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Variable Importance Cloud

Dong Rudin Variable Importance Cloud

: 88

!! !"

"# 0.4 0.2

"$ 0.05 0.3

VIC

(2)

• VI : Variable Importance

• [Breiman+, 2001]

Breiman, Leo. "Statistical modeling: The two cultures (with comments and a rejoinder by the author)."Statistical science16.3 (2001): 199-231

VI

:

(3)

: Variable Importance Cloud

• :

Variable Importance Cloud VIC [Dong+, 2019]

• : (VI)

VIC

/

"# $ % $ &

' ( 0.4 0.2 ' ) 0.05 0.3

VIC

Dong, J. and Rudin, C. Variable importance clouds: A way to explore variable importance for the set of good models. arXiv preprint arXiv:1901.03209, 2019.

(4)

• VIC Variable Importance Cloud

VIC

"# $ % $ &

' ( 0.4 0.2 ' ) 0.05 0.3

VIC

Dong, J. and Rudin, C. Variable importance clouds: A way to explore variable importance for the set of good models. arXiv preprint arXiv:1901.03209, 2019.

(5)

VIC

1. !

2. 1 + % !

&

3. ℛ

• TDIDT CART

ℛ % = 0.2

-

: 0.11

.

: 0.12

/ 0 / 1 2 3 0.4 0.2 2 4 0.05 0.3

VIC

: 0.1

(6)

VIC :

[Dong+, 2019] (! = 4)

:

1. !

2.

: !

2 :

1. !

decision fern 2.

:

$ % , … , $ (

$ % $ % , … , $ ()*

$ %

0

$ * $ *

1 1 0

0

0

1

0 1

1

* : 0, 1, 1, 0

/ : 0, 1, 1, 0

1 : 0, 2, 2, 0

(7)

VIC :

:

1.

ExtraTrees 2.

: :

: Lawler [Ruggieri+, ICML2017]

1.

2. :

: :

! ∖ ! # ! ∖ ! $ ! ∖ ! %

… … …

RF

(8)

(VIC )

• monk1

• Adult Lawler

1. !

ℛ ! = 100

2. ℛ VIC

• Permutation Importance

(9)

1 :

Adult Lawler

Lawler

Lawler x10~x1000

1:

Lawler

Lawler

0.139 0.139

0.164 0.139

0.175 0.145

(10)

• ! " , ! $ 0.99

• ! " , ! % ! $ , ! % -0.6

! " ! $ ! & ! ' ! % ! (

! ( ! % ! ' ! & ! $ ! "

! " ! $ ! & ! ' ! % ! (

! ( ! % ! ' ! & ! $ ! "

2 : monk1

:

(11)

2 : monk1

monk1 ! " = ! $ ∨ ! & = $ 1 0

• ' ( , ' *

• ' ( , ' + ' * , ' +

VIC

(12)

3 : Adult

• capital_gain, capital_loss 0.97

• age, marital_status -0.6

• education_num, marital_status 0.8

age edu_num marital sex c_gain c_loss age edu_num marital sex c_gain c_loss

c_ lo ss c_ g a in se x m a ri ta l edu_num age c_ lo ss c_ g a in se x m a ri ta l edu_num age

: Lawler

(13)

3 : Adult

• capital_gain, capital_loss

• age, marital_status

• education_num, marital_status

(14)

• VIC

• VIC

VIC

OSDT[Hu+, 2019]

[LAMP, Terada+ PNAS 2013]

Hu, Xiyang, Cynthia Rudin, and Margo Seltzer. "Optimal sparse decision trees."Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems. 2019.

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