• 検索結果がありません。

chap17 Recent site activity Junji Kageyama's Homepage

N/A
N/A
Protected

Academic year: 2017

シェア "chap17 Recent site activity Junji Kageyama's Homepage"

Copied!
4
0
0

読み込み中.... (全文を見る)

全文

(1)

81

17

࿑ಇࢢ৔ͱࣦۀ

17.1 ಇ͘ͱ͍͏͜ͱ

ੜ͖ΔͨΊɿ ੜ෺Ͱ͋ΔҎ্ɺ֎͔ΒΤωϧΪʔΛ֫ಘ͢Δඞཁ͕͋Δ

•ਓؒͷ৔߹ɺۚમͱ͍͏ܗͰϦιʔεΛಘͯɺͦΕΛΤωϧΪʔʹަ׵

࢓ࣄͷࡉ෼Խɿ ෼ۀʹΑΓޮ཰తʹੜ࢈

•ੜ࢈͞ΕͨϞϊΛ͓ޓ͍ʹަ׵͢Ε͹ɺΈΜͳ͕τΫΛ͢Δ ॴಘͷ֨ࠩɿ ಇ͍ͯಘΒΕΔॴಘ͸ɺଞਓ΍ࣾձʹର͢Δߩݙ౓ʹΑΓܾఆ

•ͨͩࣗ͠෼΍Ո଒ɺ༑ਓʹͱͬͯͷࣗ෼ͷՁ஋͸ॴಘͱؔ܎ͳ͍

17.2 ࣦۀʹؔ͢Δ౷ܭ

ࣦۀऀͷఆٛɿ ಇ͘ೳྗͱҙࢤ͕͋Δ΋ͷͷɺ࢓ࣄͷͳ͍ऀ

ࣦۀ཰ ʹ ࣦۀऀ਺ʗ࿑ಇྗਓޱ

•࿑ಇྗਓޱʹबۀऀ਺ʴࣦۀऀ਺

•΋ͱ΋ͱಇ͘ؾ͕ແ͍ऀ͸ɺ࿑ಇྗਓޱʹೖΒͳ͍

༗ޮٻਓഒ཰ ʹ ٻ৬ऀ1ਓ͋ͨΓͷٻਓ਺

༗ޮٻਓഒ཰= 1ɿٻ৬ऀ਺=ٻਓ਺

•༗ޮٻਓഒ཰͕ߴ͍΄Ͳɺٻ৬ऀ਺ʹൺ΂ͯٻਓ਺͕ଟ͍(࿑ಇऀʹ༗ར)

17.3 ࣦۀͷ෼ྨ ( Ұྫ )

ࣗൃతࣦۀɿ ࣗ෼ͷҙࢥʹΑΔࣦۀ ຎࡲతࣦۀɿ స৬ͳͲʹ൐͏Ұ࣌తͳࣦۀ

ߏ଄తࣦۀɿ اۀ͕ཉ͍͠ਓࡐͱ࿑ಇऀ͕͍࣋ͬͯΔٕೳ͕Ϛον͠ͳ͍͜ͱʹΑΔࣦۀ ඇࣗൃతࣦۀɿ ݱߦͷ௞ۚͰಇ͘ҙࢤ͕͋Δʹ΋ؔΘΒͣ࢓ࣄ͕ແ͍ঢ়ଶ

(2)

໌ւେֶϚΫϩܦࡁֶɿӨࢁ७ೋ(ֶੜ༻)

17.4 ௞ۚͱޏ༻ྔͷܾఆɿ࿑ಇधཁͱ࿑ಇڙڅ

࿑ಇʹର͢Δधཁɿ اۀ͕धཁ

•௞ۚਫ४͕௿͍΄Ͳɺاۀ͸ଟ͘ͷਓΛޏ༻͍ͨ͠ͱߟ͑Δ

࿑ಇʹର͢Δڙڅɿ ࿑ಇऀ͕ڙڅ

•௞ۚਫ४͕ߴ͍΄Ͳɺଟ͘ͷਓ͕ಇ͖͍ͨͱߟ͑Δ

雇用量 賃金

労働需要

雇用量 賃金

労働供給

࿑ಇࢢ৔ͷۉߧɿ धཁͱڙڅ͕Ұக͢Δ఺Ͱ௞ۚͱޏ༻ྔ͕ܾఆ

•ࢢ৔Ͱܾ·Δ௞ۚਫ४Ͱɺاۀ͸࿑ಇऀΛޏ༻͍͚ͨͩ͠ޏ༻͍ͯ͠Δ

•ࢢ৔Ͱܾ·Δ௞ۚਫ४Ͱɺ࿑ಇऀ͸ಇ͖͍͚ͨͩಇ͍͍ͯΔ

•׬શޏ༻ঢ়ଶɿඇࣗൃతࣦۀऀ͕͍ͳ͍(ࣗൃɺຎࡲɺߏ଄తࣦۀ͸ଘࡏ͢ΔͨΊɺࣦۀ཰͸0%Ͱ͸ͳ͍) –͜ͷ࣌ͷGDPΛ׬શޏ༻GDPɺࣦۀ཰Λࣗવࣦۀ཰ͱݴ͏

雇用量 賃金

労働供給 労働需要

৽ݹయ೿vsέΠϯδΞϯɿ ࿑ಇࢢ৔ʹର͢Δ৴པʹࠩҟ

৽ݹయ೿ɿ ࿑ಇࢢ৔͸΄΅ۉߧ͍ͯ͠Δͱߟ͑Δɻຎࡲతࣦۀ΍ߏ଄తࣦۀΛॏࢹ έΠϯδΞϯɿ ࿑ಇࢢ৔͸ۉߧ͍ͯ͠ͳ͍ͱߟ͑ΔɻඇࣗൃతࣦۀΛॏࢹ

17.5 ࣦۀͷݪҼɿ࿑ಇधཁͷෆ଍ vs ϛεϚον

࿑ಇधཁෆ଍(ඇࣗൃత)ࣦۀɿ ௞͕ۚߴ͗͢ɺاۀͷ࿑ಇधཁ͕গͳ͍

•اۀ͸͜ΕҎ্ޏ͍ͨ͘ͳ͍ͷͰɺ࿑ಇऀ͸ಇ͖ͨ͘ͱ΋ಇ͚ͳ͍

•໊໨௞ۚͷԼํߗ௚ੑ͕1ͭͷݪҼ(࿑ಇऀ͕ଞͷਓͷ௞ۚΛؾʹ͢Δɺ࿑ಇ૊߹ͷଘࡏͳͲʹىҼ)

82

(3)

໌ւେֶϚΫϩܦࡁֶɿӨࢁ७ೋ(ֶੜ༻)

ϛεϚον(ຎࡲతɾߏ଄త)ࣦۀɿ اۀ͕ཉ͍͠ਓࡐΛ࿑ಇऀ͕͍࣋ͬͯΔٕೳ͕Ϛον͠ͳ͍

•اۀ͸ਓΛޏ͍͍͚ͨͲޏ͑ͳ͍ɺ࿑ಇऀ͸ಇ͖͍͚ͨͲಇ͚ͳ͍ ݟ෼͚ํɿ ٻ৬ऀ਺ͱٻਓ਺ͷؔ܎͔Βݟ෼͚Δ͜ͱ͕Ͱ͖Δ ˠ ϕόϦοδۂઢ

࿑ಇधཁෆ଍(ඇࣗൃత)ࣦۀɿ ٻਓ਺͕ݮΓɺٻ৬ऀ਺͕૿͑Δ

•ϕόϦοδۂઢ্ͷಈ͖

ϛεϚον(ຎࡲతɾߏ଄త)ࣦۀɿ ٻਓ਺ͱٻ৬ऀ਺͕૿͑Δ

•ਤͰ͸45౓ઢʹԊͬͨಈ͖ͱͳΔɿ45౓ઢ্͸ɺ༗ޮٻਓഒ཰͕1

ࣗવࣦۀ཰ͷ্ঢ

求職者数 求人数

ベバリッジ曲線

45

求人数と求職者数が同時に増加 → ミスマッチ失業の増加

求人数が減り、求職者数が増加 → 需要不足失業の増加

೔ຊͷ৔߹ɿ ୹ظతʹඇࣗൃతࣦۀ͕૿ݮ͠ɺ௕ظతʹϛεϚον͕૿Ճ

0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000

(,()

( ),

17.6 ࣦۀҎ֎ͷ໰୊఺

௕࣌ؒ࿑ಇɿ ೔ຊͷ࿑ಇ࣌ؒ͸ଞͷOECDॾࠃͱൺֱͯ͠ඇৗʹ௕͍

•࿑ಇج४๏ʹΑΔ࿑ಇ࣌ؒͷ্ݶ͸ि40࣌ؒɺͦΕҎ্͸ׂ૿௞͕ۚඞཁ

αʔϏε࢒ۀ(ҧ๏)͕౰ͨΓલͷΑ͏ʹଘࡏ͢Δ

83

(4)

໌ւେֶϚΫϩܦࡁֶɿӨࢁ७ೋ(ֶੜ༻)

ඇਖ਼نޏ༻ͷ֦େɿ ਖ਼ࣾһʹͳΕͳ͍(ͳΒͳ͍)ͱ࿑ಇ৚͕݅ඇৗʹѱ͍

•ਖ਼ࣾһʹͳΕΔਓͱͳΕͳ͍ਓͷؒͰ͕֨ࠩ޿͕Δ

•ੜ֔ऩೖɿ2ԯvs 8ઍສ

ঁੑ࿑ಇɿ ঁੑ͕ೳྗΛे෼ʹൃشͰ͖ͳ͍έʔε͕͋Δ

•฼਌ʹର͢Δա౓ͳҭࣇෛ୲ ˠ গࢠԽʹ΋ͭͳ͕Δ ए೥ऀ࿑ಇɿ एऀͷؒͰࣦۀ཰͕ߴ͍

•ए͍͏ͪʹ஁͑ΒΕͳ͍ͱ೥Λͱͬͯ΋ॴಘ͕௿͍··

17.7 ΠϯϑϨͱࣦۀͷτϨʔυΦϑ ( ೋ཯എ൓ؔ܎ )

(෺Ձ൛)ϑΟϦοϓεΧʔϒɿ ࣦۀ཰ͱΠϯϑϨͷෛͷؔ܎Λද͢

•ࣦۀ཰Λ௿͘͠Α͏ͱ͢Δͱɺܠؾ͕Ճ೤ͯ͠௞্ۚঢɺΠϯϑϨ཰͕ߴ͘ͳΔ

•ΠϯϑϨΛԡ͑͞Α͏ͱ͢Δͱɺधཁݮୀɺࣦۀ཰͕ߴ͘ͳΔ

失業率 インフレ率

ࣗવࣦۀ཰Ծઆɿ ϑϦʔυϚϯ(ϚωλϦετ)͕ఏএ

࣮ࡍͷΠϯϑϨ཰ͱ༧૝ΠϯϑϨ཰ͷ͕ࠩॏཁɿ ࣮ࡍͷΠϯϑϨ཰ ʼ ༧૝ΠϯϑϨ཰ͷ৔߹

୹ظɿ ࿑ಇऀ͕ʮ௞͕ۚ༧૝Ҏ্ʹ্͕͍ͬͯΔʯͱײ͡ɺ࿑ಇڙڅ͕૿͑ɺࣦۀ཰͕௿Լ(՟ฎࡨ֮)

௕ظɿ ࣮ࡍͷΠϯϑϨ཰ʹ߹Θͤͯظ଴ΠϯϑϨ཰΋্͕ΔͨΊ௞͕ۚߴ͍ͱ͸ײ͡ͳ͘ͳΓɺ࿑ಇڙڅ͕ݮࣦͬͯۀ཰্ঢ

•݁ՌɺΠϯϑϨ཰ͷߴ௿ʹؔΘΒͣɺࣦۀ཰͸ࣗવࣦۀ཰ͷϨϕϧʹམͪண͘

݁࿦ɿ ୹ظͰ͸ΠϯϑϨͱࣦۀͷτϨʔυΦϑ͕͋Δ΋ͷͷɺ௕ظͰ͸τϨʔυΦϑ͸ͳ͘ɺϑΟϦοϓεΧʔϒ͸ਨ௚ʹͳΔ

失業率 インフレ率

自然失業率

短期フィリップスカーブ 長期フィリップスカーブ

当初の 予想値

新しいインフレ予想に対応した 短期フィリップスカーブ

17.8 ՝୊

(A4ɺ্෦ʹ՝୊൪߸ɺֶ੶൪߸ͱࢯ໊ɺܭࢉաఔ΋هೖɺಡΈʹ͍͘৔߹͸ݮ఺) 1. ࠷৽ͷ༗ޮٻਓഒ཰Λௐ΂Αɻͦͷ্Ͱɺͦͷ਺஋͕ब৬׆ಈऀʹ༗ར͔ෆར͔ड़΂Αɻ

2. ௞͕ۚߴࢭ·Γ͍ͯ͠Δͱࣦۀ཰͸ߴ͘ͳΔ͕ɺͦͷཧ༝Λ࿑ಇࢢ৔ͷάϥϑΛ༻͍ͭͭઆ໌ͤΑɻ

84

参照

関連したドキュメント

Key words and phrases: Linear system, transfer function, frequency re- sponse, operational calculus, behavior, AR-model, state model, controllabil- ity,

The main aim of the present work is to develop a unified approach for investigating problems related to the uniform G σ Gevrey regularity of solutions to PDE on the whole space R n

In the case of single crystal plasticity, the relative rotation rate of lattice directors with respect to material lines is derived in a unique way from the kinematics of plastic

Starting out with the balances of particle number density, spin and energy - momentum, Ein- stein‘s field equations and the relativistic dissipation inequality we consider

Therefore Corollary 2.3 tells us that only the dihedral quandle is useful in Alexander quandles of prime order for the study of quandle cocycle invariants of 1-knots and 2-knots..

[r]

In recent work [23], authors proved local-in-time existence and uniqueness of strong solutions in H s for real s > n/2 + 1 for the ideal Boussinesq equations in R n , n = 2, 3

Marco Donatelli, University of Insubria Ronny Ramlau, Johan Kepler University Lothar Reichel, Kent State University Giuseppe Rodriguez, University of Cagliari Special volume