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Whipple ࣂࣥࣃ࣮㜵ᚚᶵᵓ࡟㛵ࡍࡿ෌⪃ᐹ

ۑ∦ᒣ 㞞ⱥ㸦CTC㸧

䝇䝨䞊䝇䝕䝤䝸ศ㔝䛷ᶆ‽ⓗ䛺㜵ᚚ᪉ἲ䛸䛧䛶ㄆ▱䛥䜜䛶䛔䜛 Whipple 䝅䞊䝹䝗䛿䚸Harvard ኱Ꮫኳᩥྎ䛾 F.

L. Whipple 䛜䚸1947 ᖺ䛻 The Astronomical Journal ㄅ䛻Ⓨ⾲䛧䛯䚸ഹ䛛༙㡫䛻䜒‶䛯䛺䛔 䇾Meteorites and space travel䇿䛸䛔䛖グ஦䜢㉳※䛸䛩䜛䚹Whipple 䛜䛣䛾ㄽᩥ䛷㏙䜉䛯䛂䛣䛾Ᏹᐂ⯪䛻䝭䝸䜾䝷䝮䜸䞊䝎䛾㉸㧗㏿䛾㣕

⩧య䛜⾪✺䛩䜛䛸䚸㣕⩧య䞉ᶆⓗඹ䛻Ẽ໬䜒䛧䛟䛿䜲䜸䞁໬䛜⏕䛨䜛䚹䛃䛸䛔䛖グ㏙䛿䚸ᖹᆒ㏿ᗘ䛜 20 km/s 䛻䜒ཬ䜆 meteoroid 䛾ሙྜ䛻䛿┿䛷䛒䜛䛜䚸 2 ẁᘧ㍍䜺䝇㖠➼䛻䜘䜚䚸ᆅୖ䛷ຍ㏿䛷䛝䜛㏿ᗘ䛿㧗䚻 8km/s 䛻㐣䛞䛪䚸䜲䜸䞁

໬䛿䛚䜝䛛ᗈᇦ䛷Ẽ໬䛜⏕䛨䜛䛣䛸䜒䛺䛔䚹䛧䛛䛧䚸1960 ᖺ௦䛾⭾኱䛺⾪✺ᐇ㦂䛾⤖ᯝ㔜せ䛺஦ᐇ䛜ุ᫂䛧䛯䚹䛭 䛾௦⾲ⓗ䛺ᡂᯝ䛾୍䛴䛜 Fig.1 䛻♧䛩㈏㏻㝈⏺᭤⥺䛷䛒䜛䚹䛣䛾୍ぢወጁ䛺᭤⥺䛜ᣢ䛴ព࿡䛸䚸䛭䛾㜵ᚚᶵᵓ䛻 䛴䛔䛶᫂䜙䛛䛻䛧䚸௒ᚋ䛾㜵ᚚ䝅䝇䝔䝮䛾᳨ウ䛻㈨䛩䜛䛣䛸䛜䛷䛝䜜䜀ᖾ䛔䛷䛒䜛䚹

Impact Dynamics Engineering Team

╙3࿁䉴䊕䊷䉴䉧䊷䊄⎇ⓥળ 䋧 䋧

╙4࿁䉴䊕䊷䉴䊂䊑䊥䊪䊷䉪䉲䊢䉾䊒 at ARD / JAXA

16– 17 December, 2010 Masahide KATAYAMA 䓖⼀ 楔 楔喀

⑼ቇ䉲䉴䊁䊛੐ᬺㇱ ⴣ ⴣ᠄ᛛⴚ⺖

(2)

The 4th Space Debris WS

General Concept of Ballistic Limit

DEFINITIONS OF PERFORATION AND PARTIAL PENETRATION FOR DEFINING THE BALLISTIC LIMIT

ARMY BALLIST IC LIMIT

PROT ECT ION BALLIST IC LIMIT

NAVY BALLIST IC LIMIT

PARTIAL

PENETRATION PARTIAL PARTIAL

COMPLETE

PENETRATION COMPLETE

COMPLETE

WITNESS PLATE 6 in

Fig.1 Various definitions for complete and partial penetration.

(Ed. by J.A. Zukas et al., Impact Dynamics , Krieger, 1982.)

V

I

V

R

v

L, 0

Ballis

tic Lim it

V

I

V V V

R

V V

v

L, 0

Ballis

tic Lim it

Fig.2 Typical ballistic limit curve.

©2010 CTC 2

The 4th Space Debris WS

1947

Origin of Whipple Bumper Shield

©2010 CTC 3

(3)

The 4th Space Debris WS

Sorry! To use Japanese only here.

F. L. Whipple䈲 䈲ᄤᢥቇ⠪䈫䈚䈩䇮ᒰᤨ⍮䉌䉏䈩䈇䈢᷹ⷰ੐ታ䈮ၮ䈨䈇䈩䇮

ੱ㘃䈏ᄥ㓁♽ౝ䉕ቝቮᣏⴕ䈜䉎㓙䈮䈲䇮

ෘ ෘ䈘 PP 䈱 䈱㍑⵾࿶ജኈེ䈎䉌䈭䉎䇮⋥ᓘ P 䈱 䈱⃿ᒻቝቮ⦁䉕ᗐቯ䇯 ᐕ

ᐕ䈮৻ᐲ䈱⏕₸䈪 PJ 䉥 䉥䊷䉻䊷䈱meteorite䈏 䈏࿶ജኈེ䉕⽾ㅢ䈜䉎䇯 ᣢ ᣢ⍮䈱ᵹᤊ⟲䉕࿁ㆱ䈜䉎એᄖ䈮䉅ኻ╷䈏ᔅⷐ䇯

ㆇ ㆇേ㊂䈫䉣䊈䊦䉩䊷䈱଻ሽೣ䈎䉌䇮࿶ജኈེ䈱ෘ䈘䈫ห⒟ᐲ䈱⋥ᓘ䈱

meteorite䈏 䈏ⴣ⓭䈚䈢႐ว䇮⊒↢䈜䉎㜞᷷䈱䈢䉄䈮䇮᳇ൻ䉅䈚䈒䈲䉟䉥䊮

ൻ䈏⊒↢䇯

“meteor bumper” 䈲 䈲࿶ജኈེ⴫㕙䈎䉌 PP ᄖ ᄖ஥䈮㈩⟎䈘䈞䈢䇮

ෘ䈘 PP 䈱 䈱㊄ዻ᧼䈎䉌䈭䉎䈪䈅䉐䈉䇯 Summarizing the paper in Japanese:

©2010 CTC 4

The 4th Space Debris WS

Subsequent Progress of Whipple Bumper Shield

T. D. Riney and E. J. Halda, AIAA Journal, Vol. 6 No.2, pp.338-344 (1968). [Reprinted in "R. Kinslow (Ed.),

HIGH-VELOCITY IMPACT PHENOMENA,

Academic Press (1970)"]

Schematics depicting (a) the impact onto a thin bumper plate, (b) its penetration, (c) the subsequent formation of spallation cone, and (d) the loading transmitted by the cone to the main structure downstream.

3.2 mm STEEL SPHERE 7 KM/SEC

1.016 mm NICKEL SHIELD

Fig.4 X ray of thin sheet impact. by C.

J. Maiden et al., GMDRL, 1965 (NASA CR-65222)

3.2 mm STEEL SPHERE 3.2 mm

EC 7 KM/SE

mm NICKEL SHIELD 1.016 m

Fig.4 X ray of thin sheet impact. by C.

J. Maiden et al., GMDRL, 1965 (NASA CR-65222)

©2010 CTC 5

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The 4th Space Debris WS

Whipple Bumper Shield for Apollo Program

Optimum ts/d(projectile completely molten) versus impact velocity.

Optimum ts/d (projectile and shield completely molten) versus impact velocity.

Optimum ts/d (shield completely molten) versus impact velocity.

Optimumtts/d(projectile completely molten) versus impact velocity.

Optimum ts/d (projectile and shield completely molten) versus impact velocity.

Optimum ts/d (shield completely molten) versus impact velocity.

Theoretical shield optimum t

s

/d ranges for melt of projectile and bumper.

(B. G. Cour-Palais, Int. J. of Impact Engng., Vol.23, pp.137-168, 1999.)

Shield Thickness Particle Length

0 5 10 15 20

0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3

0.4 Molten Aluminum Shield-

Glass Projectile

Molten Aluminum Projectile

FOR SHIELD MELT LIMIT

( t

s/d ) Hf

= 0.04 H

a

No Molten Aluminum Shield- Glass Projectile

Impact Velocity (km/sec)

(ts/d)

FOR ALUMINUM PROJECT ILE MELT ING

(

ts

/d )

B. G. Cour-Palais, “Meteoroid Protection by Multiwall Structures,” AIAA Paper No. 69-372, AIAA Hypervelocity Impact Conf., Cincinnati Ohio, Apr. 30 — May 2, 1969.

Modified (Optimum) Cour-Palais Equation

©2010 CTC 6

The 4th Space Debris WS

“Buckup Sheet” of Whipple Bumper Shield

Fig.6 GMDRL double-wall shielding spectrum for Al 7075-T6 at 7.4 km/s. (B. G. Cour-Palais, Int. J. of Impact Engng., Vol.23, pp.137-168, 1999)

Originally published as:

B. G. Cour-Palais, “Meteoroid Protection by Multiwall Structures,”

AIAA Paper No. 69-372, AIAA Hypervelocity Impact Conf., Cincinnati Ohio, Apr. 30 — May 2, 1969.

Modified (Optimum) Cour-Palais Equation

t

s

/ d

0 1 2 3 4 5 6

1 2 3 4 5 6

0

Theoretical Semi-Inf inite = 2.3p / d GMDRL Data

MSC Data 5.3

5.3 ( t

s

+T

B

) / d

Rear sheet thickness versus ts/d of type 2024- T3 aluminum alloy.

(B. G. Cour-Palais, “Space Vehicle Meteoroid Shielding Design, Proc. Comet Halley Micro- meteoroid Hazard Workshop, ESA SP-153, 85- 92, 1979.)

©2010 CTC 7

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The 4th Space Debris WS

Ballistic Limit Equation (Curve)

single wall

double wall

ballistic shatter hypervelocity region

v [km/s]

㪊 㪎

ts

,

S and constant ts tB

tB

S v

d

Fig. 3 Behaviour of the bumper protection concept.

(H.-G. Reimerdes et al., Proc. 1

st

European Conf. on Space Debris, ESA SD-01, Darmstadt pp.433-439, 1993.)

Fig.8 Ballistic limits for equal mass monolithic target and Whipple shield. (E. L. Christiansen, “Meteoroid/Debris Shielding,” TP-2003-210788, NASA, 2003.)

㵰failure” occurs above curves

Whipple dCrit @ 0 deg monolithic dCrit @ 0 deg

Ballistic Limit Improvement due to Shield Standoff

㰱 dCrit

Complete Melt Regime Fragmentation &

Partial Melt Regime Velocity [km/s]

Ballistic Regime Few Solid Fragments

Many (increasing with velocity) solid fragments

& liquid droplets

Fine droplets, few solid fragments, some vapor

Bumper density, EOS Standoff Rear Wall Strength Bumper strength

density, EOS, thermal characteristics

Standoff Rear Wall Strength Strength

Velocity [km/s]

Critical Al Diameter [cm]

Velocity Region State of Debris Cloud (for Al on Al impacts)

Important Shield &

Material Propperties Region

After Apollo Program:

Modified Cour-Palais Equation New Cour-Palais Equation (Christiansen Equation)

d, t

s

, S = constant

t

s

, t

B

, S = constant

©2010 CTC 8

The 4th Space Debris WS

Debris Cloud Formation: 500 to 20,000 m/s

3URMHFWLOH7 6KLHOG7

%DFN:DOO7 G PP W

V

PP

W

%

PP 6 PP

500 m/s 1000 m/s 1500 m/s 2000 m/s 3000 m/s

4000 m/s 5000 m/s 6000 m/s 7000 m/s 8000 m/s

10000 m/s 15000 m/s 20000 m/s

Perfectly Vaporized Partially

Vaporized

Perfectly Vaporized Partially

Vaporized

Partially Vaporized

3URMHFWLOH7 6KLHOG7

%DFN:DOO7 G PP W

V

PP

W

%

PP 6 PP

©2010 CTC 9

(6)

The 4th Space Debris WS

Debris Cloud Formation and Penetration Process

in the Whipple Bumper Shield (I); no shock-induced vaporization

Debris: 10 mmI Sphere, Bumper Thickness: 2 mm, Standoff: 50 mm 1 to 6 km/s by every 1 km/s

©2010 CTC 10

The 4th Space Debris WS

Debris: 10 mmII Sphere, Bumper Thickness: 2 mm, Standoff: 50 mm 7 km/s, 8 km/s

Debris Cloud Formation and Penetration Process

in the Whipple Bumper Shield (II); no shock-induced vaporization

©2010 CTC 11

(7)

Debris: 10 mmI Sphere, Bumper Thickness: 2 mm, Standoff: 50 mm 10 km/s, 15 km/s and 20 km/s

Debris Cloud Formation and Penetration Process

in the Whipple Bumper Shield (III); shock-induced vaporization

Change of Phase

Es-Isoenergy Pressure

V/V0 Vs 1 I

II

IV

㩷㩷㩷㩷

Materail Phase Compression mode in solid phase Expansion mode in solid phase Solid/gas multiple-phase Gas phase Region No.

I II III IV

Forp< 1 TPa, Mie-Grüneisen type shock Hugoniot EOS Forp> 1 TPa,

Thomas-Fermi theoretical III EOS

Hugoniot

The 4th Space Debris WS

©2010 CTC 13

The 4th Space Debris WS

1. Reviewed a series of the ballistic limit equations (BLE’s) for the Whipple bumper shield which were developed experimentally during the Apollo program and improved mainly in the latter half of 1980’s at NASA/MSC /JSC.

2. Although the shatter region of the BLE’s looks eccentric at first glance, the fundamental mechanism of the BLE’s was clarified and depicted by the present numerical simulations

3. The BLE’s are empirical equations derived from the vast amounts of experimental test results at Ames, GMDRL, MSC, JSC, etc., however, their various coefficients are not always evident, although not shown here individually.

4. It is of great importance to comprehend the essential concept of the BLE’s to be developed, in order to develop new equations for other purposes, as well as to apply existing BLE’s to current problems.

CONCLUDING REMARKS

©2010 CTC 14

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⛊㏿ᩘNP࡟ཬࡪ㉸㧗㏿⾪✺ᐇ㦂ࡣࠊ➨஧ḟ኱ᡓᚋࡢ ෭ᡓᵓ㐀ࡀ⏕ࡳฟࡋࡓ኱㝣㛫ᙎ㐨ᙎ㸦,&%0㸧ࡀዎᶵ

࡜࡞ࡗ࡚ࠊ୺࡟⡿ࢯ࡟࠾࠸࡚㛤ጞࡉࢀࡓࡶࡢ࡜⪃࠼ࡽ

ࢀࡿࡀࠊᪧࢯࣅ࢚ࢺ㐃㑥᫬௦ࡢグ㘓ࡣ⛥ᑡ࡛࠶ࡾࠊ௨

ୗࡢ㆟ㄽ࡛ࡣ⡿ᅜ࡟㛵ࡍࡿグ㏙࡟㝈ࡿࡶࡢ࡜ࡍࡿࠋ ᖺ⛬๓࠿ࡽ᪥ᮏ࡛ࡶ㠀ᖖ࡟࣍ࢵࢺ࡞ヰ㢟࡜࡞ࡗ࡚

࠸ࡿᙎ㐨࣑ࢧ࢖ࣝ㜵⾨㸦%0'㸧ࡢࡓࡵࡢ◊✲ࡀ ᖺ ௦ ࠿ ࡽ 㛤 ጞ ࡉ ࢀ ࡓ ࠋ ࡑ ࡢ ᚋ ࠊ ᖺ ᭶ ࡢ - ) .HQQHG\࡟ࡼࡿ$SROORィ⏬ࡢⓎ⾲࡟ࡼࡾࠊࡑࡢ◊✲࡟ᢿ

㌴ࡀ᥃࠿ࡗࡓࠋ㉸㧗㏿⾪✺◊✲࡟ඛ㠴ࢆࡘࡅࡓࡢࡣ 1$6$ࡢ$PHV◊✲ࢭࣥࢱ࣮㸦ᖺ௨๓ࡣᅜᐙ⯟✵ㅎ ၥጤဨ఍ >1$&$@ᡤ⟶ࠋ㸧࡛࠶ࡾࠊᖺ௦ࡢ⤊ࢃࡾ

࡟ࡣࠊ஧ẁᘧ㍍࢞ࢫ㖠ࡢ㥑ືẼయ࡜ࡋ࡚Ỉ⣲ࢆ⏝࠸ࡿ

ࡇ࡜࡟ࡼࡗ࡚ࠊࢢ࣒࣮ࣛ࢜ࢲࡢ㣕⩧యࢆ NPV⛬ᗘࡲ

࡛ຍ㏿ࡍࡿᢏ⾡ࢆ☜❧ࡋࡓࠋࡇࡢ◊✲ࢆᢏ⾡ⓗ࡟ᣦ᥹

ࡋࡓࡢࡣ$OH[DQGHU&&KDUWHUV࡛࠶ࡿ

ࠋࡋ࠿ࡋࠊࡇࡢ◊

✲ࡶᙜึࡣ㉸㧗㏿⾪✺ၥ㢟࡛ࡣ࡞ࡃࠊ,&%0ࡢ෌✺ධ

᫬ࡢ⌧㇟࡟ࡘ࠸࡚ㄪ࡭ࡿࡇ࡜ࢆ┠ⓗ࡜ࡋ࡚࠸ࡓࠋఱࢀ

࡟ࡋ࡚ࡶࠊࡇࡢᢏ⾡ࡣᖺ௦࡟ධࡗ࡚*HQHUDO0RWRUV

ࡢ㜵⾨◊✲ᡤ㸦*0'5/㸧࡟ᘬࡁ⥅ࡀࢀࠊ኱ᆺ໬࡜Ᏻ ᐃࡋࡓ㐠⏝ࡀ࡛ࡁࡿࡼ࠺࡟࡞ࡾࠊࡑࡢ⤖ᯝ࡜ࡋ࡚ࠊ⭾

኱࡞ᩘࡢヨ㦂ࡀᐇ᪋ࡉࢀ :KLSSOH ࢩ࣮ࣝࢻタィࡢࡓࡵ

ࡢᇶ♏ࢹ࣮ࢱࡀᚓࡽࢀࠊ㉸㧗㏿⾪✺࡟㛵ࡍࡿከࡃࡢᐇ 㦂ᘧࡀᥦ᱌ࡉࢀࡓࠋ*0'5/ࡣࠊ' 5 &KULVWPDQ & - 0DLGHQ-:*HKULQJ$%:HQ]HO$50F0LOODQ5 ( 6RQQHWW ,,, ➼ࡢ㉸㧗㏿⾪✺ࡢᑓ㛛ᐙࢆ᤼ฟࡍࡿ࡜ඹ

࡟ࠊ㉸㧗㏿⾪✺࡟㛵ࡍࡿ㔜せ࡞ከࡃࡢ1$6$ࡢጤク◊

✲࣏࣮ࣞࢺࢆୡ࡟ฟࡋࡓࠋ

$SROORィ⏬ࡢᮏ᱁໬࡜ඹ࡟ࠊ *0'5/࡛☜❧ࡉࢀࡓᢏ

⾡ ࡣ ࠊ 1$6$ ࡢ 06& 0DQQHG 6SDFHFUDIW &HQWHU ⌧ -RKQVRQᏱᐂࢭࣥࢱ࣮ -6&࡟ᩜ⾝ࡉࢀࠊ% * &RXU 3DODLVࡀᢏ⾡ⓗ࡟ᣦ᥹ࡍࡿࡼ࠺࡟࡞ࡿࠋ

ࢹࣈࣜ㞼ᙧᡂᶵᵓࡢゎ᫂

:KLSSOHࡀᖺࡢㄽᩥ࡛㏙࡭ࡓࠕࡇࡢᏱᐂ⯪࡟࣑ࣜ

ࢢ࣒࣮ࣛ࢜ࢲࡢ㉸㧗㏿ࡢ㣕⩧యࡀ⾪✺ࡍࡿ࡜ࠊ㣕⩧

య࣭ᶆⓗඹ࡟Ẽ໬ࡶࡋࡃࡣ࢖࢜ࣥ໬ࡀ⏕ࡌࡿࠋࠖ࡜࠸

࠺グ㏙ࡣࠊᖹᆒ㏿ᗘࡀNPV࡟ࡶཬࡪPHWHRURLGࡢሙྜ

࡟ࡣ┿࡛࠶ࡿࡀࠊ๓㡯࡛㏙࡭ࡓ஧ẁᘧ㍍࢞ࢫ㖠࡛ຍ㏿

࡛ࡁࡿ㏿ᗘࡣ㧗ࠎ NPV࡟㐣ࡂࡎࠊ࢖࢜ࣥ໬ࡣ࠾ࢁ࠿

ᗈᇦ࡛Ẽ໬ࡀ⏕ࡌࡿࡇ࡜ࡶ࡞࠸ࠋࡋ࠿ࡋࠊ⭾኱࡞⾪✺

ᐇ㦂ࡢ⤖ᯝࠊ㔜せ࡞஦ᐇࡀุ᫂ࡋࡓࠋࡑࡢ⤖ᯝࢆࠊ :KLSSOHࢩ࣮ࣝࢻ࡜࠸࠺ほⅬ࠿ࡽ୍ᅗ࡟ࡲ࡜ࡵࡓࡢࡀ )LJ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ௨ᚋࠊ :KLSSOHࢩ࣮ࣝࢻࡢྛせ⣲ࡢࢹ࢕࣓

ࣥࢪࣙࣥࢆ⾲ࡍグྕࡣᅗ୰࡟♧ࡋࡓࡶࡢࢆ⏝࠸ࡿࠋ ᅗ୰ࠊ NPV ௨ୗࡢ͂ EDOOLVWLF ̓࡜グࡉࢀࡓ㡿ᇦ࡛ࡣࠊ ᶆⓗᯈཌ᪉ྥ࡟͂ VKHDU EDQG ̓ࡀᙧᡂࡉࢀࠊ࠸ࢃࡺࡿ

͂ SOXJJLQJ ̓㸦ᡴࡕᢤࡁࡏࢇ᩿㸧ࡀ⏕ࡌࠊ୍⯡࡟ࡶẚ

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ࢩ࡛ࣗ᧜ᙳࡋࡓ෗┿ࢆ♧ࡍࠋࢹࣈࣜ㞼ࡀ༙ᚄ᪉ྥ࡟኱

ࡁ࡞ᣑࡀࡾࢆᣢࡗ࡚࠸ࡿࡇ࡜ࡀศ࠿ࡿࠋࡉࡽ࡟ࠊ NPV ࡢ͂K\SHUYHORFLW\ UHJLRQ̓࡜グࡉࢀࡓ㡿ᇦ࡛ࡣᶆⓗ㺃㣕

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✀࡟౫ᏑࡍࡿࡀࠊNPV௨ୖ㸧ࠊẼ໬ࡸࣉࣛࢬ࣐໬ࡀ

⏕ࡌࠊ :KLSSOH ࡀ ᖺࡢㄽᩥ࡛ㄽࡌࡓࡼ࠺࡞⌧㇟࡟⮳

ࡿࠋ

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᭤⥺ࡣࠊ *0'5/ ࡛ồࡵࡽࢀࡓࡶࡢ࡛ࠊ⾪✺㏿ᗘࡢ Ҁ ஌

࡟཯ẚ౛ࡋ࡚ῶᑡࡍࡿࠋࡑࢀ࡟ᑐࡋ࡚ࠊࢩ࣮ࣝࢻᯈ࡟

ᑐࡍࡿ᭤⥺ࡣࠊ -6&ࡢ-&KDPEHUOLQ࡟ࡼࡗ࡚ᥦ᱌ࡉࢀࡓ

ࡶࡢ࡛ࠊ⾪✺᫬࡟Ⓨ⏕ࡍࡿ⇕࢚ࢿࣝࢠ࣮ࡢ࠺ࡕࠊࢩ࣮

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ࡢ࡟ᚲせ࡞⇕㔞ࡀࠊPVࡢ⾪✺᫬࡟ゎᨺྍ⬟࡞⇕㔞 ࡢ ࡼࡾࡶᑡࡋᑠࡉ࠸ࡇ࡜ࢆ♧ࡋ࡚࠸ࡿࠋᐇ⥺࡛♧

ࡋࡓ᭤⥺ࡼࡾୖഃ࡛㣕⩧యࡀᾮ໬ࡋࠊ㸯Ⅼ㙐⥺࡛♧ࡋ ࡓ᭤⥺ࡼࡾୗഃ࡛ࢩ࣮ࣝࢻᯈࡀᾮ໬ࡍࡿࠋᚑࡗ࡚ࠊࣁ

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ࢻᯈඹ࡟᏶඲࡟ᾮ໬ࡍࡿࡇ࡜ࢆព࿡ࡋ࡚࠸ࡿࠋ

㸰ᯛࡢᯈཌࡢ᭱㐺໬

)LJXUH ࡣࠊ㣕⩧యࡢ┤ᚄ࡛↓ḟඖ໬ࡋࡓࢩ࣮ࣝࢻᯈ ᅽ࡜㸰ᯛࡢᯈᅽ࿴ࡢ㛵ಀ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ NPVࡢ࢔࣑ࣝࢽ࢘

࣒㣕⩧యࢆ7࢔࣑ࣝࢽ࣒࢘ྜ㔠ࢩ࣮ࣝࢻᯈ࡟⾪

✺ࡉࡏࡿࡇ࡜࡟ࡼࡾ*0'5/࡛ᐇ㦂ⓗ࡟Ỵᐃࡉࢀࡓࡶ

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ᯈࡀ㸯ᯛ࡜㸰ᯛࡢ :KLSSOH ࢩ࣮ࣝࢻ࡟

ᑐࡍࡿ᭤⥺ࠊཬࡧ㸰ᯛ:KLSSOHࢩ࣮ࣝࢻ

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య࡜ᶆⓗᮦࡀ◚○ࡉࢀᗈ࠸✵㛫ศᕸ㸦ప࠸㉁㔞ᐦᗘ㸧

ࢆࡶࡗ࡚ᚋ᪉ᯈ࡟⾪✺ࡍࡿࡇ࡜࡟㉳ᅉࡍࡿࠋࡇࡢ㏿ᗘ 㡿ᇦ࡛ࡣࠊ⾪✺㏿ᗘࡢቑຍ࡜ඹ࡟ࠊࢹࣈࣜ㞼ࡢᣑࡀࡾ

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ࢫࢹࣈࣜࡣᑐ㇟እ࡛࠶ࡗࡓࠋᚑࡗ࡚ࠊᖺ௨๓࡟᳨

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ࡼࡾ኱ࡁ࡞㣕⩧య࡟ᑐࡋ࡚ࡶ᭷ຠ࡞ヨ㦂ࢹ࣮ࢱ㸦୺࡟ࠊ 0DUVKDOOᏱᐂ㣕⾜ࢭࣥࢱ࣮ 06)&࡛ᐇ᪋ࡉࢀࡓࠋ㸧ࢆ

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⣙ 㹼 NPV ࡢ͂ VKDWWHU ̓㡿ᇦࡣࡇࢀࡽࡢ㸰➃Ⅼࢆ⥺ᆺ

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ゎᯒࡋࡓ⤖ᯝ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ PV ௨ୗࡢ㏿ᗘ㡿ᇦ࡛ࡣࠊ

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参照

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