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(1)

The 40% Handicap Auction

Yosuke Yasuda

National Graduate Institute for Policy Studies (GRIPS)

June, 2011

(2)

Introduction

Allocating licenses is a signi…cant task for governments.

“Beauty Contest” ) “License Auctions”

Advantages: e¢cient, revenue, quick, transparent, ...

Examples: Airport slots, Bus routes, Radio spectra, ...

(3)

How many licenses to sell?

The government can choose the # of licenses to provide.

Auctions achieve e¢ciency given the # of licenses.

Impossible to decide the optimal # prior to the auction.

“market competition

(many licenses)

” vs. “production e¢ciency

(few licenses)

(4)

Free entry is not e¢cient

Excess Entry Theorem The equilibrium # of …rms in an oligopoly market under free entry is greater than the e¢cient # of …rms.

Symmetric …rms with …xed costs: Mankiw and Whinston (1986), Suzumura and Kiyono (1987)

Asymmetric …rms with no …xed cost: Lahiri and Ono (1988)

)Justi…cation of entry regulation.

)Optimal regulation can be implemented by license auctions.

(5)

European UMTS (3G) Auctions

Most of the countries set a number of licenses:

=

( # of incumbents in 2G services 1 + # of —

Essentially, either “accepting a new entrant” or “not.”

)Better auction design?

(6)

Monopoly or Duopoly?

Suppose a monopoly market.

A government provides a second license or not:

( No additional license Provide a license

) Monopoly ) Duopoly

Either a monopoly or a duopoly can be e¢cient.

The costs are private information of the …rms. )How to implement an optimal policy?

(7)

Mechanism Design Approach

VCG mechanism: simple but unworkable in our case (interdepen- dent value, consumer surplus)

No e¢cient mechanism under incomplete information.

Nash implementation (complete information): complicated, not observed in practice

)Impossible or too complicated in general settings.

(8)

The Benchmark Model

Homogenous good

Linear demand: p = a bq

2 …rms

( Incumbent Newcomer

: …rm 1 : …rm 2

Cournot competition

Constant marginal costs: ci; i = 1; 2

(9)

Welfare-Reducing Entry

Duopoly is more e¢cient than monopoly i¤ c2 < c

where c = 5a+17c22 1.

( c2 < c (low-cost) c2 > c (high-cost)

) Social Welfare " ) Social Welfare #

See the next …gures.

(10)

High-Cost or Low-Cost

p p

q q

C2

C1

pm

C2

Social welfare (when C2is high)

Social welfare (when C2 is low)

Welfare loss

Welfare gain A

B

C D

Figure 1: c2 is high (Left) c2 is low (Right)

(11)

The Beauty Contest

If the government knew the parameters a; c1; c2 ) optimal pol- icy.

Otherwise, what can we do?

)Auctions?

English (ascending bid) auction:

( Firm 1 wins: Firm 2 wins:

) Monopoly ) Duopoly

(12)

Benchmark assumptions

The government maximizes social welfare. )Generalized social welfare.

The …rms’ costs are common knowledge among …rms. )Asymmetric information.

The government can only control entry decision = No other reg- ulation (price or quantity regulations)

(13)

Valuations for the license

Each …rm’s valuation for the license: v1 = m 1 v2 = 2

Truthful bidding is optimal.

Entry occurs i¤

v1 < v2 , m 1 < 2

)Does this mechanism achieve e¢ciency?

(14)

Symmetric Firms (c1= c2)

A Duopoly is more e¢cient than a monopoly.

However, the incumbent wins (Gilbert and Newbery, 1982).

The monopoly pro…t is larger than the joint pro…t under duopoly.

m > 1 + 2 , m 1 > 2

Some kind of handicap favoring a newcomer is needed.

)Handicap auctions

(15)

Handicap (English) Auction with H

The auction stops when one …rm drops out.

The remaining bidder is the winner who obtains the license. )Similar to an English auction.

Only the payment of the newcomer is di¤erent.

( Incumbent: Newcomer:

Pay the winning price if it wins.

Pay only H of the winning price if it wins )The newcomer’s optimal strategy becomes “bidding vH2.”

(16)

Main Result

Theorem 1 The 40% handicap auction (H = 0:4) described as fol- lows implements entry i¤ duopoly is more e¢cient than monopoly.

( Incumbent: Newcomer:

Pay the winning price if it wins.

Pay only 40% of the winning price if it wins

) Why “40%”?

(17)

The sketch of the proof

SW = CS + P S = CS + 1 + 2 m

= CS + v2 v1 (SW)

CS can be expressed as follows (Lemma 3). CS = v21 + v42

Substituting it into (SW), we obtain the result. SW > 0 , v1

2 + v2

4 + v2 v1 > 0 , v1 < v2

0:4

(18)

Lemma 3: CS = v21 + v42

p p

q q

pm

C1 C1

C2

B A

C E D

F

G H I

J K L

Πm

Π2 Π1

(Πm-Π1)/2

Π2/4

Figure 2: Valuations (Left) CS in two parts (Right)

(19)

Remarks

Our auction does not depend on the parameters, a; b; c1; c2.

Demand functions need not be globally linear.

Robustness: welfare loss caused by introducing non-linearity is second order e¤ect. (Akerlof and Yellen, 1985)

E¢ciency is achieved by dominant strategies.

)Independent of the cost distributions.

(20)

Generalization

No incumbent …rm (= new market)

Asymmetric Information among …rms

Non-linear costs & demand

General social welfare functions

Multiple incumbents

Figure 1: c 2 is high (Left) c 2 is low (Right)
Figure 2: Valuations (Left) CS in two parts (Right)

参照

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