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翼端形状に着目したプロペラ風車の大規模数値解析

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(1)

Izumi USHIYAMA

Ashikaga Institute of Technology

Japan Wind Energy Association

9 March. 2012

Wind Power Development

in Japan

(2)

Contents

1

Recent Situation in Japan

2. Windturbines withstood the Earthquake

3. Energy Policy is changing in Japan

(3)

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Annual

Cummulative

Wind Power Generation in Japan

Latest wind Power Statistics in Japan (at the end of 2011)

- Total installed wind generation : 2,501MW, 1,832 units

- New wind generation installed : 167 MW / year

- Total electric output from wind : 4246 GWh / year

- Wind generation share of national electric demand : 0.5 %

Ref: Japan Wind Power Association

Japan could not achieve

the past target 3GW by 2010.

×

Subsidies

terminated

FIT

starts

Lack of

Incentive

(4)

Domestic Manufactures get Major market Share

Japanese WTG Market Share in 2011

etc,

GE,

(11MW),

7%

MHI,

12MW,

7%

FHI, 16MW,

10%

Enercon,

18MW, 11%

REpower,

28MW,

17%

JSW,

82MW,

48%

3 Japanese Domestic

WTG manufacturers

- Japan Steel Works (JSW)

- Fuji Heavy Industries (FHI)

- Mitsubishi Heavy Industries

(MHI)

They got 66% Japanese

Market share in 2011.

Note: GE’s 11MW is deregulation

for past installed turbines

(5)

Recent Windfarm in Japan

Name: Kunimiyama Windfarm

Owner: Eurus Energy Japan

Location : Southern part of Japan

Start Operation: Mar. 2011

Output: 30 MW

(6)

Recent Windfarm in Japan

Name: Omaezaki Windfarm

Owner: Chubu Electric Company

Location : Mid of Japan

Start Operation: Jan. 2011

Output: 22 MW

(7)

Recent Windfarm in Japan

Name: Fukura Windfarm

Owner: Nihonkai Hatsuden Co.

Location : Coast side of Japan Sea, Mid of Japan

Start Operation: Feb. 2011

Output: 21.6 MW

(8)

Offshore Windpower

Projects in Japan

Hibikinada

2012

JSW 2MW

Goto Island

2013

FHI 2MW

(Floating)

Choshi

2012

MHI 2.4MW

Kamisu

2010

FHI 2MW

X 7units

Fukushima

2013~

Over 15MW

(Floating)

(9)

Kamisu WF become the 1st survivor of tsunami

↑Many trashes are carried by

tsunami under the turbines

Windpower Kamisu offshore windfarm is

consisted by 7 SUBARU80/2.0 2MW WTGs.

They are about 300km far from the epicenter.

Shaking level was 5 plus and about 5 m

height tsunami attacked the farm.

But turbines are safe and start operation

again on 14.March.

(10)

0km 5km 海底ケーブル 風車と観測タワー 観測タワー 風車 285m Tokyo 風車 :北緯35度40分54秒,東経140度49分13秒(世界測地系) 観測タワー:北緯35度40分54秒,東経140度49分24秒(世界測地系)

Choshi Offshore Demonstration Project

Joint Project

- TEPCO

- MHI

- Kashima

Construction

- Tokyo University

It is to install

next summer.

It was postponed

1 year by the

Earthquake.

3.1 km 3offshore of Choshi,

100 km east from Tokyo.

About 12m in depth.

(11)

Choshi Offshore Demonstration Project

Mitsubishi 2.4MW

Offshore Wind

Turbine

Gravity type

foundation

(12)

 Offshore

: 約1.4 km

 Depth

: 約14 m

 Average Wind Speed : 6.9 m/s

 Wave Height

: 6.7 m/s (Once a 50 years)

Site

Location

Hibikinada Offshore Demonstration Project

Joint Project

- J Power

- JSW

(13)

1

,4

0

0

m

陸上開閉所

Under sea cable

WTG

Anemometer Tower

ナセル コンバータ 変圧器 発電機 ハブ サブフレーム 除湿機

Hybrid Gravity Foundation

JSW J82 2MW gearless PMSG WTG

(14)

MHI challenges to Offshore WTG

Hydraulic

Pump

Hydraulic

Motor

Synchronous

Generator

-Output : 7 MW Class -Rotor Dia.: over 165m -Wind Class : IEC-Class S -Drive Train : Hydraulic Type

-Generator : High Speed Synchronous Type -Inverter : Not necessary

(15)

Wind Power Potential in Japan

Two Ministries have published “Wind energy Resource in Japan” this spring. Japan has enough potential including offshore windpower.

(16)

Wind Energy Potential Map

Offshore wind has large

Potential near Tokyo.

・Hokkaido, Tohoku and Kyusyu

have plenty of high wind speed area.

・But they are rural area, therefore

electricity demands are low, so

their grid capacities are restricted.

Hokkaido

Tohoku

Kyusyu

(17)

10 Regional Electric Companies

次世代のエネルギー政策③ 再生可能エネルギー普及の基盤となる透明性の高い広域送電網 日本総合研究所、2011年7月19日 より

6.1GW

風力発電の 日本合計 2.3GW 東北合計 0.6GW より十分に 大きい。 ↓ ←東北東京 を連携して 弾力運用す れば、受容枠 (下げ代)は 今の 5.2倍 の 4.5GW へ。

Hokkaido

Tohoku

Tokyo

Kyusyu

(18)

風力発電導入ロードマップ

0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 40,000 45,000 50,000 55,000 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 年度 導入量[M W ]

洋上(浮体)

洋上(着床)

陸上

JWPA’s proposal to Japanese Government

Off-shore (Floating) Off-shore (Founding) On-shore Installed

Fiscal Year

Roadmap for Wind Power Development in Japan, JWPA, May 2010

- Wind power shall supply 10% electricity demand in Japan by 2050. - Installed capacity shall be 11.1GW in 2020 and 50GW in 2050.

50GW = On-shore 25GW + Off-shore 7.5GW + Floating 17.5GW

- Offshore (Founding type) will be promoted after 2015.

- Offshore (Floating type) will be promoted after 2020.

50GW

in 2050

11.1GW

in 2020

(19)

Contents

1

Recent Situation in Japan

2. Windturbines withstood the Earthquake

3. Energy Policy is changing in Japan

4. Offshore windpower development

(20)

Most of Wind tirbines in Japan

have withstood the Earthquake.

Kamaishi windfarm (1MW X 43 WTGs) is about 130km far from the epicenter.

This wind farm is the nearest one.

They are at safe against the Earthquake. 2 sites of 74 MW with 37 WTGs are

within 30 km from Fukushima No.1.

1 WTG has leaned a little by liquefaction at Kashima. This is the only 1 damage in Japan. Kamisu semi-offshore WF of 14 MW with 7 WTGs withstood about 5m height tsunami. They locate 300km far from the epicenter.

(21)

Only 1 WTG was damaged by liquefaction

Ref: Geotechnical Quick Report on the Kanto Plain Region during the March 11, 2011, Off Pacific Coast of Tohoku Earthquake, Japan

Geotechnical Extreme Events Reconnaissance (GEER), April 5, 2011

1 WTG at Sumiit Windpower Kashima in Ibaraki Pref. about 300 km far from the epicenter, has been leaned a little by severe liquefaction. This windfarm is consisted by 10 Gamesa G80 2MW turbines, the other 9 turbines are in the normal condition.

(22)

About ¼ gravity shaked WTGs at 400km distance

About 1/4 gravity (280gal) was observed

for several minutes at the vibration sensor

fixed in the nacelle at 70m hub height in

2.4MW turbine at Yokohama, which is

about 400 km far from the epicenter.

Second 1 Gravity = 981gal

(23)

Contents

1

Recent Situation in Japan

2. Windturbines withstood the Earthquake

3. Energy Policy is changing in Japan

(24)

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2020 2020 2030 0.000 0.100 0.200 0.300 0.400 0.500 0.600 0.700 0.800 0.900 1.000 新エネ 水力 原子力 石炭 LNG 石油他

The Succession of Energy Source in Japan

Just after WWⅡ, Hydro acted main role in Japan. Then Oil firing fossil plants got major.

1973&78, Oil Shock has happened. It threatened Japanese Energy Security.

Oil decreased 73%=>12%. NuclearCoalNatural Gas increased to 25% each.

Nuclear got semi-domestic energy resource position to keep Japanese Energy Security.

After Fukushima,

Natural Gas

becomes the 1st alternative because it is cheap and speedy.

Renewables have only 1% now, but they get 2nd alternative.

They succeed Nuclear’s position in future as domestic resources.

54 bil kWh 485 bil kWh 737。6 il kWh 1,023。5 bil kWh Old Target at 1967 at 1980 at 1990 at 2007 IEA Report

CO2 unit emission (right axis: kg/kWh) Renewables Hydro Nuclear Coal Natural Gas Oil Hydro Nuclear Natural Gas Coal Oil Based on “Energy Development Outlook” and “Long term Energy Supply Vision” by METI

This ratio shows electricity supply, (not capacity)

(25)

In all Japan’s electricity supply, nuclear power accounts for

about 20%(Installed Capacity) and 30%(Output).

Renewable energy accounts for under 1%(capacity/output).

25 hydro 17% thermal 65% nuclear 17% 1% hydro 8% thermal 62% nuclear 29% 1%

Installed Capacity

Output

Total Installed Capacity 281GW (as of the end of May 2010)

Total Output 957TWh (2009 FY)

renewables renewables

(26)

In Japan ,54 nuclear power plants (Total Capacity 49GW)are in

commercial operation(as of the end of December 2010)

26

日本の原子力発電所の運転・建設状況

1 2 東京電力(株)柏崎刈羽原子力発電所 北陸電力(株)志賀原子力発電所 日本原子力発電(株)敦賀発電所 関西電力(株)美浜発電所 関西電力(株)大飯発電所 中国電力(株)上関原子力発電所 九州電力(株)玄海原子力発電所 東北電力(株)東通原子力発電所 北海道電力(株)泊発電所 東京電力(株)東通原子力発電所 九州電力(株)川内原子力発電所 電源開発(株)大間原子力発電所 東北電力(株)女川原子力発電所 東北電力(株)浪江・小高原子力発電所 東京電力(株)福島第一原子力発電所 東京電力(株)福島第二原子力発電所 日本原子力発電(株)東海第二発電所 中部電力(株)浜岡原子力発電所 四国電力(株)伊方発電所 出力規模 100万kW以上 100万kW未満 50万kW未満 着工準備中 建設中 運転中 運 転 中 基 数54 合計出力(万kW)4884.7 建 設 中 2 275.6 着工準備中 12 1,655.2 合 計 68 6,815.5 1 2 1 2 3 3 4 5 2 3 4 1 6 7 8 3 4 5 1 2 3 1 2 1 2 1 2 2 3 4 1 5 6 7 2 1 2 3 4 1 3 1 2 2 3 4 1 関西電力(株)高浜発電所 3 4 1 2 中国電力(株)島根原子力発電所 1 2 3 2 1 1 2 3 4 運転終了:日本原子力発電(株)東海発電所 1998.3.31/中部電力(株)浜岡原子力発電所1、2号機 2009.1.30 6 (商業用・2010年3月末現在) 3 3 (Source:FEPC) Fukushima Hamaoka The epicenter

Nuclear Power Plants in Japan

(27)

27

Post Fukushima

National opinion changed from pro-nuclear

to pro-renewables dramatically.

New nuclear plant shall not be constructed.

Existing nuclear plant are forced to stop,

until they pass through proper ”Stress Tests”.

Fossil power need importing fuels.

That is not good for Japanese economy and job.

Renewable Energy will be promoted in Japan.

(28)

Problems in FIT and others

FIT

1) Prices are not decided yet.

Appropriate profit is necessary for promotion.

2) Priority access to the grid is doubtful.

There is a loophole which allows electric companies

to refuse the connection.

Others

3) Regulations should be eased for promotion.

a. “Legalized environmental Assessment” including

bird strikes

→3 years needed for approval

(29)

c. Farmlands restriction

d. Nature parks protection

e. Grid connection limitation

→Frequency fluctuation and capacity

4) Aggressive large and Long term target must

be set for wind power development.

5) Technical development of wind turbines fitting

to Japanese condition should be advanced.

(30)

Contents

1

Recent Situation in Japan

2. Windturbines withstood the Earthquake

3. Energy Policy is changing in Japan

(31)

Setana in Hokkaido Pref.

Start operation in Dec.2003.

Vestas 600kW×2 WTGs

Sakata port in yamagata Pref.

Start operation in Jan.2004.

Vestas 2MW×5 WTGs

bank

Sea

shore

1km

Inland

3 WTGs

In the

Channel

5 WTGs

Ref: Summit Windpower Sakata

Offshore windpower in Japan

(32)

R&D Programs by METI

Ref: IEA Wind 2010 Annual Report, Chapter Japan

(33)

NEDO R&D Offshore Windpower Generation

Offshore Windturbine Demonstration PJ

- 2.4MW at Choshi, 2MW at Hibikinada in 2012

Offshore Windfarm Feasibility Study

- 4 districts are chozen in 2011.

Super Large Windturbine Development

Ocean Energy Potential Study

(34)

・2011年7月に運転開始

・東京近郊の銚子沖 3km

・水深 11m

2.4MW Off-shore WTG will be installed at Choshi in 2012 summer.

Offshore Windturbine Demonstration

National Project

(35)

Floating Offshore Wind Turbine

Demonstration Project

by Ministry of the Environment

Fiscal year

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

Environmenta

l study Planning Environmental impact assessment and follow-up survey

100kW small-scale turbine Basic design Detailed design & Construc t. Installatio n & Operation Removal 2MW

full-scale turbine Detailed design Construction & Operation Installation Removal

Misc. Selection of the site

Economic feasibility

(36)

Selected Site

(37)

Major Environmental

Conditions

Water depth: 96m(LSWL)-99m(HSWL)

Shortest distance from the shore: 1km

Distance for marine cable: 2km

V

annual average

@60m: 7.5m/s

V

e50

@60m: 53.1m/s

H

s50

: 7.7m

T

s50

: 14sec

Max Current: 0.96m/s

2km

(38)

Full Scale Model

Hub height: 60m

Draft: 78m

PC-Steel Hybrid Spar

(39)

Thank You for Hearing!

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