Rethinking the Political Economy of
"Developmentalism"
著者 ESHO Hideki
出版者 法政大学経済学部学会
journal or
publication title
The Hosei University Economic Review
volume 67
number 3・4
page range 1‑16
year 2000‑03‑30
URL http://doi.org/10.15002/00002691
1
RethinkingthePoliticalEconomyof
“DevelopnlentalisIn,,
HidekiEsho
Introduction
“Developmentalism,,isthetermthatthelateProfMurakamicre-
atedtoexplainthemiraculousdevelopmentalexperiencesoftheEast Asiancountries,includingJapan(Murakamil996).Hedefinesthe developmentalismas“aneconomicsystemthattakesasystemofpri‐
vatepropertyrightsandamarketeconomyasitsbasicframework,
butthatmakesitsmainobjectivetheachievementofindustrializa‐
tion,andinsofarasitisusefulinachievingthisobjective,approves governmentinterventioninthemarketfromlong-termperspective,'、
Alsohestatesthat“developmentalismisapolitical-economicsystem establishedwiththestateasitsunit,,,anditis“thetheory,orpolicy,
ofindustrializationfromthestandpointofnationalismandisthusan advancedformofmercantilismortheviewheldbytheGermanhis‐
toricalschool"・Acceptinghisbasicideas,Iwillnowredefinetheterm
"developmentalism”toinvolve:“thosegovernment-ledindustrializa‐
tionstrategieswhichaimtoconstructanindependentnationalecon‐
omy,inordertocatch-upwiththedevelopedcountries',、
Inchapterlwepresentanoverviewofthemainpillarsofthe earlydevelopmentalismthathadprevailedinl950sand60sThein-
dustrialstrategythatwasadvocatedduringthiserawastoaimfor
"theinternalizationofthepecuniaryexternaleconomies"・
Inchapter2wepresentanoverviewofthenewdevelopmentalism thatwasconstructedbythemiraculousindustrialexperiencesofthe
2
EastAsiancountrieswhichbeginninginthel970sThenewdevelop‐
mentalismischaracterizedbythecombinationofthepositivein‐
terventionofthegovernmenttothemarketandanauthoritarian politicalregime、
Inchapter3wecomparetheearlyversionofdevelopmentalism withthatofthenewversiontofindoutboththecommonthreadsand differences、Doingsqwewillfindoutitisnottheauthoritarianpoliti‐
calregimebutthecreationofasocio-economicsystemtoensure highlyproductiveandcheaplaborthatisthecrucialfactorforthe successfuldevelopmentalism.
LTheMainPillarsoftheEarlyDevelopmentalism
l-1EconomicsoftheEarlyDevelopmentalismEarlydevelopmentalismisrepresentedbythe“structuralist',ap‐
proachtodevelopmenteconomics・Thatisthedevelopmenteconom‐
icsconsistsofmainlyfourhypotheses,namely,(a)supplyconstraint,
(b)exportpessimism,(c)marketfailure,and(d)late-industrial‐
ization
Thesupplyconstrainthypothesisisbasedontheideathatdefi‐
cienciesofsupplysidefactorshampertheeconomicdevelopmentof developingcountries、Amongothersthestructuralistsstressedthe scarcityofcapital,namelysavingsandinvestment,Theystressed thatthedevelopingcountriescannotdevelopbecauseofcapitalscar‐
city・Foreignexchangeconstraintsandfoodshortagearevariations ofsupplyconstrainthypothesis・
Theexportpessimism,commonlyknownasthePrebish-Singer hypothesis,istheideathattheprimaryexportsdonotleadtoeco‐
nomicdevelopmentofdevelopingcountries・Asaresultofthisidea,
thestructuralistsproposedimport-substitutingindustrializationas thedesirabledevelopmentstrategy・
Themarketfailurehypothesisisbasedonthestructuralisminher‐
itedfromtheKeynesianeconomics(Arndtl985).Thatisthedisbelief
RethinkingthePoliticalEconomyof“Developmentalism,, 3 inmarketmechanism,sothattheideathattheplanningandtheregu‐
lationsbythecentralgovernmentarenecessaryforeconomicdevel‐
opmentofdevelopingcountries・
Gershenkronpresentedarepresentativeargumentofthelate‐
industrializationmodel(Gershenkronl966).Hedescribedthediffer‐
encesinthespeedandcharacterofindustrialdevelopmentof nineteenthEuropeancountriesaccordingtothedegreeofrelative backwardnessAccordingtohim,themorebackwardthecountry,the morediscontinuousindustrialization,i、e、,“thebigspurt',occurred・
Thatisthehypothesisthatseeksthepossibilityofcatching-upwith themoreadvancedcountriesHestressedthefactthatspecificinstitu‐
tionssuchaslong-termindustrialbankincaseofGermanyandthe stateincaseofRussiaplayedthedecisiverolesforpromotingindus‐
trializationattheearlystageofeconomicdevelopmentTheseinstitu‐
tionsareinnovationsforcatching-upwiththeadvancedcountriesby reducingriskortransactioncostsattheearlystageofeconomicdeveL opmentGershenkronalsostressedthedecisiveroleofideologybased onnationalismforpromotingindustrialization.
l-2DevelopmentStrategyoftheEarlyDevelopmentalism
Theindustrializationstrategyofearlydevelopmentalismisbased onthesefourhypothesismentionedabove、The“balancedgrowth,,
strategyadvocatedbyNurkseand“BigPush,,strategyadvocatedby Rosenstein-Rodanaretypicalexamples、
Nurkseassertedthatforthedevelopingcountriestobreakaway from“viciouscircleofpoverty,'thebalancedgrowthstrategywasa must(Nurksel953).Thebalancedgrowthstrategyisadevelopment strategyaimedat“thetotalexpansionofthemarket,,throughinvest-
mentofcapitalinwidelydifferentindustriesatthesametime・Ac- cordingtoNurkse,thenewlycreatedindustriesatthesametime createdemandsamongeachothersothatthedevelopingcountries canovercometheviciouscircleofpoverty・Hisargumentisanappli‐
cationoftheAdamSmith,sinsightthattheeconomicdevelopment
4
canbebroughtbytheexpansionofthemarketanddevelopmentof thedivisionoflabor、However,Nurkse'sargumenthasnottheslight‐
estbeliefinthe“invisiblehand”thatSmithhadBalancedgrowth strategywasagrowthmodelthatpresupposedthecentranyplanned economicsystemunderthestronggovernment・Henotonlypresup‐
posedthatinthedevelopingcountries,themarketmechanismdidnot work,butalsothemarketsystemcouldnotinduceeconomicdevelop
ment・
ThisuniquecombinationoftheSmithianworldofmarketexpan‐
sionandthebeliefinacentrallyplannedeconomicsystemisshared byRosenstein-Rodan,anotherrepresentativefigureofthestructural‐
ism(Rosenstein-Rodanl943).Hisideawassuchthat“thewholeof theindustrytobecreatedistobetreatedandplannedlikeonehuge firmortrust''、Thereasonwhythelargeplannedinvestment(i、e、,the BigPush)isfavorableliesinthefactthatitcreatesthecomplemen‐
tarityofdifferentindustries、Theplannedcreationofsuchacomple mentaritysystemreducestheriskofnotbeingabletosell,and,since riskcanbeconsideredascost,itreducescosts
Hecalledthisas“aspecialcaseofexternaleconomies"・Andhe assertedthat“ifwecreateasufficientlylargeinvestmentunitbyin‐
cludingallthenewindustriesoftheregion,externaleconomieswill becomeinternalprofitsoutofwhichdividendsmaybepaideasily,,.
CorrespondingtoRosenstein-Rodan,sargumentScitovskyfurther clarifiedthemeaningsofexternaleconomies(Schitovskyl954).He stressedthattheconceptofexternaleconomieshasbeenusedintwo entirelydifferentcontexts・Oneoftheseis“technologicalexternal economies''usedinthecontextofequilibriulntheory,definedasexter‐
naleconomiesproducedbythedirectinterdependenceamongeco‐
nomicagentsinthesensethatitdoesnotoperatethroughthemarket mechanism・Technologicalexternaleconomiesexistwheneverthe outputofafirmdependsnotonlyonthefactorsofproductionutilized bythisfirmbutalsoontheoutputandfactorutilizationofanother firmorgroupoffirms.
RethinkingthePoliticalEconomyof“Developmentalism,, 5 Anotherconceptofexternaleconomiesisthattobeusedinthe contextofthetheoryofindustrializationofunderdevelopedcountries,
wheretheconceptisusedinconnectionwiththespecialproblemsof allocatingsavingsamongalternativeinvestmentopportunities・He calledthistypeofexternaleconomythe“pecuniaryexternalecono‐
mies,',thatincludenotonlydirectornon-marketinterdependence amongproducersbutalsoincludeinterdependenceamongproducers throughthemarketmechanism、Iftherearepecuniaryexternal economiesthentheinvestmentinanindustryleadstoanexpansion ofitscapacityandmaythuslowerthepricesofitsproductsandraise thepricesofthefactorsusedbyit,Theloweringofproductprices benefitstheusersoftheseproducts;theraisingoffactorpricesbene‐
fitsthesuppliersofthefactors、Schitovskyassertedthatifexpansion ofdifferentindustrieswereintegratedandplannedtogether,theprof itabilityofinvestmentineachoneofthemwouldbeareliableindex ofitssocialdesirability.
l-3TheTypicalCaseoftheEarlyDevelopmentalism
Thelndianexperienceofindependencewasapioneeringcasefor manynewlyindependentcountriesandherindustrialstrategywasa glitteringmodelthatcouldbelearntbythethendevelopingcountries・
Themaincharacteristicsofthelndianindustrialstrategyaresumma‐
rizedinthreepoints(Chakravartyl987).
First,Indiaadoptedadevelopmentplanningbasedonthefamous Mahalanobisgrowthmodelthataimstoachievehighereconomic growthinthelongtermpointofviewbypromotingheavyindustry・
ThiswasrealizedastheSecondandtheThirdFiveYearPlans・This
developmentstrategydemandedthecurtailmentofconsumptionfor promotingdomesticsavingsandinvestmentunderthestrongguid anceofthegovernment、TheMahalanobismodeladoptedbasicallya supply-sideviewanditdidnotconsiderdemand-sidebottlenecks・
Secondly,Indiaestablishedamixedeconomysysteminwhichthe publicsectoroccupiedaclearlydominantposition・Thelndustrial
6
PolicyStatementinl956demarcatedindustriesintothreecategories,
andallthebasicindustrieswereconductedbythepublicsectorenter‐
prisesOntopofthisstrictregulationsthroughalicensingsystem wereimposedontheprivatesectorwhenprivatesectorcompanies wantedtosetupnewfactory,toexpandtheirproductivecapacity,to manufacturenewproducts,ortochangetheirlocation
Thirdly,Indiaadoptedanimportsubstitutingindustrialization strategy,aimingtoestablishaproductionbaseforthedomesticmar‐
ketbythelndianenterprises
Nehrucalledtheobjectiveforlndia'ssocietyas“thesocialistic patternofsociety,'.India,sdevelopmentstrategywascoloredbyanti‐
colonialismandherindustrialstrategywasatypicalcaseoftheearly developmentalism.
2.TheIndustrializationoftheEastAsianCountriesand
theNewDevelopmentalism
Theneo-classicalapproachhasthoroughlydominatedthedomain ofdevelopmenteconomicssincethel980s,endorsedbyinternational institutionssuchasthelMFandtheWorldBank.Theadvocatesof theneo-classicalapproachassertedthat“marketliberalization,,and
"export-orientation,,arethetwoindispensablefactorsforsuccessful developmentofthedevelopingcountries、However,inthelatterhalf ofthel980s,thereappearedavarietyofcriticismsagainstthevalidity oftheneo-classicalapproachOneofthemostnoteworthytrendswas theemergenceofthenewversionofdevelopmentalism,dependingon themiraculousgrowthexperiencesoftheEastAsiancountries.
2-1ThePoliticalEconomyoftheNewDevelopmentalism
AseriesofJeffrySachs,papersonthecomparativestudiesof structuraladjustmentinLatinAmericancountriesandEastAsian countriesinl980sshowswellthecharacteristicsofthenewdevelop mentalism
RethinkingthePoliticalEconomyof“Developmentalism', 7 Heexplainedthedifferencesofeconomicperformanceofboth regionsintermsofthedifferencesofexchangerateandtradesystem (Sachsl985).InLatinAmericancountriesgovernmentsallocated borrowedfundstoimport-substitutingsectorandservicesector(non‐
tradables);ontheotherhandEastAsiangovernmentsallocatedbor‐
rowedfundstotradables・Theallocationofresourcesbetweentrad ablesandnon-tradablesdependsontradepolicies,exchangerate management,andaggregatedemandmanagementSachsfurtherar‐
guedthatinEastAsiaitwasruralpoliticalpowerthatsupportedthe export-orientedtradepoliciesanddevaluationOntheotherhand,it wasunionizedurbanworkerswhosupportedovervaluedexchange rates・Heconcludesthatthe“differenceinlabormarketorganization certainlyplaysanimportantroleinthepoliticalcalculus,,.
LookingbackontheEastAsianexperiencesSachsdiscussedthat
"outward-orientedstrategy,,and“marketliberalization,,isnotthe samething(Sachsl987).Hefurtherdiscussedthatasapolicytoolof crisismanagementfordebtburdenedcountries,themarketliberaliza- tionwasnotapropercoursetofollowThiswasbecause:(1)This strategyisnotsupportedhistorically、ThesuccessstoriesofEast Asiancountriesdonotdemonstratetheutilityoftradeliberalization inthemidstofamacroeconomiccrisis.“Stabilization',andthe“liber‐
alization',haveconflictingrequirements.(2)TheEastAsianexperi‐
encesuggeststhatexportpromotionpoliciescanbepursuedbya dirigistegovernment,andeveninthepresenceoftightimportcoL trolsandtightregulationsinthecapitalmarket.(3)TheEastAsian experiencesuggeststhatsuccessfuldevelopmentmightbehelpedas muchbyraisingthequalityofpublicsectormanagementasbyprivat‐
izingpublicenterprisesorliberalizingmarkets.(4)InEastAsian countriesgovernmentspromotedrelativelyequalincomedistribu‐
tions,mostfundamentallythroughpoliciesthatequalizedtherural incomedistributionandthatkepttheurbanruraldifferentialsmuch narrowerthaninotherdevelopingcountriesThisrelativeequalin‐
comedistributioninEastAsiafreedthehandofgovernmentstofocus
8
onissuesofefficiency・
AsisclearfromtheargumentsofSachs,thecharacteristicsofthe politicaleconomyofthenewdevelopmentalismliesintheassertion thatontheonehandtheexportorientedstrategyisasvalidtheneo‐
classicalapproachassertedbutontheotherhandthatthestrategies thathaveworkedareessentiallydifferentfromthemarketliberaliza‐
tionstrategy.
2-2IndustrialPolicyoftheNewDevelopmentalism
TheexperiencesofindustrializationintheEastAsiancountries ledtothereassessmentoftheroleofthegovernmentasapromoterof economicdevelopmentlnparticular,alotofattentionhasbeenpaid tothedecisiveroleofindustrialpolicies
InhisbeautifullywrittenpaperProfKomiya,thepioneerofJapa‐
neseindustrialpolicystudies,arguedthatthecontentofindustrial policyinthenarrowsenseshouldbedefinedtothose“interventionsto copewithfailuresinthemarket,orpricesystem,thataffectresource allocation''.Theindustrialpolicyinthenarrowsensemeanspolicies thataffecttheallocationofresourcestoindustry,including(a)items thataffecttheinfrastructureofindustryingeneral,suchastheprovi‐
sionofindustrialsites,roadsandports,industrialwatersupplies,and electricpower;and(b)itemsthataffectinter-industryresourcealloca‐
tion(Komiyal988).Hisdefinitionofindustrialpolicystandsonthe ratherorthodoxneo-classicaltheory,Heclearlystatesthat“fromthe perspectiveofeconomictheory,differingresourceendowmentsor beingalatecomerorundergoingreconstructionfromwardoesnotin itselfconstituteamarketfailure',,sothathedoesnotthink“such itemsinthemselvesprovideacaseforpolicyintervention"・Inother wordsherejectstheuseofindustrialpolicies“tocatchupwiththe industrializednationsortoimprovetheinternationalcompetitiveness ofdomesticindustry''・
Ontheotherhand,ProfMurakami,whotriedtoconstructanti‐
neoclassicalpoliticaleconomy,definedtheindustrialpolicyinterms
RethinkingthePoliticalEconomyof“Developmentalism,, 9
oflong-termdynamicpointofview・Heplaceditasacentralpolicy toolofdevelopmentalism、Hedefineditas“attemptstorealizethe advantagesofdecreasingcost',,andstatedthat“theaimofindustrial policyistorestrainexcessivecompetition,ortosustainsufficient competition''・Inconcreteterms,Murakami,sindustrypolicyconsists offourtypesofpolicytools:designationofpriorityindustries;in‐
dustry-specificindicativeplanning,policiestopromotetechnological progress,andregulationofexcessivepricecompetitionAgainhe statesthattheindustrialpolicyisneitherapolicythatincreasesan industry,sgrowthratethroughforcible,governmentinterventionnor ameansofimplementingeconomicplanningRatheritisakindof governmentinterventiontomaintainmarketcompetitionwhencost isdecreasing“Thisneedisparticularlyacuteindevelopingcountries thatareattemptingtocatchupwiththeadvancedcountries,'、
Thedifferencesinthedefinitionsofindustrialpolicyamong scholarsnaturallyleadtothedifferencesintheevaluationofindus‐
trialpolicyTheprototypeofindustrialpolicyisthatofJapanI,sothat thestudyofindustrialpolicyconcentratesontheJapanesecase・How‐
ever,astheideaofindustrialpolicytransmitstotheotherEastAsian countries,thecontentsofindustrialpolicyhavebeenchangedWe canunderstandtheexperienceofJapaneseindustrializationasacase ofalate-comer・However,theexperiencesoftheEastAsiancountries arethatofthelate-late-comersManyargumentspresupposetheho‐
mogeneityofJapaneseindustrializationandtheindustrializationof
theEastAsiancountries,andtheytendtoarguethattheJapanese
industrialpolicyisrepresentativeofEastAsiancountries(Johnson l982;Amsdenl989;Wadel990).Butthisisafalsegeneralization,We 1However,maybethefirstcountrythatusedtheterm“Industrialpolicy,,wasIndia・Inl9471ndiapromulgatedthefirstlndustrialPolicyResolution lnJapanthetermindustrialpolicywasnotwidelyuseduntilaroundl970s
(Komiyal988).AokisuggeststhatindustrialpolicyisnotaJapaneseinno‐
vationbutthatwartimeprototypewasinspiredbytheplanningmecha‐
nismoftheformerUSSR(Aokil996)Bothcasesshowwellthatthe industrialpolicywasanessentialelementoftheearlydevelopmentalism.
10
shouldnotmissthebigdifferencesbetweenJapanandtheEastAsian countriesinthecontentsofindustrialpolicyand/ordevelopmen‐
talism、Johnson,forexample,stressesthecontinuityoftheJapanese politicalsystemandthoseofKoreaandTaiwan,namingpostwar Japanasacaseof"softauthoritarianism”andnamingthoseofKorea andTaiwanasacaseof“hardauthoritarianism”or“newcasesofabso‐
lutiststates"・AccordingtoJohnson,Japanhasbeenformallyademo‐
craticnation,butinessenceJapanhasbeenunderasoftauthoritarian rulebecauseJapanhasretained“anextremelystrongandcompara‐
tivelyunsupervisedstateadministration,single-partyruleformore thanthreedecades,andasetofeconomicprioritiesthatseemsunat‐
tainableundertruepoliticalpluralism''(Johnsonl987).Whatapreju‐
dicedview1Unnecessaryworry1Ifhewerecorrect,Independentlndia alsoshouldbeasoftauthoritariancountry、Hereweseeagainan old-fashioneddichotomyofEuropeversusNonEurope(orAsial
The“EastAsianMiracle,,reportbytheWorldBankassertedthat industrialpolicynarrowlydefined,namely,towhichthatwaspromot‐
ingspecificindustries,“wasgenerallyunsuccessful,,inJapan,Korea,
Singapore,andTaiwan(WorldBankl993).Onthisjudgmentofthe WorldBankthereisalotofcriticismandwestilldonothaveanyfirm conclusions、However,tobeginwith,weshouldseekthesignificance oftheindustrialpolicynotinavarietyofinfantindustryarguments butratherintheestablishmentofasharedinformationnetworkbe‐
tweengovernmentandtheprivatesector(Hayamil998).Whether theinformationnetworkbetweengovernmentandtheprivatesector isestablishedornotdeterminesthesuccessorfailureofthegovern- mentinterventionforpromotingspecificindustries.
3.TheEarlyDevelopmentalismandtheNew Developmentalism
3-1CommonCharacteristicsandDifferences
Whatarethecommoncharacteristicsofanddifferencesbetween
RethinkingthePoliticalEconomyof“Developmentalism'’ 11 theearlyandthenewversionsofdevelopmentalism?Murakami's definitionofdevelopmentalismas“aneconomicsystemthattakesa systemofprivatepropertyrightsandamarketeconomyasitsbasic framework,butthatmakesitsmainobjectivetheachievementofin‐
dustrialization,and,insofarasitisusefulinachievingthisobjective,
approvesgovernmentinterventioninthemarketfromalong-term
perspective,,,itcanapplytobothcases、Bothformsofdevelopmen‐
talismshareastrongeconomicnationalismwhichaimsatattaining anindependentnationaleconomy、Andbothformsofdevelopmen‐
talismpursuedgovernmentguidedeconomicmanagementwhichaim tocatch-upwiththeadvancedcountries・Theoreticallywecansay thatdevelopmentalismstroveforindustrializationthroughforced capitalaccumulationassuminganincreasingreturntheory・Their attitudestowardsdirectforeigninvestmentandforeigntechnology arealsosimilar:aselectiveintroductionbasedondomestictechnology development、Furthermoretheybothsharerigidregulationofbank‐
ingandfinanceandexchangemarkets、
Thenwhatarethedifferencesbetweenthetwo?Themostcon‐
spicuousdifferenceisthatwhiletheearlydevelopmentalismassumes
importsubstitutingindustrializationstrategyasatoolforattaining
independentnationaleconomy,thenewdevelopmentalismassumes anexport-orientedindustrializationstrategyCloselyrelatedtothis aspectisthatalthoughbothofthe、presupposethemarketfailurehypothesis,thefunctioningoforthewayofinterventionofthegov‐
ernmenttothemarketisdifferent・NotonlyinlndiabutalsoinKorea orTaiwantherewasstrongregulationoffinancialmarketsandthere werestrongindustrialpolicies・However,incaseoflndia,thegovern‐
mentintervenedwiththemarketthroughreplacingtheprivatesector
withthepublicsector,whileinthecaseofKoreaorTaiwan,thegov‐
ernmentguidedandsupplantedtheprivatesector、Suchafundamen‐
taldifferenceofthequalityofgovernmentinterventionsisdeter‐
minedbythefactwhetherthoseinterventionsareestablishedbefore orafter“theneo-classicalresurgence,,.
12
3-2RelationbetweenlndustrializationandDemocratization Murakamitriedtounderstanddevelopmentalismasauniversal concept,i,e,,an“idealtype,,、Afterdefiningdevelopmentalismas
"apolitical-economicsystemestablishedwiththestateasitsunit,',
Murakamiaddedthat“thusinmanycasessomerestrictionsare
placedonparliamentarydemocracy(suchasamonarchicalsystem,a
one-partydictatorship,oramilitarydictatorship,,、Andhecontrasted thedevelopmentpatternssuchasthoseofJapanortheEastAsian countrieswiththatofAnglo-Americansociety、Hecalledtheformer"developmentalism,,andthelatter“classicaleconomicliberalism,,、
Thedevelopmentpathoftheformer,accordingtoMurakami,isthat ofindustrializationfirstanddemocratizationlater,Incontrast,the developmentpathofthelatteristhatofdemocratizationfirstand industrializationlater・DeepakLalarguedmuchmoresimplyand straightforwardly、Hestatesthat“acourageous,ruthlessandperhaps undemocraticgovernmentisrequiredtorideroughshodoverthese newly-createdspecialinterestgroups',(Lall983).Alltheseargu‐
mentsarebasedontheexperiencesoftheEastAsiancountriessuch asKorea
Theearlydevelopmentalismassumestheconcentrationofthe powerinthecentralgovernment、Insodoingitpresupposesanom-
nipotent,unselfishorbenevolentgovemment・Ontheotherhandthe newdevelopmentalismpresupposesanefficient,competent,orfar‐
sightedgovernment・Inconcretetermstheformerpresupposesaso‐
cialisticpolitico-economicsystemandthelatterpresupposesanau‐
thoritarianpolitico-economicsystemlnotherwords,bothformsof developmentalismpresupposeagovernmentthatisinsulatedfrom thevestedinterestsAsaresultofthispresupposition,bothformsof developmenatalismassumeastrongorunerringgovernmentthatcan performanautonomouspolicymanagement、
Thenewdevelopmentalismisatrialofuniversalizingthecollec‐
tionoflessonsthatarededucedfromthehistoricalexperiencesof
RethinkingthePoliticalEconomyof“Developmentalism,, 13 somehighgrowthEastAsiancountriesduringthel970sandl980s,
wheretheauthoritarianpoliticalregimeswereadoptedHowever,as iswellknowntoday,thereisnouniquerelationbetweentheselection ofpolityandeconomicperformance(Przeworski&Limongil993).
Stillmuchless,thereisnosolidgroundtoassertthatanauthoritarian regimeisnecessaryorindispensablefordevelopingcountriestomake successfulindustrialization2、Therearenumerousexamplesofeco- nomicfailureundertheauthoritarianregimes(North1981,Ch3;Bates l988).Inanutshell,theseargumentsofdevelopmentalismpresuppose theassumptionthat"thestronggovernmentdoesnotfail''、Thisisnot ananti-neoclassicalargument,butsimplyapre-neoclassicalargu‐
ment、Whatistobequestionedisnotthechoiceofselectedpolitybut theabilityofgovernmentstogovernandabilityofthegovernmentto formulateandperformcoherentpolicies.
3-3DevelopmentalismandLowWageLabor
Whataretheessentialelementsforsuccessfuldevelopmentalism?
LastlyIconsiderthisissuefocusingjustonthelaborproblem・
Oneofthemostinnovativeconceptsofearlydevelopmentalismis
"disguisedunemployment"・Nurksedefineditasthecaseofalaborer whosemarginalproductoflaboriszero(Nurksel953).Then,hear‐
gued,thegovernmentcoulddeducemostofthepeoplewhoengagein agriculturewithoutdecreasingagriculturalproductslnotherwords thesedisguisedunemployedconstitutepotentialsavingsforthesoci‐
etyasawhole,becausesuchunproductiveredundantlaborersare supportedbytheproductivelaborers
Lewis,modelofeconomicdevelopmentwithunlimitedsupplyof laboralsopresupposesdisguisedunemployment(Lewisl954).Lewis,
modelisagrowthmodelthatassumesabundantlaborindeveloping 2Bhagwaticalledthethesisthatdemocracynecessarilyhandicapsdevelop mentwhereasauthoritarianismaidsitasthe“crueldilemmathesis''.And heassessedthisthesisasonebelongedto“theoldview,,whichwasfash‐
ionableduringthel950sandl960s(Bhagwatil994).
14
countries,Insuchacountry,accordingtoLewis,themarginalproduc‐
tivityoflaborisverysmallsothattherealwagelevelofthecapitalist sectorwouldbedeterminedbytheaverageproductivityofagricuL ture,ie.,thesubsistencelevelofwages、Andaslongasthesubsis‐
tencesectorremains,theunlimitedsupplyoflaborfromthesub‐
sistencesectortothecapitalistsectoratthesubsistencewagelevel wouldcontinue,sothattheeconomicdevelopmentcouldbebrought about,Thisistheargumentthatshowsthepossibilityofmodern
industrializationbasedonthelowwageslnshort,earlydevelopmentalismassumedanunlimitedavailabil‐
ityoflowwagelaborerswhosupportedtheearlyindustrialization、
However,theydidnotmakeanyfurtheranalysisoflabormarkets・
Theyhardlydiscussedtheroleofeducationorskilledlaborforsuc‐
cessfulindustrialization、
Thenwhatisthelaboreconomicsofthenewdevelopmentalism?
Thedevelopingcountriesthatadoptedthenewdevelopmentalismare countriesthatsucceededineconomicdevelopmentbecauseofexport-
ledstrategyTheneoclassicaldevelopmenteconomistsfoundoneof thereasonswhytheexport-ledstrategysucceededinthe“freeandflexiblelabormarket',oftheEastAsiancountries(WorldBankl993).
However,whatonearthwas“thefreeandflexiblelabormarket,?
Haggardarguedthatpoliticalweaknessoflaborclasswasthe characteristicsofAsianNICS.“Labor,spoliticalexclusioninallofthe EastAsianNICSgavestateeliteandtheprivatesectorasubstantial degreeoffreedom,,andmadeexport-ledgrowthpossiblelnAsian NICSthereappearedanironiccombination,Le.,“equitywithoutde‐
mocracy,,(Haggardl990).GenerallyspeakinginEastAsiancountries
thecompetitiveedgeattheinternationalmarketwasbasedontheirabundantcheapandeducatedlaborsToensuresuchcheapandedu‐
catedlabors,itwasnecessarytohavebothinvestmentinhumanre‐
sourcesandanoppressivepoliticalregime
However,thecaseoftheEastAsiancountriesinwhichpolitically
oppressiveregimeswerebuilt-inisahistoricallyspecificcase、ForRethinkingthePoliticalEconomyof“Developmentalism'’ 15 successfulexport-ledstrategyintheinternationalmarkets,thecheap andproductivelaborforcesareindispensablefactor,buttheoppres‐
sivepoliticalregimeisnotnecessarilyindispensabletoensuresuch cheapandproductivelabors・ThebestexampleisJapan・
InJapantherewasnotaseverepoliticaloppressiontothelabor union・TherethefundamentallaborlawswereenactedundertheUS occupationregimeThemainfactorsthatensuredthehighlyproduc‐
tiveandcheaplaborwerethespreadofschooleducationandthe formationofaninternallabormarket,whichwassupportedbythe long-termlabor-managementrelationsunderlifetimeemployment,
seniority-basedwagesandthepromotionsystem、
Forthelate-comerstocatching-upwiththeadvancedeconomies,
oneofthelessonsthatweshoulddrawfromdevelopmentalismisnot afalsemessagethatapoliticallyoppressiveregimeisnecessarybut ratherthatitisessentialtoconstructasocio-economicsystemthat ensuresproductiveandcheaplabor.
References
Amsden,Alice1989.Asja1sjW〃tGjα"虜so"t/zKmeαα"αLα蛇伽伽st河aJizQtjo",
NewYork&Oxford:OxfordUniversityPress
Aoki,Masahikol996.“UnintendedFit:OrganizationalEvolutionandGov‐
ernmentDesignoflnstitutionsinJapan,”inM.Aoki,H・Kim&M、
Okuno-Fujiwaraeds.,T/zeRo"q/CO"emme"ti〃EnsrAsjα〃ECO"o〃C DC"c/OPme〃Oxford:ClarendonPress、
Arndt,H、W,1985.“TheOriginofStructuralism,”W0〃dDezノe/OP机e"ムVoL16 No2
Bates,Robert1988.“GovernmentandAgriculturalMarketsinAfrica,”inR Bateseds.,To〃amsαPb伽azJEco"omyq/,LzノeJOPme"ZTARatjo"αJe C/zojcePb7aSPecZjue,Berkley:UniversityofCaliforniaPress・
Bhagwati,Jagdishl994.“DemocracyandDevelopment:NewThinkingonan OldQuestion,"inJBhagwati,ASt”αmq/、W】"dozus,NewDelhi:Oxford UniversityPress,1999.
Chakravarty,Sukhamoyl987、ルリe/oPme"tPJα""/"g:T/zeI〉zdjα〃EXPc〃e"Ce,
Oxi/MZ:ClarendonPresS
Gershenkron,A1exanderl966Eco"o伽cBacためα、"essi〃HMO河αzノルγSPCC‐
伽e,Massachusetts:Belknap
Haggard,Stephan1990.HzZ〃CZys/、γz〃Ze〃伽he7qy:T/zePMtjcsq/・Qmut/z/〃
16
ノノzejW〃jylM"s師α胸'zgCo""mes,Ithaka&London:CornellUniversity
Press
Hayami,Yujirol988."TowardanEastAsianModelofEconomicDevelop‐
ment,"inY・Hayami&M・Aokieds.,T/Zemst伽tjo"αJFC""acztjo"so/Etzsj Asiα〃ECO"o〃cDcUeJ0P腕e"/,MacmillanPress&St・Martin,sPress Johnson,Chalmersl982・M1刀α"。//zeノヒリPα"eseMmIcJe:コルGmz(ノノノz〃肋。"s‐
/〃α/PMCy,1925-1975,Stanford:StanfordUniversityPress
l987.“PoliticalInstitutionsandEconomicPerformance:The Government-BusinessRelationshipinJapan,SouthKorea,andTaiwan,”
inF・CDeyoed.,T/ZcPMjjcα/ECO"0川⑰ノルハノbzuAsjα〃IMzJsmα/M2,
Ithaka&London:CornellUniversityPress
Komiya,Ryutarol988.“Introduction,',inR・Komiya,M・Okuno&K、
Suzumuraeds.,I7zd"st河α/PMCyq/・ノヒZPqw,AcademicPress・
Lal,Deepakl98aT/ZePbDem/q/DeMOPme"tEco"o伽cslLancing:Institute
ofEconomicAffairs
Lewis,Arthur1954.“EconomicDevelopmentwithUnlimitedSupplyof Labour,"Mz"c/zesねγSc/zooZq/ECO"omzcsα"dSociα/St"dies,Vol、22,No2 Murakami,Yasusuke1996.A〃A"tjcJass伽ノPMjjazノー比o"o伽cA"αlysjs(trans‐
latedbyKozoYamamura),Stanford:StanfordUniversityPress North,DouglassCl981・St7wct"花α"。C"α?zgej〃ECO"o伽c脇sjo?y,NewYork
&London:WWNorton、
Nurkse,Ragnarl953・Pm肋加so/UZPjtα/Fo?wzatjo〃j〃U>zdemezノeJ0PedCo"〃
mes,Oxfrod:BasilBlackwelL
Przeworski,Adam&FernandLimongil993.“PoliticalRegimeandEconomic Growth,"ノD"、αZ〃ECO"o〃c〃〃ecjjUes,VOL7,No.a
Rosenstein-RodanlP.N1943.“ProblemsoflndustrializationofEasternand South-EasternEurope,"ECO"o〃cノ、"?”α/,June-September・
Sachs,JeffreyD1985.“ExternalDebtandMacroeconomicPerformancein LatinAmericaandEastAsia,”Bmo跡"gsHZPe応o〃ECO"o伽cAct〃bノ,
Vol,2.
1987.“TradeandExchangeRatePoliciesinGrowth-OrientedAd justmentPrograms,,'inV・Corbo,M、Goldstein&MKhaneds.,G、〃肋-
0河e"jedAZmsZme"ZPmgm?"S,IMF/WorldBank・
Schitovsky,Tiborl954.“TwoConceptsofExternalEconomies,"ノb"772α【け PMtjcaJEco"0my,ApriL
Wade,Robertl990CoDe伽"gノノzeMz?RM:ECO"o〃cT/zeo”α"α功GROルq/
GoUemme"〃〃EnsZAsiα〃肋。"sj河α/izatio",Princeton:PrincetonUniver‐
sityPress
WorldBankl993.T/zeEastAsiα〃M7mcル:ECO"o”cGm2m/zα"aPzイMcPMCy,
OxfordUniversityPress.