synthesizing
the
aftershock records.The
purpose
of
this
studyis
to
$howthe
applicability
ofthis
methodto
epicentral
regions.Second,
this
modified methodhas
been
appliedto
the
probLem
in
which recordsfor
smallevents
are
not
available.
Instead
ofthe
aftershock records, an artificially-computed accelerogram with reliableaveraged
characteristics ofearthquake
motionshas
been
synthesized asGreen's
function
to
predict
the
main-shockground
motions.The
prediction
has
been
performed
by
consideringthe
amplificationfactors
of surfacelayering.
'
2.
The
1979
lmperial
Valiey
Earthquake
On
October
15,
1979,
the
largest
earthquakein
Califor'nia
in
the
past
decade
occurred ollthe
Imperial
fault
nearthe
United
States-Mexican
berder.
Aceording
to
the
U.S.
GeoLogical
Survey,
the
locql-magnitude
6,6
event, whoseepicenter was
located
in
northernMexico,
damaged
structuresin
and aroundthe
town
ofEl
Centro,
California,
and was accompaniedby
surface movement onfour
fault
zones.The
earthquake caused an estimated$21,1
million
in
damage
andinjured
73
people,
but
nodeaths
were reportedin
the
United
States.
The
eafthquake
andits
aftershocks occurredin
a regionthat
has
experienced several similar-size earthquakesin
the
recenthistorical
past,
including
the
well-knownlocal-magnitude
6.
4
earthquake nearEl
CentTo
on
May
18,
1940.
A
total
of22
USGS
strong-motion accelerograph stations wasin
operationin
the
epicentralregion
during
the
mainshock
ofOctober
15
(23
h
16m
54.
29
s
G.
M.
T.
,M,=6.
6).
Peak
horizontal
accelerationsgreater
than
O.
5
g
were measured at seven stations withinle
km
ofthe
rupturedImperial
fault.
The
USGS
Imperial
Valley
accelerograph network also recorded many aftershocks,i.
e.
, morethan
260
aftershook records were obtained at21
stations within30
km
ofthe
main-shock rupturedfault,
An
aftershockthat
occurred
right afterthe
main shock nearthe
rupturedfault
*Ohsaki
Research
Institute,
Shimizu
Constructioll
Co.,
Ltd,
M.Eng.
"
Ohsaki
Reseaich
Institute,
Shimizu
Constructien
Co.,
Ltd.
Dr.
Sc.
iii
Ohsaki
Research
Institute,
Shirnizu
Construction
Co.,
Ltd,
Dr.
Eng.
Note
:
Some
parts
ofthis
paper
werepresented
at the23
[dgeneral
assernbLy efIASPEI
(International
Assoc;ation
ofSeismology
and
Physics
ofthe
Earth's
Interior)
in
1985.
{Manuscript
receivedMay
26, 1986)-50-Architectural Institute of Japan
NII-Electronic Library Service
ArchitecturalInstitute of Japan
Fig.1
Location
ofthe
faults
andthe
stTong-motion stationsThe
staiin
the
lower
righthand
corneris
theepicenter efthe
main shock andthe
solid circlein
the
middleis
the
epicenteT of the aftershock.The
lines
arethe
Imperial
fault
traces.
The
pluses
indicate
15
strong-motiensta-tions
that
recordedthe
accelerogramsduring
the
rnain sheck andthe
aftershock.These
arethe
locations
where wehave
simulated the mainsheck accelerogramsin
this study,Data
points
weretaken
by
Thatcher
&
Hanks
(1973).
8765432119
20.
21
22
23
24
25
26
(a)
ML
vs.IogM,
[dyne-cm]
Data
points
weretaken
by
Geller
{1976].
3
2
1
o
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
(b)
logL[km]
vs,
IQgM,
[dyne・crn]
Data
points
weretaken
by
Geller
(1976).
3
27
2
1o24
31
Fig.2
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
(c)
logW
[km]
vs.Iogua
[dyne・cm]
Similarity
relationstietween
ML,
L,
W
andMi
(23h
19m
29.98s,
ML=5.2}
trigggred
accelerographs
at16
stations,
the
great
number evertriggered
by
a singleaftershock,
This
data
set
contains
the
most comprehensive collectionof
near-field accelerogramsever
recordedin
the
world.3.
Size
and
Location
ct
the
Fault
Model
Figure
1
shows
the
locations
ofthe
fault
traces
andthe
strong-motionstations'.
The
starin
the
lower
righthand
corneris
the
epicenter
of
the
main
shock(
M,=6.
6,
long,
115"18.
53'W.
,lat,
32038.
61'N,
,
focal
depth
of
10
km)
andthe
solid circlein
the
iniddleis
the
epicenterof
the
afteTshock(M,=s.
2,
long,
115e25.
6'W,,
lat.
32e46,s'N.,
focal
depth
of10.5km)
meqtioned above.The
lines
'are
Imperial
fault
traces,
The
plttses
indicate
15
strong-motionstations
that
recordedthe
accelerogramsduring
the
mainshock
andthe
aftershock.These'are
the
locations
where
wehave
simulatedthe
main-shock accelerogramsin
this
study..
First,
wedetermined
the
sizes ofthe
fault
modelsfor
the
main shock andthe
aftershock,based
on similarityrelations of source
parameters
initially
suggestedby
Kanamori
&
Anderson
(1975)'9.
Figure
2
(a)
showsthe
relation
between
the
seismicmoment
andthe
local
magnitudetaken
by
Thacher
&
tianks
(1973)'iO,
Figures2(b)
and
(c)
showthe
retations ofthe
seismic mornent andthe
fault
rupturelength
and width, respectively,taken
by
Gellei
{1976>']'.
According
to
Figure
2,
following
empirical equations obtainedby
Thatcher
&
Hanks
(lg73)'iO
andMuramatsu
&
Irikura
(1980'i2
could iepresentthe
relations oflocal
magnitude
M.
andfault
rupture
length
L
and widthW
in
km
to
the
seismic momentMh
in
dyne・cm
with sufficientaccuracy.
IogMo=1.5ML+16.0
'
(1)
logL=1131ogMo-7.3
(2)
IogW=
1131ogM6-7.6
(3)
'
'
-51-Fig.3
Su[face
projection
efthe
fault
plane
Approximate
fault
rupturelength
and width are2o
km
and10km,
respectively, andthe
dip
angleis
s2eE,
-Station
Fig.4
Fault
medelfor
synthesisSince
the
local
magnitude ofthe
main sheckis
6.
6,
it
correspondsto
a seismic moment of7.9
×102S
dyne・cm,
which
is
generaily
equaLto
7
×1025
dyne・cm
estimated
by
Kanamori
&
Regan
(1982}'i3
from
Rayleigh
waves at200
to
2so
second observed at sevenIDA
(International
Deployment
ofAccelerometers)
stations.
Approximate
fault
rupture
length
of20
km
and width of10km
are obtainedbased
onthi$
seismic moment.In
tbe
case ofthe
aftersheck witha
local
magnitude of5,
2
the
corresponding seismic momentis
6.
3
×1023
dyne
・
cm,
and
the
fault
rupturelength
of4km
and
width of2km
are approxirnatedby
extendingthe
solidlines
in
FiguresZ(b)
and
<c),
respectively.By
placing
the
hypocenter
ofthe
main shock onthe
lower
end ofthe
fault
plane,
adip
angle
of82"E
is
ebtained.The
rectangle'in
Figure
3
is
the
assumedfault
modelfor
the
main shockprojected
onthe
ground
surface.
On
the
other
hand,
the
dislocation
distribution
on
the
fault
plane
ofthe
main shockhas
been
wellinvestigated
by
several researchers.The
followings
are some ofthese
studiesin
whichthe
researchers usedthe
strong-motion
accelerograms.
Hartzell
&
Helmberger
(lg82)"'`
preferred
a
fault
model whichhad
slip concentrated atdepth
of about4-10km
andbetween
Okm
and24
krn
north ofthe
epicenter
from
12
integrated
strong-motiondisplacement
records.Olson
&
Apsel
(1982)"S
estimated apeak
offset atdepth
of5-10km
andbetween
15
km
and
2o
km
north ofthe
epicenterfrom
26
strong-motion acceleration recordsband-passed
from
3
to
10
second,Hartzell
&
Heaton
(19s3)'i`
estimated
dislocation
distTibution
concentrated
atdepth
of about5-10km
andb,etween
5km
and28km
north ofthe
epicenterfrom
12
integrated
strong-motion velocity recordsband-passed
from
1
to
10
second.These
researchers used adiscrete
wavenumbeTlfinite elementtechnique
to
get
the
Green's
functions.,
Fujino
et
al,
(1984)'i'
found,
by
usingdistinct
phases
ofthe
accelerograms recorded at32
streng-motionstations,
that
the
earthquakehad
been
a multiple event withthree
smaller eVentsin
the
period
ofIess
than
1
to
Z
second andthat
the
main
energy
ofthis
period
"ange
had
been
releasedfrom
alocalized
area aboutO
to
24
km
north ofthe
epicenter.Although
itis
veryimportant
to
establish adetailed
fault
modelte
simulateground
motionsin
epicentral regions,we
have
adopted
a uniformfault
model shownin
Figure
3
as an averagedone
which roughly correspondsto
the
region of energy release ofhigh
frequencies
investigated
by
Fujino
et al.4.
Synthesis
Method
Irikura
(1983)'S,
based
on
scaling
relations ofthe
sourceparameters,
simulated main-shock velocity motionsby
utilizing aftershock records asGreen's
functions,
in
which superpositions were made onthree
parameters
offault
rupturelength,
width anddislocation
rise-time.Tanaka
et
al.
(1982)'5,
considering onlythe
difference
ofthe
fault
-52-Architectural Institute of Japan
NII-Electronic Library Service
ArchitecturalInstitute of Japan
areas
between
the
main
shock
and
the
aftershock
to
avoid
the
ghost
peak,
simulated
main-shock
accelerations
by
'
equation
(4
),
which representsthe
weightedand
phase-delayed
summationover
the
aftershock records,'
u{t)-i;.i.z,(it)・uatt-t,n
(4)
l(i-O.5)L/ne'+l(j-O.5)Wlnl'
r"
t"=
+
v c
Here
u.(
t)
is
an aftershock acceleration record,r.
is
the
aftershockhypocentral
distance,
r.
is
the
distance
between
the
site andthe
(
i,
J')
element ofthe
fault
plane
for
the
main shock.L
andW
arethe
fault
rupturelength
and width ofthe
main shock,v
is
the
rupture velocity, cis
the
wave velocity andn
is
the
square root offault
area ratiobetween
the
main shock andthe
aftershock.n
is
alsodescribed
asthe
cubic root of seismic moment ratiobetween
the
main'
shock and
the
aftershockin
Irikura's
method.'
As
Irikttra
(1986}'i8
pointed
out,
equation
(
4
}
by
Tanaka
et al,is
consistent
・/
in'
high-frequencies
・
withthe
w-square model
initially
proposed
by
Aki
(1967)'S.
In
the
w-square model,the
displacement
spectrum,9(w),
is
described
by
9(O)
9(w)=
<5)
1+[wl
ai,]2'
Here
9(O)=M,F14
rrrloe, tuois
the
corner circularfrequency,
ua
is
the
seismic
moment,F
is
the
double-couple
radiation
pattern
for
SH
orSV
waves,r
is
the
distance
from
the
point
sourceto
the
site,"
is
the
shear
modulus(rigidity)
of elastic mediurn, andP
is
the
shear wave velocity ofthe
medium,Given
the
shape
of
displacerpent
spectrum
by
the
to-square model,the
shape ofthe
accelerationspectrum,
A(w),
is
obtainedby
9{O)・w:
A(tu)=
{6)
1+[a,,1to]''
,
A(to)
convergesinto
9(O).a)S
when tois
large
enough,9(O)
is
proportional
to
the
seismic momentan
defined
by
pt.D.S,
whereD
is
the
averagedfinal
slip andS
is
the
area ofthe
fault
plane.
a),is
proportional
to
BIA,
whereAis
the
characteristic
length
whichdescribes
the
size efthe
source(Papageorgiou
&
Aki,l983)'i'.
Thus
9(O),a,:
is
proportional
to
A,
vXS' orMafS
and we obtainthe
relationshipthat
the
ratio ofthe
acceleration spectrumin
high
frequencies
between
the
main shock andthe
aftershockis
equalto
the
cubic' rootofthe
seismic moment Tatiobetween
two
ofthem.
This
relationship makes sense onthe
assumptionthat
the
double-couple
radiationpattern,
F,
and
the
distance
・from
the
point
sourceto
the
site,r,
for
the
main shock are same asthose
for
the
afteTshock.
On
the
otherhand,
accoidingto
the
random vibrationtheory,
when waves ofhigh-frequency
components
are
superposed
n2
times
randomlyin
time
dornain,
the
expected amplitudes ofthe
wavesbecome
n
times.
Consequently
the
high-frequency
ground
motionSduring
the
main shock canbe
simulatedby
superposingthe
record ofthe
aftershock
n'
times,
wheren
is
the
cubic root ofthe
seismic momept ratiobetween
the
mainshock
and
the
aftershock.
Since
the
low-frequency
components simulatedby
equation(
4
)
are underestimatedbecause
of
lack
of
the
seismicmoment,
Tanaka
et
al,
restrictedthe
application oftheir
method onlyto
the
synthesisof
the
accelerograms
withhigh
frequencies.
Let
Tanaka
et
al.
's synthesized motionbe
u{t)
and assume a ramp sourcetime
function
to
preserve
the
seismicmoment,
then
the
motion with as much a seismic moment asthat
ofthe
mainshock,
f(t},
is
written
as
"-1
f(t)=
£
u(t-hTb)..
(7)
k;O
'
Its
Fourier
transform
pair,
F(w),
is
obtainedby
'
F(co):::.IC::a.lu(t-ktlt)exp[-iwt]dt
-u(a,}・
.Si."
l."'Ei!>2,]]
・exp[-`O
(,:-Td}],
(s)
'where
i--A,
U(tu)
is
the
Fourier
transform
pair
to
u(t),
ris
the
risetime
ofthe
main shock and Tz,[
=Tln]is
the
risetime
ofthe
aftershock.We
find
outthe
difference
between
U(to)
andF(to)
to
be
.sln[[.a)E:li22]]・..p[-ia'ST-TO].
'
(g)
Fermula
(
g
)
was alsodescribed
by
Imagawa
&
Mikumo
(1982)'`.
Since
formula
(
9
)
is
unity without anyphase
shift at aj!4 nl(T-
ta)
for
anyinteger
nlarger
than
2,
wechoose
4
rr1(r-T.)
asthe
boundary
point
between
low
andhigh
frequencies,
Actual
computation
wasperformed
in
the
following
manner.Since
the
fault
plane
for
the
main
shock
is
2okm
×lokm
andthat
for
the
aftershockis
4kmx2km,
wedivided
the
fault
plane
into
5
×5
small elements, as shownin
Figure
4,
and
the
aftershock was applied each element as, apoint
source.The
modification
of
the
aftershock
recordsby
formula
(
9
)
was carried outfor
frequencies
below
2.
5
Hz,
because
we assumed T of
1
second andT.
ofO,
2
second.Subsequently,
the
modified aftershock records were summed upby
equation(
4
)
in
time
domain
considering onlythe
difference
of
the
fault
area
as
Tanaka
et al.did.
In
equation
(
4
)
,
the
difference
ofthe
radiation
pattern
is
ignored
and
difference
ofthe
distance
is
correctedby
the
attenuation ofthe
body
waves,Since
the
main-shock accelerogramshad
been
band-passed
with rampfunctions
from
O.
03
to
O.
17
Hz
and
from
23
to
2sHz,
andthe
aftershock accelerogramshad
been
high-passed
witha
Butterworth
filter
(n!!4,
fU==O.5Hz),
weprocessed
the
main-shock accelerograms withthe
sarneButterworth
high-pass
filter,
andthe
aftershock accelbrograms withthe
sameband-pass
filter,
After
examiningthe
resultsby
changingthe
rupture
velocity vfrom
2.
0
to
2.
7
kmls
with anincrement
ofO,
1
kmls,
we adopted
v
as2.1kmls.
Here,
the
shear wave velocity6
was assumedto
be
3,3kmls.
5.
Results
Using
Aftershock
Records
Three
ofthe
resultsfor
the
15
strong-motionstations
are
presented
in
detail.
Figure
5
is
the
result of simulation atEl
Centro
Array
No.
3
(E
03
in
Figure
3)
with(a)
asthe
modified aftershockaccelerogram
withthe
peak
value of127
Gal,
{b)
the
synthesized and(c>
the
observed accelerograms.Although
we could not simulatethe
two
wave-groupsfound
in
the
observed accelerogram, weceuld
successfully
simulate
the
peak
value
of
abeut
270Gal,
duration
time
and waves withpredominant
frequency.
Figure
6
shows
the
velocity response spectra with adamping
factor
h
ofO.
05,
They
representthe
seismic waveenergy
which shouldbe
appliedto
astructure.In
this
discu$sion,
wefocus
ourattentionon
a
range
of
naturalperiods
limited
between
o.
os
to
1.
0
second.The
solidline
is
a velocity response $pectrumfor
the
$ynthesized motion andthe
detted
line
for
the
observed.The
velocity response spectrumis
found
to
be
simulated
pretty
well.
,
Figure
7
is
the
simulated motion atBonds
Corner
(BCR
in
Figure
3)
whichis
located
close
to
the
modeledfault
plane
andto
the
epicenter
where<a),
(b)
and(c)
are againthe
modified aftershock,the
synthesized andthe
observed accelerograms.The
simulation ofthe
intensity
andthe
envelope ofthe
motionis
good,
and
the
error
of
the
peak
value
is
only
6%.
Figure8
is
the
corresponding result of velocityresponse
spectra.
Figure9
shows
the
simulation
at
Calexico
{CXO
in
Figure
3).
As
shown,the
synthesized motion simulatesthe
actual motion
in
detail,
Figure
10
is
the
velocity response spectrafor
the
motionsin
Figure
9.
They
correspond
quite
well with each other.
Results
fgr
30
horizontal
components
atthe
15
strong-motion stations are summarizedin
Figure
11
as
the
peak
accelerations,
and
in
Figure
12
asthe
spectralintensity
in
the
naturalperiods
ofO.
os-1.
o
second with adamping
factor
ofO.
05.
In
the
figures,
the
horizontal
axisis
the
observed motions andthe
vertigal axisis
the
synthesized motions, respectively,The
band,
limited
by
two
straightlines,
indicates'the
region within an error of30%.
As
to
the
peak
acceleiations, about80
%
of
the
total
is
included
in
the
band.
As
to
the
spectraLintensity,
about7e
%
ofthe
total
falls
the
bounded
area.From
these
results, as awhole, we can concludethat
the
present
synthesis
methodis
powerful
enoughto
simulate accelerationgiound
motionsin
epicentral
regions.
However,
we noticehere
that
some ofthe
valuesfor
the
synthesizedmoEions
in
Figures11
and
12
differ
considerablyfrom
those
for
the
obseved ones, anclthat,
to
improve
these
resillts,it
shoulclbe
necessaryto
establisha
more
detailed
fault
model withlocalized
energy release zenes asHartzell
&
Helmberger
(1982)
and other researchersproposed.-54-Architectural Institute of Japan
NII-Electronic Library Service
Architectural Institute of Japan
3oo.Goat
(a)
o.o
-300.0
3oo
.Goat
TsoD・8,,
3DO.O
{c)
o,o
ModifiedafLershockaccelerograrn
Synthesizedaceeleregram
Observedaceelerogrnrn
'
ii
t
Peak
Aee.
121416
127Gal
268Gal
272Gal
(sec)L8
2D
'
Gal
800.0
(a)
o.D
-eoo.D
Gat
eDo.o
(b)
o,o-SOD.O
Set
BOO.D
(c)
o.e
-eao,o
Gal'
300.0
(a)
o.o
-aeo.o
Gal
300,0
(b)e,o
-soo.o
Gat300.0
{c)
o,O
-100.D
Fig.5
Accelerograms
atEl
Centro
Modifiedafterghockaccelerogram
ArrayNo.3
(i4oO)
Peak
"cc.
101Gal
Synthesizedaccelerogram
8e5Ga]
1
rami"
O 2' 4 6 8'le12t4758Ga]
(sec]
16'l8
20Fig.7
Accelerograms
atBonds
Modifiedaftershockaceelerogram
Corner{23o")
Peak
Aec.
67Ga]
Synthesizedaccelerogram
op
Observedaccelerogram
2o
46
WMmp
34SGal
261Gal
e10
t
w
121416
(see)ZB
EO
Fig9
Accelerograms
atCalexico(22sO>
soo,o
s
20e,o,E=v
100,OE6
so.Dath$20.0:aan
10.0eb
s.o'8g>
2,O
1,O
O.5
O.05
O.1
O,2
O.5
l.O
Natura]period(sec)
Fig.6
Velocity
response spectrafor
El
Centro
Array
No.3
500.0
T
200.0rtYwri
100.0eG
so.o:aZ
20.og8
10.oLe"s.o'5Rtu>'
2.0
1.0
O.5
O.05
O.1
O,2
O.S
!,O
Natural
period
(sec)
Fig.8
Velocity
response $pectrafoT
Bonds
Corner
50D.D
-200.Btu.E.X
100.DLge
so.Dgezz
20.0gnm
to.o2b
s.o'sRo>
2.01.0
D.5
O.05
O.1
O,2
O.5
t,ONatural
period
(sec)
Fi'g.10
Velocity
response spectrafer
Calexico
'
NII-Electronic Mbrary liig
h=O.05'
Obs.
SN--.T-F7-m'
tt-tt
'
::-"t".'s'.ttt":Syn. 'r.t'"tObs.h=o.05----.-s:'s,:t-.t:"'t-t
fi・H...v':S
y-:t::t"':.:Syn.
'ts'tt,
1h=O.05
Syn."t--tL
tt:vt-tt-v"::
t-Is"・t
t.:'.rr.Obs.:';-:.-.':t-1000.0
loo,a
Syn.(Gal}
'+30%o
o0
oeO
.30%
o
Obs.(Gal}
loo,o
leoo.o
Fig.11
Syntbesized
vs. observedPeak
accelerations100,O
to.o
Syn.(kine・sec)
:
o
-
'+30%
o
L-3e%
rObs.(kine・sec)'10.0
100.0Hg.12
Synthesized
vs. observedSpectral
intenslty
6.
Generation
of
an
Artificially-Computed
Accelerogram
In
practical
prediction
problems
in
the
field
of earthquake resistant structuraldesign,
appropriate observedrecord$
to
be
used asGreen's
fun6tions
are
not
always
available.Therefore,
wehave
tried
to
use an artificially-computedaccelerogram with reliable
averaged
characteristics of real earthquake motions asGreen's
function,
instead
ofthe
observed afteTshock records.For
the
present
case,the
observedaccelerograms
from
earthquakesin
the
ImpeTial
Valley
district
wouldbe
'
preferred
to
obtainthe
reliableaveraged
characteristics
for
an artificially-computed accelerogram,Since
ouraccelerogram
data
base
is
limited,
however,
we substitutedthe
recoTds observedin
Japan
for
them,
and examined whetherit
is
possible
or notto
usethe
recordsin
Japan
for
prediction
of
strong
motionsin
the
Imperial
Valley
t/
district.
We
usedthe
accelerograms recorded onthe
outcropto
aveid
the
effect of surfacelayering
which might'
contribute
to
amplifyhigh-frequency
components of earthquakeground
motions, and consideredlater
the
effect
of
'
surface
layering
at
each
observation
station.
The
actual computation was carried outln
the
following
manner,First,
weprepared
adatabase
of
14
horizontal
'
components of accelerograms
from
7
earthquakes,
giv.en
in
Tabie1,
whose seismic rnagnitudeis
arounds,
with epicentraldistances
of4
to
30
km.
Neglecting
the
depth
parameter,
we normalizedthese
recordsto
represent amotion
at an epicentral
distance
of15
km
using attenuation ofthe
body
waves.After
evaluating velocity response spectrumfor
each
normalized accelerogram, we averagedthem
withthe
result shown asthe
solidline
in
Figure
13.
We
finally
generated
an
artificial
acceleTogramfor
aM=5.
2
eventin
Figure
14,
to
fit
the
aVeraged
velocityresponse
spectrum
with an envelope
function
for
the
shallow shock motibn closeto
the
fault
withaseismic
magnitudeof
4
or
5
proposed
by
Jennings
et
al.
0968)"20.
The
dotted
line
in
Figure
13
showsthe
velocity response spectrumfor
the
generated
accelerogram.7.
'Resuets
Using
an
Artificially-Computed
Accelerogram
Since
the
artificially-computedaccelerogram
in
Figure
14
is
defined
onthe
ointcrop.the
effe,ct
of surface-iayeringshould
be
considerednexL
Porcella's
underground structural models(1984}'!i
wereused
to
account
for
the
soilamplifications
at each station,Tables
2,
3
and4
arethe
underground
structural modelsfor
El
Centro
Array
No.
3
(Eo3),
Bonds
Corner
(BCR)
andBrawley
(BRA),
respectiyely.Here
the
damping
factor
h[==ll2Q]
wascalculated
by
assumingthat
Q
is
onefifteenth
ofthe
sheai wave yelo6ityin
m!s.Soil
amplificationfactors
are'
evaluated
by
the
onedimensional
shear
wavepropagation
theory
(Schnabel
et
al.,
1972)*2Z.
Figure
15
is
the
result ofprediction
atEl
Centro
Array
No.
3
where(a)
is
the
synthesized accelerogram,(b)
and(c)
are
the
observed230"
and14oO
components ofthe
main-shock motion, respectively.Peak
values,duration
times
and waves withpredominant
frequency
are simulated well.-56-Architectural Institute of Japan
NII-Electronic Library Service
ArchitecturalInstitute ofJapan
Table1Data
of earthquakes ebtainthe
averagedandaccelerograms used to yelocity respense spectrum
Magr!itudeEpicentral
distance(krn)
Peakacceleration(Gal)
tsTS
EW
5.3
15
64.4
68.0
5,3
12
81.8
102.8
5.4
4
204.2402.5
4.7
6
220,5
87.8
4.5
6
286,8
89.6
'4.9
5
157.6218.4
4.8
30
25.2
27.e
50,O
6=
2D,O..-x
'
N--Nts8 lo.ok$g5,Dfifl
h・--uS2.0
di>1,OO,5
O.05
I
h=O.05
Generated
i
."1./---'
[I
""
't-s
".-"
:..N.1
Averaged
'-t-t1Jx
:I
Fig.13
Gtl70.0 o,o-70.0
0.1
O,2
O.5
Natural
period
(sec)
Averaged
velocity response spectrumo
wti
12w
3
LO
ltfiWtwVuaVwhStwVMpmtw.
4s67B
(sec)
9 1011
Table2
Seilprofile
atElCentro
Array
No,3
Depth(rn)Thickness(m)
UnitweSght(Vm3)
Swavevelocity(Tn/s)
Dampingfactorh(%}
O.O-5.05.0
2,O
115
6.5
5,e-25.020.0
2.0
171
4.4
25,O-40.015.0
2.0
223
3.4
4o.e-67,s27.8
2.0
308
2.4
67.8.90.022.2
2,O.340
2.2
90.0-180.090.0
2.0
430
1.7
180.0-250.070.0
2.0
510
1.5
2so.e-3oe.o50.0
2.0
690
Ll
300.0-
-
2.l
850
e.g
Table3
Soil
profileat
Bonds
Coiner
Depth(rn}Thickness(m)
Unitweight(Vm3)Swavevelocity(mls)Dampingfactorh(tyo)
O.O-10.010.0
2,O
167
4.5
10.0-20.010.0
2.0
224
3.3
20.0-45.025.0
2.0
332
2.3
45.0.90.045.0
2.e
399
1,9
90.0.180.090,O
2.0
430
1.7
IBo,o-2se.o70.0
2,O
510
1.5
250.0-300,O50.0
2,O
69e
1,1
3oe,o-
-
2.1
S50
O.9
Table4
Soilprofileat
Brawley
Fig.14Artificially-cornputedground
motionDepth(m)Thickness(rn)
Unitweight(Vm3)Swayevelocity(mls)Dampingfacterh{%)
O.O-22,522.5
2.0
198
3.8
22.5-3S.415.9
2.0
248
3.0
38.4.90.05L6
2.D
340
2.2
go.o-lso.e90.0
2.0
430
1.7
ISO.O.250.070.0
2,O
510
1.5
2so,o-3oo.e50,O
2,O
690
Ll.
300.ot
-
2,1
850
O.9
Figure
16
is
the
comparison of velocity reFponse spectra withthe
soildline
due
to
the
s.ynthesized accelerogram,the
dotted
line
due
to
the
observed2300
component ofthe
main-shock accelerogram, andthe
chainediine
for
the
observed
140e
component.The
velocity Tespense spectrumfor
the
synthesized accelerdgrarnis
in
the
same rangeas
those
for
the
observed ones exceptin
the
Tangegf
periods
longer
than
aboutO.s
second.The
reasonfor
underestimation ofthe
spectral amplitudesin
this
range may attributeto
the
char'acteristics ofthe
data
base,
Figure
17
showsthe
prediction
atBonds
Corner.
The
motionhas
alonger
duration
than
that
ofArray
No.
3,
sincethe
ruptu:epropagates
awayfrom
the
station.The
synthesized accelerogramhas
the
samelevel
asthose
ofthe
observed ones.
Figure
18
showsthe
comparsionbetween
velocity response spectra.The
velocity response spectrumfor
the
synthesized accelerogram corresponds withthose
for
the
obseiveO ones with appropriatedegree
of accuracy,-・-
57
Gtt1
300.0
(a)
O.0
-3DO,D
6tt
300.0
(b)
o.o
-300,O
Gat
300.0
(c)
o.o-300.0
o
Gal
soe.o
{a)
o,o
-eoo,a
Gal
800.0
(b)
o.o
..800.D
Gal
Boe.o
(c)
o,o
-800,O
o
lerogram
MMsPetwt
Observedaceelerograrn(140")
-
tw
246B
10
Peak
Acc.
218Gal
216Gal
272Ga]
121416
(sec}!8
20
Fig.15
Acceleregrams
atEl
Centro
Array
No.3
.
synthesizedaccelerograM
peak
Aee.
883Gal
va
'
Observedaccelerogram(230")
758Gal
ebservedacceleregram(14o")
563Gal
2
46
B
IO
12
14
16
te
20
Gtt
200.0
(a)
o.o
-20D,D
Gat
200.0
(b)
o.o-2DO.O
Gat 200.0(e>
o.o
-200.0o
Fig.
17
AccelerogTams
atBonds
Corner
'
'
Synthesizedaccelerograrn
Peak
Acc.
172Gal
WitSiVdvivt""w
t
Observedaecelerograrn(225")
156Gal
Observedacce]eregram(315")
219Gal
hatwww1wtM"
(see)
2
4
S
B
10
12
t4
le
tB
20
58
Fig.19
Accelerograms
atBrawley
500,0
-200,0e.se
loo.oEti
so,oKut82o.og8
ID,OLh.t
5,O"e.z>
2,O
1,D
o,S
O.OS
O.1
O.2
O.5
l.O
Natural
period
{sec)
Fig.16
Velocity
response spectrafor
the
motions
in
Fig.15
'
500.0
.-.
200.0
o.EMlooLO'l;
LS
50.0g
th8
2o.o
=i
to.oE
b
s.o-g"v
>
2.0
1.0
o.s
o.as o,1 D.2 o.s r,o
Natura]period{see)
Fig.18
Velocity
response spectrafor
the
motions
in
Fig.17
500.0
200.DT =A100.DtEIts
so.D
ves8
20,og
th
s.o
'g
-8
::
Fig.
20
Velocity
response spectrafor
thernotionS
in
Fig.19
1li llh=O,05-=Obs."4oe)
"
'S'h'
-:,'--.!-,.,.'ttttt:ttc'
Vs'tt""-`ntL'lt.;・tlm..T・Th,--n
:tt"+,kObs.c23oniSyn.
-'ttt-tttttJ;ttT!t.tHs leObs.(23oo)h=O.05
Syn.i'
r:---.+--lt'.!"'-'L.t-. t:icF;:-:::h'ls-'r.`;.・.-.s.'XObs.
-"4oo)r
s・"5i"..y''
'Architectural Institute of Japan
NII-Electronic Library Service
ArchitecturalInstitute of Japan
'
Figure
19
showsthe
results atBrawley
which
is
located
on
the
oppasite side ofthe
epicenter.We
can seethe
waves arriveas
agroup
with a shortduration
in
contrastto
Bonds
Corner
andfind
the
prediction
here
excellent.In
Figure20,
the
response
spectra
for
the
synthesited andthe
observed areall
in
the
same
range,The
three
examples
suggest
that
it
shouldbe
possible
to
use an artificially-computedaccelerogram
asGreen's
function
to
predict
aceelerationground
motionsin
epicentral regions.'
8.
Conclusions
First,
Tanaka
et al. 's method was modified consistently withthe
a,-squaremodel
proposed
by
Aki
and
the
acceleration
ground
motionsfor
the
1979
Imperial
Valley
eafthquake weresimulated
to
show
the
applicability ofthis
method
to
the
epicentralregion
of ashallow close-by earthquake with amagnitude of about6.
5.
In
this
method,the
numberof
aftershock
records,
which were superposed asGreen's
functions,
wastaken
asthe
seismic moment ratiobetween
the
main shock andthe
aftershockin
lew
frequencies,
and as213
power
of
the
seismic
moment ratioin
high・
frequencies,
The
sizes
ofthe
fault
modelsfor
the
main shock andthe
aftershock weredetermined
based
on
the
similarity
relations
of sourceparameters,
'
Second,
this
method was appliedto
the
problem
in
which no appropriate・observed recordsfor
smal・1 eventsare
available,
Instead
ofthe
actual
aftershock
records, an artificially-computed accelerogram with reliable averaged characteristicsof
earthquake motions was usedto
predict
the
main-shockground
motions.The
prediction
wasperformed
by
consideringthe
amplificationfactors
of
the
surface
layering
at
each
strong-motion
station.
Based
onthe
obtained
results,
wecan
concludethat
(
i
)
the
modified synthesis methodpresented
in
this
paper
is
powerful
enoughto
simttlate
accelerationgreund
motionsin
epicentral regions, andthat
(
ii
)
it
should
be
possible
to
use an artificially-computed accelerogram as
Green's
function
when noappropriate
observed recordsfor
small events are available,We
are
now
further
studying
synthesis method considering aseurce mechanism ofthe
aftershockand
detailed
fault
models
for
the
main shock, and alsodiscussing
eharacteristics ofthe
data
base
for
artificially-computed accelerogramsin
order
to
obtainGreen]s
functions
for
the
earthquake motionsof
othersizes.
9.
Acknowledgments
Authors
wishto
expresstheir
appreciationto
formeT
Prof,
H.
Kobayashi
atTokyo
Institute
of
Technology
and
to
Prof.
Y.
Ohsawa
atUniversity
of
Tokyo
for
their
permission
ofthe
usage ofthe
aftershock andthe
main-shockrecords of
the
1979
Imperial
Valley
earthquake.The
acknowledgmentis
extendedto
Dr.
V.
Avanessian
atOhsaki
Research
Institute,
Inc,
for
his
careful review ofthe
manuscript.References
1)
HaTtzell,S.
H.
{1978}
:
Earthquake
afteTshocks asGreen's
functions,
Geophysical
Research
LetteTs,
Vol.5,
No.1,
pp.
1-4.
2)
Kanamori,H.
(1979)
:A
semi-empirical approachto
prediction
oflong-period
ground
metionsfrom
g[eat
earthquakes.Bulletin
ofthe
Seisrnological
Society
ofAmerica,
Vol.69.
No.6,
pp,1645-167e.
'
3}
Hadley,
D.
M,
andHelmberger,
D.
V.
(1980)
:
Simulation
of stronggrouncl
motions,Bulletin
ofthe
Seismelogical
Seciety
of'
Ameriea,
Vol.70,
No.2,
pp.617L630.
4}
Imagawa,K.
andMikumo,T.
(l982)
:
Near-field
seismic wavefermsfrom
majoi earthquake$ and a consideratien onthe
rupture
process
onthe
fault,
Zisin,
VeL35,
No.2,
pp.575-590
"n
Japanese),
OTiginally
presented
in
April
1981
atthe
semi-annual meeting of
tfte
Seismological
Society
ofJapan.
5)
Tanaka,T.
,Yeshizawa,S.
,Sakaue,M.
andOsawa,
Y.
Ogs2)
:
Estimation
of acceleration characteristics of strongground
motien
by
synthesis of accelerogram obtainedduring
a small earthquake,Bulletin
ofthe
Earthquake
Research
Institute,
VoL57,
pp.561-579
(in
Japanese).
Originally
presented
in
October
1981
atthe
semi-annual meeting efthe
Seismological
Society
ofJapan,
6}
Irikura,
K.
(1983)
:
Semi-empirical
estmatien ef strongground
motionsduring
large
earthquakes,Bulletin
of tlteDisaster
Prevention
Research
Institute.
Kyoto
University,
VoL33,
Pait2,
No.
298,
pp,63-le4.
0riginally
presented
in
ApriL
1981
atthe
semi-annllal meeting of theSeismological
Society
ofJapan.
7)
Iida,M,
andHakuno,M.
(1984)
:
Study
on complexity oflarge
earthquakes,Proc.
ofJSCEStructural
Eng.fEarthquake
Eng,
Vol.
1,
No,
2,
pp.47-57.
0riginally
presented
in
Aprill
1981
at the serni-annual meeting ofthe
Seismological
Seciety
ofJapan.
8)
Aki,K.
{1967):Scaling
law
of seismic spectium,JQuinal
ofGeophysicai
Research,
Vol.72,
No.4,
pp,1217-1231,
9)
Kanamori,H.
andAnderson,D,
L.
(1975):Theoretical
basis
of sorne ernpirical Telationsin
seismelogy,Bulletin
of the-59-10)
11)
12)
13)
14)
15)
16)
IZ)
18)
19)
20)
.21)
22)
Seismological
Society
ofAmerica,
VoL65,
No.5.
pp.1073-1095.
Thatcher,W,
andHanks,T,
C.
(1973)
:Source
parameteis
of southernCalifornia
earthquakes,Journal
ofGeophysical
Research,
VoL78,
No,35,
pp,8547'8576,
,
Geller,R.
J.
(1976)
:
Scaling
relationsfor
earthquake sottrceparameters
'and
fuagnitude$,
Bulletin
of theSeismological
Society
ofArnerica,
Vol.66,
No.5,
'pp.1501-i523.
Muramatsu,I.
andIrikura,
K.
(1981)
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